By late 1984 New World Entertainment, Ltd. (New World) had experienced some success making and distributing low-budget movies. New World approached Balcor Entertainment Company, Ltd. (BEC), a subsidiary of Shearson Lehman/American Express, Inc., to solicit working capital. New World wanted to expand; BEC wanted some of the profits to be made in movies. There were the makings of a deal: BEC would obtain financing for New World’s films in exchange for part of the films’ profits. Because BEC didn’t want to accept the risk of being the sole source of capital, it recruited outside investors. Balcor Film Investors (BFI) is a limited partnership formed to raise money for eight to twelve low budget movies that New World would produce and distribute.
Early in 1985 BFI registered partnership interests under the Securities Act of 1938 and commenced public solicitation. Subscriptions received were to be held in escrow until $50 million had been secured. Failing to raise this amount by the deadline,- BFI reduced the minimum to $35 million, offered to refund the investors’ money, and began soliciting anew. • By the end of 1985 $48 million was on deposit, and BFI closed the offering. During the first two years BFI supplied the tax benefits for which the investors had hoped. But New World’s films flopped. In 1988 BFI told its limited partners that they were likely to lose some of their capital. Investors then filed class action suits against Shearson (now known as Shearson Lehman Hutton, Inc.), BFI, BEC, the other-Balcor entities that had put together the offering, and their officers and directors (collectively Balcor). There are two groups of plaintiffs: a class of investors who read the prospectus (the Majeski plaintiffs) and a class of those who did not (the Eck-stein plaintiffs). The Majeski plaintiffs assert a standard fraud theory: they purchased the limited partnership interests in reliance on the misrepresentations in the prospectus and its omissions of material facts. The Eckstein plaintiffs, whose defining characteristic is failure to read the prospectus, contend that but for the misrepresentations and omissions the offering would not have been successful. This group, in other words, asserts causation in lieu of reliance.
Although eiTors and omissions in the offering documents usually lead to liability under §§ 11 and 12(2) of the ’33 Act, 15 U.S.C. §§ 77k,
l
(2), the plaintiffs feared that their suits would be untimely under § 13 of that Act, the statute of limitations applicable to actions under §§ 11 and 12. So they invoked § 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934,15 U.S.C. § 78j(b), and the SEC’s Rule 10b-5, 17 C.F.R. § 240.10b-5. This avenue is available even though the investors complain about an initial public offering rather than a transaction in the aftermarket. See
*1124
Herman & MacLean v. Huddleston,
The Majeski plaintiffs filed in October 1988 and the Eckstein plaintiffs in February 1989. When they began the litigation, courts throughout the nation derived from state law the periods of limitations in § 10(b) cases. On July 30, 1990, this court overruled opinions that had looked to state law and announced that § 13 of the ’33 Act supplies the statute of limitations.
Short v. Belleville Shoe Manufacturing Co.,
Congress responded to
Lampf
by enacting stopgap legislation. A new § 27A of the ’34 Act, 15 U.S.C. § 78aa-l(a), provides that “[t]he limitation period for any private civil action implied under section [10(b) of the ’34 Act] that was commenced on or before June 19, 1991, shall be the limitation period provided by the laws applicable in the jurisdiction, including principles of retroactivity, as such laws existed on June 19, 1991.” Plaintiffs believe that this law saves their suits. The district court disagreed, dismissing both as untimely.
I
Whether the Eckstein plaintiffs have appealed correctly is another matter. The Majeski plaintiffs may have destroyed the Eckstein plaintiffs’ notice of appeal, leaving us without appellate jurisdiction to review the appeal of the Eckstein class. At the heart of the matter is the question: was the Eckstein case fully consolidated with the Majeski case? If the cases were fully consolidated the Eckstein appellants have problems.
Here is what happened. On March 11, 1992, the district court entered judgments dismissing both actions. The Majeski plaintiffs filed a timely motion under Fed.R.Civ.P. 59. Shortly thereafter, the Eckstein plaintiffs filed a notice of appeal. The district court denied the Rule 59 motion, and the Majeski plaintiffs filed a timely notice of appeal. Then the Eckstein plaintiffs filed what they called a “Supplemental Notice of Appeal”. The clerk of this court treated that document as another notice of appeal and assigned it a new number. It did not last long: the Eckstein plaintiffs failed to pay the docketing fee, and as a notice of appeal this paper was at all events untimely, coming 34 days after the district court denied the Rule 59 motion — four more than Fed.RApp.P. 4(a)(1) permits. Thus our jurisdiction over the Eckstein plaintiffs’ ease depends on their notice of appeal filed before the district court acted on the Majeski plaintiffs’ Rule 59 motion.
If the district court fully consolidated the cases, the Ecksteins have no valid notice of appeal and we have no appellate jurisdiction. Rule 4(a)(4) specifies the “time for appeal for all parties” when “any party” files a timely Rule 59 motion. See
Polara v. Trans World
*1125
Airlines, Inc.,
Did the district court consolidate the cases? Yes and no. As often happens, the district court did not clearly explain the extent to which the actions were consolidated. See
Ivanov-McPhee v. Washington National Insurance Co.,
Nonetheless, the district court entered two judgments, just as if the suits were separate. Different plaintiffs appealed from each judgment. Appellate jurisdiction follows the judgment, providing the certainty that is essential when a misstep may forfeit a valuable right. Separate judgments are independently appealable, and no one need appeal until the formal judgment under Fed. R.Civ.P. 58 has been entered.
United States v. Indrelunas,
II
BFI used a single prospectus for the two offerings of its partnership interests. When BFI re-offered these interests in the fall of 1985 it furnished investors with a supplement describing recent events. The plaintiffs’ claims center on this supplement, which they say left out information about business reverses New World suffered in 1985. New World was making low-budget films that had limited attendance at the box office and reaped most of their profits from television and from the sale and rental of video cassettes for home viewing. A firm called Worldvision had agreed to distribute New World’s films outside the theaters. According to plaintiffs, the supplement to the prospectus fraudulently omitted the fact that Worldvision and New World had had a falling out — that Worldvision, dissatisfied with the quality of the films, was attempting to withdraw as distributor and had filed a suit against New World. Plaintiffs also contend that the offering materials concealed the fact that New World was to keep the lion’s share of the profits from VCR distribution.
*1126 These adverse events occurred before the investors sent in their money between October 11, 1985, and December 81, 1985. But, plaintiffs insist, they were unaware that New World had encountered troubles until BFI told them in mid-1988 that they probably would not get all of their money back. The Majeski plaintiffs filed suit in the Eastern District of Wisconsin in October 1988, while the Eckstein plaintiffs filed suit in the Central District of California in February 1989. Because different issues determine the applicable limitations period for each group of plaintiffs, we discuss them separately.
A
The Eckstein plaintiffs’ case moved from California to Wisconsin under 28 U.S.C. § 1404(a). Section 27A instructs us to use the “laws applicable in the jurisdiction” on June 19, 1991. The district in which the court that decides the ease sits must be “the jurisdiction” for purposes of § 27A. But what is the law of that jurisdiction?
Short
identifies the statute of limitations in force within the seventh circuit on June 19, 1991. Choice-of-law rules are part of any jurisdiction’s whole law, however, a principle important in diversity eases. See
Klaxon Co. v. Stentor Electric Manufacturing Co.,
Are different circuits like different states for the purposes of
Van Dusen
and Ferens? Usually not.
In re Korean Air Lines Disaster,
We agree with
Korean Air Lines
that a transferee court normally should use its own best judgment about the meaning of federal law when evaluating a federal claim, but § 27A instructs us to act differently. Section 27A recognizes that different circuits had taken different approaches to the appropriate statute of limitations in suits under § 10(b), and it codifies this fractured nature of federal law for cases filed before June 20, 1991. Congress requires us to apply federal law as courts understood it at a point in the past rather than to make an independent judgment about what that law actually is. And the law in use on June 19, 1991, was not nationally uniform. By then three circuits had adopted § 13 of the ’33 Act for suits under § 10(b). One applied this rule retroactively, another prospectively (in the main), and this circuit had not ruled on retroactivity. In all other circuits the courts derived the period of limitations from state law — with different circuits looking to different kinds of state laws. See
Pommer v. Medtest Corp.,
Recently the second circuit concluded that because “federal law (unlike state law) is supposed to be unitary”, a transferee court should apply the law of its circuit and ignore
*1127
the law of the transferor court when determining “the jurisdiction” under § 27A.
Menowitz v. Brown,
So we must examine how a judge in the Central District of California would have viewed the limitations question on June 19, 1991. At the time, courts within the ninth circuit used the most analogous statute of limitations under the law of the state in which the district court sat.
Stitt v. Williams,
The district court concluded that the Eckstein plaintiffs’ claim would be barred by that rule as well as the federal rule adopted in
Short.
It concluded that the time for bringing suit started to run when the investors purchased their limited partnership interests because the dire warnings of risk in the prospectus should have put the investors on notice of fraud.
Plaintiffs’ argument that they “could [not] have discovered the fraud with the exercise of reasonable diligence” until Balcor told them in 1988 they probably would lose money is equally flawed. Discovering
*1128
that one has lost money is not the same as discovering that one has been defrauded. Most losses occur without fraud of any kind.
DiLeo v. Ernst & Young,
It is conceivable, we suppose, that until receiving the advice in mid-1988 reasonable investors would not have bestirred themselves to find out about New World. .(The Eckstein plaintiffs, after all, invested in BFI without reading the prospectus; apparently they do not think information very useful.) Many reasonable investors — the kind who read the prospectus? — would have pricked up their ears sooner. The fact that Worldvision filed suit against New World in the fall of 1985 to rescind its contract may have been sufficient to trigger an investigation. The suit itself was a piece of information missing from the prospectus; from one angle its omission
was
the fraud, yet the fact of the suit was public knowledge in 1985. If that should have triggered an investigation, then California’s statute of limitations expired before the Eckstein plaintiffs filed their suit in February 1989. That plaintiffs may have been ignorant of Worldvision’s suit should not matter, because they, not the defendants, bear the burden of their own ignorance. See
United States v. Kubrick,
B
Unlike the Eckstein plaintiffs, the Majeski plaintiffs have clearly satisfied the relevant state statute of limitations. Wisconsin gives investors three years from the sale, Wis.Stat. § 551.59, and the Majeski plaintiffs filed before the end of 1988, at a time when we would have used that law as the period of limitations.
Cahill v. Ernst & Ernst,
The district court concluded that
Short
is fully retroactive. Under current law, it would be.
James B. Beam Distilling Co. v. Georgia,
— U.S. —,
*1129
The dispositive question under
McCool
thus is: if the plaintiffs had known that
Short
would apply to their claim, could and would they have filed within the period of limitations? The Majeski plaintiffs say that they filed suit within two months of discovering the fraud, so it is hard to see how any delay can be chalked up to reliance on the availability of Wisconsin’s law. But the belief that state law - would provide three years may have influenced the investors in other ways. Perhaps it offered assurance that they need not investigate expeditiously. Perhaps the Majeski plaintiffs relied by filing in Wisconsin when they could have chosen California. Although B alcor insists that filing in one forum as opposed to another is not a legitimate form of reliance, we disagree.
McCool
held that the plaintiffs had- relied on the former status of the law by dismissing a suit they had filed in state court.
Ultimately, the determination whether the plaintiffs did rely is for the district court.
Chevron
creates a balancing approach, and the court of first instance does the balancing with deferential appellate review. Indeed if material factual questions about reliance are controverted the matter cannot be decided on summary judgment at all.
Berning v. AG. Edwards & Sons, Inc.,
Ill
Despite our disagreement with the district court’s reason for dismissing the suits, a remand does not necessarily follow. We may affirm its judgment on any properly preserved ground that the record supports.
Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Co. v. Ludwig,
A
Because they never read the prospectus, the Eckstein plaintiffs encounter difficulty in establishing that they relied to their detriment on the seller’s statements,- a component of a claim under § 10(b) and Rule 10b-5 according to the canonical formulation. See
List v. Fashion Park, Inc.,
When “the market” — that is, the outcome of trading by persons who are well-informed about what the issuer is doing and saying— translates a lie or omission from voice to price, it is easy to see how injury can befall a person who is unaware of the deceit. The price in an open and developed market usually reflects all available information, because the price is an outcome of competition among knowledgeable investors. See generally Sanford J. Grossman, The Informational Role of Prices (1989); James H. Lorie, Peter Dodd & Mary Hamilton Kimpton, The Stock Market: Theories and Evidence (2d ed. 1985). Competition among savvy investors leads to a price that impounds all available information, even knowledge that is difficult to articulate. We call a market “efficient” because the price reflects a consensus about the value of the security being traded — not necessarily because the price captures the true value of the firm’s assets but because the price is the *1130 best available device to assess the significance of additional bits of information. Investors who trade at the market price are affected, for good or ill, by the information underlying that price.
Not all stocks are eagerly followed by astute investors with the- capital to turn their views into movements in price. The more thinly traded the stock, the less well the price reflects the latest pieces of information. “Efficiency” is not an all-or-nothing phenomenon. See Comment, Sufficient Efficiency: Fraud on the Market in the Initial Public Offering Context, 58 U.Chi.L.Rev. 1393 (1991). Prices of even poorly followed stocks change in response to news, including statements by the issuers, and these changes may be better indicators of causation than litigants’ self-serving statements about what they read and relied on and about what they would have paid (or whether they would have bought at all) had the issuer said something different. Even an “inefficient” market price is objective and contemporaneous with events, not plagued by- lapses of memory or the cognitive dissonance that influences what witnesses may remember years later. Still, at some point the market process peters out and the litigation process offers superior information about causation. The Eckstein plaintiffs may have reached that point.
BFI issued its interests as part of an initial public offering at a fixed price, $1,000 per unit (with a minimum of three units per investor). No trading market valued these interests; only the investors could do so. No trading market developed afterward, so we cannot combine the Capital Asset Pricing Model with the tables in the Wall Street Journal to see what effect Worldvision’s suit, or the other information that slowly came to light about New World, had on price. It would be revealing if news about Worldvision’s withdrawal as New World’s distributor caused the price to fall by 20% (using the CAPM to hold the market constant). It would be equally revealing if the news had no effect on price, which would imply either that other distributors-were readily available (so that information about Worldvision was not material) or that investors had fully taken this fact into account back in 1985 (so the statute of limitations would bar these suits). Alas, no such luck, because there are no such prices. This does not mean that the Eck-stein plaintiffs cannot show causation, but théy must carry the greater burden of proving the causal links that an efficient secondary market establishes automatically.
The Eckstein plaintiffs try to do so via a theory we could call “fraud-created-the-market.” BFI’s offering was conditioned on its ability to raise at least $35 million. A minimum sales requirement may serve two functions: it ensures that the venture has sufficient capital to function, and it provides a form of vicarious protection to ignorant investors who assume that the condition will be met only if a significant number of informed buyers think the project a good investment. Plaintiffs allege that, if BFI had made complete and truthful statements, it would not have been able to sell interests to investors who did read the prospectus. Without those investors, BFI would not have been able to sell the minimum amount, and thus would have returned the plaintiffs’ tendered funds. Thus, say the Eckstein plaintiffs, the misstatements and omissions in the prospectus caused their losses.
The fifth circuit adopted a variant of this approach by a vote of 12 to 10 in
Shores v. Sklar,
Without the aid of Shores, the Eckstein plaintiffs have rough sledding ahead. They cannot use the incomplete or rosy nature of Balcor’s pamphlets, which they may have read, as the actionable “fraud”; sales literature need not repeat the full disclosures and risk analysis in the prospectus. (We discuss this more fully below.) To prevail the Eck-stein plaintiffs must prove that, had the prospectus been free from fraud, BFI would not have satisfied the minimum-sale requirement of $35 million. Because this is a suit under § 10(b) of the ’34 Act rather than §§ 11 or 12(2) of the ’33 Act, the Eckstein plaintiffs must establish this counterfactual proposition about the decision-making of thousands of investors using only statements or omissions amounting to fraud; other errors and omissions that might have supported liability under §§ 11 or 12(2) do not support an inference of causation that can replace direct reliance in a ease under § 10(b). The difference between errors and fraud, and the fact that BFI attracted $48 million, substantially exceeding the $35 million cutoff, present the Eckstein plaintiffs with a daunting task. Still, the record in its current state does not doom their case, so we must remand their case to the district court for further proceedings.
B
The Majeski plaintiffs, who read the prospectus, may establish causation in the traditional way, by proof of their reliance on any misstatements and omissions. These plaintiffs advance a second theory — that because Balcor circulated upbeat brochures and other supplemental literature that was much easier to understand than the dense prospectus, the defendants should have put the stern warnings about risk in these documents as well. Why, one of these brochures even offered tables of possible rates of return under different assumptions, and the worst case still showed BFI able to repay the original investments (although without interest or other profits). Because these easy-to-digest brochures dominated the investors’ perception of the risks, plaintiffs insist, Balcor was obligated to make additional disclosures of risk in the supplemental literature. To simplify the conduct of this litigation on remand, we now hold that such a theory cannot support a claim under § 10(b) — which, recall, depends on proof of fraud, and not just errors or omissions.
Ernst & Ernst v. Hochfelder,
The ’33 Act permits issuers, underwriters, and dealers to engage in “free writing” once the registration statement becomes effective, and to furnish promotional literature to investors provided that literature is accompanied or preceded by a prospectus. Section 2(10)(a) of the ’33 Act, 15 U.S.C. § 77b(10)(a); Louis Loss,
Fundamentals of Securities Regulation
119 (1983). Only the registration statement need be self-contained. A prospectus is a subset of the information contained in the registration statement, and the sales brochures are a subset of the information in the prospectus (plus the customary effort to
sell
the securities). If the sales literature had to contain all the warnings that appear in the prospectus, the privilege of distributing supplemental sales literature would be all but meaningless. Federal law establishes a regime in which the prospectus contains the comprehensive description of the securities. Other literature can be brief precisely because an inquiring investor has the prospectus to turn to. Federal law also establishes a rule for resolving conflicts: in the event statements in sales brochures and the prospectus do not agree, the prospectus wins. See
Brown v. E.F. Hutton Group, Inc.,
One final observation. Many of the claims in this case arise out of predictions that did not come to pass. For example, the Majeski plaintiffs allege that Balcor stated that presales of movies would generate revenues equal to half of the movies’ production costs, and that this statement is false. Yet the statement is nothing but a prediction about how much revenue New World expected to generate from preselling movies. Only statements or omissions of fact can be fraudulent. Although intentions and beliefs are “facts” for this purpose when they are open to objective verification,
Sandberg,
— U.S. at —, —,
The judgments are vacated, and the cases are remanded for further proceedings consistent with this opinion. As the district court dismissed the plaintiffs’ claims under state law only because it had dismissed all of their claims under federal law, the state-law claims must be reinstated.
Notes
Because this opinion creates a conflict among the circuits, it was circulated before release to all judges in active service. Circuit Rule 40(f). None favored a hearing in banc.
