Jose Mondragon-Santiago appeals his sentence for attempted unlawful reentry into the United States following deportation, in violation of 8 U.S.C. § 1326. The district court sentenced him to fifty months of imprisonment and three years of supervised release, which is within the range established by the U.S. Sentencing Commission Guidelines Manual (U.S.S.G. or Guidelines). We affirm MondragonSantiago’s sentence and reform the district court’s judgment to reflect the correct statutory subsection.
I. BACKGROUND
Mondragon-Santiago is a Mexican citizen who was arrested while attempting to enter the United States without permission on October 8, 2006 following removal from the United States a year earlier. He pled guilty to the indictment, which charged him with attempted unlawful reentry in violation of 8 U.S.C. § 1326 and 6 U.S.C. §§ 202 and 557. In the presentence report (PSR), the probation officer assessed a sixteen-level enhancement under U.S.S.G. § 2L1.2(b)(l)(A)(ii), predicated upon Mondragon-Santiago’s offense of aggravated assault with a deadly weapon committed in Dallas, Texas, on August 24, 2002. The state court ordered four years of deferred adjudication probation. 1 The PSR calculated Mondragon-Santiago’s sentencing range — based in part on the enhancement — to be forty-six to fifty-seven months.
Mondragon-Santiago objected to the PSR on two grounds, only one of which is relevant to this appeal. Mondragon-Santiago requested a downward departure under U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3(b), claiming the Guidelines over-represented his criminal history. The PSR assessed two points for his aggravated assault offense, and an additional two points because he was on community supervision when he committed the present crime. Thus, the same criminal act contributed four points to his criminal history status in addition to adding sixteen levels to his base offense level. While conceding that these calculations were correct under the Guidelines, MondragonSantiago claimed they exaggerated his propensity to commit crimes.
At sentencing, Mondragon-Santiago’s counsel requested the downward departure described in the written objections, and also asked for a downward departure based on the factors of 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a). Specifically, counsel argued that Mondragon-Santiago does not have a history of “prior apprehensions.” He also noted that the defendant’s wife and two children live in Dallas, that he faces a four-year sentence for his aggravated assault conviction, and that he had a history of working. The longest time MondragonSantiago had spent in jail before this offense was ninety days (for driving while intoxicated).
The district court heard these arguments, engaged in a brief colloquy with *360 defense counsel regarding MondragonSantiago’s failure to observe the conditions of his probation, and then allowed the defendant to speak for himself. After hearing Mondragon-Santiago state that he needed to be with his family, the district court asked him how he would accomplish that goal without entering the United States illegally. Mondragon-Sandiago responded that he would not be able to see his family if the government would not let him enter the country. The district court suggested that maybe his family could visit him, and then imposed a sentence of fifty months of imprisonment followed by three years of supervised release. MondragonSantiago’s attorney objected on the grounds that the sentence was “greater than necessary.” The district court overruled the objection. Mondragon-Santiago appealed.
II. STANDARDS OF REVIEW
On appeal, Mondragon-Santiago raises three arguments in favor of resentencing. First, he argues the district court committed a procedural error by failing to adequately explain his sentence. Second, he argues that his sentence is substantively unreasonable because the district court, at sentencing, did not have the benefit of the Supreme Court’s decisions in
Gall v. United States,
Following the Supreme Court’s decision in
United States v. Booker,
“The district court must make an individualized assessment based on the facts presented,” and may deviate from the Guidelines based on policy considerations or because the Guidelines fail to reflect the § 3553(a) factors.
Id.
at 339. The district court should consider the factors in § 3553(a) in light of the parties’ arguments, and may not presume the Guidelines range is reasonable.
Gall,
The parties dispute whether Mon-dragon-Santiago preserved error on the procedural reasonableness of his sentence — that is, his claim that the district court failed to properly explain the sentence. The government argues that the defendant’s oral objection to the sentence as greater than necessary did not raise any issue with the district court’s explanation of the sentence. Mondragon-Santiago counters that his objection preserved review for reasonableness, including both its procedural and substantive components. We agree with the government that Mon-dragon-Santiago’s objection failed to preserve his procedural claim of error.
“A party must raise a claim of error with the district court in such a manner so that the district court may correct itself and thus, obviate the need for our review.”
United States v. Rodriguez,
We remedy forfeited error only when it is plain and affects the defendant’s substantial rights.
United States v. Mares,
III. DISCUSSION
A. Procedural Reasonableness
Mondragon-Santiago argues that his sentence is procedurally unreasonable
*362
because the district court did not adequately explain it. Congress requires the sentencing court to state “the reasons for its imposition of the particular sentence.” 18 U.S.C. § 3553(c). While sentences within the Guidelines require “little explanation,” Mares,
Mondragon-Santiago claims that he presented arguments to the district court under § 3553(a) to justify a downward departure, but the court ignored them. The government responds that the district court considered the defendant’s arguments and rejected them, noting the nature of his previous conviction for aggravated assault with a deadly weapon, and recognizing the defendant’s family situation. The district court listened to the arguments and asked questions of defense counsel and the defendant, but the court did not directly address the arguments before reciting the Guidelines calculation and range and choosing a sentence within that range. In fact, the district court did not mention any § 3553(a) factors at all.
A survey of recent cases on this topic illustrates the inadequacy of the district court’s explanation. In
Rita,
the district court acknowledged that the defendant was requesting a downward departure under § 3553(a) and summarized the defendant’s arguments.
In
United States v. Rodriguez,
In
United States v. Gomez-Herrera,
In
United States v. Bonilla,
In Rita, Rodriguez, and Gomez-Herrera, the sentencing court acknowledged that § 3553(a) arguments had been made and devoted a few words to rejecting them. In Bonilla, the sentencing court referred to arguments previously made and to the report, thereby incorporating that reasoning into her decision, in which she explicitly noted her consideration of the sentencing factors. Unlike in these cases, the district court in this case did not give any reasons for its sentence beyond a bare recitation of the Guideline’s calculation. This despite the fact that Mondragon-Santiago raised arguments before the district court concerning his family, his work history, and his prior convictions, all of which are relevant considerations under § 3553(a). See § 3553(a)(1) (including as a sentencing factor “the nature and circumstances of the offense and the history and characteristics of the defendant”). 4 The district court did not mention Mondragon-Santiago’s arguments, and the court’s statement of reasons did not further illu *364 mínate its reasoning. 5 The total explanation of the court was as follows: “This is an Offense Level 21, Criminal History Category 3 case with guideline provisions of ... 46 to 57 months. The defendant is committed to the Bureau of Prisons for a term of 50 months. He will be on supervised release for a term of three years .... ” The district court then overruled without explanation Mondragon-Santiago’s objection that the sentence was “greater than necessary.” We conclude that the district court failed to adequately explain its reasons for the sentence imposed as required by § 3553(c), which is error under Rita.
Because Mondragon-Santiago did not preserve this error, we must next decide if this error merits vacating his sentence under the plain error standard. As noted, the first element of the test is met: there is error. It is also plain, or obvious; the law requiring courts to explain sentences is clear.
See
Mares,
To show that an error affects a defendant’s substantial rights, the defendant must show that it affected the outcome in the district court: “To meet this standard the proponent of the error must demonstrate a probability ‘sufficient to undermine confidence in the outcome.’ ”
Id.
(quoting
United States v. Dominguez Benitez,
*364 the defendant to show that the error actually did make a difference: if it is equally plausible that the error worked in favor of the defense, the defendant loses; if the effect of the error is uncertain so that we do not know which, if either, side it helped the defendant loses.
*365
As always, we being our search for error with the presumption that none occurred. We afford great deference to sentences within the Guidelines range, and we “infer that the judge has considered all the factors for a fair sentence set forth in the Guidelines in light of the sentencing considerations set out in § 3553(a).”
Campos-Maldonado,
B. Substantive Reasonableness
Mondragon-Santiago argues that Gall and Kimbrough dramatically altered the sentencing landscape, and asks this court to summarily remand for reconsideration in light of these cases, which were decided shortly after the district court imposed the sentence in this case. He also argues that certain Guidelines, including the one applied here, are not entitled to the normal appellate presumption in favor of Guidelines sentences because these provisions are not based on empirical studies.
Gall
and
Kimbrough
clarified sentencing law after
Booker
by allowing district courts to depart from the Guidelines based on disagreements with the Guidelines’s policy considerations (Kimbrough), and also when circumstances warrant such a move even though the circumstances are not extraordinary
(Gall). See United States v. Williams,
Mondragon-Santiago argues that these holdings significantly alter prior law, and cites several of our
pre-Gall
and
Kimbrough
cases. Indeed, before
Gall
and
Kimbrough,
we held that “a factor already accounted for in the advisory Guideline range is an improper factor to consider for
*366
a non-Guideline sentence,”
United States v. Sanchez-Ramirez,
Mondragon-Santiago, however, fails to show how this influenced his case. The district court did not indicate that it wished to depart from the Guidelines for policy reasons (or for any other reason), but could not because of this court’s precedent.
See id.
at 388-89 (refusing to find error in light of
Gall
when “there is absolutely nothing to indicate that any such state of affairs influenced the sentence imposed in this case”);
Campos-Maldonado,
Mondragon-Santiago next argues the Guideline applied in this case, U.S.S.G. § 2L1.2, is not empirically-based, and therefore should not be afforded the appellate presumption of reasonableness. He points to the Supreme Court’s discussion in
Kimbrough
regarding the calculation of sentences in drug cases and the substantial disparity under the Guidelines for crimes involving crack cocaine versus powdered cocaine.-
See
We read
Kimbrough
to allow district courts, in their discretion, to consider the policy decisions behind the Guidelines, including the presence or absence of empirical data, as part of their § 3553(a) analyses.
Kimbrough
did not question the appellate presumption, however, and its holding does not require discarding the presumption for sentences based on non-empirically-grounded Guidelines.
E.g., Campos-Maldonado,
In appropriate cases, district courts certainly may disagree with the Guidelines for policy reasons and may adjust a sentence accordingly. But if they do not, we will not second-guess their decisions under a more lenient standard simply because the particular Guideline is not empirically-based.
7
As the Supreme Court noted in
Rita,
the work of the Sentencing Commission is ongoing, and the sentencing process will continue to evolve as sentencing courts and the Commission refine the factors that determine a sentence’s reasonableness.
See id.
at 2464. The Commission can then update the Guidelines to incorporate these refinements, see 28 U.S.C. § 994(p);
Rita,
In sum, Mondragon-Santiago has not shown substantive unreasonableness, and we will not disturb the district court’s sentence.
C. Reformation of Judgment
Finally, Mondragon-Santiago argues that he was convicted and sentenced under the wrong statutory subsection because he does not have a prior conviction for an aggravated felony. At oral argument, the government conceded this point, and requested that we reform the judgment. Mondragon-Santiago asks for resentencing in the first instance, and for reformation in the alternative.
Mondragon-Santiago was convicted under 8 U.S.C. § 1326(b)(2), which penalizes reentry by an alien deported after prior conviction for an aggravated felony with imprisonment of up to twenty years. Section 1326(b)(1) penalizes the same conduct for aliens deported after conviction for certain misdemeanors or for a felony (other than an aggravated felony), and limits imprisonment to a maximum term of ten years. The term “aggravated felony” is defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(43)(F) to mean “a crime of violence ... for which the term of imprisonment [is] at least one year.” 8 “Any reference to a term of imprisonment or a sentence with respect to an offense is deemed to include the period of incarceration or confinement ordered by a court of law regardless of any suspension of the imposition or execution of that im *368 prisonment or sentence in whole or in part.” § 1101(a)(48)(B).
Mondragon-Santiago argues that he should have been convicted and sentenced under § 1326(b)(1) because his prior conviction for aggravated assault is not an “aggravated felony” under § 1101(a)(43)(F). The state court ordered four years of deferred adjudication probation for his earlier crime. See Tex.Code Crim. Proc. art. 42.12, § 5(a) (“[W]hen in the judge’s opinion the best interest of society and the defendant will be served, the judge may, after receiving a plea of guilty or plea of nolo contendere, hearing the evidence, and finding that it substantiates the defendant’s guilt, defer further proceedings without entering an adjudication of guilt, and place the defendant on community supervision.”).
Federal law counts Texas’s deferred adjudication probation as a conviction.
9
See
8 U.S.C. § 1101 (a)(48)(A);
10
see also United States v. Valdez-Valdez,
Our precedent distinguishes between sentences of imprisonment that are imposed but then suspended, and sentences that are for probation in the first instance without any imprisonment contemplated.
See United States v. Banda-Zamora,
Under § 1101(a)(48)(B), the term refers to a “period of incarceration or confinement ordered by a court of law.” This definition requires the sentencing court in the first instance to order or impose imprisonment as part of the sentence, re *369 gardless of a later suspension. Deferred adjudication probation in Texas does not impose a sentence of imprisonment, and thus does not involve a “term of imprisonment.” From this analysis we conclude that Mondragon-Santiago’s four years of deferred adjudication probation under Texas law is not a term of imprisonment under § 1101(a)(48)(B), and thus is not an aggravated felony under § 1101(a)(43)(F).
Given that the judgment erroneously lists § 1326(b)(2) as the statute under which Mondragon-Santiago was convicted and sentenced, we must determine if the error merits vacation of his sentence under the plain error standard. We conclude that it does not. Even if we assume the error is plain, it did not affect Mon-dragon-Santiago’s substantial rights. Again, he bears the burden to prove the error affected the outcome in the district court. Yet, the record does not indicate the district court’s sentence was influenced by an incorrect understanding of the statutory maximum sentence.
Cf. United States v. Watson,
IV. CONCLUSION
For the foregoing reasons, we AFFIRM the district court’s judgment, but REFORM it to reflect conviction and sentencing under 8 U.S.C. § 1326(b)(1).
Notes
. Mondragon-Santiago failed to report, and a warrant for his arrest was issued in Dallas County on November 1, 2005. He was deported to Mexico in September 2005.
. We note a circuit split on the issue of whether a defendant must object at sentencing to preserve error on appeal. See
United States v. Sevilla,
. Other circuits have vacated defendants' sentences because the district courts failed to explain them sufficiently. In
United States v. Peters,
.
See also Rita,
. As noted above, the district court did engage in a brief colloquy with defense counsel and also asked questions of the defendant regarding his family and plans to see them, but these exchanges did not squarely address Mondragon-Santiago’s sentencing arguments.
. See
In re Sealed Case,
. We have reached this conclusion in a number of unpublished decisions.
E.g., United States v. Reyes-Carranza,
No. 08-50486,
. 18 U.S.C. § 16 defines "crime of violence”:
The term “crime of violence” means—
(a) an offense that has as an element the use, attempted use, or threatened use of physical force against the person or property of another, or
(b) any other offense that is a felony and that, by its nature, involves a substantial risk that physical force against the person or property of another may be used in the course of committing the offense.
Mondragon-Santiago does not contest that his conviction for aggravated assault with a deadly weapon is a crime of violence.
. Under Texas law, deferred adjudication probation is neither a conviction nor a sentence.
Hurley v. State,
. This statute provides:
The term “conviction” means, with respect to an alien, a formal judgment of guilt of the alien entered by a court or, if adjudication of guilt has been withheld, where—
(i) a judge or jury has found the alien guilty or the alien has entered a plea of guilty or nolo contendere or has admitted sufficient facts to warrant a finding of guilt, and
(ii) the judge has ordered some form of punishment, penalty, or restraint on the alien’s liberty to be imposed.
. We are mindful that the Sentencing Commission added a new application note to U.S.S.G. § 2L1.2 suggesting a downward departure may be warranted when, for example, the defendant has a prior conviction that is a crime of violence but that does not fall within § 1101 (a)(43)’s definition of "aggravated felony.” § 2L1.2 cmt. n.7. This application note merely states explicitly what had been implicitly within the district court's discretion: the possibility of a downward departure based on considerations consistent with § 3553(a). There is no evidence in this case that the district court was inclined to depart from the Guidelines range, as evidenced by the choice of a sentence in the middle of the range, despite Mondragon-Santiago's presentation of this very argument. In view of this fact, we do not address the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 3742(g)(2), which limits the district court’s ability to sentence the defendant outside of the Guidelines upon remand. Mon-dragon-Santiago suggests this limitation is inconsistent with Booker. We likewise do not decide if Application Note 7 could benefit Mondragon-Santiago if the case were remanded, in light of 18 U.S.C. §§ 3553(a)(4) and 3742(g)(1), which require the district court to use the version of the Guidelines in effect at the original sentencing when calculating the Guidelines range.
. We have reached this conclusion in several unpublished cases.
United States v. Rosales-Velasquez,
No. 07-40143,
