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Kaczkowski v. Bolubasz
421 A.2d 1027
Pa.
1980
Check Treatment

*1 A.2d KACZKOWSKI, Eric Estate of Administrator Theodore Deceased, Kaczkowski, of Eric behalf of the Estate K. Deceased, Appellant, Kaczkowski, K. BOLUBASZ, Appellee. J. John Pennsylvania. Supreme Court 10, 1980. Argued March Sept. Decided *2 Sikov, Love, Pittsburgh, & for

Seymour appellant. Sikov Reale, Warren for Ferry, Pittsburgh, appel- CosmosJ. D. lee. Feldman, Feldman, M. &

Stephen Philadelphia, Feldman Trial amicus curiae Pa. Lawyers. ROBERTS, LARSEN, J., O’BRIEN, NIX, EAGEN, C. KAUFFMAN, JJ. FLAHERTY and

OPINION NIX, Justice. trespass instituted

Appellant complaint Allegheny suit arose from an County Court of Common Pleas. The decedent, K. Kac- Eric in which the accident automobile a vehicle operated as a zkowski, passenger was riding matter, the jury trial of this original At the appellee. appellant’s Upon the appellee. the liability established trial was returned Trial, case a New Motion For damages. the issue for a retrial on court damages, jury of the question the retrial During facts: the decedent was following with the was presented death; of his he time at the male, age twenty years white Springs, Pennsylvania Cambridge College, attended Alliance attend- death, of his he was at the time for two years; a division of Management, of Computer the Institute ing relatives friends and close Decedent’s Litton Industries. health, industrious, and good was in testified that decedent computer operations. study in his course of interested Computer Institute for at the Director of Placement *3 decedent, with the familiarity to his testified Management student, and that for a beginning his was progress good to learn. willingness evidenced motivation the decedent employers contact his professional Based upon Director the Placement graduates, experience placing which the decedent testified to the of salaries range in the private stated that have He qualified. would been to from sector, ranged $585.77 the salaries average $538.36 salaries sector, average the month, in the public per to month. per from ranged $600 $900 discussion, counsel of- appellant’s an in-chambers During witness, Doctor Reuben E. Slesing- fered call expert to as an of Pittsburgh. the er, University an Economics Professor at to counsel offered Slesinger, the of Doctor By testimony of the earning capacity a of the prove potential projection Dr. not prohibit the trial court did Although decedent.1 previous- projection which had factors 1. The took into consideration appellant. by of ly on behalf been testified to various witnesses called Slesinger would appellant that Dr. advised the Court Counsel for productivity and inflation of increases have testified as to the effects proffered potential earning capacity of the decedent. on the security pensions, social projection not take into consideration did to of future lost projection his testifying from Slesinger court refused to allow value, to the earnings present reduced increment to (4%) use a annual Slesinger percent Dr. to four the combined of represent impact the victim’s to salary base future increases in on the gains inflation and productivity was based The trial court’s refusal earnings. the victim’s Tonner, case Havens v. the decided of recently upon which the trial court (1976),2 365 A.2d 1271 Pa.Super. percent- that “an annual increment to mandate interpreted inflation factor or factor whether called age to be used a witness by permitted projecting not worth.” present of reduced to Kaczkowski earnings loss Term, Court of Common Bolubasz, 1246 April No. 22, 1978). at 3 (February Pleas of Allegheny County, the future of Slesinger have Dr. loss project Rather than increment, (4%) the annual without four earnings percent not Dr. testimo- any Slesinger’s the chose to use of plaintiff the trial court’s Instead, charge relied ny. plaintiff upon guidance for the earning power of future impairment .to consider the The lower jury. charged jury court calculate, the to: personal poten- decedent’s characteristics for the of dece- period of the decedent earnings tial gross the maintenance dent’s work life determine expectancy; decedent’s work life period costs of decedent for maintenance costs from to deduct the expectancy; personal earnings; and discount net gross earnings produce (6%) percent six simple the net instructions, the re- jury interest. judge’s Based $30,000. on behalf estate Eric K. turned verdict *4 for New was Motion Trial Kaczowski. The appellant’s which Superior denied. The Court appealed appellant based the per upon Superi- curiam affirmed the lower court or in Havens v. Tonner. Kaczkowski prior Court’s decision Pa., Term, Bolubasz, (Superior v. Court of No. April benefits, like, benefits, appeal not fringe this is concerned or the and these items. Tonner, Pa.Super. 2. 365 A.2d See discussion of Havens v. (1976), beginning page infra. at Allowance of a Petition for filed 4, 1979). Appellant May allocatur.3 we granted with this Court and Appeal is whether the trial court appellant by raised The issue the showing testimony economic in reliable excluding erred on dece- productivity5 and increased of inflation4 impact issue, In order to address this earning power.6 dent’s future law and reassess its Pennsylvania consider current we must of objective awarding of the purported effectiveness in light To earnings. loss of damages full compensatory survivors, the law of or their the victims of negligence same concern as the substantive least the is of at damages substantive tort change quick law torts. We have been of needs of a the determined law where it has been Burd, e. g., so dictated. Sinn changing society pursuant 724. appeal to 42 Pa.C.S.A. § is 3. Jurisdiction over this money credit relative volume of and Inflation is “the increase in the continuing goods resulting rise in the in a substantial and to available Websters, Dictionary general price Third International level.” average gains in of what the are measured terms Inflation example person living An of infla- increases.” refers to as “cost prices in evidencing unrelated to an increase tion an increase in juice oranges has not increased intrinsic content of that the price years, rise. but their continues to presence in an award for plays roles The of inflation two distinct impact determining damages. the prospective first role is place victim. The second on the future of the inflation determining appropriate plays part interest is in the which inflation damage value. to its rate to discount the future award major recognize elements are at least four 5. Economist’s that there employee’s These of an income. which influence the rate of increase factors are: his participant prior (1) the educational attainment marker; age upon entry (2) influence of into the labor (3) significance cycle; earnings productivity son, participants over their life (4) impact growth; of inflation. Hender- and Discounting Productivity The Consideration of Increased Value, (1976). In our Earnings to Present 20 S.D.L.Rev. Future analysis, three from the other we will isolate the inflation element increases, factors, are consumed collectively which called “merit” productivity. recognize controlled that merit increases are We factor, separate inflationary and deserve than the different variables consideration. wrongful in- injury actions damages personal death 6. Since victim, proper period to earning capacity of volve calculate a loss is based expectancy. work-life *5 566 Inc., v. Black Azzarello Bros. 480

146, (1979); 404 A.2d 672 Pa. v. 547, (1978); Mayle Dept. Hwy., Pa. 391 A.2d 1020 Lenker, v. 469 Pa. 384, (1978); Fadgen 479 Pa. 388 A.2d 709 Education, v. Phila. 272, (1976); 365 A.2d 147 Bd. Ayala 584, Pa. We are now called (1973). upon 453 305 A.2d 877 in need similar determine damages whether the law of circumstances occasioned by due to adjustments changes of time and conclude that both a passage productivity in should be reflected an award of lost factor and inflation future earnings.

I. Law Current have Commonwealth, we held consistently this full extent of the are to be damages compensatory 299, 307, 444 282 Ewing, sustained. v. Pa. Incollingo injury Co., 206, McLane v. 230 Pa. (1971); Pittsburgh Rys. A.2d 210 Reese, Bank v. 26 29, 79 A. Pa. (1911); Montgomery 237 actual compensation, by The rule “is to (1850). give the extent of exactly the amount of graduating damages Palmer, 14 Pa. Loss of the loss.” v. Forsyth which if item of damages, future is a distinct for the recovery plaintiff.7 result properly proved, may judi demand productivity increasingly Inflation and respect personal injury cial attention, particularly evi earnings. Traditionally, action for lost future damages increases have dence of future inflation and productivity to be included calculating been deemed too speculative in even inflation and damages though future award. generous reduce an drastically initially creases may However, today, light Washburn L.J. 499 fact that inflation and pro clear scientific evidence of the of our it part economy, an established have become ductivity one, injury permanent will cause a loss or one which When an is a recovery may lessening earning power, be had for of future McCormick, (20th Damages, probable earnings. loss of future survives, reprint 1975). injured party undi- If he should receive dies, minished, earnings, if he but his total estimated proper damages dece- includes a deduction based measure of Ewing, Incollingo personal dent’s cost of maintenance. 263, 307, (1971). Today’s opinion not disturb does 282 A.2d requirement personal our maintenance deductions. be considered such these factors necessary becomes awards. *6 in proof support not require

The “law does must compensation or damages support claims for exactness.” Lach standard of mathematical conform to the 821, All that Fleth, 340, 352, (1949). 64 A.2d 827 v. 361 Pa. must be damages for “(a) the law is that claim requires calculation; mere guess for basis a reasonable supported by v. Bank Economy is not Stevenson enough.” or speculation 442, 453-54, 721, (1964). 197 A.2d 727 413 Pa. Ambridge, Flock, 148, (1962); Pa. 180 A.2d 59 v. 407 also, Small “If facts 480, (1954). 105 A.2d 102 Freed, 377 Pa. Getz how much calculating for afford a fair basis reasonably as to, regarded such evidence cannot be entitled plaintiff’s for compensation.” a claim support insufficient legally 215, A. Mix, Pa. 162 667 Co., Inc. v. 308 Western Show (1932). usually lump-sum pay awards are

Personal injury installments.8 ments, or weekly monthly and are not paid Thus, injuries, including damages damages personal all future,9 be and proved in the must to accrue expected Remedies, Dobbs, (1973). 8.1 The calculated trial. D. at § value present is discounted to its wages loss of future interest (6%) simple figure.10 the six using percent exception, Compensation is the most notable Act 8. The Workmen’s amended, 28, 1956, February seq., (1955) 77 as Act of P.L. 1120 et § Act, Act seq. Motor Vehicle Insurance P.S. 1 et See also No-Fault § 1009.106(a)(1). 19, 1974, 176, 106(a)(7), July 40 P.S. § P.L. No. § precise measure of dam- to assess the In order for the factfinder subject testimony of the ages, expert if “the matter is admissiblie training beyond involving special inquiry the ken of is one skills Meehan, 460, 465, 227 ordinary laymen.” A.2d Reardon v. 667, (1967). present reducing lump-sum to its award 10. The rationale for is that: plaintiff will invest the sum awarded it is assumed that the over the num- That interest accumulated receive interest thereon. available, capital, years be in addition to the of relevant will ber support plaintiff the total is provide his future until period. projected interest must The at the end of the exhausted to the limitation of the relating Specifically, principles affecting of the economic factors and consideration proof recently have been articulated Tonner, 365 A.2d 1271 Havens v. Pa.Super. were Havens, and the involved appellee appellant an suffered appellee whiplash, automobile accident. After leg. arm his well as a weakness in his right office, corporate ap- of the sales reorganization employer’s capital allowed in reduction of lest it be claimed that therefore be the plaintiff overcompensated. Fleming, Am.J.Comp.Law Compensation, Infíation and Tort lump-sum pecuniary “The for future losses measure award arising full from a tort is the worth of the amount what would of Torts have been received at a later time.” Restatement 913A, (Second) Borough, 215 Pa. 74 A. Wilkinson v. Northeast § *7 Pennsylvania, In since 1922 our courts have mandated discounting damages present that when to worth “the interest computed percent....” must be Davis, at the lawful of six Windle v. rate 23, 275 Pa. 118A. 503 The rationale for the mandato- ry percent simple explained by six interest rule was this in Court Co., 578, 585, Gregorius Safeway v. 187 A.2d Steel Scaffolds (1963): present “We are all aware are different than that interest rates year per rule was first written. as of the this six cent] to [fixed fact, they presently vary day day, place place, to from under in must be a fixed rule different conditions to aid the same area. There juries calculating present in worth of such elements of questions. damage guide jury resolving and to in such difficult only change It is our conclusion that a in the rule would lead to greater difficulty confusion and chaos and add in the trial of such cases.” origin principle Chesapeake of this is & Ohio RW Co. Kelly, (1916), 241 U.S. 485 60 L.Ed. in which S.Ct. [36 1117] damages Supreme Court announced that awards for future had appropriate to be discounted to at some discount discounting theory grounded in rate. Research reveals that the history century. part economic of the latter of the nineteenth example, price “Between 1867and for it is estimated that the century, dropped by forty percent. level about At turn of the only sixty percent approximately one needed of the dollars re- quired purchase at the end of the War to the same basket of Civil goods.” prices expected are 20 S.D.L.Rev.at 309. When future constant, disagreement decline is no or remain there economic However, discounting theory. lag judicial economic with the an practice perpetuate occurs when courts a 1916 rationale to the economic realities of the 1900’s. Id. was terminated. As his termination employment pellee’s date, permanent disability. a total appellee claimed returned a verdict court, the jury In the common pleas Court, the Superior to the appeal On appellee. favor of an economist’s admissibility objected appellant trial, earnings. During lost future testimony appellee’s based the economist lost future calculated if He that assumed of 20.69 years. work life projected would have earned he employee continued as an appellee SV2 A pro- $12,780. fringe percent benefits. annually, plus figure. factor was added this ductivity his of the productivi- calculation The economist explained factor as follows: ty here is the fact of into

What I account have taken for future, in the and allow try increases come due to future increases in which would about wages time has long period the fact that over a economy in the had a to exhibit an increase propensity tendency more rate. services at a faster efficient produce goods and This, over the longrun due to better Namely, technology. is the reason principal why cause or the principal [sic] rise; twice much in an wages if he can person’s produce better, his can employer hour after to do his learning job has more employer afford to him more because the pay he offer can now goods produced this individual and, fact, sale the American the longrun [sic] or ability has increased economy, productivity *8 American more and services produce goods workers to cent, an hour around three and half per somewhere increase therefore, I here wage approxi- have allowed perannum three and a half mately percent about [sic] for the of his work-life remaining period expectancy. 277-78. at 365 A.2d at Pa.Super. accept The refused to economist’s Superior Court rea- a 3V2% factor. It testimony concerning productivity based “was upon nothing soned that the factor productivity experience but the assertion that demonstrated economist’s at annually that industrial least by increased productivity and that this im- technology that much due to improved form of in- in the along was normally passed provement 378, 365 A.2d at 1274. at Id., Pa.Super. creased wages.” as follows: holding its rationalized Court Superior twenty years, next over the rates rising wage Steadily the coin of face of one cause, are simply whatever the so much will become inflation It be that may inflation. it be should economy our pattern an established Certain- earnings. of future loss estimating recognized half over the past economy of the erratic behavior ly war and other unusual circum- plagued dozen years, that inflation at stances, sufficient demonstration is not a twenty for another rate will continue any predictable of the part is a Furthermore, even if inflation years. is that future, consequence one certain of the pattern that fact. Conse- will reflect interest on money rates of future worth a sum representing quently, in an inflationary period will more in earn earnings dollars not may wholly This the case. than would otherwise be the next twen- inflation over for the effect of compensate factor” simply We view the “productivity ty years. and inad- speculative substitute for inflation and equally earnings. of future missible in a calculation Id. misunderstood

Thus, the Haven’s Court it appears and distinct separate were that inflation and productivity between the distinguish failed to and the court phenomena factor that rejection two its blanket Therefore, teaching under was offered in evidence. an who institutes Havens, in Pennsylvania a tort victim receives only compen- action to recover lost future date of the as of the salary or her sation based his is multi- amount earning event. The current debilitating in the victim’s remaining the number of plied by years to its then reduced figure worklife The total span. made in the allowance There is no value. alleged present of either po- formula for consideration earning lost future or inflation. tential productivity

571 II. Havens Fallacy should achieve the computation award damage Ideally, predictability. and efficiency, of accuracy, goals tripartite 300, Hermosa, 308-12 526 F.2d Co. v. S. S. Sulphur Freeport Pennsylvania note that Commentators (5th 1976). Cir. achieves the lost future calculating method of on inflation testimony by precluding expert efficiency goal to inquiry the relevant confining and while debilitating event. at the date determining wages 105, 63 Va.L.Rev. 108 Comment, Inflation and Damages, Lost Fu Considering Calculating Inflation Note, (1977); Infla 499, (1979), Fleming, 18 Wash.L.J. Earnings, ture 51, (1977). 26 Am.J.C.L. Compensation, tion and Tort variables are removed inflation and productivity Since the award, the damage in calculating from consideration of settlement and the possibility award is more predictable However, assuming even out of is enhanced. court efficiency with simplification synonymous premise sacrifices method accu Pennsylvania predictability, to failing compensate to the of the victim racy prejudice anBy sustained. injury the victim to the full extent to inflation and to any recognition obstinate refusal give to attempt we our ignore responsibility productivity, award damage exactly “graduate the amount 96, Forsyth Palmer, 2 Harris loss.” extent of the of the law development orderly We are aware that “[T]he the persuasion must be new conditions responsive Lines, Air superior Griffith v. United reasoning.” A.2d tested rule, duly by experi- has been after it [W]hen the sense ence, to be has been found inconsistent welfare, should be less there or with the social justice . . . full abandonment. hesitation frank avowal and an untena- There to abandon greater should be readiness not discarded reason- may ble when the rule be position conduct of the to have determined ably supposed be its it was the origin when litigants, particularly *10 have or which a gained institutions conditions product of of with the the progress or significance development new years.” Process,

Cardozo, 150-51 Nature of the Judicial court, the the belief of Haven’s inflation uninformed Despite are capable are not and speculative and factors productivity For dec- experts. of definition and economic prediction by tools forecast eco- ades, refining have been economists accura- tools with proven nomic and have used these growth are economic forecasts relied upon by cy. Sophisticated and corporation, financial every major government agency, all that are based is institution. These forecasts small despite known the American and economy toleranc- in the error, past. have been accurate es of these projections Barriteau, See, A.2d D.C.App., District of Columbia Thus, there basis in 563, 566 exists reasonable fact this of inflation and impact produc- for court to consider the A court has a responsibility lost future tivity earnings. changes society. of in our In keep abreast citizenry the the of science of econom- of light recognized acceptance ics, can no longer the of this Commonwealth maintain courts the admissibility their ostrich-like stance and and deny impact of economic data of relevancy concerning reliable Indeed, inflation on lost future earnings. there will realities that be ignore presume economic because of changes no in an individual’s future factors from than vari- any is further removed reality such predict ance that result from our efforts to these may factors.

a. Inflation It would to the Haven cling be ludicrous this Court of inflation our Court’s conclusion the presence is a influenced economy temporary passing phenomenon, Information “war unusual and other circumstances.”11 index, government’s price 11. From 1940 to consumer inflation, purchasing percent. measure of rose terms of Bureau Labor Statistics the United States gathered by has economy experi- American been demonstrates living history. in the over its increase cost encing steady has not been numerically rate of inflation though Even as a inflation presence the same for the years, past Purchasing in our has constant.12 factor been economy Census, Bureau Power Dollar: U.S. (99th Edit.).13 of the United States: Statistical Abstract Thus, vary during given while the rate of inflation may any its as a fact life our period, term long presence certain. picture economic

b. Productivity *11 Moreover, factors are too the assertion lost future is earnings to consider in speculative computing is earning also fallacious.14 An capacity individual’s future power, purchase $1.00 it $3.00 took almost in 1972 to what would purchased compounded have period rate of advances over this in 1940. The approximately Purchasing annually. is Power of the 3.5% Census, 1940-78, Dollar: Bureau of Statistical Abstract of U.S. (99th Edit.) Washington, United States: 1978 D.C. 1972, (CPI) has 12. Since Price not declined the Consumer Index any through month. has From 1967 1978 the CPI risen 102%. - - 1976 1972 4.8% 3.4% - - 1977 1973 6.8% 8.8% 8.8% - - 1978 1974 9.0% 12.2% - - 13.3% 7.0% Statistics, Labor, Report Dept. of Bureau Labor U.S. of CPI Detailed (Dec. 1972-1979). through June From June 1979 1980 the CPI increased 14.3%. York, Judge Friendly McWeeney 13. Haven and noted v. New New 34, Co., 1960): (2d Hartford Railroad 282 F.2d Cir. degree continuing regard “There are few who do not some stay willing to inflation here to and would be translate their own earning power scarcely annuity, expect- into a fixed it is and to be average personal injury plaintiff ed that the will have acumen proof depres- against find investments that are both inflation and expert (Footnote sion-a task formidable for the most investor.” omitted.) compound 14. From 1947to rate of increase in 1973there was 5.6% average persons private compensation in the of all non-farm sector, approximately A'h or an increase of times. United overall Statistics, Labor, Dept, of Labor States Statistics 175 Bureau of Labor Handbook of objective factors of capable age, of estimation based Henderson, Consideration of maturity, education skill.15 of Future Discounting Earnings Increased Productivity 307, A determi Value, Present 20 S.D.L.Rev. an future based on earning capacity nation of individual’s criteria far less than most other objective speculative of fact. e. Hamil v. g., estimates made trier have Bashline, (1978) (what might 481 Pa. 392 A.2d 1280 had he received medical happened proper decedent 71 A. 1086 care); R.R., (1909) Wallace v. Pa. 222 Pa. is recoverable if it is or (future suffering likely pain Co., West Penn probable ensue); Railways Yost v. 407, 410, (1939) (future 9 A.2d 368 medical can be expense estimated).16 recovered if Admittedly, predict can be they some ing degree speculation. future entails However, reliable justify excluding alone does not is inherent com economic evidence since imprecision any putation of lost future benefits. view our acceptance economics, of the science of victim’s lost reliability should be treated like other earning capacity any of fact17 trier of question and should be submitted to the fact after foundation and expert testimony. a proper participation Normally, beginning years the labor in the force, aging process acquiring knowledge is the most or the significant upon earnings. During years, ages the middle influence *12 35-44, productivity growth dominate. In the last decade of one’s and work-life, derson, largely responsible inflation is for most advances. Hen- Cycle, the Life Fed.Ins.Coun.Q. Some Problems of Estimation Income Over Measurement, 15, and 25 28-29 “[R]egardless pattern 16. of the increase in income over the rise, life-cycle, probability money income will not on the that one’s basis, approaches little an annual zero. There is or no reason rise, disputing money earnings only problem by the is the fact that much, rate, largely depends upon how at what an issue which or segment being investigated.” 20 S.D.L.Rev. at of the labor market 312. Commonwealth, the use of tables of In this we allow provide prepared by qualified experts worth precise in order to calculations possibility analytical calculation which will enhance the reliability mortality just accept correct and results. We also expectancy. Brodie v. Philadel- tables to calculate the victim’s life Co., 296, phia Transport 203 A.2d 657

575 number joins growing now This Commonwealth productivity and which consider inflation jurisdictions future computing factors to be included integral Elliott, (Alaska v. 434 P.2d 665 See Beaulieu earnings. Reeves, 302 N.E.2d 795 v. 1967); Corporation Richmond Gas Pacific 161 Railway, v. Northern Resner (Ind.App.1973); v. Pacific 177, (1973); 86 Plourd Southern Mont. 505 P.2d 1140 Will 666, (1973); P.2d Co., 266 Or. 513 Transportation (6th 1974); 357, v. 437 F.2d 359-60 Cir. more Hertz Corp., 1974). also Baker, (Iowa v. 217 N.W.2d 708 Schnebly Co., (6th 502 F.2d 1117 Transportation v. Penn Bach Central Moore, Inc., 515 1260 v. Fishbach & F.2d 1974); Cir. Weakley law); Texas United v. (5th Cir. States 1975) (interpreting 1975); 521 Tenore v. Nu Car English, (9th F.2d 63 Cir. Carriers, 466, (1975); 613 Inc., 67 N.J. 341 A.2d Seaboard Garrison, v. Fla.App., Coast Line Company R.R. So.2d A.2d (1976); Inc., Markham v. Cross Transportation, 1359, 1364 Associated Milk Produc (R.I.1977); Osscnfort v. ers, Inc., (Minn.1977); Lumber Ter N.W.2d 683-84 minals, Nowakowski, Inc. A.2d Md.App. 290-91 (1977).

III. Jurisdictions Formulas Other Suggested By are traditional, There three middle significant approaches, which has ground, adopted evidentiary judiciary of future inflation considering impact productivity on lost 63 Va.L.Rev. at 128 n.155. earning capacity. future The ignores altogether traditional effects approach as being specu- future and future inflation “too to by lative.” This view was adhered this Com- previously monwealth, above, it is reject- for reasons hereby but stated ed.

The that it approach per- middle anomalous ground mits the consider effects of productivity factfinder future capacity, prohibits inflation on lost but earning either of these issues. expert proponents on testimony testimony of this approach argue expert acknowledge that such “speculative,” economic trends is yet *13 and, jurors of all facts are within the “common experience” 576

therefore, from prohibited applying not be jurors should a Bach v. reaching their common verdict. knowledge Co., (6th 502 1117 Cir. Penn Central F.2d Transportation 1974), Aggregates overruled Morvant Construction by 1978); and, Jasper 570 F.2d Riha v. Corp., (6th 626 Cir. However, (8th Cir. it 1975). Blackburn 516 F.2d 840 Corp., evidence is expert has been demonstrated consistently it is ap- essential to economic Since forecasting. accurate that the contributes little middle-ground approach parent of lost earnings, or accuracy predictability an allows a or to determine what judge jury paradoxically decline cannot, we it. expert adopt acknowledge its several variants allows the evidentiary The approach in awarding factfinder to consider inflation productivity there is a reasonable basis damages. Since we believe in fact to consider of inflation and impact productivity on lost future we conclude that earnings, evidentiary is the lost future concept compute most valid method However, meth- earnings. employing courts the evidentiary lost assessing. od differ on the to be considered factors and the to calculate the one hand method the inflation in the final future earning component award on the that there are Recognizing myriad other. data18 economic we find that there ways incorporate such are two versions for our consideration. appropriate ap-

The first of two variants the evidentiary these was court Feldman v. Allegheny proach developed by Airlines, aff’d, 524 F.2d 384 (D.Conn.1974), F.Supp. Feldman, husband a (1st 1975). surviving brought Cir. his wife’s death as the administrator of wrongful action liability estate. The airline as to its stipulated defendant and the trial was to the issue damages. confined Co., (1st 1974) g., e. Turcotte v. Ford Motor 494 F.2d Cir. States, incorporation method); (independent Platis v. United aff'd, (10th 1969) F.Supp. (D. Utah), 277-78 409 F.2d 1009 Cir. (allowing per year for future $500 increase of to account constant increases); States, F.Supp. wage Brooks v. United (D.S.C.1967) (increased salary last decedents annual 15% spread salary expectancy). this constant over decedents work *14 future includ- earnings for lost recovery assumed that court In order to demon- earning capacity. ed the victim’s lost what relative to court’s conclusions strate the bases for the taken, have the would course the deceased’s life probably of Mrs. Feldman’s evolving pattern court the extrapolated her college grades, life. The court the deceased’s detailed her by of the deceased held the employment opinion history, goals of the workers, expressed employment fellow the the which deceased was jobs and the for potential deceased employment history the The court also examined qualified. had creden- remarkably who similar of another individual one witness produced The defendant tials as deceased. employment prospects. who testified as to the decedent’s factors, the court the incre- predicted Based upon above increases of decedent over mental salary (productivity) her work-life expectancy.19 inflation component was faced with the

The court then to its value. present task of the award discounting and the present as the “offset The court a formula known developed method” it the estimated inflation value in which subtracted the inflation adjust- rate from the discount rate to calculate were or “real” year’s earnings ed rate of interest. Each testimony expert had an estimated 19. Based that the decedent probably age years remaining in work-life retire at 40 65, her and would assigned the court value dollar to decedent’s by accomplished forty years. task for each of the The court this scales, salary utilizing government pay since this federal GS earnings throughout potential was schedule reflective of the Washington metropolitan area. “According process, valuation ‘fiscal the value the decedent’s this 1972,’ year beginning July earning capacity fiscal GS-12, $15,040. salary step is the for the This first years, over four that for fiscal 1976 the increases the next so $17,044, salary earning capacity is the 1971 for the fifth decedent’s step earning capacity remains GS-12. The decedent’s then rearing unchanged years-eight years of child over the next nine year employment and the thereafter. decedent’s first GS-12, earning capacity goes up step sixth the decedent’s to the time, $17,545, step and continues to rise one at a thereafter step change being grade grade from each the tenth one year, step grade. higher in the fifth next In the fortieth fiscal GS-16, step salary with a the decedent at the seventh I, $33,757. infra, generally p. Table F.Supp. at 1287.

then discounted to by this “real” discount rate. The “real” discount rate the court was by 1.5%. employed The court rationalized its formula: trial,

... on the of the adduced at basis evidence evidence noticed' and collated at the judicially Appendix, notice judicial inflation- continuing erratically ary behavior of the American that 1.5 economy, per cent per is an which to year appropriate figure discount an award of based on the destruction of future damages earning when that award has itself capacity comput- been *15 ed without consideration inflation that affecting amount to the date of the subsequent injury upon which the award is premised.

Id. at 1294-129520 The second variant of the method was evidentiary adopted by Elliott, Alaska in Beaulieu v. Supreme Court 434 P.2d 665 (1967), Guinn, in refined 555 P.2d State Pursuant formula, to this Alaska courts first calculate lost future earning of the victim over his or her capacity work-life to expectancy. As productivity, Alaska court has stated: “Automatic increases to step keyed length service are their nature by very certain and at predictable the time of trial” and the court takes them into account when the lost future estimating earnings. Guinn, State v. 555 P.2d However, at 546. the court excluded as speculative evidence the “non-scheduled increases salary and bonuses appellate process 20. The court court’s summarized the district as follows: rate, calculating appellee’s expert, “In the discount relied on court, average earnings (from the district used an of 4.14% savings investments) representative prudent, mutual bank of a non-sophisticated average investment and subtracted as the 2.87% yearly Department inflation rate revealed of Labor’s Con- 18-year period, yielding sumer Price Index over an a differ- 1.27% up Judge ence which was rounded to Blumenfeld corrobo- 1.5%. ‘inflation-adjusted by calculating rated this discount rate’ of 1.5% yields government the real of investments since federal (with out) securities inflation factored from the 1974 Economic Report President, by appellant Alleghe- a source referred to ny’s expert.” Airlines, Inc., Allegheny (2nd Feldman v. 524 F.2d Cir. 1974). occupation in his chosen progresses as one granted that are Id. employer.” and value to skill, experience in terms im- inflationary component’s for the to account order of future interest the effect pact lost future that court applied the Alaska on lump-sum payment, rates method, a offset the total “total offset method.” Under value but present to its the award court does not discount rate will future inflation the effect of the assumes that rate, eliminating thereby any interest offset the completely value. to its present need to discount the award

IV. Discussion damage award formula should goal Mindful our accurate, as well as efficient, predictable strive to be this Commonwealth earning capacity lost future computing calculating to court’s approach the Feldman adopts total offset approach and the Alaska court’s value.21 We believe discounting inflation and award computes damage this method best eclectic a victim to the full extent of which will fairly compensate complexities injuries unnecessary likely his or her and avoids contributing little although reality confusion produce be obtained. accuracy Although judges degree *16 balls, with crystal tellers juries equipped are not fortune a productivity as approach determining the Feldman to approximates factor in future lost best awarding earning triers of fact all the the soothsayers by presenting foundation, expert relevant evidence. After a laying proper victim’s testify called to as to the lay witnesses are The defense possibilities. may and future past employment present the witnesses and evidence cross-examine plaintiff’s all thorough their a evaluation of Upon own behalf. requires damage be award dis- 21. This now that a Commonwealth using present percent simple six interest counted its calculating figure. requirement We not wish to disturb this do damages attempting to future contexts. We refrain “from other obviously general panacea. wiser fashion broad rules as disputes case-by-case until we is to on a basis course resolve area, experiences develop- develop, through basis a sound for [an] College ing principles.” Area School overall Pa.L.R.Bd. State District, Pa. 337 A.2d evidence the factfinder makes an presented, informed esti- mation of the victim’s lost earning capacity.22 Although this approach may be time like all estimations of consuming, future events be may subject to a it is degree speculation, more exceedingly accurate to assume that the future will not remain with the stagnant past.

We cannot embrace the Alaska court’s restrictive method as a computing productivity component of lost future since the Alaska court limits its to those inquiry step advances of service. The keyed length Alaska court’s refusal to consider the of merit possibility based increases, unfairly discriminates those against victims whose salary skill, dependent on their experience, and value to their Moreover, employer. it appears Alaska court’s conception that merit based increases are “specula- tive” is a throwback to the previously rejected traditional approach.

In support of our “total adoption offset method” in allowing factor, we inflationary note that it is no longer legitimate assume the of future inter- availability est rates by value without also discounting assum- ing concomitant of future necessary inflation. We rec- ognize that inflation has been and will probably always be an inherent part of our economy. Although specific rate of inflation during any given period may vary, we accept the fact that inflation plays an integral part effectuating increases in an we employee’s salary, and choose to adopt damage formula which will allow for that factor without actually the factfinder to consider it requiring as an inde- pendent element of the award.

Current economic demonstrates the theory accuracy total offset approach noted, inflation. As previously total offset method run, assumes that in the long inflation and the discount rate will offset each other. “At *17 approach earing capacity accepted by This tailor-made to lost many jurisdictions, jurisdictions even those which do not admit grounds speculative. evidence of inflation on the that it is Higginbotham Corp., (5th 1977). Mobil Oil 545 F.2d 422 Cir. obvious- seems too ready approach and rough first blush than precise is far less it objection to invite the ly compen- over (Feldman approach) Blumenfeld’s Judge at 69. Am.J.Comp.L. Fleming, plaintiffs.” sates the realize fail to approach offset However, critics of the total do not interest rates and future inflation rates A Inflation: vacuum, co-vary significantly. but exist in be with It can stated (1975). 85 Econ.J. Survey, in part at least depend interest rates assurance that present for The mechanism of future inflation. upon expectations W. economist E. Gibson: by was explained the adjustment lenders expected, expect “When inflation becomes to interest be payments their principal real be able to loans repay expect and borrowers depreciated be value must sacrificed which less real money with for at level Thus changed. any before expectations than of loans de- supplied the quantity market interest rates increases. Both demanded creases while quantity rates.” nominal interest forces increase Gibson, Inflationary Expectations: Bates Interest Evidence, New 62 Am.Econ.Rev. of the total- accuracy commends the theory

Modern interest offset method: tends to are the rate of interest

“¡Wjhen rising, prices compensate it be but not so as should be high high rise; rate of interest falling, and when are prices be low, compen- to be but so low as it should tends not for the fall.” sate Fisher,

I. of Interest The Theory therefore, rates, and, interest long Since over the run we inflation, shall rates, will rise and fall discount the two factors adjustment offsetting this natural exploit Accord, Freeport capacity. future earning computing Hermosa, (5th Cir. 526 F.2d Sulphur Co. v. S. S. 1976) are satisfied that total opinion). We (concurring much, if not greater, offset method at least provides would a factor that attempt assign than an accuracy in the rate of inflation over the reflect the changes varying *18 582 Our with the use of the six

years. percent experiences discount rate the suggest difficulties inherent such an As to the concomitant of approach. goals efficiency the the predictability, of total offset method is desirability obvious. There nois method that can assure absolute accu- An racy. additional feature of the total offset method is variance, where there is a it will inbe favor of the innocent victim and not the tortfeasor who caused the loss. of the total superiority approach offset becomes ap- offset parent with the value meth- upon comparison present Feldman, than od. rather the forecasting of impact inflation on an earnings, through future use of inflation adjusted rate, interest Blumenfeld Judge discounted future However, based upon dollars. from an analy- sis of involved, the formula it appears predicting pro- spective interest rates is as difficult as forecasting future inflation. Hermosa, Co. v. Freeport Sulphur S. S. F.2d (5th 1976) Cir. (concurring opinion). Notably, the merit of value an discounting present inflation adjusted interest rate was court questioned by very which it. originally proposed

“. . . [Sjince Connecticut law requires discounting to of for the destruction of damages and since such earning capacity, discounting demands assessment of the future earning power money, Court is compelled to in economic engage forecasting despite the inexactitude of the dismal science’s soothsay- It ing. is not open this Court decide that ascertainment of a discount rate has become too specula- tive to be fair, and that the mandate of statutory award- ing ‘just death would damages’ wrongful be better served by dispensing discounting process with the alto- gether. at 1293 n.30 F.Supp.

Moreover, the inherent in complexities factoring infla- tion out of the market rate interest moved Blu- Judge menfeld to observe that: is more “Nothing conclusively established the instant memorandum decision than the due in this damages amount ascertaining difficulty at 1295.23 F.Supp. case.....” offset method its the total virtue of An additional freed from are Litigators efficiency. judicial contribution to Judge economic data. complex verifying introducing consum- time complicated, are not burdened juries the varia- eliminating Finally, by economic testimony. ing *19 the damage rates from interest inflation and future bles of predictable. is more calculation, ultimate award

V. Conclusion Commonwealth, damages will be Henceforth, this the victim compensate awarded for lost future Upon proper sustained. of the injury to the full extent victim’s future foundation, consider the the court shall of law that a matter Moreover, find as we productivity. to future interest equal be future inflation shall presumed Thus, the courts of this offsetting. rates with these factors of practice to abandon are instructed Commonwealth method, we are this earnings. By discounting lost these cases without able to reflect the of inflation impact jury. question this specifically submitting to permit appellant of court’s refusal to view the trial factor to a future relating introduce evidence to be used for of a new standard and our formulation cases, we reverse the judg- in these accommodating inflation explained that: independent method offset 23. One critic of the standpoint. According practical from a “Feldman also flawed price calculations, changes in the level to the court’s own sudden vary percent .2.9 to from the real rate of interest have caused _8.9 bills, percent Treasury percent and from + term 2.0 on short percent long with these notes. Faced to +3.7 term federal interest, judge should have the trial variations in the real rate of Instead, wary adjusted selecting discount rate. an inflation been inflation, judge simply a condition a stable rate assumed percent, historically yield and arbi- of two associated with real percent trarily a half of interest to one -and lowered the real rate approach The Feldman to allow for unforeseeable fluctuations. clearly required strong assumptions both future rates about inflation and future rates of real interest.” 63 Va.L.Rev. at 105. ment below and remand the cause for a new trial as to the damage question.

ROBERTS, J., filed a concurring opinion.

FLAHERTY, J., filed a concurring and dissenting opinion. ROBERTS, Justice, concurring.

I agree that the majority practice reducing present value the lost future earnings component of personal awards should injury abrogated be and the “total offset” rule adopted in its stead. The practice reducing present value is unrealistic its failure to take into account either future inflation or deflation. generally Restate- ment (Second) of Torts 913A at p. Comment 492 (1979). § Though perhaps somewhat the total imprecise, offset rule will fairly accommodate parties in both inflationary too, times. deflationary So the total offset rule “has admin- istrative it, simplicity recommend since it avoids rather complex calculations involved in reducing to present value.” *20 Dobbs, D. Indeed, Remedies 8.7 at p. (1973). § any person who has heard a court’s value” “present will charge attest to the wisdom of abrogating practice. See Brodie v. Co., Philadelphia 296, 415 Pa. Transportation 203 A.2d 657 (1964).

I also agree that a jury majority may consider of evidence a victim’s lost future earning increases. It is my however, that understanding, law Pennsylvania has long permitted consideration both of jury earning decreases and increases. earning For example, Proposed Jury Instruc- tion 6.22 (Civil) on Fluctuations” “Earnings provides:

“If you find that the will suffer an plaintiff impairment or loss of as earning power ., the result of this accident . . take you may into possible consideration fluctuations with respect words, such losses. In other if you find that the plaintiff’s . .. wages would have increased or decreased over the years, will take you that factor into consideration so that proper can compensation be made.” Committee for Stan- Proposed Court Supreme Pennsylvania Draft October dard Instructions Subcommittee Jury Schwartz, McCaffrey also e.g., Brodie v. other Philadel- grounds, overruled on (1926), A. 810 Bernstein, Co., M. “Dam- Robert supra; phia Transportation in Pennsylvania,” Cases in and Death ages Injury Personal 9Q. (1951). 23 Pa. Bar Ass’n result does not today’s

It also be observed should increases. only earning reflecting mandate verdicts jury free to evidence, both sides are rules of accepted Within to establish their proof respec- and relevant offer competent the evidence offered in challenge as to tive well positions opposition. the exclusive represent result does not

Finally, today’s into factors account future economic taking means losses over future covering cases of awards larger damage be of fact may helpful special findings For years. example, injured not the the tortfeasor making certain that neither future economic condi- or unduly benefited prejudiced California, states, Also, including tions. at least thirteen laws allow- have enacted Delaware, Florida, and Maryland, in medical mal- periodic form of payments some ing “The Periodic Payment T. practice Elligett, actions. See 134 n.49 Very J. 46 Ins. Counsel Judgments,” of Commissioners Uni- Conference recently National draft a “Uniform form Laws an adopted approved State which in- Act” authorizes Periodic Payment Judgments injury cases. See of awards payment personal stallment Henderson, of Bodily “Periodic Payments generally Roger C. Awards,” Installment pay- 66 A.B.A.J. Injury ment of the uniform act provisions speculation involved guesswork

“eliminate[ ] *21 is asked to discount the jury when lump-sum system and, an awards of future damages present future rates of predict of jurisdictions, number increasing accrue, as losses paid will be damages inflation. Since With regard value. there is no need to discount in the inflation, adjustments unpaid provides the act award is damages installments so that the not eroded by inflation.” approaches,

Id. at 736. common-law Appropriate including like, and the special installment findings, payments, may, course, that full and real effect be fashioned to assure and given adjudication liability damages. e.g., 438, 429, v. Allegheny, Ellenbogen County Schaefer, 730, A.2d “Precedent and Poli- (1978); 734-35 W. 34 U.Chi.L.Rev. 3 cy,”

FLAHERTY, Justice, and concurring dissenting. Tonner, I concur in the view that- v. While Havens fully 1271 (1976), 365 A.2d should be unceremo- Pa.Super. law of this Commonwealth niously eliminated from the as unrealistic, majority’s adoption I must dissent to the of what method”, it calls the se rule” of doubtful “per “total offset one, True, such an is a but it does validity. approach simple and, not achieve has been one justice, only adopted i.e., We jurisdiction, Alaska. should simply permit expert and productivity. the issues of inflation Such testimony issue, is, course, subject on both testimony, sides to its validity cross-examination argument Thus, weigh is free to evidence before weight. jury it and This is also simple, provides render its verdict. justice in with our time honored principles. accordance A.2d Pennsylvania

COMMONWEALTH Wayne Spann, Appellant. Levan FORD a/k/a

Supreme Pennsylvania. Court of Jan. 1979.

Submitted Sept. Decided

Case Details

Case Name: Kaczkowski v. Bolubasz
Court Name: Supreme Court of Pennsylvania
Date Published: Sep 22, 1980
Citation: 421 A.2d 1027
Docket Number: 116
Court Abbreviation: Pa.
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