Lead Opinion
OPINION
Appellant Cedrick Scott Ince was civilly committed as a sexually dangerous person pursuant to Minn.Stat. § 25BB.185 (2012).
We grаnted Ince’s petition for review to consider whether the factors relevant to the determination that a person is “likely to engage in acts of harmful sexual conduct,” as set forth in In re Linehan (Linehan I),
I.
The appellant, Cedrick Ince, was 22 years old at the time of the commitment hearing and had twice been charged with criminal sexual conduct. The first occasion arоse from events on February 11, 2007, while Ince, then 17 years old, was at a party. The victim, a 17-year-old known to Ince, passed out at the party after drinking. Ince, who was also drinking, removed the victim’s underwear and sexually penetrated her while she remained unconscious. Ince later gave several versions of the events, all of which attempted to diminish his role and culpability in the assault. Eventually, however, Ince admitted that the sexual contact was not consensual, that he “took things way too far,” and that the victim “was heavily intoxicated.”
On October 5, 2008, 3 weeks after he was placed on probation for the first offense, Ince brоke into the house of a second acquaintance and raped her. The victim, who was 19 years old and had been in a brief relationship with Ince, testified that she was sleeping on the couch in her house and woke up to find Ince on top of her. When she struggled, Ince began choking her, making it difficult for her to breathe. After raping her, Ince told the victim he had a gun and would shoot her if she called the police. Ince again sought to minimize the circumstances of this violent assault, telling police that the sex was consensual and that the victim liked “weird stuff.” In later reports, however, Ince took responsibility, saying, “I was drinking and I broke into her house and raped her.... I forced it upon her ... she said no, but I didn’t listen.” Ince pleaded guilty to third-degree criminal sexual conduсt and was sentenced to 48 months in prison with a 10-year conditional release term. While in prison, Ince, who has consistently been diagnosed with alcohol dependence, completed chemical dependency treatment, though not without some problems and setbacks. He was placed on a probation contract for rule violations, and he was terminated from aftercare. Ince did not enter or complete any sex offender programs in prison.
The petition for civil commitment was filed by Sibley County the day before Ince was scheduled to be released from prison. Ince was allowed to leave the facility subject to intensive supervised release from September 2011 until his commitment trial concluded in May 2012. During the 8 months that Ince was on supervised release, he obtained employment on a dairy farm, began renting a nearby house from his employer, and purchased a truck. Ince’s employer reported that Ince has “done an excellent job” and has an “ongoing, continuous” offer of employment. In early 2012, Ince began court-ordered sex offender treatment at an outpatient, community treatment program, although the record suggests that Ince’s disclosures to program staff were less than complete. Finally, the evidence was undisputed that Ince was considered in “sustained full remission” based on his alcohol and drug abstinence since 2009; had participated consistently in Alcoholics Anonymous (AA); and had supportive family relationships.
At the commitmеnt hearing, the district court heard testimony from two court-appointed examiners, Dr. Penny Zwecker and Dr. Peter Marston, and from the County’s expert witness, Dr. Rosemary Linderman. The district court recognized that expert testimony carries “much weight” in civil commitment proceedings and found Dr. Marston’s testimony to be “particularly persuasive and convincing.” The court announced that it accepted Dr. Marston’s testimony and, unless otherwise noted, rejected the testimony of the other experts who did not agree with Dr. Mar-ston’s opinions.
Based on an interview with Ince, Dr. Marston concluded that after his release from prison, Ince expressed remorse and regret for his behavior, and concern for the victims of his offenses. Based on evaluations and risk assessments, Dr. Mаrston diagnosed Ince with antisocial personality disorder, a psychopathic personality disorder, alcohol dependence, and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and concluded that as a result of those disorders, Ince had serious difficulty controlling his sexually harmful behavior.
Dr. Marston and the other experts attempted to determine, using risk assess
Dr. Marston acknowledged that controlling Ince’s alcoholism and ADHD would generally reduce the risk of reoffending. Further, he testified that Ince’s successes while supervised in the months following his release from prison represented a decrease in the risk of future harm to others. All three experts recommended, however, that Ince be committed to inpatient treatment with the Minnesota Sex Offender Program (MSOP).
Based on the evidence, the district court concluded that clear and convincing evidence demonstrated that Incе met the statutory requirements for commitment as a sexually dangerous person. The court, concluding that no less restrictive alternative was available, then ordered Ince committed to MSOP. The court of appeals affirmed, and we granted Ince’s petition for review.
II.
We begin with the standard for commitment as a sexually dangerous person, specifically the element of “likely” future harmful sexual conduct as a result of a personality disorder. Minn.Stat. § 253B.02, subd. 18c(a) (2012).
In order to commit someone as a “sexually dangerous person” (SDP), the district court must find by clear and convincing evidence that the person: (1) has engaged in a course of harmful sexual conduct; (2) has manifested a sexual, personality, or other mental disorder or dysfunction; and (3) as a result, is likely to engage in acts of harmful sexual conduct. Minn.Stat. §§ 253B.02, subd. 18c(a), 253B.18, subd. 1, 253B.185, subd. 1. The question of how to interpret the phrase “likely to engage in acts of harmful sexual conduct” as used in Minn.Stat. § 253B.02, subd. 18c(a)(3), is a matter of statutory interpretation, and thus a legal question. Hince v. O’Keefe,
We have previously interpreted the term “likely” in the definition of “sexually dangerous person” to mean “highly likely.” Linehan III,
In interpreting “likely” to mean “highly likely,” we also considered the due process concerns that constrain legislative discretion when imposing restraints on liberty. Linehan III,
With this background, we turn to Inee’s proposed construction, which equates “likely” in Minn.Stat. § 253B.02, subd. 18c(a)(3), with “substantially certain.” Ince argues that constitutional considerations support a “substantially certain” standard to avoid inappropriately shifting the risk of error from society to the individual. While we agree that constitutional considerations support the construction of “likely” as “highly likely,” Li
Further, Ince’s construction cannot be accepted given statutory construction principles. See Minn.Stat. § 645.08(1) (2012) (instructing that “words and phrases are construed according to rules of grammar and according to their common and approved usage”). We acknowledge that one acceptable meaning of “likely” is “more probable ... than not.” See Black’s Law Dictionary 925 (6th ed.1990) (defining likely as being “of such nature or so circumstantial as to make something probable and having better chance of existing or occurring than not”). But the doctrine of stаre decisis requires that we not overturn our previous construction, now “part of the statute as though written therein,” Caldas v. Affordable Granite & Stone, Inc.,
We therefore reaffirm that the “highly likely” standard as enunciated in Linehan III ensures that the demands of due process are met. See generally Linehan III,
We also conclude that “highly likely” cannot be defined by a numeric value. We recognize that the risk of error in commitment proceedings stems from the challenge of attempting to predict the future conduct of an individual. See Jones v. United States,
Thus, we reaffirm our previous construction of “likely,” as used in Minn.Stat. § 253B.02, subd. 18c(a)(3), to require clear and convincing evidence that the person is “highly likely” to engage in acts of harmful sexual conduct. The constitutionality of the highly likely standard is long settled, see Linehan IV,
III.
We now turn to the evidence relevant to the district court’s determination of whether Ince is highly likely to engage in acts of harmful sexual conduct. We review the distriсt court’s factual findings under a clear error standard to determine whether they are supported by the record as a whole. See In re Joelson,
The factors used to evaluate the likelihood of future harmful sexual conduct were first enumerated in Linehan I, as follows:
(a) the person’s relevant demographic characteristics (e.g., age, education, etc.); (b) the person’s history of violent behavior (paying particular attention to recen-cy, severity, and frequency of violent acts); (c) the base rate statistics for violent behavior among individuals of this person’s background (e.g., data showing the rate at which rapists recidi-vate, the correlation between age and criminal sexual activity, etc.); (d) the sources of stress in the environment (cognitive and affective factors which indicate that the person may be predisposed to cоpe with stress in a violent or nonviolent manner); (e) the similarity of the present or future context to those contexts in which the person has used violence in the past; and (f) the person’s record with respect to sex therapy programs.
Linehan I,
Ince argues that the Linehan factors remain valid but have been displaced by more recent emphasis on actuarial assessments. This shift in focus, he concludes, diminishes the role and significance of dynamic factors; improperly permits “double counting” of some factors, such as age and criminal history; and ultimately deprives the commitment process of an individualized determination. The County agrees that a “multi-factor” analysis best addresses the complex issues that surround a commitment determination. But the County disagrees that an overеmphasis on actuarial assessment tools has led to the problems Ince identifies.
Indeed, the need for a multi-factor analysis lies in the very purpose for civil commitment. We have acknowledged that “mere dangerousness [is] not sufficient to justify civil commitment,” but “dangerousness coupled with proof of an additional statutory factor such as mental illness or personality disorder” may support that commitment. Linehan IV,
But we remind the district courts that the “dangerousness prediction” is neither “a purely ‘clinical’ prediction” nor “simply a matter for statisticians.” Linehan III,
We agree that actuarial assessment evidence is relevant to the determination of whether a person is highly likely to engage in future1 harmful sexual conduct. We long ago endorsed a “multi-factor analysis for dangerousness prediction,” Linehan III,
We also do not consider it necessary to limit the time frame for assessing the likelihood of future harmful sexual conduct, as Ince suggests. Ince argues that the time frame should be limited due to the unreliability of long-term predictions. We have previously stated that “the [SDP] Act does not limit the prediction by time period.” Linehan III,
The only remaining issue is whether the district court’s assessment of the evidence in this case was consistent with the framework we have set out above. Recognizing that the district court is in the best position to weigh the evidence and assess credibility, we nonetheless conclude that a remand is necessary here. While we are sympathetic to the challenges the district court faced, we cannot discern from the court’s findings and conclusions the extent to which the court considered itself constrained by the Linehan factors once it addressed the actuarial assessment evidence. The court simply reviewed the Li-nehan factors after largely accepting Dr. Marston’s opinions on the actuarial evidence, but without indicating the significance of any of those factors within the context of a multi-factor analysis.
Similarly, the experts’ opinions reach mixed, if not contradictory, results based on the actuarial evidence as compared to the Linehan factors. For example, Dr. Marston concluded based on the Linehan factors that Ince’s young age placed him at an increased risk of reoffending, but based on other assessment tools including the Static-99 assessment, agreed that “the first year might be regarded as the most likely year to reoffend” and, significantly, that Ince’s sustained compliance after his release from prison reduced the risk of future harm. Dr. Marston also agreed that Ince’s risk of reoffending would de
We do not intend these observations to suggest that the district court’s findings and conclusions lack any support in the record. Rather, these observations illustrate the difficult task the court faced in this unique case, in which the experts agreed that the picture was complicated by, among other things, Ince’s sustained period of community living, compliance with supervised release conditions, or work and family successes, as well as his alcoholism and mental health conditions. Because we cannot determine whether the district court adhered to the Linehan factors after considering the other evidence, we conclude that a remand is necessary so the court can comprehensively consider all relevant, reliable evidence and make findings in light of our directions above.
IV.
The final issue we consider is whether the record supports the district court’s conclusion that Ince did not prove that a less restrictive alternative to commitment in MSOP would suffice. Ince presented evidence that his treatment needs could be met with ongoing therapy, intensive supervision through the Department of Corrections, and treatment in the outpatient community program. Ince also argued that, based on his successful transition from prison to community living under intensive supervision, he сan remain in the community without posing a threat to public safety. Both the district court and the court of appeals disagreed.
If the conditions for civil commitment as a sexually dangerous person are met, the district court “shall commit the patient to a secure treatment facility unless the patient establishes by clear and convincing evidence that a less restrictive treatment program is available that is consistent with the patient’s treatment needs and the requirements of public safety.” MinmStat. § 25BB.185, subd. 1(d). Thus, by statute, the burden of proving that a less restrictive alternative exists rests on Ince.
We have not previously addressed the necessity or nature of findings of fact on the availability of a less restrictive alternative.
The district court concluded that “no less restrictive treatment ■ program” еxisted that could meet Ince’s need for “inpatient treatment,” and that MSOP was capable of meeting that need. The evidence in the record may be sufficient to support this conclusion, but in the absence of findings of fact about that evidence, we cannot be certain. Particularly because the unusual nature of the facts and circumstances here require a remand for reconsideration in light of what we have said about the factors for determining whether Ince is highly likely to reoffend, the determination of a possible less restrictive alternative must be revisited as well.
V.
In summary, we reaffirm the principles first announced in the Linehan decisions: the risk of harmful sexual conduct occurring must be “highly likely” based on consideration of the Linehan factors and all relevant evidence. Given our decision today, reconsideration of the unique and specific facts of Ince’s case is warranted. Therefore, we reverse the court of appeals, vacate the district court’s order for commitment, and remand to the district court for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
Reversed and remanded.
Notes
. In 2013, the Legislature amended portions of chapter 253 B (2012) to recodify in chapter 253D (Supp.2013) certain provisions related to civil commitment as a sexually dangerous person or sexual psychopathic personality. Act оf May 9, 2013, ch. 49, § 22, 2013 Minn. Laws 210, 229-31. Because Ince's commitment proceedings were conducted under chapter 253B, we refer only to the relevant pre-2013 sections of chapter 253B in this opinion.
. Commitment also requires clear and convincing evidence that the person has engaged in a "course of harmful sexual conduct” and has a personality or other disorder or dysfunction. Minn.Stat. § 253B.02, subd. 18c(a)(l)-(2); see Minn.Stat. §§ 253B.18, subd. 1 (2012) (using "clear and convincing” standard for commitment), 253B.185, subd. 1 (adopting standard used in section 253B.18 (2012)). Ince does not challenge the district court’s findings on these requirements, and we therefore do not consider the legal standards or the evidence related to these requirements.
. The third Linehan factor, "base rate statistics,” does not mention the more individualized predictions that can bе drawn from actuarial tools. Linehan I,
. In In re Senty-Haugen,
. Because we remand to the district court for reconsideration, we do not address Ince’s argument that he met his burden of proof to show the existence of a less restrictive alternative. We leave to the district court the issue of whether to reopen the record to permit additional testimony on any of the issues presented here. But we note that, given the liberty interest at stake, the conclusory nature of the district court’s finding that no less restrictive alternative existed, and, most importantly, the highly unusual fact pattern presented here, additional evidence and testimony, expert and otherwise, may well be warranted.
Concurrence Opinion
(concurring).
I accept the court’s decision to remand to the district court for reconsideration of whether Cedrick Ince is highly likely to reoffend and on the availability of a less restrictive alternative. I write separately to address the impossible task faced by
“Substantive due process forecloses the substitution of preventive detention schemes for the criminal justice system .... ” In re Linehan (Linehan III),
In Linehan III, the State explained “the substantial commitment the legislature has made to creating adequate facilities and treatment programs for those [civilly] committed” as sexually dangerous or sexual psychopathic personalities. Linehan III,
What the Legislature has created is a single, one-size-fits-all commitment system:
The State’s failure to provide any option for the civilly committed sex offender other than confinement in a secure facility leaves Ince in a quandary. The experts testifying at the commitment hearing agreed that Ince — who had a support system in place, was attending treatment, and attained a prolonged period of sobriety— had adapted to intensive supervision in the community. Yet each expert also testified that only a secure facility would, in addition to treatment, adequately ensure public safety. It cannot be that the only option for nonpunitive, remedial treatment for someone who has demonstrated a measure of volitional control is confinement in a secure facility. See Linehan IV,
. In our dissents in Linehan III, Justice Tom-ljanovich and I expressed concern that commitment under the SDP Act would result in impermissible preventive detention.
. It is a system that, at times, appears penal and not at all remedial. See Karsjens, - F.Supp.2d at - & n. 12,
. Placing the burden on the proposed committee to provide his or her own less restrictive alternative to confinement in the State’s secure facilities creates its own set of due process problems.
