We have often said that when it comes to expert testimony, trial court judges protect juries from “junk science” and other unsupported scientific conclusions. But in the complex field of behavioral disorders, the task of determining whether causation testimony rests on sound science is fraught with potential pitfalls. This case presents the question of whether studies concluding that lead exposure causes various attention problems constitute a sufficient factual basis for an expert’s testimony that lead caused the plaintiffs Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (“ADHD”).
FACTS AND LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
Respondent Starlena Stevenson was born on December 22, 1990. For the first ten months of her life, Stevenson lived at 2110 Clifton Avenue in Baltimore City with her mother, Charlena Montgomery, and maternal grandmother, Lorena Cooks. In the fall of 1991, Stevenson and Montgomery moved to 3823 Fairview Avenue (“Fairview”), where they lived for 15 months. At the time, Fairview was owned in part by Petitioner Stanley Rochkind. According to Montgomery, Fairview contained chipping and flaking paint on the windowsills, floors, and front porch. Montgomery witnessed Stevenson mouthing the windows at Fairview. In early 1993, Stevenson and her mother moved to an apartment on Pennsylvania Avenue (“Pennsylvania”).
In 1992 and 1993, Stevenson’s blood lead level was tested three times. The results were as follows:
Date Age Blood Lead Level, 1 Residence
October 29. 1992 1 year, 10 months 14 µg/dL Fairview
January 8,1993 2 years 13 µg/dL Fairview
March 17,1993 2 years, 3 months 11 µg/dL Pennsylvania
[Editor’s Note: The preceding image contains the reference for footnote1].”
When Stevenson was five years old, she was evaluated by Thomas Ley, Ph.D., a psychologist with the Kennedy Krieger Institute, because she was struggling to pay attention in school. Dr. Ley found that Stevenson’s cognitive functioning was within the “low average to borderline range.” He diagnosed Stevenson with ADHD and recommended that she begin taking medication to treat it. Over the next few years,
Stevenson was prescribed Dexedrine, Ritalin, and Adderall to treat her ADHD. In
Since graduating from high school in 2008, Stevenson has been sporadically employed. She has worked as a patient transporter for the University of Maryland Medical System (“UMMS”), a cashier for Royal Farms, and a babysitter. Stevenson was fired from her job at UMMS, and she testified that she quit her job at Royal Farms because she was bored. As of October 2014, Stevenson was unemployed.
In December 2011, Stevenson filed suit against Rochkind in the Circuit Court for Baltimore City for negligence and violations of the Maryland Consumer Protection Act. 2 In July 2012, Arc Environmental, Inc. conducted lead testing at Fairview. The testing detected lead-based paint on 22 interior surfaces and nine exterior surfaces. In February 2013, Cecilia Hall-Carrington, M.D., a pediatrician, filed a report concluding to “a reasonable degree of medical probability” that Stevenson was poisoned by lead at Fairview, and that “her lead poisoning is a significant contributing factor” to her neuropsychological problems, including her ADHD.
Before trial, Rochkind filed four motions in limine seeking to exclude Dr. Hall-Carrington’s testimony. He argued that she should not be permitted to testify that Fairview was a source of Stevenson’s lead exposure or that such exposure caused Stevenson’s “cognitive deficits,” including, specifically, ADHD. Rochkind requested a Frye-Reed hearing on each motion. The court denied his request. After hearing argu ments on the motions in limine, the court denied them as well. The jury returned a verdict in favor of Stevenson, awarding her $829,000 in economic damages and $534,000 in noneconomic damages. Rochkind filed a motion for a new trial, or, in the alternative, a remittitur. The court granted his motion in part and ordered a new trial on the issue of damages alone.
The partial new trial began in October 2014, Before trial, Rochkind renewed his motions in limine to exclude Dr. Hall-Carrington’s ADHD testimony, which were again denied. The court declined to hold a Frye-Reed hearing, explaining that Dr. Hall-Carrington’s opinions are “not new science” or “new conclusions.” It admitted her testimony under Maryland Rule 5-702 because it found that she drew from “reliable sources.”
During trial, Dr. Hall-Carrington testified as to both general and specific ADHD causation. She explained that studies show that lead exposure can cause “attention problems[ ] or ADHD” generally. She also opined “within a reasonable degree of medical probability” that lead exposure caused Stevenson’s ADHD specifically. To support her testimony, Dr. Hall-Carrington relied on a publication from the Environmental Protection Agency reviewing the most recent studies on the effects of lead exposure in children, titled “Integrated Science Assessment for Lead” (“the EPA-ISA”). She testified that the EPA-ISA concluded that there is a causal relationship between lead exposure and the
The jury awarded Stevenson $753,000 in economic damages and $700,000 in noneconomic damages. Due to the statutory cap on noneconomic damages, the court reduced the total judgment to $1,103,000. See Md. Code (1986, 2013 Repl. Vol.), § 11-108 of the Courts and Judicial Proceedings Article. Roehkind filed a motion for a new trial, which the court denied. He filed a timely appeal.
The Court of Special Appeals held that the trial court did not err in failing to hold a
Frye-Reed
hearing on Dr. Hall-Carrington’s general causation testimony because the studies she relied upon did not reach novel conclusions and “used methodologies that are generally accepted” in the scientific community.
Rochkind v. Stevenson,
We granted certiorari to answer the following questions: 3
1. Did the trial court err in admitting Dr. Hall-Carring-ton’s general and specific ADHD causation testimony under Maryland Rule 5-702?
2. Did the trial court err in failing to hold a Frye-Reed hearing on Dr. Hall-Carrington’s general ADHD causation testimony?
Because we answer the first question in the affirmative, we reverse the decision of the Court of Special Appeals and remand for a new trial on the issue of damages. Therefore, we do not reach the second question.
STANDARD OF REVIEW
Rochkind challenges the trial court’s decision to admit Dr. Hall-Carrington’s expert testimony on the causal relationship between lead exposure and ADHD. “[T]he admissibility of expert testimony is a matter largely within the discretion of the trial court.”
Bryant v. State,
DISCUSSION
Rochkind argues that Dr. Hall-Carrington’s testimony should have been excluded because it failed to meet the requirements of both Maryland Rule 5-702 and our
Frye-Reed
standard for testimony based on a novel scientific theory. Rule 5-702 governs the admissibility of all expert testimony.
Reed v. State,
Maryland Rule 5-702
To determine whether expert testimony “will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue,” Rule 5-702 directs a trial court to evaluate “(1) whether the witness is qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education[;] (2) the appropriateness of the expert testimony on the particular subject[;] and (3) whether a sufficient factual basis exists to support the expert testimony.” The burden rests with the proponent of the expert testimony to demonstrate that these requirements have been met.
Bomas v. State,
We have interpreted the third prong of this analysis—sufficient factual basis—to include two subfactors: an adequate supply of data and a reliable methodology.
Roy v. Dackman,
The data supporting an expert’s testimony “may arise from a number of sources, such as facts obtained from the expert’s first-hand knowledge, facts obtained from the testimony of others, and facts related to an expert through the use of hypothetical questions.”
Sippio,
In addition to drawing from an adequate supply of data, an expert must use a reliable methodology to reach her conclusions.
Exxon Mobil Corp. v. Albright,
Rochkind argues that Dr. Hall-Carrington’s specific causation testimony does not satisfy Rule 5-702(3) because she did not rule out other potential causes of Stevenson’s ADHD or otherwise demonstrate a reliable methodology for her opinion. 4 Rochkind contends that in lieu of a differential diagnosis, Dr. Hall-Carrington was required to cite epidemiological studies that found a causal link between lead and ADHD. Stevenson responds that Dr. Hall-Carrington’s testimony satisfies Rule 5-702(3) because the studies she relied upon provide extensive support for the conclusion that lead can cause attention deficits in children.
Adequate Supply of Data
To support her testimony that lead exposure can cause ADHD, Dr. Hall-Carrington relied on the EPA-ISA paper, which explains that “multiple, high quality epidemiologic studies” have revealed “a causal relationship between [lead] exposure and attention decrements, impulsivity, and hyperactivity in children.” U.S. Envtl, Prot. Agency, EPA/600/R-10/075F, Integrated Science Assessment for Lead 4-314 tbl. 4-17, 4-289 (2013) [hereinafter EPA-ISA], https://www.epa. gov/isa/integrated-science-assessment-isa-lead (follow “PDF” hyperlink) [https://perma.cc/ECQ7-TFWS]. During the second trial, Dr. Hall-Carrington testified that these studies found that children with blood lead levels similar to Stevenson’s “can have attention problems, or ADHD, as well as learning disabilities.” When asked if this portion of the EPA-ISA mentions ADHD specifically, she testified, “No, it doesn’t.” She continued, “It basically is listing the symptoms, so to speak, of ADHD.” As to Stevenson’s ADHD specifically, Dr. Hall-Carrington testified that it was caused by her exposure to lead.
We have yet to decide the extent to which epidemiological studies can support
Dr. Hall-Carrington did not provide a sufficient factual foundation for why she thought the EPA-ISA supported her conclusion that lead exposure can cause ADHD. The studies described in the EPA-ISA finding a causal relationship between lead exposure and attention deficits and hyperactivity do not go that far. The American Psychiatric Association’s
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders
(“the
DSM-V’)
lists several criteria for an ADHD diagnosis, including that the patient exhibit a minimum number of specific symptoms “for at least [six] months to a degree that is inconsistent with [the patient’s] developmental level
Although research shows that lead exposure can cause general attention deficits and hyperactivity, these lead-caused behaviors do not necessarily indicate that an individual has ADHD because these behaviors are also symptoms of a variety of other disorders and learning disabilities.
See id.
at 63-65; Nat’l Inst, of Mental Health, Attention-Deficit/Hyperactiv
ity Disorder (ADHD): The Basics, https://www.nimh.nih.gov/ health/publications/attention-deficit-hyperactivity-disorder-adhd-the-basics/index.shtml (follow “Download PDF” hyperlink) [https://perma.cc/89RV-AGRQ];
Guckenberger v. Boston Univ.,
The jump from attention deficits and hyperactivity to a clinical ADHD diagnosis may seem reasonable, but we have explained that “just because a conclusion is reasonable does not mean that a court must permit an expert to make it.”
Ross,
To be sure, the EPA-ISA includes discussion of studies exploring the relationship between lead exposure and ADHD specifically,
7
but these cannot bolster Dr. Hall-Carrington’s opinion because they only reveal an association between lead exposure and ADHD. The EPA-ISA explains that an association—a statistical relationship between two variables—“is insufficient proof of a causal relationship between an exposure
and a health outcome.”
Indeed, the EPA-ISA explains that in declaring a causal relationship between lead exposure and attention deficits, impulsivity, and hyperactivity, studies finding a lead-associated increase in ADHD were “not a major consideration” because of “inconsistent consideration for potential confounding by factors such as [socioeconomic status], parental education, or parental caregiving quality.” EPA-ISA at 4-289-90. The EPA-ISA also notes that ADHD is “considered to have a strong familial component” and that studies revealing an association between lead exposure and ADHD have been critiqued for failing to take parental history of ADHD into account.
Id.
at 4-151 (citations omitted). Thus, without accounting for potential confounding factors, including family history of ADHD, these epidemiological studies cannot support Dr. Hall-Carrington’s general causation testimony.
8
See Henricksen,
Apart from the EPA-ISA, Dr. Hall-Carrington did not cite to any other studies to support her opinion that lead exposure can cause ADHD.
9
Without scientific
Without epidemiological studies—or other reliable evidence—demonstrating a causal link between lead exposure and ADHD, Dr, Hall-Carrington’s testimony “amounted to no more than mere speculation and conjecture.”
Bentley v. Carroll,
In sum, the trial court failed to determine whether Stevenson’s proffered sources logically supported Dr. Hall-Carrington’s opinion that lead exposure can cause ADHD. In other words, it failed to check for an “analytical gap” between the expert’s data and her conclusion. Because we find that the trial court clearly erred in this respect, we hold that it abused its discretion in admitting the expert testimony.
12
See Roy,
Frye-Reed Analysis
Rochkind argues that the trial court should have held a Frye-Reed hearing as to Dr. Hall-Carrington’s general causation testimony because the existence of a causal link between lead exposure and ADHD is novel, and it is not generally accepted in the scientific community. Because we conclude that all of Dr. Hall-Carrington’s ADHD causation testimony should have been excluded under Rule 5-702, we decline to reach this issue.
CONCLUSION
Dr. Hall-Carrington did not have a sufficient factual basis for her testimony as required by Rule 5-702(3). Thus, the trial court abused its discretion in permitting her to opine that lead exposure can cause ADHD generally and that lead caused Stevenson’s ADHD specifically. Accordingly, we remand for the circuit court to hold a new trial on the issue of damages.
JUDGMENT OF THE COURT OF SPECIAL APPEALS REVERSED. CASE REMANDED TO THAT COURT FOR THE ENTRY OF AN ORDER VACATING THE JUDGMENT OF THE CIRCUIT COURT FOR BALTIMORE CITY AND REMANDING THE CASE TO THE CIRCUIT COURT FOR BALTIMORE CITY FOR A NEW TRIAL ON THE ISSUE OF DAMAGES. COSTS TO BE PAID BY RESPONDENT.
Notes
. Blood lead is measured in micrograms per deciliter ("µg/dL”).
. Stevenson also filed suit against S & S Partnership, a co-owner of 3823 Fairview Avenue (“Fairview”) while Stevenson lived there, and Dear Management & Construction Company, which managed Fairview at the time. Neither party is involved in this appeal.
. We have consolidated and rephrased the questions presented. Petitioner Stanley Roehkind presented the following questions in his Petition for Writ of Certiorari:
1. Did the CSA err when it determined under Frye-Reed that it is "generally accepted" that lead exposure causes ADHD (general causation), despite the fact that every major medical organization in the country concludes that the cause of ADHD is "unknown," but overwhelmingly suspects ADHD is caused by heredity?
2. Did the CSA err by conducting its own, non-adversarial Frye-Reed analysis on whether lead exposure causes ADHD rather than remanding to the Circuit Court for an adversarial evidentiary hearing, which would have demonstrated that the EPA publication upon which the CSA exclusively relied is (i) controversial, (ii) subject to heavy criticism, and (iii) not accepted in the medical community?
3. Did the CSA err when it failed to apply the "reliable methodology” requirement of Rule 5-702 to Dr. Hall-Carrington’s opinion that lead exposure "caused" Stevenson’s ADHD (specific causation)?
, Rochkind does not argue that Dr. Hall-Carrington’s general causation testimony fails to satisfy Rule 5-702—he urges us to exclude that testimony under
Frye-Reed,
But both general and specific causation testimony are subject to Rule 5-702, and Dr. Hall-Carrington’s specific causation testimony relies on the admissibility of her general causation testimony. If she cannot testify that lead exposure can cause ADHD, she cannot testify that lead exposure caused Stevenson's ADHD.
See In re Mirena IUD Prods, Liab. Litig.,
.
General Electric Co. v. Joiner, 522
U.S. 136,
The FRE were restyled in 2011 without substantive change. FRE 702 now provides:
A witness who is qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education may testify in the form of an opinion or otherwise if:
(a) the expert’s scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will help the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue;
(b) the testimony is based on sufficient facts or data;
(c) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods; and
. (d) the expert has reliably applied the principles and methods to the facts of the case.
, The American Psychiatric Association's Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (“the DSM-V”) breaks the symptoms of ADHD into two categories: (1) inattention; and (2) hyperactivity and impulsivity. Am. Psychiatric Ass'n, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders 59, 60 (5th ed. 2013) [hereinafter DSM-V). The inattention symptoms include often failing "to give close attention to details,” "difficulty sustaining attention," and reluctance "to engage in tasks that require sustained mental effort.” Id. at 59. The hyperactivity and impulsivity symptoms include "fidget[ing] with or tap[ping] hands or feet,” inability "to play or engage in leisure activities quietly,” and "difficulty waiting his or her turn.” Id. at 60,
. During the damages trial, one of Rochkind's expert witnesses acknowledged that "at least some of the literature suggests that ADHD can be caused by lead.” He opined, however, that Stevenson's blood lead levels were not high enough to have caused her ADHD. This testimony does not prevent Rochkind from arguing that Dr. Hall-Carrington’s causation testimony should have been excluded. We have explained that a "defendant does not waive an error by attempting to minimize or explain improperly admitted evidence.”
State v. Logan,
. Despite extensive study, the cause of ADHD is largely unknown. J. Tarver et al., Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD): An Updated Review of the Essential Facts, 40 Child: Care, Health & Dev. 762, 762 (2014); Facts About ADHD, Ctrs. for Disease Control & Prevention, http://www.cdc.gov/ncbddd/adhd/facts.html (last updated Nov. 16, 2016) [https://perma.ee/9DDZ-BKMJ]; Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder, Nat’l Inst, of Mental Health, https://www.nimh.nih. gov/health/topics/attention-deficithyperactivity-disorder-adhd/index. shtml (last revised Mar. 2016) [https://perma.cc/GBK5-KKCL]; Causes of ADHD: What We Know Today, Am. Acad, of Pediatrics, https://www. healthychildren.org/English/health-issues/conditions/adhd/Pages/ Causes-of-ADHD.aspx (last updated Jan. 9, 2017) [https://perma.cc/5 TAD-M7HQ], The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Institute of Mental Health both list lead and other environmental toxins as a “risk factor” for ADHD, but neither institution reports that a causal link has been demonstrated. Facts About ADHD, Ctrs. for Disease Control and Prevention, supra-, Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder, Nat’l Inst, of Mental Health, supra. The DSM-V explains that “[exposure to environmental toxicants has been correlated with subsequent ADHD, but it is not known whether these associations are causal,” DSM-V at 62,
. Stevenson presented a number of other publications summarizing the relevant medical literature to the trial court in response to Rochkind’s motion to exclude Dr, Hall-Carrington’s testimony. But none of those reports describe studies that found causal link between lead exposure and ADHD. Rather, like the EPA-ISA, they describe a connection between lead exposure and general attention problems. See Robert Kliegman et al., Nelson Textbook of Pediatrics 2914 (18th ed. 2007) ("Hyperactivity is noted in young school age children with histories of lead poisoning or with concurrent elevations in [blood lead level]."); Comm, on Envtl. Health, Am. Acad, of Pediatrics, Policy Statement, Lead Exposure in Children: Prevention, Detection, and Management, 116 Pediatrics 1036, 1038 (2005) ("Elevated bone lead concentrations are associated with increased attentional dysfunction, aggression, and delinquency.” (footnote omitted)); U.S, Dep’t of Housing & Urban Dev., Guidelines for the Evaluation and Control of Lead-Based Paint Hazards in Housing 1-5 (2d ed. 2012) (warning that lead poisoning can cause "reductions in IQ and attention span, reading and learning disabilities, hyperactivity, and behavioral problems”), One article describes “increased rates of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder” as a "permanent effect[] of lead poisoning,” but its authors do not cite to any studies to support this proposition, Gabriel M. Filippelli & Mark A.S. Laidlaw, The Elephant in the Playground: Confronting Lead-Contaminated Soils as an Important Source of Lead Burdens to Urban Populations, 53 Persps. in Biology Med. 31, 33 (2010).
. We do not mean to suggest that an expert witness must detail the scientific studies she relied on before stating her opinion, Under Maryland Rule 5-705 an "expert may testify in terms of opinion or inference and give reasons therefor without first testifying to the underlying facts or data.” But when the opposing party has objected to the testimony under Rule 5-702(3), the expert must indicate the factual basis for her opinion,
See Bomas
v.
State,
. Stevenson argues that Dr. Hall-Carrington had a sufficient factual basis for her causation testimony because she only opined that lead exposure was a significant contributing factor to Stevenson’s ADHD— not the sole cause, But the conclusion that lead was a substantial contributing factor to an injury still requires a causal connection. Without relying on any medical studies documenting a causal link between lead exposure and ADHD, Dr. Hall-Carrington cannot testify that lead exposure caused Stevenson's ADHD, even in part.
, Generally, the burden "in civil cases is on the appealing party to show that an error caused prejudice.”
Barksdale v. Wilkowsky,
