State of TEXAS; Texas Commission on Environmental Quality; Public Utility Commission of Texas; Luminant Generation Company, L.L.C.; Big Brown Power Company, L.L.C.; Luminant Mining Company, L.L.C.; Big Brown Lignite Company, L.L.C.; Luminant Big Brown Mining Company, L.L.C.; Southwestern Public Service Company; Utility Air Regulatory Group; Coleto Creek Power, L.P.; NRG Texas Power, L.L.C.; Nucor Corporation, Petitioners, v. UNITED STATES ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY; Gina McCarthy, in her official capacity as Administrator of the United States Environmental Protection Agency, Respondents.
No. 16-60118
United States Court of Appeals, Fifth Circuit.
Filed July 15, 2016
829 F.3d 405
CLEMENT, ELROD, and SOUTHWICK, Circuit Judges. JENNIFER WALKER ELROD, Circuit Judge
Philip Stephen Gidiere, III, Esq., David Welles Mitchell, Balch & Bingham, L.L.P., Birmingham, AL, Daniel Jude Kelly, Associate General Counsel, Stephanie Zapata Moore, Dallas, TX, David Welles Mitchell, Balch & Bingham, L.L.P., Washington, DC, for Petitioners Luminant Generation
Debra J. Jezouit, William M. Bumpers, Baker Botts, L.L.P., Washington, DC, Ann M. Seha, Assistant General Counsel, Minneapolis, MN, for Petitioner Southwestern Public Service Company.
Norman William Fichthorn, Esq., Aaron Michael Flynn, Hunton & Williams, L.L.P., Washington, DC, for Petitioner Utility Air Regulatory Group.
Derek Raymond McDonald, Carlos Ricardo Romo, Esq., Baker Botts, L.L.P., Austin, TX, for Petitioner Coleto Creek Power, L.P.
Aaron Michael Streett, Devi Chandrasekaran, Matthew Lynn Kuryla, Baker Botts, L.L.P., Houston, TX, for Petitioner NRG Texas Power, L.L.C.
David Richard Taggart, Esq., Bradley, Murchison, Kelly & Shea, L.L.C., Shreveport, LA, Mark H. Allison, Esq., Dover Dixon Horne, P.L.L.C., Little Rock, AR, Natalie J. Taylor, Attorney, Bradley, Murchison, Kelly & Shea, L.L.C., New Orleans, LA, for Petitioner Nucor Corporation.
Eugene Marc Trisko, Esq., Law Offices of Eugene M. Trisko, Berkeley Springs, WV, for Intervenor Local Union 2337 of the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers.
Mark L. Walters, Office of the Attorney General, Environmental Protection & Administrative Law Division, Michael J. Nasi, Jackson Walker, L.L.P., Austin, TX, for Intervenors Balanced Energy for Texas, Texas Mining and Reclamation Association.
Clinton Frederick Beckner, III, Sidley Austin, L.L.P., Washington, DC, for Intervenor Texas Association of Business, Bay City Chamber of Commerce & Agriculture, Baytown Chamber of Commerce, Cedar Park Chamber of Commerce, Clear Lake Area Chamber of Commerce.
David Aiken Carson, Esq., Senior Counsel, U.S. Department of Justice, Environmental Defense Section, Denver, CO, Dustin J. Maghamfar, Trial Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice, Environment & Natural Resources Division, Brenda Mallory, Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, for Respondents United States Environmental Protection Agency, Gina McCarthy, in her official capacity as Administrator of the United States Environmental Protection Agency.
Mary Melissa Whittle, Earthjustice, Austin, TX, Matthew Gerhart, Earthjustice, Denver, CO, for Intervenor National Parks Conservation Association.
Before CLEMENT, ELROD, and SOUTHWICK, Circuit Judges.
JENNIFER WALKER ELROD, Circuit Judge:
The State of Texas, numerous energy companies, power plants, steel mills, consumer organizations, state regulators, and a labor union in Texas (collectively, “Petitioners“) challenge the Environmental Protection Agency‘s action disapproving Oklahoma‘s and Texas‘s plans for controlling regional haze and imposing EPA‘s own plans instead. Petitioners contend that EPA has acted outside its statutory authority and seek a stay pending review of the rule on the merits. EPA moves to dismiss or transfer the petition because it asserts this court lacks jurisdiction over the petition. Because the
I.
A. The Clean Air Act‘s Regulatory Process
The
The
The
Within this framework, one provision of the
The Regional Haze Rule requires five elements in a state implementation plan. For each affected wilderness and national park, the plan must: (1) set “reasonable progress goals” toward achieving natural visibility conditions that ensure improvements in visibility on the most impaired days over the period of the implementation plan; (2) calculate baseline visibility and natural visibility conditions; (3) devise a long-term strategy with enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures necessary to achieve the reasonable progress goals; (4) develop a monitoring strategy for measuring and reporting visibility; and (5) list the best available retrofit technology (“BART“) that emission sources in the state will have to adopt to achieve the visibility goals, along with a schedule for implementing BART.
The Regional Haze Rule also prescribes how states may calculate their reasonable progress goals. A state begins by calculating the steady linear rate of decreasing emissions that would achieve natural visibility in the covered wildernesses and national parks by the year 2064.
BART is the only portion of the implementation plan that is enforced against emission sources in a state. See 64 Fed. Reg. at 35,733 (“Once a State has adopted a reasonable progress goal and determined what progress will be made toward that goal over a 10-year period, the goal itself is not enforceable. All that is ‘enforceable’ is the set of control measures which the State has adopted to meet that goal.“).
If emissions in one state are anticipated to impact the visibility conditions in protected areas in another state, the Regional Haze Rule requires the states to consult with one another and develop a coordinated emission strategy.
| The Regulatory Process under the Clean Air Act | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Clean Air Act Establishes Regulatory Framework | Interior and EPA designate wilderness areas and set SIP guidelines | States write SIPs with reasonable progress goals and BART | EPA approves SIP or disapproves and imposes FIP | States enforce BART |
B. The Texas and Oklahoma SIPs
The rulemaking under challenge here concerns visibility in two national parks and one federal wildlife refuge.2 The Wichita Mountains Wildlife Refuge in southwestern Oklahoma was established in 1901 and protected by statute in 1905.
The Regional Haze Rule requires states to develop an implementation plan for the
In 2014, five years after receiving Texas‘s SIP and four years after receiving Oklahoma‘s SIP, EPA proposed a federal implementation plan to replace the parts of the Texas and Oklahoma state implementation plans that EPA found deficient. 79 Fed. Reg. 74,818 (Dec. 16, 2014). Finally, in 2016—nearly seven years after Texas submitted its implementation plan and nearly six years after Oklahoma submitted its implementation plan—EPA promulgated a final rule (“the Final Rule“) partially approving and partially disapproving the Texas and Oklahoma plans and replacing portions of them with a federal implementation plan. 81 Fed. Reg. 296 (Jan. 5, 2016). The Final Rule imposes federal reasonable progress goals for wildlife refuges and national parks in Texas and Oklahoma but only requires emission controls in Texas. No Oklahoma power plants or emission sources are affected.
Texas‘s state implementation plan included each of the five elements required by the Regional Haze Rule. Texas concluded that the linear rate required to achieve natural visibility by 2064 was unreasonable and set an alternative series of reasonable progress goals. It coordinated with eight other states—Louisiana, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Iowa—through the Central Regional Air Planning Association (“CENRAP“) and used CENRAP analysis to assess the impact of Texas emissions on protected areas in other states. CENRAP modeled visibility estimates for 2018 (the close of the current SIP window) and compared the 2018 estimates to the linear rate of progress. Texas determined that cur-
EPA partially approved and partially disapproved Texas‘s proposed plan. 81 Fed. Reg. at 298-99. EPA approved Texas‘s measurements of current visibility conditions in Big Bend, Guadalupe Mountains, and Wichita Mountains. These measurements show that visibility at all three wildernesses is already better than the reasonable progress goals in both the disapproved Texas plan and the replacement federal implementation plan.
| Reasonable Progress Goals under Texas‘s and EPA‘s plans | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Goal (2018) | EPA Goal (2018) | Texas goal less EPA goal (% of Tex. goal).9 | Actual Visibility.10 | |
| Big Bend | 16.6 dv | 16.57 dv | 0.03 dv (0.18%) | 16.3 dv |
| Guadalupe Mountains | 16.3 dv | 16.26 dv | 0.04 dv (0.24%) | 15.3 dv |
| Wichita Mountains | 21.47 dv | 21.33 dv | 0.14 dv (0.65%) | 21.2 dv |
EPA agreed that the linear rate necessary to achieve natural visibility by 2064 was unreasonable but disapproved Texas‘s alternative reasonable progress goals on the grounds that Texas‘s analysis “was not appropriately refined, targeted, or focused on those sources having the most significant and potentially cost-effective visibility benefits.” 81 Fed. Reg. at 299. EPA also disagreed with Texas‘s calculation of natural visibility conditions while approving Texas‘s calculation of current baseline visibility. EPA based its disapproval on a disagreement over the amount of dust that is naturally occurring in the protected regions. 81 Fed. Reg. at 300. EPA further disapproved Texas‘s long-term strategy, arguing that Texas‘s failure to conduct source-specific analysis also invalidated this portion of the Texas plan.
EPA also, in the same rulemaking, disapproved Oklahoma‘s plan. EPA disapproved only the reasonable progress goals in the Oklahoma plan and did so exclusively because of the effects of Texas emissions on the Wichita Mountains Wildlife Refuge in Oklahoma.
EPA then imposed a federal implementation plan for Texas and Oklahoma. 81 Fed. Reg. at 303-07. It analyzed emissions individually by source and selected fifteen electrical generating units with the greatest impact on the protected areas. The federal implementation plan required specific emission controls only for these specific sources without consideration of other controls at other sources. 81 Fed. Reg. at 304-05. EPA demanded scrubber upgrades at eight facilities and scrubber retrofits at an additional seven facilities with installation deadlines of 2019 and 2021. 81 Fed. Reg. at 305.
By the time EPA promulgated the Final Rule, only two years remained in the 2008-18 regulatory window. After promulgating the Final Rule, EPA issued a notice of proposed rulemaking indicating that it would amend the Regional Haze Rule and change the governing standards for the second and all subsequent ten-year planning periods. 81 Fed. Reg. 26,942 (May 4, 2016) (proposing revisions to
The power companies, labor unions, consumer groups, state regulatory agencies, steel manufacturers, and state of Texas petitioned for review of the Final Rule.12 Petitioners argue that EPA, under the guise of requiring imperceptible haze reductions, has actually targeted coal-fired power plants. According to Petitioners, the proposed changes at the targeted power plants would cost $2 billion, rendering them uneconomical and forcing the plants to close. The association that manages the Texas power grid, ERCOT, concluded that EPA‘s proposal, which became the Final Rule, would close plants and remove 3,000 MW to 8,400 MW of generating capacity in Texas. Petitioners further argue that it would be cost-prohibitive to reopen the affected plants even if courts ultimately conclude that EPA acted unlawfully. Highlighting this installment deadlines of 2019 and 2021, Petitioners argue that EPA‘s plan produces no benefits in the period it is intended to cover (2009–2018) while imposing significant compliance costs.
Petitioners also argue that closure of the plants would substantially threaten grid reliability in Texas. Electricity rates would increase for Texas consumers and businesses. Power companies in the state would need to undertake costly construction projects to create new transmission infrastructure that would supply power to central Texas. Until infrastructure projects are completed or new electrical generation facilities are opened in the state, Petitioners argue that Texas could face power shortages and grid failures because the
While the petitions for review are pending, Petitioners request a stay of the Final Rule to avoid the irreparable damage they assert the federal implementation plan would impose. EPA has filed a motion to dismiss or transfer this petition for review to the D.C. Circuit pursuant to the
II.
EPA moved to dismiss or transfer this petition for review arguing that jurisdiction lies only in the D.C. Circuit and that this court lacks the power to consider Petitioners’ challenge. Petitioners respond that jurisdiction and venue are appropriate in this court.
A.
Section
A petition for review of ... any nationally applicable regulations promulgated, or final action taken, by the Administrator under this chapter may be filed only in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia. A petition for review of the Administrator‘s action in approving or promulgating any implementation plan ... or any other final action of the Administrator under this chapter ... which is locally or regionally applicable may be filed only in the United States Court of Appeals for the appropriate circuit. Notwithstanding the preceding sentence a petition for review of any action referred to in such sentence may be filed only in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia if such action is based on a determination of nationwide scope or effect and if in taking such action the Administrator finds and publishes that such action is based on such a determination.
Section
EPA argues that the division between the three groups is jurisdictional. In prior cases, we have treated
This reading accords with the text of the statute, which empowers both the D.C. Circuit and the regional circuits. The statute is not framed as a limitation on the power of the courts but as an instruction to petitioners. Our two-fold reading comports with that of our sister circuit. Dalton Trucking, Inc. v. EPA, 808 F.3d 875, 878-80 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (holding that
B.
Having concluded that
Section
Next,
To determine whether the exception applies, we must answer two questions: (1) is the action based on a determination that has nationwide scope or effect; and (2) did the Administrator publish an
Numerous cases demonstrate that courts must assess the “applicability” of the action. See, e.g., Texas, 2011 WL 710598, at *3 (challenged action is nationally applicable); Am. Road & Transp. Builders Ass‘n v. EPA, 705 F.3d 453, 455-56 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (SIP is locally or regionally applicable); ATK Launch Sys., 651 F.3d at 1199 (SIP call is nationally applicable); Madison Gas & Elec. Co. v. EPA, 4 F.3d 529, 530-31 (7th Cir. 1993) (EPA regulation allocating emissions allowances to listed power plants is locally or
We consider whether the first condition is satisfied by assessing the scope or effect of the determinations underlying the challenged action. Petitioners suggest that we must make our inquiry as to the scope or effect of the determinations independent from EPA‘s finding because the inquiry governs the powers of the court rather than those of the agency. EPA, by contrast, argues that we review whether its finding is arbitrary or capricious. We agree with Petitioners. The exception for locally or regionally applicable actions based on a determination of nationwide scope or effect has two conditions. First the action must be based on such a determination and second the agency must so find and publish. The statute gives EPA discretion to transfer venue only if the first condition is also satisfied. Because the answer to the first condition controls the role of the court, we are persuaded that we must make an independent assessment of the scope of the determinations just as we make an independent assessment of the applicability of the action. See Exelon Wind, 766 F.3d at 392; Texas, 2011 WL 710598, at *3-*4 (conducting an independent inquiry into the applicability of SIP call); ATK Launch Sys., 651 F.3d at 1196-97 (same).
Addressing the first condition de novo, we conclude that the Final Rule is not based on any determinations that have nationwide scope or effect. EPA based its disapproval of the Texas and Oklahoma SIPs and its FIP on a number of intensely factual determinations.23 These determinations all related to the particularities of the emissions sources in Texas and the confluence of factors impacting visibility at two locations in Texas and one in southwest Oklahoma.24
EPA‘s first argument is unpersuasive and improperly focuses on the nature of the rule as a whole and not on the determinations on which the Final Rule is based. It speaks to applicability of the rule, not to the scope or effect of the relevant determinations.27
In another SIP assessment for Michigan and Minnesota—neighboring states falling in different circuits—EPA did not argue that determinations of nationwide scope or effect existed even though the plans regulated facilities in both states. Approval and Promulgation of Regional Haze Implementation Plan for States of Minnesota and Michigan, 78 Fed. Reg. 8706, 8733 (Feb. 6, 2013) (petitions for judicial review of federal implementation plans “must be filed in the United States Court of Appeals for the appropriate circuit.“); see also Disapproval of Interstate Transport Requirements for the 2008 Ozone NAAQS, 81 Fed. Reg. 38,957-01 (June 15, 2016) (disapproving SIPs for Ohio (6th Cir.) and Indiana (7th Cir.) without any suggestion of nationwide scope or effect). EPA may treat different actions differently but EPA must provide an explanation for its varying treatment. While EPA‘s briefing advanced explanations for treating the Michigan and Minnesota approval differently from the Texas and Oklahoma disapproval, no such explanation appears in the Final Rule.
Nor are we persuaded by EPA‘s second argument that whatever precedential effect the Final Rule has shows that it is based on determinations with nationwide scope or effect. Specifically, EPA argues that its determination that Oklahoma and Texas conducted insufficient discussions about the impact of Texas emissions on the Wichita Mountains Wildlife Refuge in Oklahoma will provide guidance to future interstate consultations. This argument focuses on the appropriate level—the scope or effect of the determinations that are the basis of the Final Rule—but it too is unconvincing. To begin with, the argument sweeps too broadly. All SIPs are likely informed by EPA‘s assessment of SIPs from other states. It would reverse
Furthermore, EPA‘s argument that a SIP disapproval like the Final Rule provides interpretive guidance with nationwide scope or effect is undermined by EPA‘s own actions and arguments. In the Final Rule itself, EPA responded to commenters who alleged inconsistency with other SIP approvals by arguing that its regulations “do not require uniformity between ... actions in all circumstances and instead ‘allow for some variation’ in actions taken in different regions.” 81 Fed. Reg. at 326 (quoting Amendments to Regional Consistency Requirements, 80 Fed. Reg. 50,250, 50,258 (Aug. 19, 2015)). Some variation is to be expected because SIP approvals or disapprovals are highly fact-dependent actions. As EPA itself insisted during oral argument, the agency‘s particular in-
EPA‘s practices confirm that SIP analyses are contextual and variable. Two years ago, EPA approved a New Mexico SIP with a less stringent reasonable progress goal for the monitor at the Guadalupe Mountains than the reasonable progress goal in the disapproved Texas SIP.28 Had Texas looked to New Mexico‘s SIP for guidance, it would have been misled precisely because the SIP process is fact-intensive and will vary from state to state.
Finally, as a practical matter, the determinations in the Final Rule will have no nationwide precedential scope or effect because every other state has already submitted its SIP for the 2008–18 round. Nor will the Final Rule impact SIPs considered in the next round because EPA has proposed revisions of the exact portions of the Regional Haze Rule that EPA claims to have definitively interpreted in the Final Rule. Protection of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans, 81 Fed. Reg. 26,942, 26,952 (May 4, 2016). If the Final Rule has the impact on other SIPs that EPA argues it has, no revision of the Regional Haze Rule would be needed.
Because the Final Rule is a locally or regionally applicable action, the default presumption of
III.
We consider four factors when deciding whether to grant a stay pending appeal: “(1) whether the stay applicant has made a strong showing that he is likely to succeed on the merits; (2) whether the applicant will be irreparably injured absent a stay; (3) whether issuance of the stay will substantially injure the other parties interested in the proceeding; and (4) where the public interest lies.” Nken v. Holder, 556 U.S. 418, 426, 129 S.Ct. 1749, 173 L.Ed.2d 550 (2009) (quoting Hilton v. Braunskill, 481 U.S. 770, 776, 107 S.Ct. 2113, 95 L.Ed.2d 724 (1987)). “A stay is not a matter of right, even if irreparable injury might otherwise result” to the appellant.
A.
To show a strong likelihood of success on the merits, Petitioners must demonstrate that EPA acted arbitrarily, capri-
ciously, or unlawfully.29 Because the BART requirements—the portion of the Final Rule imposing injury on Petitioners—flow from the federal implementation plan, and because EPA only has the power to promulgate a federal implementation plan if it disapproves the state implementation plan, Petitioners can demonstrate a strong likelihood of success on the merits either by showing that EPA acted unlawfully when it disapproved the Texas and Oklahoma SIPs or that EPA acted unlawfully when it drafted the FIP.
The Clean Air Act permits a reviewing court to invalidate any action taken by EPA that is “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with the law . . . in excess of statutory jurisdiction, authority, or limitations, or short of statutory right; or without observance of procedure required by law. . . .”
We review factual findings to determine if they are supported by substantial evidence, but legal conclusions are reviewed de novo. Bd. of Miss. Levee Comm‘rs v. EPA, 674 F.3d 409, 417 (5th Cir. 2012). Because EPA‘s disapproval of Texas‘s plan occurred in the form of a rulemaking and has the force of law, our assessment of EPA‘s disapproval is deferential to EPA‘s interpretation of the Clean Air Act if the statute is susceptible to multiple reasonable interpretations. See United States v. Mead Corp., 533 U.S. 218, 226-27, 121 S. Ct. 2164, 150 L. Ed. 2d 292 (2001); Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 467 U.S. 837, 844, 104 S. Ct. 2778, 81 L. Ed. 2d 694 (1984).
Petitioners assert two grounds on which EPA‘s disapproval of Texas‘s state implementation plan was unlawful: (1) that EPA exceeded its powers when it disapproved Texas‘s reasonable progress goals and the resulting long-term strategy despite their compliance with the Clean Air Act; (2) that EPA acted arbitrarily and capriciously when it disapproved Texas‘s consultation with Oklahoma. Petitioners also assert three independent grounds on which EPA‘s alternative federal implementation plan is unlawful; (3) that the federal plan impermissibly relied on effects outside the ten-year regulatory window in requiring emission controls; (4) that the federal plan failed to adequately consider costs as required by Michigan v. EPA, — U.S. —, 135 S. Ct. 2699, 2707, 192 L. Ed. 2d 674 (2015); and (5) that the federal plan failed to consider the effects on grid reliability in Texas.
We now turn to the particular challenges Petitioners raise regarding EPA‘s disapproval of Texas‘s implementation plan and EPA‘s alternative federal implementation plan and consider whether Petitioners have a strong likelihood of success on the merits.
1. Reasonable Progress Goals
Petitioners have a strong likelihood of success in showing that EPA exceeded its statutory authority by disapproving the Texas and Oklahoma reasonable progress goals even though the goals complied with the Clean Air Act‘s standards. EPA cannot base disapproval on any requirements other than those listed in the Clean Air Act because EPA has “no authority to question the wisdom of a State‘s choices of emission limitations if they are part of a plan which satisfies the standards of [§ 7410(a)(2)].” Train v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 421 U.S. 60, 79, 95 S. Ct. 1470 (1975). “[T]he Agency may devise and promulgate a specific plan of its own only if a State fails to submit an implementation plan which satisfies those standards.” Id.
The Clean Air Act imposes a multi-step process for setting visibility targets. States begin by estimating natural visibility conditions at the protected federal lands. The state then assesses the changes necessary to achieve natural visibility by 2064. If those changes impose unreasonable costs, the state must devise alternative reasonable progress goals for the close of the current regulatory window.
The Regional Haze Rule grants states considerable flexibility when they estimate natural conditions, requiring that they “estimat[e] the degree of visibility impairment existing under natural conditions for the most impaired days and least impaired days, based on available monitoring information and appropriate data analysis techniques. . . .”
Once a state has estimated natural visibility conditions, the Regional Haze Rule requires the state to calculate the changes necessary to achieve natural visibility by 2064. If those changes are unreasonable, a state is required to set reasonable progress goals that ensure more gradual progress toward natural visibility conditions. Both EPA and Texas agree that the regulatory changes necessary to achieve natural visibility by 2064 are unreasonable. 81 Fed. Reg. 299. As required by the Clean Air Act and the Regional Haze Rule, Texas‘s state implementation plan proposed an alternative set of reasonable progress goals.
Texas considered emissions from a broad range of sources in Texas and conducted a holistic analysis of emissions controls for this range of sources. EPA‘s disapproval asserted that this approach was unreasonable and instead substituted its own source-specific analysis examining the particular costs and benefits of emissions from particular power plants. 81 Fed. Reg. 298-99. Texas set 2018 reasonable progress goals of 16.6 dv, 16.3 dv, and 21.47 dv for Big Bend, Guadalupe Mountains, and Wichita Mountains, respectively. EPA‘s replacement reasonable progress goals instead demanded 16.57 dv, 16.26 dv, and 21.33 dv. 81 Fed. Reg. at 306-07; 79 Fed. Reg. at 74,887 tbl. 43. EPA‘s reasonable progress targets are less than 1% lower than the Texas goals that EPA found inadequate and current visibility conditions are already better than the targets set in either Texas‘s or EPA‘s reasonable progress goals. EPA‘s reasonable progress goals would require a number of costly changes including: installation of sulfur dioxide scrubbers at seven electrical generating units and upgrades of existing scrubbers at seven other electrical generating units. 81 Fed. Reg. at 298.
EPA disapproved both Texas‘s and Oklahoma‘s goals by arguing that Texas incorrectly weighed the four statutory factors that govern the development of reasonable progress goals. See
EPA‘s requirement that Texas conduct a source-specific analysis is not supported by the Clean Air Act or the Regional Haze Rule. As our sister circuit held, “[n]either the Clean Air Act nor the Regional Haze Rule requires source-specific analysis in the determination of reasonable progress goals.” Wildearth Guardians v. EPA, 770 F.3d 919, 944 (10th Cir. 2014). Indeed, EPA itself has repeatedly argued that states are not required to use a source-specific analysis. See, e.g., Wildearth, 770 F.3d at 944; Arizona v. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 539-40 (9th Cir. 2016) (upholding EPA decision not to conduct source-specific analysis). If the Clean Air Act empowered EPA to draft reasonable progress goals on a blank slate, EPA‘s action may be permissible, but the Clean Air Act limits EPA to a deferential role. EPA must defer to Texas‘s goals so long as the Texas goals comply with the Act. See
Petitioners are likely to establish that EPA improperly failed to defer to Texas‘s application of the statutory factors and improperly required a source-specific analysis not found in the Act or Regional Haze Rule.
2. Consultation between Texas and Oklahoma
The Regional Haze Rule requires states to “consult with the other State(s) in order to develop coordinated emission management strategies” if emissions in one state affect visibility at a protected area in another state.
Texas and Oklahoma consulted through CENRAP, the regional planning association. CENRAP assessed the impact each state‘s emissions had on visibility in other member states. Texas and Oklahoma relied on the CENRAP process to ensure they satisfied the requirement to control emissions causing visibility impairment in downwind states.
EPA disapproved Oklahoma‘s consultation with Texas because EPA disagreed with Oklahoma‘s decision not to demand further emissions controls at plants located in Texas. 81 Fed. Reg. at 302-03. EPA‘s disapproval seems to stem in large part from its assertion that Texas had to conduct a source-specific analysis and provide Oklahoma with that source-specific analysis.32
Given the absence of a regulation or statute requiring source-specific consultations, the extent of negotiations between CENRAP states, the volume of analysis produced by CENRAP, and the fact that EPA has never before disapproved the consultation between states under the Regional Haze Rule, Petitioners have a strong likelihood of success in showing that EPA‘s disapproval of the consultation between Oklahoma and Texas was arbitrary and capricious.
3. Effective Date of Emissions Controls
Petitioners also have a strong likelihood of success in establishing that EPA exceeded its statutory authority by imposing emissions controls that go into effect years after the period of time covered by the current round of implementation plans.
The Regional Haze Rule requires states to “consider . . . the emission reduction measures needed to achieve [the reasonable progress goal] for the period covered by the implementation plan,” and to impose “enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures, as necessary to achieve the reasonable progress goals.”
The emissions controls included in a state implementation plan, therefore, must be those designed to achieve the reasonable progress goal for the period covered by the plan.
EPA responds that it has the statutory authority to impose emission control requirements outside the ten-year window because the Clean Air Act gave EPA the flexibility to require revised implementation plans at ten- to fifteen-year intervals.
As Petitioners observe, if EPA wishes to extend the ten-year regulatory window, it may do so by amending the Regional Haze Rule. EPA, apparently recognizing this, has already proposed amendments to the Regional Haze Rule to remove the language tying emissions controls to the reasonable progress controls “for the period covered by the implementation plan.” 81 Fed. Reg. at 26,972.35 The regulations in effect when Texas and Oklahoma submitted their plans, however, require states to set the emissions controls necessary to achieve the reasonable progress goal for 2018. Agency actions must be assessed according to the statutes and regulations in effect at the time of the relevant activity. See Caring Hearts Personal Home Servs., Inc. v. Burwell, No. 14-3243, 2016 WL 3064870 (10th Cir. May 31, 2016) (vacating CMS sanctions imposed under regulations that came into effect years after the relevant claims were filed). “[I]t is elementary that an agency must adhere to its own rules and regulations. Ad hoc departures from those rules, even to achieve laudable aims, cannot be sanctioned.” Reuters Ltd. v. FCC, 781 F.2d 946, 950 (D.C. Cir. 1986).
EPA also defends the 2019 and 2021 deadlines by arguing that Texas ought not to benefit from Texas‘s delay in promulgating a state implementation plan. Were there some evidence that Texas‘s alleged intransigence caused the delay in the promulgation of the Final Rule, we might be inclined to consider this argument. But Texas submitted its implementation plan for approval in 2009. EPA waited seven years before finalizing its disapproval in 2016. It does not seem that Texas created inordinate delay in order to obstruct EPA. EPA may not use its own delay as an excuse for imposing burdens on Texas that the Regional Haze Rule does not permit.
Petitioners have a strong likelihood of showing that EPA acted in excess of its statutory power when it disapproved the Texas state implementation plan for failing to require scrubbers that will not be installed until the state implementation plan is no longer in effect.
4. Consideration of Costs
Petitioners further challenge EPA‘s federal implementation plan, arguing that EPA did not adequately consider the costs of the power plant changes—mostly installation of sulfur dioxide scrubbers—when it imposed the plan.
The Clean Air Act requires EPA to consider “costs of compliance” when it develops its reasonable progress goals and sets the emission controls necessary to obtain them.
5. Grid Reliability
The Clean Air Act requires EPA to consider “the energy . . . impacts of compliance” with the emission controls in a SIP or FIP.
In its electrical grid, as in so many things, Texas stands alone. While all the other states in the Union have extensive interconnections with neighboring states, nearly 90% of Texas is covered by a single isolated grid with limited connections to external power supplies. This grid shares the name of its governing board, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). Pub. Utility Comm‘n of Tex. v. City Pub. Serv. Bd. of San Antonio, 53 S.W.3d 310, 312 (Tex. 2001). ERCOT‘s independence makes the Texas electrical grid uniquely vulnerable to sudden power shortages when power plants in the state unexpectedly close because each power plant provides a larger fraction of the grid‘s total power than individual power plants in either the Western or Eastern Interconnections.
EPA, responding to concerns ERCOT submitted in the notice-and-comment period, attempted to address all questions about the impact of the Final Rule on power capacity in Texas in half of one page of the Federal Register. 81 Fed. Reg. at 345. EPA criticized ERCOT‘s rules for failing to require “meaningful notice” from producers planning to close plants and suggested that any reliability concerns arose not from the Final Rule but from ERCOT‘s regulatory system.37 Id. EPA also criticized ERCOT‘s comment for understating new gas turbine capacity in the state and for overstating the likelihood of plant closures (although the power company petitioners in the present case agree
The Final Rule, other than pointing to the report of EPA‘s outside expert, does not detail why the emissions controls in question would not endanger reliability or cause the closure of up to 8,400 MW of generating capacity, as ERCOT‘s studies suggest. While the agency is free to rely on outside experts to support its conclusions, the level of deference owed to an agency‘s conclusions is substantially diminished when the subject matter in question lies beyond the agency‘s expertise. Cf. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 529 U.S. at 132, 120 S. Ct. 1291 (deference is justified by “the agency‘s greater familiarity with the ever-changing facts and circumstances surrounding the subjects regulated.“). As EPA‘s reliance on an outside expert demonstrates, EPA has no expertise on grid reliability—its sister agency FERC, uninvolved in this regulatory scheme or this rulemaking, is the federal expert in that area. Therefore the deference owed to EPA‘s assertions about grid reliability are diminished and the agency must support its arguments more thoroughly than in those areas in which it has considerable expertise and knowledge.
Given the exceptional complexity of grid reliability concerns in Texas, EPA‘s limited authority to dictate how ERCOT should run the Texas grid, and the explicit directive in the Clean Air Act that implementation plans “take[] into consideration . . . the energy impacts of compliance,”
B.
Petitioners have demonstrated several irreparable injuries if the Final Rule is not stayed. They argue that compliance with the Final Rule would impose $2 billion in costs on power companies, businesses, and consumers. Because plant emission controls take several years to install, the regulated companies will have to begin installation almost immediately. The costs of compliance would not only increase rates for consumers but would also endanger the reliability of power in ERCOT if plant operators close facilities rather than install or upgrade uneconomical emissions controls. These closures would permanently shut down plants with up to 8,400 MW of generating capacity.39 The petitioner steel mills and business associations allege they would also suffer injury as their input costs rise substantially.40 The petitioner unions argue that their members would lose their employment at the various power and industrial plants that are threatened by the rule. Petitioners also state that the absence of a stay would require the Public Utility Commission of Texas to spend significant resources enforcing compliance with a voided federal implementation plan rather than enforcing a valid state implementation plan. Finally, Petitioners assert that allowing the Final Rule to stand pending the appeal would disrupt the system of cooperative federalism enshrined in the Clean Air Act. See Michigan v. EPA, 268 F.3d 1075, 1083 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
The losses Petitioners allege are sufficient to satisfy the irreparable injury prong of the stay test. The tremendous costs of the emissions controls impose a substantial financial injury on the petitioner power companies which, in this circuit, “may also be sufficient to show irreparable injury.” Enter. Int‘l Inc. v. Corp. Estatal Petrolera Ecuatoriana, 762 F.2d 464, 472-73 (5th Cir. 1985). Indeed “complying with a regulation later held invalid almost always produces the irreparable harm of nonrecoverable compliance costs.” Thunder Basin Coal Co. v. Reich, 510 U.S. 200, 220-21, 114 S. Ct. 771, 127 L. Ed. 2d 29 (1994) (Scalia, J., concurring in part and in the judgment). When determining whether injury is irreparable, “it is not so much the magnitude but the irreparability that
EPA relies on precedent from other circuits to argue that all the alleged injuries are purely financial, and cannot satisfy the irreparable injury prong. See Am. Hosp. Ass‘n v. Harris, 625 F.2d 1328, 1331 (7th Cir. 1980); Freedom Holdings, Inc. v. Spitzer, 408 F.3d 112, 115 (2d Cir. 2005); Mexichem Specialty Resins, Inc. v. EPA, 787 F.3d 544 (D.C. Cir. 2015). These same cases, however, recognize Petitioners’ injury because our sister circuits categorize financial losses as irreparable injury “where no ‘adequate compensatory or other corrective relief will be available at a later date, in the ordinary course of litigation,‘” Mexichem, 787 F.3d at 555 (quoting Wis. Gas, 758 F.2d at 674), or “where the loss threatens the very existence of the movant‘s business,” Wis. Gas Co., 758 F.2d at 674. The plant closures here threaten the very existence of some of Petitioners’ businesses and, even assuming, arguendo, that the plant operators could recover their costs from ERCOT or their consumers, this would not be a recovery made in the course of the litigation.
Here Petitioners have raised threatened harms—including unemployment and the permanent closure of plants—that would arise during the litigation if a stay is not granted, that are irreparable, and that are great in magnitude. Even setting aside the costs of compliance for the power company petitioners, if the Final Rule causes plant closures, the threat of grid instability and potential brownouts alone constitute irreparable injury to Texans. Similarly, the institutional injury to Texas from the inversion of the federalism principles enshrined in the Clean Air Act may constitute irreparable injury. In sum, Petitioners have shown irreparable injury.
C.
The third and fourth factors ask whether the absence of a stay will injure other parties and whether the public interest favors or disfavors a stay. EPA asserts that a stay would injure the public by delaying the achievement of natural visibility at covered areas under the Clean Air Act. But EPA‘s asserted injury from a stay is unconvincing as it acknowledges that its proposed implementation plan would not reduce emissions for at least three years, after the next revision window has opened. Given the miniscule difference between the 2018 visibility goals in the federal and state implementation plans, given that current visibility already exceeds even the federal goals for 2018, and given that the major emissions controls will not take effect until 2019 and 2021 (although producers would incur significant costs imminently), we are not persuaded that a stay would injure EPA or the intervenors.42 Petitioners, who them-
We agree with Petitioners that the public‘s interest in ready access to affordable electricity outweighs the inconsequential visibility differences that the federal implementation plan would achieve in the near future. See, e.g., Sierra Club v. Ga. Power Co., 180 F.3d 1309, 1311 (11th Cir. 1999) (“[A] steady supply of electricity during the summer months, especially in the form of air conditioning to the elderly, hospitals and day care centers, is critical.“); Tri-State Generation & Transmission Ass‘n v. Shoshone River Power, Inc., 805 F.2d 351, 357 (10th Cir. 1986) (holding that public interest favored an injunction pending appeal when necessary to preserve power supply to the public).
D.
We have the power to stay the agency‘s action “to the extent necessary to prevent irreparable injury[.]”
IV.
Section 7607(b)(1) directs that challenges to EPA‘s assessment of a state implementation plan may only be filed in the appropriate regional circuit. Because the Final Rule is not based on a determination that has nationwide scope or effect, the narrow exception in
Petitioners have demonstrated a strong likelihood of success in establishing that EPA acted arbitrarily, capriciously, and in excess of its statutory authority when it disapproved the Texas and Oklahoma implementation plans and imposed a federal implementation plan. Petitioners have also shown a threat of irreparable injury if a stay is not granted and have demonstrated that EPA will not suffer injury if a stay is granted. Finally, Petitioners have shown that the balance of public interests weigh in favor of a stay. Therefore, Petitioners’
LESLIE H. SOUTHWICK, Circuit Judge, concurring.
I concur in the opinion but write separately as to Section III.A.3. The majority concludes it is strongly likely the EPA improperly required scrubber installations “after the period of time covered by the current round of implementation plans,” meaning after the end of the current plan in 2018.
The problem as the petitioners put it is that the EPA has in effect required that parts of the federal plan be implemented after the end of the ten-year period. That argument focuses on the back-end of the requirement. It seems equally proper when determining the EPA‘s authority to focus on the front-end, which is that the construction must start during the ten-year plan period. The EPA found “that five years is an adequate amount of time to allow for the installation of scrubber retrofits, and three years is an adequate amount of time to allow for the installation of scrubber upgrades.” 81 Fed. Reg. 296, 305 (Jan. 5, 2016).
Indeed, the fact that construction must begin now is central to the argument on irreparable injury. As the Texas Energy petitioners say in their briefing: “Construction of the new scrubbers that EPA‘s rule mandates involves massive expenditures, extensive coordination, and long lead-times for planning, design, engineering, procurement, permitting, and actual construction. EPA‘s rule provides the bare minimum amount of time for completing this work, and the clock has already started ticking.” That argument clearly accepts that the work ordered on the scrubbers must begin now, well before the end of the current plan.
I do not believe we need to decide whether the EPA has such authority. It is unclear to me whether the Regional Haze Rule dictates a time frame within which projects must be completed. One view is that the recurring ten-year deadlines for submitting revised state plans are administrative benchmarks, checkpoints at which the State and the EPA must review progress and revise reasonable progress goals and long-term strategies. See
I close with an observation about the problems of requiring each ten-year plan to be, as it were, self-contained temporally, problems well exemplified by the record in this case. Texas‘s initial implementation plan remains un-finalized, and how much of it is to be implemented may well not be resolved before a revised plan is due on July 31, 2018. Similar delays may be expected in the submission of revised plans for the next ten-year period. If, as the majority concludes, a plan may only include projects designed to be completed before the next revision is due, but the approval of that next plan may be as delayed as the approval of this one, significant construction projects may never be
Notwithstanding these concerns, I concur in the majority‘s conclusion because the petitioners have a strong likelihood of showing the EPA exceeded its statutory authority by disapproving Texas‘s and Oklahoma‘s implementation plans and imposing a federal implementation plan. I would grant the petitioner‘s motion to stay without addressing the import of the Rule‘s recurring ten-year periods.
