Wash. Admin. Code § 182-557-0225
The agency uses eight steps to calculate a person's risk score.
(1) Step 1. Collect paid claims and health plan encounter data. The agency obtains a set of paid fee-for-service claims and managed care encounters for a client.
(b) For clients age 18 and older, the agency uses all paid claims and encounters within the last 15 months.
(ii) The agency uses two algorithms developed by the University of San Diego:
(2) Step 2. Group ICD diagnosis codes into chronic illness and disability payment system risk categories.
(b) Table 1. Titles of Chronic Illness and Disability Payment System Risk Categories
| CARVH | Cardiovascular, very high |
| CARM | Cardiovascular, medium |
| CARL | Cardiovascular, low |
| CAREL | Cardiovascular, extra low |
| PSYH | Psychiatric, high |
| PSYM | Psychiatric, medium |
| PSYML | Psychiatric, medium low |
| PSYL | Psychiatric, low |
| SKCM | Skeletal, medium |
| SKCL | Skeletal, low |
| SKCVL | Skeletal, very low |
| CNSH | Central Nervous System, high |
| CNSM | Central Nervous System, medium |
| CNSL | Central Nervous System, low |
| PULVH | Pulmonary, very high |
| PULH | Pulmonary, high |
| PULM | Pulmonary, medium |
| PULL | Pulmonary, low |
| GIH | Gastro, high |
| GIM | Gastro, medium |
| GIL | Gastro, low |
| DIA1H | Diabetes, type 1 high |
| DIA1M | Diabetes, type 1 medium |
| DIA2M | Diabetes, type 2 medium |
| DIA2L | Diabetes, type 2 low |
| SKNH | Skin, high |
| SKNL | Skin, low |
| SKNVL | Skin, very low |
| RENEH | Renal, extra high |
| RENVH | Renal, very high |
| RENM | Renal, medium |
| RENL | Renal, low |
| SUBL | Substance abuse, low |
| SUBVL | Substance abuse, very low |
| CANVH | Cancer, very high |
| CANH | Cancer, high |
| CANM | Cancer, medium |
| CANL | Cancer, low |
| DDM | Developmental Disability, medium |
| DDL | Developmental Disability, low |
| GENEL | Genital, extra low |
| METH | Metabolic, high |
| METM | Metabolic, medium |
| METVL | Metabolic, very low |
| PRGCMP | Pregnancy, complete |
| PRGINC | Pregnancy, incomplete |
| EYEL | Eye, low |
| EYEVL | Eye, very low |
| CERL | Cerebrovascular, low |
| AIDSH | AIDS, high |
| INFH | Infectious, high |
| HIVM | HIV, medium |
| INFM | Infectious, medium |
| INFL | Infectious, low |
| HEMEH | Hematological, extra high |
| HEMVH | Hematological, very high |
| HEMM | Hematological, medium |
| HEML | Hematological, low |
(3) Step 3. Group national drug codes (NDCs) into MRx risk categories.
(b) Table 2. Titles of Medicaid Rx Risk Categories
| MRx1 | Alcoholism |
| MRx2 | Alzheimer's |
| MRx3 | Anti-coagulants |
| MRx4 | Asthma/COPD |
| MRx5 | Attention Deficit |
| MRx6 | Burns |
| MRx7 | Cardiac |
| MRx8 | Cystic Fibrosis |
| MRx9 | Depression/Anxiety |
| MRx10 | Diabetes |
| MRx11 | EENT |
| MRx12 | ESRD/Renal |
| MRx13 | Folate Deficiency |
| MRx14 | CMV Retinitis |
| MRx15 | Gastric Acid Disorder |
| MRx16 | Glaucoma |
| MRx17 | Gout |
| MRx18 | Growth Hormone |
| MRx19 | Hemophilia/von Willebrands |
| MRx20 | Hepatitis |
| MRx21 | Herpes |
| MRx22 | HIV |
| MRx23 | Hyperlipidemia |
| MRx24 | Infections, high |
| MRx25 | Infections, medium |
| MRx26 | Infections, low |
| MRx27 | Inflammatory/Autoimmune |
| MRx28 | Insomnia |
| MRx29 | Iron Deficiency |
| MRx30 | Irrigating Solution |
| MRx31 | Liver Disease |
| MRx32 | Malignancies |
| MRx33 | Multiple Sclerosis/Paralysis |
| MRx34 | Nausea |
| MRx35 | Neurogenic Bladder |
| MRx36 | Osteoporosis/Pagets |
| MRx37 | Pain |
| MRx38 | Parkinsons/Tremor |
| MRx39 | Prenatal Care |
| MRx40 | Psychotic Illness/Bipolar |
| MRx41 | Replacement Solution |
| MRx42 | Seizure Disorders |
| MRx43 | Thyroid Disorder |
| MRx44 | Transplant |
| MRx45 | Tuberculosis |
(5) Step 5. Select the highest CDPS risk category within a disease group.
(b) Table 3. Chronic Disease Payment System Risk Category Groups
| Group Description | Risk Categories (Ordered Highest to Lowest Intensity) |
| AIDS/HIV and Infection | AIDSH, INFH, HIVM, INFM, INFL |
| Cancer | CANVH, CANH, CANM, CANL |
| Cardiovascular | CARVH, CARM, CARL, CAREL |
| Central Nervous System | CNSH, CNSM, CNSL |
| Diabetes | DIA1H, DIA1M, DIA2M, DIA2L |
| Developmental Disability | DDM, DDL |
| Eye | EYEL, EYEVL |
| Gastrointestinal | GIH, GIM, GIL |
| Hematological | HEMEH, HEMVH, HEMM, HEML |
| Metabolic | METH, METM, METVL |
| Pregnancy | PRGCMP, PRGINC |
| Psychiatric | PSYH, PSYM, PSYML, PSYL |
| Substance Abuse | SUBL, SUBVL |
| Pulmonary | PULVH, PULH, PULM, PULL |
| Renal | RENEH, RENVH, RENM, RENL |
| Skeletal | SKCM, SKCL, SKCVL |
| Skin | SKNH, SKNL, SKNVL |
(6) Step 6. Determine age/gender category.
(b) Table 4. Age/Gender Categories
| Age | Gender | ||
| Age <1 | |||
| Age 1 to 4 | |||
| Age 5 to 14 | Male | ||
| Age 5 to 14 | Female | ||
| Age 15 to 24 | Male | ||
| Age 15 to 24 | Female | ||
| Age 25 to 44 | Male | ||
| Age 25 to 44 | Female | ||
| Age 45 to 64 | Male | ||
| Age 45 to 64 | Female | ||
| Age 65+ |
(7) Step 7. Apply risk weights.
(b) In each model there are three types of weights.
(c) Table 5. Risk Score Weights
| Category Type | Category | Description | Weights for Children(age <18) | Weights for Adults(age 18+) |
| Age/Gender | Age <1 | Clients of age less than 1 | 0.91261 | 0.00000 |
| Age 1 to 4 | Clients age 1 to 4 | 0.31764 | 0.00000 | |
| Age 5 to 14, Male | Male clients age 5 to 14 | 0.25834 | 0.00000 | |
| Age 5 to 14, Female | Female clients age 5 to 14 | 0.26338 | 0.00000 | |
| Age 15 to 24, Male | Male clients age 15 to 24 | 0.25662 | -0.01629 | |
| Age 15 to 24, Female | Female clients age 15 to 24 | 0.29685 | 0.03640 | |
| Age 25 to 44, Male | Male clients age 25 to 44 | 0.00000 | 0.04374 | |
| Age 25 to 44, Female | Female clients age 25 to 44 | 0.00000 | 0.06923 | |
| Age 45 to 64, Male | Male clients age 45 to 64 | 0.00000 | 0.13321 | |
| Age 45 to 64, Female | Female clients age 45 to 64 | 0.00000 | 0.06841 | |
| Age 65+ | Clients age 65 and older | 0.00000 | -0.05623 | |
| CDPS | CARVH | Cardiovascular, very high | 0.84325 | 2.86702 |
| CARM | Cardiovascular, medium | 0.33428 | 0.73492 | |
| CARL | Cardiovascular, low | 0.12835 | 0.24620 | |
| CAREL | Cardiovascular, extra low | 0.04307 | 0.06225 | |
| PSYH | Psychiatric, high | 0.40351 | 0.27085 | |
| PSYM | Psychiatric, medium | 0.23892 | 0.00000 | |
| PSYML | Psychiatric, medium low | 0.13796 | 0.00000 | |
| PSYL | Psychiatric, low | 0.07675 | 0.00000 | |
| SKCM | Skeletal, medium | 0.21071 | 0.42212 | |
| SKCL | Skeletal, low | 0.08343 | 0.15467 | |
| SKCVL | Skeletal, very low | 0.06244 | 0.06773 | |
| CNSH | Central Nervous System, high | 0.80483 | 0.78090 | |
| CNSM | Central Nervous System, medium | 0.31945 | 0.40886 | |
| CNSL | Central Nervous System, low | 0.15106 | 0.18261 | |
| PULVH | Pulmonary, very high | 1.14056 | 4.01723 | |
| PULH | Pulmonary, high | 0.34356 | 0.39309 | |
| PULM | Pulmonary, medium | 0.35587 | 0.31774 | |
| PULL | Pulmonary, low | 0.11315 | 0.13017 | |
| GIH | Gastro, high | 0.65934 | 1.34924 | |
| GIM | Gastro, medium | 0.24699 | 0.24372 | |
| GIL | Gastro, low | 0.09767 | 0.05104 | |
| DIA1H | Diabetes, type 1 high | 0.27018 | 1.04302 | |
| DIA1M | Diabetes, type 1 medium | 0.27018 | 0.23620 | |
| DIA2M | Diabetes, type 2 medium | 0.13647 | 0.17581 | |
| DIA2L | Diabetes, type 2 low | 0.13647 | 0.09635 | |
| SKNH | Skin, high | 0.56322 | 0.37981 | |
| SKNL | Skin, low | 0.23664 | 0.45155 | |
| SKNVL | Skin, very low | 0.05697 | 0.02119 | |
| RENEH | Renal, extra high | 1.80489 | 3.41999 | |
| RENVH | Renal, very high | 0.59311 | 0.69251 | |
| RENM | Renal, medium | 0.28630 | 0.92846 | |
| RENL | Renal, low | 0.21048 | 0.17220 | |
| SUBL | Substance Abuse, low | 0.15170 | 0.16104 | |
| SUBVL | Substance Abuse, very low | 0.01794 | 0.08784 | |
| CANVH | Cancer, very high | 1.19700 | 2.80074 | |
| CANH | Cancer, high | 0.51985 | 0.97173 | |
| CANM | Cancer, medium | 0.22164 | 0.38022 | |
| CANL | Cancer, low | 0.10350 | 0.22625 | |
| DDM | Developmental Disability, medium | 0.50073 | 0.27818 | |
| DDL | Developmental Disability, low | 0.19696 | 0.05913 | |
| GENEL | Genital, extra low | 0.00790 | 0.01121 | |
| METH | Metabolic, high | 0.47167 | 0.47226 | |
| METM | Metabolic, medium | 0.26297 | 0.11310 | |
| METVL | Metabolic, very low | 0.11546 | 0.18678 | |
| PRGCMP | Pregnancy, complete | 0.00244 | 0.00000 | |
| PRGINC | Pregnancy, incomplete | 0.12631 | 0.51636 | |
| EYEL | Eye, low | 0.09919 | 0.13271 | |
| EYEVL | Eye, very low | 0.02835 | 0.00000 | |
| CERL | Cerebrovascular, low | 0.14294 | 0.00000 | |
| AIDSH | AIDS, high | 0.70597 | 0.47361 | |
| INFH | Infectious, high | 0.70597 | 0.79689 | |
| HIVM | HIV, medium | 0.26129 | 0.07937 | |
| INFM | Infectious, medium | 0.26129 | 0.79689 | |
| INFL | Infectious, low | 0.07784 | 0.05617 | |
| HEMEH | Hematological, extra high | 5.37808 | 12.71981 | |
| HEMVH | Hematological, very high | 0.72873 | 3.08836 | |
| HEMM | Hematological, medium | 0.37824 | 0.63211 | |
| HEML | Hematological, low | 0.18676 | 0.25601 | |
| MRx | MRx1 | Alcoholism | 0.05982 | 0.01924 |
| MRx2 | Alzheimer's | 0.00000 | 0.08112 | |
| MRx3 | Anti-coagulants | 0.34428 | 0.13523 | |
| MRx4 | Asthma/COPD | 0.08758 | 0.05751 | |
| MRx5 | Attention Deficit | 0.00000 | 0.00779 | |
| MRx6 | Burns | 0.16633 | 0.00000 | |
| MRx7 | Cardiac | 0.0906 | 0.06425 | |
| MRx8 | Cystic Fibrosis | 0.50399 | 0.37265 | |
| MRx9 | Depression/Anxiety | 0.06743 | 0.09436 | |
| MRx10 | Diabetes | 0.1519 | 0.17046 | |
| MRx11 | EENT | 0.00000 | 0.00072 | |
| MRx12 | ESRD/Renal | 1.24598 | 1.20707 | |
| MRx13 | Folate Deficiency | 0.17973 | 0.11899 | |
| MRx14 | CMV Retinitis | 0.37762 | 0.00000 | |
| MRx15 | Gastric Acid Disorder | 0.10082 | 0.15470 | |
| MRx16 | Glaucoma | 0.04221 | 0.12971 | |
| MRx17 | Gout | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | |
| MRx18 | Growth Hormone | 0.9741 | 1.59521 | |
| MRx19 | Hemophilia/von Willebrands | 13.56192 | 89.14461 | |
| MRx20 | Hepatitis | 0.03018 | 0.00000 | |
| MRx21 | Herpes | 0.0348 | 0.01725 | |
| MRx22 | HIV | 0.65537 | 1.01178 | |
| MRx23 | Hyperlipidemia | 0.00000 | 0.03791 | |
| MRx24 | Infections, high | 1.38405 | 1.51663 | |
| MRx25 | Infections, medium | 0.07462 | 0.06192 | |
| MRx26 | Infections, low | 0.00000 | 0.00918 | |
| MRx27 | Inflammatory/Autoimmune | 0.08075 | 0.20046 | |
| MRx28 | Insomnia | 0.07093 | 0.06437 | |
| MRx29 | Iron Deficiency | 0.13306 | 0.15054 | |
| MRx30 | Irrigating Solution | 0.87573 | 0.16387 | |
| MRx31 | Liver Disease | 0.45314 | 0.22681 | |
| MRx32 | Malignancies | 0.36859 | 0.44200 | |
| MRx33 | Multiple Sclerosis/Paralysis | 0.0345 | 0.04353 | |
| MRx34 | Nausea | 0.18219 | 0.17120 | |
| MRx35 | Neurogenic Bladder | 0.15282 | 0.07675 | |
| MRx36 | Osteoporosis/Pagets | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | |
| MRx37 | Pain | 0.0295 | 0.04151 | |
| MRx38 | Parkinsons/Tremor | 0.17163 | 0.06257 | |
| MRx39 | Prenatal Care | 0.00000 | 0.13192 | |
| MRx40 | Psychotic Illness/Bipolar | 0.22819 | 0.20274 | |
| MRx41 | Replacement Solution | 0.58622 | 1.49405 | |
| MRx42 | Seizure Disorders | 0.23997 | 0.19837 | |
| MRx43 | Thyroid Disorder | 0.03948 | 0.06326 | |
| MRx44 | Transplant | 0.37388 | 0.05810 | |
| MRx45 | Tuberculosis | 0.20006 | 0.00000 |
(8) Step 8. Sum risk weights to obtain the risk score.
After obtaining the weights that correspond to a client's age/gender category and set of risk categories, the agency takes a sum of the values of all of the weights. This sum is the risk score for a client.
[Statutory Authority: RCW 41.05.021 and 41.05.160. WSR 22-17-166, § 182-557-0225, filed 8/24/22, effective 9/24/22; WSR 17-24-111, § 182-557-0225, filed 12/6/17, effective 1/6/18; WSR 15-17-065, § 182-557-0225, filed 8/14/15, effective 9/14/15.]