¶ 1. Specially Assigned. Stephen L. Smith, plaintiff in this medical malpractice action, appeals from a summary judgment of the Windsor Superior Court in favor of defendant Thomas Parrott, M.D. Plaintiff contends the trial court erred in: (1) finding that plaintiff had failed to show a probability that Dr. Parrott’s negligence was the cause of his paralysis; and (2) rejecting plaintiffs theory of recovery based on a showing that Dr. Parrott’s negligence had reduced plaintiffs chances of recovery, even if it was not the probable cause of his injuries. We affirm.
¶ 2. The undisputed material facts may be briefly summarized. On July 31,1995, plaintiff awoke to find that he had no motor control over the use of his left foot. That afternoon he went to see Dr. Parrott, a family practitioner in White River Junction. Dr. Parrott noted that plaintiff had had two prior back surgeries, and described plaintiffs condition as a “[djramatic foot drop on the left side.” Foot-drop is a neurological condition in which the motor functions of the foot and lower leg are diminished or terminated. Dr. Parrott referred plaintiff to a neurosurgeon.
¶3. Eleven days later, plaintiff was examined by Dr. Joseph Phillips, a neurosurgeon at Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center. Dr. Phillips concluded that plaintiffs condition was complete or permanent, and that there was no possibility of any functional recovery. Plaintiff underwent surgery in early September to alleviate pain. His motor functions did not improve.
¶ 4. Plaintiff filed a medical malpractice action against Dr. Parrott, alleging that his failure to advise plaintiff of the need for an immediate neurological examination, and his failure to arrange such an examination, had resulted in the deterioration of plaintiff’s condition to the point of permanence by the time he saw Dr. Phillips. * Following extensive discovery, Dr. Parrott moved for summary judgment, asserting that plaintiff had failed to adduce evidence that Parrott’s *377 conduct — even if below the standard of care — was the proximate cause of plaintiffs injuries. The motion cited Dr. Phillips’ deposition testimony that plaintiffs foot-drop was complete two to three weeks before his neurological examination on August 11, and therefore that the delay in surgery had no impact on plaintiffs chances of recovery. Dr. Parrott also relied on the deposition testimony of plaintiffs expert witness, Dr. Donald Myers, who had initially opined that an earlier consultation with a neurosurgeon could have yielded a “50-50 chance” of “some recovery,” but later amended his opinion to state that, in light of plaintiffs history of back surgery, the chance of some recovery was “a little bit” less than fifty percent.
¶ 5. In a written decision, the trial court granted the motion, finding that plaintiff had failed to show that his condition was more likely than not the result of Dr. Parrott’s negligence, and rejecting plaintiffs effort to recover on a lesser showing under the so-called “loss of chance” doctrine. This appeal followed.
¶ 6. In reviewing a summary judgment we apply the same standard as the trial court, affirming the judgment only when the moving party has demonstrated that there are no genuine issues of material fact and the party is entitled to judgment as a matter of law, and resolving all reasonable doubts in favor of the party opposing the motion.
O’Donnell v. Bank of Vt.,
¶7. Plaintiff also contends the trial court should have departed from the traditional causation standard to allow recovery based on evidence that Dr. Parrott’s failure to procure an immediate neurological examination reduced plaintiff’s chances of recovery, even *378 if the evidence failed to show a likelihood that it was the cause of his injuries. Plaintiff relies on the so-called “loss of chance” doctrine discussed in the legal literature and accepted in a growing number of states. As explained by its principal proponent, “[u]nder the loss-of-a-chance doctrine, the plaintiff would be compensated for the extent to which the defendant’s negligence reduced the victim’s likelihood of achieving a better outcome, notwithstanding the fact that the likelihood may have been reduced by less than fifty-one percent.” J. King, “Reduction of Likelihood” Reformulation and Other Retrofitting of the Loss-of-a-Chance Doctrine, 28 U. Mem. L. Rev. 491, 493 (1998); see also Professor King’s original seminal article, Causation, Valuation, and Chance in Personal Injury Torts Involving Preexisting Conditions and Future Consequences, 90 Yale L.J. 1353 (1981).
¶ 8. The loss of chance doctrine has received substantial support among academic commentators and has been accepted — in one form or another — in a growing number of jurisdictions, particularly in medical malpractice cases. See generally
Crosby v. United States,
*379
¶ 9. These cases and commentators notwithstanding, the traditional causation standard in medical malpractice — as in tort law generally — “still commands substantial support.” King,
supra,
¶ 10. Although we have not had occasion to address the issue, a federal district court applying Vermont law has predicted that this Court would adopt the doctrine in a case where the defendant’s negligent failure to diagnose reduced the plaintiffs chances of recovery. See
Short v. United States,
¶ 11. The requirements for establishing medical malpractice in Vermont are set forth in 12 V.S.A. § 1908, which provides that the plaintiff shall have the burden of proving: (1) “[t]he degree of knowledge or skill possessed or the degree of care ordinarily exercised by” a prudent health care professional in a similar practice under similar circumstances; (2) that the defendant “lacked this degree of knowledge or skill or failed to exercise this degree of care”; and (3) “[t]hat as a proximate result of this lack of knowledge or skill or the failure to exercise this degree of care the plaintiff suffered injuries that would not otherwise have been incurred.” We have observed that, apart from substituting a national for a community standard of care, the statute essentially codifies “[t]he common law elements of a medical malpractice action.”
Senesac v. Assocs. in Obstetrics & Gynecology,
¶ 12. The loss of chance theory of recovery is thus fundamentally at odds with the settled common law standard, codified in 12 V.S.A. § 1908(3), for establishing a causal link between the plaintiff’s injury and the defendant’s tortious conduct. Where — as in *381 Vermont — the plaintiff must prove that as a result of the defendant’s conduct the injuries “would not otherwise have been incurred,” 12 V.S.A. § 1908(3), an act or omission of the defendant cannot be considered a cause of the plaintiff’s injury if the injury would probably have occurred without it. This was precisely the state of the record evidence here. Accordingly, the summary judgment in favor of defendant was sound under the law.
¶ 13. Plaintiff urges us nevertheless to depart from the strict statutory requirements, noting that they were codified in 1976, well before “loss of chance” became recognized as a viable theory of recovery. See, e.g.,
In re B.L.V.B.,
¶ 14. In short, we are persuaded that the decision to expand the definition of causation and thus the potential liability of the medical profession in Vermont “involves significant and far-reaching policy concerns” more properly left to the Legislature, where hearings may be held, data collected, and competing interests heard before a wise decision is reached.
Crosby,
Affirmed.
Notes
Plaintiff also sued Dr. Phillips and two other physicians for malpractice, but voluntarily dismissed the claims.
