Sopheap Sok overstayed her visitor’s visa to the United States. More than one year after entry, she applied for asylum, withholding of removal, and relief under the Convention Against Torture (“CAT”), alleging that she had suffered persecution in her native Cambodia and feared future persecution on account of her political beliefs. The immigration judge (“IJ”) dismissed her asylum claim as untimely, and denied the withholding and CAT claims on the merits. The Board of Immigration Appeals (“BIA”) affirmed and ordered Sok removed. Sok now petitions this court for review of the denial of her withholding and CAT claims. We deny her petition with respect to the CAT claim. However, because the BIA and IJ gave a legally insufficient explanation of why Sok failed to prove that she suffered past persecution in Cambodia, we grant the petition with respect to the withholding claim, vacate the BIA’s order of removal, and remand the case for further proceedings.
I. Background
We summarize the evidence as Sok presented it to the IJ in her hearing testimony and in the affidavit accompanying her asylum application; we then consider the IJ’s and BIA’s findings in relation to that evidence.
Mihaylov v. Ashcroft,
In 1995, Sok and her husband, Ratha Chhin, became members of the Khmer National Party (“KNP”). The KNP, which later changed its name to the Sam Rainsy Party (“SRP”), is a political rival to the Cambodian People’s Party (“CPP”) headed by Hun Sen. From the beginning of their affiliation with the KNP/SRP, Sok and Chhin campaigned actively on behalf of the party. In January 1996, they received a letter telling them they would have a “a big problem” if they continued to support the KNP. In May 1996, graffiti was painted on their house stating, “Your life as being a traitor will not be easy if you help the Sam Rainsy against the CPP.”
In early July 1997, Sok, Chhin, and their children fled their home for a town on the Thai border a day before Hun Sen attempted to take control of the government in a coup. The family returned some five months later and found that their house had been burglarized.
In May 1998, SRP leader Sam Rainsy appointed Chhin as chief of the SRP electoral committee in the Phsar Depo quarter of Phnom Penh. Two weeks later, a police lieutenant named Khy Kok went to Sok’s house and warned Chhin that he must stop supporting the SRP, or he would kill or harm Chhin’s family. Lieutenant Kok also threatened Sok directly, telling her, “[I]f you do not listen to me, I will destroy you.”
In July 1998, Hun Sen and the CPP won the national elections. The SRP and another opposition party claimed fraud. In September 1998, Chhin led some 300 peo *51 pie in a public rally to protest the election results. They were met in a public square by soldiers with fire trucks, who sprayed them with wastewater and beat many of them, including Chhin. Sok witnessed the soldiers beating her husband; his nose was bloody and he had been handcuffed. When she attempted to help him, a soldier grabbed her by the hair and pulled her back, and then began beating her on the leg and shoulder until she fell unconscious. When she regained consciousness, she found herself in jail and in pain from the blows the soldiers had dealt her. During her detention, she was given a cup of water and a handful of rice each day. Sok and Chhin were released three days later thanks to the efforts of human rights workers who intervened on their behalf. A private doctor treated Sok and Chhin for their injuries. Sok testified that she did not go to the hospital because she was afraid to go, as the public doctor there was part of the CPP government.
In January 2000, Sam Rainsy appointed Chhin to another SRP post in Phnom Penh. A week after his appointment, two unidentified men stopped Sok and Chhin on their motorcycle, pulled Chhin off, and kicked and punched him. Sok received some scratches when the motorcycle fell to the ground, and ran a short distance in an attempt to find help. She heard the men tell Chhin that if he did not stop supporting the SRP he would be dead. Sok stated that this incident “terrified [her] to death.”
In May 2000 three policemen, led by Lieutenant Kok, went to Sok’s house. When she answered the door, Kok put a gun to her neck and ordered her and her children into the bedroom and made them lie on the floor. While Kok stood watch at gunpoint, the other two men ransacked the house. After thirty minutes, one of the men said, “Let’s go. I got it.” The men took some documents, jewelry, and $2,000 cash. Before leaving, Kok warned Sok: “Anyone [who] acts against [the] CPP, his or her life will be in trouble.” Following this incident, Sok urged Chhin to stop campaigning for the SRP; Chhin replied that he would continue to fight for democracy as long as he was alive. He told her that if she was afraid of dying, she could hide somewhere for her safety.
Prompted, according to Sok, by these repeated threats, she departed for the United States in July 2000, leaving Chhin, her two children, and sister behind. In November 2001, Sok’s sister called to inform her that Hun Sen’s men had arrested Chhin, and Chhin called some three weeks later to tell her he had been imprisoned for nineteen days on suspicion of being connected to the Cambodian Freedom Fighters. In February 2002, Sok’s sister called to inform her that Chhin had been shot dead, along with some twenty others, and that their bodies were found under a bridge south of Phnom Penh. Her sister told Sok that Chhin was murdered for political reasons. Sok’s two children have continued to live in Cambodia under her sister’s care and with the assistance of remittances sent from the United States by Sok, who is gainfully employed; the children are today seventeen and eighteen years old.
Sok filed for asylum, withholding of removal, and CAT protection on August 19, 2002. On May 22, 2006, the IJ issued an oral decision denying Sok’s application and ordering her removed. He dismissed her asylum claim as untimely, and found that she had not demonstrated the requisite risk of torture for CAT protection. Moreover, while the IJ found Sok generally credible, he concluded that her withholding claim also failed because the evidence presented did not show past persecution. He gave the following explanation:
*52 The only time she was taken into custody was when she intervened at a demonstration wherein her husband was apparently being bullied and beaten by the police. After that, she was released. The other events to which she testified had to do with having received threats. Even in her affidavit in support of late filing, [Sok] says that she hoped to return at some point to reunite with her husband and two children. Apparently, the events which had occurred to her were not sufficient to cause her to seek political asylum in the United States.
On only one issue — the murder of Sok’s husband Chhin — the IJ found Sok’s testimony “unreliable and unconvincing” because “this is the sort of evidence that is capable of being verified.” He elaborated:
Is there no death certificate even though the body was cremated? Could twenty people have been found murdered under a bridge or in a pond and no police report was made? Is it that twenty people were found murdered under a bridge and there was no investigation? Remember now that the police might have been complicit in this, but still an investigation would have to be conducted even if there was a cover-up after-wards .... Is it there could be no newspaper report of this incident? Certainly, if twenty people are found murdered under a bridge, there had to be some newspaper report of this.... But this anecdotal hearsay testimony without corroboration is insufficient to prove the point.
The IJ then found that the evidence did not establish a likelihood that Sok would be persecuted if returned to Cambodia. He took account of a statement in the State Department’s 2005 country report that there were no reported political killings in Cambodia in 2005; he also noted that Sok’s children continue to live unharmed in Cambodia. The IJ accordingly denied Sok’s application for withholding of removal.
The BIA adopted and affirmed the IJ’s decision in its entirety. With respect to the withholding claim, the BIA added only that “[t]he harm [Sok] reported to have suffered while in Cambodia consisting of one arrest and several threats without more, is not deemed to rise to the level of persecution.” We consider this to be a summary affirmance of the withholding ruling, and accordingly review the IJ’s decision as if it were the BIA’s.
Molina de Massenet v. Gonzales,
II. Discussion
A. Claim for CAT Relief
In her petition for judicial review of the BIA’s decision, Sok makes no argument with respect to the CAT claim beyond an introductory assertion that “[t]he record establishes the merits of [her] claims for withholding of removal, and protection pursuant to the [CAT].” We accordingly deem this claim waived,
see United States v. Zannino,
B. Standard of Review and Law on Withholding of Removal
In evaluating the agency’s denial of withholding of removal, “our review is aimed at determining whether the decision is supported by substantial evidence in the record.”
Halo v. Gonzales,
In order to qualify for withholding of removal, Sok must show that, upon return to Cambodia, her life or freedom would be threatened based on a ground enumerated in the relevant statute; political opinion is one such ground.
I.N.S. v. Aguirre-Aguirre,
There is no single definition of “persecution.” The term “encompasses more than threats to life or freedom, but less than mere harassment or annoyance. Between these broad margins, courts have tended to consider the subject on an ad hoc basis.”
Aguilar-Solis v. I.N.S.,
With these principles in mind, we proceed to the merits of Sok’s claim.
C. Past Persecution
As noted, a showing of past persecution would entitle Sok to a rebuttable presumption that she will likely face persecution if sent back to Cambodia.
Rotinsulu,
We count six separate instances in which Sok was either threatened with death or serious injury because of her KNP/SRP activities, was beaten and detained, or was with her husband when he was threatened or beaten: (1) the January 1996 letter; (2) the May 1996 graffiti; (3) Lieutenant Kok’s May 1998 death threat to Sok and Chhin; (4) the September 1998 beating and detention of Sok and Chhin; (5) the January 2000 beating of and death threat to Chhin by two unidentified men; and (6) Kok’s May 2000 death threat to Sok. With the exception of the September 1998 beating and detention, the IJ dismissed all these incidents summarily, deeming them “threats.” 2 He erred in so doing.
While the IJ need not address each and every piece of evidence put forth by a petitioner, he must at least “make findings, implicitly if not explicitly, on all grounds necessary for decision.”
Un v. Gonzales,
The most serious incident was Sok’s beating at the September 1998 rally and subsequent three-day detention. Contrary to the IJ’s suggestion, it is not inconceivable that such an episode might amount to persecution when considered together with other instances of threats and ill-treatment.
See, e.g., Beskovic v. Gonzales,
With respect to the other incidents — which the IJ dismissed as mere threats — we have never suggested that threats cannot constitute persecution. On the contrary, we have often acknowledged that credible threats can, depending on the circumstances, amount to persecution, especially when the assailant threatens the petitioner with death, in person, and with a weapon.
See, e.g., López de Hincapie v.
*55
Gonzales,
Sok testified that Chhin was murdered in early 2002 along with some twenty other persons, and that their bodies were left under a bridge south of Phnom Penh; she learned of this news through a telephone call from her sister. If believed, this evidence could be a relevant factor in a properly performed evaluation of Sok’s allegations of past persecution.
See In re H-, Applicant,
21 I. & N. Dec. 337, 345 (BIA 1996);
see also, e.g., Halo,
The IJ was required to provide a “specific, cogent, and supportable explanation” for his rejection of Sok’s testimony as incredible.
Heng v. Gonzales,
*56
Although we need not decide this question ourselves, it may well be that Chhin and these twenty others were assassinated to eliminate them as political opponents. If such were the case, it is unsurprising that no death certificate was produced, no police report was drawn up, and no newspaper articles were published on the incident. Immigration judges must endeavor not to allow preconceptions garnered from life in the United States to color their evaluation of events that took place in foreign lands.
3
It is an unfortunate fact that, in many places in the world, the press is not yet free, and police and coroners, for one reason or another, do not always follow what we would regard as proper procedures.
See Hor,
In sum, we think these various problems cast serious doubts on the IJ’s finding that Sok failed to show past persecution, and as such it is not supported by substantial evidence in the record.
D. Future Persecution
This conclusion makes it difficult for us to engage in meaningful review of the IJ’s finding on future persecution. This is so because “ ‘we do not know whether [Sok] should have had the benefit of the regulatory presumption ... based on prior events.’ ”
Hernández-Barrera,
Despite this difficulty, we have acknowledged that there are some cases in which the agency’s failure to properly analyze past persecution is harmless error because the record makes it abundantly clear that the petitioner will not likely suffer future persecution if sent back to her home country. In such a circumstance, we may affirm the agency’s decision despite its flaws because the petitioner’s claim is per se
*57
destined to fail, and to remand for further proceedings would therefore be futile.
See Palma-Mazariegos v. Gonzales,
The IJ based his finding that Sok had not shown likely future persecution on two factors. First, he observed that Sok’s children have continued to live unharmed in Cambodia since she departed for the United States in 2000. We have often stated that a petitioner may have a weaker claim to future persecution when family members continue to reside in the home country without incident.
See, e.g., Boukhtouchen v. Gonzales,
Second, the IJ cited a sentence in the State Department country report that, in 2005 “[u]nlike in 2004, there were no reported political killings” in Cambodia. U.S. Dep’t of State,
supra,
Introduction. Recourse to the country report in evaluating future persecution was appropriate,
see Gao v. Gonzales,
Nevertheless, the government’s human rights record worsened, as the country’s fragile democracy suffered several setbacks, particularly in the areas of political participation and freedom of speech. The government undertook actions that served to neutralize its critics through a limited number of arrests of journalists, leaders of civil society, human rights activists, and members of the political opposition.
U.S. Dep’t of State, supra, Introduction. Moreover, while there were no reported political killings in 2005, the Department describes an atmosphere of extrajudicial killings and arbitrary detentions of perceived dissidents. It also relates that “[t]here were five killings of Sam Rainsy Party (SRP) activists during the year, but none were proven to be politically motivated.” Id. § 1(a) (emphasis added).
As with past persecution, we do not decide today whether these and the other relevant facts in the record establish a likelihood that Sok will be persecuted if returned to Cambodia. Instead, we need merely determine whether the record makes it “so clear-cut” that she will not likely suffer persecution “that the allocation of the burden of proof does not mat
*58
ter.”
Palmar-Mazariegos,
III. Conclusion
We conclude that the IJ’s decision is not supported by substantial evidence in the record. At the same time, the record does not compel us inexorably to the opposite conclusion — that is, that Sok has definitively established withholding eligibility. Thus, because “[w]e cannot say the evidence compels a conclusion either way,”
El Moraghy,
For these reasons, Sok’s petition for review of her CAT claim is denied, but her petition for review of her withholding claim is granted, and the case is remanded for further proceedings consistent with this opinion. The BIA’s order of removal is vacated.
It is so ordered.
Notes
. Sok makes no mention at all of her asylum claim, or of a due-process claim she raised before the BIA, and as such we address neither.
. Sok also testified that her home was burglarized when she and her family fled to the Thai border for some months in 1997. The IJ did not give individualized treatment to this incident either, but the record supports the conclusion that it was not persecution. Nothing in the record indicates that the burglary was motivated by animus toward Sok or Chhin based on their political views; instead, it appears to have taken place during a time of general unrest, and at least one business in the neighborhood was also looted.
See López de Hincapié v. Gonzales,
. The IJ seems also to have been overly dismissive of the circumstances surrounding Chhin's nineteen-day detention a few months before his murder. Sok testified that Chhin called her after his release and said that the government had imprisoned him on accusations of being a member of the Cambodian Freedom Fighters. In response to this testimony, the IJ offered the following: “It is unclear to me what kind of treatment [Sok]’s husband received while he was in jail but the government of Cambodia certainly has a right to take into custody those who are thought to have been members of what is considered to be a terrorist organization.” The IJ apparently gave no thought to the possibility — quite plausible on these facts — that Chhin’s branding as a freedom fighter was a pretext for removing a political adversary from the public sphere.
. Because Sok’s application was filed before the REAL ID Act's effective date of May 11, 2005, the codification in that Act of the making and reviewing of credibility determinations, see 8 U.S.C. § 1158(b)(l)(B)(ii), does not apply to this case.
