Mario Ernesto Navas seeks review of the BIA’s decision denying both asylum and withholding of deportation. Navas fled El Salvador at age 17 after members of the Salvadoran military murdered his aunt, shot at him, threatened him with death, and assaulted his mother. Previously, in 1988, Navas’s uncle, a member of the Frente Farabundo Marti para la Li- *652 beracion Nacional (FMLN), a guerilla group opposed to the government, was murdered because of his membership in that group. The IJ and, in turn, the BIA denied Navas’s application for asylum and withholding of deportation. The BIA based its decision upon two grounds: first, that Navas had not demonstrated persecution; and second, that, even if the incidents in question rose to the level of persecution, they were not committed on account of Navas’s political opinion. Because the evidence would compel any reasonable fact-finder to reach a contrary conclusion with respect to both points, we reverse.
FACTUAL BACKGROUND
Mario Ernesto Navas is a 26 year old native and citizen of El Salvador. He arrived in this country on September 8, 1992, and applied for asylum and withholding of deportation pursuant to Section 208 and 243(h) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (“INA”) two months later. See 8 U.S.C. §§ 1158 and 1253(h).
The facts upon which Navas’s claim is based are simple. Navas left El Salvador as a seventeen-year old because he feared that the same members of the Salvadoran military who had murdered his aunt and attacked him would in turn murder him. On June 9, 1992, Navas was walking towards his aunt’s house when he saw three men leaving her home. He recognized the three men as members of the military forces that were stationed in his home town. When Navas saw the three men, they also spotted him. They chased him and shot at him. However, Navas was able to escape and hide out until the next day, when his mother went to his aunt’s home and found that his aunt had been murdered. 2 On the same day that his mother found his aunt’s body, the three soldiers who Navas had seen leaving his aunt’s house went to his mother’s home in search of him. When they discovered that he was not there, they beat his mother and threatened to kill both mother and son unless Navas left the country. Navas left El Salvador that same night — one day after the murder of his aunt.
At the asylum hearing held in early January 1997, Navas testified that his family had been politically active prior to his aunt’s murder. His aunt’s husband, Navas’s uncle, had been a member of the Frente Farabundo Marti para la Liberación Nacional (“FMLN”), a guerilla group opposed to the Salvadoran government and had been murdered because of his membership in that group. Navas himself had been politically active while in El Salvador, although he was only seventeen when he left the country. According to Navas, he helped distribute political propaganda in his home town. He also testified that the three soldiers who threatened him knew that he had distributed political materials. 3
*653 Since Navas’s flight to the United States, the surviving members of his family have left his home town in El Salvador and are now here. 4 In El Salvador, however, the soldiers who murdered his aunt, beat his mother and threatened his life have been incorporated into the national civil police. As a result, Navas fears the consequences of returning to El Salvador. In fact, the IJ noted Navas’s emotional state at the time of testimony: “For the record, the respondent has shown that this is an emotional experience for him. He is crying ... and I think the record should reflect that the respondent does show that he is severely traumatized by the event that occurred.... ”
As part of the administrative record, Navas submitted extensive materials documenting the prevalence of human rights violations in El Salvador by both the government and its opponents. These documents substantially corroborate Navas’s account. For example, the 1992 report, The Work of Americas Watch, notes with respect to El Salvador the “steady diet of assassinations, abductions and violations of the laws of war.... [T]he army and security forces remained responsible - for numerous cases of torture, illegal detention, and indiscriminate attacks on the civilian population.” The Work of Americas Watch, 213 (1992). According to the report, “available evidence demonstrates that some military actions have been aimed directly at civilians living in conflict zones, apparently to punish them for presumed guerilla sympathies.” Id. at 217. The report also notes the complete immunity with which the military typically acted.
On January 16, 1992, the government of El Salvador and the FMLN signed a peace accord ending 12 years of civil conflict. By the end of 1992, however, the implementation of the accord was in serious jeopardy. Although the reports in the record acknowledge that human rights abuses diminished, politically motivated killings and death threats continued to be commonplace. In fact, the pattern of attacks against those engaged in opposition political activity increased. 5 Attacks on FMLN leaders raised suspicions of political motivation, particularly in light of the fact that the attacks went largely unpunished. As the 1993 Americas Watch report puts it, “[t]he near-complete and on-going paralysis of the judicial system continued to ensure that the Salvadoran state, if not guilty of direct involvement in abuses, was eom-plicit by failing to investigate or to take preventive action.” 6 The report’s conclusion is supported by the fact that members in training of the new National Civil Police included former members of the National Guard and Treasury Police, who were unlikely to police either themselves or their former colleagues rigorously.
Even in 1995, when the FMLN participated in elections as a legal political party, the National Civil Police (PNC) continued to be implicated in killings, torture, and arbitrary detention. Arbitrary executions and death threats still went unpunished. In its 1996 report, Americas Watch notes that, although human rights abuses diminished somewhat, vigilante killings and po *654 lice abuse continued. Moreover; municipal police forces continued to be associated with serious human rights abuses.
Despite all of the uncontested evidence, both testimonial and documentary, the Immigration Judge (“IJ”) denied Navas’s application for asylum and withholding of deportation pursuant to Section 241(a)(1)(B) of the INA, 8 U.S.C. § 1251(a)(1)(B). In an oral decision, the IJ concluded that “what the respondent testified to probably happened,” and that the issue was whether a claim for asylum could be predicated upon those events. 7 The IJ concluded that it could not, finding that “[t]he respondent fears returning because three men believed he witnessed a murder, a criminal act, and that is not a basis to be granted asylum in the United States.” The IJ did, however, grant Na-vas voluntary departure.
Navas appealed the IJ’s decision to the Board of Immigration Appeals (“BIA”), which affirmed the IJ’s decision on March 4, 1998. The BIA held first that “the respondent failed to demonstrate that a reasonable person in his circumstances would fear persecution on account of one of the five enumerated grounds for asylum,” and second that, as a necessary result, Navas “failed to satisfy the higher standard of proof for eligibility for withholding of exclusion and deportation.” More specifically, the BIA concluded that Navas had failed to demonstrate that he was the victim of acts that constituted persecution, and that no evidence in the record suggested that the reason behind the soldiers’ actions with respect to Navas was that they imputed a political opinion to him. Rather, the BIA agreed with the IJ’s conclusion that the murder of Navas’s aunt by three military personnel was not politically motivated, and that the murderers’ interest in finding Navas “relate[dj to his ability to identify them, not to a desire to harm him on account of one of the enumerated grounds of persecution.”
Navas then petitioned this court for review on March 30, 1998, pursuant to 8 U.S.C. § 1105(a). In this case, we review the BIA opinion, rather than the Immigration Judge’s, because the BIA conducted an independent review of the record and provided its own grounds for affirming the IJ’s decision.
Ghaly v. INS,
LEGAL BACKGROUND
A. General Framework
The Attorney General may, in her discretion, grant asylum to an applicant determined to be a refugee, within the meaning of section 101(a)(42)(A) of the Immigration and Nationality Act, 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(42)(A). Refugee status is established by evidence that an applicant is unable or unwilling to return to his home country because of a well-founded fear of future persecution on account of race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group, or political opinion.
See INS v. Cardoza-Fonseca,
To be eligible for a grant of asylum, the applicant must simply demonstrate a well-founded fear of persecution. He need not prove, however, that it is more likely than not that his fear will be realized. As the Supreme Court put it, “[o]ne can certainly have a well-founded fear of an event happening when there is less than a 50% chance of the occurrence taking place. As one leading authority has pointed out: ‘Let us ... presume that it is known that in the applicant’s country of origin every tenth adult male person is either put to death or sent to some remote labor camp.... In such a case it would be only too apparent that anyone who has managed to escape from the country in question will have ‘well-founded fear of being persecuted’ upon his eventual return.’ ”
INS v. Cardoza-Fonseca,
The applicant bears the burden of proof with respect to eligibility for asylum and withholding of deportation. 8 C.F.R. §§ 208.13(8), 208.16(b). Specific corroborating documentation is not required, however, for an applicant to meet his burden.
See Sangha v. INS,
B. The Requirements for Asylum Eligibility
In order to establish eligibility for asylum on the basis of past persecution, an applicant must show: (1) an incident, or incidents, that rise to the level of persecution; 9 (2) that is “on account of’ one of the statutorily-protected grounds; and (3) is committed by the government or forces the government is either “unable or *656 unwilling” to control. 10 Only the first and second factors — namely, whether the incidents that occurred constitute persecution and whether the persecution was “on account of’ a protected ground — are at issue in this petition for review. In other words, to be eligible for relief, Navas must show not only that he was persecuted, but also that the persecution he suffered was on account of a protected category — namely, race, religion, nationality, membership in a social group, or political opinion. 11
The Supreme Court held in
Elias-Zacarias
that an asylum applicant must satisfy two requirements in order to show that he was persecuted “on account of’ a political opinion. First, the applicant must show that he held (or that his persecutors believed that he held) a political opinion.
See Elias-Zacarias,
A finding that persecution was on account of a protected category must be based on facts in evidence.
See EliasZacarias,
If an asylum applicant establishes that he has been subjected to persecution in the past, a presumption arises that a well-founded fear of future persecution exists. 8 C.F.R. § 208.13(b)(l)(i). The burden then shifts to the INS to show by a preponderance of the evidence that country conditions have changed to such an extent (as applied to the individual’s case) that the applicant no longer has a well-founded fear that he would be persecuted if he were to return. 13 Id. If the INS fails to make this showing, the applicant is statutorily eligible for asylum. Maini v. INS, 212 F.3d 1167 (9th Cir. 2000).
A similar approach applies with respect to withholding of deportation. A showing of past persecution gives rise to a presumption that the applicant has shown a clear probability of future persecution so as to entitle him to withholding of deportation. See 8 C.F.R. § 208.16(b)(2); Valle-cillo-Castillo v. INS, 121 F.3d 1237, 1240 (9th Cir.1996). In order to rebut the presumption, the INS must show that country conditions have so changed that it is no longer more likely than not that the applicant would be persecuted should he be forced to return.
C. Standard of Review
The BIA’s factual determinations are reviewed for substantial evidence,
INS v. Elias-Zacarias,
ANALYSIS
1. Persecution
There are two issues in this case: first, whether the incidents in question constitute persecution; and second, if so, whether that persecution was on account of (imputed) political opinion. In resolving these questions, given the absence of an adverse credibility finding by the BIA we must assume that Navas’s factual contentions are true.
See Gaya Prasad v. INS,
With respect to the first issue, the conclusion that Navas has demonstrated persecution is dictated by this court’s earlier cases. In asylum and withholding of deportation cases, we have consistently held that death threats alone can constitute persecution.
See Del Carmen Molina v. INS,
2. “On Account of’ Imputed Political Opinion
Therefore, as both sides acknowledge, the second issue — whether the persecution was on account of Navas’s (imputed) political opinion, is the key to this proceeding. 16 The government argues that the threats to Navas occurred because he witnessed a criminal act, not because of his — or any other family member’s — political opinion. The government further contends that, in the absence of evidence connecting the 1992 murder of Navas’s aunt to the 1988 murder of her husband, or of additional incidents occurring before the murder, Navas cannot be said to have sustained the burden of demonstrating a causal connection between the harm suffered and a political opinion on his part. We reject these arguments.
While we have held that an applicant proves persecution on account of political opinion where he demonstrates that he had such an opinion and that his persecutors threatened him because of it,
see Gonzales-Neyra,
In determining whether or not an applicant has established persecution on account of imputed political opinion, this court has considered the applicant’s association with, or relationship to, people who are known to hold a particular political opinion.
19
For example, in
Ramirez Rivas
*660
v. INS,
Similarly, in
Gomez-Saballos v. INS,
In this case, the question whether Navas’s persecution was on account of imputed political opinion turns in part on whether the persecution of other family members was politically motivated. The government concedes that the murder of Navas’s uncle was political, but disputes the fact that his aunt’s murder was. The circumstances of the latter murder make it clear, however, that the killing of Navas’s aunt, like the killing of her husband, must be deemed political. Navas’s aunt had been married to a member of the FMLN who had been murdered because of his opposition to the government. She in turn was murdered by members of the government’s military forces — an action consistent with the country-wide pattern of the Salvadoran military acting to punish civilians for presumed guerilla sympathies. We have held that “[i]f ‘there is no evidence of a legitimate prosecutorial purpose for a government’s harassment of a person ... there arises a presumption that the motive for harassment is political.’ ”
Singh v. Ilchert,
Navas himself had distributed political materials, and the soldiers who murdered his aunt knew of his political activity. Those soldiers went to his house on the day after the murder and when he could not be found, they attacked his mother. Typically, where killings and other acts of violence are inflicted on members of the same family by government forces, “the inference that they are connected and politically motivated is an appropriate one.”
Hernandez-Ortiz v. INS,
We have held that “ ‘[t]he plain meaning of the phrase “persecution on account of the victim’s political opinion,” does not mean persecution
solely
on account of the victim’s political opinion.’ ”
Borja,
In its decision, however, the BIA found that the soldiers’ actions were motivated solely by the desire to avoid prosecution. That conclusion is patently erroneous, as any reasonable factfinder would be compelled to conclude. The BIA portrayed the soldiers’ actions in attacking Navas’s mother and threatening Navas with death as simply attempts to eliminate a witness to the murder.
22
The BIA erred in four respects in reaching this conclusion: first, by attacking the mother and threatening the son, the murderers did not eliminate a witness to their earlier crime. Instead, they committed another crime
and
created another witness in the process. Second, the murderers did not threaten retaliation if Navas went to the police, nor did they demonstrate any concern that he might do so. Rather, they made their ultimatum quite clear — leave the country or die. Third, Navas introduced substantial evidence into the administrative record that showed that well after the peace accord was reached in 1992 (the same year as his departure from El Salvador), the police and soldiers continued to violate human rights with impunity. Prosecution of the soldiers for their actions was, therefore, highly unlikely in any event. Finally, as we have stated earlier, Navas’s evidence regarding the historical background to the threats against his life establishes that at least one of the reasons for the soldiers’ actions was his family’s political associations, as well as his own, and the soldiers’ imputation of a political opinion to him. Accordingly, any reasonable factfinder would be compelled to conclude that Na-vas’s persecution was, at least in part, on account of imputed political opinion.
See,
*662
e.g., Ratnam v. INS,
3. Country Conditions
Because Navas has established past persecution on account of political opinion, the INS bears the burden of demonstrating by a preponderance of the evidence that changed country conditions rebut the presumption of a well-founded fear of future persecution. 8 C.F.R. § 208.13(b)(l)(i). In order to rebut that fear, the INS must introduce evidence that, on an individualized basis, rebuts a particular applicant’s specific grounds for his well-founded fear of future persecution.
Osorio,
In general, we do not remand a matter to the BIA if, on the record before us, it is clear that we would be compelled to reverse its decision if it had decided the matter against the applicant.
See Aguilera-Cota v. INS,
With respect to country conditions, however, it is reasonable for the IJ and the BIA not to reach that issue, if they conclude that the applicant has not shown past persecution. In such case, no presumption of a well-founded fear arises and there is thus no reason for the IJ or BIA to consider whether the presumption has been rebutted. Nevertheless, because the INS is required to make a complete record during the administrative proceedings, we review that record to determine whether there is room for doubt as to the proper result with respect to the country conditions issue.
Where, as here, we conclude that past persecution has been established, but the INS has failed to introduce the requisite country conditions information and thus has failed to meet its evidentiary burden on that issue, we do not remand, because the ultimate outcome is clear.
See Aguilera-Cota,
4. Withholding of Deportation
While the standard for withholding of deportation is more stringent than for eligibility for asylum, the finding of past persecution in this case also triggers a presumption that Navas has shown a clear probability of future persecution with respect to his withholding claim-a presumption that the INS may also rebut by an individualized showing of changed country conditions.
See
8 C.F.R. § 208.16(b)(2);
Vallecillo-Castillo v. INS,
Petition for review GRANTED; REMANDED for the exercise of the Attorney General’s discretion with respect to the asylum claim, and for the grant of withholding of deportation.
Notes
. The record contains a death certificate for Navas’s aunt, Victoria Manuela Navas Guerra.
. In his written asylum application, Navas indicated that neither he, nor any member of his family, belonged to, or was associated with, any group or organization in El Salvador. He also responded that neither he nor any family member had ever been threatened, mistreated, arrested, detained, or interrogated by the authorities in El Salvador. However, Navas testified during his deportation proceeding that he did not reveal any political affiliations or abuse by authorities because he feared such information would affect his application adversely. As for the comments that no one in his family had been abused or persecuted by the government, Navas’s own answers to other questions in which he mentioned the murder of his aunt by the military make it clear that Navas simply misunderstood the question or erred in filling out of the form. Most important for our purposes, neither the IJ nor the BIA made any adverse credibility finding. To the contrary, the IJ found that the petitioner was “severely traumatized” by the events that precipitated his flight. See
infra
at following paragraph of text. Where the BIA does not make an explicit adverse credibility finding, we must assume that the applicant’s factual contentions are true.
Gaya Prasad v. INS,
. Navas testified that his brother is a United States citizen, his mother is a permanent resident, and his father is in the process of becoming a permanent resident. At the time of the hearing, there was a petition pending for Navas.
. The record includes exhaustive yearly reports by Americas Watch published in 1992, 1993, 1995, and 1996. The 1993 report cites the observations of the United Nations Observer Mission in El Salvador (ONUSAL) regarding the large number of death threats and murders carried out by the army and security forces.
.As the report states, "the judicial system ... seems most efficient when it is protecting members of the military from the consequences of their own crimes.” Another report cites ONUSAL’s observation that 75 of the most prominent cases involving arbitrary executions, attempted executions, and death threats between 1992 and 1994 resulted in neither trial nor punishment for the culprits.
. In reaching his decision, the IJ incorrectly stated that no death certificate or other evidence was admitted to support Navas’s testimony. In fact, Navas submitted a death certificate for his aunt, as well as a series of human rights reports from reputable human rights organizations.
In addition, the IJ rejected Navas's claim of possible membership in a political group or participation in political activities, and held that the fact that his uncle had been a member of the FMLN was irrelevant, since the FMLN was now part of the Salvadoran government. He reached this conclusion despite the fact that the uncontested human rights reports in the administrative record documented continuing attacks on FMLN members after the peace accords.
. Ordinarily, a showing of past persecution simply establishes a presumption of a well-founded fear of future persecution, which may be rebutted by a showing that country
*655
conditions have so changed as to render the applicant's fear no longer reasonable.
See
text accompanying notes 23-24. In certain circumstances, however, eligibility for asylum may be based on past persecution alone, even if there is little or no likelihood of future persecution, "where an applicant or his family has suffered under atrocious forms of persecution....”
Acewicz v. INS,
. Persecution is "the infliction of suffering or harm upon those who differ (in race, religion, or political opinion) in a way regarded as offensive.”
Kovac v. INS,
. The statute defines a refugee as any person outside of their country of nationality who is "unable or unwilling to avail himself or herself of the protection [their country].” 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(42)(A). As such, our cases have held that the statute protects people from persecution by nongovernmental groups in cases in which the government is unable or unwilling to control the persecuting agent.
Sangha,
. In order to succeed in proving eligibility for asylum, an applicant's well-founded fear of persecution must be both subjectively genuine and objectively reasonable.
See Korabli-na,
.The Court in
Elias-Zacarias
and this court have elaborated on this requirement in two ways. First, the Supreme Court left open the possibility that it would suffice for an applicant to show that his persecutors imputed a political opinion to him, even if he did not in fact hold any political opinion.
See Elias-Zacarias,
.
In order to conclude, on the basis of changed country conditions, that an applicant's fear of persecution is no longer reasonable, the BIA must engage in an "individualized analysis” that demonstrates that "changed conditions ... have eliminated the basis for [the applicant’s] individual fear of future persecution.”
Osorio v. INS,
. In Del Carmen Molina, we held that where the petitioner’s uncontradicted testimony stated that some of her cousins had been killed because they served in the military and that she had received two threatening notes, she had proved past persecution.
. In addition, the record includes reports that describe a widespread pattern of killings, assaults and threats by government forces directed against those who either do or are presumed to oppose it.
. The government also asserts that the evidence in the record does not suffice to show an objective basis for Navas’s fear of persecution because his testimony was brief and lacking in detail. However, this court cannot affirm the BIA on a ground upon which it did not rely.
See, e.g., Securities and Exchange Commission v. Chenery Corp.,
. In
Sangha,
we held that where members of the Bhindrawala Tiger Force, a terrorist group, came to the petitioner’s house, but sought (and assaulted) only the petitioner's father, the fact that they ignored Sangha "suggests that [they] did not believe that San-gha held his father’s views.”
Sangha,
. Although the persecution of family members is highly probative, " 'the death of one family member does not [automatically] trigger a sweeping entitlement to asylum eligibility for all members of her extended family.' ”
Mgoian v. INS,
Where police beat and threaten the spouse of a known dissident, it is logical, in the absence of evidence pointing to another motive, to conclude that they did so because of the spouse’s presumed guilt by association.
See, e.g., Sangha,
.Alternatively, imputed political opinion may also be established where, as a result of an individual's non-political actions, the persecutor attributes certain political beliefs or opinions to him.. For example, we have found persecution to be on account of imputed political opinion where, regardless of the petitioner’s motives, he expressly refused to affiliate himself with a particular political faction or to accede to its extortionate demands, and was then perceived by the group as opposing it because of that refusal.
Desir v. Ilchert,
. In that case, we also rejected the BIA's argument that Ramirez could not reasonably fear persecution because the authorities had an opportunity to persecute her from the time of the death of her cousin in 1980 until her departure in 1983, but did not. Id. at 970. We held that with the occurrence of each additional incident of persecution, the probability that Ramirez herself would be assumed to be a sympathizer rose. Id.
. We have also found persecution to be on account of imputed political opinion in three recent cases.
See Yazitchian v. INS,
. Similarly, in
Chanchavac,
the INS argued that the military's motive for persecuting Chanchavac was to punish his failure to join the military’s ranks, not to punish him for an imputed political opinion, even though the Guatemalan military accused Chanchavac of being a guerilla when beating him.
. In three recent cases, we have determined the issue of eligibility and remanded solely for the Attorney General’s exercise of her discretionary authority, even though the BIA had not considered the question of changed country conditions.
Maini v. INS,
. As we noted above, we cannot affirm the BIA’s decision on a basis on which it did not rely.
Martinez-Zelaya,
