Lead Opinion
¶ 1 In this opinion we address the constitutionality of a statute .that mandates adding two at-large positions to the boards of community college districts located within counties of at least three million people. For reasons explained below, we conclude the statute is a special law that violates the Arizona Constitution.
BACKGROUND
¶2 Ten community college districts have been formed in Arizona. Each district is governed by a local board consisting of five members elected to six-year terms from five precincts within the district. Ariz.Rev.Stat. ■(“AR.S.”) § 15-144KA). In April 2010, the legislature amended A.R.S. § 15-1441(A) (“Amendment”) as follows:
Beginning July 1, 2012, in addition to the governing board members who are elected from each of the five precincts in a community college district, a county with a population of at least three million persons shall elect two additional governing members from the district at large.
A.R.S. § 15-1441(1). The Amendment thus mandated that for a “county” with a population of more than three million, that county will elect two additional board members and the terms of all seven members will be four years.
¶ 3 Because the State of Arizona sought to obtain preclearance of the Amendment from the Department of Justice under Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act (“VRA”), the effective date was delayed. The United States Supreme Court’s decision in Shelby County, Alabama v. Holder, — U.S.-,
¶4 In December 2013, Appellants filed a complaint in the superior court seeking a declaration that the Amendment is unconstitutional under the provision of the Arizona Constitution that prohibits enactment of local or special laws. Appellants also sought an order enjoining the State and various public officials from implementing the Amendment.
¶ 5 In support of their argument that the law is unconstitutional because it would effectively apply only in Maricopa County, Appellants submitted an uncontroverted expert disclosure report forecasting the prospective growth of all fifteen Arizona counties. The report noted that none of the twelve least populated counties is expected to reach a population of three milliоn people in the next five hundred years. Of the three remaining counties, Maricopa had a population of 3,817,-117 in 2010, and Pima and Pinal will likely not reach a population of three million until the 22nd century, and possibly never.
¶ 6 Following oral argument, the superior court “accept[ed] as true that no county other than Maricopa is likely to have three million people in the foreseeable future,” but nonetheless upheld the constitutionality of the Amendment. The court reasoned that the legislature may separately address the unique issues faced by Maricopa County and that a class of one is acceptable “so long as the classification is related to the statute’s legitimate purpose.” This timely appeal followed.
DISCUSSION
¶ 7 Appellants argue that the Amendment is an impermissible special law in violation of
¶ 8 We review the constitutionality of a statute de novo. Town of Gilbert v. Maricopa County,
¶ 9 The Arizona Constitution provides that “[n]o local or special laws shall be enacted” regarding, among other things, the “conduct of elections.” Ariz. Const. Art. 4, Pt. 2, § 19(11). The special law provision prohibits legislation that “unreasonably and arbitrarily discriminates in favor of a person or class by granting them a special or exclusive immunity, privilege, or franchise.” Republic Inv.,
¶ 10 The special law prohibition does not necessarily bar the legislature from enacting laws that confer privileges only on classes defined by population; however, such laws must comply with the thrеe-part test adopted by our supreme court:
Legislation does not violate the special law prohibition if (1) the classification is rationally related to a legitimate governmental objective, (2) the classification is legitimate, encompassing all members of the relevant class, and (3) the class is elastic, allowing members to move in and out of it.
Long,
¶ 11 A statute is “special” if its scope is limited to a particular case and it “looks to no broader application in the future.” Republic Inv.,
¶ 12 “To decide whether a statute legitimately classifies, we will consider the actual probability thаt others will come under the act’s operation when the population changes.” Id. When the “prospect is only theoretical, and not probable, we will find the act special or local in nature.” Id. Therefore, the conditions that permit entry into the class must “be not only possible, but reasonably probable, of attainment.” Id. at 150,
¶ 13 Here, the three million population threshold is not tethered to a specific county; thus, the Amendment is not facially inelastic. The uncontroverted evidence reflects, however, that even assuming a high rate of growth, “the population [will not] reach [three] million until the end of the 21st century in Pima County and [ ] after 2090 in Pinal County.” Indeed, Appellants’ exрert opined that, using a lower, more realistic growth rate, neither Pima nor Pinal counties will reach three million until the 22nd century, and perhaps never.
¶ 14 This conclusion is consistent with cases from this court that have addressed the “reasonable probability” issue within the elasticity standard. In Town of Gilbert, we held that the population parameters placed on legislation governing the formation of county island districts constituted an impermissible special law because there was no probability that any town, other than Gilbert, “would fall within the population-based classifications of the legislation” within “the next fifteen to twenty years.”
¶ 15 The State cites Long for the proposition that no “temporal limitation” need be applied when analyzing legislation’s elastici
¶ 16 Applying the governing principles our supreme court has adopted regarding elasticity, we hold that the Amendment, which essentially creates a unique election system for the board members of the Maricopa County Community College District,
¶ 17 In reaching this conclusion, we acknowledge the State’s contention that no specific parameters exist for determining the likelihood that potential members of a particular class will reach a specific population threshold and that the legislature should not be required “to guess at what is constitutional” when drafting statutes. Additional guidance on the elasticity prong from our supreme court, identifying what factors should be used to determine whether entry into a class is reasonably probable of attainment, would be helpful in the appropriate case. The absence of such guidance, however, does not permit us to ignore the plain text of the constitutional prohibition against enactment of special laws and the case law interpreting that clause. Since before statehood, Arizona’s courts have followed the general principle that conditions of a classification must be reasonably attainable. See Bravin v. Mayor and Common Council,
¶ 18 Appellants request an award of attorneys’ fees under the privаte attorney general doctrine, which is an equitable rule permitting courts to award attorneys’ fees to parties who have vindicated a right that “(1) benefits a large number of people; (2) requires private enforcement; and (3) is of societal importance.” Dobson v. State,
CONCLUSION
¶ 19 For the foregoing reasons, we reverse the superior court’s order and remand fоr further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
Notes
. Subsection C of A.R.S. § 15-1441 provides that after the first election for a district, "each [board] member’s term is six years, except for a county with a population of at least three million persons, beginning at the next election after June 30, 2012, each member’s term is four years.”
. Inexplicably, the legislature used the population of a county, instead of a district, as the trigger point for application of the Amendment even though the boundaries of a district and a county are not necessarily coterminous. See A.R.S. § 15 — 1441 (B) ("Where two or more counties constitute a district, as many precincts shall be set up by the board of supervisors in each county as the county is entitled to membership.”).
. The bill summaries for House Bill 2261 reflect that the legislature was aware of the relevant census information in setting the population threshold. See Ariz. H.B. Summary, 2010 Reg. Sess. H.B. 2261 (Feb. 2, 2010) ("According to the United States Census, Maricopa County is the only county in Arizona with a population over three million persons. Pima County has the next highest population at 843,746.”).
. At oral argument on appeal, the State asserted that a reasonable probability of admission to the class could be met without any temporal limitаtion. It argued that even if another county could enter the class in 500 or even 1000 years, that would be sufficient. We reject that argument as confusing possibility and probability. Given enough time, almost anything is possible. The applicable standard for elasticity is "reasonable probability.” Moreover, the State’s argument fails to recognize that the conditions of the legislative classification must be reasоnably attainable, which necessarily includes a temporal component.
. As noted above, the Amendment provides for the addition of two at-large positions and also establishes that all seven board members will serve four-year terms, as opposed to the six-year terms that apply to all districts that are located in counties with a population under three million. See supra ¶ 2.
Concurrence Opinion
Specially Concurring.
¶ 20 I concur with the Majority’s conclusion that the Amendment fails the elasticity prong of the special law analysis as set forth in Republic Inv. Fund I v. Town of Surprise,
¶ 21 I write separately, however, to express concern about this court’s interpretation of our supreme court’s “theoretical and not probable” language from Republic. The language must be considered in the context of the statute in that case. The statute established a class based on a city or town’s population as of the date of a particular census. Id. at 147,
¶ 22 This court has been inconsistent with its interpretation of thе “theoretical and not probable” language. Relying on this language, this court has held unconstitutional a statute that established a class defined by a population threshold that would not be met for nineteen years, Town of Gilbert v. Mari-copa County,
¶23 Our inconsistent interpretations give the legislaturе no guidance on the elasticity prong’s meaning. Establishing statutory classifications requires line-drawing, which “is peculiarly a legislative task and an unavoidable one.” Massachusetts Bd. Of Retirement,
¶ 24 I agree with the Majority’s conclusion that the Amendment is unconstitutional because its application is based on a population threshold that the evidence shows may never be reached. But left unaddressed today is what time frame the legislature may rely upon to establish such a threshold. Although the legislature cannot gaze so far into the future that a population threshold becomes merely a distant expectation for succeeding generations, surely it cannot be constrained to focus myopically only on next year’s оr the next decade’s population projections. How far the legislature can look ahead, however, depends on the meaning of the supreme court’s decision in Republic, and that is an issue only the supreme court can resolve.
. Interestingly, the courts' discussion of the elasticity of the statutory class was unnecessary in each case because the statutes in question failed other prongs of the special law analysis. Town of Gilbert,
