PEOPLE v MARDLIN
Docket No. 139146
Supreme Court of Michigan
Argued April 13, 2010 (Calendar No. 4). Decided July 31, 2010.
487 Mich. 609
In an opinion by Justice CORRIGAN, joined by Justices WEAVER, YOUNG, and MARKMAN, the Supreme Court held:
The trial court properly admitted evidence of the previous fires because it was logically relevant under the doctrine of chances to rebut defendant‘s claim that the fire at issue was an accident and because the probative value of the evidence outweighed the danger of unfair prejudice.
- To admit evidence of other acts under
MRE 404(b) , the prosecution must first establish that the evidence is logically relevant to a material fact in the case and is not simply evidence of the defendant‘s character or relevant to his propensity to act in conformance with his character. The prosecution thus bears an initial burden to show that the proffered evidence is relevant to a proper purpose under the nonexclusive list inMRE 404(b)(1) or is otherwise probative of a fact other than the defendant‘s character or criminal propensity.MRE 404(b) is inclusionary, not exclusionary, because it provides a nonexhaustive list of reasons to properly admit evidence that may nonetheless also give rise to an inference about the defendant‘s character. Any undue prejudice that arises because the evidence reflects the defendant‘s character is thenconsidered under the MRE 403 balancing test, which permits the court to exclude relevant evidence if its probative value is substantially outweighed by the danger of unfair prejudice and to instruct the jury that it may consider the evidence only for proper, noncharacter purposes. - The doctrine of chances is a theory of logical relevance that is based on the idea that, as the number of incidents of an out-of-the-ordinary event increases in relation to a particular defendant, the objective probability increases that the charged act and the prior occurrences were not the result of natural causes. Under this theory, unusually frequent events, and particularly purported accidents, associated with a defendant and falling into the same general category of incidents are admissible to prove lack of accident or lack of innocent intent with regard to the charged event. Because this theory of relevance differs from the analysis that applies when admitting evidence of other acts to prove, for example, modus operandi, the incidents need not have a high level of similarity to the charged offense, and the fact that a defendant has innocent explanations for them does not render them inadmissible. In this case, evidence of the previous fires was admissible because the fires constituted a series of similar incidents the frequency of which objectively suggested that one or more of them was not caused by accident.
Convictions reinstated; judgment reversed and case remanded to the Court of Appeals.
Chief Justice KELLY, joined by Justices CAVANAGH and HATHAWAY, dissenting, would hold that the doctrine of chances does not apply in this case because of the dissimilarities between the previous fires and the charged fire, and that even if evidence related to the previous fires had been relevant, it would have been inadmissible under
1. EVIDENCE — DOCTRINE OF CHANCES — DEFINITION OF DOCTRINE OF CHANCES.
The doctrine of chances is a theory of logical relevance that is based on the idea that, as the number of incidents of an out-of-the-ordinary event increases in relation to a particular defendant, the objective probability increases that the charged act and the prior occurrences were not the result of natural causes.
2. EVIDENCE — DOCTRINE OF CHANCES — APPLICATION OF DOCTRINE OF CHANCES.
Unusually frequent events, and particularly purported accidents, associated with a defendant and falling into the same general
3. EVIDENCE — DOCTRINE OF CHANCES — DEGREE OF SIMILARITY TO CHARGED OFFENSE.
Previous incidents that are in the same general category as the charged offense need not have a high level of similarity to the charged offense to be admissible under the doctrine of chances.
4. EVIDENCE — DOCTRINE OF CHANCES — EXISTENCE OF INNOCENT EXPLANATIONS.
The fact that a defendant has innocent explanations for previous incidents that are in the same general category as the charged offense does not render them inadmissible under the doctrine of chances.
Michael A. Cox, Attorney General, B. Eric Restuccia, Solicitor General, Michael D. Wendling, Prosecuting Attorney, and Timothy K. Morris, Assistant Prosecuting Attorney, for the people.
Tieber Law Office (by F. Martin Tieber) for defendant.
Amicus Curiae:
Terrence E. Dean for the Prosecuting Attorneys Association of Michigan.
CORRIGAN, J. The Court of Appeals erroneously concluded that evidence of an unusual number of prior fires—each associated with property owned or controlled by defendant—was inadmissible in this arson case in which defendant was accused of intentionally starting a fire in his home. Because the evidence was not offered to prove defendant‘s bad character or his propensity to act in conformity with a bad character, the trial court correctly concluded that
I. FACTS AND PROCEEDINGS
Defendant admitted that he was the only person present at his home just before it caught fire on the afternoon of November 13, 2006. He left the premises to visit his brother shortly before the fire was reported by neighbors. After the fire, defendant filed an insurance claim seeking compensation for the damage to his home. The investigating police detective and a fire investigator for defendant‘s insurer both concluded that the fire had been intentionally set and originated from a love seat in the living room. Accordingly, the prosecution charged defendant with arson of a dwelling house,
The jury indeed concluded from all the evidence that defendant intentionally set the November 2006 fire. It convicted him, as charged, of arson of a dwelling house and burning insured property. The trial court sentenced defendant to concurrent prison terms of 3 to 20 years and 1 to 10 years.
The prosecution applied in this Court for leave to appeal the Court of Appeals decision. We granted leave and directed the parties to address
whether evidence provided under the “doctrine of chances” may be used to establish that a fire did not have a natural or accidental cause, and whether more than the mere occurrence of other fires involving the defendant‘s property is necessary for admission of such evidence.3
II. STANDARD OF REVIEW
A trial court‘s discretionary decisions concerning whether to admit or exclude evidence “will not be disturbed absent an abuse of that discretion.”4 When the decision involves a preliminary question of law, however, such as whether a rule of evidence precludes admission, we review the question de novo.5
III. MRE 404(b)(1)
Evidence of other crimes, wrongs, or acts is not admissible to prove the character of a person in order to show action in conformity therewith. It may, however, be admissible for other purposes, such as proof of motive, opportunity, intent, preparation, scheme, plan, or system in doing an act, knowledge, identity, or absence of mistake or
accident when the same is material, whether such other crimes, wrongs, or acts are contemporaneous with, or prior or subsequent to the conduct at issue in the case.
To admit evidence under
IV. THE DOCTRINE OF CHANCES
The doctrine of chances—also known as the “doctrine of objective improbability“—is a ” ‘theory of logical relevance [that] does not depend on a character inference.’ ”13 Under this theory, as the number of incidents of an out-of-the-ordinary event increases in relation to a particular defendant, the objective probability increases that the charged act and/or the prior occurrences were not the result of natural causes. The doctrine is commonly
The man who wins the lottery once is envied; the one who wins it twice is investigated. It is not every day that one‘s wife is murdered; it is more uncommon still that the murder occurs after the wife says she wants a divorce; and more unusual still that the jilted husband collects on a life insurance policy with a double-indemnity provision. That the same individual should later collect on exactly the same sort of policy after the grisly death of a business partner who owed him money raises eyebrows; the odds of the same individual reaping the benefits, within the space of three years, of two grisly murders of people he had reason to be hostile toward seem incredibly low, certainly low enough to support an inference that the windfalls were the product of design rather than the vagaries of chance.... This inference is purely objective, and has nothing to do with a subjective assessment of [the defendant‘s] character.15
The seminal English case employing the doctrine, Rex v Smith16, acknowledged that evidence of past
adduce evidence tending to shew [sic] that the accused has been guilty of criminal acts other than those covered by the indictment, for the purpose of leading to the conclusion that the accused is a person likely, from his criminal conduct or character, to have committed the offence [sic] for which he is being tried. On the other hand, the mere fact that the evidence adduced tends to shew [sic] the commission of other crimes does not render it inadmissible if it be relevant to an issue before the jury....20
Thus, the evidence that several of the defendant‘s wives had drowned in their baths was properly admitted “for the purpose of shewing [sic] the design of the [defendant].”21 The court also observed that the judge was appropriately “careful to point out to the jury the use they could properly make of the evidence.”22
The doctrine of chances is often similarly employed in cases alleging arson to argue that the fire at issue was
Based on ordinary common sense and mundane human experience it is unlikely that a large number of similar accidents will befall the same victim in a short period of time. Considered in isolation, the charged fire. ... may be easily explicable as an accident. However, when all similar incidents are considered collectively or in the aggregate, they amount to an extraordinary coincidence; and the doctrine of chances can create an inference of human design. The recurrence of similar incidents incrementally reduces the possibility of accident. The improbability of a coincidence of acts creates an objective probability of an actus reus. [1 Imwinkelried, Uncharged Misconduct Evidence (rev ed, March 2008 supp), § 4:3, pp 4-42 and 4-43.]
V. APPLICATION TO THIS CASE
The fires here were admissible precisely because they constituted a series of similar incidents—fires involving homes and vehicles owned or controlled by defendant—the frequency of which23 objectively suggested that one or more of the fires was not caused by accident. The Court of Appeals principally erred by incorrectly assum-
To the contrary, application of the doctrine of chances “varies with the issue for which it is offered.”24 As with all arguments involving prior acts or events, the “method of analysis to be employed depends on the purpose of the offer and its logical relevance.”25 The acts or events need not bear striking similarity to the offense charged if the theory of relevance does not itself center on similarity. As the VanderVliet Court explained:
“If we ask, does [the] misconduct have to exhibit striking similarity with the misconduct being investigated, the answer is, only if similarity is relied on. Otherwise not. There are only two classes of case[s] [those in which similarity is relied on and those in which it is not], and they do not depend on the nature of the evidence, but on the nature of the argument.”26
Crawford, in which the Court stressed similarity, did not involve a series of purported accidents as here. Rather, there the prosecution offered evidence of a past
Suppose that the defendant is charged with arson. The defendant claims that the fire was accidental. The cases routinely permit the prosecutor to show other acts of arson by the defendant and even nonarson fires at premises owned by the defendant. In these cases, the courts invoke the doctrine of objective chances. The courts reason that as the number of incidents increases, the objective probability of accident decreases. Simply stated, it is highly unlikely that a single person would be victimized by so many similar accidental fires....38
Accordingly, here the Court of Appeals erred by basing its analysis on its conclusion that the past fires were not highly similar to the charged fire due largely to the lack of definitive proof that defendant intentionally set the past fires. Because defendant owned or controlled all the burned property,39 the unusual number of past fires was classically relevant to defendant‘s claim
In sum, the past fires were logically relevant to the objective probability that the November 2006 fire was intentionally set. Thus, the fires were admissible to negate defendant‘s claim that the fire was a mere accident.44
developing similar health conditions at an unusual rate; here—property controlled by defendant catching fire at an unusual rate).
But these explanations do not render evidence of the past fires inadmissible. Rather, the very function of the doctrine of chances is to permit the introduction of events that might appear accidental in isolation, but that suggest human design when viewed in the aggregate. Because the prosecution‘s noncharacter theory for admission was sound, the evidence was admissible.47
The trial court could also take into account defendant‘s claims of innocence with regard to the fires in
inference that the windfalls were the product of design rather than the vagaries of chance ... [and] [t]his inference is purely objective, and has nothing to do with a subjective assessment of [the defendant‘s] character“) (emphasis added).
No such abuse occurred here. As explained above, first, the prior fires were highly, objectively relevant to defendant‘s claim that all five fires, including the November 2006 fire, were mere accidents. Second, the amount of “unfair prejudice,”
Indeed, defendant‘s insistence—echoed by the Court of Appeals and the dissent—that there was no proof he
Indeed, the dissent‘s approach here threatens to contradict this Court‘s critical observation that
Finally, the trial court correctly instructed the jury to consider the evidence only for proper, noncharacter purposes pursuant to
VI. CONCLUSION
The trial court properly admitted evidence of the past fires, which were logically relevant particularly to rebut defendant‘s claim that the November 2006 fire was a mere accident. The Court of Appeals erroneously held that a high degree of similarity between past acts or events and the crime charged is necessary in order for evidence of the past events to be admissible. To the contrary, precedent examining
We do not retain jurisdiction.
WEAVER, YOUNG, and MARKMAN, JJ., concurred with CORRIGAN, J.
KELLY, C.J. (dissenting). Defendant was accused of setting fire to his house and charged with arson of a dwelling house and burning insured property. The question presented is whether evidence of four fires with which defendant had some connection in the preceding 12 years was properly admitted at trial under the doctrine of chances to prove lack of accident.
I believe that the doctrine does not apply in this case because of the dissimilarities between the previous fires and the charged fire. Furthermore, even if the previous fires were relevant, any probative value they have is substantially outweighed by the danger of unfair prejudice. Hence, the evidence is inadmissible under
FACTS AND PROCEDURAL HISTORY
After a seven-day trial, a jury convicted defendant of arson of a dwelling house,
During trial, the prosecution presented evidence that defendant and his family were having financial difficulties at the time of the fire. They were in arrears on their mortgage payments and several utility bills. The prosecution also presented evidence of previous fires involving property that defendant had at one time owned or possessed. It is this evidence that is at issue here.
The first fire occurred in 1994, 12 years earlier. Defendant‘s Ford Ranger caught fire while he and friends were ice fishing. The truck was insured under defendant‘s father‘s name, but defendant was paying for it. Defendant continued to make payments on the truck loan afterwards because the insurance coverage did not extend to the entire amount owing on the vehicle.
The second fire took place in 2001. At that time, defendant owned an older van that had many mechanical problems. The van caught on fire and the fire spread to defendant‘s mobile home. The fire chief for Bruce Township determined that the fire started under the hood of the van. There was only a small insurance payment for the damage to the van, and the damage to defendant‘s home was not covered by insurance. The fire chief found nothing suspicious about the fire.
The last fire occurred in 2006 at defendant‘s residence. It allegedly started when one of defendant‘s roommates left a blanket on top of a kerosene heater. The fire department was not called, and the fire caused only smoke damage. Defendant received insurance benefits for this fire.1
The prosecutor sought to introduce evidence of the 2006 fire at defendant‘s home, the 2001 vehicle fire that spread to defendant‘s mobile home, and the 1994 truck fire. The purpose was to demonstrate a pattern of behavior, motive, scheme, plan, and system in causing the fires.
The trial court ruled that the evidence could be admitted under
Defendant was convicted as charged. He was sentenced to concurrent prison terms of 3 to 20 years for the arson of a dwelling house conviction and 1 to 10 years for the burning of insured property conviction.
On appeal, the Court of Appeals held that the trial court abused its discretion by admitting the other acts evidence of the four fires with which defendant was associated.2 It agreed with defendant that the prosecutor had not established its relevance. The Court of Appeals considered and rejected each of the prosecutor‘s proffered bases for admission of the evidence under
On the prosecution‘s application, this Court granted leave to appeal and directed the parties to address “whether evidence provided under the ‘doctrine of chances’ may be used to establish that a fire did not have a natural or accidental cause, and whether more than the mere occurrence of other fires involving the
MRE 404(b)—THE ADMISSION OF OTHER ACTS EVIDENCE
The decision to admit or exclude evidence is within the trial court‘s discretion and will not be disturbed absent an abuse of that discretion. An abuse occurs if the trial court chooses an outcome falling outside the range of principled outcomes.4 Preliminary questions of law, such as whether a rule of evidence precludes admissibility, are reviewed de novo.5
The admission of evidence under
THE DOCTRINE OF CHANCES
The doctrine of chances is used to establish the relevancy of certain types of past acts evidence and to avoid the prohibition against character evidence.10 Basically, it states that, when someone suffers a specific type of accident with extraordinary frequency, it is objectively probable that one or more of the incidents were not accidents. A treatise describes it as follows:
Based on ordinary common sense and mundane human experience it is unlikely that a large number of similar accidents will befall the same victim in a short period of time. Considered in isolation, the charged fire... may be easily explicable as an accident. However, when all similar incidents are considered collectively or in the aggregate, they amount to an extraordinary coincidence; and the doctrine of chances can create an inference of human design. The recurrence of similar incidents incrementally reduces the possibility of accident. The improbability of a coincidence of act creates an objective probability of an actus reus.11
The doctrine of chances has been traced to the 1915 English case of Rex v Smith.12 The defendant, Smith,
The appellate court held that the evidence had been properly admitted. In affirming the conviction, it “focused on the objective improbability of so many similar accidents befalling Smith. Either Smith was one of the unluckiest persons alive, or one or some of the deaths in question were the product of an actus reus.”13
The seminal American case that accepted the doctrine of chances as a noncharacter basis for admitting other acts evidence is a 1973 case of the United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, United States v Woods.14 The defendant in Woods was convicted of first-degree murder and numerous other assaultive charges relating to the death of her eight-month-old pre-adoptive foster son. He began suffering from breathing difficulties and cyanosis shortly after going to live with the defendant. On appeal, she argued that the government had improperly used evidence of other acts involving her care of her other nine children.15
To prove that the child‘s death was neither accidental nor from natural causes, the prosecution introduced the
The appellate court found that the evidence had been properly admitted, ruling that it would prove that a crime had been committed because of the remoteness of the possibility that so many infants in the care and custody of defendant would suffer cyanotic episodes and respiratory difficulties if they were not induced by defendant‘s wrongdoing, and at the same time, would prove the identity of defendant as the wrongdoer.16
Another case, United States v York, explains clearly how the doctrine of chances can be applied to negate innocent intent:
The man who wins the lottery once is envied; the one who wins it twice is investigated. It is not every day that one‘s wife is murdered; it is more uncommon still that the murder occurs after the wife says she wants a divorce; and more unusual still that the jilted husband collects on a life insurance policy with a double-indemnity provision. That the same individual should later collect on exactly the same sort of policy after the grisly death of a business partner who owed him money raises eyebrows; the odds of the same individual reaping the benefits, within the space of three years, of two grisly murders of people he had reason to be hostile toward seem incredibly low, certainly low enough to support an inference that the windfalls were the product of design rather than the vagaries of chance.17
These cases stand for the proposition that evidence of other bad acts can be admissible when its logical relevance is not necessarily linked to an impermissible
This Court addressed the doctrine of chances in People v Crawford, recognizing that the doctrine is “widely accepted.”20 The defendant in Crawford was convicted of possession with intent to distribute cocaine. The prosecution was allowed to introduce evidence of a previous conviction of the same type. On appeal, this Court stated that “the prosecutor must ‘make persuasive showings that each uncharged incident is similar to the charged offense and that the accused has been involved in such incidents more frequently than the typical person,‘” and that “the applicability of the doctrine of chances depends on the similarity between the defendant‘s prior conviction and the crime for which he stands charged.”21
In Crawford, the prior conviction was for the sale of cocaine to an undercover police officer.22 The defendant‘s pending charges stemmed from an incident where the police stopped the defendant for a routine traffic violation and discovered cocaine in his vehicle.23 Although both his earlier conviction and the act
The prior conviction only demonstrates that the defendant has been around drugs in the past and, thus, is the kind of person who would knowingly possess and intend to deliver large amounts of cocaine.... Defendant‘s prior conviction was mere character evidence masquerading as evidence of “knowledge” and “intent.”24
A majority of this Court also touched on the doctrine of chances in People v VanderVliet.25 There, the defendant had been charged with second-degree criminal sexual conduct for incidents involving clients of the company where he worked as a case manager. The defendant denied any sexual contact with one victim and claimed his contact with the second victim was accidental. A third victim was discovered during the investigation.
The prosecution sought to introduce testimony of all three victims. The trial court held that the acts involving the other victims were not admissible in either of the pending cases. The Court of Appeals affirmed. A majority of this Court reversed the decision and held that the testimony of the first victim was relevant to show that the touching of the second victim was not accidental or inadvertent. A majority of this Court stated that
[e]vidence of both of the alleged assaults is logically relevant and probative of the defendant‘s intent in the [second] case because it negates the otherwise reasonable assumption that the contact described in testimony by [the
second victim] was accidental, as opposed to being for the purpose of sexual gratification.26
APPLICABILITY OF THE DOCTRINE OF CHANCES TO THE PRESENT CASE
Crawford is instructive here. Under Crawford, the prosecution must make persuasive showings that (1) the past incidents are sufficiently similar to the charged offense to warrant admission, and (2) the accused has been involved in such incidents more frequently than the typical person.27 The prosecutor has failed to meet the similarity prong in this case.
Defendant‘s involvement in four fires in the span of 12 years is more frequent than the typical person experiences. Therefore, the prosecution has satisfied the second prong of Crawford for admitting the evidence under the doctrine of chances.
However, the prosecutor has failed to persuasively show a sufficient factual nexus between the prior fires and the charged offense. Crawford makes it clear that similarity is a key factor in determining the applicability of the doctrine of chances. All four fires in this case involved property that defendant either owned or possessed. However, three of them involved unexplained vehicle fires, one of which concerned his employer‘s vehicle. The fourth fire caused smoke damage to defendant‘s dwelling and was admittedly caused by the defendant‘s roommate when he left a blanket on a kerosene heater.
The prosecution repeatedly stated in its closing argument that it did not have to prove the origin or the
The prosecution has not shown sufficient similarity between the prior fires and the charged fire. No evidence was offered to show the cause of the vehicle fires. Likewise, no evidence was presented linking the fires, such as a common type of accelerant. The charged fire was a house fire and was allegedly started by the use of an accelerant on the living room love seat. Furthermore, it is worth noting that sometime before the charged fire, defendant substantially reduced the insurance coverage on his house.
The decision whether to apply the doctrine of chances is made on a case-by-case basis considering the particular facts of the case. This Court noted in Crawford that if the defendant‘s “prior crime involved the concealment of drugs in the dashboard of his car (as the charged crime did), that evidence would likely be admissible under the doctrine of chances because of the stark similarity of the two crimes.”28
Likewise, in the present case, if the past fires were similar, whether in time, location, or other characteristics, they would likely have been admissible. I am hesitant to adopt a bright-line rule as to what constitutes a sufficient nexus between the past and the
I strongly disagree with the majority‘s position that the past fires were admissible to negate defendant‘s claim that the fire was a mere accident. First, the majority claims that the other acts must be only of “the same general category.” This is contrary both to Crawford, as discussed earlier, and to Rex v Smith, the case that gave birth to the doctrine. Similarity was essential in Rex v Smith: the defendant‘s previous two wives were found drowned in the bathtub, just as was Smith‘s present wife.30 Also, in Woods: nine children under the defendant‘s care suffered at least 20 episodes of cyanosis, and seven of these children died. The defendant was on trial for the murder of her eight-year-old son who died the same way.31 A showing of similarity should be essential in the case on appeal, as well.
To allow prior acts evidence under the doctrine of chances whenever someone has the misfortune of being connected to an event of “the same general category” eviscerates the concept that “in our system of jurisprudence we try cases, rather than persons....” 32 Furthermore, a majority of this Court in VanderVliet cautioned that using unlikely coincidence to prove the actus reus
Because the evidence of the past fires in this case was not admissible under
MRE 403
Even if the evidence of the previous fires were relevant, I would exclude it under
In determining admissibility [under
MRE 403 ] the court must balance many factors including: the time necessary for presenting the evidence and the potential for delay; how directly it tends to prove the fact in support of which it is offered; whether it would be a needless presentation of cumulative evidence; how important or trivial the fact sought to be proved is; the potential for confusion of the issues or misleading the jury; and whether the fact sought to be proved can be proved in another way involving fewer harmful collateral effects.34
Evidence is unfairly prejudicial if a danger exists that the jury will give marginally probative evidence undue or preemptive weight.35 Under Oliphant and Crawford, whether the charged act is similar to the uncharged act is important when determining the probative value of
The potential prejudice of introducing the other fires in this case was great. In fact, as long as it was not carefully examined, it was the best evidence that the prosecution had against defendant. The only substantive evidence against him was the fire investigators’ testimony and a possible motive established by his need for money. When presenting her case, the prosecutor came back repeatedly to the previous fires. It is likely that the jury drew the unsubstantiated inference that defendant had the propensity to start fires.
In Crawford, this Court made a similar determination regarding the defendant‘s prior drug conviction, stating:
Even if we were to find that the evidence of the defendant‘s prior conviction had some logical relevance distinct from the impermissible character inference, we would nonetheless conclude that it should have been excluded by
MRE 403 because the danger of unfair prejudice substantially outweighed whatever marginal probative value it might have had.36
This Court added that “the specter of impermissible character evidence is likely to have significantly overshadowed any legitimate probative value.”37 The evidence at issue in Crawford was a prior conviction, which is arguably more prejudicial than the prior fires in this case because the prior drug offense was attributable to the defendant. In this case, it was only implied that defendant committed the prior fires. However, I believe similar logic applies.
Therefore, the prosecution could have attempted to make its case for an intentional act without using past acts evidence that involved harmful collateral effects.40 Given that the prior fires were dissimilar to the charged fire, the evidence about them was unnecessary to prove lack of accident, and its probative value was minimal.
However, because “[t]he distinction between a verboten character theory and a permissible chances theory is a thin line which a lay juror could easily lose sight of,”41 I think that the prejudicial effect was high. There was little evidence connecting defendant to the
Finally, although the trial court gave a limiting instruction to the jury, because of the slight probative value of the evidence, the instruction was likely ineffective. As one critic of the doctrine has noted “such a limiting instruction does more to satisfy legal scholasticism than to direct the minds of real jurors” because “[t]o the ordinary human mind, the division between the prescribed and the proscribed uses [of the uncharged misconduct evidence] may be a bit difficult to perceive.”43
Thus, the evidence of the other fires was inadmissible under
HARMLESS ERROR
I agree with the Court of Appeals that the improper introduction of the evidence was not harmless. The evidence against defendant was not overwhelming and the prosecution relied substantially on the prior fires to argue the charged fire must have been intentional.44
The prosecution argued in closing that defendant had a “pattern” of fires and that the prior fires were important to show his knowledge of fires and his intent. As a result, I agree with the Court of Appeals that the prosecution “relied substantially on the number of prior fires to argue that the charged fire must have been intentionally set by defendant.”45 Because of this, there was a high chance that the evidence of the other fires affected the outcome.
CONCLUSION
The evidence of past fires that was introduced at trial was improper character evidence and it was therefore not relevant. I would not carve out an exception to admit the evidence under the doctrine of chances given the dissimilarities between the past fires and the charged fire. The past-fires evidence was also inadmissible under
Accordingly, the Court of Appeals properly remanded this case for a new trial.
CAVANAGH and HATHAWAY, JJ., concurred with KELLY, C.J.
