Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge WALD.
Appellant Prescott, Ball & Turben, Inc. (“PBT”) appeals from a decision of the district court granting the motion of appel-lee Robert C. Kanuth, Jr. (“Kanuth”) to confirm an arbitral award of $38,233,079 and denying PBT’s motion to vacate or modify that award. Appellant has made two arguments on appeal: First, that the district court erred in confirming the award because the arbitral panel (“panel”) ignored an unambiguous provision of the employment agreement which had the result of improperly increasing the total damage award by over $12 million; and, second, that the district court erred in confirming the award, because the panel manifestly disregarded applicable law in failing to take into account the actual performance of Kanuth’s company when accepting the expert’s projection of future revenues.
Because we believe that the district court was correct in holding that the panel did not ignore the plain and unambiguous meaning of the governing contract and that it did not manifestly disregard applicable law when reaching its decision on the proper award, we affirm.
I. Background
Kanuth was the founder, chief executive officer, and principal shareholder of Cran-ston Corporation (“Cranston”). Cranston owned all outstanding shares of Cranston Securities, Inc., a firm engaged principally in the business of underwriting tax-exempt municipal bonds. Cranston Securities, Inc. was extremely successful, earning almost $8 million in 1986 alone. In September 1987, Kanuth agreed to sell Cranston to PBT, a division of Kemper Securities Group, Inc., and the parties entered into a Stock Purchase Agreement and an Employment Agreement. PBT purchased Cran-ston’s shares in Cranston Securities, Inc. for approximately $11.3 million, and it retained Kanuth as head of Cranston/Pres-cott, the newly-organized finance division of PBT.
The Employment Agreement was executed on September 4, 1987. Kanuth describes the contract as an “earnout” agreement according to which Kanuth would be paid during an initial five-year period from future earnings of Cranston/Prescott in order to compensate Kanuth for the remainder of the purchase price of Cranston Securities, Inc. Although PBT does not describe the agreement in these terms, there is no dispute that the Employment Agreement provided that Kanuth would receive not only a salary and bonus, but that he would also retain complete control over the distribution of an “incentive compensation pool.” 1 This pool was to be funded from any net pretax earnings generated by Cranston/Prescott. During the initial five-year period, the first $2 million of net pre *1177 tax earnings in each year would go to PBT, and eighty percent of any remaining revenues would flow into Kanuth’s incentive compensation pool. 2
The “net pretax earnings” for any given year were to be determined in accordance with the requirements found in Exhibit A to the Employment Agreement.
3
After first listing what should be included in net pretax earnings, Exhibit A then provided that certain expenses should be deducted. Of particular relevance for this appeal is the following: With respect to the Initial Period only, deductible expenses were to include “all bonuses or other incentive compensation paid to or for the benefit of Business employees.” Employment Agreement, Exhibit A, ¶ 2(d) (“¶ 2(d)”). The district court concluded that “[p]aragraph 2(d) of the employment contract clearly requires that bonus and incentive compensation payments be included in Deductible Expenses.”
Kanuth v. Prescott, Ball & Turben, Inc.,
No. 88-01416, Memorandum Opinion at 11,
Several months after the acquisition of Cranston by PBT, disputes arose between the parties. According to Kanuth, PBT’s parent company had fired PBT’s chairman and installed new managers for PBT that were unhappy with the agreement between Kanuth and the previous PBT management. According to PBT, Cranston/Pres-cott had been unprofitable, and PBT was concerned about Kanuth’s managerial autonomy. Kanuth filed suit in federal district court on May 24, 1988, alleging breach of the Employment Agreement, breach of the implied covenant of good faith and fair dealing, and fraud.
On June 13, 1988, PBT filed an arbitration claim with the National Association of Securities Dealers, Inc., alleging that Ka-nuth had engaged in various forms of misconduct, both before and after the acquisition. PBT fired Kanuth one week later, on June 21, 1988. Finally, PBT moved to compel arbitration pursuant to a standard arbitration clause, and the district court granted the motion on August 8, 1988.
See Kanuth v. Prescott, Ball & Turben, Inc.,
No. 88-01416, Order,
Between May 23, 1989 and April 20, 1990, a panel of three arbitrators heard testimony from 40 witnesses, taken over 22 days. The transcript of the proceedings comprises nearly 7,000 pages, and the panel examined approximately 1,200 exhibits. The panel heard closing arguments and considered post-trial briefs submitted by both parties. On May 2, 1990, the panel issued its decision awarding Kanuth $38,-233,079 in damages. 4 The award consisted of the following:
Salary for initial five years: $ 1,775,870.00
Incentive compensation: $31,457,209.00
Defamation: $ 1,000,000.00
Emotional distress: $ 3,000,000.00
Punitive damages: + $ 1,000,000.00
TOTAL: $38,233,079.00
Award (May 2, 1990) (“Award”) at 6-8; see also Mem. Op. at 2.
Kanuth filed a motion to confirm the arbitration award and to enter judgment on May 25, 1990. PBT opposed this motion and filed a motion to vacate or modify the arbitral award on July 9, 1990. PBT argued that the panel exceeded its authority and disregarded applicable law in reaching its decision. After oral argument on these motions, the district court confirmed the arbitral award of $38,233,079 and entered judgment for that amount. PBT has appealed the judgment of the district court on the following two grounds: First, the district court erred in not modifying the amount of the award attributable to lost incentive compensation, because the panel ignored the plain meaning of 112(d) in failing to deduct from the projected net pretax *1178 earnings the amount of incentive compensation that would have been payable for the previous year; and, second, the district court erred in not vacating the entire incentive compensation award because the panel did not consider the actual performance history of Cranston/Prescott when estimating future revenues as required for lost profit projections under the governing law of the contract, which in this case is the law of Ohio. 5
II. Discussion
The United States Arbitration Act provides for the vacation of arbitral awards only under limited circumstances:
(a) Where the award was procured by corruption, fraud, or undue means.
(b) Where there was evident partiality or corruption in the arbitrators, or either of them.
(c) Where the arbitrators were guilty of misconduct in refusing to postpone the hearing, upon sufficient cause shown, or in refusing to hear evidence pertinent and material to the controversy; or of any other misbehavior by which the rights of any party have been prejudiced.
(d) Where the arbitrators exceeded their powers, or so imperfectly executed them that a mutual, final, and definite award upon the subject matter submitted was not made.
(e) Where an award is vacated and the time within which the agreement required the award to be made has not expired the court may, in its discretion, direct a rehearing by the arbitrators.
9 U.S.C. § 10 (1988).
Courts have recognized that judicial review of arbitral awards is extremely limited. “Courts thus do not sit to hear claims of factual or legal error by an arbitrator as an appellate court does in reviewing decisions of lower courts.”
United Paperworkers Int’l Union v. Misco, Inc.,
Courts have suggested that, in addition to the statutory grounds for vacating an arbitral award, an award may be vacated if the arbitrators made the award in “manifest disregard of the law.”
Advest, Inc. v. McCarthy,
A. Plain Language of the Employment Agreement
In order to prove damages at the arbitration hearing, Kanuth retained William O’Connell (“O’Connell”), a partner with the accounting firm of Deloitte & Touche, to give expert testimony on quantifying lost earnings after a business interruption. O’Connell testified to having personally spent over 600 hours reviewing relevant financial and operational information, including deal files and financial statements, from the predecessor companies (PBT and Cranston Securities, Inc.) as well as from the successor company (Cran-ston/Prescott). Based on this extensive review of the available records, O’Connell concluded that net pretax earnings would have amounted to $49,321,511 for the initial five-year period. Pursuant to the Employment Agreement, PBT would have been entitled each year to the first $2 million of net pretax earnings, and Kanuth would have received eighty percent of the remainder in incentive compensation. According to O’Connell’s calculations, Kanuth would have been entitled to a total of $31,457,209 in incentive compensation during the initial period. See Kanuth Exhibit 600, Exhibit A — Damages.
In typical fashion, the panel did not explain how it derived the particular numbers associated with each element of the total damage award. Of course, the panel is not required to give an explanation,
see Sargent,
Kanuth suggests that “[i]n using the same amount of damages over an extended time frame, it cannot be assumed that the Panel necessarily adopted O’Connell’s methodology. Perhaps, it did; perhaps, it did not.” Brief for Plaintiff-Appellee Robert C. Kanuth, Jr. (filed Oct. 11,1991) at 31. PBT calls this assertion “frivolous,” and it insists that the “only conceivable basis for the panel’s award is the reasoning underlying O’Connell’s incentive compensation projection, which the panel necessarily adopted in awarding the exact figure which O’Connell advanced.” Reply Brief for Defendant-Appellant Prescott, Ball & Turben, Inc. (filed Oct. 22, 1991) at 6.
There appears to be no dispute that when arriving at the figure of $31,457,209, O’Connell did not deduct from projected net pretax earnings the amount that would have been paid to Kanuth as incentive compensation for the previous year. It is also undisputed that O’Connell was never cross-examined on this point during the arbitration hearing and that PBT never made any argument to the panel in its post-hearing brief that such a deduction was required under the Employment Agreement. 8 PBT *1180 retained new counsel when it moved to vacate the award in district court, and it seems likely that the argument it now makes as to the relationship between the previous year’s incentive payments under ¶ 2(d) and the subsequent year’s earnings first occurred to PBT after the arbitration was completed. Assuming, however, for argument’s sake, that PBT is free to raise this issue for the first time in court and assuming, also, that the plain meaning of ¶ 2(d) is, as PBT asserts, that incentive compensation paid for one year should have been deducted from net pretax earnings for the subsequent year, 9 it is still clear to us that the panel’s award must be confirmed.
PBT’s counsel admitted at oral argument that § 10(d) of the United States Arbitration Act provides the only statutory authority for vacating this award. According to that subsection, an award may be vacated “[w]here the arbitrators exceeded their powers, or so imperfectly executed them that a mutual, final, and definite award upon the subject matter submitted was not made.” 9 U.S.C. § 10(d) (1988). This court has determined that “[i]t is particularly necessary to accord the ‘narrowest of readings’ to the excess-of-authority provision of section 10(d). That provision does not, it must be stressed, confer on courts a general equitable power to substitute a judicial resolution of a dispute for an arbitral one.”
Davis v. Chevy Chase Fin. Ltd.,
The Supreme Court recently considered the issue of when an arbitrator’s misreading of the plain language of a contract would justify vacating the arbitral award:
The arbitrator may not ignore the plain language of the contract; but the parties having authorized the arbitrator to give meaning to the language of the agreement, a court should not reject an award on the ground that the arbitrator misread the contract.... [A]s long as the arbitrator is even arguably construing or applying the contract and acting within the scope of his authority, that a court is convinced he committed serious error does not suffice to overturn his decision.
United Paperworkers Int’l Union v. Misco, Inc.,
The cases on which PBT relies for the proposition that arbitrators exceed their powers when they ignore the plain language of a contract have, in the main, involved situations in which the arbitrators did not have the authority under the contract itself to construct the kind of remedy that they have proposed. 10
*1181 That is not the case here. Over Ka-nuth’s strong objection, PBT insisted on having an arbitral panel determine the damages occasioned by the breach of the Employment Agreement. PBT agreed “to abide by and perform” any award rendered by the panel, see Uniform Submission Agreement — NASD Arbitration, ¶ 4. In contrast to the cases relied on by PBT, there is no question here of the panel having exceeded its authority by crafting a remedy that was not contemplated by the governing contract. The parties explicitly requested the panel to award monetary damages to the injured party, and that is precisely what it did.
The damages in this case were based on accountant projections of future earnings for a company that had existed for less than ten months. By their very nature, these damages were speculative. The panel was not engaged in an exact science; it examined 1,200 exhibits and 7,000 pages of testimony and then came up with a lump-sum figure of $31,457,209 for lost incentive compensation. This number clearly came from O’Connell’s estimates; but the panel was well within its authority to borrow from Kanuth’s expert what it believed to be a reasonable estimate of the incentive compensation Kanuth would have received had PBT not breached the contract. Even assuming that O’Connell failed to deduct certain expenses from the estimates as required by the contract, this fact does not detract from the panel’s implicit determination that an award of $31,457,209 for lost incentive compensation was just and reasonable.
PBT cites
Inter-City Gas Corp. v. Boise Cascade Corp.,
Boise Cascade
is easily distinguished. It was clear simply by looking at the arbitrator’s award that he had completely ignored the contract. The court in
Boise Cascade
simply could not conclude that “the arbitrator [was] even arguably construing or applying the contract,”
Misco,
In our case, the panel first had to determine which party was liable for the breach of the employment contract and then, based on inherently imprecise projections *1182 of future earnings and future expenses, it had to estimate the amount of damages to which the injured party was entitled. Even if O’Connell’s estimates were based on a misreading of the Employment Agreement, the panel adopted the expert’s projections because it believed them to be a reasonable estimate of damages. In contrast to the arbitrator’s award in Boise Cascade, there is nothing on the face of the panel’s lump-sum award which suggests that the panel failed to construe the contract. To hold otherwise would require us to inquire into precisely how and why the panel derived the lump-sum award, an inquiry clearly outside of our limited scope of review.
B. Application of Governing Law
PBT’s second argument is that the entire incentive compensation award should be vacated because, when estimating what the future revenues of Cranston/Prescott would have been in the absence of a breach, O’Connell did not take into consideration the ten months of actual revenue experience as the basis for his lost profit projections. Brief for Defendant-Appellant Prescott, Ball & Turben, Inc. (filed Sept. 11, 1991) at 29-32. PBT claims that the panel’s adoption of O’Connell’s projections reflected a “manifest disregard” of Ohio law.
As explained above, “manifest disregard” means much more than failure to apply the correct law. “Manifest disregard” may be found, for example, if the panel understood and correctly stated the law but then proceeded to ignore it.
See Siegel v. Titan Indus. Corp.,
Furthermore, there is ample evidence in O’Connell’s testimony that he did not ignore the actual performance of Cran-ston/Prescott in projecting future revenues. See, e.g., Transcript at 4874 (testifying that he had reviewed financial information “of the Cranston/Prescott operation after the merger as well as ... deal files from the merged firms of Cranston/Pres-cott”); id. at 4876 (“the post-merger deal files were one of the sources of information that we used in making the damage calculations”); id. at 4933 (describing his methodology as one that “takes a look at historical results prior to the merger. It takes a look at historical results after the merger, and it also takes a look at industry data available for this specific industry.”). So even if it were relevant what methodology O’Connell used — and we believe that, for the purposes of evaluating the panel’s award, it is not relevant — it appears from the undisputed testimony that his methodology did in fact incorporate actual historical experience.
Under Ohio law, lost profits may be recovered in a breach of contract action if “profits were within the contemplation of the parties at the time the contract was made, the loss of profits is the probable result of the breach of contract, and the profits are not remote and speculative and may be shown with reasonable certainty.”
Charles R. Combs Trucking, Inc. v. International Harvester Co.,
III. Conclusion
For the reasons stated above, the judgment of the district court is affirmed.
It is so ordered.
Notes
. According to paragraph 7 of the Employment Agreement,
(a) During the Initial Period, Net Pretax Earnings of the Business shall be utilized to create an annual Incentive Compensation Pool in accordance with the following rules:
(i) The first $2,000,000 (the "Exclusion Amount") of such Net Pretax Earnings shall, each year, be retained by PBT.
(ii) If Net Pretax Earnings for any year exceed the Exclusion Amount, 80% of such excess shall be allocated to that year’s Incentive Compensation Pool. If Net Pretax Earnings for any year fail to exceed the Exclusion Amount (the "Shortfall”), the succeeding year's Net Pretax Earnings (or those for successive subsequent years, if necessary) shall first be reduced by the Shortfall, and only thereafter shall 80% of the remainder be allocated to the Incentive Compensation Pool for that succeeding (or successive subsequent) year.
Employment Agreement ¶ 7.
.The Employment Agreement provided further that after the initial five-year period, PBT would no longer receive the first $2 million off the top and the total net pretax earnings would be split 50-50 between Kanuth and PBT. See Employment Agreement ¶ 8(a).
. See Employment Agreement ¶ 7(a)(iv).
. The panel’s actual award — $38,232,979—con-tained an arithmetic error of $100. The error was corrected by the district court. See Mem. Op. at 2 n. 4.
. The Employment Agreement expressly provided that "[t]he validity, interpretation, construction and performance of this Agreement shall be governed by the laws of the State of Ohio.” Employment Agreement ¶ 12.
. See abo United Steelworkers v. Warrior & Gulf Navigation Co.,
. Specifically, of the total $31,457,209 awarded for incentive compensation, the panel ordered that 20%, or $6,291,442, be paid immediately. The balance, $25,165,767, would be paid in forty quarterly installments of $629,144.17 each, and the balance would not bear interest. See Award at 8.
. PBT has suggested that its counsel referred to O’Connell’s failure to make the proper deductions during closing argument before the panel. But PBT’s counsel said only that the Employment Agreement contemplated the deduction of expenses from revenue; counsel did not even mention ¶ 2(d) or single out its proper construction as a critical issue. See Transcript of Hearing before Arbitration Panel (Apr. 20, 1990) *1180 ("Transcript”) at 6879, attached as Exhibit 54 to Reply Memorandum of Points and Authorities in Support of Defendant's Motion to Vacate or Modify and in Opposition to Plaintiffs Motion [to] Confirm the Arbitral Award (D.D.C. filed July 24, 1990).
. That this argument apparently never occurred to PBT during the arbitration suggests that the meaning of ¶ 2(d) may not be so plain and unambiguous as PBT would have us believe.
.
See, e.g., AP Parts Co. v. UAW,
