Alaska Stat. § 33.16.100
(a) The board may authorize the release of a prisoner who is otherwise eligible under AS 12.55.115 and AS 33.16.090(a)(1) on discretionary parole if it determines a reasonable probability exists that
(g) When considering a prisoner for release on discretionary parole under AS 33.16.090(a)(2), the board may release a prisoner if, taking into consideration the prisoner's likelihood of recidivism given the prisoner's age, criminal history, behavior in prison, participation in treatment, and plans for reentering the community, a reasonable probability exists that