OPINION AND ORDER GRANTING IN PART AND DENYING IN PART THE MOTIONS TO DISMISS, DISMISSING CLAIM III WITHOUT PREJUDICE, AND DISMISSING ALL OTHER CLAIMS WITH PREJUDICE
Plaintiffs, a group of registered Michigan Democrats, bring this action challenging Michigan’s 2001 congressional redistricting plan. They name Candice S. Miller, in her official capacity as Michigan’s Secretary of State, and Christopher M. Thomas, in his official capacity as Michigan’s Director of Elections, as defendants. The Michigan Republican Party, Patrick Miller, Andrew Pettress, and James L. Palaske have intervened as defendants.
Pursuant to Rule 12(b)(6) and 12(c) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure, defendants request that this court dismiss plaintiffs’ lawsuit for failure to state a claim upon which reliеf can be granted. We grant defendants’ motions in part, dismiss plaintiffs’ equal protection claim without prejudice, dismiss plaintiffs’ remaining claims with prejudice, and grant plaintiffs leave to amend their complaint within thirty days of the date of this Order. 1
I.
Assuming the truth of plaintiffs’ factual allegations and construing the inferences from those allegations in the light most favorable to plaintiffs, the relevant facts are as follows.
On July 11, 2001, the Michigan legislature, by a virtual straight party-line vote, passed the congressional redistricting plan that is the subject of this lawsuit. On September 11, 2001, Michigan’s governor signed the bill containing the challenged plan into law.
The districts in existence prior to the challenged plan’s enactment were drawn in 1992 by a three-judge district court.
See Good v. Austin,
Moreover, the margin by which Democrats carried the statewide vote increased from sevеn percentage points in 1996 (53.5% to 46.5%) to slightly more than nine percentage points in 2000. Given this increased margin, and given our obligation to construe the facts in the light most favorable to plaintiffs, we conclude for the purposes of our decision today that the Michigan electorate has been trending Democratic in recent years.
Despite the increasing majority of Democratic voters in Michigan, Republicans are likely to win ten of Michigan’s fifteen congressional seats under the challenged plan. On the basis of this disproportionate *854 representation and its potential to continue for a prolonged period of time, plaintiffs claim that the challenged plan violates several provisions of the United States Constitution: Article I, sections 2 and 4 (as amended by section 2 of the Fourteenth Amendment), the Equal Protection Clause and the Privileges and Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, and the First Amendment.
Plaintiffs also claim that the challenged plan limits the voting strength of Michigan’s — staunchly Democratic — African-American voters by dispersing African-American populations throughout Republican districts. Plaintiffs, concеde, however, that no African-Americans residing outside of Wayne County could conceivably reside in a majority-minority district and do not claim that the “dilution” of African American voting strength stems from racial — as opposed to political' — ’animus. Nevertheless, plaintiffs claim that the challenged plan violates the Fifteenth Amendment and section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, 42 U.S.C. § 1973.
In addition to the purported deficiencies laid out above, plaintiffs claim the challenged plan’s legitimacy is impaired by a host of procedural defects accompanying its enactment. The Michigan Supreme Court, however, resolved plaintiffs’ procedural claims against them in
LeRoux v. Secretary of State,
II.
The standard for dismissal under Rule 12(b)(6) is identical to that for judgment on the pleadings under Rule 12(c).
Mixon v. State of Ohio,
A.
Our analysis of plaintiffs’ equal protection claim begins with the Supreme Court’s decision in
Davis v. Bandemer,
The defendants appealed to the Supreme Court, arguing that the case was nonjusticiable and that the plaintiffs had failed to state a cognizable equal protection claim.
Id.
at 118,
The Supreme Court found that partisan gerrymandering claims are justi-ciable under the Equal Protection Clause, but it rejected the district court’s conclusion that the plaintiffs stated a cognizable equal protection claim. A plurality of the Court stated that to prevail on a valid partisan gerrymandering claim the plaintiff must prove “[1] intentional discrimination [2] against an identifiable political group and [3] an actual discriminatory effect on that group.”
2
Id.
at 127, 106 S.Ct.
*855
2797. Having identified these elements, the plurality allowed as how the requirements “may be difficult of application.”
Id.
at 142,
Here, like in
Bandemer,
the first two elements are easily satisfied. Defendants do not contest the intentional discrimination element.
Cf id.
at 129,
It was in defining the third element — “an aсtual discriminatory effect”— that the Supreme Court reflected its reluctance to interfere with an essentially political — although justiciable — controversy which infuses all partisan gerrymandering cases. The Court acknowledged “the delicacy of intruding on this most political of legislative functions,”
id.
at 143,
It is the task of the courts, then, to distinguish between those partisan redistricting plans which are merely unfair, as this one is alleged to be, and those which are unconstitutional. Drawing our guidance from Bandemer, we find that the allegations in the amended complaint do not adequately state that Michigan’s redistricting plan will cause an actual discriminatory effect which results in a violation of the Equal Protection Clause.
Bandemer’s
standard for demonstrating an “actual discriminatory effect” is somewhat murky. The plurality’s most definitive articulation of the requirements is as follows: “[(Unconstitutional discrimination occurs only when the electoral system is arranged in a manner that will
consistently degrade
a voter’s or a group of voters’
influence on the political process as a whole.” Id.
at 110,
In terms of the details underlying such proof, the
Bandemer
plurality never offered a checklist of features which together would comprise a systemic frustration of majority will. Rather, the Court found the lower court’s conclusion unsupported because there was no finding that the election results in that case were preordained by Indiana’s reapportionment act, especially in a “swing state” where block voting is not the unalterable norm and future election results could differ. Thus, there was no proof that the complaining group would retain minority status throughout the decade or that it had “no hope” of improving its fate in the next reapportionment.
See id.
at 135-36,
In other words, disproportionate election results will not establish a constitutionally infirm districting plan without a showing of some substantial permanency to the arrangement that cannot be overcome through the political process. In ordering this requirement, the Court’s focus was not on the political party but on the voters (or group of voters) who are denied the oppоrtunity to participate — are essentially “shut out of the political process” — and who cannot achieve fair representation without the intervention of the courts.
Id.
at 136-37,
The plaintiffs in this case have not alleged that they have been shut out of the process or that the challenged congressional redistricting рlan is one from which they cannot recover or substantially improve upon. For instance, in Bandemer, gubernatorial approval was necessary to sign an Indiana reapportionment bill into law. Because gubernatorial elections are determined by statewide races, which are presumably immune to gerrymandering of any sort, the
Bandemer
plaintiffs’ chances of ‘doing better’ in the next reapportionment could similarly turn on circumstances beyond the actual effects of a partisan gerrymander, but wholly congruent with voter will.
3
Thus, the requirement of “permanenсy” is not significantly less applicable to plaintiffs’ claim than it was to the claims of the
Bandemer
plaintiffs.
Cf. Terrazas v. Slagle,
Therefore, absent proof of discriminatory effect through some other avenue, *857 plaintiffs’ allegations cannоt support a cognizable equal protection claim.
In rejecting both the district court’s view and Justice Powell’s concurring view as to what constitutes a cognizable equal protection claim, the Bandemer plurality-suggested two alternative avenues through which plaintiffs could state a cognizable claim: (1) alleging that the challenged plan resulted in their complete exclusion from the political process or (2) alleging that elected officials would be wholly indifferent to plaintiffs’ interests. 4 Because plaintiffs do not claim that victorious Republican candidates would be indifferent to the interests of their Democratic constituents or that they have been completely shut-out of the political process, they fail to state an equal protection claim upon which relief can be granted.
1.
The
Bandemer
district court found discriminatory effects sufficient to sustain an equal protection claim after the plaintiffs demonstrated that the proportion of Democratic candidates elected in the first election using the 1981 plan’s districts did not correspond to the percentage of votes garnered by Demоcrats. The
Bandemer
plurality, however, rejected the notion that disproportionate representation alone could satisfy the discriminatory effects requirement. In rejecting the district court’s conclusion, the plurality noted that in cases involving individual multimember districts, in which the Court had found an equal protection violation, the Court had available evidence suggesting that the excluded groups had “less opportunity to participate in the political process and to elect candidates of their choice.”
Id.
at 131,
Thus, Bandemer suggests that disproportionate representation combined with actual proof that elected officials would ignore the interests of the excluded group would satisfy its discriminatory effects requirement. Accordingly, plaintiffs’ allegations of disproportionate election rеsults, unaccompanied as they are by evidence of Republican indifference to Democratic citizen interests, cannot sustain plaintiffs’ claim.
2.
In his concurring
Bandemer
opinion, Justice Powell suggested that a partisan gerrymandering plaintiff could establish an equal protection violation by demonstrating that the district boundaries were drawn solely to achieve partisan goals.
See Bandemer,
Here, plaintiffs do not allege that they have been “essentially shut out of Michigan’s political process.”
Plaintiffs do not allege (1) that they have no chance of obtaining more favorable congressional districts in the next reapportionment; (2) that Republican candidates would be indifferent to the interests of Democratic citizens; or (3) that the challenged plan would result in Dеmocrats being essentially “shut out” of the political process; therefore, plaintiffs do not state a cognizable equal protection claim. Nor does the amended complaint contain allegations from which these consequences could be inferred. 5
*859
In
Bandemer,
the plurality expressed its confidence in our “abilities to distinguish between disproportionality
per se
and the lack of fair representation that continued disproportionality in conjunction with other indicia may demonstrate.”
Bandemer,
Mindful of Bandemer’s murky nature and the relatively lenient standard for surviving a motion to dismiss, we will dismiss plaintiffs’ equal protection claim without prejudice. Plaintiffs may file a complaint, amended to state a claim under our Ban-demer analysis, within thirty days of the issuance of this Order.
B.
Article I, section four provides, “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.” U.S. Const., art I., § 4. Plaintiffs claim that the challenged plan represents an unconstitutional abuse of legislative power under section 4.
A state’s power to subdivide itself into districts, however, does not stem from section 4. Rather, it stems from Article I, section 2, which provides “Representatives ... Shall be Apportioned Among the Several States.”
See also
U.S. Const., amend. XIV, § 2;
Growe v. Emison,
Because section 2 governs intrastate redistricting, section 4’s only applicability results from the Supreme Court’s admonition that states may not use section 4 to “immunize” аction that would otherwise be unconstitutional.
See Wesberry v. Sanders,
Accordingly, we dismiss Claim I with prejudice. 6
C.
Plaintiffs claim that the challenged plan violates their “freedoms of speech and
*860
association in violation of the First Amendment of the United States Constitution.” Partisan gerrymandering by itself, however, does not support either a freedom of speech or a freedom of association claim.
See, e.g., Washington v. Finlay,
Accordingly, we dismiss Claim II with prejudice.
D.
The Privileges and Immunities Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment provides, “No State shall make or еnforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States.” U.S. Const., amend XIV, § 1. For some time, the Privileges and Immunities Clause has been treated as “essentially dormant.”
See, e.g., Pope,
We can find no overt support for the proposition that the Privileges and Immunities Clause protects the right to fair representation or the right to an effective vote.
Cf. Pope,
E.
In
Thornburg v. Gingles,
1. “[T]he minority group must be able to demоnstrate that it is sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member district.”
2. “[T]he minority group must be able to show that it is politically cohesive.”
3. “[T]he minority must be able to demonstrate that the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it ... usually to defeat the minority’s preferred candidate.”
Id.; see also Voinovich v. Quilter,
Plaintiffs admit that “[o]utside of Wayne County, blacks in Michigan would *861 not reside in a majority-black district under any redistricting plan.” Moreover, plaintiffs acknоwledge that, under the challenged plan, “the entire African Ameri-can population of Detroit [in Wayne County] has been placed in two districts (the Thirteenth and Fourteenth) that offer ample opportunity to elect black-preferred candidates.” (emphasis added). Thus, minority voters cannot demonstrate that their numbers are sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member district, other than in the two districts where they have “ample opportunity to elect black-preferred candidates.”
In an effort to salvage their moribund section 2 claim, plaintiffs argue that the challenged plan’s failure to construct districts that would permit minorities to “have a significant impact on congressional elections” constitutes a section 2 violation.
The Supreme Court has not expressly decided whether section 2 permits influence claims.
See Voinovich,
Because plaintiffs cannot satisfy the Gingles preconditions and because we do not recognize “influence” claims, plaintiffs cannot state a claim under the Voting Rights Act. Accordingly, we dismiss Claim VII with prejudice.
F.
The Fifteenth Amendment states, “The right of citizens of the United States to vote shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any State on account of race, color or previous condition of servitude.” U.S. Const, amend XV, § 1. As discussed above, plaintiffs cannot state a cognizable vote dilution claim; therefore, we need not address whether the Fifteenth Amendment covers plaintiffs’ vote dilution claim. Because plaintiffs do not allege racial animus, they cannot state a cognizable claim under the Fifteenth Amendment.
City of Mobile, Alabama v. Bolden,
III.
It is ORDERED that plaintiffs’ equal protection claim is dismissed without prejudice and plaintiffs’ remaining claims are dismissed with prejudice. Plaintiffs may amend their complaint within thirty days of the date of this Order. If plaintiffs do not amend their Complaint within 30 days, the matter shall be closed, and further challenges to the redistricting рlan based on new evidence after subsequent elections, if any, shall require a new filing. Our determination today does not change the application of our April 24, 2002, Order imposing a June 11, 2002, deadline for receiving nominating petitions, which remains in full force and effect.
Notes
. Because 42 U.S.C. § 1983 is not a source of substantive rights, we do not address plaintiffs' section 1983 claim.
See Albright v. Oliver,
. A fragmented Court decided
Bandemer.
Because the opinion of
Bandemer's
four justice
*855
plurality provides the narrowest ground in support of its judgment, this court is bound by the plurality's reasoning.
See Marks v. United States,
. As opposed to identifying an actual
effect
of a partisan gerrymander, the "no chance of doing better” requirement seems to reflect the plurality’s notions of judicial restraint.
Cf. Bandemer,
. Both alternate showings stem from the Court's earlier decisions involving racial gerrymandering claims in individual multimem-ber districts. The
Bandemer
plurality recognized the distinction between claims brought by minority and majority plaintiff groups.
See Bandemer,
Nevertheless, the
Bandemer
plurality did not suggest that the district context renders those showings inapplicable to majority party claims. Indeed, some courts have read the plurality's suggestion that these alternаte proofs were
sufficient
to support an equal protection claim to indicate that such proofs were also
necessary
to an equal protection claim.
See, e.g., Badham v. March Fong Eu,
We agree that a showing of this magnitude might be necessary when the plaintiffs seek to attack the design of a particular district with respect to contiguity, compactness, or other design factors that could, if sufficiently egregious, in fact interfere with core party functions or constituents' ability to influence their congress person.
See, e.g., Pope v. Blue,
. The plaintiffs also claim that the Supreme Court in
Shaw v. Reno,
It would be idle, we think, to contend that any political consideration taken into account in fashioning a reapportionment plan is sufficient to invalidate it. Our cases indicate quite the contrary. The very essence of districting is to produce a different — a more 'politically fair’ — result than would be reached with elections at large, in which the winning party would take 100% of the legislative seats. Politics and political considerations are inseparable from districting and apportionment. The political profile of a State, its party registration, and voting records are available precinct by precinct, ward by ward. These subdivisions may not be identical with census tracts, but, when overlaid on a census map, it requires no special genius to recognize the political consequences of drawing a district line along one street rather than another. It is not only оbvious, but absolutely unavoidable, that the location and shape of districts may well determine the political complexion of the area. District lines are rarely neutral phenomena. They can well deter *859 mine what district will be predominantly Democratic or predominantly Republican, or make a close race likely. Redistricting may pit incumbents against one another or make very difficult the election of the most experienced legislator. The reality is that districting inevitably has and is intended to have substantial political consequences.
Gaffney v. Cummings,
. Because section 2 does not protect against partisan gerrymandering, see
Anne Arundel County Republican Central Committee v. State Administrative Board of Election Laws,
