866 F.2d 470 | D.C. Cir. | 1989
Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge SILBERMAN.
The Process Gas Consumers Group (“PGC”) seeks review of an order of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission approving a natural gas rate surcharge to support the 1988 research, development and demonstration budget of intervenor Gas Research Institute (“GRI”). Among other challenges, PGC asserts that a substantial portion of GRI’s 1988 budget is devoted to the investigation of “end use” gas applications not likely to benefit ratepayers and thus outside FERC’s jurisdictional mission. We are persuaded that the Commission has failed to apply the proper legal standard in determining whether GRI’s projects “[have] a reasonable chance of benefitting the ratepayer in a reasonable period of time,” 18 C.F.R. § 154.38(d)(5)(iii)(d) (1988), and therefore we grant the petition for review and remand the case to FERC for further agency proceedings.
I.
Under the Natural Gas Act and pursuant to its cost-of-service ratemaking principles, FERC permits regulated pipelines to recover from ratepayers the costs of performing certain research, development and demonstration (“RD & D”) projects related to jurisdictional sales and distribution of gas. See generally id. § 154.38(d)(5). In order to encourage industry support for such research efforts, the Commission allows regulated companies to petition for advance Commission assurance of the recoverability, for ratemaking purposes, of contributions to collaborative industry research organizations and consortia, and to permit the organizations and consortia themselves to seek direct Commission approval of their research agendas. 18 C.F.R. § 154.38(d)(5) (1988); see Order Prescribing Changes in Accounting and Rate Treatment for Research, Development and Demonstration Expenditures, 58 F.P.C. 2238 (1977). Under these procedures, FERC’s approval of an RD & D organization's annual budget constitutes, in turn, advance approval of the regulated companies’ anticipated contributions to the organization. Intervenor GRI, one such collaborative RD & D organization, for over 10 years has supported RD & D activities on behalf of natural gas pipeline and distribution companies. Originally funded through the contributions of member companies, GRI since has obtained financing more or less exclusively via direct FERC-approved surcharges on jurisdictional throughput, i.e., gas supplies delivered through regulated pipelines to consumers. These surcharges have grown from 0.12 cents per Mcf (1000 cubic feet) in 1978 to approximately 1.51 cents per Mcf today.
To enable FERC to make an intelligent assessment of research initiatives submitted for advance approval under these procedures, Commission regulations require jurisdictional companies and research organizations to include in their submissions, inter alia, “[ejvidence that the project or program ... has a reasonable chance of benefitting the ratepayer in a reasonable period of time” and that “whatever achievements may result ... will accrue to the benefit of the sponsoring jurisdictional compan[ies] and [] their customers.” 18 C.F.R. § 154.38(d)(5)(iii)(d) & (e) (1988). When passing on proposed initiatives, FERC, however, maintains “due regard [for] the basic, exploratory or applied nature of each submitted RD & D project.” Id. § 154(d)(5)(iii)(d).
In the summer of 1987, GRI filed its latest 1988 budget and five-year research
FERC partially adopted
PGC filed a timely application for rehearing accusing the Commission on a number of grounds of inadequate review and arbitrary approval of the GRI budget. See Gas Research Institute, 41 F.E.R.C. ¶ 61,314 (1987) (order on rehearing). Besides objecting to FERC’s acceptance of numerous specific projects, PGC repeated its case for the imposition of certain “self-policing” mechanisms (such as manufacturer cofunding and greater reliance on royalty income) to force GRI to tailor its program to those initiatives promising the best return to ratepayers. PGC asserted that such mechanisms were necessary given FERC’s lack of expertise in making judgments about the soundness and promise of particular research projects. PGC also renewed its fundamental objection to GRI’s research into end-use applications designed to expand the markets for natural gas, arguing that Colorado’s apparent acceptance of the propriety of end-use research was limited to those projects that have “as their broad goal the conservation of gas supplies.”
FERC denied PGC’s request for rehearing in its entirety. In response to the end-use objection, the Commission asserted that Colorado “stands for the general principle that the Commission has ... authority to permit RD & D projects for development
[G]as-related research continues to be needed despite changed circumstances in the industry, and GRI has been responsive to those circumstances in planning its RD & D. GRI’s focus will conserve natural gas and lower consumer costs through more efficient use of the commodity. Furthermore, GRI stated that the bolstering of natural gas markets will benefit ratepayers through the lower unit costs resulting from wider distribution of fixed costs and more efficient operation of natural gas systems.
Id. This petition for review followed.
II.
As noted, once before in Colorado we considered a challenge to Commission approval of a GRI budget submission. Because the issues raised in the earlier case and in the petition before us are related, we begin by analyzing the principles that guided the Colorado opinion.
Colorado involved a more or less frontal assault on FERC’s approval of the 1980 GRI R & D budget and 1980-84 R & D plan, a budget which, like its 1988 counterpart, included numerous consumer appliance, industrial application, and synthetic or alternative fuel supply initiatives. See Colorado, 660 F.2d at 825. The petitioners there disputed FERC’s jurisdiction to approve the funding of any research that strayed beyond investigation into “the production, transportation or sale of natural gas in interstate commerce,” narrowly defined. Id
Nevertheless, we had little difficulty in affirming FERC’s approval of the ostensibly extra-jurisdictional end-item and alternative fuel supply research proposed in Colorado. We noted that “all [of the challenged research projects] have as their broad goal the conservation of dwindling gas supplies,” 660 F.2d at 825, either through new technologies designed to assist consumers in reducing their consumption of gas or through development of alternative energy sources that would mitigate pressures on natural gas supplies. See id. at 825-26. Refusing to draw the Act’s jurisdictional lines as narrowly as petitioners suggested, we said:
To limit research projects to the production or transportation of natural gas would not only be unduly restrictive, but would ignore the reality that natural gas supplies are being exhausted and are not renewable. In order to make natural gas available in the future, some sort of conservation must be exercised and the best alternatives studied and selected.
Id. at 828. Since the probable effect of successful GRI projects in that case would have been a reduction in gas prices (occasioned by reduced consumer demand or enhanced natural gas supplies), we thought it clear that the ratepayers being “taxed” to support GRI’s research efforts would be benefitted. See id. at 827-28. In other words, because the subject research was designed to “assur[e] ... an adequate and reliable supply [of natural gas] at reasonable prices,” id. at 828 (emphasis added), the research was within FERC’s jurisdiction to approve.
When considering whether a proposed research project “has a reasonable chance of benefitting the ratepayer in a reasonable period of time,” 18 C.F.R. § 154.38(d)(5)(iii)(d), the Commission need not undertake scientific “peer review” or otherwise attempt to determine with precision whether the efficiency gains from an end-use application will outweigh the costs to ratepayers of the research. It is enough for the Commission rationally to conclude that the research contemplated is by its nature likely to benefit ratepayers if successful. That is, in addressing challenges akin to those advanced by petitioner, FERC need only make a reasoned judgment that the general objectives of the research are themselves consistent with the interests of ratepayers. In this connection, we reject petitioner’s assertion that FERC must engage in extended, detailed analyses of the precise costs and benefits of particular projects. We think the Commission correctly believes that the speculative nature of research is ill-suited to petitioner’s suggested pure accounting approach. See Public Serv. Co. v. FERC, 832 F.2d 1201, 1215 (10th Cir.1987). Still, even under a comparatively circumscribed delineation of the Commission’s responsibility in this area, we believe FERC failed to confront and address rationally petitioner’s concerns about the nature of some of GRI's end-item research.
PGC’s claim that GRI’s research program as presently fashioned is not likely to benefit ratepayers is founded on two notions. First, PGC observes that conditions in the market for natural gas have fundamentally changed since FERC’s approval of a similar GRI budget was sustained by this court in 1981. No longer is the market supply-driven; Congress’ phased deregulation of wellhead prices in 1978, see Natural Gas Policy Act of 1978, 15 U.S.C. §§ 3301-3432 (1982), and other factors have led to market conditions characterized by abundant supplies. Alone, of course, this observation is not conclusive. Just because the natural gas market now favors buyers does not mean that additional conservation efforts will fail to yield incremental price reductions to consumers by softening demand even more. PGC further argues, however, that these changes in natural gas market conditions have induced correlative changes in GRI’s goals, so that a substantial portion of GRI’s end-item budget is now slated for projects aimed at generating new demand for natural gas. To make matters worse, GRI is allegedly proposing to concentrate these efforts on developing new consumer and industrial uses of gas that are highly dependent upon the gaseous form of the product (“form value”), i.e., uses that do not easily accommodate a shift to alternative fuels.
The economic implications of these GRI initiatives, according to PGC, cannot be considered favorable to ratepayers. Should GRI generate new consumer demand through its ratepayer-financed efforts, basic principles of economics suggest that the wellhead price of natural gas will rise, other factors remaining constant. If this new demand is concentrated in consumer and industrial applications sensitive
Our review of GRI's 1988 application supports the accuracy of petitioner’s characterization of the GRI agenda. For instance, in its 1988-1992 Research and Development Plan, GRI projected an expenditure in 1988 of almost $19 million on so-called industrial end-use applications, “emphasizing] development of new cost-effective uses of gas with higher form value than competing fuels.” Other projects are designed to capitalize on the “form value” of gas in new markets as well, including research into gas-powered motor vehicles and emission control technology. Nearly $50 million is slated for residential and commercial applications aimed at “developing technologies that provide least-cost energy services in ... markets where gas is not currently the fuel of choice.”
FERC’s rejoinder to petitioner’s end-use objection was that “GRI’s focus will conserve natural gas and lower consumer costs through more efficient use of the commodity” (presumably by developing more efficient appliances). Gas Research Institute, 41 F.E.R.C. at 61,834. The Commission also relied, however, on GRI’s representation “that the bolstering of natural gas markets will benefit ratepayers through the lower unit costs resulting from wider distribution of fixed costs____” Id. We understand this latter contention to mean that whatever effect GRI’s development of new markets may have on the wellhead price of natural gas, it will be offset by lower per-unit transportation costs through more complete use of existing pipeline capacity. Especially, but not exclusively, as to those projects designed primarily to create new markets in natural gas, we find this contention unpersuasive.
A similar argument concerning reduced per-unit transportation costs was advanced by FERC and rejected by this court in Maryland People’s Counsel v. FERC, 761 F.2d 768 (D.C.Cir.1985). In that case, a group of captive natural gas customers objected to a Commission policy that extended the benefits of more vigorous price competition selectively to noncaptive customers, allegedly exposing the captive group to exploitation. FERC defended its policy by arguing that a broader base of natural gas customers would spread the fixed costs of the transportation system more widely and thus offset any anticompetitive effects. We thought that argument rather weak, however, since total transportation costs made up (at the time) only 15% of the average customer’s gas bill, while gas costs accounted for the remaining 85%. 761 F.2d at 776. Absent reasoned findings suggesting otherwise, the Commission cannot therefore assume that hypothetical per-unit transportation cost savings will offset hypothetical increases in gas prices occasioned by fresh consumer demand for gas.
The Commission’s primary justification— that ratepayers will benefit from more efficient gas-using appliances — seems logically stronger, but it depends for its force on what group of ratepayers (and what types of gas uses) FERC is referring to. Given the broad objectives of GRI’s research efforts, with some projects devoted to creating new gas demand and others designed to make more efficient existing applications, it would appear that two more or less distinct classes of consumers may realize efficiency gains — those currently employ
To illustrate our concern, suppose GRI submitted for FERC approval a research project that would cost existing gas consumers a great deal, but if successful would enable 50 percent of the current residential consumers of electricity to switch efficiently to the exclusive use of gas. However public-spirited the project may appear under the circumstances,
When determining whether end-item research of the character proposed “has a reasonable chance of benefitting the ratepayer in a reasonable period of time,” FERC, we think, is required to find that the research, if successful, will on balance work to the benefit of existing classes of ratepayers — those customers paying for the research in the first place. On the benefit side of the equation, FERC may include all economic gains that might inure to existing classes of ratepayers through the employment of gas-saving devices, thus excluding those efficiency gains that flow to consumers who switch to gas by reason of ratepayer-financed research. On the cost side, FERC not only must account for the initial expense of the research but also must make a rational judgment about the probable economic effect of the research, if successful. FERC must at least consider
We reiterate that FERC, in making these judgments, need not engage in painstaking cost-benefit analysis of the merits of research proposals on a project-by-project basis. Rather, the Commission is required to make only a candid, common-sense assessment as to the consistency of a project’s objectives with the interests of the ratepayers providing the financing. FERC’s mandate to determine “just and reasonable” rates requires no less. 15 U.S.C. § 717d(a) (1982).
III.
We recognize that the Commission will be faced with numerous “close calls” in scrutinizing proposed research under this framework, and thus believe considerable deference must be paid FERC in the exercise of its discretion in this area. At the extremes, of course, the Commission’s inquiry should not prove especially difficult. For instance, a project that is aimed at creating captive gas demand in a market exclusively controlled by an alternative fuel promises little or no efficiency benefits to the financing ratepayers, and holds the prospect of demand-driven price increases for existing classes of ratepayers to boot. The Commission would face a heavy burden in justifying ratepayer financing of research of this sort. At the other end of the spectrum, a proposal designed to fabricate a more efficient gas-consuming device in a market presently dominated by natural gas promises both efficiency gains and the possibility of reductions in the wellhead price of gas. The bulk of the projects, nevertheless, may fall between the extremes, and FERC is entitled to substantial deference in its review and classification of these projects provided it reasonably addresses the considerations set out above.
For the reasons stated, we vacate the order under review and remand the case to FERC for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
. FERC has traditionally required RD & D organizations annually to submit not only their proposed expenditures for the coming year but also a five-year projection of research initiatives and expenditures. FERC requires this latter out-year information to assess more thoroughly the overall objectives of organizational programs. See 18 C.F.R. § 154.38(d)(5)(iii) (1988); Order Prescribing Changes in Accounting and Rate Treatment, 58 F.P.C. at 2243-44. Nevertheless, the Commission’s approval in any given year of the second through fifth years of a research plan is only tentative, and is subject to plenary review when FERC entertains the relevant annual budget later on. See 18 C.F.R. § 154.38(d)(5)(iv); 58 F.P.C. at 2244.
. Commission staff suggested a 1.51 Mcf surcharge, but based its recommendation on the proposed adoption of a 10-unit limit on field tests for technology applications, a suggested 50-percent manufacturer cofunding requirement for those field tests, and the elimination of two specific projects — the Climate Prediction Model and the Siljan Crater Project. The Commission more or less accepted the proposed 10-unit limitation on field tests and the elimination of the two specific projects, but rejected the cofunding requirement with an admonition to GRI that it "show demonstrable improvement in the future.” See Gas Research Institute, 40 F.E.R.C. ¶ 61,363 at 62,096-97, 62,101, 62,105-07, reh’g denied, 41 F.E.R.C. ¶ 61,314 (1987).
. The court was also presented with a challenge to FERC’s basic authority to regulate the affairs of an entity that was not a "natural gas company" within the meaning of the Act. Because GRI was acting on behalf of and in substitution for jurisdictional companies, the court rejected the argument. See Colorado, 660 F.2d at 824-25.
. We distinguished Office of Consumers' Counsel as rejecting only "extensive [Commission] supervision” and certification of large-scale alternative energy production projects. See Colorado, 660 F.2d at 827; see also Office of Consumers’ Counsel, 655 F.2d at 1147-48. Yet, in Office of Consumers' Counsel we were concerned not only with FERC’s use of its certification powers to promote synthetic fuel production, but also with the use of its ratemaking powers for such purposes. See Office of Consumers’ Counsel, 655 F.2d at 1147-49 & n. 32.
. To the extent PGC challenges the existence of a connection to a future jurisdictional sale as well, we think Colorado fairly disposes of the question.
. We note that even apart from the probability of demand-driven price increases outstripping per-unit reductions in transportation costs, FERC made no finding regarding the degree to which there exists excess capacity in the pipeline system. If available pipeline capacity is already under full utilization, new consumer demand might require ratepayer financing and construction of additional transportation networks.
. It does not appear from the record that ratepayers, in significant proportion, straddle the categories, i.e., currently use natural gas for one purpose but a different fuel, from which they might switch as a result of GRI’s projects, for another purpose. See Joint Appendix at 689 (relatively few existing ratepayers projected to purchase end-use products).
. If switching is promoted solely by reason of making new gas-saving technology available to consumers at artificially low prices (because of subsidization of development costs by captive gas consumers), it is not necessarily the case— as FERC apparently assumes — that net energy consumption will decline.
. In part because a substantial percentage of the research projects submitted by GRI for Commission approval falls within this middle category, and because we must in any event remand the case to FERC for application of the proper legal standard to GRI’s research program, we decline at this time to consider petitioner’s alternative arguments in support of "surrogate" Commission management techniques — mandatory manufacturer cofunding, increased reliance on royalty income, and the like.