Fоllowing his conviction on a money laundering charge, 18 U.S.C. § 1956, in the United States District Court for the District of Massachusetts, William Tibolt appeals two trial court rulings relating to incriminating financial records seized from his residence in a warrantless search. Finding no error, we affirm.
I
BACKGROUND
Around mid-morning on July 27, 1992, a security alarm activated in the Dombrowski residence located at 13 Old Salem Path in Gloucester, Massachusetts. As the security alarm company — JK Security — was unable to make telephone contact with the Dombrow-ski rеsidence to determine whether the alarm had been set off accidentally, it telephoned the Gloucester Police to report the alarm. Officer Joseph Palazzola was dispatched to investigate the alarm report at the Dom-browski residence, which is next door to the Tibolt residence at 11 Old Salem Path.
Both residences are set well back from Old Salem Path and largely concealed from view. Two driveways — separated by a tree and some shrubbery — lead to thе Tibolt home. The Tibolt mailbox — bearing “11 Old Salem Path” — 'is located immediately to the right of the first Tibolt driveway. The Dombrowski mailbox — marked “dombrowski 13” — is located a few feet left of the second Tibolt driveway, more than 60 feet before the driveway entrance to the Dombrowski residence at 13 Old Salem Path.
Upon observing the mailbox marked “13,” Officer Palazzola mistakenly entered the second driveway to the Tibolt residence. He checked the exterior of the residence for signs of an attempted break, or burglary in progress. Although he noted no signs of forced entry, Palazzola found an unlocked door on the rear deck. He opened the door and called inside to alert any occupant, but received no response. Given that the police had been requested to investigate the alarm, that a door was unlocked, and that Palazzola had been unable to make contact with anyone inside the house, he reasoned that the alarm might not have been activated accidentally.
Pаlazzola promptly called for backup, and Officer Thomas Williams arrived within five minutes. Williams likewise drove to the Ti-bolt residence rather than the Dombrowski residence, because he saw Palazzola’s squad car parked next to the Tibolt residence. Williams immediately recognized the Tibolt residence as having been the target of a prior investigation by a Gloucester Police drug task force in which he had participated. Williams was unsure, however, whether the target (viz., Tibolt) of the task fоrce investigation still owned the residence, or whether it was still under investigation for drug-related activities.
Palazzola and Williams decided to make an immediate warrantless entry through the unlocked rear door, then looked about for possible explanations for the alarm (e.g., any occupants, a burglar, “whatever”). Their search was limited in scope, eschewing drawers, cabinets and containers. The officers “secured” each room, to rule out the presence of intruders, сaptives, or injured occupants. After sweep-searching the upper floors, the officers discovered a well-established marijuana growing facility in the basement, then left to obtain a search warrant. 1 Later, armed with *968 a warrant, the officers searched the Tibolt premises and seized incriminating financial records which Tibolt subsequently sought to suppress on the ground that the search warrant was invalid because the evidence relied on in the supporting affidavit was itself the fruit of the earlier warrantlеss search. After hearing, the district court denied the motion to suppress, without elaboration.
Following the verdict, Tibolt moved for a new trial on the ground that he had uncovered “new” evidence relating to the suppression motion which would (1) impeach Palaz-zola’s suppression hearing testimony, (2) suggest that the Gloucester Police deliberately planned to search the Tibolt residence, and (3) demonstrate a
Franks v. Delaware,
an informant ... has provided information that led to the arrest and indictment of one William Tibolt. In the investigation the informant provided detailed information in regard to the location of an indoor growing operation that Mr. Tibolt had in his home. The informant provided the name, address as well as оther persons that were involved in the marijuana growing operation. The informants [sic] also described the home and the interior as well as a room in the center of the basement that [sic] the growing operation was being conducted. (Emphasis added.)
But for the fact that it contains no indication as to the timing of the events described in it, the Lemieux affidavit might conflict with the affidavit submitted in support of the search warrant application of July 27, 1992,
see supra
note 1, which described JK Security’s call to the Glouсester Police Department, the police response, and the officers’
unexpected
discovery of marijuana in the Tibolt basement. After hearing, the district court denied the motion for new trial.
United States v. Tibolt,
II
DISCUSSION
A. Motion to Suppress
Tibolt first challenges the district court’s
pretrial
denial of the motion to suppress the primary evidence of money laundering: the financial records seized from his residence on July 27, 1992. He contends that there was no objectively reasonable basis for believing that a life-threatening burglary was in progress, even assuming that Officer Palazzola reasonably had mistaken the Tibolt residence for the Dombrowski residence.
But see infra
Section II .B. And he argues that inspection of the exterior of the Tibolt residence revealed no signs of forcible entry, and no open windows or doors.
See
Brief for Appellant at 27-29 (citing
United States v. Erickson,
1. Substantive Law
A warrantless search of a private residence is presumptively unreasonable under the Fourth Amendment.
See Payton v. New York,
Probable cause will be found to have been present if the officers at the scene collectively possessed reasonably trustworthy information sufficient to warrant a prudent policeman in believing that a criminal оffense had been or was being committed.
See Hegarty v. Somerset Cty.,
Exigent circumstances exist where law enforcement officers сonfront a “compelling necessity for immediate action that w[ould] not brook the delay of obtaining a warrant.”
United States v. Wilson,
2. Standard of Review
As mixed questions of law and fact, the “probable cause” and “exigent circumstances” determinations require bifurcated review: whether a particular set of circumstances gave rise to “probable cause” or “exigent circumstances” is reviewed
de novo
and findings of fact are reviewed for clear error.
United States v. Goldman,
*970 3. Application of Law
Tibolt does not challenge the factual findings implicit in the district court ruling, given that the evidence most central to the ruling — the police descriptions relating to the alarm report, the locations of the mailboxes, the unlocked door — is undisputed. 3 Moreover, these implicit findings unquestionably support the challenged legal conclusion that Officer Palazzola had probable cause to believe a breaking and entering had been or was being committed at the Tibolt residence.
A security alarm had been activated, and when JK Security placed a call to the Dom-browski residence, it had received no answer. 4 These circumstances severely undercut any likelihood that the security alarm had been activated inadvertently by a resident. Moreover, upon his arrival approximately ten minutes later, Palazzola checked all windows and doors at the Tibolt residence. 5 Instead of finding all doors secured, as one might reasonably expect while the residents are away, he found an unlocked door on the rear deck and received no response to his efforts to communicate with anyone who might be inside. These circumstances significantly enhanced the likelihood of an intruder.
For similar reasons, we conclude that Pa-lazzola was presented with “exigent circumstances” permitting an
immediate
warrant-less entry. Without entering, he could not know but what an intruder had managed to get into the residence, and even injured or captured a resident, then fled; or had been caught off guard by the police and remained in the residencе with a forcibly detained resident! Even the authorities cited by Tibolt acknowledge the potential exigencies attending such circumstances.
See Erickson,
B. Motion for New Trial
We turn now to the district court ruling denying a new trial. Tibolt contends that the “newly discovered” Gloucester Police “incident cards” and the Lemieux affidavit support a rational inference that Officer Palazzo-la committed perjury at the suppression hearing, in explaining that the misleading placement of the Dombrowski mailbox at the opening of the second Tibolt driveway, and his own unfamiliarity with the two residences, had caused him to go to the Tibolt residence to investigate the reported alarm at the Dombrowski residence. Tibolt maintains that the incident cards show that Palaz-zola had been to the Dombrowski residence at least once before and, therefore, should have recognized his mistake on this occasion. Further, he argues, the Lemieux affidavit suggests that Palazzola’s “mistake” was actually párt of an elaborate, conspiratorial ruse, manufactured by the Gloucester Police task force to enable a warrantless search of the Tibolt residence for drugs.
Cf. Curzi,
1. Substantive Law ■
A motion for new trial based on newly discovered evidence will not be allowed unless the movant establishes that the evidence was: (i) unknown or unаvailable at the time of trial, (ii) despite due diligence, (iii) material, and (iv) likely to result in an acquittal upon retrial.
United States v. Ortiz,
The usual locution, taken from Justice Blackmun’s opinion in [United States v.] Bagley, [473 U.S. 667 ,105 S.Ct. 3375 ,87 L.Ed.2d 481 (1985) ], is that the nondisclosure justifies a new trial if it is “material,” it is “material” only if there is “a reasonable probability” that the evidence would have changed the result, and a “reasonable probability” is “a probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the outcome.” Id. at 682 [105 S.Ct. at 3383 ].... This somewhat delphic “undermine confidence” formula suggests that [a] reversal [and a remand for new trial] might be warranted in some cases even if there is less than an *972 even chance that the evidence would produce an acquittal. After all, if the evidence is close and the penalty significant, one might think that undisclosed evidence creating (for example) a 33 percent chance of a different result would undermine one’s confidence in the result. And while Bagley appears to give little weight to other factors — such as the degree of fault on the prosecutor’s part and the specificity of the defense request — it is not entirely clear that these variables must be ignored.
United States v. Sepulveda,
2. Standard of Review
The denial of a motion for new trial is reviewed only for manifest abuse of discretion.
See United States v. Wright,
3. The Incident Cards
We сannot say that the district court ruling constituted a manifest abuse of discretion. The district court found,
inter alia,
that the police incident reports would not suffice to undermine Officer Palazzola’s credibility; hence, were not likely to result in an acquittal.
Tibolt,
4.The Lemieux Affidavit
The district court found the Lemieux affidavit similarly inconclusive. Although the affidavit might contribute to a plausible inference of police conspiracy, it certainly did not compel such a finding, especially since its temporal relevance is so unclear. For one thing, it is not unreasonаble to think that Lemieux may have been imprecise in recollecting the sequence of the events which had occurred a year and a half earlier. That is to say, there is nothing in the affidavit to suggest but what Lemieux may have been remembering that Tibolt was arrested and that an informant’s tip simply corroborated what the officers themselves accidentally discovered. Nor does the Lemieux affidavit, vague as it is, make it probable that an acquittal would result upon retrial.
In all events, we need not rest our decision solely оn the “credibility” ground, since the district court found also — with respect to the information in the Lemieux affidavit — that Tibolt had not met the first two prongs of the
Ortiz
test.
See Natanel,
The district court judgment is affirmed.
Notes
. The warrant application related the following grounds: (1) an intrusion alarm was reported by J.K. Systems to the Gloucester Police Department; (2) Officers Palazzola and Williams re *968 sponded to the alarm report and found a door open; (3) the officers entered the home to check the premises for intruders; and (4) a marijuana-growing facility was found in the cellar.
. The government would have us characterize this warrantless entry as a so-called "community caretaker” search, a warrant exception applicable to searches "totally divorced from the detection, investigation, or acquisition of evidence relating to the violation of a criminal statute.”
Cady v. Dombrowski,
. On appeal, Tibolt asserts no direct challenge to the
objective
"reasonableness" of Palazzola's putative mistake — purportedly caused by the juxtaposition of the Dombrowski mailbox and the entrance to Tibolt’s second driveway — in investigating the Tibolt residence, instead of Dombrow-ski's, for a burglary in progress. Rather, he questions only whether Palazzola, despite his protestations to the contrary, knowingly used this fortuitous circumstance as a pretext for conducting a warrantless search for drugs as part of an ongoing task force investigation targeting the Ti-bolt residence. The only evidence of such a ruse, however, was presented in his
post-conviction
motion.
See infra
Section II.B. At the
pretrial
hearing, the inquiry into Palаzzola's state of mind necessarily turned, for the most part, on the trial court's observation of Palazzola's demeanor, and its credibility determination, matters uniquely within the province of the trier of fact.
United States v. Zapata,
. Tibolt cites cases involving various external in-dicia of a "break,”
see, e.g., Commonwealth v. Fiore, 9
Mass.App.Ct. 618,
.Although the Dombrowski residence bore a "JK Security” sticker, and the Tibolt residence an “ADT Security” sticker, there was no evidence that Palazzola had been informed by the dispatcher that JK Security had reported the alarm. Further, while dispatchers sоmetimes write the name of the reporting security company on the incident cards, see infra Section II.B., the investigating officers do not receive these cards for completion until after their investigation of the alarm report. In any event, Tibolt has not raised this matter. See supra note 3.
. We assume, without deciding, that the "new” evidence was within the government’s control and potentially subject to disclosure. But see infra Section II.B.4 (noting that government did disclose essential information, later reiterated in Lemieux affidavit, at pretrial supрression hearing).
. As noted above,
see supra
p. 4, Tibolt not only challenges the pretrial determination that Palaz-zola's
warrantless search
was valid, but cites
Franks v. Delaware
as authority for a direct challenge to the subsequent
search warrant,
which was premised entirely on the fruits of the earlier warrantless search. A defendant is not entitled to a
Franks
evidentiary hearing, however, absent a “substantial preliminary showing (1) that a false statement [or material omission] in the affidavit [supporting the search warrant application] has been made knowingly and intentionally, and (2) that the false statement [or material omission] is necessary for a finding of prоbable cause.”
United States v. Scalia,
We discern no principled basis for treating the
Franks
claim differently than Tibolt’s direct challenge to the warrantless search. To the extent the "new” evidence underlying the
Franks
hearing request was available prior to trial (i.e., the Lemieux affidavit) by the exercise of due diligence, Tibolt's post-trial
Franks
request based on that evidence is untimely.
See supra
Section . II.B.4. The marginal probative value of the incident cards in undercutting Palazzola's pretrial testimony is insufficient, by itself, to support a
“substantial
preliminary showing” that the evidence, if disclosed, would have altered the decision that there was probable cause to issue a search warrant.
See supra
Section II.B.3;
see also, e.g., United States v. Hiveley,
