John Doe v. Louis W. Sullivan, M.D., Secretary of Health and Human ServicesJohn Doe v. Louis W. Sullivan, M.D., Secretary of Health and Human Services
Lead Opinion
Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge RUTH BADER GINSBURG.
Dissenting opinion filed by Circuit Judge CLARENCE THOMAS.
This appeal concerns an interim regulation promulgated in urgent circumstances under the Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act,
Operation Desert Storm ended during the pendency of this appeal. The challenged FDA regulation, however, remains in place. Neither the DOD nor the FDA has proposed its withdrawal. The named plaintiffs therefore persist in urging adjudication of their facial challenge to the FDA’s regulation. They maintain, and we agree, that the controversy they press is one “capable of repetition, yet evading review.” While we further conclude that the consistency of the regulation with the governing law is justiciable, we agree with the district court that the regulation is within the FDA’s statutory authority under the FDC Act, and does not transgress any other legal constraint. For that reason, we affirm the order dismissing the complaint.
I. Background
On August 2, 1990, Iraq invaded Kuwait. In response, the United States deployed troops to Saudi Arabia as part of Operation Desert Shield and, under the mandate of the United Nations, began preparing for war. In addition to conventional arms, the Iraqi government had stockpiled a variety
The DOD identified as useful against the Iraqi threat two investigational drugs which had not been approved by the FDA for the specific uses proposed.
Section 505(i) of the FDC Act and FDA regulations generally require that the experts who administer investigational drugs first obtain from recipients their informed consent. See
After identifying the two investigational drugs it wished to use in Operation Desert Shield, the DOD concluded that obtaining informed consent in the heat of imminent or ongoing combat would not be practicable. In battlefield situations, the DOD maintained, “[i]f a soldier’s life will be endangered by nerve gas ... it is not acceptable from a military standpoint to defer to whatever might be the soldier’s personal preference” for treatment. 55 Fed.Reg. 52,814, 52,815 (1990) (Letter from DOD’s Assistant Secretary of Defense (Health Affairs) (October 30, 1990) to Department of Health and Human Services Assistant Secretary for Health). The safety of other personnel in a soldier’s unit and the accomplishment of the combat mission, the DOD urged, warranted mandatory use of investi-gational drugs.
The combat-ready personnel, whom DOD wanted to treat with the investigational drugs prior to any exposure to nerve gas or biological warfare, did not fit within the existing regulatory exception from informed consent requirements. The DOD therefore sought, and the FDA adopted, a regulatory change. On December 21, 1990, the FDA promulgated Rule 23(d) as an interim regulation. See 55 Fed.Reg. 52,817 (to be codified at
On December 31, 1990, and January 8, 1991, in response to DOD requests, the FDA issued waiver rulings under Rule 23(d). Those rulings determined that obtaining informed consent was not feasible, because of military combat exigencies in Operation Desert Shield, for the use of two investigational drugs, a nerve gas pretreatment and a botulism poisoning preventative. See supra note 1.
Doe, a serviceman stationed in Saudi Arabia, brought this action on January 11, 1991. His wife, suing derivatively, joined him as co-plaintiff. Proceeding under a fictitious name, and invoking
The district court dismissed Doe’s action on January 31, 1991, twenty days after the complaint was filed and seventy days short of the time allowed for a motion to certify an alleged class. See D.D.C. Local Rule 203(b) (motion for certification due “[wjith-in 90 days after the filing of a complaint”). Since the date of the district court’s final order, the United States and its allies have fought and defeated Iraq. At midnight, February 27,1991, President Bush declared a ceasefire. On March 15, 1991, the DOD formally notified the FDA that the military operation creating the need for use of the two drug products without informed consent had ended. Under the terms of
II. Mootness
Article III of the Constitution allows federal courts to adjudicate only “actual, ongoing controversies.” Honig v. Doe,
The end of the war against Iraq, and the attendant termination of the informed consent waivers geared to that conflict, have rendered moot Doe’s endeavor to block implementation of the December 31, 1990, and January 8, 1991, specific applications of the FDA’s
If “(1) the challenged action was in its duration too short to be fully litigated prior to its cessation or expiration, and (2) there [is] a reasonable expectation that the same complaining party [will] be subjected to the same action again,” then the controversy is “capable of repetition, yet evading review.” Weinstein v. Bradford,
The “evading review” standard, we conclude, is securely satisfied here, and our dissenting colleague does not quarrel with that conclusion. The consent waivers granted by the FDA for Desert Shield were withdrawn within three months.
Orders of considerably longer duration have been held to evade review. See First National Bank of Boston v. Bellotti,
We are mindful, too, of a notice concern advanced by Doe. Under
Turning to the “capable of repetition” requirement, we are reminded by the government of this statement in Clarke,
Official reports indicate, however, that conditions changed ominously in the 1980s. In very recent years, the global spread of chemical and biological weapons has become a matter of grave concern to national defense planners. See generally E. Spiers, Chemical Weaponry: A Continuing Challenge 126-57 (1989) (prospects for chemical warfare and assessment of modern chemical weaponry). See also Statement by President on Chemical Weapons Initiative, 27 Weekly Comp. Pres. Doc. 599 (May 13, 1991) (“The Gulf war has once again raised the specter of chemical weapons and demonstrated that unscrupulous regimes can and will threaten innocent populations with these weapons of terror so long as we permit them to exist.”).
In 1989 Senate testimony, Judge William H. Webster, Director, Central Intelligence Agency, addressed “the very serious problem of the proliferation of chemical and biological weapons.” Hearings on Global Spread of Chemical and Biological Weapons Before the Senate Comm, on Governmental Affairs and Perm. Subcomm. on Investigations, 101st Cong., 1st Sess. 10 (1989) (“Chemical Weapons Hearings”). Judge Webster estimated that “at least 20 countries” had chemical weapons, id. at 18; he anticipated that the disturbing trend would continue “despite ongoing multi-lat-eral efforts to stop the[] proliferation.” Id. at 10. “At least 10 countries,” he further stated, “are working to produce both previously known and futuristic biological weapons.” Id. Judge Webster listed, among nations that commenced large-scale production and stockpiling of chemical warfare agents in the 1980s: Iraq, Syria, Iran, and Libya. Id. at 11-13. See also Harris, Chemical Weapons Proliferation in the Developing World, in Rusi and Brassey’s Defense Yearbook 1989, at 67-88 (1989), reprinted in Chemical Weapons Hearings at 608-29.
A 1990 Army report observed: “Chemical weapons are rapidly becoming low cost weapons of mass destruction for poorer nations. These weapons are neither difficult nor expensive to produce. The Iraqi and Iranian use of chemicals in the Gulf War is likely to encourage other combatants to use these weapons.” M. Stone & C. Vuono, Trained and Ready in an Era of Change: The Posture of the United States Army, Fiscal Year 1991, reprinted in Department of Defense Appropriations for 1991: Hearings Before a Sub-comm. of the House Comm, on Appropriations, 101st Cong., 2d Sess. 931 (1990) (“DOD Appropriations Hearings ”). The Secretary of Defense, in his Annual Report to the President and Congress, January 1990, cautioned: “[G]iven the attractiveness of chemical weapons to Third World countries, the United States must be able to deter the use of chemical weapons against our forces.” DOD Appropriations Hearings at 163. The Marine Corps, in 1990, requested an additional 52,555 protective masks “to survive and continue to operate” in a contaminated environment, noting that the “threat is formidable.” Id. at 771-72. See also D. Cheney, Annual Report of the Secretary of Defense to the President and Congress, January 1991, at 3 (“Proliferation of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons and the missile technology for long-range delivery systems will make regional conflict increasingly destructive and lethal.”); id. at 6 (“Third world nations in pursuit of nuclear, chemi
Doe, though among the troops brought safely home, remains a soldier in the service of the United States, subject to assignment wherever his country needs him. In common with the class he sought to represent, see supra pp. 1374-75, he originally had, and has not lost, a “personal stake” in this case. Cf. United States Parole Commission v. Geraghty,
We recognize as well “the flexible character of the Art[icle] III mootness doctrine” developed in Supreme Court guidepost decisions. See Geraghty,
The government argues that Doe’s challenge is either too late or too early: moot because Operation Desert Storm is over; not ripe, because the next conflict is not yet upon us. Under these tight lines, it appears, Doe and other soldiers similarly situated could litigate
Given the Supreme Court’s instruction to apply the “reasonable expectation” standard without excessive “stringency,” see Honig v. Doe,
III. Amenability to Judicial Review
The district court, although it ruled, conditionally, that Doe’s complaint lacked legal merit, held, initially, that Doe’s claims were not amenable to judicial review. Only the electoral branches — Congress and the President — that court indicated, are competent authorities in matters of military disci
Plaintiffs’ claim against the Secretary of Health and Human Services regarding the FDA’s interim rule arguably does not implicate military discipline and strategy. Whether the fact that the interim rule was adopted at the DOD’s request in preparing for possible war insulates it from the ordinary scope of judicial review is not clear. However, Congress delegated rulemaking authority regarding unapproved drugs to the FDA, which is part of the executive branch.21 U.S.C. § 355(i) . The FDA exercised that delegated authority in adopting§ 50.23(d) . The Supreme Court has cast the principle of judicial deference to the electoral branches in military matters in broad terms. See, e.g., Chappell v. Wallace,462 U.S. 296 ,103 S.Ct. 2362 [76 L.Ed.2d 586 ] (1983); Gilligan v. Morgan,413 U.S. 1 ,93 S.Ct. 2440 [37 L.Ed.2d 407 ] (1973). On balance, therefore, the Court believes that [Rule 23(d) ] is not reviewable.
Doe v. Sullivan,
In contrast to the turbulent background of this litigation, Doe’s facial challenge to
From the main rule that administrative acts are reviewable in court on the complaint of a person adversely affected within the meaning of a relevant statute (here, principally the informed consent provision in section 505(i) of the FDC Act), the Administrative Procedure Act (APA) excepts, inter alia, “military authority exercised in the field in time of war or in occupied territory.”
Doe currently does not ask us to review military commands made in combat zones or in preparation for, or in the aftermath of, battle. His claim, as now advanced, entails no judicial interference with the relationship between soldiers and their military superiors. Cf. Chappell v. Wallace,
Plaintiffs seek review under the Administrative Procedure Act ... of a rule published in the Federal Register by the Secretary of HHS, who is not part of any military chain of command.... [W]hen he adopted the rule, [the Secretary] did not purport to be exercising the President’s powers as Commander in Chief. Rather, he relied exclusively on his au*1381 thority under the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, ... a statute which cannot, by any stretch of the imagination, be construed as a source of authority for “military discipline.”
Reply Brief at 2-3. That explanation accurately portrays Doe’s APA claim.
The FDA’s
IV. Merits
On the issue ultimately dispositive of this appeal, we are in accord with the district court: the FDA’s
A. The FDC Act
We review the FDA’s interpretation of the FDC Act under the two-step formulation restated in Chevron U.S.A. v. Natural Resources Defense Council,
Doe urged in the district court, and maintains on appeal, that Congress spoke plainly in the FDC Act and that the FDA failed to give effect to the unambiguously expressed legislative intent; in other words, Doe contends that the FDA’s
Congress provided, in section 505(i) of the FDC Act, for the' use of unapproved investigational drugs only on the informed
Doe observes that, before the FDA adopted
In common with the district court, we do not find the text of FDC Act section 505(i) free from ambiguity. The FDA currently reads “not feasible” to include “impracticable,” taking into account particularly urgent circumstances: a combat-zone setting, the safety of military personnel at that location, and the compelling need to promote success of the service members’ mission. That reading, as the district court said, “is well within the ordinary meaning” of the words Congress used. See Doe v. Sullivan,
We note, furthermore, that the statutory section in question emphasizes the professional judgment of the experts responsible for administering the unapproved investi-gational new drugs to human subjects; the legislative text permits exceptions “where [those experts] deem [consent] not feasible.” See
While it is true that the FDA’s prior interpretation of the words “not feasible” focused on the subject’s condition, the agency here has not reversed course. It has simply added a tightly circumscribed set of urgent circumstances in which the main rule of informed consent, with fidelity to the statute’s terms, can be displaced. Cf. Rust v. Sullivan, — U.S. -,
The FDA’s
B. The Defense Authorization Act
In support of his contention that
C. The Fifth Amendment Due Process Clause
In most circumstances, as Doe observes, the Constitution’s due process guarantee protects an individual’s liberty to decide whether or not to submit to serious medical treatment. See, e.g., Washington v. Harper,
CONCLUSION
(1) Soldier Doe’s complaint retains vitality to the extent that it presents a facial challenge to the legality of the FDA’s
For the reasons stated, the dismissal of Doe’s complaint is
Affirmed.
Notes
.The two drugs were pyridostigmine bromide 30 mg tablets and pentavalent botulinum toxoid vaccine. The DOD contemplated use of pyridos-tigmine bromide as a pretreatment to help prevent or ameliorate the effects of nerve gas. The drug is self-administered in tablet form prior to exposure. Its use increases the beneficial effects of two FDA-approved post-exposure nerve gas drugs: atropine and pralidoxime chloride. Pyridostigmine bromide is currently approved as a treatment for myasthenia gravis, a neuro-muscular disorder. The DOD proposed using a dosage that would be 15% of the average daily dosage used to treat myasthenia gravis. Pentavalent botulinum toxoid vaccine is a prophylactic treatment which the DOD considered useful to prevent botulism poisoning caused by biological warfare. It has been used for over 20 years by laboratory workers at risk of exposure to botulism.
According to the DOD, "[t]he only current medical/scientific reservations about these [two] drugs relate to specific evidence of efficacy in human beings exposed to specific chemical and biological warfare agents_ [Evidence of efficacy in actual human use cannot be obtained through controlled clinical trials ... because humans cannot intentionally be exposed to chemical or biological [warfare] agents in order to test the effectiveness of a drug.” Martin Declaration at 2-3, J.A. at 32-33.
Doe maintains that pyridostigmine has several known side effects and risks unknown adverse consequences when used as a nerve gas treatment, particularly in conjunction with the two approved post-exposure nerve gas drugs. Botu-linum vaccine, Doe notes, also carries a risk of adverse reactions.
. Section 505(i) of the FDC Act reads in pertinent part:
The Secretary [of Health and Human Services] shall promulgate regulations for exempting ... drugs intended solely for investi-gational use by experts.... Such regulations shall provide ... that experts using such drugs ... will inform any human beings to whom such drugs ... are being administered ... and will obtain the consent of such human beings or their representatives, except where [the experts] deem it not feasible or, in their professional judgment, contrary to the best interests of such human beings.
Substantially the same prescription appears in FDA Act section 507(d),
. The FDA informed consent regulation reads in part:
Except as provided in§ 50.23 no investigator may involve a human being as a subject in research covered by these regulations unless the investigator has obtained the legally effective informed consent of the subject....
. Prior to the addition of a new subsection in December 1990, the FDA regulation on exception from the informed consent requirement read:
§ 50.23 Exception from the general requirements.
(a) The obtaining of informed consent shall be deemed feasible unless, before use of the test article (except as provided in paragraph (b) of this section), both the investigator and a physician who is not otherwise participating in the clinical investigation certify in writing all of the following:
(1) The human subject is confronted by a life-threatening situation necessitating the use of the test article;
(2) Informed consent cannot be obtained from the subject because of an inability to communicate with or obtain legally effective consent from the subject;
(3) Time is not sufficient to obtain consent from the subject’s legal representative;
(4) There is available no alternative method of approved or generally recognized therapy that provides an equal or greater likelihood of saving the life of the subject.
(b) If immediate use of the test article is, in the investigator’s opinion, required to preserve the life of the subject, and time is not sufficient to obtain the independent determination required in paragraph (a) of this section in advance of using the test article, the determinations of the clinical investigator shall be made and, within 5 working days after the use of the article, be reviewed and evaluated in writing by a physician who is not participating in the clinical investigation.
(c) The documentation required in paragraph (a) or (b) of this section shall be submitted to the IRB [Institutional Review Board] within 5 working days after the use of the test.
.
(d)(1) The Commissioner may also determine that obtaining informed consent is not feasible when the Assistant Secretary of Defense (Health Affairs) requests such a determination in connection with the use of an investigation drug (including an antibiotic or biological product) in a specific protocol under an investigation new drug application (IND) sponsored by the Department of Defense (DOD). DOD’s request for a determination that obtaining informed consent from military personnel is not feasible must be limited to a specific military operation involving combat or the immediate threat of combat. The request must also include a written justification supporting the -conclusions of the physician(s) responsible for the medical care of the military personnel involved and the investigator(s) identified in the IND that a military combat exigency exists because of special military combat (actual or threatened) circumstances in which, in order to facilitate the accomplishment of the military mission, preservation of the health of the individual and the safety of other personnel require that a particular treatment be provided to a specified group*1374 of military personnel, without regard to what might be any individual's personal preference for no treatment or for some alternative treatment. The written request must also include a statement that a duly constituted institutional review board has reviewed and approved the use of the investigation drug without informed consent. The Commissioner may find that informed consent is not feasible only when withholding treatment would be contrary to the best interests of military personnel and there is no available satisfactory alternative therapy.
(2)In reaching a determination under paragraph (d)(1) of this section that obtaining informed consent is not feasible and withholding treatment would be contrary to the best interests of military personnel, the Commissioner will review the request submitted under paragraph (d)(1) of this section and take into account all pertinent factors, including, but not limited to:
(i) The extent and strength of the evidence of the safety and effectiveness of the investigational drug for the intended use;
(ii) The context in which the drug will be administered, e.g., whether it is intended for use in a battlefield or hospital setting or whether it will be self-administered or will be administered by a health professional;
(iii) The nature of the disease or condition for which the preventive or therapeutic treatment is intended; and
(iv) The nature of the information to be provided to the recipients of the drug concerning the potential benefits and risks of taking or not taking the drug.
(3) The Commissioner may request a recommendation from appropriate experts before reaching a determination on a request submitted under paragraph (d)(1) of this section.
(4) A determination by the Commissioner that obtaining informed consent is not feasible and withholding treatment would be contrary to the best interests of military personnel will expire at the end of 1 year, unless renewed at DOD’s request, or when DOD informs the Commissioner that the specific military operation creating the need for the use of the investiga-tional drug has ended, whichever is earlier. The Commissioner may also revoke this determination based on changed circumstances. 55 Fed.Reg. 52,814, 52,817 (1990).
. That 1985 measure reads:
Limitation on use of humans as experimental subjects
Funds appropriated to the Department of Defense may not be used for research involving a human being as an experimental subject unless—
(1) the informed consent of the subject is obtained in advance; or
(2) in the case of research intended to be beneficial to the subject, the informed consent of the subject or a legal representative of the subject is obtained in advance.
. See, e.g., Appellants’ Response to Motion of Secretary of Defense and Secretary of Health and Human Services to Dismiss Appeal as Moot at 2 ("[P]laintiffs’ facial challenge to
.Although the FDA designated
. Doe’s action was expedited in the district court and in this court. The possibility of expedited review, however, as we have previously stated, does not figure in the "evading review” calculus. See The Washington Post v. Robinson,
. The government suggests that a
We do not venture to guess whether combat episodes involving United States troops in the future will be brief or protracted. We reiterate, however, that
. The President stated that the United States would lead the world’s nations in forswearing use of chemical weapons. Id. at 600. At the same time, he recognized the grave danger currently existing, and the many years it would take, even for nations ultimately persuaded to follow our lead, to destroy existing stocks.
. Reviewing the published reports, commentators have observed: "[R]egarding chemical weapons ... the leading countries are coming to realize that they, too, are vulnerable to insidious threats[.]” See Koplow & Schrag, Carrying a Big Carrot: Linking Multilateral Disarmament and Developmental Assistance, 91 Colum.L.Rev. 993, 1000 (1991).
. This risk, still real, distances Doe’s case from the inherently incapable of repetition category. See, e.g., Craig v. Boren,
Similarly set apart from Doe’s challenge are cases in which one must posit a misdeed to forecast recurrence. See, e.g., Weinstein v. Bradford,
We acknowledge, on the other hand, that, as our dissenting colleague underscores, the recurrence prospect here does not qualify as a strong probability. See, e.g., SEC v. Sloan,
Now that Operation Desert Storm has ended, Doe’s challenge to
. It is reasonable to expect that the same limitations on human testing that prevented the FDA from approving the two drugs originally at issue in this case will continue to restrict the FDA’s ability to approve chemical and biological warfare antidotes. See supra note 1. It is similarly reasonable to expect that, if faced with a chemical or biological military threat in the future, the DOD would again undertake a review of available treatments and that such a review would again point to one or more unapproved, investigational drugs.
The dissent lists six events that must occur in sequence for Doe’s challenge to recur. See dissent at 1385. The first, "a specific military operation involving combat or the immediate threat of combat,” is hard to categorize as “improbable.” Cf. supra note 10. Events three through six — involving the DOD’s request for a
. The government acknowledges that it would be “nonsense” to maintain that "military matters are categorically immune from judicial review.” Brief for Appellees at 27. Nevertheless, the government maintained at oral argument that the consistency of FDA’s
. In a thoughtful opinion not appealed by the government, Judge Sirica held unconstitutional an absolute statutory ban on assignment of female personnel to duty on navy vessels. See Owens v. Brown,
[T]he deserved margin of latitude afforded the political branches of government in rendering military judgments seems as a general matter to figure more prominently into whether particular decisions are lawful than into whether they are susceptible to review at all. Whether the deference due particular military determinations rises to the level of occasioning non-reviewability is a question that varies from case to case and turns on the degree to which the specific determinations are laden with discretion and the likelihood that judicial resolution will involve the courts in an inappropriate degree of supervision over primary military activities.
Id. at 300 (emphasis in original). Resolving the question Doe’s claim poses, we think, involves mine-run statutory and constitutional interpretation and not supervision of primary military activities.
. The statute also authorizes regulations providing an exception where investigators “in their professional judgment, [deem obtaining consent] contrary to the best interests of such human beings."
. At argument, Doe’s counsel, in a candid and clarifying exchange appreciated by the court, recognized that the success of his case depended upon acceptance of the contention that Congress had unambiguously expressed its intent. We set out here the relevant colloquy:
COURT: You are arguing in other words, in the language that this court uses, that this statute is so clear that this is a Chevron I case_ Are you saying this is a plain meaning case?
COUNSEL: This is a plain meaning case.
COURT: If you're wrong about that then you lose? Is that correct?
COUNSEL: If we’re wrong about that, then we lose.
COURT: If it is a Chevron II, what we call a Chevron II case, you lose under that, right?
COUNSEL: I'd say that’s correct, your honor.
. For the full text of
Dissenting Opinion
dissenting:
The war has ended and the troops are home, but to the majority this case lives on. I respectfully dissent.
As the majority explains, the Department of Defense, preparing for combat, last fall reassessed its ability to prevent and treat the physiological hazards associated with chemical and biological warfare. The Department recognized that two drugs would help allied soldiers survive if Iraq engaged in such warfare. Neither drug had been approved by the FDA, however, and then-current FDA regulations (codified at
On December 21, 1990, less than one month before Desert Shield became Desert Storm, the FDA added subsection (d) to rule 23. The newly-added subsection allows the Department of Defense to request a determination from the Commissioner of the FDA that obtaining informed consent is not feasible, but only, as the majority notes, under certain strictly limited circumstances. See id. at 52,817.
First, there must be “a specific military operation involving combat or the immediate threat of combat.” Second, the Department must support in writing the conclusions of Department doctors and investigators that there exist “special military combat ... circumstances in which, in order to facilitate the accomplishment of the military mission, preservation of the health of the individual and the safety of other personnel require that a particular treatment be provided to a specified group of military personnel.” Third, the Department must determine that the treatment should be provided “without regard to what might be any individual’s personal preference for no treatment or for some alternative treatment.” Fourth, the Department must confirm that an institutional review board has approved the waiver request. Fifth, the Commissioner of the FDA must determine that there exists “no available satisfactory alternative therapy.” Sixth, the Commissioner must determine that “withholding treatment would be contrary to the best interests of military personnel.” In reaching that decision, the Commissioner must take into account “all pertinent factors,” including the safety of the investigational drug, its effectiveness, the context in which it will be administered, the nature of the disease or condition to be treated, and the information to be provided to those taking the drug on the benefits and risks of taking or not taking the drug. If the Commissioner does decide to grant the Department’s request, the waiver automatically expires in a year or when the Department tells the Commissioner that the military threat has ended, whichever comes first.
John Doe, stationed at the time in Saudi Arabia, filed this suit (with his wife, whose cause of action is derivative) on January 11, 1991, fewer than five days before Desert Storm began. Seeking a declaration that rule 23(d) is invalid and an injunction fore-
Each of the challenges is moot. On February 27, President Bush halted offensive military operations in the Gulf, and on March 15, the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Health Affairs, pursuant to rule 23(d), informed the Commissioner of the FDA that “the specific military operations creating the need for the use of these two drug products without informed consent has ended.” The rule is no longer in play. Doe thus will not be subjected to the rule, and he retains no live, personal stake in the outcome of the suit that challenges it.
The Does concede, and the majority acknowledges, that their as-applied challenges are moot. Summoning up what the majority calls the “exception to the mootness doctrine for controversies that are ‘capable of repetition, yet evading review,’ ” ante at 1375-76, however, the Does continue to press their facial challenges to the rule, and the majority proceeds to adjudicate them. I find this case moot for the reasons that follow. Because I believe that we have no power to decide this lawsuit, I express no view of the merits.
The majority correctly restates the two requirements of what the Supreme Court recently emphasized remains “the exceptional situation,” Lewis,
For the action that the Does challenge to recur, a sequence of events must take place, each of those events mandated by rule 23(d) itself. Yet the occurrence of any of those events is improbable alone and virtually unimaginable in sequence. First, the United States would have to embark on “a specific military operation involving combat or the immediate threat of combat.” Second, the military operation would have to involve medical hazards that require treatment with an investigational drug. Third, the Department of Defense would have to determine that special military circumstances made informed consent infeasible. Fourth, an institutional review board would have to agree. Fifth, the Commissioner of the FDA would have to determine that no alternative to the investi-gational drug exists. Sixth, the Commissioner would have to evaluate the Department’s request in light of the factors set out in rule 23(d) and then agree to it. Most important, John Doe himself would have to be involved in the war and subject personally to the medical threat. If the Does fail to show that there exists a “reasonable expectation” that any one of these conditions will occur, this court may not exercise jurisdiction over their claims.
Minimizing most of these contingencies, the majority concentrates on citing evidence meant to show that there exists a risk of chemical warfare. See ante at 1377; cf. Whiteside, Annals of the Cold War — The Yellow-Rain Complex (pts. 1 & 2), The New Yorker (Feb. 11, 1991 & Feb. 18, 1991). Chemical warfare has indeed been waged, with tragic results, on unarmed civilians in Kurdistan, but the majority surely overstates those risks to American soldiers, such as Doe — after all, American soldiers have not been the victims of organized chemical attack since the First World War. Moreover, some of the evidence that the majority cites suggests that the likelihood of chemical warfare will diminish in the future: President Bush recently announced our country’s commit
we are formally forswearing the use of chemical weapons for any reason, including retaliation, against any state, ... and will propose that all states follow suit. Further, the United States unconditionally commits itself to the destruction of all our stocks of chemical weapons within 10 years ... and will propose that all other states do likewise.
27 Weekly Comp. Pres. Doc. 599, 600 (May 13, 1991).
In any event, it is not enough that a war involving chemical weapons may occur at some time in the future. Nor is it enough that that war might lead the Department of Defense to invoke the strict conditions of rule 23(d) or that each of the conditions might be met, possibilities almost as speculative as the possibility that American troops might face a chemical attack. Instead, there must be a reasonable likelihood that John Doe personally will be involved in that war, that he personally will face the medical threat that requires the administration of investigational drugs, and that he personally will be subject to the operation of rule 23(d). The majority focuses on rule 23(d) in the abstract — and in the process forgets about Doe, the plaintiff.
Yet it was Doe, of course, who by alleging concrete injury made this case a “case” instead of a request for an advisory opinion. The majority concludes that Doe “has not lost a ‘personal stake’ in this case” because “Doe, though among the troops brought safely home, remains a soldier.” Ante at 1378. But Doe’s remaining a soldier only lets the majority bring Doe’s being subjected to rule 23(d) from the realm of the impossible (since the rule applies only to soldiers) to the realm of the extraordinarily unlikely. This is all the majority can do — for the record is virtually silent. Is Doe about to be discharged, this year, or next? Does he serve in the infantry, or behind a desk? Has he been assigned for the rest of his tour to permanent duty in the United States? If sent back overseas, will Doe serve in England or Germany, or in the Middle East? Doe tells us nothing, and without more information we cannot determine whether Doe himself faces any likelihood of being subjected to rule 23(d).
Doe, in his silence, has failed to carry his burden of proving the existence of federal jurisdiction. All that we do know is that the war with Iraq ended in February and that on April 29, Doe left the Gulf and returned to the United States with his unit. We also know that Doe, as far as the record reveals, had never before been subjected to combat giving rise to the need for investigational drugs, and in the thirty years since the Food, Drug & Cosmetic Act has required informed consent before the drugs can be administered, the government had never before this fall asked that the requirement be waived. We noted in Clarke that when a court “estimates] the likelihood of an event’s occurring in the future, a natural starting point is how often it has occurred in the past.”
In my view, this case is moot. I would therefore vacate the decision of the district court and remand this case with instructions to dismiss.