OPINION
A jury convicted Michael D. Webb of the aggravated murder of his son, Michael (“Mikey”) Patrick Webb, and at the jury’s recommendation a state trial court sentenced him to death. The Ohio courts affirmed his convictions and sentence on direct review and denied postconviction relief. Webb sought a writ of habeas corpus, which the district court denied. We affirm.
I.
Webb lived in a modest home in Goshen, Ohio, with his wife Susan, two teenage daughters, Tami and Amy, and two young sons, Charlie and Mikey.
State v. Webb,
Soon after Webb went upstairs, an explosion occurred on the main floor of the house, throwing Webb from the hall outside the master bedroom into the bathroom. Id. at 1027-28. Webb’s wife and youngest son were asleep in the master bedroom at the time, and Mikey slept in his bedroom across the hall. Id. Tami and Amy safely escaped the resulting fire through the exterior basement door as soon as they heard the explosion. Id. at 1027. Webb escaped the house by breaking through the bathroom window, cutting himself and bloodying his hands in the process. Id. Firefighters rescued Webb’s wife and youngest child from the master bedroom. Id. Mikey died from smoke inhalation, apparently while hiding under his bed to seek refuge from the flames. Id.
Law enforcement investigated the cause of the fire. Fire Chief Murphy discovered a plastic gasoline can from Webb’s garage in the front foyer as well as a “very definite pour pattern or trailer” leading down the hallway from the foyer to the main floor bedrooms. Id. From there, trailers led into both bedrooms, including over Mi-key’s bed to the rear wall of his bedroom. Id. An unignited gasoline trailer also led downstairs to the basement, where gaso *388 line had been poured on Tami’s and Amy’s beds. Id. Several pieces of physical evidence linked Webb to the fire: a two-liter soda bottle containing gasoline found downstairs, which had Webb’s fingerprints on it; Webb’s partial bloody fingerprints on a matchbook outside, with the prints corresponding to the “peculiar way” Webb held a matchbook when lighting matches; and a plastic gas can from Webb’s garage found in the foyer. Id. Webb, it turns out, had a motive as well: He began an extramarital affair in 1990 and told his mistress he planned to leave his wife so he could be with her, id.; and he had just finished draining $102,000 (plus interest) from his daughters’ trust accounts within the past year, a theft that would be hidden by their deaths because he was their heir.
An Ohio jury convicted Webb of the aggravated murder of Mikey and eleven other counts not relevant to this appeal.
Id.
After a mitigation hearing, the jury recommended the death penalty, and the trial court agreed.
Id.
On direct review, the state court of appeals and the Ohio Supreme Court affirmed Webb’s conviction and death sentence.
Id.
at 1028, 1038. Webb sought state post-conviction relief, which the Ohio courts denied.
See State v. Webb,
No. CA96-12-108,
In 1998, Webb filed a federal petition for habeas corpus, which (as amended) raised fifteen claims for relief. The district court rejected the petition because Webb had procedurally defaulted several claims and the remainder failed on the merits. The district court granted a certificate of appealability on seven claims.
II.
Because Webb filed his federal habeas petition after the effective date of the Anti-terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act, we may grant the writ with respect to claims “adjudicated on the merits in State court proceedings” only if the state-court adjudication “resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law, as determined by the Supreme Court of the United States,” 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1), or “resulted in a decision that was based on an unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented in the State court proceeding,” id. § 2254(d)(2).
A.
Webb claims that Ohio violated his due process rights by failing to disclose a police report issued five days after the fire.
See Brady v. Maryland,
The report also recounts the officer’s conversation with Gambrell. Gambrell at first denied even being at school that day, but then “changed his mind” and disputed Jordan’s recollection of their conversation *389 that morning. App’x 3203. According to Gambrell, he said “I hope it wasn’t Amy’s house that burnt up.” Id. (emphasis added). Gambrell also claimed he left his jacket in a friend’s car and would bring it in for examination in a few days. The record does not disclose what happened to the jacket or whether the police ever investigated Gambrell further.
Webb claims that this information, together with other evidence, shows that Gambrell committed the crime. Gambrell was the ex-boyfriend of Amy Webb; he “practically liv[ed]” at the Webb household prior to the fire, eating dinner with the family “[a] couple of times a week” according to Webb’s then-wife, App’x 3510-11; he knew the layout of the house; Webb believed that Gambrell “cannot stand him” because Webb “ran him out of the house” after catching him fooling around with Amy, R.37, Ex. 2788; and Tami saw someone wearing a red sweatshirt “staring” at her just before the explosion. App’x 1868. Webb claims that, when these facts are added to the information in the police report — that Gambrell may have smelled like gasoline that morning, that Jordan allegedly heard Gambrell say he “hoped it was Amy’s house that burnt up,” App’x at 3202, and that Gambrell did not wear his red letterman’s jacket to school that morning — it undermines confidence in the jury’s verdict.
Webb did not raise his
Brady
claim in the state proceedings, but the district court excused his procedural default and reviewed the claim on the merits because Webb did not learn of the police report until federal habeas discovery. Because this claim was not “adjudicated on the merits in State court proceedings,” we give fresh review to the merits of this claim — as the State concedes we should.
See Danner v. Motley,
A
Brady
claim contains three elements: (1) the evidence “must be favorable to the accused” because it is exculpatory or impeaching; (2) the State must have suppressed the evidence, whether willfully or inadvertently, and (3) the evidence must be material, meaning “prejudice must have ensued” from its suppression.
Strickler v. Greene,
The 1991 police report does not satisfy this standard. Webb’s theory that Gambrell, not he, set the fire rests on an implausible chain of events. If Webb is right, here is what happened: Gambrell retrieved Webb’s gasoline container from Webb’s garage, entered the house through the basement door and doused two floors of the house with gasoline. Gambrell hid from view while Webb and Tami talked. Gambrell stared at Tami in her basement bedroom without being identified (even though Tami knew Gambrell as her sister’s ex-boyfriend), then sneaked back upstairs. Gambrell entered the hallway connecting the upstairs bedrooms, opened the closet near the foyer and started a fire in that closet,
Webb,
Not only does this argument rest on a precarious chain of inferences, it also rests on a flimsy foundation: that Tami saw an unidentified person in a red sweatshirt in the house shortly before the explosion.
See Webb,
Several pieces of physical evidence, moreover, linked Webb to the fire. In the basement, Murphy discovered a two-liter plastic soda container, which had Webb’s fingerprints on it and which still contained gasoline.
Webb,
The information in the police report also is equivocal and does not “markedly” strengthen the theory that Gambrell set the fire.
Kyles v. Whitley,
Resisting this conclusion, Webb argues that the evidence significantly weakens the prosecution’s case by impeaching the thoroughness of the police investigation.
See Kyles,
Webb adds that police records indicating another person had a motive and opportunity to commit the crime are always material. Not true. Whether the information is material turns on the nature of the link between the other person and the crime and whether it affects how a jury would view a central issue in the case.
See Banks v. Dretke,
Suppressing the 1990 police report, Webb also argues, prejudiced his trial preparation and presentation. Any impact the suppression had on Webb’s trial preparations is irrelevant, however; “only the effect on the trial’s outcome matters.”
Wilson v. Parker,
B.
Webb separately argues that the Ohio appellate courts violated his rights under the
Ex Post Facto
and Due Process Clauses by reviewing his sufficiency-of-the-evidence challenge under a tougher standard than the one that existed on the day he committed the crime (or stood trial). At the time of the murder, Ohio courts would not uphold a conviction premised on circumstantial evidence unless it was “consistent only with the theory of guilt and irreconcilable with any reasonable theory of innocence.”
State v. Kulig,
Webb raised this issue — that the state courts should have applied the old standard, not the new one — on direct review, but the Ohio Supreme Court rejected it and applied the
Jenks
standard in affirming his conviction.
Webb,
Webb’s
ex post facto
challenge goes nowhere. As the Ohio Supreme Court correctly recognized,
Webb,
The answer to Webb’s due process challenge is less obvious, but in the end he cannot show that the state courts unreasonably applied then-existing U.S. Supreme Court precedent in rejecting this challenge. Relying on
Collins v. Young-blood,
Nor can we fault the state court’s conclusion that
Youngblood
“establishes that new evidentiary rules [including sufficiency-of-the-evidence rules] may be applied retroactively.”
Webb,
*393
Even though the Ohio Supreme Court never analyzed Webb’s challenge under the
Bouie
line of cases, its decision is neither contrary to nor an unreasonable application of these cases. All of these cases involved judicial decisions that allegedly retroactively converted an innocent act into a crime.
See Osborne v. Ohio,
Webb says that we should give fresh review to the state court’s decision rather than deferentially reviewing it under AEDPA because the state court analyzed his claim only under the
Ex Post Facto
Clause. Not true. Acknowledging that
ex post facto
requirements do not apply to judicial decisions, the Ohio Supreme Court interpreted
Bouie
to place “similar constraints” on courts through due process.
Webb,
C.
Webb argues that his trial counsel provided constitutionally ineffective assistance during the penalty phase of his trial by failing adequately to investigate and present mitigating evidence. In state post-conviction proceedings, the Ohio Court of Appeals found this claim barred by
res judicata
and did not address it on the merits.
State v. Webb,
No. CA96-12-108,
To prevail, Webb must show that his counsel’s performance was deficient and that he was prejudiced as a result.
Strickland v. Washington,
Webb’s trial counsel obtained a psychological evaluation of Webb, but chose not to present any psychological evidence during the penalty phase. He instead presented nine family members, including Webb’s then-wife and daughters, and one close family friend. Webb also made an unsworn statement to the jury. *394 Counsel argued that Webb should not receive a death sentence mainly because (1) he could continue to contribute to his family’s welfare if allowed to live, (2) the living victims of Webb’s crimes — his family— wanted to spare his life, and (3) residual doubt about Webb’s guilt favored leniency. (At the district court’s habeas hearing, it bears noting, his ex-wife testified against him and his children no longer testified in support of him.)
Webb argues that the mitigation investigation was “appallingly inadequate,” R. 41 at 67, and submits four affidavits purporting to show why. The first is from Michel Coconis, Webb’s mitigation investigator, whom trial counsel hired three days before the guilt phase began. Coconis points to several factors that she believes rendered her investigation incompetent, including too many other commitments at the time, being hired too close to trial, speaking to family members only in group settings and talking to family members only when the guilt-phase proceedings dominated their thoughts. ■
James Owens, a capital defense attorney in Ohio, submitted the second affidavit. He provides a bullet-point how-to manual for capital defense litigation. In commenting on Webb’s mitigation investigation, he says that a failure adequately to investigate “evidence of mitigation” constituted one “of the many errors made by [WebbJ’s trial counsel without any possible potential strategic purpose.” App’x 3960-61. Martin D. Yant’s affidavit speaks to the inadequacy of trial counsel’s investigation at the guilt phase of the trial.
The final affidavit, from a psychologist named Jeffrey Smalldon, critiques counsel’s choice not to present any psychological mitigating evidence. Smalldon also criticizes the decision by trial counsel to hire a psychological expert, Richard Sexton, with no experience in mitigation preparation or forensic psychology and who ultimately did not testify. In Smalldon’s opinion, loose language in Sexton’s report, not properly couched in appropriate qualifiers, could have hurt Webb during mitigation had Sexton testified. Smalldon also opined that Sexton’s failure to do a “comprehensive psychological, psychosocial, and possibly neuropsychological inquiry” did not serve Webb well. App’x 3313-14.
While some of these affidavits may well identify legitimate critiques of counsel’s performance, they do not establish prejudice. The Coconis, Owens and Yant affidavits do not point to any evidence that differs substantially — in strength and subject matter — from the evidence Webb’s counsel possessed.
See Hill,
While the Smalldon affidavit attempts to demonstrate prejudice, it does not do so. Smalldon presents a more nuanced and troubling picture of Webb’s mental health than Sexton does, ultimately diagnosing him with “prominent passive-aggressive, paranoid, and antisocial features.” App’x 3940. He also speculates that Webb sometimes “totally disregards important aspects of reality in the course of responding to some deep-seated emotional need,” such as being a “heroic figure” for his family.
Id.
But Smalldon bases his assessment primarily on reports created by Webb’s trial counsel and interviews with Webb, which Sexton also conducted. Smalldon thus merely develops a different psychological profile based on the same facts Sexton apparently used, making it difficult to maintain that Sexton (and Webb’s counsel) failed to uncover mitigating evidence that a later investigation uncovered.
See Hill,
We also cannot reliably evaluate how much of Sexton’s report differs from Smalldon’s, or any other aspect of Sexton’s performance, further hamstringing a cognizable prejudice argument. Smalldon — a psychologist specifically hired during post-conviction proceedings to evaluate possible ineffective-assistance defenses — provides the only record of Sexton and his findings. For reasons never explained, Webb has not introduced Sexton’s report in any state or federal post-conviction proceeding. While we do not doubt the competence or good faith of Smalldon, that does not make him an objective evaluator of Sexton’s work. On this record — which does not contain Sexton’s report and does not contain any newly uncovered facts that Webb’s counsel (Sexton) should have discovered earlier — Smalldon cannot help Webb overcome “the strong presumption” that his trial counsel conducted a reasonable investigation.
Campbell v. Coyle,
One loose end: Why didn’t Webb’s counsel nonetheless introduce Sexton’s report or at least offer Sexton as a witness? One possibility, as confirmed by Smalldon, is that the report contained information potentially damaging to Webb’s mitigation theory. The other is the tension that may arise between a residual doubt theory and psychological testimony. Psychological evidence may conflict with a residual doubt theory at mitigation because, to be persuasive, it simultaneously must explain how the defendant’s psychological makeup could lead him to commit the murder but mitigate the circumstances of his doing so.
See McCracken v. Gibson,
But even if the Smalldon affidavit established prejudice, which it did not, Webb did not make a sufficient showing of deficient performance. His counsel’s decision not to introduce Sexton’s psychological evaluation, which described Webb as cold and violent, was not unreasonable because this evaluation would have undermined Webb’s mitigation theory that he could contribute to his family’s welfare if allowed to live. Because Sexton’s initial evaluation was unfavorable, Webb’s counsel’s decision not to seek a more extensive psychological evaluation was also reasonable.
D.
Webb claims that the prosecutor violated his due-process rights during the guilt phase by commenting on Webb’s failure to testify, by taunting Webb and by presenting character evidence even though Webb did not testify. This misconduct, Webb adds, also infected the penalty phase because the trial judge instructed the jury to consider all of the guilt-phase evidence when evaluating whether to impose the death penalty. To obtain relief, the prosecutorial misconduct must have “so infected the trial with unfairness as to make the resulting conviction a denial of due process,”
Darden v. Wainwright,
Under the Fifth (and Fourteenth) Amendment, the prosecution may not comment on a defendant’s refusal to testify.
See Griffin v. California,
Webb claims the prosecutor’s remark that “[h]e spoke” “naturally and necessarily” commented on Webb’s refusal to testify and that this represented a deliberate strategy since Breyer’s earlier remark primed Webb for an outburst. Pet’r Br. at 71-72. The Ohio courts did not unreasonably apply
Darden
and
Griffin
in concluding otherwise. Whether a prosecutor’s comment violates the Fifth Amendment turns on content and context: (1) Did the prosecutor “manifestly intend[]” to comment on the defendant’s Fifth Amendment right or would a jury “naturally and necessarily” interpret the remark that way; (2) was it an isolated occurrence or part of an extensive pattern; (3) how strong was the prosecution’s other evidence and (4) did the judge give a curative instruction?
Bowling v. Parker,
No evidence shows that White “manifestly intended” to comment on Webb’s refusal to testify. The isolated remark more plausibly reflected surprise and a plea for the judge to restore order during the climax of his summation.
See Byrd v. Collins,
Webb persists that fourteen other statements during the prosecution’s summation also commented on Webb’s refusal to testify. Taken together with the first statement, Webb urges, these statements show a pattern of improper comments that infected the entire trial.
Four of the statements refer to evidence as uncontradicted. But that kind of reference does not reflect on a defendant’s failure to testify if evidence other than the defendant’s own testimony could have contradicted it.
See Joseph v. Coyle,
Seven other statements merely summarize the evidence. Prosecutors may “summarize the evidence and comment on its quantitative and qualitative significance” during their summation,
see Bowling,
Two more statements occurred during the prosecution’s rebuttal summation. But these refer to defense counsel and his summation, not to Webb.
That leaves the last statement, in which the prosecution referred to a piece of evidence as “uncontradicted” that only Webb could have contradicted.
See Raper,
Webb’s claim about the prosecutor’s introduction of other-acts evidence fares no better. While framed as a prosecutorial-misconduct challenge, it amounts in the end to a challenge to the trial court’s decision to allow the introduction of this evidence.
See Coleman v. Mitchell,
III.
Webb next challenges the district court’s conclusion that Webb procedurally defaulted two of his ineffective-assistance-of-counsel claims. A habeas petitioner procedurally defaults a claim if: (1) the petitioner fails to comply with a state procedural rule; (2) the state courts enforce the rule; (3) the state procedural rule is an adequate and independent state ground for denying review of a federal constitutional claim; and (4) the petitioner cannot show cause and prejudice excusing the default.
See Maupin v. Smith,
A.
The district court erred, Webb says, in holding that he procedurally defaulted his claim that trial counsel acted ineffectively by failing to object to a penalty-phase jury instruction. In orally instructing the jury on its obligation to balance the aggravating and mitigating factors, the trial judge apparently had a slip of the tongue:
To outweigh means to weigh more, to be more important than. In this regard, it is the quantity of the evidence that must be given consideration by you, and the quality of the evidence may or may not be commensurate with the quantity of the evidence....
*398 App’x 3149 (emphasis added). The trial judge refused to give the jurors written copies of the instructions, which did not contain this error, even after the jurors asked for them. Webb’s trial counsel never brought the error to the attention of the trial judge or requested that the judge re-instruct the jury.
Under Ohio law, defendants generally must raise ineffective assistance of trial counsel claims on direct review,
see Greer v. Mitchell,
Webb then moved to reopen his direct appeal under Ohio Rule of Appellate Procedure 26(B), the prescribed mechanism for asserting ineffective assistance of appellate counsel claims under Ohio law,
see
Ohio R.App. P. 26(B)(1). The Ohio Court of Appeals rejected the claim as time barred and without merit.
See
App’x 1422-23;
see also State v. Webb,
Webb does not deny that he procedurally defaulted his ineffective-assistance claim with respect to his trial counsel. He argues instead that the claim with respect to his appellate counsel amounts to cause and prejudice excusing the default.
See Smith v. Ohio Dept. of Rehabilitation and Corrections,
We agree with Webb that he did not procedurally default the appellate-counsel claim by filing an untimely Rule 26(B) motion. We have previously held that the time limitation in Rule 26(B) is not an independent state ground that the Ohio courts have enforced for capital-sentence petitioners whose direct appeal had concluded, and whose post-conviction relief proceedings were initiated, after
Mumahan. See Franklin,
Deferential AEDPA review still governs our consideration of Webb’s ineffective assistance of appellate counsel claim, however, because the Ohio courts also addressed this claim on the merits.
See Brooks v. Bagley,
The Ohio courts did not unreasonably apply
Strickland’s
deficiency or prejudice prongs. To establish deficient performance, Webb must demonstrate his appellate counsel made an objectively unreasonable decision by choosing to raise other issues instead of this ineffective assistance of trial counsel issue, meaning that issue “was clearly stronger than issues that counsel did present.”
Robbins,
Webb’s ineffective assistance of trial counsel claim is not “clearly stronger” than the issues he raised on direct review. When reviewing a death sentence on direct review, O.R.C. § 2929.05(A) requires Ohio courts independently to “weigh the aggravating circumstances against the mitigating factors and consider whether the death sentence is disproportionate to sentences in similar cases,” which the Ohio courts did in this case,
see Webb,
Webb also cannot establish prejudice even if this claim were “clearly stronger” than some of the twenty-six issues raised on direct appeal. To establish prejudice, Webb must demonstrate “a reasonable probability that, but for his counsel’s unreasonable failure to” raise this issue on appeal, “he would have prevailed.”
Robbins,
Webb offers two rejoinders. He first argues that he is actually innocent and that his innocence establishes the requisite cause to excuse a procedural default “where a constitutional violation has probably resulted in the conviction of one who is actually innocent.”
Murray v. Carrier,
Webb next argues it does not matter whether he can show cause and prejudice because he did not procedurally default this claim in the first place. According to Webb, when the Ohio courts *400 engage in the statutory independent review process, see O.R.C. § 2929.05(A), they implicitly review ineffective assistance of trial counsel claims. Thus, the argument goes, this claim does not implicate Ohio’s res judicata rule.
We accepted an implicit review theory once before.
See Cone v. Bell,
We agreed — based on the language of Tennessee’s mandatory independent review statute and a Tennessee Supreme Court decision.
Id.
at 791-93. The statute requires the Tennessee Supreme Court to review whether “the sentence of death was imposed in an arbitrary fashion.” Tenn.Code. Ann. § 39-2-205(c) (current version at Tenn.Code Ann. § 39-13-206(c));
see also Cone,
Cone is readily distinguishable. First, nothing in Ohio’s independent review statute hints that Ohio courts implicitly review the performance of counsel during their mandatory review. See O.R.C. § 2929.05(A). Second, we are unaware of a single Ohio case that embraces the implicit review theory in any context, let alone in the context of an ineffective assistance claim.
Webb disagrees, citing a number of cases in which the Ohio Supreme Court reviewed issues not properly preserved below but explicitly raised on appeal when reviewing death-penalty convictions. To the extent the Ohio courts review these improperly preserved claims for plain error, that does not save the claims from procedural default.
See Coleman v. Thompson,
B.
Webb challenges the district court’s conclusion that he procedurally defaulted numerous ineffective-assistance claims during the guilt phase. But nothing can come of this challenge because the district court also rejected these claims on the merits and Webb did not ask for a certificate of appealability on the merits determinations with respect to these claims. No court *401 thus could grant the writ on this basis even if we held that these claims were not procedurally defaulted.
While we are generally not in the business of reversing certificates of appealability,
see Porterfield v. Bell,
This framework faithfully applies the text of 28 U.S.C. § 2253 — requiring “a substantial showing of the denial of a constitutional right” before courts may grant a COA — while not making procedural rulings unreviewable.
See Slack,
IV.
For these reasons, we affirm.
