*450 ON MOTION TO RECALL THE MANDATE
(in chambers).
This matter is here on the motion of Cook County, Illinois for a stay of this court’s mandate pending the filing of a petition for certiorari in the Supreme Court of the United States. A response to this motion has been filed by Dr. Chandler.
The standard for consideration of a motion for stay of mandate pending certiorari has been stated on several occasions. In
Books v. City of Elkhart,
When a party asks this court to stay its mandate pending the filing for a petition of a writ of certiorari, that party must show that the petition will present a substantial question and that there is good cause for a stay. See Fed. R.App. P. 41(d)(2)(A). The grant of a motion to stay the mandate “is far from a foregone conclusion.” 16A Charles Alan Wright, Arthur R. Miller & Edward H. Cooper, Federal Practice and Procedure § 3987.1 (3d ed.1999). Instead, the inquiry must focus on whether the applicant has a reasonable probability of succeeding on the merits and whether the applicant will suffer irreparable injury. See Williams v. Chrans,50 F.3d 1358 , 1360 (7th Cir.1995) (per curiam); United States v. Holland,1 F.3d 454 -456 (7th Cir.1993) (Ripple, J., in chambers).
In applying this standard, I must perform the predictive function of anticipating the course of decision in the Supreme Court of the United States. Although a conflict among the circuits is one of the criteria employed by the Supreme Court in determining whether to grant certiorari, there are many cases in which the Court decides to let a conflict stand or at least to allow a good number of circuits to decide the issue before determining whether the conflict will persist. However, another factor must also be considered. The issue is important to the municipalities across the United States which participate in federal grant programs and to the United States in administering federal funds responsibly. These two factors indicate that the possibility of the Supreme Court’s granting certiorari in this or another case raising the issue is not entirely insubstantial.
When it comes to the question of whether there is a possibility that five of the Justices will reverse this court’s judgment, the predictive function that I am asked to fulfill becomes even more difficult. In estimating this possibility, I certainly must keep in mind that, before this court rendered judgment, the decision not only received the unanimous approval of the panel but also was submitted to the entire court. No judge in regular active service requested a vote for rehearing en banc.
*451 On the matter of irreparable injury, Dr. Chandler has asserted only the prejudice that comes with any delay in a judicial proceeding. On the other hand, Cook County can, and does, argue that its immunity from punitive damages is, in the context of this action, tantamount to an immunity from trial and that it ought not be put to the further expense of preparing for trial until the question of its immunity is decided definitively. This consideration is, in my view, an important one.
Given the importance of the issue, the conflict among the circuits that have ruled on the matter and the injury that the County could suffer if it is required to prepare for trial before the Supreme Court takes action, I have decided to grant the motion. Accordingly, the mandate of this court is stayed until the expiration of the time allowed for the filing of a petition for certiorari. If a petition is filed within that time, this stay shall remain in force until the conclusion of all proceedings before the Supreme Court of the United States.
It Is So OedeRed.
