OPINION
The Real Truth About Obama, Inc. (“Real Truth”) commenced this action against the Federal Election Commission and the Department of Justice, challenging the constitutionality of three Federal Election Commission regulations — 11 C.F.R. §§ 100.22(b), 100.57(a), and 114.15 — and a Federal Election Commission enforcement policy under the First and Fifth Amendments. Real Truth alleged that these regulations chilled its right to disseminate information about presidential candidate Senator Obama’s position on abortion. Real Truth seeks, among other things, a preliminary injunction prohibiting enforcement of these provisions.
The district court denied Real Truth’s motion for a preliminary injunction, finding that (1) Real Truth did not show that it *345 was likely to succeed on the merits as to any of its challenges; (2) Real Truth would not be irreparably harmed if the preliminary injunction were not granted; and (3) issuing the injunction would be against public policy.
On appeal, we apply the Supreme Court’s standard for preliminary injunctions stated in
Winter v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc.,
— U.S. -,
I
Real Truth, a Virginia nonprofit corporation organized on July 24, 2008, as an “issue-adversary ’527’ organization” under § 527 of the Internal Revenue Code, commenced this action six days after its incorporation to challenge three Federal Election Commission regulations — 11 C.F.R. § 100.22(b) (defining when a communication expressly advocates the election or defeat of a clearly identified candidate); 11 C.F.R. § 100.57(a) (defining campaign contributions to include funds “to support or oppose the election of a clearly identified Federal candidate” (emphasis added)); 11 C.F.R. § 114.15 (regulating corporate and labor organization funds expended for electioneering communications) — and a Federal Election Commission enforcement policy issued for determining Political Action Committee (“PAC”) status using “the major-purpose test.” Real Truth alleged that these provisions are “unconstitutionally overbroad” and “void for vagueness” in violation of the First and Fifth Amendments.
In its complaint, Real Truth asserted that it intends to publish audio advertisements stating candidate Obama’s position on abortion and to circulate a fundraising letter to raise money to publish the “well-documented facts about Obama’s views on abortion.” While Real Truth asserted in its complaint that it is not a PAC and did not advocate the election or defeat of Senator Obama, it alleged that it
is chilled from proceeding with these activities because it reasonably believes that it will be subject to an FEC and DOJ investigation and possible enforcement action potentially resulting in civil and criminal penalties, based on the fact that the FEC has deemed 527s to be PACs, based on [the challenged regulations].
Included in the relief that Real Truth seeks is a preliminary injunction enjoining the enforcement of the challenged provisions against Real Truth’s “intended activities” and against others similarly situated.
The district court denied Real Truth’s motion for preliminary injunction by order dated September 11, 2008, and Real Truth filed this interlocutory appeal, contending that the district court abused its discretion in denying its motion for a preliminary injunction.
II
A preliminary injunction is an extraordinary remedy afforded prior to trial at the discretion of the district court that grants relief
pendente lite
of the type available after the trial.
See In re Microsoft Corp. Antitrust Litig.,
*346
Winter,
In its recent opinion in
Winter,
the Supreme Court articulated clearly what must be shown to obtain a preliminary injunction, stating that the plaintiff must establish “[1] that he is likely to succeed on the merits, [2] that he is likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of preliminary relief, [3] that the balance of equities tips in his favor, and [4] that an injunction is in the public interest.”
Winter,
Before the Supreme Court’s decision in
Winter,
the standard articulated in
Blackwelder Furniture Co. of Statesville v. Seilig Manufacturing Co.,
Similarly, in
Rum Creek Coal,
we reiterated that the “hardship balancing test applies to determine the granting or denial of a preliminary injunction.”
Our Blackwelder standard in several respects now stands in fatal tension with the Supreme Court’s 2008 decision in Winter.
First,
the Supreme Court in
Winter,
recognizing that a preliminary injunction affords relief before trial, requires that the plaintiff make a clear showing that it will likely succeed on the merits at trial.
Second, Winter
requires that the plaintiff make a clear showing that it is likely to be irreparably harmed absent preliminary relief.
Third,
in
Winter,
the Supreme Court emphasized the public interest requirement, stating, “In exercising their sound discretion, courts of equity should pay
particular regard
for the public consequences in employing the extraordinary remedy of injunction.”
Fourth, while Winter articulates four requirements, each of which must be satisfied as articulated, Blackwelder allows requirements to be conditionally redefined as other requirements are more fully satisfied so that “granting] or denying] a preliminary injunction depends upon a ‘flexible interplay’ among all the factors considered ... for all four [factors] are intertwined and each affects in degree all the others.”
The two more important factors are those of probable irreparable injury to plaintiff without a decree and of likely harm to the defendant with a decree. If that balance is struck in favor of plaintiff, it is enough that grave or serious questions are presented; and plaintiff need not show a likelihood of success.
Because of its differences with the Winter test, the Blackwelder balance-of-hardship test may no longer be applied in granting or denying preliminary injunctions in the Fourth Circuit, as the standard articulated in Winter governs the issuance of preliminary injunctions not only in the Fourth Circuit but in all federal courts.
Thus, we review the district court’s denial of the preliminary injunction under the Winter standard, considering in light of the stated requirements the district court’s findings and holdings (1) that Real Truth is not likely to succeed on the merits; (2) that Real Truth will not be irreparably harmed if the injunction is denied; and (3) that the injunction requested would not be in the public interest.
Ill
. In its complaint, Real Truth sought, as part of the relief requested, a preliminary injunction prohibiting the enforcement of 11 C.F.R. § 100.22(b) (defining the statutory term “expressly advocating”); 11 C.F.R. § 100.57(a) (regulating campaign contributions received in response to solicitations); 11 C.F.R. § 114.15 (regulating corporation or labor organization-funded “electioneering communications”); and the Federal Election Commission’s policy statement regarding the analysis of PAC status. To support its position, Real Truth
*348
relied heavily on our recent decision in
North Carolina Right to Life, Inc. v. Leake,
The district court concluded (1) that § 100.22(b) “is virtually the same test stated by Chief Justice Roberts in the majority opinion of
[FEC v. Wisconsin Right to Life, Inc.,
In determining whether the district court erred in concluding that Real Ti’uth did not make a clear showing that it was likely to succeed, we begin by recognizing that some regulation of speech and political contributions related to campaigns for election is constitutional.
See, e.g., McConnell v. FEC,
*349
Notwithstanding the numerous Supreme Court opinions on the subject, the regulation of speech related to political campaigns remains a difficult and complicated area of law that is still developing. And for that reason, as well as the stringent preliminary injunction standard, Real Truth bears a heavy burden in showing its likelihood of success. Any relaxation of its burden, for example to require that Real Truth show only a
possibility
that it will eventually prevail, would be inadequate.
See Winter,
When we compare the challenged provisions with those upheld by the Supreme Court, we reach the same conclusion reached by the district court that Real Truth has not, at this preliminary stage in the litigation, made a clear showing that it is likely to succeed on the merits at trial, even though we do not decide the merits nor intend to foreclose any outcome on the merits.
First, considering the definition of “expressly advocating” in 11 C.F.R. § 100.22(b), which describes the functional equivalent of the “magic words” specified in § 100.22(a), we cannot conclude that it is likely unconstitutional because the definition is facially consistent with the language in Wisconsin Right to Life. Section 100.22(b) provides:
Expressly advocating means any communication that— * * *
(b) When taken as a whole and with limited reference to external events, such as the proximity to the election, could only be interpreted by a reasonable person as containing advocacy of the election or defeat of one or more clearly identified candidate(s) because — ■
(1) The electoral portion of the communication is unmistakable, unambiguous, and suggestive of only one meaning; and
(2) Reasonable minds could not differ as to whether it encourages actions to elect or defeat one or more clearly identified candidate(s) or encourages some other kind of action.
11 C.F.R. § 100.22(b). This language corresponds to the definition of the functional equivalent of express advocacy given in
Wisconsin Right to Life. See
With respect to 11 C.F.R. § 100.57, Real Truth challenges as unconstitutionally vague the words “support or oppose the election of a clearly identified Federal candidate” (emphasis added) when used to *350 identify regulated campaign funds. Section 100.57 defines as follows those monies that will be treated as contributions subject to regulations:
(a) Treatment as contributions. A gift, subscription, loan, advance, or deposit of money or anything of value made by any person in response to any communication is a contribution to the person making the communication if the communication indicates that any portion of the funds received will be used to support or oppose the election of a clearly identified Federal candidate.
11 C.F.R. § 100.57(a) (emphasis added). Contrary to Real Truth’s argument, however, we have expressly sanctioned the challenged language. In
Leake,
we noted that North Carolina “remains free to enforce all campaign finance regulations that incorporate the phrase ‘to support or oppose the nomination or election of one or more clearly identified candidates.’ ”
Real Truth also challenges as unconstitutionally vague 11 C.F.R. § 114.15, regulating corporate and labor organization funds expended for certain electioneering communications. That regulation provides:
Corporations and labor organizations may make an electioneering communication ... to those outside the restricted class unless the communication is susceptible of no reasonable interpretation other than as an appeal to vote for or against a clearly identified Federal candidate.
11 C.F.R. § 114.15(a). The regulation also provides that “any doubt [concerning whether a communication is an appeal to vote for or against a clearly identified Federal candidate] will be resolved in favor of permitting the communication.” 11 C.F.R. § 114.15(c)(3). Again, as with § 100.22(b), § 114.15(a) mirrors the language of
Wisconsin Right to Life
by limiting its application to communications that cannot be interpreted reasonably in any way other than as an appeal to vote for or against a clearly identified federal candidate.
See
Finally, Real Truth challenges the Federal Election Commission’s failure to announce a specific major purpose test in its policy statements for enforcement contained at 69 Fed.Reg. 68056 (Nov. 23, 2004) and 72 Fed.Reg. 5595 (Feb. 7, 2007). The major purpose doctrine, as noted by the Federal Election Commission in its policy statements, “operates to limit the reach of the [Federal Election] statute in certain circumstances.” 72 Fed.Reg. 5595, 5602. Thus, an organization (corporation or labor union) with activities that center around something other than electing or defeating a candidate will never have the major purpose required by the statute even if it is one of several of the organization’s major purposes. The major purpose test is intended to exempt from regulation organizations that expend or contribute money for express advocacy but do not have as the major purpose of their existence the election or defeat of a particular candidate. The Commission explained that “[a]pplying the major purpose doctrine ... requires the flexibility of a case-by-case analysis of an organization’s conduct that is incompatible with a one-size-fits-all rule.” Id. at 5601. It is this allowance of a case-by-case analysis that Real *351 Truth challenges as unconstitutionally overbroad.
The approach taken by the Federal Election Commission in this regulation, however, appears simply to be adopted from Supreme Court jurisprudence that takes a fact-intensive approach to determining the major purpose of a particular organization’s contributions. For example, in
Massachusetts Citizens for Life,
In view of the similarity of the approach taken by the Federal Election Commission in its policy statements and the positions taken by the courts, we cannot conclude that Real Truth has carried its heavy burden at this stage of the case of clearly showing that it is likely to succeed on the merits with regard to the Commission’s enforcement strategy.
To justify an injunction before trial on the merits, it is incumbent upon Real Truth to make a clear showing that it is likely to succeed at trial on the merits. Because of the close relationship between the text of the provisions challenged and binding court decisions, we cannot conclude that the district court erred in finding that Real Truth failed to meet that burden.
IV
In addition to the requirement of making a clear showing that it will likely succeed on the merits at trial, Real Truth was also required to make a clear showing that it was likely to suffer irreparable harm in the absence of the preliminary injunction.
See Winter,
The district court recognized that chilling speech constitutes irreparable injury.
See Elrod v. Burns,
While the district court’s ruling regarding harm was, in effect, an extension of its conclusion that the restrictions were likely constitutional, the district court recognized also that Real Truth had not made a showing that its proposed communications would violate the regulations as written.
Regardless of whether the district court was correct in this regard, we conclude that it acted within its discretion in determining that any harm created by Real Truth’s doubt about the legality of its intended fundraising and advertising was out-weighed by the public interest identified by the Supreme Court in the enforcement of narrow restrictions on contributions to political candidates.
See McConnell,
Accordingly, we affirm the district court’s order denying a preliminary injunction.
AFFIRMED
