In this appeal, we again confront the question of the proper approach to appel *607 late review of the reasonableness of a federal sentence. Appellant Darryl Wallace pleaded guilty to wire fraud, 18 U.S.C. § 1343. Despite the fact that the Sentencing Guidelines advise that a term between 24 and 30 months is appropriate for Wallace, the district court judge decided that the reasonable sentence for Wallace was a significantly more lenient one: three years’ probation plus a $2,000 fine. In addition, the court imposed several special conditions of probation, including an order that Wallace spend the first six months on home confinement and continue attending psychological counseling and Gamblers Anonymous meetings. We conclude that the district court failed adequately to justify such a significant deviation from the recommended guideline range; we therefore vacate the sentence and remand for further proceedings.
I
Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc., employed Wallace for 23 years. At the time relevant to this case, he was responsible for reconciling accounts in its stock department. Wallace admitted that, between July and October of 2003, he abused that position to record fictitious trades, which yielded gains of more than $600,000 that he credited to his personal trading account. To conceal these actions, he offset the gains with losses that he recorded in a Merrill Lynch account. He later transferred $400,000 of the fraudulent gains into his personal bank account and spent more than $30,000 before he was caught. Merrill Lynch could not determine how much Wallace owed and so waived restitution.
In a written memorandum and at sentencing, Wallace acknowledged that the advisory guidelines range was 24 to 30 months, but he appealed to the judge’s discretion under
United States v. Booker,
The government responded that, in its view, Wallace lacked evidence that his crime was in any way caused by his difficult childhood, psychological problems, or gambling. As to Wallace’s contention that the amount he was able to spend before he was arrested better captured the gravity of his offense than the amount he stole, the government pointed out that the guidelines base a defendant’s offense level on the greater of actual loss or intended loss, and here the intended loss was greater. And because Wallace committed the fraud over a period of months, the government con- *608 eluded, his behavior was not aberrant under § 5K2.20.
The sentencing court rejected the advisory guidelines range as “a bit much” in light of the factors enumerated in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a). The judge accepted Wallace’s argument that the guidelines overstated the gravity of his crime. She acknowledged the importance of intended loss under the guidelines, noting that “intended loss raises the cap.” She did not agree, however, with the government’s view that Wallace’s gambling was irrelevant. She explained, “But as a practical matter, [the loss] was roughly $30,000, and the gambling obviously was a compelling reason for this taking place.” In giving Wallace what she labeled a ‘World Series break,” the. court, consistent with § 3553(a)(1), considered his history and personal characteristics and could not “help but be impressed” that in spite of a difficult childhood, psychological problems, and a gambling addiction, he had “really had an exemplary life until he faltered and did this one ridiculous, stupid crime.”
The court also considered the need to deter and rehabilitate Wallace. By starting to attend psychological counseling and Gamblers Anonymous, Wallace, in the court’s view, had shown that “he’s already deterred.” And, according to the court, Wallace’s “extraordinary remorse” demonstrated that “the rehabilitation process has already begun.” The judge concluded that: “[0]ne of the most important aspects of what punishment should achieve in this case has to do with Mr. Wallace’s mental health and his gambling addiction. I think that can be achieved without imposing a prison sentence, throwing him into prison with hardened criminals.” Although the judge at sentencing thus made clear that she was basing Wallace’s sentence on the § 3553(a) factors, the judgment itself refers to the guidelines for departing based on mental and emotional condition, U.S.S.G. § 5H1.3, and aberrant behavior, id. § 5K2.20.
II
On appeal, the government contends that Wallace’s sentence is not justified, either as an exercise of discretion based on the § 3553(a) factors, or as a “departure” based on the guidelines cited in the judgment. We can easily dispose of the second point: after
Booker
the concept of “departures” is outmoded.
United States v. Arnaout,
Freed from the mandatory nature of [the guidelines’] structure, the court [is] free to consider the factors outlined in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a), including those that were specifically prohibited by the guidelines and those that are not constitutionally prohibited such as race or sex. See, e.g., § 5H1.11 (discouraging courts to factor “[m]ilitary, civic, charitable, or public service; employment-related contributions; and similar prior good works” in deciding whether to depart); § 5H1.12 (stating that “[l]ack of guidance as a youth and similar circumstances indicating a disadvantaged upbringing” are not relevant grounds in *609 determining whether a departure is warranted).
Two things are critical now: first, whether the district court’s choice of sentence is adequately reasoned in light of the § 3553(a) factors, see
Amaowt,
Before addressing the question whether the district court’s decision in Wallace’s case was procedurally and substantively reasonable, we think it useful to explore both concepts in greater detail. We have already had occasion to discuss what we expect of the district courts from a procedural standpoint. As we held in
United States v. Dean,
... [T]he farther the judge’s sentence departs from the guidelines sentence (in either direction — that of greater severity, or that of greater lenity), the more compelling the justification based on factors in section 3553(a) that the judge must offer in order to enable the court of appeals to assess the reasonableness of the sentence imposed. (Cf. United States v. Dalton,404 F.3d 1029 , 1033-34 (8th Cir.2005), reversing a 60-month sentence when the minimum guidelines sentence was four times as long.)
Id.
at 729. In other words, the new regime imposes a procedural obligation on the district court judge to explain what it is that persuaded her to choose the sentence she did. Other circuits have also recognized the importance of the district court’s explanation for a sentence, although they have not necessarily adopted
Dean
wholesale. See,
e.g., Rattoballi,
[a] sentence falling outside of the properly calculated Guidelines range is not ipso facto unreasonable. But if that sentence is based on an error in construing or applying the Guidelines, it will be found unreasonable and vacated. See 18 U.S.C. § 3742(f)(1). The same is true if the sentence is imposed outside the Guideline range and the district court provides an inadequate statement of reasons or relies on improper factors in departing from the Guidelines’ recommendation. See id. § 3742(f)(2).
Booker also confers new procedural rights on the defendant, as Dean recognized:
... [T]he defendant must be given an opportunity to draw the judge’s attention to any factor listed in section 3553(a) that might warrant a sentence different from the guidelines sentence, for it is possible for such a variant sentence to be reasonable and thus within the sentencing judge’s discretion under the new regime in which the guidelines, being advisory, can be trumped by sec *610 tion 3553(a), which as we have stressed is mandatory.
Id. at 730-31. This is an important part of the reason why this court has remanded for resentencing all pre-Booker cases in which the defendant properly preserved his objection.
Although it is more difficult to describe the content of substantive reasonableness review, this should not be surprising. Other areas of the law in which the ultimate standard is “reasonableness” pose a similar challenge. For example, § 104 of the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act, Pub.L. No. 104-132, 110 Stat. 1214,1218-19 (Apr. 24,1996), amended the federal statute providing for
habeas corpus
relief for state prisoners, 28 U.S.C. § 2254, so that it now contains an express reasonableness requirement. Federal courts may not grant relief in such cases unless the state court rendered a decision that either “was contrary to, or involved an
unreasonable
application of,” clearly established federal law, § 2254(d)(1), or the state court’s decision “was based on an
unreasonable
determination of the
facts,”
§ 2254(d)(2) (emphasis added). The Supreme Court commented in
(Terry) Williams v. Taylor,
This statement suggests that we may take guidance from the way in which the term “unreasonable” (or its converse, “reasonable”) has been defined for purposes of § 2254(d) as we now confront the same term as the Court used it in
Booker. Williams
itself provides some insight. Importantly, the Court there held, and later reiterated in
Woodford v. Visciotti,
Another area that sheds some light on the substantive reasonableness inquiry relates to supervised release. In this domain, the guidelines have always been advisory. See,
e.g., United States v. Salinas,
Since
Booker,
the question whether a sentence that falls within a properly calculated guidelines range is reasonable has had a relatively straightforward answer in this circuit: such a sentence is entitled to a rebuttable presumption of reasonableness, see
United States v. Mykytiuk,
The distinction between common and individualized factors is one that is compatible with our decisions. For example, in a number of cases this court has been asked to find that U.S.S.G. § 2Dl.l(c), which uses the infamous 100:1 ratio between powder and crack cocaine (that is, it treats 100 grams of powder and 1 gram of crack in the same way), is itself “unreasonable.” We have held, however, that
Booker
did not authorize courts to find that the guidelines themselves (or the statutes on which they are based) are unreasonable. See
United States v. Miller,
The Eleventh Circuit faced a sentence much like the one before us in
United
*612
States v. Crisp,
As the Eighth Circuit recently said: “An extraordinary reduction must be supported by extraordinary circumstances.” United States v. Dalton,404 F.3d 1029 , 1033 (8th Cir.2005) (discussing a § 5K1.1 departure). The circumstances of this case are not out of the ordinary at all, much less extraordinary enough to justify the extremely lenient sentence the court imposed.... Other courts have found that a district court’s “unjustified reliance upon any one [§ 3553(a) ] factor is a symptom of an unreasonable sentence.” ... [citing Rattoballi, supra, among other cases]. That is what happened in this case. The district court focused single-mindedly on the goal of restitution to the detriment of all other sentencing factors. An unreasonable approach produced an unreasonable sentence.
Turning now to Wallace’s sentence, we first consider whether the district court has given us an adequate statement of its reasons for the sentence it selected. In doing so, we consider all of the district court’s reasons, oral and written alike.
United States v. Baker,
Although the court’s review of Wallace’s individual traits was helpful, we are troubled by the fact that the judge said that she thought that culpability should be measured by actual loss rather than intended loss. This was not an appropriate consideration, as the guidelines have already made the judgment that intended loss is what counts. See U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, cmt. n. 3(A). Every defendant who commits a financial crime and gets away with only some of the money will make exactly the same argument — as Rattoballi put it, this is an attribute common to all defendants. The question is thus whether this was such an incidental part of the district court’s reasoning that we can be confident *613 that it played no role in the court’s choice of sentence, or if it may have made a difference. Furthermore, we must also satisfy ourselves that the court’s consideration of Wallace’s individual traits fully explained why such a large deviation was reasonable — why, in other words, these circumstances were so extraordinary as to justify eliminating virtually all incarceration from the sentence.
The government argues that the district court’s reasons were insufficiently weighty to justify imposing a probationary sentence when the guidelines called for at least 24-months’ imprisonment. It brands this a “one-hundred percent reduction in sentence,” which would be even more drastic than the reductions of 75%, 73%, and 68% below the guidelines minimum that the Eighth Circuit has rejected as insufficiently supported. See
Dalton, supra,
We are reluctant to distill the reasonableness inquiry into a numbers game that relies only on a numerical or percentage line for reductions. The percentage reduction will always seem larger if the overall number is a small one: 24 months less than a possible sentence of 25 months would be a 96% reduction; 24 months less than a possible sentence of 240 months would be a 10% reduction. Nevertheless, as we have already held in Dean, the greater the deviation, the more compelling the district court’s explanation must be. The difficult question here is whether the district court’s explanation met that standard.
The government thinks not. It argues that the district judge was mistaken to rely on Wallace’s remorse and lack of criminal history, because the guidelines already accounted for both through a downward adjustment for acceptance of responsibility and the Category I criminal history. But if
Booker
means anything at all, it must mean that the court was permitted to “give further weight to a factor covered by a specific guidelines adjustment, especially where (as is true here) that ‘factor is present to an exceptional degree or in some other way makes the case different from the ordinary case where the factor is present.’ ”
United States v. Johnson,
The government also points out that the guidelines cited in the written judgment— U.S.S.G. § 5H1.3 (Mental and Emotional Condition) and § 5K2.20 (Aberrant Behavior) (both of which appear as “policy statements” in the 2005 version of the guidelines) — do not apply. That is true literally, but this does not mean that the district court was required to ignore them alto *614 gether. In fact, although § 5K2.20 does not strictly apply, the court’s action in recognizing the aberrant nature of Wallace’s crime (compared with his earlier unblemished record) is consistent with the broader policy that section reflects. The link to § 5H1.3 is certainly weaker; Wallace did not offer evidence that his psychological problems contributed to the fraud.
In the end, it is the fact that the court chose to eliminate any meaningful incarceration for a crime that involved $400,000 of intended loss that makes this such an extraordinary choice. Compare
Crisp,
The district court acknowledged that it was giving Wallace a significant break — a “World Series” break, in fact. Such a break requires, we hold, a ‘World Series” explanation. Because the court may have been influenced by a disagreement with the command of the guidelines, to base sentences on intended loss, and because we cannot tell from the explanation given thus far what it was that took Wallace’s case so far out of the normal run, we Vacate the sentence and Remand for further proceedings.
