Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge WILLIAMS.
Qwest, the incumbent local exchange carrier (“ILEC”) in Omaha, Nebraska, petitioned the Federal Communications Commission for forbearance under § 10(c) of the Communications Act, 47 U.S.C. § 160(c), from some of its obligations under §§ 251(c) and 271 of the Act, 47 U.S.C. §§ 251, 271, in the Omaha Metropolitan Statistical Area (“MSA”). The Commission granted the petition in part, relieving Qwest of the duty to provide its competí-
*473
tors access to certain unbundled network elements.
In re Petition of Qwest Corporation for Forbearance Pursuant to 47 U.S.C. § 160(c) in the Omaha Metropolitan Statistical Area,
20 FCC Red 19,415,
Qwest asserts that the Commission failed to act on its forbearance request before a statutory deadline, and that therefore the petition should have been “deemed granted” in full. The CLEC petitioners, in turn, challenge the Commission’s grant of forbearance as to §§ 251(c)(3) and 271(c)(2)(B)(ii), attacking the Commission’s interpretation of § 10(d) of the Act as unreasonable and its analysis under § 10(a) and (b) as arbitrary and capricious. Qwest’s claim, however, is barred by the exhaustion requirement of 47 U.S.C. § 405(a), a conclusion compelled by
In re Core Communications, Inc.,
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Qwest’s petition requested forbearance from many of the statutory and regulatory obligations to which it is subject as the incumbent local exchange carrier in the Omaha MSA, including its obligations under § 251(c) and the “competitive checklist” requirements of § 271(c)(2)(B)(i)-(vi) and (xiv). Order, 20 FCC Red at 19,416 ¶ 1 n. 2. Section 10 of the Act provides that the Commission “shall forbear’ from applying any regulation or any provision” if it determines that: (1) the enforcement of such a regulation or provision is not necessary to ensure that rates or services are “just and reasonable and are not unjustly or unreasonably discriminatory”; (2) enforcement is “not necessary for the protection of consumers”; and (3) forbearance from applying such a regulation or provision is “consistent with the public interest.” 47 U.S.C. § 160(a)(l)-(3). In evaluating the public interest, the Commission must ask whether forbearance “will promote competitive market conditions.” Id. § 160(b). Section 10(d) provides that no petition for forbearance may be granted as to the obligations in §§ 251(c) or 271 until the Commission “determines that those requirements have been fully implemented.” Id. § 160(d).
Any petition for forbearance “shall be deemed granted if the Commission does not deny the petition ... within one year after the Commission receives it,” unless the Commission extends the deadline “an additional 90 days.” Id. § 160(c). The Commission timely granted itself a 90-day extension and, on the last day of the extended period, issued a news release announcing that it had voted to grant Qwest’s petition in part. News Release, FCC Grants Qwest Forbearance Relief in Omaha MSA, Sept. 16, 2005, Joint Appendix at 652. The release stated that the Commission was relieving Qwest of the “obligation to provide unbundled network elements (UNEs) to competitors in 9 of Qwest’s 24 wire center service areas,” noting “the substantial infrastructure investment made by Cox Communications, Inc. in its competitive network” in the Omaha MSA. Id. The release explained, however, that the Commission was leaving in place the other requirements of § 251(c), as well as the obligation under § 271 to provide wholesale access to local loops, transport, and switching at just and reasonable prices. Id.
The Commission issued the text of its Order on December 2, 2005, stating, anomalously, that its “decision shall be effective on Friday, September 16, 2005.” 20 FCC Red at 19,471 ¶ 112 & n. 282. As prefigured in the release, the Order granted Qwest forbearance from providing unbundled loops and dedicated transport ele *474 ments under 47 U.S.C. § 251(c)(3), as well as related obligations in §§ 251(c)(6) and 271. The Commission found those sections to have been “fully implemented” within the meaning of § 10(d). 20 FCC Red at 19,439 ¶ 51. The “substantial inter-modal competition” provided by Cox’s voice-enabled cable plant was “sufficient” to merit forbearance, the Commission held, in light of the continued applicability of other statutory and regulatory provisions designed to promote competition, such as the resale and interconnection requirements under § 251(c)(4), and access to loops, switching, and transport services under § 271(e)(2)(B)(iv)-(vi). 20 FCC Red at 19,444, 19,446 ¶¶ 59, 62. The Commission relieved Qwest from the application of certain “dominant earner” regulations under 47 U.S.C. § 214 and 47 C.F.R. §§ 61.38 & 61.41-49 (2006) in mass market switched access and mass market broadband Internet access services, but it denied the petition in all other respects. Id. at 19,417 ¶ 2,19,424 ¶¶ 15-16.
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We begin with Qwest’s claim that its petition should have been “deemed granted” under § 10(c) because the Commission’s actions (a vote and press release) did not constitute a “denfial]” under § 10(c).
47 U.S.C. § 405(a) provides that “[t]he filing of a petition for reconsideration shall not be a condition precedent to judicial review of any such order [of the Commission] ... except where the party seeking such review ... relies on questions of fact or law upon which the Commission ... has been afforded no opportunity to pass.” As we noted in
Core,
this circuit has “strictly construed” § 405(a), “holding that we generally lack jurisdiction to review arguments that have not first been presented to the Commission.”
Qwest acknowledges both the fact that it never raised the issue before the Commission and the principle that failure to do so isn’t excused merely because the issue arose unequivocally only at the moment the Commission took action. That principle is clear. In
Core,
as here, the Commission voted to deny a petition for forbearance and issued a press release within the statutory deadline, publishing its written order only after the deadline had passed; like Qwest, Core then argued, without seeking reconsideration, that its petition should be “deemed granted.”
Qwest tries to distinguish
Core
by noting a subtle difference between its claim and Core’s. Whereas Core argued that the Commission was bound by § 10(c) to issue a fully fledged explanation of its ruling by the deadline (on pain of the petition’s being deemed granted), Qwest argues more modestly that § 10(c) requires simply a “legally effective public notice” with “enough detail about the rulings to allow the parties to alter their course of conduct.” Qwest Reply Br. at 5. This situates Qwest’s claim (it says) under “step one” in the conventional lexicon of
Chevron
*475
U.S.A. Inc. v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc.,
We think Qwest has misread Core on two levels. First, we see no evidence that the court judged Core’s claim to fall within step two. The court never embarks on an exegesis of § 10(c), thus exercising a self-restraint wholly in keeping with one of the functions of exhaustion doctrine — to avoid premature judicial pronouncements. Moreover, the court’s statement quoted above — that we would “ordinarily accord deference to the Commission’s interpretation of ... § 160(c)” — makes complete sense as a simple recognition that a Commission reading of § 10(c) would fall within the general bailiwick of Chevron analysis.
Second, even if
Core
had classified Core’s argument as belonging to step two, exhaustion is not excused simply because we might owe an agency no deference. Section 405(a) applies on its face to all “questions of fact or law.” 47 U.S.C. § 405(a). This court has frequently required § 405 exhaustion for questions on which the Commission would have received no deference. See, e.g.,
Lutheran Church-Missouri Synod v. FCC,
Moreover, although courts have acknowledged the relationship between administrative exhaustion and deference to administrative agencies, see
McCarthy v. Madigan,
Qwest next attempts to distinguish
Core
by arguing that the Commission here had already provided its view on the issue, i.e., it had had an “opportunity to pass” for purposes of § 405(a). Qwest relies primarily on the
Order’s
reference to § 10(c) in its effective date paragraph, 20 FCC Red at 19,471 ¶ 112 & n. 282, and a footnote from a report unrelated to the instant proceedings,
In re 2002 Biennial Regulatory Review,
18 FCC Red 4726, 4739 ¶ 33 n. 70,
Finally, Qwest urges us to recognize certain exceptions to the exhaustion requirement: where agency action is alleged to be ultra vires, and where seeking an agency’s view would be futile. In fact, the parties dispute the existence of such exceptions. Compare
Washington Ass’n for Television & Children v. FCC,
In its ultra vires arguments, Qwest looks to WATCH’s statement that exhaustion may be excused for challenges to agency action “ ‘patently in excess of [the agency’s] authority.’ ”
As to futility, our decisions entertaining the exception have demanded a very convincing record. In
Omnipoint Corp. v. FCC,
Here Qwest points to little more than the agency’s treatment of Core’s petition, where it had taken a similar approach (vote and press release on the deadline, with decision to follow). And in this case, it says, the timeliness arguments advanced in Core put the Commission on notice about disagreement with its reading of § 10(c). But one swallow doesn’t make a summer, and Qwest points to no case (and we are aware of none) in which a single adverse decision by an agency, without more, demonstrated that its position had “crystallized” or that a future result was “a certainty.”
Qwest adds that the § 10(c) deadline would not bind the Commission’s consideration of a petition for reconsideration. True enough, though hardly assurance that the Commission would drag its feet on such a petition, especially with the potential of a mandamus action hovering in the background. Moreover, the Commission’s treatment of the deadline on Core’s petition occurred in October 2004, see
Core,
Thus we reject Qwest’s claim as barred by the exhaustion requirement of § 405(a).
We next turn to the CLEC petitioners’ claims, beginning with them contention that § 251(c) was not “fully implemented” for the purposes of § 10(d). Our review of an agency’s interpretation of the statute it administers is governed by the familiar
Chevron
framework, under which we ask first whether Congress has “directly spoken” to the precise issue before us and, if it has not, whether the agency’s interpretation is reasonable.
Section 10(d) of the Act provides that “the Commission may not forbear from applying the requirements of section 251(c) or 271 ... until it determines that those requirements have been fully implemented.” 47 U.S.C. § 160(d). In the Order, the Commission held that § 251(c) had been fully implemented “because the Commission has issued rules implementing section 251(c) and those rules have gone into effect.” 20 FCC Red at 19,440 ¶ 53. The Commission reasoned that “[the FCC itself] is the entity that ‘implements’ section 251(c),” noting that § 251(d)(1) requires the Commission to “complete all actions necessary to establish regulations to implement the requirements of [§ 251].” Id.
The CLECs dispute the Commission’s reliance on § 251(d), and draw a contrast between that subsection’s requirement that “the Commission ... complete all actions necessary to establish regulations to implement” § 251(c) and § 10(d)’s reference to “fully implemented.” 47 U.S.C. §§ 160(d), 251(d) (emphasis added). The Commission’s reading of § 10(d), they argue, gives no meaning to the term “fully,” which in their view must implicate something more than the rulemaking contemplated by § 251(d). But the Commission stated that § 251(c) would be fully implemented only “once the Commission has completed its work of promulgating rules implementing section 251(c) and those rules have taken effect.” 20 FCC Red at 19,440 ¶ 54 n. 135 (emphasis added). We cannot say that such a reading is unreasonable. The statute does not define “implemented,” an ambiguity not clearly resolved one way or the other by reference *478 to § 251(d). The Commission’s interpretation does give independent meaning, albeit a modest one, to the term “fully” — i.e., that regulations have both been promulgated and taken effect. In addition, it might well be thought that completion of “all actions necessary to establish regulations to implement” a section would naturally add up to “full[ ] implement[ation]” of that section. We also note petitioners’ failure to have offered any workable alternative test. See CLEC Br. at 41.
The CLECs further believe that under the plain language of § 251 the Commission can make a finding of full implementation of § 251(c) only if it can point to implementing action
by the ILECs.
To support this notion they point to the Commission’s own analysis in the Section 271 Broadband Forbearance Order,
In re Petition for Forbearance of the Verizon Telephone Companies Pursuant to 17 U.S.C. § 160(c),
19 FCC Red 21,496,
We are equally unconvinced by petitioners’ argument that the Commission’s interpretation would allow forbearance from § 251(c) before the benefits from unbun-dling were “significantly realized.” This disregards the independent requirements of § 10, such as § 10(b)’s mandate to consider whether forbearance would “promote competitive market conditions.”
Finally, the CLEC petitioners complain that the Commission’s interpretation of § 10(d) is inconsistent with a 1996 order,
In re Implementation of the Local Competition Provisions in the Telecommunications Act of 1996,
11 FCC Red 15,499,
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Last, we reach the CLECs’ challenges to the Commission’s forbearance analysis under § 10(a) and (b). Our review here is governed by 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A), under which we set aside agency action that is “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.” See
AT&T Inc. v. FCC,
The Order grants Qwest forbearance from the obligation to provide unbundled loops and transport in “9 of Qwest’s 24 wire centers in the Omaha MSA where competitive deployment is greatest.” 20 FCC Red at 19,444 ¶ 59. The Commission “tailor[ed] Qwest’s relief’ to Cox’s “extensive” voice-enabled cable network, selecting nine wire centers in which “sufficient facilities-based competition” existed “to ensure that the interests of consumers and the goals of the Act [were] protected under the standards of section 10(a).” Id. at 19,444-46 ¶¶ 59, 61-62. The Commission also relied on competitors’ continued access to interconnection rights under § 251(c) and to Qwest’s loops, switching and transport under § 271(c)(2)(b)(iv)-(vi). Id. at 19,446^47 ¶¶ 62, 64.
Although the Commission recognized that Cox’s market share was larger in the residential than the enterprise market, it concluded that Cox nonetheless posed a “substantial competitive threat to Qwest” in both sectors. Id. at 19,448 ¶ 66. Cox had proven itself a “very successful ]” competitor even in the mass market (where revenue potential was “relatively low” compared to the enterprise market), was “actively marketing” itself to enterprise customers, had won over a “large number of significant Omaha businesses,” and had doubled its enterprise sales in Omaha each year for five consecutive years. Id. Moreover, Cox had relevant technical expertise, economies of scale and scope, sunk investments in network infrastructure (implying that the incremental costs for continuing and extending service would be relatively modest), and an established presence and brand in the Omaha MSA. Id.
In challenging the Commission’s reliance on Cox’s activities, the CLECs point to the Commission’s discussion in its 2005 unbun-dling order, in which it declined to find that cable company competition
throughout the country
justified relieving ILECs of their obligation to provide unbundled network elements, and claim that “nothing” in the record distinguishes Cox from those facts. See
In re Unbundled Access to Network Elements, Revieiu of the Section 251 Unbundling Obligations of Incumbent Local Exchange Carriers,
20 FCC Red 2533, 2556-57 ¶39,
The CLECs also contend the Commission erred in relying on average network coverage across the nine wire centers, rather than examining each wire center individually. In theory the average could conceal substantial variation between individual centers, including possibly centers where Cox had no footprint at all. But in light of the Commission’s reliance on data showing Cox’s aggressive expansion in both the residential and enterprise markets, we cannot say that the possibility of *480 wide variance in existing coverage is enough to undermine the Commission’s conclusions.
Finally, petitioners take issue with the Commission’s reliance on Qwest’s wholesale offerings (ILEC plant usable by CLECs independently of the unbundled network element mandate) in granting forbearance in the enterprise and mass markets. These include both services Qwest is legally obliged to make available (under § 271(d)(2)(B)(iv)-(vi) and § 251(c)(4)) and ones it has offered voluntarily (such as Qwest Platform Plus (“QPP”) services, which are commercially negotiated wholesale services integrating loops, switching and transport into a single package). See Order, 20 FCC Red at 19,448-50 ¶¶ 67-68. The CLECs again point to the TRRO, in which the Commission declined to adopt a general rule relieving the ILECs of unbun-dling obligations in local exchange markets whenever “carriers are potentially able to compete using special access or other tar-iffed alternatives.” See TRRO, 20 FCC Red at 2560 ¶ 46.
But the TRRO explicitly recognized that an ILEC’s tariffed offerings could, in certain circumstances, be an avenue for competitive entry. See, e.g., TRRO, 20 FCC Red at 2561 ¶48 (“[A] carrier could, in theory, use [a] tariffed offering to enter a market.”). The Commission in fact relied on carriers’ “successful ] use[ ] [of] special access to compete” in the wireless and long-distance markets in concluding that ILECs need no longer provide access to UNEs in those markets. Id. at 2554-55 ¶ 36, 2560 ¶ 46. With respect to local exchange services, the TRRO stated only that “the availability of a tariffed alternative should not foreclose unbundled access.” Id. at 2561 ¶ 48 (emphasis added). As the TRRO explicitly left open the possibility that “sufficient facilities-based competition” might eventually make UNE relief appropriate in the local exchange market, either generally or in geographically specific markets, id. at 2556 ¶¶ 38 & 39 n. 116, the Order seems simply to apply that concept: here the Commission found the combination of tariffed ILEC facilities and facilities-based competition adequate to assure competition even if it partially relaxed Qwest’s obligations in the Omaha market. Compare id. at 2556-57 ¶ 39 with Order, 20 FCC Red at 19,447-49 ¶¶ 65 & 67 n. 177.
The CLECs offer additional arguments, in part traceable to the Commission’s language in the TRRO, as to why Qwest’s wholesale services are not, on their own, a sufficient substitute for UNEs. For instance, absent other avenues for competition, ILECs could thwart competition by undue hikes in the price of their wholesale inputs. Similarly, the CLECs complain that the loop component of the QPP service was available as a § 251(c)(3) network element, and thus that the Commission was wrong to rely on the continued availability of QPP offerings in granting forbearance from unbundling. But Cox’s independent cable infrastructure greatly mitigates these potential risks. In addition, the CLECs have provided no reason to disturb the Commission’s predictive judgment that “Qwest will not react to [the forbearance] decision ... by curtailing wholesale access” to its high-capacity offerings, especially in light of the Commission’s finding that facilities-based competition from Cox gives Qwest a strong incentive to maximize use of its network by setting attractive prices on its wholesale alternatives. Order, 20 FCC Red at 19,-448-49 ¶ 67, 19,455 ¶ 79.
In sum, we hold that the Commission reasonably concluded that § 251(c) was “fully implemented” for the purpose of § 10(d). Further, we find nothing arbitrary about granting forbearance in the nine wire centers, given Cox’s extensive *481 network coverage in the residential market and growing competitive presence in the enterprise market.
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Accordingly, Qwest’s petition is dismissed as barred by 47 U.S.C. § 405(a), and the CLECs’ petitions are denied on the merits.
So ordered.
