Opinion for the Court by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
Congress has addressed the problems of miner safety on various occasions, the questions here arising with respect to the Secretary of Labor’s response to Congress’ focus on refuge alternatives for underground coal mines. The International Union, United Mine Workers of America (“UMWA”) petitions for review of the Refuge Alternatives for Underground Coal Mines, 73 Fed.Reg. 80,656 (Dec. 31, 2008) (codified at 30 C.F.R. pts. 7, 75) (“Final Rule”). The UMWA contends the provision on training violates statutory standards and, like the refuge volume provision, is arbitrary and capricious.
We grant the petition with respect to the training requirement for miners and remand the Final Rule for the Mine Safety and Health Administration (“MSHA”), acting on behalf of the Secretary, to explain the basis for requiring “hands-on” training only annually rather than quarterly. Although the training provision is, as statutorily required, “consistent with” the recommendations of the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health (“NIOSH”), these requirements are nonetheless arbitrary and capricious because *87 MSHA has not explained the basis for them other than to state it relied upon its “knowledge and expertise.” A conclusory statement is inadequate when expert evidence in the rulemaking record indicated why quarterly hands-on training was necessary and MSHA itself had identified problems of skill degradation.
We deny the petition with respect to the provision on minimum refuge volume per miner. The final rule was a logical outgrowth of the proposed rule: MSHA gave interested parties sufficient notice and opportunity for comment. The provision also is neither arbitrary nor capricious.
I.
After several high-profile mine accidents involving multiple fatalities, Congress enacted the Mine Improvement and New Emergency Response Act of 2006, Pub.L. No. 109-236, 120 Stat. 493 (2006) (partially codified in scattered sections of 29 and 30 U.S.C.) (“MINER Act”), and instructed the Secretary to consider expanded use of refuge alternatives in which trapped miners can seek shelter. Section 6 created the Office of Mine Safety and Health within NIOSH to enhance the development of technology and to assist with research, through grants and contractual arrangements with educational institutions and qualifying private parties.
In December 2007, Congress directed the Secretary to “propose regulations ... consistent with the recommendations of the [NIOSH Report] ... requiring rescue chambers, or facilities that afford at least the same measure of protection” not later than June 15, 2008, and to “finalize the regulations not later than December 31, 2008.” Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2008, Pub.L. No. 110-161, § 112(b), 121 Stat. 1844, 2168 (2007) (“2008 Appropriations Act”) (emphasis added). On June 16, 2008, MSHA published a notice of proposed rulemaking (“NPRM”), 73 Fed.Reg. 34,140, and, following the receipt of comments, promulgated the Final Rule on December 31, 2008. The UMWA petitions for review of the miner training and refuge volume provisions in the Final Rule.
Training. The NIOSH Report to Congress made a series of recommendations on training miners on the use of refuge alternatives. See Office of Mine Safety & Health, NIOSH, Research Report on Refuge Alternatives for Underground Coal Mines at 15-16 (Dec.2007) (“NIOSH Report”). It separately addressed, in research, motor task training on the operation of a refuge chamber, decision-making training on when to use a refuge chamber, and expectations training to help miners attain realistic expectations about what it would be like to spend four days in a refuge chamber. See Issues Regarding Refuge Chamber Training, NIOSH, Docket No. BKG-25 (“NIOSH Research”). Most notably, the Report stated that “NIOSH research indicates that motor task training, i.e., how to use refuge alternatives, should be given quarterly, possibly in conjunction with the mandatory mine *88 evacuation training and drills.” NIOSH Report at 15. The NIOSH Report also recommended that decision-making training and expectations training be given at the same time as the motor task training. Id. The referenced research stated regarding motor task training that, by contrast with the 18 sequential steps to activate and maintain a refuge chamber, “NIOSH testing has shown that without repeated hands-on practice, miners quickly forget how to physically perform [even the 6] steps [to donning a self-contained self-rescuer [‘SCSR’]].” NIOSH Research at 1. One experiment found that a year after miners had demonstrated proficiency only 10% of those sampled remained proficient without additional training. By contrast, 70% of miners who completed hands-on training quarterly remained proficient. The NIOSH Research concluded that “there is little or no reason to believe the operation of a refuge chamber is in any way exempt from the principles that have held true for literally hundreds of motor tasks that have been studied since the turn of the 20th century: people learn by doing, and tend to forget over time unless they practice.” Id. Noting that “the optimum intervals for retraining on a refuge chamber are not known,” NIOSH researchers suggested that a “reasonable approach ... would be to integrate instruction on the refuge chamber into the emergency mine evacuation training and drills that are mandated to be held quarterly.” Id. at 2. NIOSH researchers also warned with regard to motor task training that “[tjrainers ought not to rely solely on verbal or printed instructions, videos, etc.” Id. at 1.
MSHA proposed quarterly drills and annual training. NPRM, 73 Fed.Reg. at 34,-171; see id. at 34,156-57. The proposed quarterly drills required locating refuge alternatives and stored SCSRs, and “reviewing the checklist” and manufacturer-provided information on constructing, activating, and using refuge alternatives. Id. at 34,171. The annual training included hands-on motor task training in donning SCSRs in a real or simulated smoke-filled environment, and constructing and activating a refuge chamber in a simulated emergency situation; decision-making training “emphasizing] that miners first try to evacuate the mine and that refuge alternatives are a haven of last resort when escape is impossible”; and expectations training in exposing miners to the expected heat and humidity conditions in a refuge chamber, an element considered “essential to reducing] the level of panic and anxiety associated with the use of refuge alternatives.” Id. at 34,156-57.
In comments the UMWA objected that the proposed training provision was inconsistent with the NIOSH Report, noting that the proposed “expectations training” is to be performed annually instead of quarterly and that there was no requirement for hands-on training to be conducted with an actual or model refuge chamber. The UMWA stated that “[t]o adequately protect miners in the post-accident situation, the training protocol must require hands-on training at least every 90 days.” UMWA Comments, Docket No. COMM-11, at 15 (Aug. 15, 2008). It noted MSHA’s reference in the preamble to data from studies in 1990-93 in which researchers from the U.S. Bureau of Mines, the University of Kentucky, and MSHA measured skills degradation; for example, one study had found proficiency dropped about 80% in followup evaluations conducted about 90 days after training. Id. at 14 (quoting NPRM, 73 Fed.Reg. at 34,156/2). Yet, the UMWA concluded, in the proposed rule MSHA “does not appear to be taking that approach.” Id. at 15.
NIOSH did not comment specifically on the proposed training provision, observing *89 only that the proposed rule is consistent with NIOSH research findings presented to Congress in 2007, “if appropriate training is provided.” NIOSH Comments, Docket No. COMM-20, at 2 (Aug. 18, 2008).
The Final Rule did not differ substantively from the proposal on training for miners.
See
30 C.F.R. §§ 75.1504(b) (“Quarterly instructions review”) & (c) (“Annual expectations training”),
Refuge Volume. The NIOSH Report recommended providing at least 15 square feet of unrestricted floor space and at least 85 cubic feet of unrestricted volume per miner in the refuge alternatives to enable miners to perform basic functions. See NIOSH Report at 7. However, the Report advised that “[t]he values listed ... should not be considered as absolute, but rather as reasonable starting points for specifications.” Id. at 5. Beyond noting that “it may be impractical to implement viable refuge alternatives in the few mines that operate in very low coal, e.g. less than 36 inches,” id. at 4, the NIOSH Report did not include specific recommendations on how to tailor volume in these low-height mines.
MSHA proposed that a refuge chamber provide 60 cubic feet per miner, including 15 square feet of floor space. See NPRM, 73 Fed.Reg. at 34,146. It also noted the problem of low-height mines, explaining that “[flor mines with lower heights, the 60 cubic feet of space may need to be attained by increasing the length or floor area.” Id. The NPRM noted the NIOSH recommendation of 85/15. MSHA generally “solicit[ed] comments on these minimum space and volume requirements,” instructing that “[e]omments should be specific, including alternatives, rationale, safety benefits to miners, technological and economic feasibility, and supporting data.” Id. MSHA also specifically “solicited] comment on these proposed values for floor space and volume, particularly in low mining heights,” id. at 34,157, with the same instructions about comments.
The UMWA commented that 60 cubic feet was inadequate, explaining that it was “always the intent [of Congress] to provide not only the necessary protections for miners to sustain life while they are inside a chamber/shelter, but to also allow miners to be comfortable while awaiting rescue.” UMWA Comments at 9. Such adequate volume was important, the UMWA emphasized, to protect miners’ mental stability while trapped for up to 96 hours; it pointed to testimony at congressional hearings recounting experiences of trapped miners and how they survived physically and mentally in confined quarters while awaiting rescue. The UMWA also noted that the reduced space would subject miners to greater risk of CO 2 exposure and/or excessive heat within the chamber. In UMWA’s view, the nearly 30% reduction from the NIOSH recommendation was without justification and “does not make sense.” Id. at 10. In “urgfing] MSHA to adopt the 85 cubic foot recommendation of NIOSH to all refuges,” id., UMWA stated that it would support using more than one chamber to accommodate the space needed.
NIOSH, in turn, explained in comments on the proposed rule that it had based its overall volume recommendation on “published research conducted under the old civil defense program,” pertaining to nuclear fallout shelters for families to be used for two weeks or more, and acknowledged that those findings are “difficult to apply ... directly to mining applications.” NIOSH Comments at 2. In the absence of new information from other research studies, NIOSH stated it supported MSHA’s proposal of 60 cubic feet.
*90 The Final Rule adopted the proposed 60 cubic feet per miner for refuge chambers and also included a sliding scale based on the height of each mine allowing as little as 30 cubic feet for refuge chambers in mines with heights ranging from 36 inches or less to 54 inches. 30 C.F.R. §§ 7.505(a)(1), 75.1506(b)(1); 73 Fed.Reg. at 80,695, 80,-698.
II.
The court reviews an agency’s interpretation of a statute that Congress has assigned the agency to implement under the familiar two-step analysis of
Chevron, U.S.A., Inc. v. NRDC,
A.
The UMWA contends that the training provision fails to adhere to the statutory standards in Section 13 of the MINER Act and the 2008 Appropriations Act that, respectively, training be “based upon” and “consistent with” the NIOSH Report’s recommendations with regard to the content and frequency of training. These challenges fail.
The plain text of Section 13 of the MINER Act does not require the Secretary to promulgate regulations “based upon” the NIOSH Report to Congress. It provides only that “the Secretary of Labor shall provide a response to [certain congressional committees] containing a description of the actions,
if any,
that the Secretary intends to take based upon the [NIOSH] report, including proposing regulatory changes, and the reasons for such actions.”
By contrast, the plain text of the 2008 Appropriations Act required the Secretary to promulgate regulations “consistent with” the NIOSH Report.
1
Relying on
Nat’l Ass’n of Broadcasters v. FCC,
However, the court has considered terms like “based upon” and “consistent with” to be ambiguous, prompting analysis under
Chevron
Step Two,
The UMWA maintains that MSHA “abandoned” the NIOSH Report “recommendation of quarterly training consisting of both hands-on motor skills component and expectations training.” Pet’r Br. 27. With the exception of quarterly task training in the non-emergency task of proper transportation of the refuge alternatives and components, 30 C.F.R. § 75.1504(b)(9), the UMWA considers the much more limited quarterly training in the Final Rule to “amount[] to nothing more than a paper review of procedures that operators could meet by handing miners a stack of documents. See 30 C.F.R. 75.1504(b)(6) and (8).” Pet’r Br. 27.
The training provision in the Final Rule, 30 C.F.R. § 75.1504, does not abandon training requirements even though it does not provide for quarterly hands-on training; such training is required annually. MSHA’s suggestion that the Final Rule could ignore NIOSH’s recommendations on training because “Congress’ mandate to NIOSH did not extend to training” is not well taken. Resp’t Br. 18. In laying out guidelines for training, NIOSH acted within its statutory mandate under Section 13(a) of the MINER Act to conduct research on the “utility, practicality, survivability, and cost” of alternative refuge chambers,
More persuasively MSHA maintains that the Final Rule did not abandon or supplant the NIOSH training recommendation but accepted it with modification. It views the requirement for annual hands-on training, 30 C.F.R. § 75.1504(c) 2 , as *93 “consistent with” the NIOSH Report because it “diverged from the recommendation only with regard to the frequency of the training.” Resp’t Br. 19. MSHA notes that the NIOSH Report recommended motor task, decision-making skills, and expectations training be required and be given quarterly. However, in comments NIOSH stated that “[t]he proposed rule is consistent with the NIOSH findings as presented in its research report to Congress ... if appropriate training is provided.” NIOSH Comments at 2. Unlike its comments on refuge volume provision, NIOSH made no specific comment on the differences between its recommendation and the training provision. MSHA suggests it thus “is fair to conclude” that NIOSH would have commented on any differences it perceived to be significant. Resp’t Br. 20.
In the Final Rule MSHA did not exclude hands-on training among the requirements but determined annual training sufficed. Such a modification comes within our precedent interpreting the “consistent with” mandate. It is true that the NIOSH Report stated its “research indicated motor-task training, i.e., how to use refuge alternatives, should be given quarterly,” NIOSH Report at 15, but it did not foreclose the possibility of requiring annual training.
See id.; Nuclear Energy Inst.,
The training provision is nonetheless arbitrary and capricious because, as the UMWA contends, it defies the expert record evidence and is unexplained. MSHA has not explained the basis for rejecting quarterly hands-on motor skills, decision-making, and expectations training, other than to state it relied upon its “knowledge and expertise,” id. at 80,681. It does not identify what this knowledge and expertise is, nor point to a study or comparison of non-hands-on training. Its conclusory statement is unsupported by the rulemaking record. The NIOSH Report and Research emphasized the importance of quarterly hands-on training, referencing, for example, a NIOSH study that found that after 90 days miners’ ability to accomplish a six-step process for donning SCSRs had severely deteriorated, a problem that would be more severe in the case of the eighteen-step process needed for operation of refuge alternatives, see NIOSH Research at 1. NIOSH warned that “[tjrainers ought not to rely solely on verbal or printed instructions, videos, etc.” Id. In the Final Rule MSHA did not permit trainers to rely “solely” on such materials, but while acknowledging “problems related to skill degradation in emergency evacuations of mines,” 73 Fed.Reg. at 80,-680, it offered no analysis for its conclusion that such problems were adequately addressed with annual hands-on motor task training. Similarly, MSHA provides no explanation for concluding the needs for decision-making and expectations training as described in the NIOSH Research are otherwise met by annual training.
*94
MSHA points to no comments advocating against the quarterly hands-on standard. The preamble to the Final Rule noted only that while some commentators opposed training or wanted to limit the type of training, “some expressed concern that all aspects of deploying and maintaining a refuge alternative be covered during hands-on training and that this hands-on training should occur every 90 days,”
id.
MSHA did not resolve these commentators’ objections but, in the next sentence of the preamble simply repeated its view, based on its knowledge and experience, that “expectations training” would be helpful. MSHA’s failure to address these comments, or at best its attempt to address them in a conclusory manner, is fatal to its defense of the training provision.
See AT & T Wireless Servs., Inc. v. FCC,
Accordingly, we remand but do not vacate the Final Rule for MSHA to provide an explanation of the training provision,
see Allied-Signal, Inc. v. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comm’n,
B.
The UMWA challenges the refuge volume requirement as arbitrary and capricious on several grounds. 3 It contends the requirement is not a logical outgrowth of the proposed rule, specifically maintaining that it was not afforded an opportunity to submit comments regarding the mental well-being of miners in “coffin-sized spaces,” or about “larger persons,” i.e., “a mildly obese miner,” or the ability to perform basic survival tasks.
A final rule is a logical outgrowth of the proposed rule “only if interested parties should have anticipated that the change was possible, and thus reasonably should have filed their comments on the subject during the notice-and-comment
*95
period.”
Int’l Union, United Mine Workers of Am. v. MSHA
Thus, in
Int’l Union,
The proposed rule identified the potential problem with attaining 60 cubic feet of space per miner, explaining that “for mines with lower heights, the 60 cubic feet of space may need to be attained by increasing the length or floor area,”
The UMWA “does not suggest that it lacked adequate notice that the Secretary in her [Final] Rule may have further reduced the proposed rule’s 60 cubic feet volume requirement,” but rather emphasizes that MSHA’s reduction of ceiling heights in low mining areas without increasing the floor space presents a logical outgrowth problem. Reply Br. 30. The UMWA views the change as of the more extreme kind in
Int’l Union,
The UMWA also fails to show that it was prejudiced.
See
5 U.S.C. § 706;
Owner-Operator Indep. Drivers Ass’n, Inc. v. Fed. Motor Carrier Safety Admin.,
Neither can the UMWA show that the refuge volume provision is arbitrary and capricious. It contends MSHA failed adequately to explain any connection between its findings of fact with regard to chamber volume and the choice it made of 60 cubic feet instead of the 85 cubic feet recommended in the NIOSH Report. It also contends MSHA failed adequately to explain its further reduction based on mine height in view of its suggestion in the NPRM that for mines with lower heights, the 60 cubic feet of space may need to be attained by increasing the length or floor area,
see
73 Fed.Reg. at 34,146. It urges that the result is “so implausible that it could not be ascribed to a difference in view or the product of agency expertise.”
State Farm,
MSHA responds persuasively that the Secretary adopted the volume range as a “policy determination,” Resp’t Br. 29, to “accommodate commenters’ concerns regarding the ability to maneuver, deploy, or *97 use larger units in mines with low seam heights,” 73 Fed.Reg. at 80,665. The preamble to the Final Rule references comments (such as the UMWA’s) urging adoption of 85 cubic feet, the NIOSH comment supporting the 60 cubic feet in the proposed rule, and comments stating that the proposed space and volume requirements were excessive in an emergency because persons could survive with less space; that larger refuge alternatives were difficult to transport or may not be feasible in all seam heights; that floor space per person is the critical measurement, not volume; and that less space was needed because the number of persons to be accommodated would be less than half due to overlapping crews. See id.
The UMWA, suggesting that MSHA’s problems with low seam “heights” could refer more directly to the problem of moving taller chambers in low-ceilings, is incorrect in stating that the rulemaking record is devoid of comments indicating that refuge alternatives with wider floor areas would be difficult to maneuver in low-seam mines. MSHA’s supplemental filing of the rulemaking record at the court’s request includes comments presented, for example, by Jack Kennedy Metal Products and Buildings, Inc., that a unit with a height of 5.5 feet and width of 8 feet would require a length of 27 feet which “cannot be easily towed around a corner with typical mine equipment” and that such regulations would result in “the chambers that offer the best protection, that is, hard chambers, ... be[ing] eliminated.” 4 Similarly, the Superintendent of Dana Mining Company LLC’s Prime No. 1 Mine located in West Virginia commented that “[f]or mines with approximately 40 inches or less of height, it will become impossible to install a twenty (20) person rigid shelter to meet the square footage requirement of the proposed law and be able to advance the unit as the section advances, much less get it installed initially”. 5 Other comments suggested, moreover, that the reduced volume would be sufficient for the miners to perform necessary functions for at least 96 hours, citing United States military requirements and mine requirements elsewhere; that 15 cubic feet was consistent with international standards; and that a literature review supported a 30 cubic foot standard. 6 See 73 Fed.Reg. at 80,665. *98 Absent comments beyond the UMWA’s about a further reduction in volume or the alternative of having more smaller refuge alternatives, MSHA made a rational choice based on the record to reduce the volume requirement in these low-height mines.
Accordingly, we grant the petition in part and we deny the petition in part.
Notes
. Section 112(b) of the 2008 Appropriations Act provides:
Not later than June 15, 2008, the Secretary of Labor shall propose regulations pursuant to section 315 of the Federal Coal Mine Health and Safety Act of 1969, consistent with the recommendations of the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health pursuant to section 13 of the MINER Act (Public Law 109-236), requiring rescue chambers, or facilities that afford at least the same measure of protection, in underground coal mines. The Secretary shall finalize the regulations not later than December 31, 2008.
. Subsection 75.1504(c), "Annual expectations training," provides:
Over the course of each year, each miner shall participate in expectations training that includes the following:
(1) Donning and transferring SCSRs in smoke, simulated smoke, or an equivalent environment.
(2) Breathing through a realistic SCSR training unit that provides the sensation of SCSR airflow resistance and heat.
(3) Deployment and use of refuge alternatives similar to those in use at the mine, including—
(i) Deployment and operation of component systems;
*93 (ii) Instruction on when to use refuge alternatives during a mine emergency, emphasizing that it is the last resort when escape is impossible.
(4) A miner shall participate in expectations training within one quarter of being employed at the mine.
30 C.F.R. § 75.1504(c); 73 Red. Reg. at 80,-698.
. Acknowledging in its reply brief that NIOSH’s volume recommendation was qualified, the UMWA concedes that its statutory objections based on Section 13 of the MINER Act and the 2008 Appropriations Act are no longer viable.
. Comments of Bill Kennedy, President, CEO, Jack Kennedy Metal Products and Buildings, Inc., Docket No. COMM-1, at 5 (July 17, 2008) ("Bill Kennedy Comments”).
. Comments of Steve Polce, Superintendent, Dana Mining Company LLC, Docket No. COMM-13, at 2 (Aug. 15, 2008).
. See Bill Kennedy Comments at 5 (noting reduced volume is "in line with international standards”); Comments of Randall Harris, Engineering Advisor, West Virginia Office of Miners Health, Safety and Training, Docket No. COMM-4, at 35-37, 69-71 (Aug. 1, 2008) (citing U.S. Department of Defense Human Engineering Manual and an example of mine shelters for proposition that smaller volumes are sufficient); Comments of Ralph Sanich, Manager, Health and Safety, Interwest Mining Company, Docket No. COMM-8, at 4 (Aug. 13, 2008) (providing requirements from a regulation adopting another country's standard and relying on a report by Dr. Joel Haight, a specialist in human factors engineering, which found 30 cubic feet to be sufficient); Comments of Tony Bumbico, Vice President of Safety, Arch Coal, Inc., Docket No. COMM-12, at 5 (Aug. 15, 2008) (citing, for example, the U.S. Navy program on disabled submarines and survival considerations); Comments of Bruce Watzman, National Mining Association, Docket No. COMM-17, at 5 (Aug. 18, 2008) (appending report by Dr. Joel Haight); Comments of John M. Gallick, Vice President Safety and Health, Foundation Coal Corporation, Docket No. COMM-21, at 2 (Aug. 18, 2008) (citing another country’s standard of 6.4 square feet of floor space with no volume requirement); Comments of Chris Hamilton, West Virginia Coal Association, Docket No. COMM-33, at 7-8 (discussing sufficiency another country's lower volume standard).
