The State of Oregon appeals a district court order declaring Or.Rev.Stat. § 280.070(4)(a) unconstitutional and permanently limiting its enforcement. Section 280.070(4)(a) requires that ballots for initiatives proposing local option taxes include a statement: “This measure may cause property taxes to increase more than three percent.” The district court deemed this requirement constitutionally infirm, concluding that inclusion of the “three-percent warning” violated appellee Michael Caruso’s First Amendment rights as a petition circulator and his due process rights as a voter. We conclude that the requirement does not violate the U.S. Constitution, reverse the decision of the district court, and vacate the injunction limiting enforcement of section 280.070(4)(a).
I. BACKGROUND
The Oregon Constitution reserves to the people “the initiative power, which is to propose laws and amendments to the Constitution and enact or reject them at an election independently of the Legislative Assembly.” Or. Const. art. IV, § 1. Under Oregon law, the ballot titles for initiatives that propose the imposition of a local option tax must include an additional statement commonly referred to as the “three-percent warning”: “This measure may cause property taxes to increase more than three percent.” Or.Rev.Stat. § 280.070(4)(a).
Appellee Michael Caruso was among the chief petitioners for an initiative measure which appeared on the ballot for the March 9, 2004, Yamhill County Special Election. Consistent with section 280.070(4)(a), the Yamhill County Commission adopted, on November 26, 2003, the following ballot title for the measure:
MEASURE 36-55
AUTHORIZES SPECIAL LEVY IF YAMHILL COUNTY PUD 1 IS FORMED
QUESTION: Shall voters authorize levy of $0,003 per $1,000 of assessed valuation if Yamhill County People’s Utility District is formed?
This measure may cause property taxes to increase more than three percent.
*852 SUMMARY: This measure may be passed only at an election with at least a 50 percent voter turnout.
If the Yamhill County People’s Utility District is formed, this measure allows the District board of directors to impose a special levy on property within the district. Funds raised from the levy would be used to pay for an engineer’s report and a later election to issue revenue bonds, if held.
This one-time levy will raise about $9,700.00. The levy for a house with an assessed value of $150,000 would be about 45 cents.
The estimated tax cost for this measure is an ESTIMATE ONLY based on the best information available from the county assessor at the time of the estimate.
See also Or.Rev.Stat. § 250.035(1) (providing that the ballot title of any non-state initiative shall consist of a caption, question, and summary).
Caruso challenged the constitutionality of section 280.070(4)(a) before the district court, asserting that the required inclusion of the three-percent warning violated his First Amendment rights as a petition cir-culator and his due process rights as a voter. Caruso requested that the district court declare the provision unconstitutional, both as applied to Measure 36-55 and on its face, and enter preliminary and permanent injunctions against its enforcement.
With the parties’ consent, the district court consolidated the hearing on Caruso’s motion for a preliminary injunction with the trial on the merits. In an opinion issued the day after the hearing, the district court held section 280.070(4)(a) unconstitutional as applied and as enacted. Adopting the reasoning set forth in a companion decision,
Horton v. Multnomah County,
No. Civ. 03-1257-HA,
The district court reasoned that section 280.070(4)(a) was therefore constitutionally infirm. First, it impeded Caruso’s ability to communicate the actual tax consequences of Measure 36-55 and forced him to be associated with the State’s misleading message. In light of these burdens on “core political speech,” the district court determined that section 280.070(4)(a) was subject to, and did not survive, strict scrutiny under the First Amendment. Second, section 280.070(4)(a) substantially chilled protected speech. Specifically, because the three-percent warning applied to all initiatives proposing local option taxes— including those which posed no threat of themselves increasing property taxes more than three percent — it discouraged others from circulating such initiatives by erecting the additional “hurdle of convincing voters of the false nature of the state mandated ‘warning.’ ” Finally, the three-percent warning obscured the actual subject of Measure 36-55, upsetting the even-handedness of the election and working a fundamental unfairness on the voters.
To remedy these constitutional infirmities, the district court enjoined the government defendants from enforcing section 280.070(4)(a) in relation to Measure 36-55, and, more broadly, in relation to “all ballot measures that by themselves cannot cause an increase in property taxes of more than three percent.” The State of Oregon, which had intervened to oppose Caruso’s *853 claims, timely appealed. 2
II. DISCUSSION
A. Mootness
Pursuant to the district court injunction, Measure 36-55 appeared on the ballot for the March 9, 2004, Yamhill County Special Election without the three-percent warning. The measure failed, with 3,250 voters favoring the levy and 9,153 opposing it. The State argues that the election rendered moot Caruso’s claim that section 280.070(4)(a) is unconstitutional as applied to the defeated measure.
As a general rule, a case is moot “ ‘when the issues presented are no longer ‘live’ or the parties lack a legally cognizable interest in the outcome.’ ”
Schaefer v. Townsend,
Cases challenging election laws often fall within the “capable of repetition, yet evading review” exception “because the inherently brief duration of an election is almost invariably too short to enable full litigation on the merits.”
Porter v. Jones,
The State more forcefully contests the expectation that Caruso “will be subject to the same action again.” It observes that there is no evidence in the record that Caruso has circulated or intends to circulate another initiative proposing the imposition of a local option tax. Although this is true, we have rejected the analogous argument that a candidate’s challenge to an election law is not moot
“only
when [the] candidate plans to seek reelection.”
Schaefer,
Consistent with Schaefer, we conclude that Caruso’s claims are not moot. Although Caruso has not expressed an intention to circulate similar initiatives in the future, enforcement of section 280.070(4)(a) is nevertheless “capable of repetition, yet evading review.” Accordingly, we proceed to the merits.
B. Constitutional and Statutory Context
We
begin by setting forth the context in which we must examine section 280.070(4)(a). Before 1997, property in Oregon was assessed and taxed at its real market value.
See
Or.Rev.Stat. § 308.232 (1995). Then, in 1997, Oregon voters adopted Measure 50, which amended the Oregon Constitution to limit the property taxes imposed by Oregon counties.
See Flavorland Foods v. Wash. County Assessor,
The limits imposed by Measure 50, however, were subject to an exception for taxes submitted to and approved by the voters:
A local taxing district other than a school district may impose a local option ad valorem property tax that exceeds the limitations imposed under this section by submitting the question of the levy to voters in the local taxing district and obtaining the approval of a majority of the voters voting on the question.
Or. Const, art. XI, § ll(4)(a)(A). The conditions for submitting local option taxes to the voters are provided for by Oregon statutes. See Or.Rev.Stat. §§ 280.070-.075. These statutes require that the ballot titles for such measures include, in addition to the three-percent warning, “the period during which the proposed local option tax will be imposed,” “[t]he first fiscal year in which the proposed local option tax will be imposed,” and “the total amount of money to be raised by the proposed local option tax, in dollars and cents.” Id. §§ 280.070(4)(a), 280.070(5)(a)-(b), 280.075(1). Against this constitutional and statutory backdrop, we consider Caruso’s First and Fourteenth Amendment challenges.
C. First Amendment
Caruso contends that section 280.070(4)(a) infringed upon his complementary First Amendment rights “to speak freely and ... to refrain from speaking at all.”
Wooley v. Maynard,
1. Level of Scrutiny
We turn at the outset to the appropriate level of First Amendment scrutiny, pausing first to reject the State’s suggestion that no scrutiny is warranted because the speech regulated by section 280.070(4)(a) is the government’s. We have elsewhere identified “several recognized instances of constitutional limitations on government speech.”
R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. v. Shewry,
a. Election Laws
An election law that burdens First Amendment rights is not necessarily subject to strict scrutiny, however.
See Clingman v. Beaver,
— U.S. -, -,
To be sure, the Supreme Court has in several other cases subjected election laws to strict scrutiny rather than flexible balancing.
See, e.g., McIntyre v. Ohio Elections Comm’n,
First, unlike the provisions challenged in
McIntyre
and
Meyer
(which respectively prohibited the distribution of anonymous
*856
campaign literature,
McIntyre,
Caruso responds that the ballot is not merely
a
means of communication; it is
the
most direct and credible means of communication. This argument has some force. Indeed, the Supreme Court has characterized “ ‘the instant before the vote is cast’ ” as “ ‘the most crucial stage in the election process.’ ”
Cook v. Gralike,
Caruso argues that cases such as
Tim-mons
are inapposite because they involved candidates rather than initiatives. We disagree. In
Buckley v. American Constitutional Law Foundation, Inc.,
Caruso also observes that notwithstanding
Timmons,
Chief Justice Rehnquist in
Cook
applied strict scrutiny to an amendment governing the composition of Missouri ballots.
See Cook,
Caruso maintains that here, just as Chief Rehnquist described in
Cook,
the State selected a single consideration for comment on the ballot. As an initial matter, we note that Chief Justice Rehnquist’s opinion in
Cook
was a concurrence, joined only by Justice O’Connor.
Id.
at 530,
But even apart from its precedential value, we regard Chief Justice Rehnquist’s concurring opinion as distinguishable. Unlike Missouri’s labeling requirement, which applied to “only those candidates who fail[ed] to conform to the State’s position,”
id.
at 532,
Second, and also unlike the provisions challenged in
McIntyre
and
Meyer,
section 280.070(4)(a) does not have “the inevitable effect of reducing the total quantum of speech on a public issue.”
Meyer,
In contrast, the effect of the three-percent warning on the “total quantum of speech” is uncertain. In a declaration submitted to the district court, Caruso pre-
*858
dieted that continued enforcement of the three-percent-warning requirement would discourage petition circulators “as they w[ould] realize that all of their work can and will be nullified by the false statement that will appear on the ballot.” But Caruso’s prediction — unsupported by any evidence in the record,
compare Am. Constitutional Law Found., 525
U.S. at 198,
b. Compelled Speech
Caruso contends that section 280.070(4)(a) should be subject to strict scrutiny for the additional reason that it forced him to be associated with the State’s message.
See Pac. Gas & Elec. Co. v. Pub. Utils. Comm’n,
Nor does section 280.070(4)(a) require the “affirmation of a belief.”
Bd. of Educ. v. Barnette,
We thus find the present appeal distinguishable from both the election law cases and the compelled speech cases in which *859 the Supreme Court has applied strict scrutiny. We accordingly apply the Supreme Court’s more flexible balancing standard.
2. Balancing Standard
Under this standard, “the rigorousness of [a reviewing court’s] inquiry into the propriety of a state election law depends upon the extent to which a challenged regulation burdens First and Fourteenth Amendment rights.”
Burdick,
a. Burden
Caruso argues that section 280.070(4)(a) imposed a “severe” burden on his communication with voters by requiring that the ballot title for Measure 36-55 include the “false and misleading” warning that “[t]his measure may cause property taxes to increase more than three percent.” This warning, Caruso maintains, implied that Measure 36-55
by itself
might cause property taxes to increase more than three percent when the measure in fact proposed a much lower increase of 0.0003 percent. Because the material facts are not in dispute, “the character and extent of the statute’s burden involves a question of law,” which we review de novo.
Krislov v. Rednour,
Mindful of the constitutional backdrop against which section 280.070(4)(a) was enacted, we reject Caruso’s assumption that his is the only reasonable interpretation of the three-percent warning. As discussed above, the Oregon Constitution provides that a “property’s maximum assessed value shall not increase by more than three percent from the previous tax year.” Or. Const, art. XI, § ll(l)(b). But this limitation may be exceeded by local option taxes submitted to and approved by voters in the taxing district. Id. § ll(4)(a)(A). When construed in context, then, the three-percent warning could be read as an accurate reminder that the local option tax proposed by Measure 36-55 would not be subject to the limitation imposed by the Oregon Constitution. In other words, absent approval of Measure 36-55, maximum assessed values and, in turn, property taxes could increase by no more than three percent. Id. § ll(l)(b). If the measure were approved, however, property taxes could increase by more than that amount. Id. § ll(4)(a)(A).
Caruso offers several reasons to reject this reading: (a) voters are unlikely to know of the constitutional three-percent limit; (b) the constitutional three-percent limit applies to maximum assessed values, not property taxes; (c) there is only an “infinitesimal possibility” that other property taxes will increase three percent; and (d) even if other property taxes increased three percent, it would not be Measure 36-55 that would “cause” total taxes to increase more than that amount. We address these reasons in turn.
As to voters’ knowledge, we note that Measure 50, which imposed the three-percent limit, was adopted by referendum.
Flavorland Foods,
As to the difference between maximum assessed values and property taxes and the likelihood that the latter will increase by three percent, Caruso’s assertions are undermined by other limitations imposed by Measure 50. Taken together, these limitations create more than an “infinitesimal possibility” that property taxes will increase three percent. As described above, in addition to imposing the three-percent limit, Measure 50 “rolled back” properties’ maximum assessed values for the tax year beginning July 1, 1997, and established a “permanent limit on the rate of ad valorem property taxes imposed” by each local taxing district. Or. Const, art. XI, § ll(l)(a)-(3)(b). The State informs us that real market values, meanwhile, have been “generally rising.” The result is that for tax years beginning after July 1, 1997, a property’s assessed value — defined as “the lesser of: (a) The property’s maximum assessed value; or (b) The property’s real market value,” Or.Rev.Stat. § 308.146 — is likely to equal its maximum assessed value. And as maximum assessed values increase by three percent per year, property taxes increase by the same amount because they are imposed at the permanent rate established by Measure 50. 3
Finally, as to the “cause” of a greater-than-three-percent increase in property taxes, predictable three-percent increases in property taxes suggest that local option taxes may in fact “produce[ ]” an increase of more than that amount. See Black’s Law Dictionary 234 (8th ed.2004) (defining “cause” as “[sjomething that produces an effect or result”). That is, absent approval of a local option tax, maximum assessed values and, frequently, assessed values and property taxes could increase by no more than three percent. Or. Const, art. XI, § ll(l)(b). If a local option tax is approved, however, it could produce an increase of more than that amount. Id. § ll(4)(a)(A).
*861
Certainly, the three-percent warning could also be read to suggest that Measure 36-55
by itself
might cause property taxes to increase more than three percent, but we regard its interpretation as an accurate reminder that the measure would not be subject to the constitutional three-percent limit to be at least as plausible. For this reason, we do not characterize the burden imposed by section 280.070(4)(a) as “severe.” Rather, like the Fourth Circuit, we believe that we may not declare a State’s ballot language unconstitutionally burdensome “merely because it could conceivably mislead some individuals and could have been crafted more adroitly.”
Cf. McLaughlin v. N.C. Bd. of Elections,
b. Interest
Where, as here, a state election law imposes restrictions on speech that are not severe, “ ‘the State’s important regulatory interests are generally sufficient’ ” to justify it.
Burdick,
The Supreme Court has consistently acknowledged states’ legitimate interest in “fostering informed and educated expressions of the popular will.”
Anderson,
We are mindful that a state’s asserted interest in informing voters will not necessarily justify the burdens its regulations impose on First Amendment rights. For example, “[a] state’s claim that it is enhancing the ability of its citizenry to make wise decisions by restricting the flow of information to them must be viewed with some skepticism.”
Anderson,
As stated above, the three-percent warning might have been more clearly worded. For example, Article XI-A, section 4 of the Oregon Constitution, which authorizes a separate statewide property tax for the purpose of repaying the principal and interest of bonds, provides that “said tax levy hereby authorized shall be in addition to all other taxes which may be levied according to law.” Or. Const, art. XI-A, § 4. But because the three-percent warning, even as presently worded, does not impose a severe burden on Caruso’s First Amendment rights, “the State need not narrowly tailor the means it chooses to promote [its interests].”
See Timmons,
The district court deemed section 280.070(4)(a) insufficiently tailored in a different respect: specifically, in its application to all measures proposing the imposition of a local option tax, even those which by themselves cannot cause property taxes to increase more than three percent. The district court concluded that the general applicability of section 280.070(4)(a) rendered it substantially overbroad and therefore facially invalid.
See Broadrick v. Oklahoma,
We disagree. If, as the district court ordered, application of section 280.070(4)(a) were limited to measures which themselves could cause property taxes to increase more than three percent, the statute would be rendered largely ineffective in increasing the information available to voters. Under a separate provision of Oregon law, the ballot titles for measures proposing local option taxes must declare the “dollar rate per thousand dollars assessed value.” Or.Rev.Stat. § 280.060(l)(b). Voters can thus readily identify ballot measures that themselves may cause property taxes to increase more than three percent. What voters are less likely to readily identify are those ballot measures that propose lower dollar rates, but which, if approved, will be levied outside the three-percent limit imposed by the Oregon Constitution. See Or. Const, art. XI, § ll(4)(a)(A). In our view, then, the general applicability of section 280.070(4)(a) does not burden substantially more speech than is justified by the State’s important interests.
In sum, we conclude that the First Amendment burden imposed by section 280.070(4)(a) is not severe and further that that burden is justified by the State’s important interest in encouraging informed and educated voting. We accordingly conclude that section 280.070(4)(a) does not violate the First Amendment, either as applied to Measure 36-55 or on its face.
D. Fourteenth Amendment
In addition to his First Amendment claims, Caruso asserts a Fourteenth Amendment claim, arguing that required inclusion of the “false and misleading”
*863
three-percent warning violates his rights to substantive due process. We review the claim de novo.
See Mont. Chamber of Commerce v. Argenbright,
“Several appellate courts, including our own, have held that an election is a denial of substantive due process if it is conducted in a manner that is fundamentally unfair.”
Bennett v. Yoshina,
Applying this standard in National Audubon Society, we rejected a challenge to ballot material which allegedly misled voters by understating the scope of proposed changes to California law. Id. at 859. The district court there concluded that an argument favoring passage of the proposition was not “materially misleading” in part because it “was not completely inaccurate.” Id. at 858. Rather, although the argument allegedly understated the scope of the broader of two proposed bans, it accurately described the narrower one. Id.
In addition, “other materials accompanying the ballot” included arguments against the proposed changes. Id. at 858-59. We agreed that under those circumstances, “the ballot material did not rise to the level of a substantive due process violation.” Id. at 859.
Like the material challenged in
National Audubon Society,
the three-percent warning is “not completely inaccurate.” To be sure, the three-percent warning might have been read as a misleading suggestion that Measure 36-55 by itself might cause property taxes to increase more than three percent. But, as described above, the warning might also have been read, in context, as an accurate reminder that the proposed local option tax would not be subject to the three-percent limit imposed by the Oregon Constitution. Moreover, although an average voter might have read the three-percent warning as Caruso does “ ‘[i]f [he] had to decide what he was voting on from the [warning] alone, .... he did not have to decide from this summary.’ ”
Burton,
The fact that the three-percent warning would have appeared in the ballot title for Measure 36-55 rather than in an “avowedly partisan portion of the materials” does not change our conclusion.
Compare Nat’l Audubon Soc’y,
III. CONCLUSION
For the above reasons, we conclude that Or.Rev.Stat. § 280.070(4)(a) does not violate Caruso’s First Amendment or Fourteenth Amendment rights. Accordingly, we reverse the contrary determinations of the district court and vacate the injunction permanently limiting the enforcement of section 280.070(4)(a).
JUDGMENT REVERSED; INJUNCTION VACATED.
Notes
. Formation of the Yamhill County People's Utility District (“PUD”) was proposed by Measure 36-54, which appeared on the same ballot.
. The named defendant, Yamhill County, also participated in the proceedings below. It did not appeal the judgment of the district court.
. We do not dispute that the real market values for some properties may be decreasing. For these properties, the likelihood that property taxes would increase by three percent in a given year would be much lower, because assessed values would likely equal decreasing real market values rather than incrementally increasing maximum assessed values. But particularly in the absence of evidence that a substantial portion of Oregon properties fit this description, we decline to condition application of section 280.070(4)(a) on the real market values of individual properties. Doing so would effectively “tie the hands” of the State.
See Burdick,
