Thе named plaintiffs in these consolidated actions are four black individuals who were laid off in 1974 from salaried positions by defendant Polaroid Corporation in the course of a substantial cutback in the company’s work force due to economic conditions. On behalf of themselves and others similarly situated, plaintiffs sued in the United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts, alleging,
inter alia,
that the layoffs constitutеd race discrimination prohibited under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, as amended, 42 U.S.C. §§ 2000e
et seq.
1
The district court certified a class comprising all black employees who were laid off in August to October of 1974 and were for that reason no longer employed by Polaroid. That class included hourly as well as salaried
(i.e.,
monthly) employees, even though the named plaintiffs fell exclusively into the latter category. Following a thirty-two day bench trial, the district court,
We begin with a summary of the layoff process for salaried employees as set forth in the district court’s fact findings. Polaroid is divided into divisions, which are further subdivided into departments and subgroups of varying sizes. The company’s top managers assigned layoff quotas to each division, and the division managers allocated their quotas among departments on the basis of the company’s anticipated future operations and requirements. The initial layoff nominations were made by the manager of each operational unit — variously a department, a subgroup, or a small division — after consultation with senior supervisors. Company guidelines for the layoff decisions were set out in Polaroid’s “Personnel Policy 250A,” which reads in pertinent part:
By necessity the process for an exempt \i. e. salaried] layoff must be less structured. Members in exempt classifications are not necessarily interchangeable. Each situation is different. Prior to a layoff decision, both job requirements and personal factors should be thoughtfully considered. The personal factors which should be considered include the particular knowledge and qualificatiоns of the affected members and their seniority, past performance, future potential and ability to locate elsewhere.
These broadly phrased “personal factors,” coupled with the decentralized structure of *1013 the layoff decisions, left individual managers with a considerable margin of discretion in. interpreting and weighing specific factors. In general, managers made comparative ratings of employees and reached pragmatic decisions based on efficiency and particular skills. Each division manager was required to justify layoff decisions to the company’s central management group, and each minority layoff was specifically reviewed on an individual basis. In twenty or thirty cases, changes were ordered at the divisional level, in each instance in favor of a black employee.
Personnel Policy 250A also articulated a policy of protecting employees with more than ten years of salaried seniority from layoff.
A member with substantial seniority, that is over 10 years of exempt service, should not be considered for layoff unless he/she is the least senior member in the classification in the division. Substantial seniority entitles a member to a job in the company during a layoff. However it may not be in the same classification or at the same level currently held.
The precise scope of the salaried layoffs, and their impact on black employees, remain unclear. Plaintiffs' and defendant’s respective expert witnesses, Dr. Goldstein and Dr. Michelson, offered rival statistical analyses in a series of presentations and rebuttals. Although both experts derived their figures from a common set of Polaroid’s employment records, they defined their data bases differently and applied different computer programs to the raw numbers, reaching predictably conflicting results. 2 The district court found Michelson’s system more reliable. Moreover, after Michelson testified that Goldstein had made a fundamental error in applying his computer program, Goldstein admitted that if this were so, as it might be, “then, yes, I goofed.” Finding that this admission fatally undermined plaintiffs’ statistical evidence, the district court declined to make specific findings as to the company-wide or departmental/divisional figures for (a) total salaried employees before the layoff, (b) black and non-black employees effectively shielded from layoff by more than ten years of exempt seniority, or (c) black and non-black employees actually laid off. In general terms, the court did find that the proportion of black salaried employees dropped from 7.1% in June, 1974, to 6.0% after the layoff and then rose to 7.0% by the end of 1978.
On appeal, plaintiffs contend that the district court erred in ruling that, although they “proved a prima facie case, they were unable on any theory to satisfy their overall burden of proof.”
We nоte at the outset that there appears to have been some confusion as to plaintiffs’ theory of the case. The district court granted class certification with the express understanding that the layoff selection guidelines were being challenged exclusively under a “discriminatory treatment” rather than a “disparate impact” theory. At trial, plaintiffs’ counsel elected not to make an oрening statement, and nothing in the record indicates that plaintiffs were proceeding under a disparate impact theory with respect to the subjective standards until, on the fifth day, the issue came up in colloquy with the court. Plaintiffs’ counsel argued that a disparate impact theory was applicable to the subjective standards as well as to the objective ten-year rule; and defendant’s counsеl argued that it was not. The court decided to hear evidence relevant to either theory, in order to give this court “a full bowl of fodder to chew” on appeal. Therefore, although plaintiffs now specifically claim that they should have prevailed on a disparate impact theory, we review the *1014 district court’s judgment under both standards.
The district court analyzed plaintiffs’ claim “that defendant treated black salaried employees less favorably than white salaried employees in the layoff process” under the discriminatory treatment standard set forth in
Texas Department of Community Affairs v. Burdine,
Plaintiffs now assert that they also established a prima facie case under a disparate impact theory. Under
Griggs v. Duke Power Co.,
*1015
Plaintiffs’ attack on the layoff selection guidelines relates to the margin of discretion or subjectivity inherent in the “personal factors” on which the evaluations were based. Plaintiffs point out that even the most objective factor, seniority, was suspectible of more than one interpretation,
3
and that the other factors — particular knowledge and qualifications, past performance, future potential, and ability to locate elsewhere — called for patently subjectivе evaluations which could easily mask covert or unconscious race discrimination on the part of predominantly white managers.
See Rowe v. General Motors Corp.,
The disparate treatment rules are designed for probing motivation with respect to an adverse action taken against a specific individual, and are ill-suited to a broad-based statistical attack on an entire employment system. Similarly, the three-stage adverse impact model is inapplicable since in an “excessive subjectivity” case, if adverse impact is established, there is no specific employment requirement such as a test or аn education requirement which the employer can establish is job-related. Thus ... the battle is determined by an evaluation of the probative force of plaintiff’s and defendant’s statistical evidence and the evidence with respect to alleged specific instances of discrimination.
Schlei & Grossman, Employment Discrimination Law 1288-90 (2d ed. 1983) (footnotes omitted). Although this court has adverted to the issue, noting that “[j]udicial tolerance of subjective criteria seems to increase with the complexity of the job involved,”
Sweeney v. Board of Trustees of Keene State College,
Plaintiffs’ final claim concerns the “ten-year rule” of Personnel Policy 250A. The district court found that the rule had “no businеss justification ..'. that was not satisfied by the general inclusion of seniority as one of the criteria to be used in layoff decisions,” and that, “although facially neutral, [the rule] had a potentially discriminatory impact on the plaintiff class because of the historical seniority patterns at Polaroid.” 4 The court concluded, however, that “the ten-year rule did not have any impact on any of the named plaintiffs or the plaintiff class. There is no evidence that any of the plaintiffs were laid off because of the rule or would have escaped layoff if the rule did not exist.” Plaintiffs assert that the district court impermissibly shifted to them the burden of proving causation as part of their prima facie case. They argue that they made a prima facie showing of discriminatory impact by establishing that there were proрortionately fewer blacks than whites among the group of employees with more than ten years of exempt seniority, and that this raised a presumption in favor of the named plaintiffs and the class generally that the rule actually had an impact.
It is clear that the ten-year rule, like other specific, facially neutral employment selection criteria is amenable to disparate impаct analysis.
See, e.g., Connecticut v. Teal,
[w]here the disparate impact doctrine has been used by the courts in individual actions rather than class actions, a plaintiff has been required to show that he personally has been the victim of discrimination by the general practice which allegedly resulted in a discriminatory impact on a protected group. It is not sufficient for an individual plaintiff to show that the employer followed a discriminatory policy without also showing that plaintiff himself was injured.
Coe v. Yellow Freight System, Inc.,
The requisite causal link may not be inferred from the mere articulation of the ten-year rule in Personnel Policy 250A. First, the rule could be applied only in the context of layoff decisions, and these were made on a decentralized basis at the divisional, dеpartmental, or subgroup level. Within any given operational unit, there might or might not have existed employees with more than ten years of exempt seniority as well as those with less. Unless both categories of salaried employees were present in the same unit, the ten-year rule could not be applied in the first place. Second, even in those units where the rule had potential applicаbility, it cannot be assumed as a matter of law that the rule had an effect independent of the layoff selection criteria. The layoff, decisions that were made were necessarily determined by the *1017 selection guidelines, but they might perfectly well have been made in exactly the same way and with exactly the same results in the absence of the ten-year rule, especially in light of the “seniority” factor in the guidelines. 5 Our review of the record discloses only two references to possible applications of the ten-year rule. George Austermann stated that the rule “played a part in protecting some people from being declared surplus." He did not indicate whether this would have affected the layoff chances of any black employees. John Burgarella named one pаrticular employee with more than ten years of exempt seniority whom he would have laid off but for the ten-year rule; he refused, however, to state that the employee would likely have been laid off in place of any member of the plaintiff class. On the other hand, at least seven managers (including John Rutter and John Gignac, testifying with respect to three of the four named plaintiffs) stated that the ten-yeаr rule had no impact at all on their layoff decisions. On this evidence, we think the district court was correct in finding that the plaintiffs failed to make a sufficient showing to support a presumption of causation with respect to the named plaintiffs and the class generally. Thus, because plaintiffs made out no prima facie case, neither the burden of showing a manifest business necessity for the ten-year rule, nor that of disproving causation with respect to individual class members, ever shifted to defendant.
The judgment for defendant on the individual and class action claims is affirmed.
Notes
. Additional claims under Title VII and 42 U.S.C. §§ 1981 and 1983, concerning promotion practice and sex discrimination, were dismissed as untimely, and a fifth plaintiffs individual complaint of race discrimination was severed in 1980, leaving only the layoff claims for trial.
. The statistical experts disagreed in several fundamental respects concerning the following definitional factors: (a) the relevant date for measuring the number of employees before layoff; (b) the racial classification of employees listed as neither black nor white in Polaroid’s records; (c) the measurement of layoff numbers on a company-wide as opposed to a departmental/divisionаl basis; (d) the number and significance of “voluntary layoffs"; and (e) the effect of employees "bumping” back to hourly positions for which they were qualified.
. Some managers testified that they interpreted “seniority” to mean company seniority; others viewed it as exempt seniority; still others balanced the two on a case-by-case basis.
. The district court found that the ten-year rule was arbitrary and lacked historical basis. Although it did not expressly hold that the rule was not part of a bona fide seniority system protected under 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(h), we assume as much for present purposes.
. The underlying seniority system, as distinguished from Personnel Policy 250A, was not challenged as discriminatory. Although the district court did not specifically find that the system was protected under 42 U.S.C. § 2000e-2(h), it apparently assumed this was the case when it found the layoff selection guidelines to be nondiscriminatory.
