OPINION
In February 2015, Red Clay Consolidated School District (“Red Clay”) held a special election in which residents were asked to approve an increase in the school-related property taxes paid by owners of non-exempt real estate located within the district (the “Special Election”). Red Clay prevailed in the Special Election, with 6,395 residents voting in favor and 5,515 against.
The plaintiffs are residents of Red Clay who did not vote in the Special Election because they were unable to access the polls. They filed suit, asserting that Red Clay violated the provision of the Delaware Constitution which guarantees that “[a]ll elections shall be free and equal.” 1 They also contend that Red Clay's actions violated the Due Process and Equal Protection Clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution. 2 This court previously held that the plaintiffs’ theories stated claims on which relief could be granted. 3 This decision only addresses their state law claim. It does not reach their federal claims.
The plaintiffs proved at trial that to secure a favorable result in the Special Election, Red Clay violated the Elections Clause. Red Clay held seventy-five events on election day, in the school buildings that served as polling places, that drew families with children to the polls. The purpose and effect of these events was to reward families of Red Clay students for voting. By Red Clay’s own calculation, at least 6,383
The Elections Clause, a related constitutional provision, and two related statutory-provisions evidence an unwavering Delaware public policy against both overt and covert rewards for voting. When a government provides a targeted reward for voting to a group it believes will favor its position, the election is not “free and equal.”
The election day events also had the unfortunate consequence of interfering with access to the polls. The many families who attended the events jammed the parking lots at the schools that served as polling places. The evidence at trial showed that at least some elderly and disabled residents did not vote because they could not find accessible parking. Having heard the Red Clay representatives testify, I am convinced that they did not intend to discriminate against elderly and disabled residents. They recognized that the events would generate crowded parking lots, and they took some steps to mitigate this effect, but they failed to anticipate the serious problems that elderly and disabled residents would face. They also did not monitor the parking places designated for voters, as required by Red Clay’s contracts with the Department of Elections, to ensure that they remained available.
Delaware case law, a statutory provision governing electioneering, and evidence of custom and practice in Delaware elections demonstrate that for an election to be “free and equal,” voters must be able to access the polls. An election in which the government obstructs the ability of elderly and disabled residents to vote is not “free and equal.”
Red Clay also rendered the Special Election unequal by engaging in four months of one-sided get-out-the-vote efforts. Starting in November 2014, Red Clay aggressively targeted the voters it believed would support the tax increase. Red Clay consciously avoided using communication channels that would inform the public as a whole and make the Special Election a debate. In particular, Red Clay used its access to confidential information about Red Clay families to promote voting by parents of Red Clay students. Red Clay’s assigned each school a goal number of “YES” voters, had each school canvass its parents to find those “YES” voters, and used targeted followed-up communications to get these voters to the polls. Red Clay also employed a variety of other tactics to mobilize student families. Although Red Clay directed some communications to the community at large, they were comparably minimal and generally required by law.
The Delaware Supreme Court has held that when a school district conducts a referendum, the “expenditure of public funds in support of one side” must remain “within reasonable limits,” and the school district’s speech should not venture “beyond [a] factual presentation” to the point of “overstatement and emotional appeals.” 4 In the Dismissal Ruling, I suggested that societal developments since that decision warranted loosening those restrictions. On the facts of this case, however, the extent and intensity of Red Clay’s targeted campaign speech, particularly when considered in conjunction with the election day events, resulted in the Special Election not being “free and equal.”
Although this case focuses on Red Clay’s election-related conduct, it stems from dysfunction in Delaware’s system for funding public schools. The proper operation of that system depends on the regime for
Red Clay’s operating expenses have not remained flat for nearly thirty-five years. They increase every year, both because of inflation and because society regularly asks the public schools to take on greater burdens. When the value of the tax base is fixed, the only way to raise revenue is to increase the tax rate. By statute, school districts cannot raise the tax rate unilaterally; they must ask district residents to approve the increase.
In this case, without a favorable vote, Red Clay faced a looming deficit. Prevailing in the Special Election was therefore crucial, and the Red Clay administrators were under a great deal of pressure to achieve that result. Unfortunately, their understandable desire to obtain adequate funding to fulfill their mission led them to undermine the electoral process. But their actions must be evaluated in light of the difficult situation they faced.
The question for decision in this case is not only whether Red Clay violated the Elections Clause, but also whether those violations warrant invalidating the Special Election. Extensive precedent makes clear that proving electoral misconduct does not lead ineluctably to invalidation. In this case, a balancing of multiple factors convinces me that the Special Election should stand. This decision therefore results in a declaration that Red Clay violated the Elections Clause, but it does not award any greater relief.
I. FACTUAL BACKGROUND
A three-day trial took place from October 31 to November 2, 2016. The parties introduced 327 exhibits. Eighteen fact witnesses and five expert witnesses testified live. The following facts were proven by a preponderance of the evidence.
A. Property Taxes And Public Schools
Understanding why Red Clay intervened in the Special Election requires some background knowledge about how Delaware funds its public schools. School districts in Delaware receive the majority of their operating revenue from a combination of state and local funds. State funds come from the General Assembly. 5 Local funds come from property tax revenue generated within each school district. “Local funds touch every aspect of the school district budget from employee salaries and benefits, to supplies and materials!,j to maintenance and security and transportation.” 6
To generate local revenue, owners of non-exempt real property in a school district pay property taxes on the assessed value of- their real estate at a rate set by the school board and approved by residents.
7
The amount of available local revenue thus depends on two variables: the assessed value of the property and the tax rate per dollar of assessed value. The Delaware Code provides that “[a]ll property subject to assessment shall be assessed at its true value in money.”
8
The Delaware Supreme Court has held that the concept of a property’s “true value in money” is
The Delaware Code requires the annual preparation of an assessment roll showing the values ascribed to properties for purposes of taxation. 11 In New Castle County, where Red Clay is located, the Department of Land Use is obligated to “assess all property subject to taxation by the County and maintain appropriate records.” 12 The Department also must “prepare tax rolls, including those required by any .,. school district.” 13
To oversee the process of preparing the assessment roll, the Delaware Code establishes a Board of Assessment Review. 14 To emphasize the point that its members are supposed to ensure that property is valued at its “true value in money,” the Delaware Code contemplates a per-property fine for departures from that standard. 15
The statutory framework calls for the Department of Land Use each year to “prepare and present to the Board of Assessment Review a copy of the assessment roll for [that] year.” 16 The Board of Assessment is charged with hearing appeals by individual property owners who have challenged the assessment of the property. 17 The Board of Assessment also is charged with “[r]eview[ing] the methods by which the general manager of the Department of Land Use has established the assessments and the results thereof as reflected by the assessment roll.” 18
So far, this system makes sense. Property must be assessed at its “true value in money,” which is synonymous with its “fair market value.” 19 The Department of Land Use conducts the annual assessment. 20 The Board of Assessment oversees the system to keep everything on track. 21
Yet in New Castle County, “property assessments are based upon 1983 property values.”
22
That fact is sufficiently astounding to merit repeating. Property assessments are not based on fair market value
Reflect momentarily on how much has changed since 1983. Back then, the Governor of Delaware was Pete DuPont. The President of the United States was Ronald Reagan. The Soviet Union still existed, and the federal government regarded it as the “evil empire.” A new Star Wars movie was in theaters, but it was Return, of the Jedi. MTV still played music videos, and Michael Jackson’s Thriller made its premier. The two teams in Super Bowl XVII were the Washington Redskins and the Miami Dolphins. On a personal note, I started high school.
Property values have changed dramatically since the early 1980s. The following data from judicially noticeable sources provide a sense of the magnitude of the change:
• In 1983, the House Price Index for New Castle County, published by the Federal Housing Finance Agency, was 159.59. By 2016, the House Price Index had climbed to 499.49. The 2016 figure represents an increase of 340% over the 1983 figure and an annualized gain of 9.44%. 24
• Measured in 2017 dollars, the inflation-adjusted median sales price of a new home in Delaware in January 1980 was $126,455. In January 2000, it was $187,596. 25 In January 2010, the median value of all owner-occupied housing in Delaware (not just new homes) was $273,000. 26 The 2010 figure represents an increase of 116% over the 1980 figure and an annualized gain of 3.86%. That was seven years ago.
• Measured in 2017 dollars, the inflation-adjusted median sales price of a new home in the United States in January 1980 was $196,331. In January 2000, it was $235,214, and in January 2010, it was $244,535. In January 2017, the median sales price of a new home was$308,000. 27 The 2017 figure represents an increase of 56.9% over the 1980 figure and an annualized gain of 1.54%.
• Measured in 2017 dollars, the median value of an owner-oceupied housing unit in New Castle County in 2000 was $195,652. In 2015, it was $260,600. 28 The 2015 figure represents an increase of 33.2% over the 2000 figure and an annualized gain of 2.2%.
Yet despite these significant gains, the assessed value of New Castle County’s underlying tax base remains flat. In Red Clay, the average assessed value of a residential property is stuck at the 1983 level of $80,100. 29
It should be obvious that assessing properties as of 1983 is a far cry from determining their “true value in money” as of the current year. 30 The Delaware Supreme Court indicated in 1977 that at some point, assessed values could become so stale as to be statutorily infirm. 31 But to date, no one has brought a county-wide challenge. 32
Ironically, a well-intentioned state-level scheme for providing additional funds to
.The upshot is that the value of the underlying tax base in each school district remains flat. But the cost of running a school district does not. Inflation reduces the purchasing power of a school district’s budget every year. Even if a school district does not introduce any new initiatives and just maintains the status quo, the absence of regular and systematic, reassessments inevitably generates a funding gap. At, a macro level, since 1983, the purchasing power of a school district’s tax base in constant dollars has declined by nearly 60%. Put differently, it requires $2.44 in 2017 to buy the same amount of goods and services that $1.00 would buy in 1983. 37
This leaves school districts with one lever to pull. The Delaware Code empowers the school board for each district to set the amount of tax per dollar of assessed value that a property owner must pay. 38 Using this authority, the school board can increase the tax rate so that the same assessed value generates more revenue. But the school board cannot levy the tax unilaterally. The school board first must “call a special election to be held at the polling place or places designated by the Department of Elections conducting the election.” 39 The outcome of the special election determines whether the tax can be levied. 40
The relentless effect of inflation combined with the increased expectations and demands that our society places on public schools means that school districts in Delaware must regularly seek tax increases from their voters. Generally speaking, in Delaware, a school district needs to prevail in a referendum every three to five years. 41
The Delaware public schools, including Red Clay, recognize the problems created by this system. When responding to questions from legislators about Red Clay’s conduct during the Special Election, Superintendent Mervin Daugherty started by calling out the underlying problem with Delaware’s mechanism for funding public schools:
It is important to note that the election process and requirement for a Referendum is one that is set by the legislature, not school districts. The public school districts believe the established system is an ineffective way to fund education, especially in light of recent years in which the State has cut funding for public schools. We recognize, however, that we all must work within the confínes of the existing law. 43
I would go one step further. The referendum process results from a combination of a legislative framework and a property assessment system that currently does not function as the statutes contemplate.
In my view, Delaware’s statutory framework is not supposed to force school districts into a vicious cycle of regular referendums. If New Castle County conducted periodic general assessments—which the Delaware Code appears to contemplate and which seems to have been the practice
B. Red Clay Is Forced To Seek A Tax Increase.
In summer 2014, Red Clay’s senior administrators concluded that the district needed more local tax revenue to cover its operating expenses. They did not make this decision lightly. They decided to “go to referendum” (the colloquial phrase) only because there was no alternative.
Red Clay had held its last operating referendum in 2008, when voters approved a twenty-five cent increase phased in over three years.
45
Because of New Castle County’s approach to property tax assessments, Red Clay’s local operating revenue had not increased materially since 2010. Over those four years, inflation deprived Red Clay’s local operating revenue of 5% of its purchasing power.
46
Meanwhile, Red
Red Clay received approximately 40% of its operating budget from local funds and 60% from the state. 49 The state funds had not made up the growing local shortfall. By 2014, Red Clay received less discretionary state funding than it had in 2008. 50
To operate under these conditions, Red Clay cut costs. By 2014, however, Red Clay projected that without additional revenue, the district would end 2016 with a deficit. By 2018, the cumulative deficit would reach $24.7 million. 51 To balance its budget without new revenue, Red Clay would need to cut approximately $9 million in recurring expenses, representing 15% of the operating budget. 52 This would require eliminating at least forty teachers. It also would mean fewer school resource officers, reading specialists, and other staff positions. The cuts would affect virtually every aspect of programming, including after-school sports, technology programs, and arts offerings. 53
After evaluating their options, Red Clay’s senior administrators concluded that the district had “stretched as long as we can.” 54 They recommended that the Red Clay Board of Education (the “School Board”) call a special election.
In October 2014, the School Board scheduled the Special Election to take place on February 24, 2015. The purpose of the Special Election was to obtain approval from district residents to raise the tax rate on non-exempt real property by a total of thirty-five cents per $100 of assessed value. The proposal initially called for the rate to rise by $0.25 in 2016, $0.05 in 2017, and $0.05 in 2018. It was later modified to $0.20 in 2016, $0.10 in 2017, and $0.05 in 2018. 55
At the time, the owner of an average taxable parcel in Red Clay paid $1,419 per year in school-related property taxes. After the three-year phase-in, the owner of an average parcel would pay approximately $280 more per year, or roughly $23 more per month. The proposal thus contemplated an approximately 20% increase in the school-related taxes paid by the average property owner. The first-year increase would generate an incremental $10.5 million for Red Clay. The second-year increase would generate another $5.2 million, and the third-year increase would add another $2.6 million. When fully implemented, the tax increase would yield $18 million annually in operating funds. 56
Once a referendum is called, the Department of Elections designates buildings to be used as polling places.
57
When selecting polling places, the Department of Elections gives “prime consideration” to the suitability, convenience, and accessibility of the locations for voters.
58
The statute identifies public schools as recommended poll
C. The Campaign Team
In Delaware, school tax referendums frequently fail. 62 In 2007, a Red Clay referendum failed. The district made $8 million in cuts and took out a loan to cover expenses. The district held its last successful referendum the following year. 63
Red Clay’s financial situation made the Special Election a high stakes matter. 64 Red Clay’s administrators thought that obtaining a successful vote was an “uphill campaign by its very nature.” 65
Not surprisingly, given the stakes, Red Clay planned and carried out a campaign to secure passage of the tax increase. Superintendent Daugherty was the final decision-maker, but he delegated primary day-to-day responsibility to three senior administrators: Ted Ammann, the Assistant Superintendent for District Operations; Patti Nash, the Public Information Officer, and Jill Floore, the Chief Financial Officer. 66
The administrators’ roles in the campaign matched their jobs with the district. Ammann took charge of operations. He ensured that the school principals supported the campaign, instructed them to develop and submit school-specific referendum plans, reviewed and signed off on their plans, and oversaw their implementation. He mobilized Red Clay personnel to volunteer for various referendum-related projects, including making get-out-the-vote calls, stuffing report card envelopes with
Nash took charge of communications. She developed and ran a telephone campaign to identify likely “YES” voters among Red Clay student households, then follow up with those likely “YES” voters to get them to the polls. 71 She organized and ran a social media campaign. 72 She spearheaded the creation of campaign materials, including pro-referendum video clips. 73 She also helped organize a pro-referendum rally on the night before the Special Election. 74
Floore provided expertise regarding Red Clay’s finances. Internally, she served as a third key decision maker. Externally, she explained the district’s finances and consequent need for the Special Election to numerous groups and the media. 75
The Red Clay administrators did not openly lead the campaign. They believed there were limitations on what district employees could do, such as not directly asking residents to vote “YES.”
76
They also
During and after the campaign, Red Clay representatives tried to depict these organizations as grassroots, parent-led efforts rather than something Red Clay engineered. 81 In fact, the entire campaign was a Red Clay operation. Of the nineteen members of the Steering Committee, fourteen were current Red Clay employees: five were Red Clay administrators, three were principals, five were teachers, and one was a current member of the School Board. Of the five who were not current Red Clay employees, one was a retired teacher and former president of the School Board. 82 The treasurer of the political action committee and the signatory on all of its filings was a Red Clay employee, 83 and Nash drafted the invitation for its fundraiser. 84 Internally, Red Clay personnel did not distinguish between the district administration and the Steering Committee. The Baltz principal testified that “the steering committee and the district kind of meshed together.” 85
The core day-to-day leadership team for the campaign was Ammann, Nash, Floore, Johnson, and Schwartz.
86
When push came
D. The Overall Campaign Strategy
To obtain a favorable vote, the Red Clay team developed a campaign strategy that involved identifying groups that were likely to favor the tax increase, then engaging in efforts to convert those likely supporters into actual votes. 88 In crafting and carrying out the campaign, the Red Clay team viewed individuals with ties to the Red Clay schools as more likely to support the tax increase. In particular, they believed that parents of current Red Clay students would be supportive. 89 Their reasoning was straight-forward: Parents likely want a good education for their children, so they should be willing to support a tax increase to achieve that goal. 90 The Red Clay team appears to have adopted this view as a matter of common sense, based on their intuitions about human nature and their experience from past referendums in which mobilizing the parent vote provided the key to success. 91 Data that the Red Clay team gathered during the campaign confirmed their assessment. 92
Importantly, the Red Clay team did not adopt a simplistic view in which they expected every parent to vote “YES” and every elderly resident to vote “NO.” They recognized that many factors affect how an individual votes. A parent might oppose the tax increase because of a negative experience with a public school, personal financial limitations, or a strong ideological opposition to tax increases. Or an elderly voter might support the tax increase because of a positive experience with a public school, ample income, or a civic-minded belief that funding public education benefits the community.
95
But the Red Clay team understood that there are tendencies in the electorate, and they wanted to mobilize the groups that were most likely, on average, to support the tax increase. At bottom, the Red Clay team believed that by increasing the number of parents who voted, they increased their chances of success. They likewise believed that by decreasing—or at least not increasing—the
To this end, Red Clay’s strategy focused primarily on mobilizing parents of existing Red Clay students and getting them to the polls. But the Red Clay team also identified and targeted other groups that were likely to be supportive, such as parents with children under five years of age, graduates of the Red Clay schools, and current students who were old enough to vote. Conversely, Red Clay focused on not doing things that might mobilize the opposition, particularly seniors.
The Red Clay team documented their overall strategy in a presentation to the Steering Committee during that group’s first meeting, held on November 6, 2014. In advance of the meeting, Superintendent Daugherty made the official nature of the meeting clear when some principals asked whether they needed to attend. He responded, “Everyone should attend—They must realize the importance of this Referendum.” 97 Kelly Penoyer, the Baltz principal, understood that the Steering Committee meeting was a mandatory event for all Red Clay principals. 98 Eric Mathis, the Richardson Park principal, only attended the meeting because it was mandatory. 99
As described in the presentation to the Steering Committee, the Red Clay campaign strategy had four principal planks:
• Work from past experience
• Work on the Yes not the No
• Inform and engage all parents
• Vote Goals 100
“Work from past experience” meant that in prior referendums, success resulted from mobilizing parents and other supportive groups.
101
“Work on the Yes not the No” meant that converting members of supportive groups into actual votes was more important than trying to convince negative voters to change their minds.
102
Implementing this strategy required a school-by-school effort. The assembled principals were told that they each “needed to have an event” on the day of the Special Election. 104 They also were told that each school would have a parent leader whose responsibilities included:
• Texting, Social Media and Letters to the Editor
• Coordinating call sessions
• Get out the vote information calls
• Reminders 2 days before
• Yard Signs
• Working with Principals for Referendum Day Events 105
The school principals were in charge of implementing the campaign plan at each school. Ammann required that each principal prepare a School Referendum Plan on a form he created. The form required that each principal provide (i) a communication plan, (ii) a list of activities leading up to the Special Election, and (iii) “school activities planned for the day of the 2015 Referendum.” 106 Every school principal submitted a plan, and every school held at least one and typically multiple “Referendum Day Events.” 107
E. Specific Campaign Tactics
Red Clay mounted a vigorous election campaign that involved a series of tactics designed to generate a favorable vote. These included (i) hosting seventy-five “Referendum Day Events” at the schools designated as polling places to bring famines of Red Clay students to the polls, (ii) calling the households of Red Clay students to identify likely “YES” voters, then following up with the likely “YES” voters to get them to the polls, and (iii) sending targeted communications to Red Clay households and other groups that Red Clay believed would be likely to support the tax increase. At the same time, Red Clay avoided communications with groups that Red Clay believed would oppose the tax increase, particularly seniors, to avoid “waking up” the opposition vote. 108
1. The Family-Focused Events
Red Clay’s signature tactic was to hold events on the day of the Special Election, in the schools designated as polling places.
109
The events were designed to appeal to families of Red Clay students, thereby providing the parents with induce
Ammann oversaw this aspect of the campaign. He required that each school principal submit a School Referendum Plan on a form he created, and the plan had to identify “school activities planned for the day of the 2015 Referendum.” 111 Ammann instructed the principals that “activities should be scheduled between the hours of 10:00 am and 7:00 pm.” 112 Ammann provided examples such as “homeroom breakfast, lunch with your child, [and] after school activities.” 113 Am-mann reviewed and approved the plans, sometimes asked for changes, then sent them to Johnson for her review. 114
Each of the twenty-three schools designated as polling places held Family-Focused Events on the day of the Special Election. 115 The one sehool that was not designated as a polling place did not hold any family-oriented events on the day of the Special Election. 116 The principal of that school wrote in his School Referendum Plan, “Since we are not a polling site, I will support [Stanton] for any activities.” 117
In total, the Red Clay schools held seventy-five Family-Focused Events on the day of the Special Election.
118
During the school day, many schools scheduled luncheons for parents.
119
In the evening, many schools scheduled fun activities for children. Baltz hosted a “Pajama Jammie Jam” dance party with pizza and a raffle.
120
Linden Hill hosted “Blizzard Blues Beach Bingo.”
121
Marbrook hosted a “Winter Carnival.”
122
Shortlidge hosted “Family Line Dancing.”
123
Skyline hosted a fami
The principals and staff understood that the purpose of the Family-Focused Events was to get likely “YES” voters to the polls. The principal of A.I. duPont wrote in his plan, “We will find opportunities during the studnet [sic] day to draw families in.” 129 A teacher at Heritage explained to a parent that the “Author’s Teas” were “one of the activities to help get parents in to school so they will vote in the referendum.” 130
The principal at Richardson Park was particularly candid in his communications. He planned a luncheon event at which parents would get a free meal. 131 He instructed a volunteer to remind parents “to vote first then eat.” 132 For the evening, he planned a bingo night with over $1000 in prizes, two movies, and “1 free uniform pass for each voting adult.” 133 He testified that because Richardson Park was a uniform school, the “no-uniform pass” was about the most valuable reward he could offer his students. 134 For the evening event, he instructed a volunteer to organize a team to “catch” parents attending the “Bingo/Movie night” and “make sure they vote prior to ‘having fun.’” 135 The principal believed that these events would “make it a very incentivized night for parents and kids to come out.” 136 He also believed that “if parents come out most will vote yes (I hope).” 137
Johnson perceived the direct connection between the Family-Focused Events and getting parents out to vote. On February 14, 2015, ten days before the election, she sent out the following email to the Red Clay team, including the Red Clay principals:
School Events!!!
All your school events for the day of the referendum should be planned and invitations/announcements to your entire school community should have been sent home via email, phone, or paper. Principals, when your families arrive I know you will be reminding your families to go into that poll and vote! Very important, please be sure to get these folks to the polls before the event begin[s]. The polls could be closed when the event is over! 138
After the election, Nash told a reporter from NBC10 News that the Family-Focused Events were “get-out-the-vote events.” 139 Superintendent Daugherty agreed that the Family-Focused Events were “get-out-the-vote events.” 140
At trial, some Red Clay witnesses attempted to suggest that Red Clay held the Family-Focused Events for the general community to showcase the Red Clay schools. 141 That testimony was contrary to the weight of the evidence. The Family-Focused Events were not advertised to the general community, only to the families of the schools hosting the events. 142 For some events, the schools only permitted family members to attend because of security concerns. 143 During her post-Special Election, pre-litigation interview, Nash noted that the events technically were open to voters without children, but she qualified her statement by observing, “I don’t know that they [ie., voters without children] would ... have [a] desire to come to Family Bingo Night.” 144 She described the events more accurately as “parent events that [were] open to every parent.” 145
For purposes of this litigation, Red Clay listed the seventy-five Family-Focused Events held on the day of the Special Election. Only three identified the “community” or the “public” as part of their target audience: a high school drama production, a musical showcase, and an arts concert. For every other event, the target audience was students, parents, and families. 146
2. Identifying “YES” Voters Among Red Clay Families
A second Red Clay campaign tactic was to identify likely “YES” voters in Red Clay student households, then follow up with targeted get-out-the-vote communications designed to get them to the polls. Red Clay did not make similar efforts to communicate with other voters.
Beginning in December 2014, every Red Clay school made an initial round of scripted calls to Red Clay student households to determine how the adults were likely to vote.
147
Each school was assigned a specific goal for the number of “YES” voters it needed to identify; the calls were used “to find your goal ‘yes’ votes.”
148
During an
The phone calls aren’t meant as a way to keep in touch through the campaign, that can occur with social media, etc. What we have done in the past was use the calls to find our goal yes votes and remind them to vote. It allows us to track where we are, and whether we are close to our goal. I think the phone campaign—even in our era of social media—remains really important. 149
Throughout the campaign, internal communications stressed using the calls to identify the goal number of “YES” voters so they could be targeted later with reminders to vote. 150
The Red Clay team asked teachers to make the initial voter identification calls.
151
The team adopted this strategy because “most parents will listen to what teachers have to say.”
152
Consistent with the purpose of identifying a goal number of “YES” voters, teachers could send emails instead of making personal calls only if the teachers asked for and received responses saying how the adults in the home planned to vote.
153
Parent volunteers supplemented
To facilitate the calls, Ammann had Red Clay personnel generate call lists from classroom rosters. 155 The lists identified the student, the adults in the family, and their contact emails and phone numbers. 156 Red Clay organized call center nights at its schools, many of which provided dinner for the callers. 157 Although teacher participation was nominally voluntary, Ammann charged the principals with getting the calls done. They in turn put pressure on their teachers, some of whom felt “bullied or guilted” into working on the Special Election. 158
Nash drafted, the script that the Red Clay callers used.
159
At the outset, the
As planned, Red Clay used the voter identification data it obtained for subsequent get-out-the-vote efforts. On the Sunday and Monday before the Special Election, Red Clay made follow-up reminder calls and sent reminder emails to the households that expressed support. 163 On February 14, 2015, ten days before the Special Election, Johnson gave the Red Clay team the following instructions:
Callers!!
Everyone should have made their first round of calls. You should all be thinking about the reminder calls. The reminder calls should be done Sunday (2/22) or Monday (2/23) before the referendum. Calls [are] to remind the “yes” voters to vote. As a reminder we do not call back folks that said they are voting “no.” 164
In addition to personal calls, Red Clay used the School Messenger system to send automated follow-up calls to ‘YES” voters reminding them to vote. 165 Red Clay also sent text messages on the day of the Special Election to “YES” voters reminding them to vote. 166 Only the “YES” voters received the follow-up calls and reminders. 167
In addition to the voter identification campaign, Red Clay used other communication channels to target the parents of Red Clay students. 168 The effort began in November 2014 and continued steadily through January 2015, then ramped up dramatically during February 2015. The effort included the following activities:
• Red Clay representatives spoke about the Special Election at PTA or PTO meetings, school-organized information sessions, and school activities, such as concerts and athletic events. 169
• Principals sent flyers and newsletters home with students. 170
• Principals sent reminder emails to parents using their school-email distribution systems. 171
• Principals sent telephone messages to parents using their School Messenger auto-dialer systems. 172
• Red Clay staff members stuffed copies of a “Referendum Fact Sheet” in students’ report card envelopes because “report cards are one piece of mail that parents look at right away.” 173
• Superintendent Daugherty sent a letter in January 2015 to all Red Clay families asking them to support the tax increase. 174
• Red Clay held a pep rally on the night before the Special Election. 175
• On the day of the Special Election, Superintendent Daugherty made an automated call to all parents using the School Messenger system. 176
• On the day of the Special Election, Red Clay teachers placed stickers on their elementary school students as a reminder for parents to vote. 177 -
• On the day of the Special Election, Red Clay organized teams to distribute push cards at morning drop-off lines and afternoon pick-up lines. Volunteers and district employees walked car-to-car to encourage parents to go inside and vote. 178
Each of these communications focused on parents of current Red Clay students.
4. Targeted Communications Directed At Other Likely “YES” Voters
Another Red Clay campaign strategy was to identify other groups that were likely to favor the tax increase. Red Clay sent targeted communications to those groups in an effort to generate favorable votes.
The Red Clay team identified recent Red Clay graduates as one group of voters who would be likely to support the referendum. 179 In December 2014, Red Clay had each high school principal send a letter to Red Clay graduates asking them “to support your former classmates and school district by voting YES to fund a much needed operating referendum.” 180 The letter asked graduates living in Red Clay to come to the polls and provided information about where and when to vote; the letter asked graduates who were “away at college or serving in the military” to vote by absentee ballot. 181 The letter stressed the need to “[m]ake your voice count” because “[w]e anticipate a close race and your support of Red Clay schools could make all the difference.” 182
The Red Clay team also identified parents of pre-school-age children as likely to support the tax increase. On February 18, 2015, Red Clay sent a letter from Superintendent Daugherty to parents living in the district with children under the age of five. 183 The letter described the Special Election as a “critical upcoming vote” and argued that “[a]s a future Red Clay parent, you have perhaps the largest stake in this referendum and ensuring our schools offer the highest quality education to our children.” 184 The letter described various programs and said they were “the very things we are in danger of losing.” 185 The letter asked the parents “to come to the polls on Feb. 24 from 10 a.m. to 8 p.m. at any Red Clay school and cast a vote for your child’s future.” 186
In the final days before the vote, the president of the School Board suggested “reaching out to the local colleges with [education] programs to gain support for the referendum” on the theory that “[i]f it doesn’t pass, we will not only have no job openings, but we will have experienced teachers laid off and first [in] line for the next openings.” 187 He specifically recommended this as a possible strategy “to get votes in the last days.” 188 Floore quickly worked up a “blurb” and asked the Red Clay staff who worked with Red Clay’s student teachers to email it out to their colleges and universities. 189 The email included a link so that Red Clay residents could easily request absentee ballots. 190
The Red Clay team also recognized that current Red Clay students who were old
5. The Ghostwritten Media Campaign
Yet another Red Clay campaign tactic involved ghostwriting content for parents. Nash organized a social media campaign in which she generated much of the content, but made it appear as if it came from parents.
To implement the campaign, Nash created a Facebook account called “Red Clay Parents for Students” and a Twitter handle called “RedClayParents.” 193 She organized parents to submit posts, designated several people at each school to share and like the posts, and established a “Response Team” of five parents to counter any negative posts. 194 She mapped out a schedule that contemplated having posts submitted every other day from February 2 until February 15, every day from February 15 through February 24, and every half-hour on February 24. 195
Nash drafted posts for parents to submit as their own. 196 She similarly prepared ghostwritten letters to the editor—the old-school version of social media—for parents to submit. 197 The lack of attribution was intentional: Nash believed “it was more real and would resonate more with voters if it came from parents.” 198
6. Relations With Likely “NO” Voters
In contrast to Red Clay’s efforts to mobilize likely “YES” voters, the Red Clay team took steps to avoid bringing out likely “NO” voters.
199
Red Clay recognized that there were identifiable groups of opposition voters and, although the Red Clay team rarely came out and said it, they associated the opposition primarily with elderly and retired residents. For example, in February 2015, Nash prepared a draft of the letter that eventually went out to parents of pre-school-aged children. The draft stated, “As a future Red Clay parent, you have a large stake in this referendum, larger perhaps than the many residents who typically come out to vote against any school funding increase.”
200
Nash sent the draft to Floore and Ammann, noting that it “kind of mention[s] the senior vote, with
To avoid mobilizing the “NO” vote, the Red Clay team minimized and, when possible, delayed district-wide communications:
• The team delayed having parents send letters to the editor in support of the referendum because “the letters might ‘wake up’ the ‘no’ voters.” 203 Even after the News Journal ran a story about the Special Election, the team considered waiting until anti-referendum letters to the editor appeared. 204 Once they did, the team debated whether “the ‘pro’ letters would wake up even more seniors? ?” 205
• The team limited the number of posts about the Special Election on the district’s social media sites as part of “a conscious decision to keep it from becoming a debate.” 206
• For the same reason, despite making four pro-referendum videos, the Red Clay team decided not to distribute them on the district’s social media platforms. 207
• When filming a pro-referendum video with Floore and Johnson, Nash told them to focus on the “big picture” rather than on the details of the campaign because publicizing the details “MAY TRIGGER AN ORGANIZED OPPOSITION ... ,” 208
• The team sought to avoid discussing the Special Election on a particular radio talk show because the host’s audience historically had been “the anti-vote.” 209
• The team delayed putting up any yard signs until the Sunday evening before the vote, because widespread signage “could bring out the no voters.” 210
• When the team did put out signs, they only placed them on school property near pickup and drop-off locations so they could serve “for our voters as a reminder which is mostly families.” 211
The desire to avoid stirring up opposition extended to distributions of the Red Clay Record, the district’s newsletter. The Red Olay team initially planned to send the February 2015 edition only to the student households in the district. 212 Later, the Steering Committee decided to send the February 2015 edition to all Red Clay residents. 213 That decision was driven by (i) an inquiry from the Department of Elections about whether Red Clay was sending a mailing to the entire district, and (ii) a desire to pre-empt the charge that Red Clay was running “a secret campaign.” 214
F. Referendum Day: Red Clay’s Perspective
On February 24, 2015, Red Clay held the Special Election. From Red Clay’s perspective, the day went largely as planned. The seventy-five Family-Focused Events, the targeted communications, and the get-out-the-vote efforts drew large numbers of parents to the schools that served as polling places. According to Red Clay, at least 6,388 people attended the Family-Focused Events, a figure that uses the low end of Red Clay’s estimates and does not include attendees at twenty-two events where the attendance was listed as “Unknown.” 221 Many of the evening events drew hundreds of people, including approximately 300 people at Baltz, 300 people at Linden Hill, and 700 people at Brandywine Springs. 222 Testimony at trial focused on the Family-Focused Events at Baltz and Richardson Park.
Baltz held three Family-Focused Events: two “Literacy Coffeehouses” around lunch time and a “Pajama Jammie
The “Pajama Jammie Jam” was held from 6:00 to 8:00 p.m. It was a fun event so that students could wear their pajamas and dance. 226 Food again was provided free of charge. 227 For security reasons, the Pajama Jammie Jam was only open to Baltz students and their families; it was not open to the community. 228 Baltz sent home approximately three flyers to its families to advertise the event. Baltz also used the Alert-Now system to send a recorded telephone message to its families to remind them about the event. 229
Red Clay estimated that approximately 300 people attended the Pajama Jammie Jam. 230 Baltz stationed staff members at a table at the main entrance to the school to greet families as they entered. 231 A sign behind the table stated, “If you care for the Baltz Bear Vote Yes!” 232 Although there was a separate entrance for voting, voters often used the main entrance. 233
Upon entering the building, each family received a check-off card. 234 The card had three boxes labeled, respectively, “I ate,” “I voted,” and “I danced.” Below the boxes were lines for the “Student Name,” the “Parent Name,” and a phone number. 235 One of the purposes of the card was to give each family a checklist of the things they were able to do. 236 Teachers and staff had stamps to check off items on the card. They asked to look at the cards and encouraged families to check off activities that they had not yet completed, such as voting. 237 At the end of the night, the checklists served as raffle tickets, and the person whose card was selected won a prize. 238
Richardson Park held two Family-Focused Events: a luncheon for parents during the day and a bingo and movie night in the evening. 239 Approximately seventy-five parents attended the luncheon, and approximately 300 people attended the bingo and movie night. 240
The bingo games offered prizes valued at over $1,000. More importantly, each child who attended the event received a “no-uniform pass” for “each adult who voted.”
241
If a parent did not vote, then the child was not supposed to get a no-uniform
During both events, Richardson Park had parents circulating to “tell people to vote yes.” 243 Richardson Park used parents for this purpose because the principal did not believe that he or his staff could ask people to vote “yes.” 244 Teachers also circulated during the events. They told parents how important the vote was and “how little time it will take to make a difference for students.” 245
G. Referendum Day: The Community Witnesses’ Perspective
For a series of witnesses from the community, the Special Election did not go smoothly. Plaintiff Rebecca Young described her experience attempting to vote at North Star. She brought her parents with her so that they could vote as well. At the time of the Special Election, Rebecca Young was sixty-seven years old, her father James Young was ninety years old, and her mother Elizabeth Young was eighty-eight years old. Both of Rebecca’s parents have mobility issues. They initially tried to vote in the morning at approximately 10:00 a.m. As Rebecca explained at trial, “The parking lot was completely packed, jammed, congested. There was no plaee to park where I could reasonably expect my parents to walk into the—the polls.” 246 They tried again around 3:00 p.m. and found the same situation. 247 Because of the lack of parking, Rebecca and her parents were unable to vote. They had never encountered that problem before. 248
Mary O’Neill, a non-party witness, testified about her experience attempting to vote at Marbrook. She attempted to vote twice, first at approximately 10:30 or 11:00 a.m., and a second time around 3:30 or 3:45 p.m. 249 Each time, O’Neill found a packed parking lot and no spaces. 250 O’Neill suffers from fibromyalgia and lower back pain, so when she could not find a convenient space, she “gave up” and “[w]ent home.” 251 She called the Department of Elections the next day to complain, and she also contacted her state representative. She felt she had “every right to vote” but was prevented because Red Clay had “ ‘events’ going on at the school.” 252
State Representative Deborah Hudson testified as a fact witness in addition to serving as one of the plaintiffs’ experts. She also testified about voting at Mar-brook. She arrived at Marbrook between 5:30 and 6:30 p.m. and found that the parking lot was full. She circled two or
David Pickering, a non-party witness, testified about his efforts to vote. He left work around 5:00 p.m, and was planning to pick up his parents and take them to vote at H.B. duPont. When he drove by the school on his way to get them, he saw that the parking lot was full of cars. He told his parents that “the polls were very busy,” and they decided at that point not to try to vote. 257 After that, Pickering drove to Skyline. When he got there, he saw another full parking lot. He called a friend who was voting inside at the time. His friend told him that “the voting line wasn’t bad,” but that “[t]here w[ere] a lot of people in there for some kind of event.” 258 Pickering then drove to Marbrook where the “[p]arking lot was packed.” 259 He also saw buses in the circle driveway. He eventually parked in the fire lane. When he got inside, there was virtually nobody voting; everyone was there for an event. After voting, Pickering called the Department of Elections to complain and emailed State Senator Karen Peterson. He “felt it wasn’t right to have the parking lot so full of cars when [he] was trying to get in there to vote.” 260
Mary Ellen Fitzpatrick, a non-party witness, testified about her experience voting at Linden Hill. She drove to the school around 1:30 p.m. She found a “packed” parking lot, cars parked illegally in the circle in front of the school, and cars lining both sides of the street leading to the school. On a second trip through the lot, she decided to park at the end of a line of spaces in the circle, even though it was not a legal space. 261 No other spaces were available. When she got inside, the multipurpose room was full of people, and she initially thought it would take a long time to vote. Then she saw a separate sign saying “vote here,” where there were approximately four people in line. She voted and left. She had never encountered similar problems with parking when trying to vote. 262
Russell Schnell, a non-party witness, testified about his experience voting at McKean. He arrived at approximately 5:30 p.m. He discovered that the parking lot was “completely full” and that one of the sidewalks was under construction. After spending approximately five minutes circling the lot several times, he parked beside a construction barricade in an area
Sean Boyle, a non-party witness, testified about his experience voting at Brandy-wine Springs. He arrived around 7:00 p.m. The parking lot was full, and he drove around for five to ten minutes before finding a spot. Other cars were also circling the lot. When Boyle entered the school, he saw lines of people waiting to enter a choral production. To the right, he saw the voting area, where there were perhaps three people waiting to vote. A few days later, he saw an article in the News Journal about problems with voting, so he reached out to Senator Peterson and described his experience. 265
Several Red Clay witnesses who were involved with the Special Election sought to rebut the testimony from the community witnesses. Johnson testified that she •visited a series of schools on the day of the Special Election and did not see any parking problems, including at Cab Calloway around noon, Marbrook around 1:30 p.m., H.B. duPont around 2:00 p.m., Brandywine Springs from 3:00 to 4:30 p.m., Linden Hill from 5:30 to 6:30 p.m., and North Star around 6:30 p.m. 266 Only two schools held Family-Focused Events during those times, and those events only drew twenty-three and twenty-four attendees. 267 Johnson’s testimony did not rebut the community witnesses’ accounts. Floore testified that she voted at North Star around 10:00 a.m. and did not see any parking problems. 268 The plaintiffs testified that the parking lot was full at the time. The accounts can be reconciled if the witnesses were slightly off about the time. The Youngs may have been at North Star somewhat later in the morning. North Star held six Family-Focused Events during the day, but Red Clay could not say when any of them took place. 269 If some took place after Floore left when the Youngs tried to vote, then both witness accounts can be credited.
Ammann was in charge of ensuring that there was adequate parking at the polling places, and he understood that Red Clay needed to ensure access for voters. 270 He recognized that with the large turnout Red Clay hoped to generate, there could be parking problems at some locations. To avoid congestion at Forest Oak and Linden Hill, he had teachers park in nearby commercial lots, 271 For similar reasons, at Richardson Park, teachers and staff were not permitted to park in the front and side lots. 272
Ammann also coordinated with the Department of Elections to meet their parking requirements. Their regulations contemplated using five “Voter Only” parking
The process fell short in the implementation. Ammann admitted that he did not instruct the principals to monitor the parking situation, which led to the principal at Marbrook not taking any action to address the buses that were parked in her school’s circle driveway for a period of time on election day. 275 Ammann testified that he instructed the custodial staff at each school to monitor the parking lots to ensure that the spots designated for voters remained available, but there is no contemporaneous evidence that he gave that instruction, even though Ammann used email as a primary means of communication. 276 Am-mann did not follow up on this instruction during the Special Election, and no one explained how custodians would have distinguished a voter’s car from an event attendee’s, particularly when those categories overlapped. Superintendent Daugherty testified that Red Clay did not monitor who was using the parking spaces. 277
H. Complaints About The Election
Very few issues were reported to the Department of Elections on the day of the Special Election itself. 278 On the day after the Special Election, the Department of Elections was “slammed” with complaints. 279 Voters also contacted their state legislators, including Senator Peterson and Representative Hudson. 280
On March 3, 2015, the Board of Elections for New Castle County met to consider whether to certify the results of the Special Election. 281 The Department of Elections reported on the complaints it had received. The Board of Elections determined that it did not have authority to investigate the complaints or take them into account when certifying the election. 282 It referred isolated issues to the Attorney General for investigation. The Attorney General only reviewed the events for criminal violations and determined not to pursue any criminal charges.
I. The Certified Results
On March 10, 2015, the Board of Elections certified the results of the Special
As previously noted, Red Clay estimated that the Family-Focused Events drew at least 6,383 people to the polls. That figure uses the low end of Red Clay’s estimates for three events and does not include any attendees for twenty-two events where Red Clay listed the attendance as “Unknown.” 285 Using the high end of Red Clay’s estimates, the attendance figure rises to 6,593 people. The average attendance figure for the fifty-three events for which Red Clay provided estimates was 120 people. Using that number for the twenty-two events where Red Clay listed the attendance as “Unknown” adds another 2,640 attendees. A more realistic estimate for the Family-Focused Events is that they brought between 9,023 and 9,233 people to the polling places. The mid-point of that range is 9,128 attendees.
Red Clay’s low-end attendance figure of 6,383 means that the number of people who attended the Family-Focused Events was approximately equal to the 6,395 votes that Red Clay received in favor of the tax increase. Using the low-end attendance figure, the winning margin of 880 votes represented approximately 14% of the people who attended the Family-Focused Events.
The more realistic attendance figure of 9,128 means that the number of people who attended the Family-Focused Events exceeded the 6,395 votes that Red Clay received in favor of the tax increase. Using the high-end attendance figure, the winning margin of 880 votes represented approximately 10% of the people who attended the Family-Focused Events.
J. Procedural History
On March 27, 2015, the plaintiffs filed their initial complaint and sought an expedited hearing on an application for a preliminary injunction that would block the tax increase from taking effect. I denied the motion to expedite, holding that even if the tax increase went into effect, a post-trial remedy could be crafted if the plaintiffs prevailed.
On April 13, 2015, the plaintiffs filed an amended complaint. Red Clay moved to dismiss the amended complaint for failing to state a claim on which relief could be granted. After briefing and oral argument, the matter was submitted for decision on July 10.
On October, 7, 2015, I issued the Dismissal Ruling, which held that the plaintiffs had stated a claim on which relief could be granted. The matter proceeded to trial. After post-trial briefing, post-trial argument was held on February 23, 2017.
K. The Present Status Of The Tax Increase
On July 1, 2015, Red Clay began receiving incremental revenue from the tax increase. During the 2015-16 tax year, Red Clay received approximately $10.5 million in additional tax revenue, reflecting the initial $0.20 increase. During the 2015-16 tax year, Red Clay received approximately $15.8 million in additional tax revenue, re-
II. LEGAL ANALYSIS
The Dismissal Ruling evaluated the plaintiffs’ complaint. In doing so, it set out a legal framework for analyzing the legal issues presented by the case. As often happens, the evidence presented at trial differed in some respects from the less-informed allegations of the complaint. At the pleading stage, the plaintiffs primarily challenged the Family-Focused Events as a means of enhancing turnout by parents of Red Clay students while suppressing turnout by elderly and disabled residents. They alleged that Red Clay engaged in excessive advocacy and targeted campaign speech, thereby violating the principles established in Brennan v. Black. 287 They were not aware of the full scope of Red Clay’s targeted campaign speech.
In light of the Dismissal Ruling and the evidence presented at trial, the plaintiffs no longer meaningfully challenge Red Clay’s broadly directed campaign speech. They challenge the Family-Focused Events and Red Clay’s targeted campaign speech.
A. The Primacy Of The Plaintiffs’ State Law Claim
The plaintiffs assert that Red Clay’s electoral interventions violated both federal and state law. As their federal theory, they contend .that Red Clay violated the Due Process and Equal Protection Clauses of the Fourteenth Amendment of the United States Constitution. 288 As their state law theory, the plaintiffs contend that Red Clay violated the Elections Clause.
Red Clay has asked the court to consider the state constitutional claim first and only reach the federal constitutional claims if necessary. This approach comports with Delaware Supreme Court jurisprudence, which generally gives primacy to specific guarantees in the Delaware Constitution. 289 It also makes logical sense. The Dismissal Ruling concluded that “[t]he Elections Clause has independent content that is more protective of electoral rights than the federal regime.” 290 It is therefore possible that an electoral intervention could pass muster under the federal constitution and yet violate the more specific guarantee provided by the Delaware Constitution. 291
B. Distinguishing Among The Types Of Electoral Interventions
The plaintiffs challenge Red Clay’s electoral interventions as a whole, contending that they violated the Elections Clause when viewed in the aggregate. For analytical clarity, however, it is helpful to consider the Family-Focused Events separately from Red Clay’s other interventions, all of which involved varying degrees of government campaign speech.
Government involvement in elections creates difficult line-drawing problems.
A government that intervenes in elections to protect electors and prevent private parties from using force, coercion, bribery, or intimidation does not undermine the legitimacy of the election. That type of ■ government activity enhances the electoral process by making it possible for more electors to participate freely and express their views. Different and more difficult issues arise if a government uses its powers to encourage or facilitate voting by electors who might be thought to favor the government’s positions, or to discourage or interfere with voting by electors who might be thought to oppose the government’sviews. Along similar lines, a government that provides factual information to voters acts in an election-enhancing capacity. The potential for concern grows as the tenor, volume, and extent of the government’s advocacy increases. Whether listeners object may well depend on whether they agree with the substance of the government’s views. What one voter might call helpful information, another might label propaganda. 292
Recent allegations that a foreign state influenced a national election by altering the information available to voters has brought home the extent to which subtle interventions can affect an electoral outcome.
This decision distinguishes targeted incentives and disincentives for voting from government campaign speech. The latter term refers to “speech to the public (rather than to other government entities) that expresses the official view of a governmental branch or body, such as speech issued collectively in the form of a resolution or proclamation, or speech by an official empowered to speak for that governmental entity.” 293 Government campaign speech can take a variety of forms.
The least problematic type of government campaign speech is directed broadly to the electorate as a whole and openly identified as coming from a government source. Red Clay engaged in this type of campaign speech. Examples included:
• The two mailings of the Red, Clay Record.
• Postings on the district’s official website and official social media channels.
• Videos distributed through the district-sponsored cable television channel.
• Presentations by self-identified Red Clay representatives at public meetings and workshops that were advertised and open to the public.
• Signs in Red Clay schools or in the community asking for support.
• Statements by Red Clay representatives to the press.
Red Clay also engaged in broadly directed government campaign speech that did not openly identify its source. Instead, Red Clay took steps to mask this speech to look like it originated from parents. Examples included (i) the social media campaign that Nash ran using the Facebook account called “Red Clay Parents for Students” and the Twitter handle called “RedClay-Parents” and (ii) ghostwritten letters to the editor. These forms of campaign speech became problematic because Red Clay masked their source.
A more serious type of electoral intervention involves “targeted government campaign speech, which is directed to identifiable groups within the electorate.”
294
By communicating more vigorously with identifiable subsets of the electorate, the government can encourage voting by groups that are likely to favor its position, thereby increasing turnout among those groups.
295
This type of intervention involves the government making distinc
Red Clay engaged in extensive campaign speech that was targeted at identifiable groups. Most of it targeted parents of Red Clay students, whom Red Clay believed would support the tax increase. These efforts included:
• Superintendent Daugherty’s letter to Red Clay student households in January 2015.
• Presentations by Red Clay representatives at events that parents primarily attended, such as school concerts and athletic events.
• The flyers and newsletters that Red Clay personnel sent home with students.
• The “Referendum Pact Sheet” that staff members stuffed into student report cards.
• The reminder emails that principals sent to parents using their school-email distribution systems.
• The reminder messages that principals delivered to parents using the School Messenger auto-dialer system.
• Superintendent Daugherty’s referendum-day reminder message delivered to parents using the School Messenger auto-dialer system.
• The “VOTE” stickers that Red Clay school teachers put on elementary students.
• The teams that Red Clay organized to distribute election push cards and encourage parents to vote during morning drop-off and afternoon pick-up.
Red Clay also targeted other groups that Red Clay believed would support the tax increase. These efforts included:
• The December 2014 letter to Red Clay graduates.
• The February 2015 letter to parents of children under five years of age.
• The February 2015 email to local colleges with teacher education programs.
• The facilitation of voting by high school students who were old enough.
An even more serious type of targeted government campaign speech moves from identifiable groups to individual voters. This type of speech involves the government seeking to identify how particular individuals will vote and then taking steps to convert supportive individuals into actual votes. It therefore involves the government discriminating among individuals and attempting to affect the outcome by influencing their behavior.
The Dismissal Ruling did not discuss individualized government campaign speech because the plaintiffs did not know it had occurred. During discovery, the plaintiffs learned that Red Clay gave each school a specific number of “YES” voters to identify among its parents. When Red Clay representatives reached “YES” voters, they provided information about how to vote and added the voters to a list for follow-up. When Red Clay representatives reached “NO” voters, they did not provide information about how to vote. Just before the election, Red Clay contacted the ‘TES” voters to get them out to vote.
So far, each level of government intervention has only involved campaign speech. The focus of the speech has narrowed, starting with the electorate as a whole, then moving to identifiable groups, and then reaching individual voters, but the exclusive medium has been speech. A qualitatively different intervention targets an identified group with a concrete incen
Much of the legal scholarship and case law has involved disincentives for voting. Historical examples involved poll taxes, literacy tests, and other hurdles that were superficially neutral but operated as impediments to identifiable groups. 297 More recent efforts involve voter identification requirements, which appear neutral but may operate in practice as a disincentive for identifiable groups. 298
But a government also can provide an incentive to an identifiable group. This type of intervention transfers something of value to a subset of the electorate in return for the act of voting. Conceptually, it resembles a bribe. As the Dismissal Ruling recognized, some have argued that to increase turnout, governments should be able to provide a reward for voting to all voters.
299
Several states allow payments for voting, so long as the payment is not designed to induce a voter to favor a particular candidate or result.
300
No one appears
As described in the Statement of Facts, the seventy-five Family-Focused Events were intended to and operated as inducements for the families of Red Clay students to vote. Red Clay held Family-Focused Events at every school that 'was designated as a polling location. Their purpose was to draw parents of Red Clay students to the polls. The incentive was a tangible reward in the form of child-focused activities. Although the events were nominally open to everyone, Red Clay understood that adults without children would not have a desire to attend.
Red Clay’s decision to convey the rewards in the form of events did not change their status as a reward for voting. Consider the free food that was made available at twenty-four of the events, or the carnivals and family fun nights that various schools held.
Instead of hosting the dinner and carnivals themselves, the schools could have given families coupons to a local restaurant, arcade, or family fun park. Or in lieu of providing coupons, the schools could have handed out money and encouraged families to spend it at a local restaurant, arcade, or family fun park, if the schools had handed out coupons or money, then the exchange of something of value for the act of voting would have been readily apparent. By hosting the dinner and carnivals themselves, the schools simplified the exchange by providing the benefits directly. 301
I recognize that some may not immediately perceive the Family-Focused Events as a reward for voting. Or some may feel that because public schools need money, and because public • schools are indisputably a public good, the end justifies the means. A thought experiment involving a different issue may offer perspective:
• Imagine a state-wide referendum on an issue relating to gun rights, such as a proposal to allow universal concealed carry.
• Posit that the state Department of Elections designates gun ranges as polling places, which is permitted by law.
• Envision that the separate state agency that focuses on gun regulation engages in a state-wide, pro-referendum campaign that culminates in each gun range offering every adult of voting age free range time and a box of free ammunition on the day of the referendum.
As with the Family-Focused Events, the gun range events are facially neutral and open to everyone. Nevertheless, I would expect many would regard this type of intervention as a means of increasing turnout by voters who would favor-the referendum. The same is true for the Family-Focused Events. What matters for legal analysis is not whose political ox is gored, but the effect on the electoral process.
In practice, the Family-Focused Events did.more than just operate as an incentive to vote for parents of Red Clay students. They also functioned as a disincentive for voting by the elderly and disabled. The Family-Focused Events caused the school parking lots to be packed with cars. The
Because the Family-Focused Events provided an incentive for voting by parents of Red Clay students while creating a disincentive for voting by the elderly and disabled, this decision analyzes them separately from Red Clay’s government campaign speech. In ultimately deciding whether Red Clay’s conduct affected the election, this decision considers Red Clay’s interventions as a whole.
C. The Family-Focused Events
The Elections Clause provides that “[a]ll elections shall be free and equal.” 302 The plaintiffs proved that the Family-Focused Events violated the Elections Clause. By holding seventy-five events on the day of the Special Election, in the schools that served as polling places, Red Clay provided a targeted incentive for parents of Red Clay students to vote. At the same time, Red Clay created a disincentive for elderly and disabled residents to vote. The Family-Focused Events rendered the Special Election unfair and unequal.
1. The Family-Focused Events As A Targeted Incentive For Voting
The Family-Focused Events operated as targeted incentives for voting by parents of Red Clay students. By providing a reward for voting to the group most likely to support the referendum, Red Clay violated the Elections Clause.
a. The Relevant Content Of The Elections Clause
An election in which the government provides a particular group with targeted incentives to vote is neither free nor equal. This conclusion flows from multiple sources.
i. The Text Of The Elections Clause And Pertinent Judicial Interpretations
The Dismissal Ruling analyzed the text of the Elections Clause and Delaware decisions that have discussed voting rights. 303 The one Delaware decision to address the Elections Clause states that its purpose is “to ensure that the right of citizens to vote in an election is unfettered.” 304 Other Delaware decisions on voting rights call for interpreting election-related laws liberally to protect voters. 305 These decisions suggest that the Elections Clause should be interpreted broadly, but they do not provide more concrete guidance.
The Dismissal Ruling also examined decisions from other jurisdictions that have interpreted their comparable constitutional provisions.
306
These decisions observe that the operative question under the Elections Clause is whether the outcome represented “a full, fair, and free expression of the popular will upon the matter, whatever it
Having reviewed these authorities, the Dismissal Ruling sought more specific sources:
When imbuing terms like [“free” and “equal”] with content, I believe a judge should strive to be guided by more than the judge’s own subjective views about what they should mean. The judge instead should look to embodiments of those concepts that have been deeply and widely endorsed, such as indications from other provisions of the Delaware Constitution (including its overall structure), state statutes, and longstanding doctrines of common law. 310
For purposes of analyzing incentives to vote, the most pertinent sources are the history of the Elections Clause, a related provision in the Delaware Constitution that criminalizes bribery in elections, and Delaware statutes addressing similar electoral misconduct. These authorities point towards a longstanding Delaware public policy against voters receiving rewards for voting in elections.
If the meaning of a constitutional provision is unclear, a court may consider its legislative history. 311 The legislative history of the Elections Clause “is largely coterminous with the development of the Delaware Constitution.” 312 Delaware has had four constitutions, adopted respectively in 1776, 1792, 1831, and 1897. They are not separate and independent, but rather linked. 313 The Constitution of 1897 continues in force today.
“The antecedents of the Elections Clause can be seen in Delaware’s first constitution.” 314 “In May of 1776 the Continental Congress passed a resolution that advised the colonies to form new governments.” 315 “A widespread concern before the Declaration of Independence had been a desire for popular control over the process of governing.” 316 The Constitutional Convention that convened in August 1776 began by drafting a Declaration of Rights and Fundamental Rules of the Delaware State (the “Declaration of Rights”),, which the delegates adopted on September ll. 317 The Declaration of Rights emphasized the role of the people and the importance of elections. Section 1 stated that “all government of right originates from the people, is founded in compact only, and instituted solely for the good of the whole.” 318 Section 6 contained a predecessor to the Elections Clause, which stated that “the right in the people to participate in the Legislature, is the foundation of liberty and of all free government, and for this end all elections ought to be free and frequent.” 319 When the delegates adopted Delaware’s first constitution -on September 20, 1776, they incorporated the Declaration of Rights. 320 Article 30 stated: “No article of the declaration of rights and fundamental rules of this state, agreed to by this convention, ... ought ever to be violated on any pretense whatever.” 321
“After the ratification of the United States Constitution, states began the process of re-writing their own constitutions.” 322 Delaware’s Constitutional Convention took place in two sessions, one in 1791 and a second in 1792. 323 Most significantly for present purposes, the drafters of the Constitution of 1792 updated the Declaration of Rights. 324 The Elections Clause remained part of the new declaration. 325
The next significant development for the Elections Clause was the Constitution of
Despite their focus on electoral issues, the delegates did not make changes to the Elections Clause. The report from the committee charged with reviewing the Declaration of Rights stated:
This [Declaration of Rights] is regarded, astonishingly and with great unanimity, by the Members of the Convention, as almost the same document. Gentlemen of the Convention are so earnest and anxious that they may transmit this valuable relic of the former centuries to their children and grand-children, and they might point to themselves with pride, that they have left it simply intact, scarcely a dot from the i or a cross from the t being omitted. 330
Rather than changing the Declaration of Rights, they addressed elections elsewhere. 331
One key provision became Section 7 of Article V of the Constitution of 1897 (the “Anti-Bribery Clause”), which defined substantive election offenses and fixed the penalties for violations. It stated:
Every person who either in or out of the State shall receive or accept, or offer to receive or accept, or shall pay, transfer or deliver, or offer or promise to pay, transfer or deliver, or shall contribute, or offer or promise to contribute,. to another to be paid or used, any money or other valuable thing as a compensation, inducement or reward for the giving or withholding, or in any manner influencing the giving or withholding, a vote at any general, special, or municipal election in this State, or at any primaryelection, convention or meeting held for the purpose of nominating any candidate or candidates to be voted for at such general, special or municipal election ... shall be deemed guilty of a misdemean- or, and shall be fined not less than one hundred dollars nor more than five thousand dollars, or shall be imprisoned for a term not less than one month nor more than three years ... ; and shall further for a term of ten years next following said person’s sentence, be incapable of voting at any such general, special, municipal or primary election or convention or meeting .... 332
Under this clause, it became a constitutional offense to provide money or any other valuable thing as a means of influencing in any manner the giving or withholding of votes.
The breadth of the Anti-Bribery Clause reflected the “practices of early nineteenth-century politicians who roused their followers to partisan enthusiasm with plentiful and free liquid requirements.” 333
Since the voter had to be a taxpayer, the candidate who had money was tempted to help a poor but faithful supporter by paying his tax bill. He might go a bit further, by giving him a drink of liquor and perhaps two dollars. Sometimes a hat, a coat, or a pair of boots would do as a gift, or a dress for a man’s wife. 334
“Another path for corruption was the Voters’ Assistant Law of 1891, which was intended to provide a legitimate service for illiterate or otherwise handicapped voters by authorizing each political party to provide a voters’ assistant in a polling place who could help a voter who asked in marking his ballot.” 335
The voter who wanted to sell his vote would request assistance in marking his ballot. When he had properly marked and deposited his ballot, he would be given some token as a sort of receipt for his vote, along with instructions as to where to And the party treasurer, who would exchange an agreed sum for the token. In one case that became notorious because it was described in a court of law, the payoff token was a salted chestnut, handed at the polls to a voter who would then exchange it for his payoff—-usually five or ten dollars—at a nearby livery stable. 336
To address these practices, the Anti-Bribery Clause made it a constitutional offence to use “any money or other valuable thing” to “influenc[e]” voting or as a “compensation, inducement or reward” for voting. 337 A violation of the Anti-Bribery Clause does not require a “corrupt motive.” 338
Viewed as a whole, the evolution of the Delaware Constitution from 1776 until 1897 evidences consistent concern for the integrity of the electoral process, particularly in response to widespread nineteenth-century practices in which voters received items of value in return for votes; The legislative history indicates that that an election in which certain voters receive inducements for voting is not “free and equal.”
iii. Related Statutory Frameworks
The Delaware statutory frameworks that govern elections also provide guidance for applying the Elections Clause. Civil and criminal statutes that regulate elections reflect public policy determinations about what free and equal elections should look like. Criminal statutes in particular provide evidence of the floor for permissible electoral conduct. 341 In other areas of the law, courts have used criminal statutes to inform how the civil law should apply 342 and to flesh out constitutional parameters. 343
Delaware has several statutory frameworks for challenging particular types of elections.
344
For most elected of
Title 14 of the Delaware Code proscribes certain conduct in school elections. It includes the following prohibition:
No person who receives or accepts or offers to receive or accept, or pays, transfers or delivers, or offers or promises to pay, transfer or deliver, or contributes or offers or promises to contribute to another to be paid or used, any money or other valuable thing as a compensation, inducement or reward for giving or withholding or in any manner influencing the giving or withholding a vote at any public school election, shall vote at such election ... , 347
Based on this provision, if a participant in a school election has engaged in a widespread practice of providing “any money or other valuable thing” as an inducement for voting, then the election has not been “free and equal” under the Elections Clause.
As with the evolution of the Delaware Constitution, the statutory schemes governing elections indicate that the Elections Clause prohibits inducements to vote. An election in which certain voters receive money or other valuable things as inducements for voting is not “free and equal.”
b. Application To The Trial Record
The Family-Focused Events provided parents of Red Clay students with inducements to go to the polls and vote in the Special Election. The inducements did not appeal to other parts of the electorate. As such, the Family-Focused Events functioned as targeted rewards for voting and violated the Elections Clause.
From the outset, the Family-Focused Events were a central part of Red Clay’s campaign strategy. Superintendent Daugherty required that all Red Clay principals attend the campaign kick-off meeting on November 6, 2014,
348
when the principals were told that they “needed to have an event” on the day of the Special Election.
349
They also were told that each school would have a parent leader whose responsibilities included “[w]orking with Principals for Referendum Day
Every school that was a polling place held at least one—and typically two or more—Family-Focused Events. 354 The one school that was not designated as a polling place did not hold any family-oriented events on the day of the referendum. 355 The principal of that school explained in his School Referendum Plan, “Since we are not a polling site, I will support [Stanton] for any activities.” 356
In total, the Red Clay schools held seventy-five Family-Focused Events on the day of the referendum. 357 These events were intended to bring parents into the schools to vote. 358 They were not designed to appeal to the community in general. Baltz held a “Pajama Jammie Jam”—a pajama dance party with pizza and raffles. 359 Other evening events similarly targeted students and their families, such as “Bedtime Stories,” a “Winter Blues Beach Bingo,” a “Winter Carnival,” and “Family Fun Night.” 360
Some Family-Focused Events were nominally open to the public, but Red Clay did not expect them to attract anyone other than students and their families. 361 Of the seventy-five Family-Focused Events, only three identified the “community” or the “public” as part of them event’s target audience. 362 Some events, like the Pajama Jammie Jam, were closed to the public due to security concerns. 363
Although all of the Family-Focused Events functioned as rewards for parents to visit the polls, some schools offered more tangible rewards. One example was the “no-uniform” passes at Richardson
Baltz took a similar approach. When a family entered the school, they received a checklist with boxes for “I Ate, I Voted, I Danced.” Below the boxes were lines for the “Student Name,” the “Parent Name,” and a phone number. 369 One of the purposes of the card was to give each family a list of things to do. 370 Teachers and staff had stamps to check off items on the card. At the end of the night, the completed checklists doubled as raffle tickets. 371 Although the Baltz principal denied that families had to check off all three boxes to enter the raffle, a community witness testified that adults near the voting area were checking off the boxes, and other adults were , asking the children whether their parents voted before they entered the line for free pizza. 372
The trial record established that the Family-Focused Events operated as a targeted reward that induced parents of Red Clay students to vote. As such, they violated the Elections Clause.
2. The Family-Focused Events As Impediments To Voting
The Family-Focused Events also operated as impediments to voting by the elderly and disabled. Through this mechanism, they violated the Elections Clause.
a. The Relevant Content Of The Elections Clause
The Elections Clause prohibits widespread impediments to voting. An election in which a government inhibits voting by particular groups is neither fair nor equal. That is particularly true when the group is part of a protected class, like the elderly and disabled.
373
The conclusion that the Elections Clause prohibits wide
i. Traditional Legal Authorities
Both case law and analogous statutory frameworks indicate that a government violates the Elections Clause when it inhibits voting by particular groups. The first source is the Abbott decision, which held that the purpose of the Elections Clause is “to ensure that the right of citizens to vote in an election is unfettered.” 374 The court dismissed the claim in that ease because the candidate had not alleged that voters’ “access to the polls was disturbed” 375 The Abbott decision indicates that sufficiently serious and widespread impediments to accessing the polls could result in an election that was not “free and equal.”
Another source of authority is Section 1087 of Title 14, which prohibits “[electioneering as described in § 4942 of Title 15 ... in any public school election.” 376 Section 4942(a) of Title 15 states:
No election officer, challenger or any other person within the polling place or within 50 feet of the entrance to the building in which the voting room is located shall electioneer during the conduct of the election. No political headquarters or gathering shall be permitted within that building during the conduct of the election. 377
Under the statute, electioneering includes but is not limited to
political discussion of issues ... or partisan topics, the wearing of any button, banner or other object referring to issues ... or partisan topics, the display, distribution or other handling of literature or any writing or drawing referring to issues ... or partisan topics, the deliberate projection of sound referring to issues ... or partisan topics from loudspeakers or otherwise into the polling place or the area within 50 feet of the entrance to the building in which the voting room is located. 378
Based on this provision, when widespread electioneering interferes with voters’ ability to access the polls, the election has not been “free and equal” for purposes of the Elections Clause. 379
ii. Evidence of Custom and Practice
An equally important source of authority regarding impediments to voting is Delaware custom and practice.
380
Bar
To govern the use of Red Clay schools as polling places, the Department of Elections and Red Clay entered into a “standard polling place contract” for each of the schools where voting took place. 382 Lippin-cott explained that under the contracts, schools are permitted to have events during the referendum, and the Department of Elections understands that “generally events will be held on the day of [a] referendum.” 383 This makes sense, because a school referendum does not take place on a weekend or holiday. School is in session, and school activities continue.
Each polling place contract provides, however, that any activities conducted in the building designated as a polling place must not “interfere with the voting process.” 384 Each contract likewise provides that the activities cannot “hinder[ ] access to the voting area and/or building.” 385 Lip-pincott confirmed that a school cannot “hold an activity that interferes with the voting process.” 386 She similarly confirmed that the “activities within the building also cannot hinder access to the voting ai-ea and/or the building.” 387 During the lead-up to the Special Election, Lippincott warned Ammann against conflicts between activities at the schools and the voting process. 388
The standard polling place agreements and the Department of Elections’ custom and practice make clear that the limitations on obstructing voter access and electioneering apply to any entrance to the building where the voting room is located
and
within the building that serves as the polling place. Each of the polling place agreements designated the school building as the polling place for purposes of the Special Election.
389
Lippincott agreed that
Each of the polling place agreements further specified that any activities held in the buildings could not involve “[gjather-ings advocating or opposing any proposal or candidate on the ballot.” 393 Lippincott agreed that the ban on electioneering' is “not just limited to the area outside the building.” 394 Lippincott further agreed that because the tax increase was a proposal on the ballot for the Special Election, an event advocating in favor of the proposal should not have been held in a school that was designated as a polling place. 395
Lippincott also explained that the need to ensure access to the polls extends to parking. The Department of Elections expects that the spaces designated for voters will be reserved for voters and not used by individuals attending other activities at the polling place. 396 When communicating with Ammann about the spots, Lippincott instructed Ammann to monitor the spaces “so that event attendees will not occupy those spaces.” 397
Lippincott’s testimony and the content of the polling place agreements indicate that an election is not “free and equal” when a government holds gatherings inside the buildings designated as polling places, on the day of the election, that promote the government’s position on an issue being considered by the voters. Gatherings of this type interfere with the ability of electors to vote by turning the polling places into partisan outposts. The interference becomes more pronounced when residents are subjected to electioneering activities from within the polling places. The same sources indicate that an election is not “free and equal” when widespread activities inside the polling places have the practical effect of impeding physical access to the polls.
b. The Family-Focused Events Interfered With Voter Access.
The plaintiffs proved at trial that the Family-Focused Events interfered with voter access to a degree that violated the Elections Clause. The Family-Focused Events were partisan gatherings held in polling places on the day of the election, they resulted in electioneering activity inside the polling place's, and they produced parking problems that hampered the ability of the elderly and disabled to access the polls.
The Family-Focused Events involved electioneering activity inside the polling places and within fifty feet of the entrances to the polling places. One clear example was the “Support the Baltz Bear” sign that the Baltz principal placed behind a table at the main entrance to the school, despite knowing that voters often used that entrance. 398 Another example took place at Richardson Park, where the principal recruited parents to tell other parents to vote “YES” and encourage them to bring other “positive voters” to the polls. 399 He also instructed his teachers to “mingle” with parents “to make sure they voted” and to “say how passing the referendum will help children” because “[hjaving someone ask if they voted yet and telling the importance of the vote and how little time it will take to make a difference for students is important.” 400 Red Clay did not present any evidence suggesting that these were the actions of two rogue principals. Ammann himself approved the placement of the Baltz sign using an overly narrow interpretation in which electioneering only was prohibited within fifty feet of an entrance specifically designated for use by voters. 401 Recruiting parents to promote the tax increase was part of the Steering Committee’s plan to drive pro-referendum communications through parent volunteers. 402 From a big picture standpoint, the whole purpose of holding seventy-five Family-Focused Events was to support Red Clay’s preferred outcome.
The Family-Focused Events also interfered with the voting process by hindering the ability of elderly and disabled residents to access the polls. Thousands of students and their family members attended the Family-Focused Events, with many of the evening events drawing hundreds of people. 403 The Family-Focused Events resulted in packed parking lots that prevented elderly and disabled residents from finding accessible parking.
The plaintiffs presented unrebutted testimony about parking congestion at seven different schools.
404
They also presented
Red Clay did not fulfill its obligation to monitor the parking spaces designated for voters. Superintendent Daugherty testified that Red Clay did not monitor who was using the parking spaces. 409 Ammann admitted that he did not instruct the principals to monitor the parking situation. 410 The plaintiffs proved that parking problems prevented some elderly and disabled residents from voting. 411
An election is not “free and equal” when one side holds partisan events in the polling places on election day, when the events subject voters to electioneering within the polling places themselves, and when the events interfere with the ability of elderly and disabled residents to access the polls. Consequently, regardless of whether or not the Family-Focused Events operated as impermissible rewards for voting, the Family-Focused Events violated the Elections Clause.
3. The Family-Focused Events As A Delaware Tradition
In a final effort to justify the Family-Focused Events, Red Clay called its former superintendent, Robert Andrzejewski, as an expert witness. Andrzejewski currently serves as superintendent of the Christina School District and has presided over six referendums. He opined that it is “standard practice for referendum campaigns across the State of Delaware [to] include get-out-the-vote activities and voting by eligible students.” 412
As one example, Andrzejewski cited an event held in the Smyrna School District called “I Love the Smyrna School District Day.” He explained that on that day,
the entire community is invited to a celebration of Smyrna schools, at the same time of which the referendum ballots are cast. The voting, the polls are open beyond the activity. However, that’s a significant activity that that district uses to generate excitement around their schools, and hopefully the people come out to support their community. 413
On cross-examination, however, Andrze-jewski conceded that the Smyrna day event was
not
held at a school that served
As his second example, Andrzejewski cited an event held in the Caesar Rodney School District called “Rider Pride Day.”
It was on homecoming day, and it was reported that thousands of people came out to celebrate the school and homecoming and everything the same day that the polls were open for a referendum vote. 415
Once again, on cross-examination, Andrze-jewski conceded that the Rider Pride Day event was not held at a school that served as a polling place. 416 It therefore did not provide an inducement for families to come to a polling place and vote, nor did it create an impediment to voting.
Red Clay did not provide any evidence of other school districts that have held widespread events on the day of a special election, in the schools that served as polling places, that were designed to draw parents and families of students to the polls. The plaintiffs submitted evidence that the Brandywine School District held a referendum after the Special Election and did not hold Family-Focused Events. 417
Andrzejewski testified persuasively that other Delaware school districts hold events to support their referendums. His testimony did not establish that other Delaware school districts run top-down campaigns that involve holding widespread events that will appeal to parents in the schools that serve as polling places on the day of the referendum and which create impediments for the elderly and disabled,
This decision concludes that Red Clay violated the Elections Clause by holding the seventy-five Family-Focused Events on the day of the Special Election in the schools that served as polling places. The analysis in this decision does not affect the ability of a school district to hold pro-referendum events on the day of the election in locations that are not polling places. It also does not affect the ability of a school district to hold pro-referendum events in locations that are polling places on days other than election day.
D. Red Clay’s Government Campaign Speech
Red Clay’s other electoral interventions all involve government campaign speech. Brennan remains the controlling Delaware Supreme Court precedent on government campaign speech during a school referendum. In that decision, the Delaware Supreme Court permitted a school district to engage in limited advocacy in favor of a referendum, but held that the “expenditure of public funds in support of one side” must remain “within reasonable limits.” 418 The Delaware Supreme Court also held that the school district’s speech should not venture “beyond [a] factual presentation” to the point of “overstatement and emotional appeals.” 419 The Dismissal Ruling argued for a more relaxed application of the principle for purposes of broadly directed campaign speech that is factually accurate and which openly identifies its source.
Red Clay’s government campaign speech exceeded these limitations, whether
1. The Brennan Decision
The Brennan case concerned steps that the Mount Pleasant School District took to promote a school bond referendum. Voters who opposed the tax increase challenged the district’s activities.
In describing the district’s conduct, the Delaware Supreme Court first recounted examples of broadly directed campaign speech:
During the year 1953 and particularly in September and early October there were held various meetings of Parent-Teacher Associations of certain of the public schools, including the schools of the Mount Pleasant District. At one or more of these meetings there were discussions of the [referendum], by certain school officials. Publicity was given prior to these meetings by statements in the public press, and by circulars ... , 420
The high court characterized these activities as “entirely appropriate and desirable.” 421
The Delaware Supreme Court next described what appears to have been instances of targeted campaign speech:
In addition, a letter ... addressed to -.“Parents and Patrons” on the letterhead of the Mount Pleasant School District, was prepared and sent out by the Superintendent of Schools. This letter is almost wholly factual in its nature .... It does contain one or two statements indicating that the proposed building program should in the judgment of the Superintendent of Schools, be supported by the District. In addition a memorandum or circular urging ... approval .. .was prepared and circulated, and also a circular containing sketches of children and showing the need for. imme- • diate action to provide more class rooms, equipment, etc., couched in such language as to appeal to the natural desire of parents for good education for their children, 422
The Delaware Supreme Court cautioned against the level of rhetoric in these communications:
It does seem to us that some of the publicity urging support of the [referendum], such as the appeals “to get out the vote”, [sic] and the statement that the voters’ approval of the program is “a must” if they are to continue to have a good school system, went somewhat beyond the factual presentation which would have been more decorous in an official statement of the case. 423
Although it is not fully clear from the opinion, the Delaware Supreme Court appears to have been concerned about both the extent of the district’s advocacy and its appeal to parents as an identifiable group.
In ruling on the propriety of these communications, the Delaware Supreme Court largely followed decisions from other juris
The New Jersey Supreme Court held that the school board’s advocacy was improper, characterizing it as unfair to citizens with different views:
[T]he board made use of public funds to advocate one side only of the controversial question without affording the dissenters the opportunity by means of that financed medium to present their side, and thus imperiled the propriety of the entire expenditure. The public funds entrusted to the board belong equally to the proponents and opponents of the proposition, and the use of the funds to finance not the presentation of facts merely but also arguments to persuade the voters that only one side has merit, gives the dissenters just cause for complaint. The expenditure is then not within the implied power and is not lawful in the absence of express authority from the Legislature. ...
... We are persuaded, however, that simple fairness and justice to the rights of dissenters require that the use by public bodies of public funds for advocacy be restrained within those limits in the absence of a legislative grant in express terms of the broader power. 426
Despite rejecting the school board’s ability to engage in advocacy, the New Jersey Supreme Court did not insist that the government remain silent. The court recognized that voters need information, that a government body is well positioned to provide it, and that “it is not only the right but perhaps the duty of the body to endeavor to secure the assent of the voters.”
427
The court suggested that a government agency could serve this need by spending money to inform voters. For example, it could make “reasonable expenditures” to purchase radio advertisements
In Brennan, the Delaware Supreme Court held that “[a] Board of Education charged with the duty of managing the public schools in its district, maintaining them in good condition, and providing for necessary improvements and expansion of the school system, is not prevented from using reasonable publicity to bring the issues before the voters.” 430 The school district thus could engage in factual, broadly directed campaign speech. Relying on Citizens, however, the Delaware Supreme Court indicated that the district’s more partisan campaign speech went too far:
The expenditure of public funds in support of one side of the matter should be kept within reasonable limits. The temptation to any public official to overemphasize the importance and the urgency of a project which he sincerely believes is necessary is understandable; but overstatement and emotional appeals in circulars and other similar matter prepared and distributed at public expense are to be avoided. 431
The Delaware Supreme Court viewed the more targeted communications in Brennan as a form of excessive advocacy.
On the facts of Brennan, however, the Delaware Supreme Court declined to set aside the election. In reaching this outcome, the Brennan opinion stressed the involvement of a competing campaign that actively opposed the district’s efforts:
At the same time that the Board was circularizing the voters an organization of taxpayers opposed to the referendum was likewise conducting a campaign and was also circularizing the voters. It is a fair inference that upon the whole the issue was fairly presented and debated. 432
The Delaware Supreme Court concluded that there was “no showing whatever that
2. The Dismissal Ruling’s Proposed Update Of Brennan
The Dismissal Ruling suggested that the Delaware Supreme Court as currently constituted could be inclined to revisit Brennan and relax the restrictions on advocacy articulated in that case. My reasoning boiled down to the societal developments that have taken place during the intervening sixty-four years:
I suspect that in today’s news-and-advertisement-saturated age, the Delaware Supreme Court would expand the [limitations set out in Brennan]. The high court could well regard contemporary voters as more media savvy and less trusting of government than denizens of a seemingly simpler era culturally stereotyped by Leave It To Beaver and Father Knows Best, The electorate of sixty years ago might be seen as imbued with a post-World War II confidence in state institutions and held together by a nascent Cold War fear of communism which, along with other cultural factors, generated a greater respect for institutional authority and hence a greater obligation on the part of institutional actors not to abuse voters’ trust. The initial round of shocks to that outlook included the countercultural awakening of the 1960s and Watergate-era revelations about the misuse and abuse of government power. Each ensuing decade brought shocks and scandals of its own. A more worldly and skeptical twenty-first century electorate could well be viewed as less susceptible to being misled by officials deploying urgent language and making emotional appeals.
I also suspect that the Delaware Supreme Court would be concerned about whether litigants could mount challenges to government campaign speech too readily by arguing about largely subjective factors like word choice and tone. It seems to me that if presented with the issue, the high court would expand the degree of deference given to a school district in crafting its speech. A more flexible inquiry would require at a minimum that government statements be both accurate (in the sense of factually supported) and truthful (in the sense that the speaker subjectively believed them). Facts and circumstances like tone and timing would continue to play a role, but more important factors would include (i) whether the communication identified itself transparently as coming from a government source, so that the recipient could take into account the speaker’s goals and interests, (ii) the degree to which recipients could avoid the message or access other points of view, and (iii) the vulnerability of the audience, such as whether it comprised children or youth. A government speaker still might go too far, but it would require more extreme communications. 434
The Dismissal Ruling nevertheless followed Brennan for purposes of analyzing Red Clay’s motion to dismiss. 435
3. Too Much Partisan Advocacy
The plaintiffs did not continue after the pleading stage to object to the tone of Red Clay’s campaign speech. They focused on challenging the targeted nature of Red Clay’s speech. In essence, they contended
The Brennan decision recognized that a government can violate the Elections Clause by engaging too vigorously in partisan advocacy. The question of “how much” is invariably fact-specific. As Brennan demonstrates, it can also depend on the extent of an organized opposition. When an organized opposition engages in partisan advocacy, the government has greater freedom to respond with partisan advocacy of its own.
The plaintiffs proved at trial that Red Clay violated the Elections Clause because of the profound imbalance between Red Clay’s intense engagement with targeted groups and its relatively minimal efforts to engage with the electorate as a whole. Red Clay’s effort to avoid engaging with other identifiable groups, such as the elderly, accentuated the imbalance. This is a fact-specific holding.
Red Clay launched its campaign on November 6, 2014, when the core team held its initial meeting with the members of the Steering Committee and the Red Clay principals. 436 The campaign stressed focusing on favorable groups while avoiding other voters. 437 One of the speakers gave an example of a senior citizen on a fixed income as a “NO” voter with whom there was “no point” in engaging. 438 The Steering Committee co-chair wrote to others on the core team that she understood the campaign would “not ... reach out to [retired] folks as they could bring out the no vote.” 439
Red Clay spent November, December, and January priming its favored groups with communications about the referendum. During this period, each school engaged in a telephone campaign to locate its goal number of parents who would vote “YES.” The script for the calls was explicitly pro-referendum and instructed callers to ask parents to vote for the tax increase. 440 The callers only gave polling information to “YES” voters. 441 Red Clay followed up with the “YES” voters “to remind the ‘yes’ voters to vote,” but did “not call back folks that said they are voting ‘no.’ ” 442
Red Clay also targeted parents of Red Clay students with other communications, such as letters, flyers, emails, and materials stuffed inside student report cards. Promotional efforts involved attaching “VOTE” stickers to elementary school children and having district employees and parents pass out “push cards” at the drop-off and pickup lines on the day of the Special Election.
443
Red Clay schools also
Red Clay focused on parents because those voters were most likely to support a tax increase. 445 When Red Clay voluntarily looked beyond parents, it focused on other supportive groups, such as parents of future Red Clay students, Red Clay graduates, and college educators who worked with student teachers. 446
As part of its one-sided campaign, Red Clay communicated in ways that masked the official origins of its speech. Nash created a Facebook account called “Red Clay Parents for Students” and a Twitter handle called “RedClayParents.” 447 She ghostwrote much of the content with no attribution to herself or the district. 448 She also offered to ghostwrite letters to the editor. 449 The lack of attribution was intentional: Nash felt “it was more real and would resonate more [with] voters if it came from parents . 450 Without accurate disclosure of source and authorship, recipients could not fairly evaluate the interests of the speaker or the content of the communication.
Compared to the effort that Red Clay made to reach groups that would favor the tax increase, Red Clay did relatively little to reach out to the electorate as a whole. That does not mean Red Clay did nothing. In August 2014, when the School Board first considered holding the Special Election, it held a workshop that was open to the public. 451 In September, a community advisory board discussed the potential referendum during a meeting to that was open to the public, the School Board held a separate meeting to receive input from members of the community, and the School Board again discussed the matter during a portion of its meeting that was open to the public. 452 In October, when the School Board formally resolved to hold the Special Election, it did so during a meeting that was open to the public. 453 But these meetings did little to publicize the Special Election, and they were qualitatively and quantitatively different than the affirmative outreach to favorable groups that Red Clay began the following month.
After launching its campaign in November 2014, Red Clay continued to do relatively little to inform the electorate as a whole. In December, Red Clay sent an edition of the
Red Clay Record
to all of the residents and businesses in the district.
454
As a result, it was not until February 2015 that wider segments of the community became meaningfully aware of the Special Election. In February, after the Department of Elections asked whether Red Clay intended to send out any district-wide communications, Red Clay circulated another edition of the Red Clay Record. 462 Unlike the December edition, the February edition generated a response. 463 Red Clay also published the statutorily required notices in the News Journal once a week for the four weeks before the Special Election. 464 And the School Board held another meeting that was open to the public at which it discussed the referendum. 465 These communications remained qualitatively and quantitatively abbreviated compared to Red Clay’s engagement with favorable groups.
Under
Brennan,
Red Clay violated the Elections Clause by conducting a fully partisan, one-sided campaign. If Red Clay had faced active opposition that was engaging
Although the outcome in this case seems clear under Brennan, I do not believe that the Elections Clause should require that a school district treat all portions of the electorate identically during a referendum. Envision an alternative • scenario in which Red Clay had openly identified the source of all of its government campaign speech, taking that issue off the table. If Red Clay had not conducted its telephone campaign to identify individual “YES” voters, and as long as Red Clay sent out a communication like the December edition of the Red Clay Record to all district residents early in the process, then I personally would not view Red Clay’s government campaign speech as constitutionally problematic, That view arguably conflicts with a strict reading of Brennan. For purposes of this decision, the issue is irrelevant, because the combination of the Family-Focused Events and Red Clay’s fully partisan campaign prevented the Special Election from being “free and equal.”
III. THE REMEDIAL CALCULUS
The plaintiffs have shown that Red Clay violated the Elections Clause. The next issue is the appropriate remedy. One remedy the plaintiffs seek is a permanent injunction prohibiting Red Clay from engaging in similar electoral interventions in the future. Other potential remedies hinge on whether Red Clay’s interventions were sufficiently serious to warrant declaring the Special Election invalid. If so, then a range of potential remedies becomes available. Options include an order requiring the holding of a new special election, a permanent injunction against Red Clay continuing to collect the increased taxes that were approved in the Special Election, a requirement that Red Clay refund the moneys it collected in the incorrect belief that the Special Election was valid, or various combinations of relief.
A. An Injunction Against Further Unconstitutional Conduct
The plaintiffs seek a permanent injunction barring Red Clay from repeating in any future elections the actions that this court has found unconstitutional. A permanent injunction against future conduct is not warranted simply because a court has found past conduct illegal, “[T]he court must presume that [parties] will respect any decision rendered by any competent court of this State.”
467
As Chief Justice Strine explained while serving as a
Courts will only enjoin future wrongful conduct where the facts “show[ ] reason to apprehend a threat of future violation of judicially-determined rights and duties.” 469 The plaintiffs assert that Red Clay will repeat the conduct that led to this case whenever it needs to conduct another referendum. I do not share the plaintiffs’ concern. I believe that Red Clay will abide by a final decision rendered by the judiciary.
B. Whether To Invalidate The Special Election
The other forms of relief that the plaintiffs seek all hinge on whether the Special Election was invalid. The fact that a plaintiff has proven electoral violations, even constitutional violations, does not lead inexorably to invalidating the election. A further remedial calculus is necessary. In this case, a multi-factor analysis counsels against invalidating the Special Election.
Courts are understandably reluctant to invalidate elections. 470 As the Delaware Superior Court has observed, “It is the duty of the Court, if possible, to sustain elections which have resulted in a full and fair expression of the public will.” 471 In Brennan, the Delaware Supreme Court observed that “minor irregularities in the conduct of an election unaccompanied by fraud or unfair dealing, and not affecting the result, will not void an election otherwise valid.” 472 Decisions from other jurisdictions similarly stress that the judiciary should exercise caution before setting aside an election. 473
The parties have not identified a governing standard for this court to apply and have battled over competing formulations from other jurisdictions. Given the state of the law, this comes as little surprise. “Federal courts have struggled to articulate an easily applied test to determine when the court should invalidate a state election and order a special election.”
474
State authorities use varying formulations.
475
The best that can be said is
From my review of election decisions and related scholarly literature, several factors appear salient. These include the nature and scope of the misconduct, the actor’s intent, the clarity of the effect on the election, and the consequences for the parties involved. 477 In this case, after weighing these factors, I do not believe that Red Clay’s conduct warrants invalidating the Special Election.
1. The Nature Of The Misconduct
One factor that courts frequently consider is the nature of the misconduct. Flagrantly unconstitutional actions and blatant violations of election laws are more likely to lead to the invalidation of an election.
478
At the other end of the spectrum are cases involving “minor irregularities.”
479
Although misconduct that violates
In one pertinent example, the Supreme Court of Vermont rejected a complaint that sought to invalidate a school referendum in which the school board published and distributed newsletters, leaflets, and stickers in support of a budget and bond proposal. 483 Despite acknowledging that the plaintiffs constitutional claim “finds support in a number of judicial authorities,” the court observed that the theories were “relatively novel, the supporting authorities comparatively sparse, and the rules defining the scope of permissive conduct currently unsettled; the issue, in short, is one about which reasonable minds may easily disagree.” 484 The court concluded that ordering a new election would be disproportionate absent “any basis for a finding that the disputed materials were outrageously illegal,” among other considerations. 485
In this case, Red Clay’s electoral interventions violated the Elections Clause.
The case for Red Clay’s extensive and targeted campaign speech is somewhat harder, because the Delaware Supreme Court held in Brennan that “expenditure of public-funds in support of one side” must remain “within reasonable limits” and that a school district’s speech should not venture “beyond [a] factual presentation” to the point of “overstatement and emotional appeals.” 487 But as the Dismissal Ruling explained, more than sixty years have elapsed since Brennan, and a strong argument can be made that its strictures should be relaxed for referendums in which the state has an affirmative position on a particular policy issue. 488 Under the circumstances, it was not unreasonable to believe that Red Clay’s campaign speech was constitutionally permissible.
In light of these considerations, Red Clay’s electoral misconduct, although unconstitutional in nature, was neither flagrant nor extreme. This factor counsels against invalidating the Special Election.
2. The Scope Of The Misconduct
A second factor that courts frequently consider is the scope of the misconduct. When the misconduct is isolated or sporadic, courts are unlikely to invalidate the election.
489
When the misconduct is wide
In this case, Red Clay’s electoral interventions were pervasive. Red Clay held seventy-five Family-Focused Events in the twenty-three schools that served as polling places. Using Red Clay’s own low-end estimate, at least 6,388 people attended the Family-Focused Events, a figure that does not include attendees at twenty-two events where the attendance was listed as “Unknown.” 491 That figure is just a dozen votes short of the 6,395 votes in favor of the referendum. A more realistic estimate for the Family-Focused Events is that they brought between 9,023 and 9,233 people to the polling places, well in excess of the number of “YES” votes. Red Clay also engaged in extensive and intensive government campaign speech. The widespread nature of Red Clay’s conduct counsels in favor of invalidating the Special Election.
3. The Actor’s Intent
A third factor that courts frequently consider is the actor’s intent.
492
If the actor
In this case, Red Clay intended to intervene in the election in the manner that it did. Red Clay developed and implemented a top-down strategy to prevail in the Special Election. Red Clay intended to hold the Family-Focused Events and to use them to bring parents to the polls. Red Clay also intended to reach groups that it believed would favor the referendum through targeted government campaign speech. In these senses, Red Clay’s conduct was intentional.
Red Clay did not, however, intend to violate the law. The trial record convinced me that the Red Clay team believed that they were acting lawfully and doing what was both necessary and appropriate for the district to prevail in the Special Election. Primarily through Ammann, Red Clay worked with the Department of Elections and sought to comply with its instructions. More broadly, Red Clay tried to follow what its administrators understood the law to be, even if they pushed the edges of that understanding. This decision has found that the Red Clay adminis
In short, the Red Clay team acted in good faith. At worst, they were mistaken about the scope of the Elections Clause. That description could apply to my decisions as well, because only the Delaware Supreme Court can issue an authoritative interpretation of that provision. Red Clay’s effort to comply with the law, at least as they understood it, supports not invalidating the Special Election.
4. The Clarity Of The Effect On The Election
A fourth factor that courts examine is the extent to which the misconduct tainted the result. Demonstrating the interrelatedness of the factors, the scope and seriousness of the misconduct often affect how a court takes this consideration into account.
When parties argue about specific ballot irregularities or misconduct at particular polling locations, then courts frequently examine whether the plaintiff can show that the outcome of the election would have been different. If it is clear that the wrongdoing could not have affected the outcome, then that fact is dispositive. 495 For example, the Delaware Superior Court refused to invalidate an election based on minor discrepancies between the vote tally and the number of certified ballots because “even if the plaintiffs are given the benefit of the doubt ... the tax referendum still would have passed.” 496 Conversely, courts will usually invalidate an election when there is hard proof that the outcome would have been different but for the conduct in question. 497
When the misconduct is widespread and serious, courts have not required mathematical certainty that the result would
Put differently, mathematical proof that electoral misconduct changed or could not have changed the result is sufficient for a court to issue a ruling, but it is not necessary: “While the ‘outcome’ test provides a sensible guideline for determining when federal judicial invalidation of an election might be warranted, it is not a principle requiring mathematical certainty.”
500
If the misconduct has been widespread, serious, and intentional, then courts have been willing to invalidate elections if the misconduct rendered the outcome uncertain.
501
In those situations, definitive proof is likely impossible to achieve.
502
Thus, “where there is substan
Based on the trial record that the parties created, this factor is difficult to assess. In my view, this case cried out for serious statistical analysis,
505
informed by relevant social science literature.
506
Obvi
• The base rates at which parents and seniors have participated historically in referendums and other sufficiently comparable elections.
• The rates at which parents and seniors participated in the Special Election.
• Tests of statistical significance to evaluate whether any difference in rates of participation were inconsistent with random chance.
• The base rates at which parents and seniors support school referendums.
• The rates at which parents and seniors supported the tax increase in the Special Election. Because there were (i) twenty-five different polling places, (ii) different numbers of parents and seniors who voted at each polling place, and (iii) different levels of support for the tax increase at each polling place, it would have been a simple matter for a properly trained expert to prepare scatterplots and conduct regressions to identify any statistically significant correlations.
With this type of information, an expert could have offered informed opinions about whether and to what degree Red Clay’s electoral interventions affected the outcome of the Special Election, either by changing the result or rendering the unaffected outcome sufficiently uncertain. But no one did any of this.
The factual record at trial established that the Family-Focused Events and Red Clay’s targeted campaign speech brought parents to the polls in large numbers. The community witnesses testified that they saw polling places that were filled with students and their families. By Red Clay’s own estimate, at least 6,383 people attended the Family-Focused Events; more realistically there were more than 9,128 attendees.
507
The low-end attendance figure is just a dozen votes short of the 6,395 total votes recorded in favor of the referendum and the more realistic figure substantially exceeds it. With 5,515 votes against, the winning margin was only 880 votes, or approximately 7% of the residents who voted. With such a narrow margin of victory, one possible inference is that the Family-Focused Events swung the result.
508
But that is only an intu
One question is whether Red Clay’s interventions actually affected turnout. The plaintiffs tried to provide some numerical analysis of this issue by comparing the rates at which parents voted in the Special Election with the rates at which other groups voted. Using data that Red Clay eventually produced, 510 the plaintiffs calculated that parents of Red Clay students voted at between twice and 3.8 times the rate of other registered voters. The plaintiffs reasoned as follows:
• There were 93,905 active registered voters in Red Clay on the date of the Special Eleetion. 511
• There were 19,793 parents of Red Clay students on the date of the Special Election. 512
• There were 3,985 parents who voted inthe Special Election. 513 Of the parents who voted, 8,677 were registered voters, or 92.3%. 514
• Assuming that the same percentage held true for all parents in the Red Clay school district, then there were 18,269 active registered voters among those parents (92.3% of 19,793).
• Consequently, 20.13% of the registered parents voted in the Special Election. (3,677/18,269).
• A total of 11,300 registered voters voted in the Special Election. Because 3,677 of the voters were parents, there were 7,623 voters who were not,
• A total of 75,636 registered voters were not parents of Red Clay students (93,-905-18,269).
• Consequently, 10.08% of the registered voters who were not parents or guardians of Red Clay students voted in the Special Election (7,623/75,636).
• Registered parents voted at approximately twice the rate of other registered voters. 515
These calculations were based on Red Clay’s identification of registered voters, which relied on identical matches between the names on the registered voter list and the list of Red Clay parents. The plaintiffs showed that Red Clay’s insistence on exact matches underreported the number of Red Clay parents who voted by excluding some voters who were obviously the same person. Based on the plaintiffs’ independent review of the call list data, they calculated that parents voted at 3.8 times the rate of other voters. 516
The plaintiffs’ calculations indicate that parents voted at a higher rate in the Special Election than other eligible voters, but that by itself is not dispositive. Perhaps parents always vote in referendums at higher rates than other voters. The other key piece of data is the base rate at which parents vote absent interventions. There is also always random variation in any sample, so another key input would be a test of statistical significance to determine whether or not any difference in the Special Election was the result of random chance. No one provided any of this.
The plaintiffs did show that Red Clay’s electoral interventions suppressed turnout by seniors.
517
Ironically, the plaintiffs established this point through the testimony of Professor Ed Ratledge, one of the defendant’s experts. Ratledge teaches public
Ratledge’s initial opinion was based on an unreliable comparison that seemed cherry-picked to support the outcome his client wanted him to reach. His opinions based on the more comparable 2014 midterm election supported the plaintiffs’ case. Here again, however, the plaintiffs did not take the further steps that would be necessary to show that the degree of suppression likely affected the outcome of the Special Election or called the result into question. What was missing was some evidence about the rates at which seniors support referendums generally or supported the Red Clay tax increase. With that information, the plaintiffs might have been able to show that suppressing the senior vote by 7% made a statistically significant difference. Without it, they have only one input for a multi-variable equation.
Implicitly recognizing the gap in the evidence, the plaintiffs argued based on anecdotal descriptions of the voting patterns that parents of Red Clay students supported the tax proposal to a greater extent than seniors. They noted the following:
• At all thirteen polling places where 37% or more of the voters were parents, the tax increase was approved.
• In the twelve polling places where fewer than 37% of the voters were parents, the tax increase was approved at only three locations and defeated at nine.
• In the six polling places where 30% or more of the voters were seniors, the tax increase was rejected.
• In the nineteen polling places where seniors comprised less than 30% of the electorate, the tax increase was approved at sixteen and defeated at three. 523
These observations are interesting, but I have no idea whether these figures are consistent with historical trends or fall within the variation produced by random chance. No one provided a cross-tabulation that compared t|ie percentages of parents or seniors at a polling location with the voting results. No one presented any other tests of statistical significance. No one tried to use the polling location data to show how the number of parents or seniors in the voting population correlated with the number of “YES” votes. No one explained why drawing the line at 37% electoral participation by parents is meaningful versus 30% for seniors.
In lieu of statistical analysis informed by social science research, the plaintiffs tendered two veteran campaigners: Senator Peterson and Representative Hudson. Both were qualified by virtue of experience to opine on election issues. Both opined that Red Clay sought to use the Family-Focused Events and targeted campaign speech to intervene in the election. Both opined that Red Clay’s electoral interventions had the desired effect and determined the outcome of the Special Election.
Senator Peterson is now retired. At the time of the Special Election, she represented the 9th State Senate District, which includes portions of Red Clay. She served as a state senator for fourteen years. Before that, she served as President of the New Castle County Council. She has been elected to public office six times and has helped manage eight other campaigns. She resides in Red Clay and voted in the Special Election. 524
Senator Peterson explained that in any election, “you want to get the people out to vote who will support the outcome you want,” while trying to avoid having the people who oppose you turn out. 525 She testified that someone seeking to prevail in the Special Election “would do everything in their power to get as many of the parents and guardians to the polls as possible, ... because their children would be the beneficiaries of the outcome.” 526 She opined that the Family-Focused Events served that purpose by drawing parents to the polls. 527 She also opined that the parking problems disproportionately affected older voters, because parents of Red Clay students would have less difficulty physically accessing the polls. 528 She concluded that “the outcome [of Red Clay’s efforts] was a disproportional number of likely supporters of the referendum were able to vote as compared with those who would not be as likely to support the referendum.” 529
Representative Hudson currently represents the 12th State House District, which includes much of Red Clay. She has served as a state legislator for twenty-two years, having been elected to that position eleven times. Before serving as a representative, she served as the New Castle County Pro-thonotary, then an elected position, for five years. She lives in Red Clay and voted in the Special Election. 530
Representative Hudson testified that successful campaigns “put the most effort” into “people that are open-minded and
Although their opinions were informed by their considerable experience, Senator Peterson and Representative Hudson ultimately offered intuitive assessments about the outcome of the election. They did not support their intuitions with data or step-by-step analyses. They did not attempt to estimate the magnitude of the effect. Their testimony amounted to a version of “I know it when I see it.”
To rebut Senator Peterson and Representative Hudson’s testimony, Red Clay retained Karl Agne, the founding partner of a strategic consulting firm who has extensive experience in campaign polling, including referendums. Agne’s central point was that we cannot know, without more detailed analysis, what happened in the Special Election. 535 Agne repeatedly pointed out the obvious fact that Senator Peterson and Representative Hudson had not supported their opinions with data. 536 He also described instances in the voting results that appeared inconsistent with their opinions, but those anecdotal examples were neither more nor less persuasive than what the plaintiffs cited. 537
Because of his technical expertise, Agne could have been the most helpful witness in the case. He had the ability to examine the social science literature and perform a sophisticated, scientific, and data-driven analysis of the Special Election. He could have determined whether Red Clay’s interventions had a statistically significant effect and untangled the various influences on voting, including-the extent of any correlation between independent variables
The fact that Red Clay did not have its qualified and capable experts conduct these obvious types of analyses makes me think that they might have supported the plaintiffs’ position. But it was ultimately the plaintiffs’ burden of proof. My intuition makes me suspect that Red Clay’s interventions affected the outcome of the Special Election, but intuition and suspicion are not substitutes for evidence and analysis.
Because of the gap in the evidentiary record, I am not able to reach any conclusions about Red Clay’s actions and the outcome of the Special Election. This factor counsels against invalidating the vote.
5. The Balancing of the Hardships
Because invalidating an election is an equitable remedy, a balancing of the hardships is always relevant. “In every instance in which a court of equity is asked to issue an equitable remedy, it must concern itself with the effects upon others of its action.” 538 “[H]owever inartfully, equity must try to right the wrongs with adequate remedies that destroy no party in the process.” 539 A court may conclude under the circumstances that it is “more important for a contested election to be resolved conclusively than that it be resolved perfectly.” 540
In this case, invalidating the Special Election would have potentially catastrophic consequences for Red Clay. That determination would mean that Red Clay has received approximately $26.3 million in taxes since July 1, 2015, that it was not entitled to get. Red Clay’s CFO testified credibly at trial that there is no possible way Red Clay could reimburse taxpayers for that amount. 541 She believed that even if Red Clay were given twenty years to pay it back, Red Clay would not be able to shoulder the burden. 542
To avoid this problem, the plaintiffs have represented that they do not seek in this action to force Red Clay to disgorge or otherwise pay back the taxes it has collected, nor do they seek to recover damages in that amount. 543 But that representation is not binding on other Red Clay taxpayers. A different group of plaintiffs could file suit and seek a class-wide damages award, relying on principles of collateral estoppel from this decision.
There is also another route that individual taxpayers could invoke. By statute, “[l]ocal county school taxes paid through error or by mistake may be refunded by
Invalidating the Special Election also would affect Red Clay’s ability to collect taxes going forward. On July 1, 2017, Red Clay is scheduled to begin receiving the $0.35 tax increase. If the Special Election is invalid, then Red Clay should not be able to collect those amounts. But Red Clay has already budgeted for the year on the assumption that it would have those funds as operating income, and it has hired teachers and other personnel in reliance on those moneys. If Red Clay could not collect those amounts, it would start the year with an $18.5 million budget deficit. 546
Faced with these consequences, Red Clay’s only choice would be to hold another special election and ask its residents to ratify the tax increase. 547 To my mind, effectively forcing Red Clay to hold another election would be unfair, because if the system for financing public schools operated as it should, then Red Clay would not have been forced to hold to hold a referendum in the first place. As this decision has explained at length, Delaware school districts only have to hold regular referendums because no one is currently updating the property tax assessments. 548 The Delaware Code requires that “[a]ll property subject to assessment shall be assessed at its true value in money,” 549 and the Delaware Supreme Court has held that this concept is the same as “fair market value.” 550 But in New Castle County, property values remain pegged to valuations from 19S3. 551 If those valuations were kept current, as the Delaware Code appears to contemplate and as seems to have been the practice until 1983, then the underlying tax base would rise as property values increased. School districts would not have to call referendums just to keep up.
In this case, the primary reason that Red Clay held the Special Election was just to keep up. True, Red Clay contemplated some new initiatives, but what forced Red Clay to appeal to its residents was the relentless grind of inflation, coupled with a steadily increasing student population. If Red Clay’s underlying property values had been reassessed each year at current levels, then Red Clay’s operating revenues would have grown with those reassessments. Red Clay has a legitimate interest in not being forced to hold a referendum again when, if the system functioned properly, Red Clay might never have needed to hold the referendum in the first place.
In this case, opponents of the referendum had the opportunity to go to the polls. Red Clay’s interventions did not prevent anyone from voting. They made it more difficult, as a practical matter, for elderly and disabled resident to vote, but they did not actually bar anyone from participating. The interventions also did not have the likely effect of changing anyone’s vote. They primarily operated by encouraging already supportive voters to get to the polls. Voiding the Special Election would provide those who chose not to vote in the last election with an opportunity to vote in a new election, but at the expense of invalidating the votes of everyone who made the effort.
In my view, the potential negative consequences to Red Clay and the voters who participated in the Special Election outweigh the importance of giving voters who chose not to participate a new opportunity to vote. The balancing of hardships therefore does not favor invalidating the Special Election.
6. Weighing the Factors
As with other multi-factor balancing tests, the factors cited in this decision are not exclusive, and the analysis is not intended to be a mathematical exercise. 553 The tests rather guide the court when weighing various interests. In this case, the pervasiveness of Red Clay’s conduct weighs in favor of invalidating the Special Election. All of the other factors counsel to varying degrees against invalidating the Special Election. I therefore conclude that notwithstanding Red Clay’s constitutional violations of the Elections Clause, the Special Election should not be invalidated. 554
IY. CONCLUSION
In this case, the high-stakes pursuit of a laudable end caused well-intentioned peo-
In this case, the line was the Elections Clause, which requires that all elections in Delaware be “free and equal.” In its zeal to prevail in the Special Election, Red Clay violated the Elections Clause by holding seventy-five Family-Focused Events, in the twenty-three school buildings that served as polling places, on the day of the Special Election. The Family-Focused Events operated as targeted rewards for the families of Red Clay students and drew them to the polls en masse. An election is not “free and equal” when the government provides targeted rewards for voting to a group it believes will support its favored position.
Although not purposeful, the effect of holding the Family-Focused Events in the polling places, on the day of the election, was to interfere with the ability of elderly and disabled residents to vote. The many attendees of the Family-Focused Events crowded the school parking lots. Several of the evening events drew hundreds of people to schools with parking lots that could not accommodate the influx. Some elderly and disabled residents who tried to vote gave up when they could not find accessible parking spaces. Others undoubtedly inferred from the overflowing lots that the voting lines were unmanageably long. Red Clay was obligated to monitor the parking situation at the polling places and ensure that designated parking spots were available for voters. Red Clay knew that the Family-Focused Events would create parking problems and took some steps to prepare, but Red Clay did not fulfill its monitoring obligation, and because of the Family-Focused Events, effective monitoring was not feasible. An election in which the government obstructs the ability of elderly and disabled voters to access the polls is not “free and equal.”
Red Clay also violated the Elections Clause by engaging in an election campaign that went far beyond the limited advocacy permitted by governing Delaware Supreme Court precedent. Although I personally favor loosening the restrictions our law places on government campaign speech that is factually accurate, broadly directed to the electorate as a whole, and openly identifies its source, the extent of Red Clay’s government campaign speech went too far. Rather than engaging from the outset in broadly directed communications that would have presented Red Clay’s side as part of an open and vigorous debate about an important policy issue, Red Clay spent three months priming its base of favorable voters, while avoiding communications with groups that might be opposed. Red Clay used tactics that individual candidates and private groups regularly deploy, but a government’s ability to engage in similar advocacy is limited. Red Clay engaged in the equivalent of a full-scale political campaign, which Delaware Supreme Court precedent does not permit.
Appendix A
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Notes
. Del. Const, art. I, § 3 (the "Elections Clause”),
. See U.S. Const, amend. XIV, § 1 ("No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws. ”).
. Young v. Red Clay Consol. Sch. Dist.,
.
Brennan v. Black,
. See 14 Del. C. § 1701 et seq.
. JX 25 at D2548.
. See 14 Del. C. §§ 1902-03, 1913-18.
. 9 Del. C. § 8306(a).
.
New Castle Cty. Dep't of Fin. v. Teachers Ins. & Annuity Ass’n,
. Id. (citation omitted).
. See 9 Del. C. § 8301 (titled "Annual Assessment of all assessable property and persons”). Each county follows different procedures and is governed by a different chapter of Title 9. Id. Red Clay is located in New Castle County, so this decision focuses on the procedures there.
. 9 Del. C. § 1301(15).
. Id. § 1301(16).
. 9 Del. C. § 1317.
. Id. § 8306(b) ("If any board of assessment, or any member thereof, knowingly and willfully values or assesses any property upon any other standard than its true value in money, each of the members of the board participating therein shall be fined not more than $100.”).
. 9 Del. C. § 1322(a).
. 9 Del. C. §§ 1318(1) & (2).
. 9 Del. C. § 1318(3).
.
Teachers Ins.,
. See 9 Del. C. §§ 1322, 8301.
. See 9 Del. C. § 1318(3).
. Office of Assessment, Assessment Process & Applicability, http://www.nccde.org/181/ Assessment;
accord New Castle County v. New Castle County Bd. of Assessment Review,
. A general assessment involves a systematic effort to determine current valuations for all the taxable property in the county, This concept contrasts with the annual assessment, when the Department of Land Use generally carries forward existing valuations. As part of this process, the Department of Land Use does update some valuations of specific properties. When issuing a building permit, the Department conducts a property-specific reassessment to reflect the value of the improvements, such as a new deck or finished basement. It then adjusts the reassessment to reflect 1983 values. These changes lead to de minimis increases in the tax base.
By going without a general assessment since 1983, New Castle County falls in between its sister counties. Kent County’s last general assessment was in 1987. Sussex County's was in 1974,
. See Federal Housing Finance Agency, Housing Price Index Datasets: States (Not Seasonally Adjusted), https://www.fhfa.gov/ DataTools/Downloads/Pages/House-Price-Index-Datasets.aspx#qexe. The base year was 1975, meaning that housing values in that year were assigned a value of 100. The index reached 159.59 in 1983, meaning housing values in New Castle County were 60% higher in 1983 than they were in 1975.
. See United States Census Bureau, Historical Census of Housing Tables: Home Values, available at https://www.census.gov/hhes/ www/housing/census/historic/values.html. The Census Bureau presents these values in 2000 dollars. For consistency with present data, this decision recalculates them in 2017 dollars using the Consumer Price Index. See U.S. Dep’t of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Inflation Calculator, https://www.bls.gov/ data/inflation_calculator.htm.
. See United States Census Bureau, Fact Finder: Median Housing Value of Owner-Occupied Housing Units (Dollars), https;//fact flnder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/ productview.xhtml?src=bkmk.
. See United States Census Bureau, Median and Average Sales Prices of New Homes Sold in United States, available at https://www. census.gov/construction/nrs/pdf/uspricemon. pdf. The Census Bureau’s figures do not account for inflation. This decision recalculates the values in 2017 dollars using the Consumer Price Index. See U.S. Dep't of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Inflation Calculator, https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator. htm.
. See United States Census Bureau, American Fact Finder Guided Search: Selected Housing Characteristics, https://factfinder. census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/guided_search. xhtml.
. JX 25 at D2551.
. 9 Del. C. § 8306(a).
.
See Bd. of Assessment Review for New Castle Cty. v. Stewart,
.Individual litigants have objected to the staleness of the 1983 general assessment when challenging the valuations of their own properties. In that context, however, the Delaware courts have refused to intervene because the Delaware Constitution requires uniformity in tax assessments.
See
Del. Const, art. VIII, § 1 ("All taxes shall be uniform upon the same class of subjects within the territorial
The uniformity defense might not apply in a case which asserted that New Castle County is currently violating the statutory requirement to value property at its "true value in money” by continuing to use a base year of 1983. Assuming the suit asserts that 1983 valuations are so stale that New Castle County must conduct a general assessment, then the values going forward would be tied to the general assessment and made uniform as of a new date. The 1983 base year would no longer be relevant, just as the prior base year of 1974 was no longer relevant after the 1983 general assessment. Moreover, nothing about the base year method requires that the base year be the same year when the last general assessment took place. Just as the county currently uses the Consumer Price Index to factor property values back to 1983, it could use the same metric (or a more real-estate-specific metric) to bring values forward to a later year or, most appropriately, the current year.
See New Castle Cty. v. New Castle Cty. Bd. of Assessment,
One reason for the lack of a county-wide challenge might be the absence of a motivated plaintiff. A successful challenge that generates a new general assessment almost certainly would cause most assessed property values to increase, subject to the 10% statutory cap. Few people like paying higher taxes. Even fewer are motivated to file suit to fix a dysfunctional system where success means higher taxes for everyone. A plaintiff with more systemic interests, such as restoring the integrity of the school-funding mechanism, might have different motivations. So too might an institutional plaintiff that could represent the interests of minors currently disadvantaged by the system.
. See 14 Del. C. §§ 1702(b), 1703-04. One "unit” is 16.2 students enrolled in kindergarten, first grade, second grade, or third grade, or 20 students enrolled in fourth through twelfth grade. See 14 Del. C. § 1703(d)(2)-(3); Tr. 655 (Floore).
. 14 Del. C. § 1702(c).
. 14 Del. C. §§ 1702(d), 1706.
.
See
14
Del. C.
§ 1707. The formula is complex but essentially pegs state funding to a combination of each school district’s "effort index” and "ability index.” 14
Del. C.
§ 1707(c). The effort index is the ratio by which the district’s tax burden exceeds the average tax burden across the state.
See
14
Del. C.
§ 1707(b)(3). The ability index is the district's aggregate property value. As the ef
. See U.S. Dep’t of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Inflation Calculator, https:// www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm.
. See 14 Del, C. § 1902. See Tr, 646-47 (Floore explaining why, under current system, a referendum is "inevitable”).
. 14 Del, C. § 1903.
. 14 Del. C. § 1911 ("If the majority of the votes cast at the election ,.. shall be for additional tax, the tax shall be levied and collected as provided in this chapter."), Technically there are other, smaller tax categories that the board can raise- unilaterally, without the approval of residents, Tr. 645, 703 (Floore identifying these categories). They are relatively immaterial. To avoid overly complicating an already complicated area, this decision sets them aside.
.Tr. 660 (Floore testifying that contemplating a referendum every four years is "pretty standard for every school district” in Delaware). Appendix A compiles a list of school referendums in Delaware, since 1980, drawn from publicly available articles in The News Journal. It includes both operating expense referendums and capital expense referendums, which must be held separately. See 14 Del. C. § 2122, It also includes referendums seeking approval to transfer tax revenue from one account to another. See id. The appendix, which is likely under-inclusive, indicates that on average, Delaware school districts have obtained approval for 7,3 tax increases since 1980. That amounts to one tax increase every five years. Counting only operating referendums, Delaware school districts has obtained approval for an average of 4.4 tax increases since 1980, Red Clay is slightly above average on both counts, having obtained approval for eight tax increases, including six for operating expenses, during that period.
. See Appendix A. Of the operating referendums for which vote figures are publicly available, sixty-six were approved and fifty-one defeated. When a referendum failed, the school district frequently prevailed in a second referendum held shortly thereafter. The second referendum nearly always generated higher turnout. For example:
• In Brandywine School District, which borders Red Clay, voters defeated an operating referendum in March 1987 by a vote of 6,841 to 6,313. In October 1987, the voters approved it by a vote of 11,938 to 6,589. In 1993, the voters defeated an operating referendum by a vote of 9,827 to 8,866. In 1994, they approved it by a vote of 14,579 to 10,669. In April 2007, they defeated an operating referendum by a vote of 4,800 to 4,322. In June 2007, they approved it by a vote of 7,584 to 6,305. In June 2007, they defeated an operating referendum by a vote of 3,892 to 3,729. In March 2016, they approved it by a vote of 9,500 to 5,780.
• In Colonial School District, which also borders Red Clay, voters defeated an operating referendum in 1992 by a vote of 3,900 to 2,988, then approved it in 1993 by a vote of 7,082 to 5,228. In February 2013, they defeated an operating referendum by a vote of 2,484 to 925, then approved it in June 2013 by a vote of 3,005 to 2,938.
• In Christina School District, which also borders Red Clay, voters twice defeated an operating referendum in 2015, first by a vote of 6,076 to 2,119, then by a vote of 5,968 to 5,074. In 2016, voters approved the referendum by a vote of 6,770 to 6,625.'
• In Red Clay itself, voters defeated an operating referendum in 2007 by a vote of 6,220 to 4,822, then approved it in 2008 by a vote of 8,550 to 7,414.
See Appendix A. It makes intuitive sense to me that busy parents who support their children’s schools might nevertheless fail to vote in a referendum, expecting it to pass, then make an extra effort to vote after seeing the initial referendum fail. I confess to having been guilty of this on at least one occasion.
. JX 176 at D14675.
.The General Assembly could devise a wide variety of solutions. Like the United States Census, a statute might require a general assessment in every tenth year.
Cf.
U.S. Const, art. 1, § 2. Or to give flexibility to the counties, a statute might contemplate a general assessment not less frequently than every tenth year. Nor is there any particular magic to a ten-year period. Before the 1983 assessment, New Castle County conducted a general assessment that became effective in 1974, nine years earlier.
See McGinnes
v.
Dep’t of Fin.,
Other structures could be more responsive to market values. For example, a statute could require a new general assessment if average sale price deviated by a particular amount from assessed values. Cf. 14 Del C. § 1707(b)(ll) (using ratio of assessed value to sales price to adjust from assessed value to "total full valuation”). Or a statute could use the most recent arms’ length sale price as the assessed value, then equalize property values for constitutional purposes by applying an adjustment factor to bring the sale price current to the existing calendar year.
One also could envision more significant changes to the overarching system for funding public schools. For example, Delaware’s vocational schools are authorized to raise tax rates without a referendum, subject to maximum caps imposed by the legislature. See 14 Del. C. §§ 2601-02.
Obviously these are not the only possibilities. Minds more sophisticated in legislative and property tax matters than -mine can doubtless come up with superior solutions. The point is that many alternatives are available. The options are not limited to either (i) conducting general assessments annually or on some other short-term basis, which would be both cost-prohibitive and wasteful, or (ii) maintaining the current status quo of doing nothing since 1983.
. JX 25 at D2548. Red Clay held a separate capital referendum in 2012 to fund construction of a new school and building improvements. Id. at 2552; Tr. 644 (Floore).
. See U.S. Dep't of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Inflation Calculator, https:// www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm.
. JX 25 at D2548; Tr. 646, 655-56 (Floore).
. JX 258 at D2169.
. Tr. 645 (Floore).
. JX 27 at D2602; Tr. 651-52 (Floore).
. JX 258 at D2176; Tr. 661-63 (Floore).
. JX 25 at D2554.
. JX 27 at D2607; Tr. 665 (Floore).
. JX 25 at D2548; see also JX 27 at D2602.
. JX 324 at D18441-42; PTO ¶ 8; Tr. 323 (Johnson); Tr. 668-69 (Floore).
. See JX 283; Tr. 681 (Floore).
. 14 Del. C. §§ 1072(b), 1903.
. 14 Del. C. § 1072(b).
. Id.
. Tr. 408 (Lippincott).
. See PTO ¶ 26. Appendix B contains a table listing the schools designated as polling places and the abbreviated names that this decision uses to refer to the schools.
. See Appendix A.
. Tr. 643-44 (Floore).
. Tr. 184-86 (Nash telling reporter that Red Clay “had a lot at stake” in the referendum); JX 81 at D11596 (teacher noting, “We NEED this referendum to pass. PERIOD”); id. at D11597 (principal noting, "This referendum is very important to ALL of us in Red Clay”); JX 89 (principal stating, “The success of this referendum is VITAL”); JX 96 at D4599 (principal stating the referendum "is critical”); JX 119 (Superintendent Daugherty noting, “There is a lot riding on this one vote”); JX 176 at D14676 (Superintendent Daugherty describing the referendum as concerning "critical funding for our school district”); JX 233 (principal’s message to parents stating that with a failed referendum, "[c]uts would be drastic and across the board”); JX 242 (Superintendent Daugherty describing the referendum as “so important”); JX 300 (president of School Board describing referendum as "critical”).
. JX 176 at D14677; accord Tr. 721 (Floore; "[A]sking people to increase their taxes is an uphill battle. By its very nature, anybody who asks to do that is at an extreme disadvantage.”); see also JX 119 ("[RJaising taxes is about the hardest thing to ask any community.”); JX 242 ("[I]t is not easy to ask our community to raise taxes.”); JX 259 (“A referendum is not an easy task ....”); JX 310 at D8612 (“Passing a referendum isn’t easy .... ”); JX 50 ("We anticipate a close race and your support of Red Clay schools could make all the difference.”).
. See, e.g., Tr. 179 (Nash testifying she was "at the center of the referendum organizing at Red Clay” and ”[o]ne of its leaders”); JX 90 (Daugherty delegating planning of event on day of Special Election to Ammann); JX 133 (Daugherty delegating distribution of pro-referendum video clips to Nash); JX 169 (Daugherty complementing senior administrators for their work on Special Election); Daugherty Dep. 17-20, 23-24, 31 (explaining that he has "never been the point person” for a referendum; identifying Ammann and Nash as the lead personnel for special elections).
. See, e.g., JX 72 (arranging "clerical help" for stuffing report cards); JX 145 (organizing placement of pro-referendum signs).
. See JX 84 at D19668 ("All building principals received an updated call list from Ted [Ammann] this week,”); JX 112 (Ammann directing preparation of call lists and describing them as "critical”).
. See, e.g., JX 52 (ensuring that pro-referendum signs were ordered); JX 62 (arranging transportation for Red Clay personnel to volunteer on election day); JX 130 (ordering pro-referendum stickers).
. See, e.g., JX 88.
. Tr. 176, 189 (Nash).
. Id. at 176.
. For video clips, see JX 39; JX 40; JX 57. For other materials, see JX 35 (providing scripts for telephone campaign); JX 86 (distributing referendum fact sheet to be placed in report cards); JX 97 (distributing draft Steering Committee email).
. See JX 59; JX 60; JX72.
. Tr. 673-75 (Floore describing her role); see JX 267 (listing meetings at which Special Election was discussed); see, e.g., JX 83; JX 154.
. See, e.g., Tr. 189 (Nash testifying that district employees could not ask residents to vote "YES” while on district time); Tr. 191 (Nash testifying she was "told that District communications, our newsletters, our website, could not specify how to vote”); JX 65 (principal noting that parents who are members of the parent-teacher association can “say to vote yes”); JX 78 (Nash stressing that a teacher could not say "Vote Yes” or post information promoting a "YES” vote on a school page or during the school day, but could do so on a personal page, on their own time); JX 79 (Superintendent Daugherty correcting assistant principal who planned to use faculty meeting time for teachers "to make parent phone calls in regards to the referendum”); JX 81 (teacher noting that district could not require staff to malee pro-referendum calls or engage in pro-referendum activities); JX 84 (principal informing parent, “I have some ideas as to ways you can help—since we (as employees) can’t tell people to vote yes, but you as a parent can certainly do so. ; )”); JX 108 (parent stating she was “under the impression that [parents] were making calls as well [as teachers] because we could actually ask [voters] to vote yes”); JX 140 (principal telling staff, “While we can't tell people to vote yes, we can say how passing the referendum will help children”); JX 150 at D11328 (parent stating, "I was under the impression we were making calls as well because we could actually ask them to vote yes”),
Contrary to the premise that staff members could not ask parents to vote yes, Red Clay communications frequently made this ask.
See, e.g.,
JX 144 ("Your students will benefit
. Tr. 193-94 (Nash explaining that having communications come from parents would make them seem "more real” and would “resonate more” with voters).
. See JX 16 (Floore emailing potential committee members); Tr. 177 (Nash agreeing that "part of [her] job as public information officer for the District was to sit on the steering committee”).
. See JX 193; Tr. 322 (Johnson).
. PTOfl31; seeJX41; JX68.
. Tr. 324 (Johnson: "So the steering committee was a grassroots effort to educate the community [about] why we needed to go to referendum and to get the support to get the referendum passed.”); JX 50 (Red Clay corn-munication to residents stating, "This is a community led campaign ,..”); JX 176 at D14675 (Superintendent Daugherty telling legislators, in response to inquiries about election misconduct, that campaign was "led by parents”); see also JX 154 (News Journal article reporting that "a steering committee chaired by parents” was "working to ‘get the word out’ ”); JX 172 (parent claiming in response to legislative inquiry that Red Clay effort was a "grassroots campaign”).
. See JX 25 at D2546; Tr. 177-78 (Nash).
. PTCU32.
. See JX 30.
. Tr. 114 (Penoyer).
.
See
Tr, 348-49 (Johnson testifying that "the core group ... was [herself], [her] co-chair, and ... Pati Nash, Jill Floore, and Ted Ammann,” and that the "five ... coordinated closely on every step of the referendum process”);
see also, e,g„
JX 59 (reflecting decision by core group after communications among group);
accord
JX 67; JX 90; JX 123. The team also benefitted from the input of
. By making this finding, this decision does not mean to diminish the importance of the parents and community members who volunteered. The record demonstrates that many parents and community members worked extremely hard and contributed meaningfully to achieving the outcome that Red Clay sought. In particular, Johnson and Schwartz devoted many hours to the referendum. Johnson also participated actively in the litigation and testified at trial. In my view, this type of community involvement and support for the public schools is highly commendable. In defending its election-related conduct, however, Red Clay sought to use the Steering Committee and the involvement of parents and community members to diminish its role as a state actor. The record demonstrates that in substance, Red Clay ran the campaign.
. Tr. 181 (Nash testifying that Red Clay prioritized "the people you think are the most likely to be positive voters”); id. (Nash testifying that in its telephone campaign, Red Clay "was targeting or prioritizing positive voters").
. See Tr. 180 (Nash testifying that "there is a belief that parents are more likely to support the referendum”); Tr. 351 (Johnson testifying to her understanding "that very few parents would oppose the tax increase”); id. (Johnson confirming that she "wanted parents in the schools on the day of the referendum because [she] wanted them to vote”); Tr. 497-98 (principal of Richardson Park stating, "I believe that if [parents] came out, they would vote yes”); Tr. 638 (Ammann testifying that "[t]he referendum steering committee had talked about the importance of contacting parents, and that would be what they would do”).
. See Tr. 351-52 (Johnson explaining that parents should want to support their children’s schools).
. See JX 242 ("The 2008 referendum passed for one reason—because parents and schools worked together. The same holds true today.”); IX 169 (Superintendent Daugherty observing after Special Election that "[s]chool leaders and staff worked extremely hard to gain parent support”); JX 193 (Johnson observing before Special Election that "we will not pass this without support from our charter and choice parents”); see also JX 97 (“In the past, referendums have failed because of apathy.”).
.
See
JX 303 (results from electronic survey of McKean parents showing support); JX 87 (Skyline principal noting that parent calls yielded sixty-six expected “YES” votes and five expected "NO” votes”); JX 99 (Heritage secretary informing Johnson that parent calls yielded 309 "YES” votes); JX 148 (email to dean of Cab Calloway reporting that parent calls yielded nine “definite yes votes” and "zero no votes”); JX 313 at D20468 (Johnson reporting to team ten days before Special Election that "[preliminary numbers we are
. See, e.g., Tr. 217 (Nash agreeing that she believed that seniors generally "would be more likely to vote against a referendum”); Tr. 675 (Floore explaining that at the initial Steering Committee meeting, one of the speakers gave an example of a senior citizen on a fixed income as a likely "NO” voter with whom there would be "no point” in engaging); JX 310 at D8610 (Johnson stating her belief that the campaign would "not ... reach out to [retired] folks as they could bring out the no vote”).
. See Tr. 179 (Nash testifying that the "conventional wisdom” is that "seniors vote against referendums”); id. at 206 (same); see also JX 104 (Nash asking for input on letter that “kind of mention[s] the senior vote, without saying seniors”); JX 124 (delaying submission of supportive letters to the editor because of concerns that "the letters might ‘wake up’ the ‘no’ voters”); JX 134 (debating whether "the ‘pro’ letters [to the editor] would wake up even more seniors? ?”); JX 309 at D8598 (Johnson expressing concern about speaking with "retired folks when I thought we were not going to reach out to these folks as they could bring out the no vote”).
The Red Clay team’s views found support in the reaction to a proposed reduction in a tax credit that Delaware provides to seniors. Recognizing that many senior citizens live on fixed incomes and have limited appetite for paying school-related taxes, the State of Delaware has a program that gives seniors a credit on their state income taxes for amounts paid for school property taxes. Under the 2014 status quo, Delaware provided a credit for 50% of the school-related taxes paid by a property owner 65 years of age or older, up to a cap of $500, In January 2015, then-Governor Jack Markell proposed a budget for the 2015-16 fiscal year that would have reduced the income tax credit, either by lowering the percentage to 25% or by reducing the cap to $250. See Jon Offredo & Jonathan Starkey, Senior Tax Breaks Hit in Budget Proposal, The News Journal, Jan. 30, 2015, at Al, A14. Supporters of public schools worried that this proposal would make senior citizens less likely to vote for a tax increase, See, e.g., JX 105 (inquiring about effect of reduction in tax credit); JX 123 at D1799, D1800 (email from senior citizen stating that he intended to vote "NO” in part due to the proposed reduction in tax credit; Floore forwarding email and commenting that “we knew we wouldn’t be able to change some people’s minds”).
.See Tr, 675-76 (Floore describing variation in electorate).
. The social science literature indicates that school districts employ similar strategies widely and effectively. See, e.g., Stephanie Dunne et al., Endogenizing the Median Voter: Public Choice Goes to School, 93 Public Choice 99 (1997) [hereinafter Endogenizing the Median Voter]. As discussed in the section on remedies, the parties did not address any of the extensive social science literature on pertinent issues, nor did they introduce the type of statistical analysis that the literature conducts and which would have been highly informative, See Part III.B.4, infra. Consequently, while noting the existence of this scholarship, this decision does not take it into account.
. JX28.
. Tr. 114 (Penoyer).
. Tr. 489 (Mathis).
. JX 25 at D2555.
. Cf. JX 97 ("In the past, referendums have failed because of apathy.”); JX 242 ("The 2008 referendum passed for one reason—because parents and schools worked together. The same holds true today.”); JX 169 (Superintendent Daugherty observing after Special Election that "[sjchool leaders and staff worked extremely hard to gain parent support”); JX 193 (Johnson observing before Special Election that "we will not pass this without support from our charter and choice parents”).
.See
Tr. 675 (Floore: "[I]f somebody has made up their mind, you're not going to change their mind. That's what I understood that to be. Work on the people [to whom] you can make your case,”);
id.
(explaining that at the initial Steering Committee meeting, one of the speakers gave an example of a senior citizen on a fixed income as a likely "NO” voter with whom there would be "no point” in engaging); JX 53 (Johnson stating, on behalf of the Steering Committee, "We appreciate your support in getting the vote out. We believe overall that folks support the referendum however, it is getting them out to the polls to vote that we must focus on”); JX 61 at D5290 (Brandying Springs PTO minutes stating, "Ms. Yvonne Johnson ... shared the
. See JX 27 at D2608 (listing voting totals from 2008 operating referendum and 2012 capital referendum, and setting target vote totals for Special Election); JX 61 at D5290 ("Each school has an identified target number of parental votes.”).
. Tr. 114 (Penoyer testifying that her understanding from the meeting was that "every school needed to have an event on the day of the referendum”).
. JX 25 at D2556.
. See JX 307 (compilation of all plans).
. Tr. 625, 628 (Ammann).
. See JX 124 (reflecting concerns about " 'wak[ing] up’ the 'no' voters”); JX 134 (discussing how to avoid "wak[ing] up even more seniors”).
. See JX 301 (table compiling all events).
. See Tr. 351 (Johnson confirming that she "wanted parents in the schools on the day of the referendum because [she].wanted them to vote” and that she "didn't want any parents to come to an event and then leave without voting”); Daugherty Dep. at 203 (agreeing that the Family-Focused Events were "get out the vote events”).
. See JX 307 (stating timeframe for scheduled activities on plan forms).
. Id.
. Id.
. Tr. 595-97, 621-28 (Ammann describing review process). Ammann tried at trial to suggest that he was simply an administrative conduit and was not substantively approving the plans. That testimony was contrary to the weight of the evidence.
. PTO ¶ 27; see JX 301 (table compiling all events); Tr. 625 (Ammann testifying that on day of Special Election, all schools that were designated as polling places held events).
. PTO ¶ 28; see Tr. 624-26 (Ammann testifying that the principal of the one school that was not designated as a polling place reallocated resources to support events being held at two of the schools that were polling places).
. JX 307 at D3716.
. See JX 301 (spreadsheet identifying events, target audience, likely attendance, and other details).
. See, e.g., JX 248 ("Honor Roll Luncheon” at Stanton); JX 250 ("Rockin’ The Referendum Day" at Warner with "Science Show” luncheon); JX 301 ("Taco Tuesday” lunch with parents and "Sixth Grade Luncheon,” among other events, at Brandywine Springs; luncheons with parents at Forest Oak; "Lunch with Your Child” at Ríchey; "Bring a Special Person to Lunch” at Shortlidge; "Literacy Coffeehouses” at Baltz; "Author’s Teas” at Heritage).
. See JX 301; Tr. 120-25 (Penoyer describing Pajama Jammie Jam).
. See JX 234; JX301.
. See JX 235; JX301.
. JX 301.
. Id.
. Id.
. Id.
. Id.
. See Tr. 618-19 (Ammann explaining that at Linden Hill and Marbrook, parents pre-ordered pizza in advance); JX 234 (pizza order form for Linden Hill); JX 235 (pizza order form for Marbrook).
. JX 56.
. JX 102 at D5960; see JX 301 (listing six "Author’s Teas” during the day at Heritage).
. See generally JX 149; JX 150.
. JX 149 at D11324; see also JX 150 at D11327 ("I’m thinking having 2 or 3 parents during the day ... [and] about twice that during the evening to both help steer people to the auditorium lobby to vote and encourage them to vote yes ....”).
. JX 108; see also JX 66 (noting that Richardson Park was hosting Bingo and movies and distributing no-uniform passes); JX 80 (soliciting donations for use as prizes).
. Tr. 492-94; id. at 494-95 (Q: "And if a parent didn't vote, they didn’t get a pass, Correct?” A: "Technically.”).
. JX 149 atDl 1324.
. JX 66.
. JX 108.
. IX 313 at D20467.
. IX 185.
. Daugherty Dep. 203; accord JX 176 at D14676 (Daugherty referring to Family-Focused Events as ''[g]et out the vote activities”).
. Tr. 182-84, 188 (Nash); Tr. 346 (Johnson); Tr. 621 (Ammann).
. Tr. 183-84 (Nash).
. Tr. 123, 145-46 (Penoyer).
. IX 185. Nash confirmed at trial that she "just didn’t know whether or not someone who has no connection to the school and no connection to those children would want to participate with them in an event.” Tr, 187.
. IX 185.
. IX 301.
. Daugherty Dep. 149 ("They all made parent calls .... [E]very school said they completed it.”).
. Tr. 208 (Nash); accord Tr. 636 (Am-mann). During the November 2014 parent leader meeting, which every principal was required to attend, Red Clay gave the principals target vote counts specific to each school. JX 27 at D2608.
. JX 24; accord Tr. 208 (Nash); see JX 27 at D2608.
. See Tr. 189, 208 (Nash testifying about plan to identify "YES” voters and then follow up with reminders directed at those voters); id. at 209 (Nash discussing need for caller "to keep track of the number of parents that told them they would be voting yes”); JX 58 (informing team at one school that "We need to get a tally of YES votes” and describing plan for contact, identification, and follow up); JX 81 at D11597 (principal explaining that the purpose of the calls is "to inform parents of the upcoming referendum and to get an estimate of how many people we can count on to support the referendum”); id. ("In order to pass the referendum, we need to reach out to our parents to inform them of the referendum. It is also important that we tally the number of votes for the referendum.”); id. at D11598 (“Our school goal is to get 375 yes votes for the referendum! Parent responses will help us estimate where we stand.”); id. (explaining that reminder calls would be placed "to parents who respond with yes”); JX 87 (principal of Skyline reporting on results of teacher calls to 185 families that resulted in "66 yes votes (35%)[,] 5 no votes and 114 no contacts”); JX 96 (principal explaining that results of survey would be shared “with the Referendum committee”); JX 99 (representative from Heritage reporting on vote totals); JX 113 at D14079 (principal of Conrad explaining that "[m]any of your [sic] are making phone calls to collect as many 'YES’ voters as we can”).
. See JX 66 (discussing plan to “have teachers call first and then have parents follow up as needed”); JX 79 (discussing plan for teachers "to make parent phone calls in regards to the referendum”); JX 81 at D11598 ("Homeroom teachers are responsible for calling your class list.”); JX 87 (“Yesterday Skyline teachers began making calls ....”); JX 91 (principal at Baltz informing staff about making calls, stating, "We are asking that each homeroom teacher be responsible for making all initial phone calls to their homeroom”); JX 96 (principal at Brandywine Springs instructing teachers to send email survey, stating, "It is time sensitive- and we have to begin to determine how many families we have to make personal contact with given our survey results”); JX 108 at D11406 (principal of Richardson Park writing, "[T]he expectation we were given [by Red Clay] was that teachers would be calling”); Tr. 117-18 (Penoyer testifying that she instructed homeroom teachers to be responsible for making initial phone calls to parents using a script provided by the district and that she asked every school staff member to join a call-a-thon); Daugherty Dep. 142-43 (expressing his view that individual teachers should call their parents and could better connect with the voters).
. JX 66; accord Tr. 498 (Mathis); see Daugherty Dep. at 143 (agreeing that the district felt that "individual teachers would be better able to connect with voters”).
.
See
JX 81 at D11598 ("You can send an email ... but you MUST ask for the parents to respond back in an email about whether we can count on them to support the referendum."); JX 96 (distributing email script with
. See JX 311 (Johnson distributing telephone campaign script to parent volunteers); accord Tr. 208-09 (Nash).
. JX 112 (Ammann directing creation of lists, stating that "these calls are critical”).
. See, e.g., JX 33 (Linden Hill); JX 34 (Skyline); JX 63 (Baltz); JX 111 (Brandywine Springs); see also JX 79 (referring to distribution of lists with "parent contacts organized by classroom”); JX 81 at D11598 ("District will provide call lists, scripts, and FAQs to assist with telephone campaign.”); JX 84 at D19668 ("All building principals received an updated call list from Ted [Ammann] this week.”); JX 87 (reporting that Skyline teachers were making calls “using the phone lists provided”) JX 91 (telling teachers that "[c]lass lists with phone numbers and speaking points will be available”); JX 108 (principal of Richardson Park explaining that teachers "were given lists of the students” to call); JX 112 (Ammann managing distribution of call lists and describing the calls as "critical”).
. See, e.g., JX 81 at D11597 (Forest Oak); JX 87 (Skyline); JX 91 (Baltz); JX 107 (Linden Hill); JX 113 (Conrad).
. JX 81 at D11596; see JX 170 at D11484 (teacher informing union negotiator that "we at AI were ‘bullied’ into making phone calls to support the referendum”); see also JX 81 at D11598 (principal asking staff to report back on how they would accomplish parent calls); JX 91 (principals asking staff to let them know if a staff member would not attend a nominally voluntary call session); JX 96 (principal asking staff to make calls and send emails, stating, "if you are uncomfortable doing this, please notify an administrator asap”); cf. JX 79 (principal informing staff that faculty meeting time would be allotted to making parent phone calls for Special Election; Superintendent Daugherty overruling after teachers’ union representative objected).
. Tr. 208-09 (Nash); Tr. 633-35 (Am-mann).
. JX 311 (emphasis in original).
. JX 91 at D15185-86; accord JX 222; JX 228; JX 274; see Tr. 209-11 (Nash describing script).
. See Tr, 189, 208-11 (Nash testifying about identifying "YES” voters through initial calls, followed by get-out-the-vote reminders to "YES” voters); JX 24 (explaining purpose of calls in terms of getting out the vote); JX 58 (describing plan for contact, identification, and follow up); JX81 atD11597 (explaining that the purpose of the calls is "to inform parents of the upcoming referendum and to get an estimate of how many people we can count on to support the referendum”); JX 87 (principal of Skyline asking where to turn in call sheets); JX 113 at D14078 (principal at Conrad informing callers that "[c]all sheets are due Thursday, February 12th. Currently we have 364 confirmed YES voters with 68% of sheets collected”); id, at D14079 (principal of Conrad noting that get-out-the-vote plan contemplated "Reminder Phone Calls to ‘YES’ voters”).
At trial, Red Clay witnesses asserted that the purpose of the calls was merely to educate parents and provide them with factual information about the Special Election. Tr. 337-38 (Johnson); Tr. 717-18 (Floore). That testimony was contrary to the weight of the evidence.
. See Tr. 189 (Nash); JX 113; JX 138; JX 141; JX 147; JX 148; JX 223; JX 313; see also JX 150 at D11328 (discussing whether parents or teachers would make the follow-up calls),
. JX313 at D20467.
. Tr. 212-14 (Nash); see, e.g., JX 223 (script of call from Dickinson School Messenger system for “[l]aunch on 2/23/2015”).
. See Tr. 189 (Nash); JX 113 at D14078 (“Team will text YES voters the morning of the referendum .... ”).
. Tr. 211 (Nash).
. See generally JX 307 (compilation of School Referendum Plans including each school’s communication plan).
. Tr, 326-27 (Johnson); see, e.g., JX 67 (Schwartz speaking at H.B. duPont Choral Concert); JX 237 (Johnson speaking at PTA meeting); JX 251 (Warner hosting "Tea and Talks” to discuss Special Election); JX 307 (passim); JX 311 at D103 52 (Johnson noting, "We have been attending many of your PTA/PTO/Boosters meeting[s]”).
. Tr. 333 (Johnson); see, e.g., JX 245; JX 246; JX 247; JX 255; JX 256; JX 307 (passim ).
. JX 141 (principal of Richardson Park instructing staff to send emails and explaining that he wanted to "flood the parents with reminders”); accord Tr. 490 (Mathis); see, e.g., JX 89; JX 100; JX 144; JX 146; JX233; JX 307 at D3704.
. See., e.g., JX 223; JX 238; JX 301 (passim ).
. JX 86; see Tr. 116-17 (Penoyer testifying about instructing teachers at Baltz to stuff flyers in report card envelopes).
. JX 242.
. See JX 72; JX 84 at D19688; JX 139 at D20526; JX 249; JX 253. Nash believed that holding a pep rally would increase positive voter turnout. Tr. 206-07 (Nash), Approximately 4,500 people attended. Tr. 339 (Johnson).
. JX 158; JX 159.
. Tr. 490 (Mathis); see JX 130; JX 139 at D20526.
. Tr. 213-15 (Nash); Tr. 340-41 (Johnson); JX 123; JX 137 at D13901; JX 139 at D20526; JX 149; JX308.
. See JX 120 at D79055 (“[P]art of [the team’s] strategy was to reach out to alumni students from Red Clay .... ”); see also JX 61 at D5290 ("Dr. Newton shared information about the importance of college students being eligible to request absentee ballot[s].”)
. JX 50.
. Id.
. Id.
. PTO ¶ 30; JX254.
. JX 254.
. Id.
. Id.
. JX 120 at D7906.
. Id. at D7905.
. Id.\ Tr. 707-10 (Floore agreeing with email).
. JX 120 at D7905.
. See, e.g., JX 56 (principal of A.I. duPont stressing in his School Referendum Plan that “we will make sure our seniors (18yrs + ) understand they have the right to vote”); JX 143 (teacher at McKean explaining procedures for having 18-year-old students vote).
. JX 64.
. JX 25 at D2558; accord Tr. 195 (Nash testifying that a Facebook page called "Parents of Red Clay” was "created specifically for the ... referendum”).
. Tr. 197-99 (Nash); JX 76 (Nash distributing "Referendum Social Media Plan"); see also JX 106; JX 272.
. JX 272 (Referendum Social Media Plan detailing “who will post,” "what will be posted,” "when will it be posted,” and "where will it be posted”).
. Tr. 197-98 (Nash); see, e.g., JX 32, JX 57; JX 103; JX 106; see also JX 95. See generally JX76; JX78; JX 123.
. Tr. 199, 200-01 (Nash); see, e.g., JX 57; JX 103; JX 106; cf. JX 124 (discussing timing of letters to the editor).
. Tr. 194 (Nash).
. Tr. 352 (Johnson).
.JX 273.
. JX 104.
. JX 119; see JX 309 (Johnson expressing concern about a planned “bus trip to retired folks" and Floore reassuring her that the trip would target "retired red clay educators who support us” and not "random retirees”); Tr. 352-54 (Johnson discussing same).
. JX 124; accord Tr. 201-02 (Nash).
. See Tr. 201-02 (Nash); JX 103; JX 124.
. JX 134.
. JX 133; Tr. 215-16 (Nash).
. JX 133; Tr. 221 (Nash).
. JX 73.
. JX 135; see Tr. 219-20 (Nash).
. JX 137 at D13900; see also JX 114 (discussing timing of setting up signs); JX 139 at D20526 (same); JX 145 (same).
. JX 137 at D13901; see also Nash Dep. 154-55.
. JX100.
. See JX 101; Nash Dep. 30-31.
. See JX 109; Nash Dep. 31, 37-39.
. See, e.g., JX 132 (Johnson noting arrival of opposition); JX 134 (parent informing Nash that "there were 2 [letters to the editor] in today about seniors and school tax”); JX 153 (post on Facebook page for opposition group stating, "Residents of Red Clay also stand to get punched in the wallet”); JX 163 (post on Facebook page for opposition group stating, "Get out there and VOTE NO!”).
. JX 132 at D13973.
. JX 123 at D1800.
. JX 154.
. JX 155,
. JX 132; see JX 134 (Nash responding to question about whether " 'pro' letters to the editor would wake up even more seniors” by stating, "I think they [the seniors] are awake”). There is some ambiguity as to whether Red Clay sent the December 2014 edition of the Red Clay Record to all district residents or only to student households. Lip-pincott’s later inquiry and the lack of any meaningful response from "NO” voters in December suggests that the December edition only went to families. Ammann testified that the December edition went to all Red Clay residents. Tr. 580-81 (Ammann). Accepting that it did, the December edition did not go out of its way to focus a reader’s attention on the Special Election. The front page contained a small, approximately one-inch square graphic stating "VOTE! Operating Tax Referendum. February 24, 2015. Polls Open 10 a.m. to 8 p.m. Every Red Clay School (except Central).” JX 281 at D14388. Inside, on page two, the newsletter had a half-page article on the Special Election. Id. at D14389.
. JX 301.
. Id.
. JX301.
. Tr. 118-19 (Penoyer); JX 301.
. JX301.
. Tr. 120 (Penoyer).
. JX 301.
. Tr. 123, 145-46 (Penoyer).
. Id. at 121-22.
. Id. at 122; JX 301.
. Tr. 132 (Penoyer).
. JX162; see Tr. 136-37 (Penoyer).
. See Tr. 132-35 (Penoyer); Tr. 300 (McHugh).
. Tr. 124 (Penoyer).
. JX 275.
. Tr. 124-26 (Penoyer).
. Id. at 128, 130; see Tr. 302-03 (McHugh).
. Tr. 131-32 (Penoyer).
. JX 301; Tr. 489 (Mathis).
. JX 301; Tr. 499 (Mathis).
. Tr. 491 (Mathis); see JX 141.
. Tr. 495, 499 (Mathis).
. Tr. 500 (Mathis).
. Id. at 503-04.
. Id. at 507.
. Tr. 8 (Young).
. Id. at 8, 10.
. Id. at 11. Red Clay called a community witness to rebut the testimony about parking problems at North Star. Tr. 230-34 (Landseder). The documentary record reflected that the witness had not voted at North Star on the day of the Special Election. JX 161. It seems likely that the witness confused the Special Election with another occasion on which he voted at North Star. His testimony also concerned the parking situation around 1:30 p.m., which was not when the Youngs tried to vote.
. Tr. 89-90 (O'Neill).
. Id.
. Id. at 88, 90.
. Id. at 90-91.
. Tr, 27-28, 34-35, 53-54 (Hudson),
. Id. at 28, 34.
. Id. at 28.
. Id. at 29-30, 32, 38-39, 41.
. Tr. 73 (Pickering).
. Id. at 74.
. Id.
. Id. at 78.
. See Tr. 96-97 (Fitzpatrick); see also JX 284 at D425.
. Tr. at 100-01 (Fitzpatrick).
. Tr. 148-49, 156 (Schnell).
. Id. at 154-55.
. Tr. 162-65, 167-69 (Boyle).
. Tr, 340-45 (Johnson).
. See JX 301 (twenty-three attendees at Marbrook's Fifth Grade Author’s Day; twenty-four attendees at North Star’s Read-In Night).
.Tr, 677 (Floore).
. See JX 301,
. Tr. 631-32 (Ammann).
. See JX 88; JX 116; Tr. 616 (Ammann testifying that Red Clay ‘'transferred] some teachers from the remote parking to Linden Hill”).
. JX140; JX142; JX149; JX151.
. JX 121.
. See, e.g., JX 266 (plan for North Star); JX 182 (plan approval).
. Tr. 632 (Ammann testifying that he did not speak with the principals about monitoring parking access). The buses were from Charter School of Wilmington and parked at Marbrook for part of the afternoon as part of an activity. Id. at 631. Having heard the Red Clay witnesses testify, I find that there was no intent to use buses to interfere with the ability of elderly or disabled residents to access the polls.
. Id. at 632-33 (Ammann asserting that he told the custodians to monitor the parking).
. Daugherty Dep. 205.
. JX 177 at D303.
. JX 166 (“We are really getting slammed about events yesterday
. Tr. 48 (Hudson); Peterson Dep. at 11-16.
. PTO ¶ 7.
. This court agreed. A companion decision to the Dismissal Ruling dismissed the plaintiffs’ claims against the Board of Elections, holding that "under the statutory scheme that existed at the time of the Special Election, the Board of Elections had no authority to consider legal violations when certifying the results beyond fraud that was apparent on the face of a ballot or certificate.”
Young v. Red Clay Consol. Sch. Dist.,
. PTCUó; JX178; JX 181.
. Dkt. 144; see Tr. 252-53 (Ratledge).
.JX 301.
. PTOW13-14.
.
. In the Dismissal Ruling, this court held that the Equal Protection Clause provided a more logical framework for analyzing the plaintiffs' claims.
See
. See id. at 811-13 (discussing Delaware Supreme Court precedent that gives primacy to provisions of the Delaware Constitution and declines to interpret them in lockstep with federal analogs). See generally Randy J. Holland, The Delaware State Constitution 32-34 (2011); Randy J. Holland, State Constitutions: Purpose and Function [hereinafter Purpose & Function], in The Delaware Constitution of 1897: The First One Hundred Years 3, 17 (Harvey Bernard Rubenstein et al. eds., 1997) [hereinafter First 100 Years].
.
. A different outcome seems unlikely in this case. Under United States Supreme Court precedent, a selective incentive for voting is subject to the same constitutional analysis a selective burden.
Hooper
v.
Bernalillo Cty. Assessor,
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Helen Norton,
Campaign Speech Law with a Twist: When the Government is the Speaker, Not the Regulator,
61 Emory LJ. 209, 213-14 (2011). Norton distinguished government campaign speech during referendums from government campaign speech in favor of particular candidates and excluded the latter from her definition.
Id.
at 214. In the Dismissal Ruling, I observed that the term logically extends to both contexts, but I agreed that the two scenarios present different policy issues such that government speech during an election involving candidates should receive greater scrutiny.
See
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Id. at 802.
. Id. at 801.
,
See generally
Christopher S. Elmendorf,
Structuring Judicial Review of Electoral Mechanics: Explanations and Opportunities,
156 U. Pa. L. Rev. 313, 365-76 (2007), The Twenty-Fourth Amendment to the United States Constitution abolished the poll tax in federal elections. U.S. Const, amend, XXIV, § 1. The United States Supreme Court invalidated the poll tax in state elections because it discriminated among voters -on the basis of wealth.
Harper v. Va. State Bd. of Elections,
.
See, e.g., Crawford
v.
Marion Cty. Election Bd.,
. See Natalie J. Lockwood, International Vote Buying, 54 Harv. Int’l L.J. 97, 116 (2013) (citing Simeon Nichter, Vote Buying or Turnout Buying: Machine Politics and the Secret Ballot, 102 Am. Pol. Sci. Rev. 19 (2008)) (arguing that vote buying may be effective in encouraging voter turnout); Anthony B. Sanders, In Defense of Vote Buying: How “Nader Traders" Can Defeat Rent Seeking, 26 Hamline J. Pub. L. & Pol'y 43 (2004) (arguing that vote trading, as opposed to vote buying, could increase voter turnout without increasing rent seeking or interest group capture); Richard L. Hasen, Vote Buying, 88 Cal. L. Rev. 1323, 1326, 1332-34 (2000) [hereinafter Vote Buying] (arguing that paying rewards to boost turnout would be beneficial when evaluated using norms of equality and efficiency but could pose concerns for community self-governance).
.
See
Cal. Elec, Code § 18522 (prohibiting any person from providing consideration to a voter to induce or reward the voter to vote for or against a particular candidate, or to refrain
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Del. Const, art. I, § 3,
.
See
.
Abbott
v.
Gordon,
.
Republican Party of Del. v. Dep't of Elections,
. See
.
Wallbrecht v. Ingram,
.
Wallbrecht,
.
People v. Hoffman,
. Dismissal Ruling,
.
In re Request of Governor for Advisory Opinion,
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Maurice A. Hartnett, III, Delaware's Charters and Prior Constitutions [hereinafter Delaware's Charters], in First 100 Years 21, 23.
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Purpose & Function at 5.
. Id. at 6.
. Holland, Delaware State Constitution at 6.
. Declaration of Rights & Fundamental Rules of the Delaware State § 1 (1776).
. Id. § 6.
. Holland, Delaware State Constitution at 7; Delaware’s Charters at 28.
. Del. Const. of 1776, art. 30.
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Holland, Delaware State Constitution at 10-11.
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Id. at 820.
. The intervening Constitution of 1831 made relatively minor changes to the Constitution of 1792, which principally involved reorganizing the judiciary. Holland, Delaware State Constitution at 12-13. The Constitution of 1831 is thus "better seen as a modification of the 1792 Constitution.” Id. at 15.
. See, e.g., id. at 24 ("[Reforming the political system had helped spur calls for the convention. Vote buying and election fraud were considered rampant.”); William H. Williams, Delaware in the 1890s, in First 100 Years 45, 53 (describing the decade of the 1890s as "probably the most politically corrupt in the state’s history”); Henry R. Horsey et al., The Delaware Constitutional Convention of 1897, at 58 [hereinafter Delaware Constitutional Convention of 1897], in First 100 Years 55, (noting that in the years leading up to the Constitutional Convention of 1896-97, "abuse of the poll tax and rampant vote-buying threatened to undermine the foundations of representative government”); Rodman Ward Jr. & Paul J. Lockwood, Bill of Rights: Article I [hereinafter Bill of Rights], in First 100 Years 73, 80 ("The delegates at the 1897 Convention met in the shadow of a very recent history of election bribery in the state.”); Joseph T Walsh & Thomas J. Fitzpatrick, Jr., Judiciary: Article IV, in First 100 Years 121, 123 ("The period immediately preceding the convention was noted by some historians as a time of political scandal, particularly in the election process.”).
. Delaware Constitutional Convention of 1897, at 61; see id. at 62 ("Another of the convention’s primary concerns was to rescue the state’s election process from the rampant fraud which pervaded elections in the Reconstruction period.”).
. Id. at 61.
. 4 Debates and Proceedings of the Constitutional Convention of the State of Delaware 2386 (1958).
. Delaware Constitutional Convention of 1897, at 64; Bill of Rights at 80-81.
. Del. Const, art. V, § 7 (amended 1999).
. John A. Munroe, History of Delaware 173 (5th ed. 2010).
. Id.
. Dismissal Ruling,
. Munroe, History of Delaware at 173; see Delaware Constitutional Convention of 1897, at 63 (explaining that "a candidate or party could pay the tax for a voter who would not otherwise qualify (or could simply provide the voter with a falsified tax receipt)” and that “it was common practice to provide citizens with a tax receipt, together with a pre-marked ballot and perhaps a drink or other small gift once the duty was performed”).
. Del. Const, art. V, § 7.
.
State
v.
Collins,
. Dismissal Ruling,
. The delegates removed the right of jury trial for the constitutionalized criminal offense. "Although it seems to be little more than a historical anecdote today, [this] may have been the most vigorously debated section of the 1897 Constitution.” Bill of Rights at 80; see id. at 81-82. The delegates resisted limiting the fundamental right to trial by jury, but they ultimately regarded the step as necessary "because juries were unwilling to convict in political cases.” Id. at 80 (citing 1 Debates and Proceedings of the Constitutional Convention of the State of Delaware 503 (1958)).
. To reiterate a point made in the Dismissal Ruling, this decision is not seeking to enforce the criminal laws as such. This is not a criminal case, the task of enforcing the criminal statutes lies with the Attorney General, and his office enjoys “broad discretion as to whom to prosecute.”
Albury v. State,
.
See
Dismissal Ruling,
. See id. (discussing judicial consideration of criminal statutes to determine scope of the right to privacy).
.
See
15
Del. C.
§ 5901 (challenge to election as member of General Assembly); 15
Del.
. 15 Del. C. § 5941.
. 15 Del. C. § 101A.
. 14 Del. C. § 1079(a). The statute permits a resident who has been challenged under the statute to vote if the person executes an oath or affirmation attesting to compliance with the statute, 14 Del. C. § 1079(a)-(b).
. JX 28 (Superintendent Daugherty telling all principals to attend); Tr. 114 (Penoyer testifying that she understood the meeting was mandatory); Tr. 489 (Mathis testifying that he only attended because it was mandatory).
. Tr. 114 (Penoyer testifying that her understanding from the meeting was that "every school needed to have an event on the day of the referendum”).
. JX 25 at D2556.
. See JX 307 (compilation of all plans).
. Tr. 625, 628 (Ammann).
. Tr. 595-98 (Ammann).
. JX 301; Tr. 625 (Ammann).
. PTO ¶ 28; see Tr. 624-26 (Ammann testifying that the principal of the one school that was not designated as a polling place reallocated resources to supporting two of the schools that were polling places in hosting their events).
. JX 307 at D3716.
. See JX 301 (spreadsheet identifying events, target audience, likely attendance, and other details).
. See Daugherty Dep, 203 (confirming that the Family-Focused Events were "get out the vote events”); JX 176 at D14676 (Superintendent Daugherty referring to Family-Focused Events as ‘‘[g]et out the vote activities”); JX 56 (principal of A.I. duPont writing in his School Referendum Plan, "We will find opportunities during the studnet [sic] day to draw families in”); JX 102 (teacher at Heritage explaining to parent that the "Author's Teas” were “one of the activities to help get parents in to school so they will vote in the referendum”); JX 313 at D20467 (Johnson stressing that during the Family-Focused Events, principals should be "reminding your families to go into that poll and vote!”); Tr. 351 (Johnson confirming that she “didn’t want any parents to come to an event and then leave without voting”).
. Tr. 120, 125 (Penoyer).
. See JX 301; JX234; JX235.
. JX 185 (Nash acknowledging that "I don’t know [that people without children in the district] would, you know, have a desire to come to Family Bingo Night”); Tr. 186-87 (same).
. JX 301,
. Tr. 123, 145-46 (Penoyer).
. Tr. 491, 494 (Mathis); see JX 66; JX 80; JX 108; see also Tr. 494-95 (Mathis) (Q: “And if a parent didn’t vote, they didn’t get a pass. Correct?’’ A: "Technically.”).
. Tr. 494-95 (Mathis); see JX 108 (”[I]t will be 1 free uniform pass for each voting adult ... 4 adults—4 passes .... ”).
. See Tr. 492-94 (Mathis testifying about importance of pass).
. JX 108; Tr. 495 (Mathis).
. JX 66.
. JX 275.
. Tr. 125, 126-27 (Penoyer).
. JX 275; Tr. 124-25 (Penoyer).
. Compare, e.g., Tr. 127 (Penoyer) ("[It] didn't have to be all checked. It doesn’t matter. It’s elementary school. ... [T]hey can check it, or they don’t have to check it.’’), with Tr. 302-03 (McHugh) (”[T]here was a woman standing there talking as people came out with their children to make sure—I don’t know the exact words, but something to the effect of, you know, ‘Did your parents vote?’ You know, ‘Here’s your ticket and’—to go in and get pizza.”).
. See 6 Del C. § 4504(a).
.
Abbott,
. Id. at *20.
. 14 Del. C. § 1087.
. 15 Del. C. § 4942(a) (the “Anti-Electioneering Statute”).
. 15 Del. C. § 4942.
. Dismissal Ruling,
.
See Agostini v. Colonial Tr. Co.,
. Tr. 379, 390 (Lippincott).
. Id. at 392; see JX 282 (compiling contracts).
. Tr. 396 (Lippincott).
. JX 282.
. Id.
. Tr. 398; accord id. at 399.
. Id.
. JX 36; see Tr. 400-01 (Lippincott).
. Each contract began by listing the school and its street address, then included the following text; "We hereby agree to permit the above named building to be used as a polling place for the RED CLAY CONSOLIDATED SCHOOL DISTRICT REFERNDUM.” JX 282. Other Delaware statutes similarly indicate that when an election statute refers to a "polling place,” it means the building as a whole where voting will take place. See 14 Del. C. § 1072(b) (requiring Department of Elections to "designate and procure the buildings within the district ... which shall be used as polling places for any public school election” and stating that "[w]henever possible, such polling place shall be located in public buildings, which shall include suitable schools”); id. at § 1073 (making election inspector “responsible for the setup, operation and closing of the polling place”); 14 Del. C. § 1082 (describing procedures for voters "at the polling place”); 14 Del. C. § 1088 (identifying the persons who shall be "admitted within the voting room”).
. Tr. 398-99.
. JX 282.
. Tr. 388.
. JX 282.
. Tr. 407.
. Tr. 406-07.
. Tr. 402-03 (Lippincott). "[T]he voter spots are only for people while they are actively voting. If they are going to be going to an event, they should park in a voter spot, go in and vote, and tiren they come out and move their car ....” Id.
. JX 121.
. JX 162; Tr. 133-34, 136 (Penoyer). Red Clay has argued that the sign was more than 100 feet from the actual voting room and was not near the entrance that the Department of Elections officially designated for use by voters. Tr. 607 (Ammann); JX 323. The Red Clay agreements and the Department of Elections’ custom and practice prohibited signage and other electioneering activities within the building that served as the polling place or within fifty feet of any door to the polling place, i.e., the school building, that could be used by voters.
. Tr. 500-01, 505, 507-08 (Mathis); JX 108.
. JX 140; accord Tr. 505, 507 (agreeing that "it is harder to say no to someone who is directly asking you, essentially, 'Is your child important enough to take 5 minutes to vote?’ ”).
. Tr. 606 (Ammann).
. See Tr. 195, 198-99 (Nash).
. JX 301.
. Tr. 8-10 (Young testifying about North Star); Tr. 27-28, 34, 53-54 (Hudson testifying about Marbrook); Tr. 89-90 (O’Neill testifying about Marbrook); Tr, 73-74 (Pickering testifying about H.B. duPont and Skyline); Tr. 97-101 (Fitzpatrick testifying about Linden Hill); Tr. 148-53 (Schnell testifying about McKean); Tr. 163-69 (Boyle testifying about Brandywine Springs).
. Tr. 8-11 (Young); Tr. 89-90 (O'Neill). This decision does not rely on Pickering’s testimony about his parents’ decision not to vote, which is hearsay. Tr. 73 (Pickering).
. Tr. 488 (Mathis).
. JX301; Tr. 499 (Mathis).
. See JX 301.
. Daugherty Dep. 205.
. Tr. 632 (Ammann testifying that he did not speak with the principals about monitoring parking access). As discussed in the Statement of Facts, Ammann testified that he instructed the custodial staff to monitor the parking lots, but there is no contemporaneous evidence .that he gave that instruction, and Ammann uses email as a primary means of communication.
. Tr. 8-11 (Young); Tr. 88-89 (O’Neill).
. Tr. 515.
. Id. at 522-23.
. Id. at 534-35.
. Id. at 523.
. Id. at 535-36.
. See JX 291; JX 292; JX 293; JX 294; JX 295; JX296; JX297; JX298.
.
. Id.
. Id.
. Id.
. Id.
. Id.
.
. Id. at 674.
. Id. at 677-78. Notably, by the time of the decision, the referendum had passed, and the court regarded the issue of the booklet as moot. The court nevertheless decided that the legal issue was important enough to warrant addressing. See id. at 676.
.
Id.
at 676-77. In this respect, the
Citizens
court followed an earlier New Jersey decision that had affirmed a ruling permitting government campaign speech.
See, e.g., City Affairs Comm. v. Bd. of Comm'rs,
.
.
Id.
at 677. Another leading example of this approach is
Stanson v. Mott,
[T]hus, the use of public funds to purchase such items as bumper stickers, posters, advertising “floats,” or television and radio "spots” unquestionably constitutes improper campaign activity, as does the dissemination, at public expense, of campaign literature prepared by private proponents or opponents of a ballot measure. On the other hand, it is generally accepted that a public agency pursues a proper "informational” role when it simply gives a "fair presentation of the facts” in response to a citizen's request for information or, when requested by a public or private organization, it authorizes a[n] agency employee to present the department's view of a ballot proposal at a meeting of such organization.
Id.,
.
. Id.
. Id. at 790-91.
. Id.
. Id. at 852-53 (citations omitted).
. Id. at 853-54.
. See JX 28 (Superintendent Daugherty mandating attendance by principals); Tr. 114 (Baltz principal testifying that she understood the meeting was mandatory for all Red Clay principals); Tr. 489 (Richardson Park principal testifying that he only attended the meeting because it was mandatory).
. See JX 25 at D2555 (campaign strategy slide listing one of four key planks as "[w]ork on the Yes not the No”).
. Tr. 675 (Floore).
. JX 310 at D8610.
. See JX 311 ("Can we count on you supporting Red Clay schools on February 24th?”).
. See id. (telling "YES” voters but not others "that polls are open from 10 a.m. to 8 p.m. and you can vote at any Red Clay school”); Tr. 209-11 (Nash).
. JX 313.
. Tr. 213-15 (Nash); Tr. 490 (Mathis); Tr. 628-31 (Ammann); JX227; JX247.
. Tr. 121-22 (Penoyer).
. See, e.g., Tr. 497-98 (Richardson Park principal stating, "I believe that if [parents] came out, they would vote yes”); Tr. 351 (Johnson acknowledging, in connection with the events Red Clay held at all polling place schools during the Special Election, that she "wanted parents in the schools on the day of the referendum because [she] wanted them to vote” and she believed that "very few parents would oppose the tax increase”); Tr. 537 (Red Clay expert and former superintendent Andrzejewski agreeing that "the purpose of the family friendly events in Red Clay was to get likely yes voters into the polling places”); Tr. 180-81 (Nash agreeing that Red Clay "was targeting or prioritizing positive voters” with certain campaign efforts), The Statement of Facts collects further evidence and makes findings regarding this point.
. JX 50; JX 104; JX 120.
. JX 25 at D2558.
. Tr. 197-99 (Nash); JX 106.
. JX 103; Tr. 199-201 (Nash).
. Tr. 194 (Nash).
. Tr. 562-64 (Ammann).
. Id. at 564-67.
. Id. at 568-69.
. JX 281; Tr. 329 (Johnson).
. Tr. 225-26 (Nash); Tr. 330-31 (Johnson); Tr. 577, 583-86 (Ammann).
. See Tr. 590-91 (Ammann) (discussing attendance at a Red Clay school resource fair that drew Red Clay families); id. at 592-94 (discussing meeting with Delaware Decision Makers business group, New Castle County Chamber of Commerce, and state legislators).
. See JX 25 at D2555 (describing Red Clay's strategy as "[w]ork on the Yes not the No”); Tr. 203-04 (Nash).
. JX 309; see Tr. 352-54 (Johnson).
. JX 124; accord Tr. 201 (Nash). Even after the News Journal ran a story about the referendum in early February 2015, the team considered waiting until anti-referendum letters to the editor appeared. See Tr. 201-03 (Nash); IX 103; JX 124. Once they did, the team debated whether "the 'pro' letters would wake up even more seniors? ?" JX 134; Tr. 215-16 (Nash).
. Tr. 219-20 (Nash); JX 135.
. See Tr. 201-02 (Nash testifying that Red Clay stayed away from certain forums to avoid alerting "no” voters); Tr. 217-19 (Nash testifying that the Steering Committee decided against having residential yard signs to avoid alerting "no” voters to the Referendum).
. JX 280.
. JX 132 (Johnson telling the Red Clay team that objections from seniors had been "coming in since the red clay record landed”); see JX 134 (parent informing Nash that "there were 2 [letters to the editor] in today about seniors and school tax”); id. (Nash responding to question about whether " 'pro' letters to the editor would wake up even more seniors” by stating, "I think they [the seniors] are awake”).
. Tr. 577-78 (Ammann); JX 271; JX 189, at 2.
. JX 115; Tr. 587 (Ammann).
. Once opposition formed, then I believe Red Clay had greater license to-respond. For example, there is evidence that just before the Special Election, an opposition group made 5,000 to 6,000 automated calls urging voters to oppose the tax increase. JX 329, at 27, But for other complicating factors in the case, the existence of those calls would have justified Red Clay's use of its School Messenger system and other school resources during the days before the vote.
.
Christiana Town Ctr., LLC v. New Castle Ctr.,
.
State ex rel. Brady v. Pettinaro Enters.,
.
McMahon
v.
New Castle Assocs.,
. See generally Stephen F. Huefner, Remedying Election Wrongs, 44 Harv. J. on Legis. 265, 283-85 (2007) [hereinafter Election Wrongs]; Kenneth W. Starr, Federal Judicial Invalidation as a Remedy for Irregularities in State Elections, 49 N.Y.U. L. Rev. 1092, 1105-08 (1974) [hereinafter Irregularities in State Elections].
.
State ex rel. Stabler v. Whittington,
.
.
See, e.g., Bortner v. Woodbridge,
.
Gjersten v. Bd. of Election Comm'rs for Chicago,
.
See Election Wrongs
at 283 ("Courts have resorted to this remedy in a variety of circumstances,' and many courts have wrestled with whether and when they have authority to or
.
Gjersten,
.
See, e.g., id.
(noting relevant interests include "the integrity of the electoral system[,] ... the necessities of the process of govem-ing[,] ... [and whether] the unconstitutional practice had a significant impact on the particular election”);
Hendon v. N.C. State Bd. of Elections,
.
Putter,
. Brennan,
. Irregularities in State Elections
at 1099;
see Gjersten,
.
See, e.g., Bowes v. Ind. Sec’y of State,
.
Irregularities in State Elections
at 1101;
see, e.g., Allen v. State Bd. of Elections,
.
Putter,
. Id. at 358.
.
Id.
at 359. In a more recent decision, the Supreme Court of Vermont followed
Putter
and refused to invalidate an election where a town distributed campaign materials that advocated its positions on various issues.
See Daims v. Town of Brattleboro,
.
See
Dismissal Ruling,
.
.
See
Dismissal Ruling,
.
See, e.g., Soules v. Kauaians for Nukolii Campaign Comm.,
. See, e.g., Bonas v. Town of N. Smithfield,
. JX 301.
.
Hendon,
.
See, e.g., Bonas,
.
See, e.g., Gold v. Feinberg,
. See, e.g., Bennett,
.
Spencer,
.
See, e.g., Hadnott,
.
Richards,
.
Holzmueller,
.
Griffin,
.
See, e.g., Bowes,
. See, e.g., Cranford,
.
Stinson,
.
Griffin,
. Scholars have argued that courts should use statistical models when deciding election challenges.
See Election Law Developments
at 1324-28 (endorsing the use of statistical models by courts where possible to "facilitate more rational and consistent decisionmak-ing”); Michael O. Finkelstein & Herbert E. Robbins,
Mathematical Probability in Election Challenges,
73 Colum. L. Rev. 241, 241-42 (1973) (criticizing courts for subjective approach to probability in election challenges and proposing statistical model);
see also
Bernard Harris,
Election Recounting,
42 Am. Stat. 66, 67 (1988) (constructing model and applying it to hypothetical election); James E. Ward III,
The Probability of Election Reversal,
54 Mathematics Mag. 256, 257-59 (1981) (constructing model and applying it to challenged municipal election in Brunswick, Maine); Tom Downs et al.,
Probability in a Contested Election,
32 Am. Stat. 122, 123-24 (1978) (constructing model and applying it to challenged municipal election in Flint, Michigan). Statistical analysis is not a cure-all, but it can be particularly helpful when assessing the relative likelihood of events, where the simple heuristics that the human mind deploys when making day-to-day decisions often lead to error.
See generally
Daniel Kahneman,
Thinking Fast and Slow
(2011). Although judges deciding election contests generally rely on their own subjective assessments of probability, at least one court has considered statistical evidence when determining whether to invalidate an election.
See Green v. Reyes,
.There appears to be an extensive body of social science literature that could have informed an expert’s analysis of issues pertinent to this case.
See, e.g.,
Randall Reback,
Buying Their Votes? A Study of Local Tax-Price Discrimination,
53 Econ, Inquiry 1451 (2014) (finding presence of an aging population correlates with decreased school revenue, unless elderly homeowners receive state-financed reductions in their local ’tax prices); Huan Gong & Cynthia L. Rogers,
Does Voter Turnout Influence School Bond Elections?,
81 S. Econ. J. 241 (2014) [hereinafter
School Bond
Elections] (concluding that targeted voter mobilization strategies have potential to influence school bond election outcomes); Sarah F. Anzia,
Election Timing and the Electoral Influence of Interest Groups,
73 J. Pol. 412 (2011) (using school district elections to analyze whether interest groups with large stake in electoral outcome can influence low-turnout elections); Craig S. Maher & Mark Skidmore,
Voter Response to Referenda Seeking to Exceed Revenue Limits,
29 Pub. Budgeting &
. JX 301.
.
See, e.g., School Bond Elections
at 247 (concluding that targeted voter mobilization strategies have potential to influence school bond election outcomes); Samuel Issacharoff,
Collateral Damage: The Endangered Center in American Politics,
46 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 415, 427 (2004) ("Particularly in low profile elections, or whenever turnout is low, [a strategy targeting a partisan base] is especially effective since fewer votes will be necessary in the low turnout race to produce a victorious election,” (citation omitted)); James Adams & Samuel Merrill III,
Voter Turnout and Candidate Strategies in American Elections,
65 J.
.There is a suggestion in the record that it was Floore's intuition as well. At trial, she expressed concern about whether Red Clay could prevail in a referendum if it could not hold Family-Focused Events or engage in targeted communications with Red Clay parents, but she stopped short of agreeing that they were dispositive. See Tr. 719-22.
. During discovery, Red Clay initially failed to produce the voter information that the plaintiffs requested. Red Clay only produced partial "call lists” from four different schools, which identified the parents of the children on the lists. JX 33; JX 34; JX 63; JX111. Of the 2,660 parents, 757 (or 28,5%) were registered voters who voted in the referendum. JX 279. After the close of discovery, Red Clay moved to exclude the plaintiffs’ expert witnesses on the theory that they had not relied on meaningful data. In response, the plaintiffs pointed to Red Clay’s failure to produce it, and the court observed that under settled principles of Delaware law, Red Clay's failure to produce evidence would permit the court to draw a negative inference about what the evidence would show.
See Kahn v. Lynch Commc’n Sys., Inc.,
. JX 207; Dkt. 144.
. JX 305; Dkt. 144.
. JX305; JX306.
. JX305 (3,677/3,985 = 92.3%).
. The calculations are based on registered voters—although non-registered voters may vote in school referenda—because the total number of unregistered voters in Red Clay is unknown. The difference is likely immaterial: All but 610 of the 11,910 voters in the referendum were registered. JX 161.
. See JX 279. Based on Red Clay's initial call lists, produced at JX 33, JX 34, JX 63, and JX 111, the plaintiffs calculated that 28.5% of registered parents voted. Applying the plaintiffs’ percentage to the total number of parents in the district (19,793) indicates that 5,641 registered parents voted. Subtracting this number from the 11,300 registered voters who voted yields 5,659 non-parent and guardian registered voters. The resulting voting rate for non-parent and guardian registered voters is 7.5% (5,659/75,636). That rate is approximately one fourth of the 28.5% voting rate for parents (28.5%/7.5% = 3.8).
."Suppression” is a one-sided term. The percentage of the senior vote in the electorate depended on the number of non-senior voters, so it could have been affected if other voters participated at higher levels. If parents turned out in greater numbers than usual, that necessarily would lower the percentage of seniors, even if the rate at which seniors participated remained constant. No one attempted to untangle these effects. Because the testimony on this issue was framed in terms of "suppression,” I have used that terminology.
.Tr. 260-61, 265-66. Ratledge agreed that the 2014 mid-term election was more comparable to the Special Election than the 2012 presidential election, both because it was closer in time and because the mid-term elections receive less publicity and have less widespread turnout than presidential elections. See id. at 260-66. He offered no plausible explanation for initially ignoring the mid-term data, saying that he simply did not recall why he chose to use the less comparable 2012 presidential election. See id. at 261 (Ratledge: "I just don’t recall.”).
. Id. at 267, 315-16.
. Id. at 279-80.
. Id. at 315-16.
. Data from Red Clay Board of Education elections shows the percentage of voters 65 or older in those elections to have been 31.63% in 2012, 31.65% in 2013, 30.42% in 2014, and 29.73% in 2015. See JX 6; JX 8; JX 13; JX 187; Diet. 155, at 25 n.11.
. JX 194; JX 305; Tr. 460 (Agne).
. Peterson Dep. at 3-7.
. Id. at 27-28.
. Id. at 29-30.
. Id. at 24.
. Id. at 30-33.
. Id. at 40-41.
. Tr. 25-26 (Hudson).
. Id. at 42-43.
. Id. at 43.
. Id. at 44, 45.
. Id. at 66; accord JX 210, at 2.
. The plaintiffs spin Agne’s agnosticism in their favor by reframing it as a failure to contest Senator Peterson's or Representative Hudson’s opinions, but Agne’s point was broader: No one can know what took place without more detailed analysis, See, e.g., Tr. 449-50 (Agne stating that he had "no idea how seniors might have voted in [the referendum] one way or another”); see abo id. at 447 (Agne agreeing that he "basically had no idea whether or not” the referendum passed because of Red Clay’s "get-out-the-vote activities and their effect on voters and potential voters”); id. (Agne agreeing that did not have an opinion "on whether or not parents and guardians were more likely to support the tax increase than other voters”).
. Id. at 413-14.
. For example, Agne noted that at the two polling locations that were not schools, and hence did not hold Family-Focused Events, the referendum passed. He also noted that at three schools where elderly voters constituted roughly the same percentage of all voters, the spread in support ranged from 31 points in favor to 11 points opposed. Tr. 418-20. These are interesting anecdotal observations, but without more meaningful analysis, it is impossible to know whether they are artifacts of random chance, part of a larger and statistically significant pattern, or legitimately dis-confirmatory.
.
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith, Inc.
v.
Price,
.
Cantor Fitzgerald, L.P. v. Cantor,
. Election Wrongs at 293.
. Tr. 688-93 (Floore describing consequences to Red Clay of having to repay funds),
. Id. at 688, 693.
. See Dkt. 155 at 55; Tr. 697-700 (plaintiffs’ counsel confirming representation).
. 14 Del. C. § 1921.
. See Tr. 681-86 (Floore).
. Id. at 687-88.
. Id. at 693-94.
. See Part I.A, supra.
. 9 Del. C. § 8306(a).
.
Teachers Ins.,
. JX 25 at D2548 ("Local taxes are collected by New Castle County and are fixed based on 1983 assessed property values.”); Tr. 645 (Floore).
.
See, e.g., Gjersten,
.
Cf., e.g., Bell Helicopter Textron, Inc. v. Arteaga,
.I would reach the same conclusion if this decision had considered the plaintiffs’ federal claims and held that Red Clay's conduct also violated the Due Process Clause and the Equal Protection Clause. Whether Red Clay’s interventions violated those provisions is not an issue governed by clearly established law or precedent, and Red Clay’s administrators believed in good faith that they were complying with the law. The other factors also remain the same.
