Lead Opinion
In D. C. Transit System, Inc. v. Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Commission (Transit I),
On September 17, 1965, shortly before our remanding order was certified to the Commission, Transit filed a new tariff making numerous fare changes for 1966,
On January 26, 1966, in purported response to our remand, and without prior notice or further hearing for the purpose, the Commission entered Order No. 563,
Timely petitions for rehearing,
I
1963 Margin Of Return Following our remand, the Commission promulgated in Order No. 563 its supplemental findings to Order No. 245, and “affirmed” its earlier finding that a margin of return representing a rate of 4.87% on operating revenues “was fair and reasonable.”
“inquiries and findings — judgmental as the latter may often be because ratemakers must be prophets of the future as well as historians of the past —into such things as the capital programs in prospect, what such programs entail in terms of down-payments as well as financing, the cost of borrowing money, working capital needs, the desirable ratio of debt to equity, the incentives required by a stockholder to keep his money in the business and the dividends and growth rates requisite to supply these incentives, the opportunities in these respects provided in comparable businesses, and the related matters which must be prayerfully explored by the conscientious regulator before he can begin to say why he fixed upon 4.87 rather than 6.5 or 3.2.”25
Despite these explicit guidelines, we search in vain the Commission’s supplemental opinion for the vital findings, or for any manifestation that the Commission has made the inquiries referred to.
The bulk of Order No. 563 is devoted to a summary of the testimony of various witnesses given during the 1963 hearing. The summary covers such matters as Transit’s rate base; the capital structures of Transit and other utilities; Transit’s cost of capital and that of other utilities; the degree of risk borne by Transit shareholders, as compared with other regulated utilities; dividends and earnings of Transit and its parent,
“We have before us then an abundance of testimony relating to returns authorized and/or earned by transit companies, telephone companies, electric companies, and gas companies. This information allows us to examine earnings on investments carrying, to some degree, a comparable risk, and are of some value when considered in relation to this particular company. No single rate of return is universally applicable to all transit companies in the United States. A fair rate of return varies with the times and conditions of a particular company as these conditions and opportunities exist at the time of the weighing of the facts in the making of a determination. What constitutes a reasonable rate of return is a question of fact, the solution of which calls for the exercise of sound judgment and common sense by the Commission.
“We have weighed very carefully all testimony and exhibits in this proceeding, along with supplemental data where noted. We are of the opinion*929 that fares producing an operating ratio in the range of 95 to 95.5 constituted a fair and proper return. The projected net operating income of $1,-480,000 was the amount necessary to enable Transit to service its debt, pay reasonable dividends, retain a reasonable portion in its business, and to attract investments of private investors. It was, in addition, the amount necessary to maintain investor confidence and to protect the company from the risks peculiar to the transit industry and to Transit itself.”28
Dividend Payout
The Commission’s opinion is almost wholly devoid of any indication of the method by which it calculated that a margin of return of $1,480,000 was fair and reasonable. The Commission did account for a portion of that sum by finding that a dividend payout of $500,000 would be reasonable — apparently in response to our observation that “Transit’s annual dividend pay-out of about $500,-000 appears to have been treated as if it were a cost of operation, like the annual expenditure for gas and oil, with no examination of, or conclusion about, its appropriateness.”
“While there was no direct testimony as to the dollar amount required to be available for dividends, the record does show that $500,000 has been paid out annually over past years to the investors. In view of the fact that in the past three years the market price of the parent company has been relatively stable, it appears to us that the margin of profit allowed by the Commission was fair and reasonable to both the investor and the consumer.”30
The Commission’s stock price stability theory cannot survive close scrutiny. A stable market price could indicate that a constant dividend yield has been consistently too high or too low, as well as that it has been fair and reasonable.
Return on Rate Base
The Commission’s ratemaking responsibilities are by no means exhausted by any determination it may make as to a fair dividend.
Costs of Capital
On our prior reviéw, we took note of the Supreme Court’s statement in FPC v.
During the course of the 1963 hearing, bofh Transit and the protestants
Protestants’ expert recommended that Transit be permitted to earn gross revenues sufficient to provide a return on its equity capital of 12% after allowing for operating expenses and interest on its debt. He reached this figure after study of the earnings-price ratios of Transit’s corporate parent
The Commission made no findings based on any of this evidence, and did not analyze the cost of capital testimony of Transit’s expert witness. With respect to the testimony of protestants’ expert, the Commission had only this to say:
“Moreover, we have considered but placed little emphasis on protestant’s recommended rate of return utilizing the cost-of-capital method. It should be noted that more traditionally the computation of the cost of capital is done by determining the cost of debt and of equity and weighting the two for a composite rate. The protestants*932 in this case disregarded this traditional method. We feel that the cost-of-capital method utilized is inappropriate in determining a proper rate of return for a transit company. Our view is reinforced when we consider the capital structure of this particular company. Other factors in addition to cost of capital should be considered in making the return allowance. These additional factors include the degree of risk involved, a comparison of earnings, the ability to attract capital, the economic conditions of both the market place and the community, the efficiency of management, and the contribution to surplus. We have seen that the recommendation of the pro-testante expert witness is based not on a mathematical formula but a weighting of any [sic] judgmental factors. Thus, the ‘judgment’ factors tend to undermine the objectivity of the end results. This is especially true when the answers given by the witness on his cross-examination are compared with his direct testimony.”48
We are unable to understand the Commission’s failure to make findings on the critical cost of capital factor. Nor are we persuaded by its stated reason for rejecting the approach taken by protestants’ expert.
In the first place, that protestants’ expert “disregarded” the “traditional method” and testified to a cost of equity capital, rather than an overall or combined cost of capital, does not appear to us to deprive his testimony of utility. The witness explained why he talked in terms of a cost of equity capital: “I do not employ a composite rate of return, as I believe that my method of allowing the actual interest expenses, and a determination of the return on the actual equity investment is simpler and gives approximately the same result.” Had the Commission desired, the protestants’ figure for cost of equity capital could have been transformed quite easily into a figure representing a combined cost of debt and equity capital.
We are also puzzled by the Commission’s statement that “the cost of capital method * * * is inappropriate in determining-a proper rate of return for a transit company,” and we do not understand how this view is “reinforced” by reference to “the capital structure of this particular company.” Indeed, it is difficult to see how else the Commission could hope to determine “the sum of money needed to attract the capital, both debt and equity, required to insure financial stability” than through an analysis of the sort proposed by the two expert witnesses.
Comparable Earnings
By including “a comparison of earnings” in its list of “additional factors” the Commission may have had reference to FPC v. Hope Natural Gas Co.,
‘‘the return to the equity owner should be commensurate with returns on investments in other enterprises having corresponding risks. That return, moreover, should be sufficient to assure confidence in the financial integrity of the enterprise, so as to maintain its credit and to attract capital.”55
As various commentators have noted,
In remanding, we noted that, at the time Transit began operations, the company’s heavy debt capitalization
“The urgency of the problem of traffic uncertainty has, however, receded appreciably into the past. Although it continues to exist to some degree by reason of the seemingly inexhaustible enthusiasm of motorists and highway builders, on the one hand, and persistent speculation about rail rapid transit, on the other, we think the time has come for the Commission to make a careful review and analysis of the earnings experience of Transit from its inception, and of what that experience has meant to the equity owners, both by way of dividend payments and growth in book values through retained earnings. We do not see how current fare increases can properly be appraised apart from such a study, and the reflection of its results in the articulation of the Commission’s decision as to the margin of revenues over expenses appropriate to today’s needs, as distinct from the crisis conditions of nearly a decade ago.”62
The Commission responded to these comments by setting forth gross statisties on Transit’s total , and average-per-year retained earnings over a nine-year period, and the range of net operating income figures over that period. It observed that “the rate of dividend growth has been zero since 1960,” noted “little growth trend in the earnings per share,” and stated that “[t]he degree of stock price stability in the market place indicates to us that earnings in the past have not been excessive.”
There is much information in the records of both the 1963 and 1965 rate proceedings relative to Transit’s return on equity, as well as the returns being earned by companies with which Transit might be compared,
Transit’s evidence in the 1965 proceeding discloses the average return on book equity for 18 urban transit companies for the period 1960 to 1964 to have been approximately 4.5%, while Transit’s average return on book equity for the same period was 23.3%. Protestants introduced exhibits revealing that, for the period 1959 to 1964, Transit’s average return on book equity was 24.01% while the average for ten transit companies for that period was 9.45%.
One witness in the 1963 proceeding testified that Transit had experienced “abnormally high earnings on the equity investment,” and calculated that over a six-year period Transit had accrued earnings in excess of “fair annual earnings on book equity,” which he set at 14%, in the amount of $3,882,000. Another witness in the 1965 proceeding testified that
“when one looks at the figures [representing Transit’s return on equity] * * * one wonders whether or not he is looking at the figures for a regulated utility. * * * [T]here are many highly speculative industries which would like to be able to hold out such high returns to the equity in*937 vestor. I know of no other utility company that can show as high a return on equity, on average, as this one.’’71
We do not decide, whether, based on this record, the Commission could have made a sustainable finding that the return allowed by Order No. 245 was “commensurate with returns on investments in other enterprises having corresponding risks.”
the peculiar risks borne by Transit shareholders,
In sum, we find in the Commission’s supplemental opinion little in the way of “particularized reference” to the matters discussed in our remand opinion, none of the essential findings called for, and no manifestation of inquiry into any of the considerations “which must be prayerfully explored by the conscientious regulator before he can begin to say why he fixed upon 4.8 rather than 6.5 or 3.2.”
Disposition
On our original review of this case in Transit I, we were unable to discern from the Commission’s opinion the method by which it had computed the return to be allowed Transit. Because the Commission had “described its deliberations and conclusions * * * [solely] in terms of stock generalizations which serve only to frustrate, rather than illuminate, judicial review,”
The case now before us, however, is quite different. The Commission, once again, does not advance a rational basis for its determination of rate of return— despite the opportunity afforded it to do so, after we had enunciated the applicable principles and emphasized the need for findings.
The question nonetheless remains whether we should again remand to the Commission, to permit further consideration and a new order. For even where agency action must be set aside as invalid, but the agency is still legally free to pursue a valid course of action, a reviewing court will ordinarily remand
Orders Nos. 245 and 563 have been superseded by later fare orders entered by the Commission subsequent to our remand in Transit I-
With Orders Nos. 245 and 563 invalid and further remand now futile,
Thus we are confronted with the necessity of formulating the criteria by
Because we have found the Commission’s action in approving the fare increase to have been invalid, and because we have no basis in later valid action of the Commission for inferring that the rates set by Order No. 245 were in fact, just and reasonable, despite the defects in the Commission’s deliberations leading to their original approval,
In sum, we find substantial and unmistakable indications, in the record under review as well as in a subsequent determination of the Commission which we have affirmed, that it would be unfair to order Transit to restore the full amount it realized under the invalid fare increase. In so concluding, we have placed particular reliance upon the Commission’s finding as to the amount of net income which would have been earned by Transit under the fare schedule in effect prior to Order No. 245. That finding was properly grounded, conformably with the Commission’s role in fixing rates to operate in the future, upon estimates of expenses to be incurred and revenues to be received during the future test period. But we perceive no justification for permitting such a prediction to control the course we are to follow in equitably disposing of funds collected
In laying down a standard by which to measure Transit’s right to retain funds collected under the fare increase, we are aware that we are ill-equipped, even were we authorized to do so, to search the record and reach our independent conclusions as to what would have constituted reasonable fares for the period in question. Nevertheless, the duty to reach a just decision in this regard cannot be shirked, and our effort must be to find a solution which lies within our competence as a reviewing court, while at the same time responding in the fullest possible measure to the equitable considerations that must guide us.
The disposition we deem most consonant with this objective would compel Transit to restore the amount realized by the fare increase only to the extent that its actual return is not reduced to an amount which all parties have agreed would be unreasonably low. Thus Transit will be permitted to retain any portion of the higher fares necessary to preserve its actual earnings during the years in question
II
The Acquisition Adjustment Account
Petitioners in No. 20,201 complain of a fundamental change by the Commission in the method of its treatment of Transit’s acquisition adjustment account, which has engaged our attention before.
PUC selected the ten-year period for amortization in order to link it to an annual accrual of $1,044,196 over the identical period to a reserve designed to absorb Transit’s estimated future expenses for track removal and street repaving incidental to its franchise-required conversion from Capital’s trolleybus operation to Transit’s eventual all-bus operation.
In Order No. 245, however, the Commission suspended the annual accruals to the reserve as of January 1, 1963, concluding that its existing balance would cover all of Transit’s removal and repaving expenses anticipated for the immediate future.
In Transit I, we upheld the Commission’s determination on this point.
In directing this change, the Commission did not relate the liquidation of the acquisition adjustment balance to any new schedule for depreciation of the involved properties, a procedure it had promised in Order No. 245 and one which we had regarded as “most sensible.”
As a preliminary matter, though, we face, but reject, a common protest by Transit and the Commission that petitioners are foreclosed from litigating that issue because they did not seek a review of Order No. 385, by which the change complained of was directed. The Commission promulgated Order No. 385 without a hearing of any sort, in spite of its claim, in defending its earlier Order No. 245 before us in Transit I, that it had to have more evidence before it could intelligently alter the amortization of the acquisition adjustment balance.
Petitioners made a timely application to the Commission for reconsideration of Order No. 385. In denying it, the Commission proclaimed ■ that the order was “subject to complete analysis and review in any future rate proceeding.”
Reverting to the merits of petitioners’ contention, we find that the Commission’s new plan for amortization of the acquisition adjustment balance largely sets for naught fundamental considerations the Commission was obliged to observe. One was the intended function of the amorization as the counterweight to excessive depreciation charges. While, on the assets Transit bought from Capital, Transit was annually taking the same depreciation Capital was allowed to take, the amount of the annual amortization was to balance out the difference between Transit’s purchase price and their higher value on Capital’s books.
This we see in vivid outline as we again consult the record before us. Of $46,534,172 in original cost of the de-preciable properties Transit acquired from Capital in 1956, a total of $35,979,-793, or 77.3% had been retired from service by January 1, 1964, the effective date of the Commission’s change.
The Commission’s stated reason for modification of the acquisition adjustment amortization was the avoidance of a fare increase in 1966, when under the existing arrangement the amortization would come to an end.
For the calendar year 1964, Transit stated a return on equity of 10.56%, reflecting $511,115 in net income and $4,837,992 in equity. Without the change, Transit’s net income would have been $760,232 greater,
Judicial decisions have long censured depreciation plans breeding excessive charges which in turn exaggerate the costs of serving the public.
Moreover, the costs of the service a regulated utility provides should, as far as possible, be borne by those who are served as they are being served. The disproportion between the amortization of the acquisition adjustment balance- and remaining depreciable life of the acquired properties charges present riders with substantial depreciation ex
We do not suggest that Transit should be required to make up at one fell swoop the differences reflected by possible percentage variations between the amount of depreciation accruing on the acquired properties before January 1, 1964, the Commission’s changeover date, and the portion of the acquisition adjustment balance written off before that date.
III
Deficiency In Depreciation Reserve
In 1964, the Commission found a large deficiency, existing as of August 15, 1963, in Transit’s reserve for depreciation on operating properties.
Of the deficiency balance, $806,168 was the aggregate of underaccruals of depreciation on properties then still in service. The Commission directed that this amount be taken out of the suspense account and placed above the line
The remaining $293,459 of the deficiency balance represented underaccruals
The $806,168 Deficiency
Petitioners in No. 20,201 argue that the $806,168 should not have been charged off in a single year, and should not have been deducted from the court-ordered reserve. They point to the fact that some of the properties as to which this part of the deficiency arose have service lives exceeding 30 years, and urge that any recoupment be éffected through annual deductions from operating income over the remaining life of Transit’s franchise.
The problem, as we analyze it, breaks down into three facets, each of which we will discuss. The first concerns the handling of this item in the projection of Transit’s operating costs preliminarily to establishment of a margin of return. The second is the question whether Transit may reclaim this portion of the under-accrued depreciation for its investors. If so, the third is whether its deduction from the court-ordered reserve, in lieu of some other type of adjustment, is in order.
Treatment for Ratemaking Purposes
The Commission viewed the $806,168 as a loss to Transit’s investors for which they had not been compensated, and felt that “the techniques of preferring to
accomplish [reimbursement] by a charge against a court-ordered reserve in lieu of charging a particular period’s profit and loss account, is merely a matter of semantics.”
We are not able to concur in the Commission’s reasoning. As we interpret the record, the above-the-line debit of the $806,168 to Transit’s depreciation expense account added just that much in pre-1966 depreciation expense to Transit’s operating costs for 1966. The calendar year 1966, it will be recalled, was the future annual period for which Transit’s operating expenses were estimated,
We have, in another context, delineated the principle that, to avoid this very kind of distortion, deductions for depreciation must be maintained in reasonable relationship with the service period of the property depreciated.
Recovery from Farepayers
Petitioners do not contend that a depreciation deficiency cannot normally be levied against ratepayers, but encompassed, we thing, within their objection to deduction of the $806,168 from the court-ordered reserve is the query whether Transit’s farepayers now have such an obligation.
We faced a cognate problem in Washington Gas Light Company v. Baker,
“Despite this premise, the record contains no evidence as to whether earnings during the life of this property sufficiently exceeded the fair rate of return to compensate investors for the inadequate depreciation charges. We recognize that the legality of past rates may not be challenged, and that past excessive earnings belong to the Company just as past losses must be borne by it. That is not to say, however, that when the Commission purports to act on the equities of the situation, and awards higher rates because of past inequities to investors, it must not support the factual premise upon which it builds by evidence in the record. ‘Elaborate calculations which are at war with realities are of no avail.’ ”186
The same considerations are involved here. The Commission made no finding as to whether Transit’s investors have received remuneration for the depreciation undercharges from actual earnings over and above fair return while the properties were in service.
Resort To The Court-Ordered Reserve
Should the Commission find that Transit’s investors remain unreimbursed for the underaecrued depreciation, it would again face the question whether repayment could be accomplished by resort to the court-ordered reserve — a course petitioners vigorously oppose. We reiterate, however, that the $806,168 represented depreciation accruing during an era gone by, and that to no extent was it an advance charge for depreciation to arise only in the future. And we rule that the court-ordered reserve is a legitimate source for full and immediate rectification of any unreimbursed deficiency that might be found.
In our 1963 Bebchick decision,
The deficiency in Transit’s depreciation reserve developed because too little depreciation had been charged to fare-
In sum, the court-ordered reserve is the equivalent of fare overpayments, and the deficiency is the amount of depreciation undercharges, both occurring in the past. The Commission’s conclusion, in essence, was that the past depreciation undercharges might be offset by the past fare overcharges.
The $252,688 Deficiency
As we have observed,
The $252,688 is unreimbursed depreciation accumulating on a garage and on an office building while in public service during the period in which the general depreciation underaccrual occurred. After the deficiency was discovered by the Commission in 1964 and its amount was ascertained, the garage in its entirety and the office building to the extent of 80% were transferred to non-operating status and removed from public use.
The sole reason the Commission advanced for the adjudication complained of was that because these properties were no longer in public service at the time the Commission decided to close out the depreciation suspense account, they should assume their aliquot share of the deficiency.
The Commission must therefore give the deficiency of $252,688 the same treatment that the $806,168 will be accorded. This means that the Commission, after thorough investigation, will first determine the extent, if any, to which Transit’s investors may have already been repaid by excesses of past actual earnings over a fair margin of return while the properties in question were in service.
IV
The Investment Tax Credit
Transit has benefited considerably from the investment credit, since 1962 permitted against federal income taxes,
Order No. 564 tells us that the Commission’s treatment of Transit’s investment credits is an effort “to comply with the intent of Congress as expressed in Section 203(e) of the 1964 [Internal] Revenue Act.”
The Commission’s discussion of the problem leaves us uncertain as to whether it considers itself controlled by Section 203(e), or as to whether the Commission adheres to it as a matter of administrative policy. The section in terms applies only to an “agency or instrumentality of the United States,”
But the issue does not vanish here, for the Commission’s authority to administratively adopt the canon expressed in Section 203(e) is something else again. “A regulatory agency,” we have said, “may, should, and in some instances must, give consideration to objectives expressed by Congress in other legislation, assuming they can be related to the objectives of the statute adminis
It does not, however, appear that the Commission, in adhering to Section 203 (e), engaged in a decisional act. Administrative discretion implies concentration upon a problem in its distinctive context, while legislation must necessarily address the problem more broadly. What in overall result may be wholesome as a legislative rule having general operation may be unfeasible as a judgmental exercise in a particular case. The Commission’s consideration of Transit’s investment credits embraced only a reference to the statute, with which it coupled “an effort to comply with the intent of Congress as expressed in” the statute,
In sum, there are no signs of the particularized inquiries or the reasoned conclusions which make for an exercise of discretion. On the contrary, the Commission states that its disposition of the matter “is in accordance with commission action in rate cases which were processed through this commission since the 1964 [Internal] Revenue Act .was passed,”
This case is essentially not unlike FCC v. RCA Communications, Inc.,
We think substantially similar considerations obtain in this case, and conclude that we should remand to the Commission for inquiry and deliberation suitable to proper treatment of Transit’s investment credits. Legislative policy reflected in tax statutes of general application may have a legitimate role in rate regulation, and tax objectives may be honored in a degree appropriate within the principles mandated by the specific regulatory statute drawn into the litigation.
The congressional goal in making the investment credit available is crystal clear. The committee reports on the 1962 legislation — which gave birth to this credit — stated in unison that the aim was to stimulate investment by reducing the net cost of acquiring depre-ciable assets.
y
Deferred Tax Charges on Track Removal And Street Repaving Costs
From August, 1956, through the calendar year 1962, as we have mentioned in another context,
In 1959, PUC ordered the resulting increases in Transit’s income taxes to be charged to the reserve for removal and repaving, attributing this technique to a net-of-taxes theory
In the meanwhile, after the Commission suspended accruals to the reserve in 19 63,
Transit’s prime objection to this procedure stems from apprehensions that it will reduce its recovery of the increased income taxes it was required to pay to the District. After the Commission stopped accruals to the reserve for track removal and repaving, Transit’s annual expenditures for track removal and repaving rose to a point higher than its annual District taxable income.
We find Transit’s fears to be unfounded, and its criticisms of the Commission’s program unavailing. The Commission fully recognized that the increased income taxes Transit has been required to pay to the District, as well as all its expenses for track removal and street repaving,
VI
Estimate of Bus Maintenance
Transit projected the expenses
The Commission’s staff accepted, as the cornerstone of its projection, Transit’s historical cost figure of $4,249,452. It began its calculation of adjustments for the future by estimating the number
This observation, to say the least, is not fully accurate. Transit’s appraisal of future expenses, as we have pointed out,
But this is not all. The evidence vindicates Transit’s thesis that operational expenses become larger as a bus grows older, and obviously a new bus placed in service in mid-1965 or mid-1966 will be months older at the end of 1966.
Moreover, the staff’s estimate of six cents, the record reveals, was derived
Still another problem springs from the manner in which the Commission’s staff, preliminary to application of its per-mile cost factor, undertook to ascertain the mileage which the new buses would travel in place of the old. Transit was unable to respond initially to the Commission’s request for information as to how the new buses would be allotted to scheduled operations because those determinations had not at the time been made. The staff then proceeded to allocate mileages to the new vehicle according to its own views as to the various routes on which Transit could best use them. The record discloses, however, that in the process the staff overlooked requirements which precluded many of the assignments it made.
The Commission itself concluded that “[t]he staff estimate appears low, due, at least, to bus-assignment difficulty”
We must sustain the Commission’s findings when they materialize as rational deductions grounded on substantial evidence in the record considered as a whole.
VII
1965 Margin of Return
In Order No. 564, the Commission found “that a margin of return above operating expenses in the amount of about $2 million is fair and reasonable for 1966,”
From the Commission’s discussion we glean the formula by which it set the margin of return at $2,000,000. Additionally to Transit’s estimated debt expense of $960,000, it allowed “$400,000 to $500,000” as an annual dividend
Dividend Payout
As we said in Transit I, a “just and reasonable” rate is one that enables the utility, among other things, to “pay dividends sufficient to continue to attract investors.”
As its sole reason for including in the margin of return “$400,000 to $500,000” for dividends, the Commission stated that “Transit has paid an annual dividend of $500,000 since 1960 and the testimony tends to show that the market place assumed the continuation of such dividend.”
The assertion that the market place “assumes” continuity in the amount of Transit’s dividends could mean that absent the customary yield prudent investors would cease viewing Transit’s stock
A method for determining a fair return or a reasonable dividend yield which looks solely to a pegging of the market price of the company’s stock at past levels is manifestly unacceptable.
In support of its statement that the market place “assumes” continuation of past dividends, the Commission apparently relied on the testimony of Transit’s expert witness that
“if the annual payout [of $500,000] was not continued, the adverse effect on the market value of the stock of the parent would be considerable, and the financial stability of Transit would deteriorate in the eyes of the financial community.”299
But this assertion, standing alone, does not provide adequate support for a finding that Transit’s traditional annual dividend payout must persist in order to “continue to attract investors” — even assuming that such a finding was made.
As in the 1963 proceeding, both Transit and the protestants presented evidence relating to Transit’s earnings-price ratios, and those of other companies; Transit’s return on equity, and the returns afforded by natural gas and electric utilities, as well as other urban transit companies; and dividend-price and dividend payout ratios for Transit and other utilities. The Commission’s opinion virtually ignores this information.
The Commission did observe that the protestants’ “cost-of-capital method of determining a fair rate of return for
The Commission made no evaluation of Transit’s annual dividend payout or its overall return in the light of dividends and returns of companies of comparable risk.
The “cushion”
We also hold that the Commission has failed to justify its inclusion of “$550,000 to $650,000” as a “cushion” in the margin of return it allowed. The “cushion”, the Commission stated, was the amount “required to enable Transit to maintain a sufficient surplus to cover contingencies and to assure the financial stability of Transit.”
“Admittedly, the commission has been conservative in its estimates for future revenues and expenses. In fact, the difference between the net operating income projections of the commission and Transit amounts to more than $800,000. The commission feels that in prescribing rates under the operating ratio method it should be careful not to' overestimate revenues or expenses since the rate of return is directly geared to these items. If we, even inadvertently,*973 should include margins of error, in the estimated operating revenues or expenses, we would be allowing a return on such errors. The great possibility of error in estimates and projections, a very real contingency, thus is better given weight here in the margin of return allowed than above the line where the effect would be compounded.”307
The process of fixing rates prospectively necessarily imposes on a rate-making authority the difficult task of estimating the utility’s cost, in future years, of providing service to the public. Even the most intelligent estimate of future expenses, because it is an estimate, does not dispel completely the possibility of some inaccuracy.
The Commission stated that “in prescribing rates under the operating ratio method it should be careful not to overestimate revenues or expenses since the rate of return is directly geared to these items. If we, even inadvertently, should include margins of error, in the estimated operating revenues or expenses, we would be allowing a return on such errors.”
The Commission’s concern over the possibilities of additional costs is equally .undocumented. All of the contingencies it identified as potentially enlarging expenses appear to be remote or speculative, and merely variations on the theme that its estimates might be erroneous. For example, even though it made no provision for additional track removal expenditures, the Commission stated that “the possibility exists that Transit might incur considerable expenses over and above the amount which remains in the track removal reserve in 1966. There is also the risk that the track removal program could be accelerated during the future period.”
Resort to a “cushion” cannot relieve the Commission of its duty to explore, and make findings on the probabilities of future occurrence of particular expenses. And the line between those costs that can and those that cannot be projected for ratemaking purposes must at all times be scrupulously observed. Expenses too remote or speculative to be forecast with any reasonable degree of certainty, and those that are extraordinary and not likely to recur in normal periods,
The Commission, of course, was at liberty to allow a return which would enable not only the payment of an appropriate dividend, but also an addition to surplus of amounts necessary to insure financial stability and to provide to the equity holder a return which in the
Disposition
In view of the fundamental inadequacy of the method by which the Commission determined the margin of return allowed Transit, we hold that its action in ordering $1,350,000 to be transferred from the court-ordered reserve was unlawful and must be set aside. Since Order No. 564, like Orders Nos. 245 and 563, has been superseded as a result of the Commission’s subsequent approval of new fare schedules,
Since it was uncontested that Transit was entitled to a return of at least $1,550,000,
VIII
Summary
We here recapitulate, for the convenience of the parties and the Commission, the major dispositions required by the holdings delineated in this opinion.
Orders Nos. 245 and 568
Orders Nos. 245 and 563 are set aside. Transit is directed to make restitution for all amounts collected as a consequence of the fare increase initially authorized by Order No. 245, during the period that order was effective, except that it may retain any portion of the excess fares necessary to preserve its earnings at the level conceded by the protestants to represent a fair return.
Order No. 564
The issue concerning the acquisition adjustment account is remanded to the Commission for a redetermination of the schedule for amortization of the balance thereof on the chángeover date, and a relating of that schedule to the remaining lives of the properties in service on the changeover date. Any amounts heretofore charged against the account in excess of the amounts found to be proper shall be deposited in the court-ordered reserve.
The issue concerning the deficiency in the depreciation reserve is likewise remanded to the Commission for findings as to the extent, if any, to which Transit’s investors have already been reimbursed for the diminution in value of their investment in operating properties devoted to public use over and above accruals to the reserve. The Commission may permit Transit to retain any portion of the total amount of underac-cruals for which its investors have not been compensated in the form of past earnings in excess of fair returns. Any amounts permitted by Order No. 564 to be withdrawn from the court-ordered reserve for which Transit’s investors have already been so compensated shall be restored to the reserve.
The Commission on remand is further directed to make findings and conclusions as to the treatment proper for Transit’s investment tax credits, and the amounts, if any, by which Transit’s federal income tax expense should be reduced as a consequence of any such credits. To the extent the Commission may find that Transit was permitted to accrue excessive income tax expenses for 1966, the amount thereof should be placed in the court-ordered reserve.
The Commission’s authorization of a margin of return of approximately $2,000,000 is set aside, as is its action, in consequence thereof, permitting $1,350,000 to be transferred to Transit from the court-ordered reserve. The funds so transferred shall be restored to the reserve, except that Transit may retain any portion thereof necessary to preserve its net income at the level recommended by the protestants as a fair return.
Although we have also held that the Commission erred in its estimate of Transit’s bus maintenance expenses for 1966, we make no separate provision to offset, by any amounts improperly disallowed, the sum which Transit is compelled to restore to the court-ordered reserve. For our disposition of the matter of restitution allows Transit a return computed on the basis of its actual experience during the period in question, and thus necessarily compensates it for all out-of-pocket expenses legitimately incurred.
So ordered.
DANAHER, Circuit Judge, concurs in the result in Nos. 20,200; 20,201; and 20,202; and in the opinion in No. 20,202 insofar as affirmance is directed.
Notes
.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245),
. Transit sought to raise to 25 cents the price of tokens then being sold for 20 cents in units of five for $1.00. Order No. 245 permitted Transit to increase the token fare to 21.25 cents, tokens to be sold in units of four for 85 cents. The order left unaffected the adult cash fare at 25 cents, as to which no change was requested.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. Transit I, supra note 1,
. Ibid.
. The calendar year 1966 was chosen as the future annual period for the projection of the operating results the new tariff was designed to achieve, and the 12-month period ending June 30, 1965, was employed as the historical test year. Neither selection is contested here.
. As previously, see note 3, supra, tokens would be sold in units of four. Thus the new tariff would increase the unit price from 85 cents to $1.00.
. Tit. II, art. XII, § 6(a). The Compact is incorporated into Pub.L. 86-794, 74 Stat. 1031 (1960), and is set forth in full following D.C.Code § 1-1410 (1967 ed.). Amendments to the Compact appear as a part of Pub.L. 87-767, 76 Stat. 765 (1962), and are set forth following D.C. Code § 1-1410a (1967 ed.).
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563),
. The Commission’s supplemental findings in Order No. 563 purport to rest on the evidence developed in the 1963 hearing and on certain of the evidence adduced at the hearing in 1965.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564),
. Id. at 68, 69. This represents an operating ratio of 93.97.
. Id. at 58, 68.
.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 16.
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 17(a); Pub.L. 86-794, 74 Stat. 1031, § 6 (1960).
. Petitioners in No. 20,200 are two riders who, in protest of the fare increase, participated in the proceeding leading to Order No. 245 and intervened on the former appeal. The United States, also an intervenor on that appeal, does not seek a further review. Petitioners in No. 20,201 are two additional riders (one of whom is counsel of record for petitioners in Nos. 20,200 and 20,201) and the Democratic Central Committee of the District of Columbia, who opposed the increase Transit sought in 1965. Transit is the intervenor in Nos. 20,200 and 20,201 and the petitioner in No. 20,202.
. In pt. I, we study Orders Nos. 245 and 563 in their relation to the margin of return allowed for 1963. In pts. II to VII, we deal with contentions as to an assortment of determinations set forth in Order No. 564. Pt. II probes a Commission-ordered extension of the period for amortization of the balance in Transit’s acquisition adjustment account. Pt. Ill scrutinizes the Commission’s handling of a deficiency in Transit’s reserve for depreciation on its operating properties. Pt. IV examines the Commission’s management, for rate-making purposes, of Transit’s investment credits against federal income taxes. Pt. V inspects the Commission’s treatment of Transit’s additional District of Columbia income taxes resulting from a deferral of deductions on track removal and street repaving expenses. Pt. VI analyzes the Commission’s estimate of Transit’s costs for maintenance of its buses during the future annual period. Pt. VII considers the Commission’s finding and rationale on the margin of return for 1966. In Pt. VIII, we recapitulate the procedures required for our disposition of the various issues tendered for decision.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. Petitioners also found a claim of infringement of their statutory and constitutional rights upon the fact that Order No. 563 was formulated without any notice or hearing specifically related to that purpose. Our disposition, on other grounds, of that order renders unnecessary a consideration of that contention. Compare Bush v. State of Texas,
One additional question arising from our prior remand in Transit I — the matter of overaccrued depreciation on Abandoned Rail Property — is raised by petitioners in this proceeding. Petitioners seem to suggest that having found that there existed an overaccrual as of August 15, 1963, the Commission was barred by our opinion in Transit I from off-setting this by any under-accrual of depreciation of other properties during the period in question. It is enough to say with respect to this contention that there is no suggestion in our remand opinion that any such mechanical limitation on the Commission’s discretion was intended. Consequently, we find no error in the Commission’s treatment of this point on remand.
.
. Ibid.
. Ibid.
. Transit is the -wholly-owned subsidiary of D. C. Transit System, Inc., a Delaware corporation.
.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. In addition to the apparent unreliability of stock price stability as an indicator of the appropriateness of a given level of dividend payments, evidence in the record suggests that the market price of D. C. Transit (of Delaware) stock has not been nearly as stable as the- Commission seems to feel. The average yearly market price — the average of high and low prices in a year — varied by as much as 14.6% during the years cited by the Commission. Moreover, the Commission has apparently not inquired into the significance of market price fluctuation within the years in question, and petitioners cite in their brief data showing substantial fluctuation within those years. For example, they state that the low for D. C. Transit (of Delaware) Class A public shares in 1960 was 8% while the high in 1961 was 14%. And finally, the Commission, in utilizing figures as to the market price of D.O. Transit (of Delaware) stock in demonstrating the appropriateness of a given level of dividend payout by Transit, has failed to comment on the significance of evidence in the record that of the $500,000 dividend paid by Transit to its parent, see note 26, supra, only $400,000 has historically been passed on to D. C. Transit (of Delaware) stockholders. In a later rate order, the Commission commented on the unreliability of employing market price figures for Transit’s parent in determining a proper return for Transit. Order No. 656 (unreported) (WMATC Jan. 12, 1967).
. One witness did testify in the 1965 proceeding that “[t]he market place now assumes continuation of this $500,000 payout which has occurred every year since 1960. If this annual pay-out is not continued, the adverse effect on the market value of D. C. Transit System, Inc. (Delaware) stock would be considerable and the financial stability of D. C. Transit would deteriorate in the eyes of the financial community.” However, to the extent that this testimony relies on past dividends to justify the current dividend payout, it continues the approach we criticized in remanding, for it treats the $500,000 payout as a “cost of operation,”
. “The ‘expertise’ of a commission usefully serves it in evaluating the evidence, but that expertise can not supply evidence and can not, without findings made upon the critical issues before it, guide a commission to a rational and lawful decision.” Capital Transit Co. v. Public Utils. Comm’n,
. Indeed, though the Commission should certainly take into account whether the return it allows will enable the company “to * * * pay dividends sufficient to continue to attract investors,” Transit I,
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. Ibid.
.
.
.
. Ibid.
. The petitioners in No. 20,200 participated in the proceeding before the Commission as protestants. Other protestants and an intervenor in the Commission proceeding are not parties here.
. See In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. Ibid.
. See note 26, supra.
. See In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. See id. at 39-40. The witness’ overall objective was to provide a return that would maintain the. market price of a share of Transit stock at about its book value. Though at least one commentator has approved this approach, not all commentators have accepted its validity. Compare Note, An Earnings Price Approach to Fair Rate of Return in Regulated Industries, 20 Stan.L.Rev. 287 (1968) with Bonbright, supra note 34, at 254-256.
. The witness recommended that Transit be permitted to earn a total margin of return of $1,107,000 comprised of an allowance for estimated debt expense of $602,089 and a return to the equity holder of $504,838. See In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. Having computed an estimated cost of debt, but see note 68, infra, and having arrived at a cost of equity capital, an overall cost of capital could be derived as follows: The estimated cost of debt is multiplied by a fraction representing the proportion which debt capital bears to the company’s overall capitalization. The estimated cost of equity capital is multiplied by a fraction representing the proportion which equity capital bears to the company’s overall capitalization. The two figures are then added to give the overall cost of capital. See Leventhal, Vitality of the Comparable Earnings Standard for Regulation of Utilities in a Growth Economy, 74 Yale L.J. 989, 992-993 (1965); Note, An Earnings-Price Approach to Fair Rate of Return in Regulated Industries, 20 Stan.L.Rev. 287, 293-294 (1968).
. See note 42, supra, and accompanying text.
. See Bonbright, supra note 34, at 250-254, Leventhal, supra note 49, at 992-993.
. Protestants’ expert testified that “there is * * * a pretty well-founded theory, that if equity stock, common stock, is preceded by a high debt ratio — -that [investors] * * * will want a somewhat higher earnings-price ratio because * * * they fear [the] * * * great leverage that those high preferred charges on in
. Though the Commission did not so state in its opinion, there may be difficulties in applying to Transit an attraction-of-capital analysis utilizing earnings-price ratios, flowing from, the fact that its stock is wholly owned by its parent Corporation, D. C. Transit of Delaware, and thus has no market price of its own. Other commissions have generally not found this an insuperable obstacle to utilization of an attraction-of-capital approach. See, e. g., authorities discussed in Nichols, Ruling Principles of Utility Regulation —Rate of Return, 250-262 (1955) ; Nichols & Welch, Ruling Principles of Utility Regulation — Rate of Return, 129-143 (Supp.A.1964). A witness in the 1963 proceeding testified that the publicly traded stock of D. C. Transit of Delaware was a “good index” of Transit’s cost of capital. A witness in the 1965 proceeding testified that “as of the present * * * it is acceptable to ascertain the relevant data concerning D. C. Transit Company (Del.) and impute from that a cost of equity capital for the local company. This approach is followed in many rate proceedings where the equity capital of the company in question is wholly owned by the parent.” Moreover, though in a later proceeding the Commission declined to place substantial reliance on analyses of the market behavior of the stock of Transit’s parent, see note 31, supra, at a later stage of the same proceeding the Commission adopted an approach which entailed a determination of Transit’s cost of capital, though without reference to earnings-price ratios. Order No. 684, supra note 34.
Because of the extraordinary difficulties in determining cost of capital for a corporation which is part of an elaborate holding company structure, the Commission would no doubt be better able to fulfill its regulatory responsibilities were Transit to maintain a separate corporate existence. A suggestion to this effect,' addressed by the Commission to Transit, might well be an appropriate means of alleviating some of the regulatory problems illustrated by this case. In Order No. 564, the Commission referred to the problem posed by integration of Transit’s bus operations with non-transit operations, and urged the company to separate “completely its transit and non-transit activities so that Transit’s personnel will not be involved in non-transit functions.” (p. 4) This request was promptly complied with. (Order No. 656 p. 5)
. Supra note 38.
.
. Bonbright, supra note 34, at 256-257; Leventhal, supra note 49, at 992.
. We readily admit, however, to considerable confusion as to the remainder of the Commission’s enumerated list of “other factors” (than cost of capital) it con
. Commentators have differed as to whether the comparable earnings or the attraction-of-capital standard is the approach which should be given primary weight in a rate proceeding. Compare Leventhal, supra note 49, at 994-995 with Bonbright, supra note 34, at 257-258. We perceive no obstacle, and. each of these commentators would apparently agree, to the employment of both methods in a given proceeding — though, as we have noted, Transit’s status as a subsidiary corporation may be a reason for placing less reliance on earnings-price statistics. See note 53, supra; see also Permian Basin Area Rate Cases,
. In addition to its reference to “a comparison of earnings,” see In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. Transit’s capital structure continues to be very heavily weighted in favor of debt, and, in fact, the percentage of debt capitalization apparently is still growing. In 1963, debt capital comprised 73.74% of total capitalization; the corresponding figure for 1965 is 77.68%. In remanding, we observe that “the desirable ratio of debt to equity” is one of the matters which “must be prayerfully explored by the conscientious regulator before he can begin to say why he fixed upon 4.87 rather than 6.5 or 3.2.”
.
. Ibid.
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. Emphasis added. The Commission did not respond to our direction that it evaluate the level of returns now being earned by Transit in the light of current risks and other factors which would bear on their reasonableness, as contrasted with the conditions which prevailed when Transit began operations. We think it significant in this regard that when, in a later proceeding, the Commission did make such an analysis of current risks, it concluded:
“[T]he company faces less risk than most transit companies because of its size, its position in the holding company corporate structure of which it is a part, its prospects for future growth in its transit operations, and, finally, the cushion provided by the increasing value of its real estate. * * * [I]n our view, the company presently faces less risks than it may have in the past.”
Order No. 684, supra note 34.
. Though the Hope Natural Gas case speaks of comparing earnings with those of companies “having corresponding risks,” see text supra at note 55, that language should not be taken as placing upon the Commission the difficult, if not impossible, task of finding a company with identical risks. See Leventhal, supra note 49, at 998-1003, 1013-1016. Rather, a sensitive application of the comparable earnings approach embi'aces comparisons with companies having dissimilar risks, “with appropriate adjustments for the differences involved.” Id. at 1003; see Permian Basin Area Rate Cases, supra note 58,
. The calendar year 1963 was used as the future test period in this proceeding. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. In fact, this prediction was probably quite accurate, since an exhibit in the record of the 1985 proceeding shows Transit’s actual book equity in 1983 to have been $4,184,080.
. In remanding, we stressed the need for inquiry by the Commission into “the cost to Transit of borrowing money,” and “what Transit’s future requirements in this regard are likely to be.”
. The Commission made no finding as to the return on equity which would result from allowance of an overall return of $1,480,000; indeed, since it did not estimate the cost of servicing Transit’s debt during the future annual period, see note 68, supra, it could not, as the following hypothetical example shows: Given a figure for book equity of $4,000,000 and an allowed total return of $1,000,000, the return to the equity holder would be $800,000, or 20%, if debt expense were $200,000; if debt expense were $800,000, the return to the equity holder would be only $200,000, or 5%.
“[T]he return to each class of security holder is relevant in judging whether a given overall rate of return is reasonable. Due to the relatively low cost of debt financing, an overall rate of return of 5.6 per cent might yield a return to common stockholders of 6 or 7 per cent in a utility with little debt but yield a much higher return to common shareholders of a highly leveraged utility with a high percentage of debt in its capital structure. Neither the Commission nor the courts may ignore this fact.” City of Alton v. Commerce Comm’n,19 Ill.2d 76 ,165 N.E.2d 513 , 519 (1960).
Without having estimated Transit’s debt, and having been disabled thereby from computing and evaluating the return to equity holder, we are at a loss to understand how the Commission could conclude that $1,480,786 is a “fair and reasonable” margin of return.
. This figure, as well as some of those that follow, is derived by averaging a group of figures set forth in an exhibit or exhibits.
. Emphasis added. Cf. Bluefield Water Works & Improvement Co. v. Public Serv. Comm’n of State of West Virginia,
“A public utility is entitled to such rates as will permit it to earn a return on the value of the property which it employs for the convenience of the public equal to that generally being made at the same time and in the same general part of the country on investments in other business undertakings which are attended by corresponding risks and uncertainties; but it has no constitutional right to profits such as are realized or anticipated in highly profitable enterprises or speculative ventures.”
One witness in the 1965 proceeding did testify that a return of 20.97% would be “low,” basing his conclusion on “the high debt ratio of D.C. Transit and the risk associated in the transit industry generally and D.C. Transit in particular.” He added that in his opinion a return on equity of 25% or 30% for Transit would be “entirely reasonable.” However, he admitted on cross examination that he had never recommended, and knew of no proceeding in which had been granted, a return of 25% to 30%. And see note 64, supra. Order No. 684, supra note 34, the Commission permitted a return on equity of 14%.
. FPC v. Hope Natural Gas Co., supra note 38,
. See Atchison T. & S. F. R. Ry. v. United States,
. See note 65, supra.
. See note 64, supra.
. Transit I,
. In re D. C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10, at 41.
.
.
. “It appears to us likely that the Commission too narrowly conceived the scope of its inquiry under the operating ratio method, although, on this record, we can say only that the path it actually followed cannot confidently be discerned.” Transit I,
. See South Carolina Generating Co. v. FPC,
. See United States v. Morgan,
. See Mississippi River Fuel Corp. v. FPC,
. See South Carolina Generating Co. v. FPC, supra note 81 (suspending Commission order and remanding for further explanation, because of apparent inconsistency in Commission’s recognition of subsidiary corporation as separate entity for purposes of computing income tax expense, while fixing rate of return on system-wide basis) ; South Carolina Generating Co. v. FPC,
. We do not, we hasten to add, suggest improper motives or bad faith. “However, an administrative decision which shows on the face of the order that it was made without due regard for the factors which were inquired to have been taken into account is just as void as an order made and entered by reason of improper motives.” Roseburg Lumber Co. v. Chambers,
. We need not decide whether the absence of express findings in the Commission’s order would itself warrant reversal. See, e.g., State of Florida v. United States, supra note 73,
. See, e.g., Burlington Truck Lines, Inc. v. United States, supra note 86,
. Washington Gas Light Co. v. Baker,
. North Carolina v. United States, supra note 86,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12, continuing, with one minor exception, the fares prescribed in In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2; In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 684), supra note 34, granting increase in token fares, and today affirmed in that respect in D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. v. Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Comm’n, 134 U.S. App.D.C.-,
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 6(a) (2). In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2, was entered April 12, 1963, and the fares prescribed therein were made effective April 14, 1963. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12, was entered January 26, 1966.
. Arizona Grocery Co. v. Atchison, T. & S.F. Ry.,
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 6(a) (2). It is true that the language of § 6(a) (2) does not expressly deny to the Commission power to make new rates effective as of a date earlier than the issuance of its order. Compare Public Utils. Comm’n of Ohio v. United Fuel Gas Co.,
. Trans World Airlines, Inc. v. CAB,
. “Remand to the Commission, in the circumstances of this case, could not be to enable a rate order to be superimposed upon the old application * * Washington Gas Light Co. v. Baker, supra note 88,
. It is true that, were a remand here warranted for the purpose of enabling the Commission to enter a new rate order, and if the Commission’s findings on remand encompassed an inquiry into conditions existing prior to the effective date
. Bebchick v. Public Util. Comm’n, supra note 94,
. ICC v. Hoboken Manufacturers’ R.R.,
. Cf. Mountain States Tel. & Tel. Co. v. Public Serv. Comm’n, supra note 87. There the utility had applied for a stay of a Commission order reducing intrastate telephone rates, which was granted on condition that the difference between existing rates and lower rates ordered by the Commission be impounded in a fund “until final decision in this case.” When, after the order was set aside as arbitrary and remanded, the utility applied for release of the impounded funds, the court held in its favor, saying:
“It is urged by the Commission that this court did not sustain the charges made by the utility pending review; that we in fact held that such charges were discriminatory. This position misconceives the function of this court in reviewing an order of the Commission. We, of course, in rendering our decision, acted within the scope of our authority. Consequently, we determined merely that the Commission had not regularly pursued its authority. Everything else stated in our opinion was in response to contentions of the plaintiff relative to confiscatory rates, arbitrary action by the Commission in respects other than those by ns sustained, etc. But because we in the rationale of the opinion found that such contentions should be overruled, it does not follow that we determined that the rates charged by the utility were unjust, unreasonable or confiscatory. We did not so determine simply because that is not our function. Indeed, it is not a judicial function. It is legislative and is to be exercised by the ax-m of the legislature • — the Public Service Commission.”155 P.2d at 187-188 . See also Cole v. Young,351 U.S. 536 , 557,76 S.Ct. 861 ,100 L.Ed. 1396 (1956).
. Until superseded by a valid order of the Commission, the rates on file prior to the application which preceded Order No. 245 were the only lawful rates. United Gas Pipe Line Co. v. Mobile Gas Corp., supra note 97,
. “There is no reason under the Act why a shipper should not be protected in the situation here existing where the rates are unlawful because not lawfully established just as he is protected in the situation where the rates are unlawful because unreasonable. In either case, the protection is against unlawful rates.” Chicago, M., St.P. & P.R. Co. v. Alouette Peat Products, supra note 100,
. Bebchick v. Public Util. Comm’n, supra note 94; Washington Gas Light Co. v. Baker, supra note 94.
. Atlantic Coast Line R.R. v. State of Florida, supra note 97,
. Ibid.
. Ibid., citing Gould v. McFall,
. In Atlantic Coast Line R.R. v. State of Florida, supra note 97, the Court denied restitution altogether, since the Commission on remand had reached the same result, this time on the basis of adequate findings, thus enabling the Court to perceive “that what was charged [under the original order] would have been lawful as well as fair if there had been no blunders of procedure, no administrative delays.”
. Blair v. Freeman,
. Atlantic Coastline R.R. v. State of Florida, supra, note 97,
. See note 106, supra see also notes 116, 117, infra, and accompanying text.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys. Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. See In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 563), supra note 10,
. This figure results from dividing the average hook equity figure set by the protestants, see note 67, supra and accompanying text, by $937,669, see note 68, supra and accompanying text.
. See notes 44-47, supra and accompanying text.
. Order No. 684, supra note 34.
. D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. v. Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Comm’n, 134 U.S.App.D.C. -,
. In Atlantic Coast Line R.R. v. State of Florida, supra note 97,
. Compare Atlantic Coast Line R.R. v. State of Florida, supra note 97,
. Cf. Wisconsin v. FPC, supra, note 95. There, proposed rate increases filed by the carrier pursuant to § 4(e) of the National Gas Act, 15 U.S.C. § 717c (e), had gone into effect at the end of the suspension period, subject to a refund obligation. These rate increases were later superseded, thus becoming “locked-in.” The Commission terminated the § 4(e) proceedings, thus allowing the rate increases to remain effective during the “locked-in” period, when it found that the increased revenues generated by the higher fares had not been sufficient to cover the company’s computed cost of service for the historical test period, and thus that no refunds were due. The Supreme Court affirmed,
. West Ohio Gas Co. v. Public Utils. Comm’n,
. See Wisconsin v. FPC, supra note 95; Smith v. Illinois Bell Tel. Co.,
. That is, the period during which Order No. 245, In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc., supra note 2, was in effect. See notes 90, 91, supra.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 684), supra note 34; see text accompanying notes 114, 115, supra.
. Atlantic Coast Line R.R. v. State of Florida, supra note 96,
. See Transit I, supra note 1,
. See Transit I, supra note 1,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. Transit I, supra note 1,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. See Franchise Act § 7, 70 Stat. 598 (1956). See also Transit I, supra note 1,
. In re D.C.Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. Id. at 395.
. Id. at 394.
. Ibid.
. Id. at 395.
. Ibid.
.
. Order No. 385 (unreported) (WMATC 1964).
. Order No. 385 stated that the then balance of $2,713,484 was subject to an adjustment of $194,539 for a tax settlement and other costs related to the acquisition agreement, leaving $2,519,458 to be amortized.
. Order No. 385 (unreported) (WMATC 1964).
. After tax adjustments to the acquisition adjustment account, its annual amortization figure under the original ten-year plan would have been $959,793 through August 15, 1966. In consequence of the Commission’s change, the amount of the annual amortization became $199,561. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Transit I, supra note 1,
. Order No. 385 (unreported) (WMATC 1964).
. Transit I, supra note 1,
. Order No. 406 (unreported) (WMATC 1964).
. In re D.C. Transit Sys. Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. See the text supra at notes 126 and 127.
. By January 1, 1964, the original acquisition adjustment balance of $10,339,-041 had been reduced to $2,519,484. Thus 24.4% of the balance remained un-
. The acquisition adjustment balance on January 1, 1964, was $2,344,990 according to Transit, but $2,519,484 according to the Commission. And while Transit’s calculation would have reduced the annual amortization to $193,011, the figure the Commission arrived at was $199,561.
. The service lifetimes of certain of Transit’s properties extend beyond the term of its franchise, while the Commission’s change compresses the amortization within the remaining period of the franchise. But according to the testimony of Transit’s vice president and comptroller, this factor would make the percentages we recite only “slightly higher” than they would otherwise be.
. This divergence would have been avoided had the Commission adopted the procedure recommended by its staff. In Order No. 385 the Commission said:
“The Commission staff has related the balance in the Acquisition Adjustment Account to the properties acquired on August 15, 1956, which are still in service and subject to depreciation at their original cost. The staff then projected retirement dates for these properties and calculated an amortization schedule based on such projections, cutting off at August 15, 1976, as the expiration date of the franchise. This produced an uneven and constantly reducing amount of amortization per year; it also would be subject to change as projected retirements materialized earlier or later than scheduled. These characteristics are the major disadvantages of this plan of amortization; they could be avoided, and the recurring credits smoothed out, if the amortization were placed on a straight-line basis.”
. This is our computation based, of course, upon the record data. And see note 149, supra.
. Order No. 385 (unreported) (WMATC 1964).
. See note 86, supra, and accompanying text.
. See the text at note 15, supra, and notes 190 to 195, infra.
. The $760,232 is the difference between $959,793 (the original $1,033.904 as adjusted by Order No. 385), which would have been the amount of annual amortization under the old ten-year plan, and $199,561, which was the figure under the new plan. See the text supra at note 140.
. See note 7, supra.
. See note 155, supra.
. See note 7, supra.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. The $475,145 is the $760,232 difference between old and new annual amortization amounts, see note 155, supra, for the seven and one-half months of 1966 to August 15 of that year when the old ten-year period would have expired.
. See FPC v. Natural Gas Pipeline Co., supra note 98,
. Bebchick v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra note 15,
. See note 147, supra.
. See the text accompanying notes 125 to 127, supra.
. Order No. 381 (unreported) (WMATC Sept. 11, 1964). After reducing the reserve by $580,658 to reflect the removal of obsolete equipment from Transit’s accounts, the amount of the deficiency was fixed at $1,223,099.
. Order No. 381 (unreported) (WMATC Sept. 11, 1964).
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. An entry “above the line” classifies a current revenue or expense item, and thus affects profit or loss. An entry “below the line” classifies a nonrecurring revenue or expense item, and thus effects only a capital adjustment.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Id. at 68.
. See the text stopra at note 15.
. See the text infra at notes 190 to 199.
. See note 168, supra.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12, 63 P.U.R.3d at. 57.
. Id. at 57.
. IUd.
. See note 7, supra.
. The Commission describes its findings “in relation to the operating forecast projected for 1966” as “incorporating all of the foregoing adjustments,” In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12, 63 P.U.R.3d at 58, and included in those adjustments are those pertaining to the depreciation deficiency.
. See the text accompanying note 161, supra.
. See In re Alpena Power Co., 85 P.U.R.(n.s.) 89, 91-92 (Mich.1950); In re Narragansett Elec. Co.,
. Judicial review of a Commission order is conditioned upon presentation to and determination by the Commission of an application for reconsideration. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 16. The application must “stat[e] specifically the errors claimed as grounds for such reconsideration,” and “[n]o person shall in any court urge or rely on any ground not so set forth in such application.” Ibid. See also United States v. L. A. Tucker Lines, Inc.,
Petitioners’ application for reconsideration of Order No. 564, which was denied, alleged error, inter alia, in the Commission’s direction “that $806,16S be removed from the Court Ordered Reserve to restore the deficiency in the depreciation reserve.” As do the parties, we deem the claim of error to have been asserted administratively in suitable procedural form, compare United States v. Great Northern Ry.,
This error, we believe, was identified with requisite specificity and yet its assignment was broad enough to challenge the propriety of the charge to farepayers of any portion whatsoever of the deficiency. Cf. FPC v. Colorado-Interstate Gas Co., supra note 98,
In any event, Order No. 564 must be remanded to the Commission anyway, see pt. VIII, infra, whereupon the justice of assessing any of the deficiency to the farepayers can be fully restudied. That question touches the public at large, and the Commission should look beyond the immediate concerns of the parties to the more general welfare, even in situations, more exaggerated than that here, where those who might have objected remained completely silent. Indeed, “[t]here may always be exceptional cases or particular circumstances which will prompt a reviewing or appellate court, where injustice might otherwise result, to consider questions of law which were neither pressed nor passed upon by the court or administrative agency below.” Hormel v. Helvering,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. “If the factual premise is true, that is, if past earnings were not sufficient to compensate investors for inadequate depreciation charges, then the Commission may properly require the burden to be borne by consumers or to be shared by investors and consumers depending upon the circumstances.” Washington Gas Light Co. v. Baker, supra note 94,
. Supra note 94.
.
. Id. at 125,
. See note 86, supra, and accompanying text.
. In Order No. 245, the Commission examined the returns earned by Transit and its predecessor companies over a 28-year period for purposes of determining whether Transit’s investors had been compensated for assuming the risk of obsolescence of abandoned rail properties. In the Commission’s view “the returns earned [during this period] were generally below the rates of return established as being reasonable by the regulatory body” and “the regulatory authority, in fixing the rates of return * * * did not allow any additional compensation for the risk of obsolescence.” In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. As we have observed, see supra note 165, some of the depreciation deficiency represented obsolete equipment that was eliminated from Transit’s accounts. In Washington Gas Light Co. v. Baker, supra note 94,
. Bebchick v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra noto 15.
. Id. at 232,
. Ibid.
. Id. at 232-233,
. Id. at 233,
. The $2,350,000 credit in the reserve included $1,318,612 required by our supplemental opinion in Bebchick v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra note 15, 115 U.S. App.D.C. at 232-233,
. Compare the text accompanying note 197, infra.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Compare Dayton Power & Light Co. v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra note 161,
. This we say in full realization that the Commission, in administering the court-ordered reserve, acts more nearly as a trustee to implement judicial directives concerning the use of the fund than in the exercise of its statutory regulatory powers. See the text accompanying note 194, supra.
. See the text supra, at notes 173 and 174.
. Those properties were limousines which, though operating properties, were not and are not devoted to public use.
. “The commission, after considering all the testimony on the subject in this case, agrees with the logic and the conclusion that $293,459 of this deficiency would be shared by the buildings which contributed to this deficiency, and which have, since August 15, 1963, been placed below the line.” In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. See the cases cited supra note 180.
. See the text supra at notes 184 to 189.
. 26 U.S.C. §§ 38, 46-48.
. Transit used investment credits of $117,843 for 1962, $123,667 for 1963, and $90,640 for 1964. No credit was expected to be used for 1965 because a loss from operations was anticipated. For 1966, the credit to be generated during that year, together with a carry-forward available from previous years, gave Transit an estimated total credit of $685,608.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. “It was the intent of Congress in providing an investment credit under Section 38 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954, and it is the intent of the Congress in repealing the reduction in basis required by section 48(g) of such Code, to provide an incentive for modernization and growth of private industry (including that portion thereof which is regulated). Accordingly, Congress does not intend that any agency or instrumentality of the United States having jurisdiction with respect to a taxpayer shall, without the consent of the taxpayer, use—
“(1) in the case of public utility property (as defined in section 46(c) (3) (B) of the Internal Revenue Code of 1954), more than a proportionate part (determined with reference to the average useful life of the property with respect to which the credit was allowed) of the credit against tax allowed for any taxable year by section 38 of such Code or “(2) in the case of any other property, any credit against tax allowed by section 38 of such Code,
to reduce such taxpayer’s Federal income taxes for the purpose of establishing the
. Ibid. No “public utility property,” within the meaning of Section 203(e), see note 208, supra, is involved here because the quoted term does not include property used in furnishing a passenger transportation service. 26 U.S.C. § 46(c) (3) (B).
. North Cent. Airlines v. CAB,
. Supra note 208.
. Supra note 9.
. 74 Stat. 1031 (1960), D.C.Code § 1-1410 (1967) ed.); 76 Stat. 765 (1962), D.C.Code § l-1410a (1967 ed.).
. 74 Stat. 1031 (1960), preamble.
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. I, art. II.
. Prominent examples are: The Commission is composed of three members, one of whom is appointed by the chief executive authority of each signatory from the agency of that signatory having jurisdiction over the regulation of mass transit within its borders. Tit. I, art. Ill, § 1. The Commission’s expenses are borne by the three signatories. Tit. I, art. IV. The signatories by their joint action, may amend the Compact without prior congressional approval, and the amendment is effective unless within one year thereof it is disapproved by Congress. Tit. I, art. IX, § 1. Any signatory may withdraw, and thereby terminate the Compact, upon one year’s written notice to the other signatories. Tit. I, art. IX, § 2.
. Compare DeVeau v. Braisted,
. City of Chicago v. FPC,
. See Minneapolis & St. L. Ry. v. United States, supra note 98,
. See the text supra at note 207.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. IUd.
. Supra note 219. See also the opinion following remand,
. FCC v. RCA Communications, Inc., supra note 219,
. Id. at 91,
. Id. at 94,
. Id. at 95,
-, Id. at 96,
. Ibid. The Court had previously stated that “[t]hat there is a national policy favoring competition cannot be maintained today without careful qualification,” id. at 91,
. City of Chicago v. FPC, supra note 218,
. See North Cent. Airlines v. CAB, supra note 210,
. S.Rep. No. 1881, 87th Cong., 2d Sess. 11 (1962) ; H.R. Rep. No. 1447, 87th Cong., 2d Sess. 8 (1962); H.R. Rep. No. 2508, 87th Cong., 2d Sess. 14 (1962). See also H.R. Rep. No. 749, 88th Cong., 1st Sess. 36 (1963); S.Rep. No. 830, 88th Cong., 2d Sess. 42 (1964).
. S.Rep. No. 1881, 87th Cong., 2d Sess. 11 (1962) (emphasis added). North Cent. Airlines v. CAB, supra note 210,
. FPC v. United Gas Pipe Line Co.,
. Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Co. v. FPC,
. Compare Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Co. v. FPC, supra note 230,
. Though unsure as to whether Section 203(e) applied to it, the Public Service Commission of the District of Columbia quite recently has passed the investment credit on to consumers. In re Potomac Elec. Power Co.,
Many state regulatory commissions considering the impact of Section 203(e) upon ratemaking, before and after its amendment in 1964, have passed on to the consuming public, in one form or another, all or part of the credit.
Some commissions have adopted the “flow through” principle to benefit customers immediately through lowered expenses. Pacific Tel. & Tel. Co. v. California Public Utils. Comm’n,
Other commissions have subscribed to a method by which customers realize the saving over the depreciable life of the properties that made the investment credit possible. City of Pittsburgh v. Pennsylvania Public Utils. Comm’n,
At least one commission has held that while the investment credit could not reduce the utility’s tax expense, it would lower its rate base harmoniously with the smaller net cost of the acquisition. In re Otter Tail Power Co.,
. City of Chicago v. FPC, supra note 218,
. See FPC v. United Gas Pipe Line Co., supra note 234; Minneapolis & St. L. Ry. v. United States, supra note 98,
. See the text supra at notes 128 to 130.
. As of December 31, 1962, $6,656,748 has been accrued to the account and $1,-842,499 expended therefrom. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 245), supra note 2,
. D.C.Code § 47-1571a (1967 ed.).
. This problem did not arise with respect to Transit’s federal income taxes. In that connection, Transit employed the accrual method to deduct from its taxable income the amount of the annual increment to the reserve for track removal and street repaving.
. Order No. 3592 (unreported) (PUC 1959).
. Ibid., quoted in In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. See the text supra at note 130.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Ibid.
. Ibid.
. Ibid.
. Ibid.
. By Transit’s computation, its expenses in removing tracks and repaving streets exceeded its District of Columbia taxable income (before such charges) by $537,927 in 1963 and $541.784 in 1964, and an excess of $1,0S6,258 was estimated for 1965.
. Compare Bebchick v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra note 15, 115 U.S.App. D.C. at 220-223,
. In its brief, the Commission states comprehensively the construction it intended for Order No. 564 in this respect:
“The Commission has at no time made any assumptions as to the relationship between taxable income on a District of Columbia tax return and the amount of expenditure for track removal. * * * The Commission arrived at its decision with a clear understanding of the fact that taxes which had to be paid by the Company at the time of accrual were being deferred on a net-of-taxes basis and that this deferral had to be offset at the time of actual expenditure and deduction from the Company’s District of Columbia income tax return. This is what the Commission order proposes. Fulfillment of the order will result in the removal of the deferred tax as ex*965 penditures are made. This will permit the $222,000 to be charged to the ratepayer, if, as, and when the expenditures, for which accruals had been made in the Reserve for Track Removal, materialize. * * *
“The ratepayer will be charged directly for the tax as and when the Company expends the money that has been accrued for this track removal purpose. This is true even though in some years the expenditures will exceed the taxable income of the Company on its District of Columbia tax return. The order of the Commission was devised to overcome the difficulty that might otherwise have been faced in clearing out the deferred income tax. The order of the Commission ignores the relationship between the Taxable income on the District of Columbia tax return and the amount expended for track removal, with the express purpose of making certain that as expenditures are made, the deferred tax is plowed back as an expense to the ratepayer.”
. See Mitchell v. Budd,
. Compare the cases cited in note 145, supra.
. Compare the theory underlying the principles discussed in the text supra at notes 160 to 162, 179 to 180. See also the cases cited in note 252, supra.
. These costs embraced fuel, lubricants, tires and chassis and body maintenance for Transit’s fleet of 1202 buses as of June 30, 1965.
. Thus Transit’s statistical factor, hereinafter referred to, is the system cost per mile, derived by dividing the total maintenance cost of all buses, regardless of group, by total miles of operation, regardless of group. Compare the Commission’s group method of computation, described in the text infra at notes 262 and 263.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Each group consisted of buses of the same model acquired by Transit at the same time.
. The staff substituted the 200 new buses for 142 in-service buses with an estimated 1965 maintenance cost of 26.05 cents per mile, and 58 other in-service buses with an estimated 1965 maintenance cost of 15.31 cents per mile.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. See the text supra at note 260.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. It is not for us, at least in the first instance, to measure the extent of the duplication. We recognize, however, that this would depend partly upon how closely operating costs of buses retired during the historical test period compared with the costs of those the Commission’s staff eliminated for the future annual period, see note 263 supra, and partly upon the degree of coincidence in the number of buses involved in each period. We observe only that, in consequence of the circumstances recited in the text, some duplication was inevitable.
We also note, in this connection, the average age of Transit’s buses is steadily decreasing as a result of the annual infusion of new vehicles. Transit figures denote a reduction from 9.41 years in 1962 to 6.94 at the end of 1965.
. Related to this point is other evidence to the effect that the per-mile cost of operation goes up as the number of miles a bus operates comes down, and that reduced, mileage usually accompanies aging.
. An expert testified that the staff “used figures that showed these trends [that increased maintenance expense accompanies aging] right up to the year ending June 30th, [1965,] but somehow, by putting some water in the radiators from the ‘fountain of Youth,’ [it] managed to stop all that, [it] then went right on through eighteen months without a change.”
. The staff took from Transit’s records a per-mile cost of 5.14 cents for operation of these 20 buses, but this was for operation over only 23,000 miles at the very beginning of service when costs are lowest. With this as its base, the staff raised its estimate to six cents flat, exclusive of labor increases in 1966. But compare the data in notes 271 and 272, infra.
. By the staff’s plan, 100 of the new buses would travel a total of 4,098,030 miles throughout the full calendar year 1966, and these would be 18 months old at the end of the period; and the other 100 buses would travel a total of $2,040,-973 throughout the last six months of 1966, and these would be six months old at the end of the period.
. By October 30, 1965, actual maintenance costs on the new buses delivered during the previous June and July — and these were buses the staff estimated six cents per mile would maintain — had already risen to 7.65 cents per mile. As a matter of long experience, Transit’s maintenance costs on new buses during the first year’s operation have varied between seven and eight cents per mile at times when labor costs were substantially less than in 1966.
From January 1, 1962, when Transit began an all-bus operation, through June 30, 1965, its system cost per mile, see note 260, supra, ranged from a low of 13.31 cents in 1964 to a high of 13.93 cents in 1962, and was 13.23 cents for the six months ending June 30, 1965. During this period, the system cost per mile decreased an aggregate of %0 of a cent, the largest reduction in any year being %0 of a cent in 1963. The staff’s estimate of six cents per mile, converted to Transit’s system cost per mile, would multiply these decreases, as appears from the next paragraph.
As we have said, see the text supra at notes 262 and 263, the staff computed Transit’s bus maintenance cost per mile of operation on a unit basis by groups, and its projected expense did not reflect increased labor costs for 1966, which the staff computed separately. Without the additional labor costs, the staff’s computation was 13.10 cents as of June 30, 1965, and its estimate for 1966 was 11.16 cents. Giving effect to the increased labor costs, the staff’s projection for 1966 would be 11.61 cents. This would amount to a reduction in 1966 maintenance costs per mile of 1.94 cents, an amount almost three times the cumulative reduction over the previous three and one-half years, and almost five times the largest reduction in a single year since 1962.
There is no evidence in the record indicating that Transit’s historical pattern of maintenance costs was inaccurate, or that it would undergo any dramatic change in 1966.
. Maryland’s licensing and tax fees for new 51-seat buses are about $1,200 for the first year and about $200 for each year thereafter. These compare with about $75 per year in Virginia and about $35 per year in the District. Because of these differences, Transit used in Maryland only those buses — more than one-third of its fleet — already licensed to operate therein. The staff did not take into account the additional costs of licensing buses in Maryland which its reassignments — apparently in considerable number — would require.
In reassigning buses to regular route operations, the passenger capacities of the buses were almost entirely ignored. Thus, in some number of instances, undeter
. This projection resulted in a figure for 1966 bus maintenance costs that was $150,393 higher than the staff’s estimate. Thus, the latter estimate of $574,578 less $148,040 for additional labor or a net of $426,538 in savings would be reduced by $150,393 to $276,145 in savings.
Transit made another projection, likewise applying the staff’s unit maintenance cost factors to buses properly assigned, but considering also the aging of the buses and the decreased miles of operation of older buses. This, for 1966, resulted in a cost per mile of 1.92 cents higher than the staff estimate, and a total annual maintenance cost $674,478 above that computed by the staff.
. In re D.C.Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. “Transit’s original and rebuttal data fails [sic] to recognize any savings on account of the new buses in the latter half of 1965 and 1966 — in fact, Transit persisted in adding $41,000 to costs of maintaining air-conditioning units. Transit also failed to consider savings which may result from projected consolidation of operating divisions in early 1966.
“The commission is not unaware of the fact in the last rate case involving D.C. Transit, Transit, by dint of careful management economies, was able to reduce operating costs in 1963 substantially below those projected in Order No. 245.” In re D.C. Transit, Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,63 P.U.R.3d at 55 .
. Ibid.
. We do not mean to suggest that the Commission was obligated by the record to accept Transit’s estimate.
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 17(a); Universal Camera Corp. v. NLRB,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Id. at 69.
. Id. at 67.
. Id. at 68.
. The Commission’s finding was that Transit’s debt expense would be “approximately $960,000,” In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
.
.
. See notes 30-33, supra, and accompanying text.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
.
. Notes 31-33, supra, and accompanying text.
. Transit is the wholly-owned subsidiary of a Delaware corporation, also called D.O. Transit System, Inc. See note 26, supra. For this reason it is presumably the market position of the parent’s stock which would be affected by any change in Transit’s dividend policy. See note 53, supra. It may be for this reason that the Commission found an appropriate dividend would be “$400,000 to $500,000” —$500,000 being the annual payout by Transit, and $400,000 being the amount historically passed on to the stockholders of the parent corporation, see note 31, supra, — without further particularizing its finding.
. Apparently, the company’s management has seen little need to secure new equity capital in recent years, and has relied almost exclusively on debt financing. See note 60, supra. The Commission did not comment on the testimony of Transit’s Vice President that it has been able to secure financing for purchases of new buses without down payments, nor on the significance of its status as a wholly-owned subsidiary of another corporation, see note 291, supra.
. Strictly speaking, the integrity of existing capital is impaired only when the company is forced, because ¿of unfavorable earnings, to issue new stock at less than the per-share book value of the old stock. Bonbright, supra note 34, at 249. Whether or not a company should be afforded an opportunity to earn a return high enough to bring some premium over book value for the company’s stock, see note 34, supra, even a liberal return should be calculated to do no more than maintain a “reasonable relationship” between market price and book equity. Bonbright, supra note 34, at 249. In this connection, we note that there is evidence in the record that the 1961 market price of the common stock of Transit’s parent, D.C. Transit (of Delaware) was more than 8 times greater than the book equity per share. This 8 to 1 ratio was far greater than that for any of twelve other urban transit companies studied. In fact, only two other companies showed a ratio as high as 2 to 1.
. In re Pub. Serv. Co. of North Carolina, Inc.,
. See Potomac Elec. Power Co. v. Public Utils. Comm’n,
. In Order No. 684, issued March 13, 1967, the Commission found that, with the return therein allowed, the company would have available “something less than $430,000 in cash after meeting all other obligations;” and it added that it did not “anticipate that the entire amount of available cash would be used for dividends,” since the company “is manifestly in a cash-short position.” Order No. 684, supra note 34. The Commission explained why, despite the fact that “dividends will probably be at a level significantly lower than in some past years” it felt the return was adequate: “We do not regard this as requiring a larger return. The substantial risks the company faced in coming into the community at a difficult time and converting to an all-bus operation with a high standard of service may well have dictated a high return of capital in past years. As we look at the company now, however, it faces a more secure future than most transit companies, hav
. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 6(a) (3) ; see note 293, supra.
. Transit I, supra note 1,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. That this is not what the Commission meant by its statement that the market place “assumes” continuation of a $500,-000 payout is suggested, perhaps by its recommendation, later in Order No. 564, that the company forego payment of a cash dividend and substitute a stock dividend. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Transit I, supra note 1,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. See the text supra at notes 48-53.
. Though the Commission did make findings as to Transit’s book equity, In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. “Considering the numerous risks attendant upon Transit’s operations, when such a return is related to other regulated utilities without similar risks, we feel that 7.4 per cent on Transit’s rate base is low.” In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Ibid.
. “An intelligent estimate of probable future values, * * * and even indeed of present ones, is at best an approximation. The like is true of a forecast of the extent of future revenues. There is left in every case a reasonable margin of fluctuation and uncertainty.” Dayton Power & Light Co. v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra note 161,
. The soundest estimate is one that contains an equal likelihood that the projection will be too large as that it will be too small. If there is no likelihood that a given estimate may be too large but a substantial one that it may be too small, the estimate is unreliable.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Transit’s original estimate of total operating revenues for 1966 under existing fares was $32,698,774. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note. 12,
. At the commencement of the 1965 rate hearing, neither the Commission’s staff nor Transit had the full results of Transit’s 1965 revenue experience from which to project 1966 revenues. Transit therefore based its revenue estimate for 1966 on revenues earned for the year ending June 30, 1965. However, before the Commission issued Order No. 564, it had before it the complete revenue experience for 1965. Transit’s regular route reve-enue for the year ending June 30, 1965 was $29,837,656, and for the calendar year 1965 was $30,183,559. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. In estimating regular route revenue for 1966, Transit assumed an “average increment of ridership of 2.3% in [the] ensuing year.” It applied this figure to revenue and passenger experience for the year ending June 30, 1965, in order to determine anticipated revenue for 1966.
. One of the contingencies cited by the Commission in justification of the “cushion” was that “a mere 1% drop in passenger revenues under that projected by the Commission could result in a reduction of approximately $300,000 in collections in 1966.” In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Ibid.
. Michigan Wisconsin Pipeline Co. v. FPC, supra note 118,
. American Overseas Airlines v. CAB,
. See Transit I, supra note 1,
. FPC v. Hope Natural Gas Co., supra note 38,
. The result of granting Transit a cushion of $550,000 to $650,000 over and above estimated operating expenses was to give it a return of 7.4% on its rate' base and 6.03% of its operating revenue. The operating ratio of 6.03% was even higher than the 5.88% requested by Transit, and substantially higher than Transit’s average operating ratio of 4.-24% for the years 1959-64. In only one of these years did Transit’s operating ratio exceed tills amount. The return of 7.4% on rate base is substantially higher than Transit’s average return from 1956-65 of 4.93% and higher than in all but one of those ten years. See also note 311, supra.
. See FPC v. Natural Gas Pipeline Co., supra note 38,
. The Commission advanced no basis whatsoever for its choice of the figure “$550,000 to $650,000,” other than the fact that that amount approximated the sum remaining in the court ordered reserve, see In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Note 90, supra.
. Notes 87 to 96, supra, and accompanying text.
. Notes 110 to 114, supra, and accompanying text.
. In any event, we do not think the amount of restitution required by our disposition of Order No. 564 could be greater than the amount transferred from the court ordered reserve. It is true that the fares collected by Transit during the effectiveness of Order No. 564 were those prescribed initially by Order No. 245, and that we have set that order aside. Nevertheless, having suspended Transit’s proposed tariff and having entered upon a hearing on the justness and reasonableness of the higher fares requested, the Commission in denying the fare increase prescribed a new schedule of “lawful fares . . . to be in effect,” though the fares so prescribed were those previously in effect. Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 6(a)(2). That aspect of Order No. 564 was not challenged by petitioners — i. e., they did not claim error in the Commission’s failure to reduce fares. See Compact, supra note 9, tit. II, art. XII, § 16. And the relief re
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. In speaking of the “protestants” herein we refer not only to petitioners Beb-chick and Gottlieb, and the other individuals who were parties before the Commission but have not joined in this appeal, but also to petitioner Democratic Central Committee which appeared before the Commission as intervenor.
. In re D.C. Transit Sys., Inc. (Order No. 564), supra note 12,
. Ibid.
. Notes 114, 115, supra, and accompanying text.
. Note 284, supra, and accompanying text.
. Petitioners, in their petition for reconsideration of Order No. 564, contended that “the Commission erred in failing to conclude that a fair return for Transit in 1966 would fall within the range of $1,500,000 and $1,550,000.”
. See the text supra at notes 18-21.
. Protestants’ expert recommended a return of $1,107,000, see note 47, supra. Evidence in the record suggests that Transit’s net operating income was $2,-133,331 for 1963, $1,127,859 for 1964, and $975,806 for 1965.
. All funds to be deposited in the court-ordered reserve are to be employed by the Commission in the manner and for the purposes described in Bebchick v. Public Utils. Comm’n, supra note 15,
. See Washington Gas Light Co. v. Baker, supra note 88,
. As of August 31, 1966, Transit’s net operating income for the year, including an annualized 8/12 portion of the credit from the court-ordered reserve, was $1,-318,557. Projected over the remaining months, this would represent net income for 1966 of approximately $1,978,000.
Concurrence in Part
Circuit Judge, (concurring in part and dissenting in part);
I concur in Judge Robinson’s excellent opinion except for the following reservations with respect to Part IV relating to the handling by the Commission of the investment tax credit.
My disagreement with this part of the opinion stems from my belief that, since Section 203(e) is not applicable, the Commission cannot give any consideration to the policy embodied therein. In other words, the Commission has no “discretion” to deny the farepayers the benefits of the investment tax credit savings. I rely specifically on the language quoted by the majority from F.P.C. v. United Gas Pipe Line Co.,
I do not think that anything in our en banc decision in Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Co. v. F.P.C., 115 U.S.App. D.C. 8,
“* * -x- The liberalized method provides higher depreciation deductions and therefore lower taxes during the early part of the life of a given property, and lower deductions and higher taxes in the later years of the life of the property. The total depreciation deduction's available to a company over the entire life of a facility are the same using either method. ' * *”
