Defendant-Appellant, Jose Patrick Vigil, appeals his sentence for possession of a firearm by a previously convicted felon, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). Specifically, he appeals the district court’s determination that his prior state conviction for aggravated incest constituted a prior conviction for a “crime of violence” within the meaning of U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2, resulting in a base offense level of 20 under U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A) and a sentence of 27 months imprisonment. We exercise jurisdiction under 28 U.S.C. § 1291 and AFFIRM.
I. BACKGROUND
The parties do not dispute the relevant facts. Before his conviction for the offense *1217 at issue in this case, Vigil sustained two felony convictions, including a conviction for aggravated incest in violation of section 18-6-302 of the Colorado Revised Statutes. Specifically, in 1989, Vigil was convicted of sexually penetrating his natural child over a period of slightly less than two year's. 1
The acts supporting conviction in the instant case occurred between approximately April 1996 and June 2000, when Vigil repeatedly pawned and redeemed a rifle at a pawn shop in Security, Colorado. He was subsequently charged with, and pleaded guilty to, one count of possession of a firearm by a previously convicted felon, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1). The district court entered judgment against him on August 26, 2002.
At sentencing, the parties disputed the appropriate base offense level under the United States Sentencing Guidelines. The government argued that aggravated incest, as defined by Colo.Rev.Stat. § 18-6-302, constitutes a “crime of violence” within the meaning of U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2, and that Vigil’s base offense level should accordingly be increased from 14 to 20 under U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A). Vigil argued that the Colorado statute did not define a crime of violence for purposes of § 4B1.2, and that his base offense level should therefore be 14. 2 The district court requested briefing on this issue, and both parties filed written submissions.
In determining whether Vigil’s 1989 conviction for aggravated incest constituted a crime of violence under § 4B1.2 for purposes of calculating his base offense level under § 2K2.1, the district court declined to consider the Presenteneing Report from the 1989 Colorado case. To determine the age of Vigil’s daughter at the time her father sexually penetrated her, the district court considered only the charging document and judgment of conviction from the 1989 aggravated incest case. Based upon these documents, the district court found that Vigil’s daughter would have been approximately 18 years old at the time of the offense. 3
To determine whether aggravated incest under section 18-6-302 of the Colorado Revised Statutes constituted a crime of violence for purposes of § 4B1.2, the district court relied on the methodology set forth in
United States v. Dwyer,
Applying Dwyer, the district court determined that aggravated incest as defined by the Colorado statute is, categorically, a crime of violence for purposes of § 4B1.2. Specifically, the district court concluded that “when a father inflicts sexual penetration or sexual intrusion on a child that’s ... 18 years old ... that implies force and ... that implied force is suffi *1218 cient to make this aggravated incest a crime of violence within the meaning of section 4B1.2.” Based on this conclusion, the district court increased Vigil’s base offense level under U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A) and held that the “sporting exception” set forth in § 2K2.1(b)(2) did not apply to reduce his base offense level. 4 The district court sentenced Vigil to 27 months imprisonment, followed by two years of supervised release. This appeal followed.
II. Discussion .
A. Standard of Review
Whether a statute defines a “crime of violence” for purposes of U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2 is a question of statutory construction, which we review de novo.
United States v. Riggans, 254
F.3d 1200, 1203 (10th Cir.2001),
cert. denied,
B. Overview of Applicable Law
1. Section 4B1.2 of the United States Sentencing Guidelines
Pursuant to U.S.S.G § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A), Vigil’s base offense level for violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(1) would be 20 if he “committed any part of the instant offense subsequent to sustaining one felony conviction of ... a crime of violence.” Under the Guidelines, [t]he term “crime of violence” means any offense under federal or state law, punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year, that—
(1) has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against the person of another, or
(2) is burglary of a dwelling, arson, or extortion, involves use of explosives, or otherwise involves conduct that presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another.
U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a). The application notes following § 4B1.2 explain that “crime of violence” includes, inter alia, “murder, manslaughter, kidnapping, aggravated assault, forcible sex offenses, robbery, arson, extortion, extortionate extension of credit, and burglary of a dwelling.” Id., Application note 1 (emphasis added).
In determining whether a particular felony offense constitutes a crime of violence within the meaning of § 4B1.2, we employ a “categorical” approach that omits consideration of the particular facts of the case.
See United States v. Pierce,
2. The Colorado Aggravated Incest Statute
The portion of the statute of conviction under which Vigil entered his guilty plea provides:
A person commits aggravated incest when he or she knowingly:
(a) Marries his or her natural child or inflicts sexual penetration or sexual intrusion on or subjects to sexual contact, as defined in section 18-3-401, his or her natural child, stepchild, or child by adoption.... For the purpose of this paragraph (a) only, “child” means a person under twenty-one years of age.
Colo.Rev.Stat. § 18-6-302(1)(a). 5 The information to which Vigil pled guilty charged that “[b]etween July 2, 1983 and March 31, 1985, Jose Patrick Vigil did unlawfully, knowingly and feloniously inflict sexual penetration upon ... his natural child; In violation of Colorado Revised Statutes 18-6-302.” Colorado defines “sexual penetration” as follows: “ ‘Sexual penetration’ means sexual intercourse, cunnilingus, fellatio, analingus, or anal intercourse. Emission need not be proved as an element of any sexual penetration. Any penetration, however slight, is sufficient to complete the crime.” Colo.Rev. Stat. § 18-3-401(6).
C. Analysis
In this case, the question before us is whether, without reference to the underlying facts of the case, the offense set forth in Colo.Rev.Stat. § 18-6-302 “has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against the person of another,” thereby satisfying the first prong of U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2, or “otherwise involves conduct that presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another,” thereby satisfying section 4B1.2’s second prong. We consider each question in turn.
The district court held that Colorado’s aggravated incest statute defines a crime of violence based on the first prong of section 4B1.2, concluding that section 18-6-302 contains as an element the threatened use of physical force. As Vigil points out, the district court did so in spite of the fact that the statute prohibits a range of conduct and does not expressly require the threatened use of physical force. The district court determined, however, that the requisite threat of force is implied whenever a parent inflicts sexual penetration on his or her child. While we base our holding primarily on the “serious threat of physical injury” analysis under the second prong of section 4B1.2, we agree with the district court’s conclusion.
*1220
The Fourth Circuit’s decision in
Pierce
is in accord. Inferring “constructive force” from the power disparity between an adult abuser and his child-victim, the
Pierce
court held that the crime of taking indecent liberties with a child, under a North Carolina statute that does not require physical touching, constitutes a “forcible sex offense” and is therefore categorically a crime of violence for purposes of § 4B1.2’s first prong.
6
“The youth and vulnerability of children, coupled with the power inherent in a parent’s position of authority, creates a unique situation of dominance and control in which explicit threats and displays of force are not necessary to effect the abuser’s purpose.”
Id.
at 290 (quoting
State v. Etheridge,
The district court’s conclusion also finds support in our discussion of aggravated incest in
United States v. Passi,
Based on the above, we conclude that the power asymmetry implicit in aggravated incest, as defined by section 18-6-302, permits the inference of a threat of force; thus, aggravated incest constitutes a “crime of violence” under section 4B1.2(a)(l).
Moreover, we are convinced that aggravated incest “involves conduct that presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another.” U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2(a)(2). In support of his argument to the contrary, Vigil contends that a child’s inability to legally consent to sexual penetration by her father does not preclude the possibility of her factual “consent”; according to Vigil, this possibility of factual consent eliminates any serious risk of physical harm resulting from a struggle necessary to subdue the victim. Further, he argues that our previous cases addressing this issue are inapposite because they considered sexual abuse of children significantly younger than his daughter was at the time of the offense to which he pled guilty. Thus, he argues, because sexual penetration of a willing teenage daughter does not necessarily involve a serious risk of physical injury—either from a struggle to subdue an unwilling victim or from the physical dangers of sex with a very young victim—it would be inappropriate to hold that the statute of conviction categorically defines a crime of violence. We find neither of these arguments persuasive.
1. Significance of the Child’s Legal Inability to Consent to Aggravated Incest: United States v. Reyes-Castro
Our previous cases do not support Vigil’s argument that the possibility of the victim’s factual consent requires us to hold that aggravated incest is not categorically a crime of violence. In
Reyes-Castro,
we held that attempted sexual abuse of a minor under a Utah statute was a crime of violence under 18 U.S.C. § 16(b),
7
despite
*1221
the fact that the offense did not contain an element of physical force — indeed, the statute at issue did not even require physical touching of the victim.
A common sense view of the sexual abuse statute, in combination with the legal determination that children are incapable of consent, suggests that when an older person attempts to sexually touch a child under the age of fourteen, there is always a substantial risk that physical force will be used to ensure the child’s compliance. Sexual abuse of a child is therefore a crime of violence under 18 U.S.C. § 16(b).
Id.
at 379;
accord McCann v. Rosquist,
2. Significance of the Age of the Victim: McCann v. Rosquist
In
McCann,
we reaffirmed our view that the impossibility of legal consent under child sex-abuse statutes is directly analogous to the kind of non-consensual sexual touching that constitutes rape.
Furthermore, and contrary to Vigil’s argument that the relationship between the impossibility of legal consent and the risk of physical injury in our prior cases only applies when the victims are young children, we expressly noted in McCann that the age of the victim is immaterial:
In Reyes-Castro, we focused on the relationship between lack of consent and the substantial risk of the application of physical force. We conclude today that such relationship is significant regardless of the age of the victim.
Id
at 1119-20 (emphasis added);
see also United States v. Phelps,
In sum, we have previously employed the inability of a victim to legally consent to sexual .encounters as a proxy for the coercive nature of sex crimes; and we have further held that the victim’s age does not change the significance of the absence of consent — legal or factual. Thus, the possibility of a - child-victims’s sincere consent to aggravated incest is irrelevant.
3. Applicability of Reyes-Castro and McCann to § 4B1.2
Both
Reyes-Castro
and
McCann
considered whether particular felonies constituted crimes of violence under 18 U.S.C. § 16(b) rather than U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2. While the definition of “crime of violence” under § 4B1.2 is not identical to that found in 18 U.S.C. § 16(b), we have previ
*1222
ously applied the
Reyes-Castro
analysis to § 4B1.2. In
United States v. Coronado-Cervantes,
we applied our reasoning under 18 U.S.C. § 16(b) in
Reyes-Castro
to hold that sexual contact with a minor, in violation of 18 U.S.C. §§ 1153, 2244(a)(1) & 2245(3), constitutes a crime of violence within the meaning of U.S.S.G § 4B1.2.
We realize that the definitions of “crime of violence” in 18 U.S.C. § 16 and U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2 differ. The relevant part of 18 U.S.C. § 16 requires a showing that the offense “involves a substantial risk that physical force against the person or property of another may be used,” while U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2 requires a showing that the offense “otherwise involves conduct that presents a serious potential risk of physical injury to another.” Nonetheless, we consider Reyes-Castro persuasive.
Id.
at 1244 (citing
United States v. Kirk,
4. The Seventh Circuit’s Caselaw
Vigil’s reliance on Seventh Circuit precedent for the proposition that aggravated incest should not be categorically a crime of violence is misplaced. Vigil is correct that, in
United States v. Shannon,
the Seventh Circuit declined to adopt a per se inference that a serious risk of injury arises whenever a party violates a statutory-rape statute.
We need not address the reasoning of these cases, however, as they do not consider the aggravating factor of incest.
8
In
Shannon,
the panel expressly distinguished cases involving incest: “Some cases from other circuits might be read as ... deeming any felonious sex act with a minor a per se crime of violence. Most of them can be distinguished, however, as involving ... incest, or other aggravating factors.”
[T]he statute of conviction in this case, which punishes more than sexual inter *1223 course with a minor, is concerned with the nature of the relationship between the defendant and the child-victim. The familial bond of trust is violated'by actions punished under this statute. A child-victim is likely to comply with the sexual request by or action of her father out of fear stemming from the belief that physical consequences will flow from noncompliance or simply because she trusts him not to do her wrong. We find that incest presents an aggravating factor that evokes a serious potential risk of physical injury. This was alluded to rather markedly in Shannon.
Id.
5. “Risk”
Throughout his brief, Vigil relies heavily on the possibility that a parent could engage in conduct prohibited by the statute of conviction without a serious risk of physical injury to the child-victim. Because the statute governs scenarios in which an older child (defined as a “person under twenty-one years of age”) sincerely consents to aggravated incest, so the argument goes, the victim’s consent eliminates the possibility of a struggle prior to and during penetration, while his or her physical maturity eliminates the risk of physical injury from the act itself. 9
Vigil’s argument ignores the text of the statute and misses the point of the categorical approach. The statute speaks in terms of probability — a “risk” — not certainty. “[R]isk is by definition probable not certain; hence potential rather than actual.”
Shannon,
For example, the statute expressly includes arson and burglary of a dwelling as crimes of violence; yet a sizable percentage of burglaries and arsons occur in “safely” unoccupied homes. Indeed, one assumes that the point of burglary is getting to steal things without confrontation and violence; and arson is a crime against property.
See Pierce,
The reason [we do not consider the underlying facts] is clear: either a crime is violent “by its nature” or it is not. It cannot be a crime of violence “by its nature” in some cases, but not others, depending on the circumstances. There is accordingly no need to consider the conduct underlying the defendant’s conviction. A sentencing court need only consider the fact that he was convicted and the inherent nature of the offense.
Velazquez-Overa,
Moreover, as we pointed out above, we have already held that (1) the possibility of factual consent does not obviate the risk of physical injury,
Reyes Pena,
216 F.3d at
*1224
1211, and (2) when considering the relationship between lack of consent and the risk of physical injury, the age of the victim is immaterial.
McCann,
III. Conclusion
For the foregoing reasons, we hold that aggravated incest, as defined by section 18-6-302 of the Colorado Revised Statutes, constitutes a crime of violence within the meaning of U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2. We therefore AFFIRM the sentence imposed by the district court.
Judge O’BRIEN concurs in the result.
Notes
. Vigil’s other felony conviction, in 1996, was for attempted criminal mischief. That conviction does not bear upon our consideration of the instant case.
. The parties agree that, if this court determines that aggravated incest does not constitute a crime of violence under § 4B1.2, then the “sporting exception” set forth in U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(b)(2) would apply. Because we hold that aggravated incest as defined in the relevant Colorado statute is a crime of violence for purposes of § 4B1.2, we need not consider the applicability of § 2K2.1(b)(2).
.We are uncertain how the district court reached this conclusion and do not adopt this finding for purposes of our analysis.
. Section 2K2.1 provides in relevant part:
If the defendant, other than a defendant subject to subsection ... [(a)(4)'s "crime of violence” enhancement] ... possessed all ammunition and firearms solely for lawful sporting purposes or collection, and did not unlawfully discharge or otherwise unlawfully use such firearms or ammunition, decrease the offense level determined above to level 6.
U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(b)(2).
. As Vigil points out, Colo.Rev.Stat. § 18-6-302 proscribes a range of conduct, not merely sexual penetration of the defendant's natural child. Subsection (l)(b) provides that a person commits aggravated incest when he or she:
Marries, inflicts sexual penetration or sexual intrusion on, or subjects to sexual contact, as defined in section 18-3-401, a descendant, a brother or sister of the whole or half blood, or an uncle, aunt, nephew, or niece of the whole blood who is under ten years of age.
Colo.Rev.Stat. § 18-6-302(1)(b).
. The
Pierce
court first found that the North Carolina statute defined a crime of violence under § 4B1.2's second prong.
. For a discussion of the applicability of cases construing 18 U.S.C. § 16(b) to the categorization of felonies under U.S.S.G. § 4B1.2, see Part II.C.3, infra.
. Indeed, far from addressing incest, all of the cases cited involved defendants unrelated to, and close in age to, their statutory victims.
. In support of his argument that suph relationships exist, Vigil cites Kathryn Harrison's autobiographical novel, The Kiss, which describes in positive terms the author's consensual incestuous relationship with her father.
