260 F.R.D. 81 | S.D.N.Y. | 2009
OPINION AND ORDER
I. INTRODUCTION
This consolidated action comprises hundreds of securities class actions brought against issuers and underwriters of technology stocks that had their initial public offerings (“IPOs”) during the late 1990s. On April 2, 2009, the parties filed a Stipulation and Agreement of Settlement (“Stipulation”) that seeks to conclude eight years of litigation in 309 coordinated class actions. Plaintiffs also filed a motion for an order: (1) preliminarily approving the proposed Stipulation; (2) certifying the Settlement Classes for the purposes of the proposed Stipulation only; (3) approving the form and program of Class notice described in the Stipulation; and (4) scheduling a hearing before the Court to determine whether the proposed Stipulation should be finally approved. For the reasons stated below, plaintiffs’ motion is granted.
II. BACKGROUND
A. Plaintiffs’ Allegations
Plaintiffs’ allegations are discussed at length in a series of earlier Opinions.
B. Settlement Terms
On April 1, 2009, the parties entered into a settlement of the 309 cases, which is subject to this Court’s approval.
C. Class Certification
Plaintiffs inform the Court that the parties have stipulated to the certification in each case of the following settlement class pursuant to Rule 23(a) and Rule 23(b)(3):
[A]ll Persons who purchased or otherwise acquired any of the Subject Securities at issue in such case during the Settlement Class Period applicable to such action and were damaged thereby.
(a) Subject to the review provisions provided in Paragraph 20 [of the Stipulation],7 excluded from the Settlement Class is each Person, other than a Natural Person, that was identified as a recipient of an allocation of shares from the “institutional pot” in the IPO or Other Charged Offering of any of the 309 Subject Securities, according to a list derived from the final “institutional pot” list created at the time of each IPO or Other Charged Offering by the lead Underwriter in that Offering (“Excluded Allocants”).
(b) Also excluded from the Settlement Classes are (i) each Person that currently is or previously was a named defendant in any of the 309 Actions (hereafter “Named Defendant”), (ii) any attorney who has appeared in the Actions on behalf of a Named Defendant, (iii) members of the immediate family of any Named Defendant, (iv) any entity in which any Excluded Allocant or Named Defendant has or during any of the class periods had a majority interest, (v) the legal representatives, heirs, successors or assigns of any Excluded Allocant or Named Defendant; and (vi) any director, officer, employee, or beneficial owner of any Excluded Allocant or Named Defendant during any of the Settlement Class Periods. Notwithstanding the prior sentence, a person shall not be excluded from the Settlement Classes merely by virtue of his, her or its beneficial ownership of the securities of a publicly-traded Excluded Allocant or Named Defendant.8
In each Action, the Class Period is from the date of the IPO until December 6, 2000.
D. Fees and Expenses
According to the proposed Notice of Pen-dency, plaintiffs’ counsel will move the Court to award attorneys’ fees not to exceed 33 1/3 percent of the Total Designation Amount in each Action.
E. Plan of Designation and Allocation
According to the Stipulation, the Settlement Amount is to be distributed to all Authorized Claimants in accordance with the Plan of Allocation, and none shall revert to defendants under any circumstances.
The proposed Plan of Allocation is set forth in the Proposed Notice of Pendency submitted by plaintiffs. According to the proposed Plan of Allocation, the $586 million Settlement Amount and interest earned will be reduced by taxes, costs, fees, and expenses to produce a “Net Settlement Fund.”
Authorized Claimants will be eligible to receive a pro rata share of the net settlement fund designated for the case or cases for which they have a claim up to the amount of their recognized losses.
F. Class Representative Approvals
Plaintiffs inform the Court that in each of the 309 cases, at least one of the proposed settlement class representatives affirmatively approved the settlement.
G. Notice
Notice to the class will be administered by The Garden City Group, Inc., a firm plaintiffs claim is experienced in class action settlement administration and notice procedures.
Plaintiffs propose that notice be sent by first-class mail.
Plaintiffs inform the Court that the notice administrator will also maintain a website which will allow claimants to file proofs of claim and obtain copies of the stipulation and other court filings.
III. APPLICABLE LAW
A. Preliminary Approval
Unlike settlements in ordinary suits, the settlement of a class action must by approved by the court.
B. Class Certification
1. Certification of Settlement Classes
The use of a settlement class allows the parties to concede, for purposes of settlement negotiations, the propriety of bringing the suit as a class action and allows the court to postpone formal certification of the class until after settlement negotiations have ended. The United States Supreme Court has expressly approved the use of the settlement class device, while also warning that the device raises special concerns.
As courts and commentators have noted, when settlement occurs early in the case the parties have less information on the strengths and weaknesses of the claims, and thus the court and class members may be hampered in their ability to determine the fairness of the settlement:
Extended litigation between or among adversaries might bolster confidence that the settlement negotiations were at arm’s length. If, by contrast, the case is filed as a settlement class action or certified for settlement with little or no discovery, it may be more difficult to assess the strengths and weaknesses of the parties’ claims or defenses, to determine the appropriate definition of the class, and to consider how class members will actually benefit from the proposed settlement.48
The use of this device may also raise questions about collusion and the ability of plaintiffs’ counsel to represent the interests of the entire class.
2. Miles I and Miles II
On October 13, 2004, I issued an Opinion and Order certifying classes in each of six focus cases (the “2004 Class Certification Opinion”).
In June 2005, the Second Circuit granted defendants’ petition for leave to appeal pursuant to Rule 23(f) of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure. The Circuit directed the parties to address the proper standard for a class certification motion and whether the Basic presumption of reliance was appropriately extended to plaintiffs’ claims.
On December 5, 2006, the Second Circuit announced its Opinion in Miles v. Merrill Lynch & Co. (“Miles I”).
The court also concluded that plaintiffs “cannot satisfy the predominance requirement for a(b)(3) class action” because individual questions predominated over common questions in the areas of knowledge and reliance.
This appeared to close the door on any opportunity for class certification in these cases. However, on April 6, 2007, the Miles
The Circuit explained that its decision in Miles I applied only to the broad class certified by this Court.
3. Standard of Review
Plaintiffs bear the burden of demonstrating — by a preponderance of the evidence^ — that the proposed class meets the requirements for class certification.
4. Requirements of Rule 23(a)
Rule 23 of the Federal Rules of Civil Procedure governs class certification. “ ‘Rule 23 is given liberal rather than restrictive construction, and courts are to adopt a standard of flexibility.’ ”
The numerosity requirement mandates that the class be “so numerous that joinder of all members is impracticable.”
“Typicality ‘requires that the claims of the class representatives be typical of those of the class, and is satisfied when each class member’s claim arises from the same course of events[] and each class member makes similar legal arguments to prove the defendant’s liability.’ ”
Adequacy demands that “the representative parties will fairly and adequately protect the interests of the class.”
Finally, the courts have added an “implied requirement of ascertainability” to the express requirements of Rule 23(a).
5. Requirements of Rule 23(b)
In addition to showing that the proposed class satisfies the four prerequisites of Rule 23(a), plaintiffs must show that the class is “maintainable” under Rule 23(b). A class satisfies this requirement if it in fits into one of the three alternative categories delineated by Rule 23(b), subdivisions (1), (2), and (3). In the case at bar, plaintiffs move for class certification pursuant to subdivision (b)(3).
Under Rule 23(b)(3), certification is appropriate where “questions of law or fact common to the members of the class predominate over any questions affecting only individual members,” and the court finds that class litigation “is superior to other available methods for the fair and efficient adjudication of the controversy.”
encompasses those cases in which a class action would achieve economies of time, effort, and expense, and promote uniformity of decision as to persons similarly situated, without sacrificing procedural fairness or bringing about other undesirable results.93
“Regardless of whether [an action] as a whole satisfies Rule 23(b)(3)’s predominance requirement,” courts may employ Rule 23(c)(4) to certify a class on a particular issue.
In determining whether the class action mechanism is the most “fair and efficient” method of resolving a case, courts must consider the following four nonexclusive factors: (1) class members’ interest in maintaining individual actions; (2) “the extent and nature of any litigation concerning the controversy already commenced by or against members of the class;” (3) “the desirability or undesirability of concentrating the litigation of the claims in the particular forum;” and (4) “the difficulties likely to be encountered in the management of a class action.”
6. Expert Testimony
In Visa Check, the Circuit held that “a district court may not weigh conflicting expert evidence or engage in ‘statistical dueling’ of experts.”
C. Securities Fraud
To state a claim for securities fraud, a plaintiff must plead “both transaction causation (also known as reliance) and loss causa
1. Transaction Causation
a. Omissions
The Supreme Court has held that a presumption of reliance may apply in eases in which plaintiffs have alleged that defendants failed to disclose information. In Affiliated Ute Citizens of the State of Utah v. United States, the Court held that where a plaintiffs fraud claims are based on omissions, transaction causation may be satisfied so long as the plaintiff shows that defendants had an obligation to disclose the information and the information withheld is material.
This presumption is nevertheless not conclusive.
b. Misrepresentations
In Basic v. Levinson, the Supreme Court determined that an investor may also invoke a rebuttable presumption of reliance in cases of misrepresentations. The Court held that an investor may avail herself of the presumption that she “relied on the integrity of the price set by the market” if the market is efficient.
The Supreme Court thus permitted plaintiffs who demonstrate an efficient market to benefit from two presumptions: “(1) misrepresentations by an issuer affect the price of
In dicta in Miles I, the Second Circuit suggested that the Basic presumption may not apply “to tie-in trading, underwriter compensation, and analysts’ reports.”
2. Factors of an Efficient Market
There are two core requirements for an efficient market: “[l]arge numbers of rational and intelligent investors,” and “[i]mportant current information” that is “almost freely available to all participants....”
In Cammer v. Bloom, the court enumerated five factors that are frequently used to determine whether a market is efficient.
The court in Krogman v. Sterritt raised three additional factors. First, the court noted that investors tend to be more interested in companies with higher market capi-talizations, thus leading to more efficiency.
a. Average Weekly Trading Volume
As Cammer states, high volume suggests efficiency “because it implies significant investor interest in the company. Such interest, in turn, implies a likelihood that many investors are executing trades on the basis of newly available or disseminated corporate information.”
b. Number of Securities Analysts
Cammer recognizes that a stock covered by a “significant number of analysts” is more likely to be efficient because such coverage implies that investment professionals are following the company and making buy/sell recommendations to investors.
c. Existence of Market Makers and Arbitrageurs
Cammer explains that “[t]he existence of market makers and arbitrageurs would ensure completion of the market mechanism; these individuals would react swiftly to company news and reported financial results by buying or selling stock and driving it to a changed price level.”
d. Eligibility to File Form S-3
The SEC permits a company to file Form S-3 when, in the SEC’s judgment, the market for shares in the company is reasonably efficient at processing information.
e. Other Factors
Empirical evidence of rapid price changes in response to unexpected information is highly probative of efficiency because it demonstrates that the market was likely to have incorporated the information in question into the share price.
Similarly, the markets for companies with higher market capitalizations and shares with a smaller bid-ask spread are more likely to be efficient.
D. Class Notice and Fairness Hearing
In addition to reviewing the proposed terms of settlement and making a preliminary determination on the fairness,
The class notice should also inform potential class members of the date of the “fairness hearing.” At the fairness hearing, class members (and nonsettling defendants whose rights may be affected by the proposed settlement) have the opportunity to present their views of the proposed settlement, and the parties may present arguments and evidence for and against the terms. The court then makes a final determination as to whether the proposed settlement is “fair, reasonable and adequate.”
IV. DISCUSSION
A. Class Certification for Settlement Purposes
1. The Rule 23(a) Requirements
Several of the findings I made in the 2004 Class Certification Opinion require only brief reexamination. I observed in that Opinion that “[t]he common issues of liability presented in these six class actions are overwhelming.”
Similarly, I observed in the 2004 Class Certification Opinion that the class representatives “allege that they were harmed in the same unitary scheme as the rest of the class.”
Defendants had also argued that certain class representatives were inadequate. In the 2004 Class Certification Opinion, I found that defendants’ arguments were unavailing.
2. Rule 23(b) Requirement of Predominance
Rule 23(b)(3) requires that common issues of fact “predominate over any questions af
a. Reliance
Demonstrating reliance is frequently a difficult hurdle in certifying a class of plaintiffs in a securities action. To recover, each plaintiff must demonstrate that she relied to her detriment on defendants’ false statements and market manipulation. Instead of demonstrating individual reliance, plaintiffs seek to rely on the Basic and Affiliated Ute presumptions of reliance.
i. The Basic Presumption
Plaintiffs contend that the markets for the 309 cases were “efficient” during the relevant periods meaning that they conformed to some degree to the efficient capital markets hypothesis.
Defendants had collectively submitted numerous expert reports to contest the efficiency of the markets of the six focus cases in 2004 and 2007.
Trading Volume
Fischel found that the weekly trading volume of each of the focus case stocks averaged significantly above the two-percent threshold. His findings are summarized in the following table:
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Fischel also analyzed the trading volume with respect to each of the other 303 litigated stocks.
However, as discussed, extraordinarily high volume may be indicative not of an efficient market but rather of a market having difficulty valuing a stock. Fischel’s statistics for first-day trading of the focus stocks indicate exactly this sort of valuation problem. None of these statistics support a finding of efficiency on the first day of trading, though the evidence in support of a finding of efficiency is strongest as to Corvis. The trading volume presents strong evidence of market efficiency during the entire class period, except the first days, for Engage, FirePond, Sycamore, and VA Linux, and during the first day only for Corvis.
Coverage by Investment Analysts
Fischel has provided the Court with statistics on mass media coverage of the focus case stocks. However, there is no basis for concluding that non-specialized media coverage is correlated with market efficiency. I therefore disregard statistics that refer to general media and look only to securities analyst coverage.
Fischel also provided the Court with the number of reports issued during the quiet period of each focus case stock that, though focusing on other companies, mention the relevant focus case stock. Generally, these mentions are in passing and do not disclose new and useful information.
Fischel also found that the focus case stocks were “covered extensively by investment professionals ....”
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However, the level of analyst coverage during the quiet period with respect to the focus cases was much smaller than after the conclusion of that period. At best, this factor may weigh in favor of efficiency during the quiet period for Corvis but not for the other stocks. While the Court has not been provided specific data with respect to analyst reports for the other 303 litigated stocks, the data will most likely show that there were fewer analyst reports during the quiet periods.
Presence of Market Makers
Fischel determined that there were substantial numbers of market makers in each of the focus cases. His findings regarding the number of market makers are presented in the following table:
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Fischel also analyzed the number of market makers with respect to the 303 other litigated stocks. He found that of the 303 stocks at issue, 296 stocks were listed on the NASDAQ at their initial listing, and each of these stocks had at least 14 market makers at the time of its IPO and on December 6, 2000 or its last day of trading, more than the eleven market makers the Cammer court found to be sufficient to support a finding of an efficient market.
Presence of Arbitrageurs
Fischel concluded that there was substantial short interest in each of the focus case stocks, which was indicative of efficiency.
Eligibility to File an S-3 Registration Statement
Fischel notes that at the time of the IPOs of the focus case stocks, “regulations required that a company have reported under the 1934 Act for one year or more in order to file [a] Form S-3.”
Incorporation of Information into Share Price
Fischel has observed that “the more rapidly prices reflect publicly available information, the more sensible it is to apply” the efficient capital markets hypothesis.
Defendants’ experts submitted a number of challenges to Fischel’s findings. First, they argued that because Fischel analyzed share price movements on a daily basis, he
In response, Fischel noted that academic research indicated that the adjustment to share prices following an announcement “lasts anywhere from one to seventeen hours after a news release....”
Second, Gompers-after examining the twenty-eight days identified by Fischel as having a statistically significant price change for Sycamore-concluded that the price moved without the release of relevant new information on twenty-two of those days.
Third, Gompers critiques Fischel’s application of this methodology to Sycamore. He notes that “[fjinding a few examples of rapid reaction to information does not demonstrate that the market always responds fully and rapidly to public information throughout the purported Class Period.”
Notwithstanding defendants’ experts’ criticisms, Fischel’s study indicates that the prices of focus case stocks were generally responsive to the release of information throughout the class period. However defendants’ experts rightfully observe that this study tells little about the efficiency of the stocks during the quiet period.
Other Factors
Fischel determined that the market capi-talizations of the focus case shares were above the median NASDAQ National Market
In addition, Fischel determined that the bid-ask spreads of the focus case shares throughout the proposed class period were less than the median bid-ask spread of all NASDAQ National Market shares, at least for portions of their trading histories.
Fischel also noted that only a small percentage of the issuers’ shares were held by the public at the time of their IPOs, but concluded that because those shares had sufficient value, there were “substantial incentives for public shareholders to acquire and act on information ...,”
General Criticisms
Defendants’ experts also made a number of general challenges against plaintiffs’ showing of efficiency. I will briefly address some of them.
Widespread Knowledge
Some market participants who knew of the alleged scheme could be expected to act on the basis of that knowledge.
However, plaintiffs have revised their Master Allegations to allege that the scheme was not well-known.
Inefficiency as a Result of Stabilization Activities
In addition to criticizing Fischel’s analysis, several of defendants’ experts presented affirmative evidence that the market for the focus case shares was inefficient. Stulz observed that underwriters were permitted to support the price of shares for some time after the IPO.
Deviation of Market Valuation from Fundamental Valuation
Gompers used discounted cash-flow analysis (“DCFA”) to demonstrate that the market for Sycamore shares was inefficient. DCFA involves determining the future value of all of a company’s expected income and expenditure streams, and then discounting those streams to their present value. The sum of all of these discounted cash flows is considered the fundamental value of a company.
Fischel responds that Gompers has failed to account for “uncertainty about the average growth rates of technology firms at the time.”
In addition, while a positive news announcement regarding business prospects may be worthy of a revision of earnings estimates, unexplained increases in demand would not require such a revision. Thus, where prices have been directly manipulated, a deviation of the market valuation from the fundamental valuation would not be surprising. Such observation indicates only that the market for the stock is inflated, not that the market is inefficient.
The Internet Bubble
Barry observes that finance scholars widely recognize that there was market inefficiency in technology stocks from 1998 to 2000.
The extraordinary rise in Internet values ... has generally been called the ‘Internet bubble’. The fact that prices fell in March*105 of that year, and continued to fall throughout 2000, gave some credibility to this designation. However, one cannot infer necessarily from this ex-post realization that market values did not in fact reflect fundamental values about cash flows. Tautologically, changing expectations about cash flows or discount rates, coupled with realization of various Internet fundamentals, could also explain the rise and drop in prices. We, as well as anyone else, will not be able to answer this question definitively here.207
Another paper cited by defendants observes that while stock market crashes are often cited as evidence against rational share price models, behavioral theory (which incorporates investor irrationality) “has not really made much progress in understanding crashes____”
Conclusion
Having reviewed the evidence, I conclude that plaintiffs have proven by the preponderance of the evidence that the markets for the litigated stocks were sufficiently efficient to justify the Basic presumptions during the proposed class periods. Plaintiffs have shown that the share prices are likely to have reflected public information, and that reasonable purchasers would be justified in relying on those prices.
However, there is insufficient evidence of efficiency to permit the use of the Basic presumption with respect to trading during the quiet periods. To the contrary, the evidence indicates that the quiet periods were marked by chaotic pricing, irrational purchases, and market inefficiencies.
ii. The Affiliated Ute Presumption
Nevertheless, plaintiffs’ claims concern defendants’ failure to disclose the manipulative scheme. Plaintiffs allege that defendants’ principal misconduct related to their omissions with respect to the existence of the tie-in agreements and the undisclosed compensation.
b. Loss Causation
In addition to transaction causation, plaintiffs must demonstrate that common questions predominate over individual inquiries with respect to loss causation. By stipulating to class certification, defendants have conceded that individual issues do not predominate with respect to loss causation. Nevertheless, the Court has a duty to make its own evaluation of this assertion. If plaintiffs have failed to demonstrate that they can show class-wide loss causation, no class can be certified.
To demonstrate loss causation, plaintiffs must show a causal connection between the alleged wrongdoing and their losses. Plaintiffs seek to rely on the expert reports of Professor Fischel, who seeks to prove loss causation by demonstrating first, that defendants’ scheme inflated the prices of the securities;
i. Fischel’s Methodology
I discussed Fisehel’s methodology for demonstrating loss causation in detail in the 2004 Class Certification Opinion.
Fischel’s second analysis seeks to demonstrate the causal link between the tie-in agreements and continued inflation in the stock prices.
Each of the focus case stocks eventually plummeted to a value close to zero.
However, the simple fact that prices fell between two points in time is not loss causation. In Dura Pharmaceuticals, Inc. v. Broudo, the Supreme Court explained that at the moment of inflation — “as a matter of pure logic ... the plaintiff has suffered no loss; the inflated purchase payment is offset by ownership of a share that at that instant possesses equivalent value.”
ii. Additional Evidence of Initial Inflation
First-Day Returns
In addition to previously showing that the stocks in this litigation experienced unusually high first-day returns compared to IPOs from 1980 through 1997 and IPOs that are not included in this litigation, Fischel also shows that the returns are high compared to
Pre-Opening Quotations
As noted, Fischel hypothesizes that much of the initial inflation was accomplished through the setting of a quote by the lead underwriters during the pre-opening bid session. Fischel notes that the pre-opening bid quote exceeded the offering price for five of the six focus case stocks by 66.67 percent or more.
A number of defendants’ experts criticized Fischel’s conclusions, attempting to show that there was no link between a lead underwriter’s quote and price inflation in the focus stocks.
In addition, Fischel showed that for three of the focus case stocks — in which first bids were entered by market makers other than the lead underwriter — the lead underwriter’s first bids were substantially higher than these bids, and subsequent bids followed the lead underwriter’s first bid.
iii. Additional Evidence of Sustained Inflation
Analyst Reports
In support of his theory that prices remained inflated throughout the class period, Fischel examined the effects of analyst reports on share prices. He observed that analyst price targets “always exceeded the inflated stock prices at the time the price
Pending Limit Orders to Buy
In addition, Fischel analyzed pending limit orders to purchase stock placed by allocants with alleged tie-in agreements, noting that such pending orders would have supported the prices of the focus case stocks after trading commenced.
Support from Financial Literature
Finally, two scholarly articles cited by Fis-chel support the hypothesis that laddering can cause long-term price effects. The first, by Rajesh Aggarwal et al., constructs a model in which tie-in purchases occur in the first day or days of public trading, and allocants sell those purchases “fairly quickly” but “certainly ... prior to the expiration of the lockup period for insiders, usually six months post-IPO.”
In the Aggarwal model, some traders are “momentum investors”' — “arbitrageurs, day-traders, sentiment investors, or information seekers” who purchase if they can infer from prices and volumes that an informed investor is purchasing the stock
The second work is a paper by Qing Hao in which she concludes that while laddering can exist without “information momentum,” the “benefits of laddering for underwriters are greater when market prices are affected
iv. Criticisms
Inflation Inconsistent with Efficient Market
Defendants’ expert Pfleiderer observes that because any inflation in share prices due to laddering would be caused by market participants believing that the ladderers have confidential positive information, share prices would fall when the ladderers sold their shares.
However, whether a trade affects prices will depend on whether the market perceives the market participant to possess information. Therefore, Fischel explains that “the effect of aftermarket sales need not offset the effect of aftermarket purchases since other market participants may, as defendants’ experts themselves recognize, perceive the purchase as informed, but the sale as uninformed.”
In addition, defendants’ other tactics may have also contributed to the sustained inflation even in an efficient market. For instance, analyst reports that continued to tout the quality of the stocks could have fooled the market into thinking that the stocks still had substantial fundamental value.
Corrective Disclosures
Defendants’ experts argue that no significant price movements followed corrective disclosures for any of the stocks during the period, thereby illustrating that the prices of the stocks were not inflated.
Share Price Mirroring Market Conditions
Defendants’ expert Cornell observes that if plaintiffs’ allegations are accurate, the behavior of the share price of each focus case should be correlated with the behavior of each other focus case in “IPO time” — that is, time since the IPO. Cornell reasons that because all five were allegedly subject to similar laddering schemes, the effects of those schemes would appear at roughly the same period after the IPOs.
Controlling for Other Factors
Defendants’ experts criticize Fischel’s model for failing to take into account factors other than market conditions that might influence stock prices, such as unrelated business developments.
However, Fischel responds that he does not support an approach that merely compares the stock price to an index mechanically without any consideration for the special
A Trade-by-Trade Analysis
Several of defendants’ experts suggested that artificial inflation be measured on a trade-by-trade basis.
The Case of iXL
Several of defendants’ experts disagree with Fischel’s conclusion that iXL’s price post-IPO was artificially inflated. They note that iXL’s first-day return was 49%, which is toward the lower end of the range of both the litigated and non-litigated sample.
Fischel conceded that the evidence with respect to laddering in the iXL IPO appears to be weaker than that of the other five focus stocks.
Although the inquiry as to whether alleged laddering of the iXL stock led to inflationary pricing is far from clear, plaintiffs need not definitively show loss causation at the class certification juncture. This is a merit s issue that need not be definitively determined at this stage. The only question here is whether plaintiffs have demonstrated — by a preponderance of the evidence — that loss causation can be proven class-wide for iXL using Fischel’s methodology. They have succeeded in doing so.
Conclusion
Although defendants have raised a number of serious challenges to Fischel’s methodology, none of them tip the balance in defendants’ favor. Plaintiffs have demonstrated by a preponderance of the evidence that loss causation can be proven on a class-wide basis by showing that inflation existed at the time of the IPO and by demonstrating that inflation slowly dissipated throughout the class periods of each litigated stock.
c. Knowledge
In Miles I, the Second Circuit held that common questions do not predominate because “[t]he claim that lack of knowledge is common to the class is thoroughly undermined by the Plaintiffs’ own allegations as to how widespread was knowledge of the alleged scheme.”
Plaintiffs’ initial complaints and Master Allegations failed to convey that they were not alleging widespread knowledge. The Amended Complaints and Amended Master
Widespread knowledge of the alleged scheme is relevant in two ways. First, plaintiffs must explain how the manipulation succeeded if the market were efficient and a large number of market participants knew of defendants’ alleged activities. I addressed this issue in my discussion of market efficiency. Second, an individual class member cannot be said to have relied on defendants’ misrepresentations if he knew that they were false. Thus, if there is a significant question as to whether a substantial proportion of class members knew of the scheme, this individualized inquiry would predominate over common questions of law or fact and no class could be certified.
i. Alloeants
The original classes I certified excluded investors who “exhibit[ed] the hallmarks of full participation in the alleged scheme.”
that exclusion leaves within the class those who participated in part and those who were required to remain ‘ready’ to purchase in the aftermarket if the underwriters so desired, all of whom knew of the alleged scheme. Moreover, the exclusion of full participants from the class does nothing to lessen the broad extent of knowledge of the scheme throughout the community of market participants and watchers, and it is this widespread knowledge that would precipitate individual inquiries as to the knowledge of each member of the class, even as redefined.293
The Circuit thus questioned whether an allocant who knew of a plan to inflate the price of the shares that she had been allocated can be inferred to have had knowledge of the scheme to inflate the price of shares in other IPOs. Plaintiffs have remedied this problem by excluding all alloeants, except natural persons, who are recipients of shares from the “institutional pot” in any of the 309 stocks at issue in this litigation.
ii. Non-Allocant Investors
As for those investors who did not receive any allocations in any IPOs, there is insufficient evidence to conclude at this time that there was widespread knowledge of the alleged scheme among them. Fischel analyzed
Plaintiffs have thus shown by a preponderance of the evidence that when the classes are properly circumscribed and institutional allocants are excluded, individual questions of knowledge will not predominate over common ones.
d. Ascertainability
Ascertainability is a prerequisite for class certification. In Miles I, the Circuit found that the determination of membership in the class was “bristling with individual questions ....”
Plaintiffs contend that the proposed Settlement Class definition addresses any previous concerns about ascertainability. All entities, other than natural persons, that received an initial allocation from the institutional pot have been excluded from the settlement classes. Because those who paid undisclosed compensation to the underwriters are a subset of the initial allocants, by excluding all of the initial allocants, all those who are alleged to have shared profits with the underwriters are also excluded from the class.
3. Section 11 Class
a. Class Period
In the 2004 Class Certification Opinion, I held that plaintiffs’ section class periods must be limited to “exclude all purchases
But because the parties have agreed to a settlement, there is no need to create a subclass for section 11 claims and shorten the class period. This is because the members of the section 11 class are also members of the section 10(b) class. The class includes all persons who “purchased or otherwise acquired any of the Subject Securities at issue in such case during the Settlement Class Periods applicable to such case and were damaged thereby.”
b. Adequacy of Settlement Class Representatives
Plaintiffs have also informed the Court that “[n]ot every case has a proposed settlement class representative who is a member of the section 11 litigation class this Court previously defined.”
B. Proposed Settlement
1. Settlement Discussions
The Court requested and the parties provided affidavits from retired Judges Nicholas Politan and Daniel Weinstein, the two mediators that assisted the parties to accept the terms of the instant settlement.
Courts in this circuit look to the nine Grinnell factors to determine whether a settlement is “fair, reasonable and adequate” in accordance with Rule 23(e). I will evaluate each of the factors or group of factors in turn.
a. The Complexity, Expense and Likely Duration of the Litigation
It has been eight years since thousands of investors brought the class action lawsuits that are the subject of this consolidated action.
b. Reaction of the Class to the Settlement
Plaintiffs have informed the Court that out of 309 actions, the lead plaintiff in only five of the actions disapproved of the proposed settlement.
c. Stage of Proceedings and Amount of Discovery Completed
This factor is aimed at ensuring that the parties have a “thorough understanding of their case” prior to settlement.
d. Risks of Class Prevailing (Establishing Liability, Damages, and Maintaining the Class Through Trial)
Plaintiffs concede that “[establishing lia
Even more complicated is the issue of loss causation and damages. Fischel has proposed a method of proving that the alleged scheme inflated stock prices as early as the beginning of trading and that this inflation dissipated throughout the class period.
Finally, the maintenance of class certification in these cases through trial is fraught with risks. Plaintiffs inform the Court that defendants have compromised on several issues that defendants had previously argued would make these class actions unmanageable if they went to trial.
e. Ability of Defendants to Withstand a Greater Judgment
It cannot be disputed that the economic landscape has changed dramatically even in the last year, affecting the capability of many of the defendants to pay a large recovery in these actions. Plaintiffs note that one underwriter has already filed for bankruptcy and others have survived only with government assistance.
f. Range of Reasonableness of Settlement Fund in Light of Best Possible Recovery and Attendant Risks of Litigation
The Second Circuit has held that a settlement that is within a range “ ‘that recognizes the uncertainties of law and fact in any particular case and the concomitant risks and costs necessarily inherent in taking any litigation to completion,’ ” will not be reversed on appeal.
First, to state the obvious, the one billion dollar guarantee was only a guarantee. None of the proceeds were to be distributed to putative class members until “after the conclusion of all of the above-mentioned proceedings with respect to the Underwriters.”
Second, while the Settlement Amount is less than the potential recovery in the prior settlement in absolute terms, the class definition has been significantly narrowed. All investors who received IPO allocations from the “institutional pots” are now excluded from recovery, thereby severely limiting the number of potential claimants.
Finally, it cannot be discounted that the current economic environment has changed the “ball game” with respect to what plaintiffs could expect even with a verdict. As noted, one of the underwriters has filed for bankruptcy while a number of others have escaped a similar fate only because of government intervention. Simply put, plaintiffs cannot expect to receive a similar recovery to that they had hoped to receive during more bullish years. I therefore find that the settlement is within a range of reasonableness in light of possible recovery and upon consideration of the attendant risks in proceeding to trial.
C. Form of Class Notice
Plaintiffs have submitted the proposed class notice to the Court for its review and consideration.
Regarding notification, plaintiffs have proposed mailing the notice first-class
D. Date of Fairness Hearing
A Settlement Fairness Hearing pursuant to Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 23(e) is scheduled to take place before the Court on September 10, 2009 at 4:30 p.m. The purpose of the Fairness Hearing is to finally determine (a) whether the actions satisfy the applicable prerequisites for class action treatment under Federal Rules of Civil Procedure 23(a) and (b) for the purposes of settlement; (b) whether the terms of the proposed settlement described in the Stipulation are fair, reasonable, and adequate, and should be approved by the Court; (c) whether the proposed Designations and Plan of Allocation is fair and reasonable and should be approved by the Court; (d) whether the Order and Final Judgment as provided under the Stipulation should be entered in each of the Actions, dismissing the Complaints on the merit s and with prejudice, and to determine whether the release of the settled claims, as set forth in the Stipulation, should be ordered; (e) whether the application of Lead Counsel for an award of attorneys’ fees and expenses should be approved; (f) whether the applications filed by proposed settlement class representatives and/or lead plaintiffs for their reasonable time and expenses incurred as a result of representing the proposed settlement classes should be approved; and (g) such other matters as the Court may deem appropriate.
Y. CONCLUSION
For the reasons stated above, plaintiffs’ motion is granted in its entirety. The Clerk of the Court is directed to close this motion [document no. 5807 in action 21 MC 92],
SO ORDERED.
. See, e.g., In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig. ("2004 Class Cert."), 227 F.R.D. 65 (S.D.N.Y. 2004).
. See 4/1/09 Stipulation and Agreement of Settlement ("Stipulation”).
. See id. ¶¶ 9, 25. "Settled Claims” means "any and all claims (including but not limited to claims under Section 11 of the Securities Act, or Section 10(b) or Section 16(b) of the Exchange Act, or any rules promulgated under any such section or Act, or claims under state statutes or common law) that were, could have been or
. See. id. ¶ 9(a).
. See id. ¶ 9(b).
. See id. ¶ 7(a).
. The Stipulation provides that a Settlement Class Member will be treated as an "Authorized Claimant” if a number of conditions are met, including the submission of a Proof of Claim. See id. ¶ 20.
See Stipulation ¶¶ 8, 8A.
See Schedule 1 to Notice of Pendency and Proposed Global Settlement of 309 Class Actions, Motion for Approval of Settlement, Plan of Allocation, Attorneys’ Fees and Expenses, PSLRA Awards of Reimbursement of Representatives' Time and Expenses and Settlement Fairness Hearing ("Proposed Notice of Pendency”), Ex. C(l) to Stipulation.
. See Proposed Notice of Pendency at 3-4.
. See id. at 4.
. See id.
. See id.
. See Schedule 2 to Proposed Notice of Pen-dency.
. See Stipulation ¶ 17.
. Id. ¶ 16.
. Proposed Notice of Pendency at 20.
. See Schedule 2 to Proposed Notice of Pen-dency.
. See Proposed Notice of Pendency at 20.
. Id. at 12; see Plaintiffs’ Memorandum of Law in Support of Motion for Preliminary Approval of Settlement ("PL Mem.”) at 9.
. See Schedule 2 to Proposed Notice of Pen-dency.
. See Proposed Notice of Pendency at 20.
. Id.
. See PL Mem. at 8.
. Id.
. See id. The five cases are Agilent Technologies, Avici, Eloquent, ePiphany, and Focal Communications. See id. n. 7.
. See id.
. See id. at 10.
. See id.
. See id. at 11.
. See id.
. See id.
. See id.
. See id.
. See id.
. See Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(e).
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(e)(2).
. Maywalt v. Parker & Parsley Petroleum Co., 67 F.3d 1072, 1079 (2d Cir.1995).
. Weinberger v. Kendrick, 698 F.2d 61, 74 (2d Cir.1982).
. Malchman v. Davis, 706 F.2d 426, 433 (2d Cir.1983).
. Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. v. Visa U.S.A., Inc., 396 F.3d 96, 116 (2d Cir.2005) (citing Manual for Complex Litigation, Third, § 30.42 (1995)).
. See City of Detroit v. Grinnell Corp., 495 F.2d 448, 463 (2d Cir.1974), abrogated on other grounds by Goldberger v. Integrated Res., Inc., 209 F.3d 43 (2d Cir.2000). See also D'Amato v. Deutsche Bank, 236 F.3d 78, 86 (2d Cir.2001) (citing Grinnell and applying its nine-factor test to evaluate class action settlement).
. See Joel A. v. Giuliani, 218 F.3d 132, 139 (2d Cir.2000).
. Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 116 (quoting In re PaineWebber Ltd. P’ships Litig., 147 F.3d 132, 138 (2d Cir.1998)).
. See Amchem Prods., Inc. v. Windsor, 521 U.S. 591, 618, 117 S.Ct. 2231, 138 L.Ed.2d 689 (1997) ("the 'settlement only' class has become a stock device”).
. See id. at 620, 117 S.Ct. 2231 ("Confronted with a request for settlement-only class certification, a district court need not inquire whether the case, if tried, would present intractable management problems ... for the proposal is that there be no trial.”).
. Id.
. Manual for Complex Litigation, Fourth § 21.612.
. See In re General Motors Corp. Pick-Up Truck Fuel Tank Prods. Liab. Litig., 55 F.3d 768, 787 (3d Cir.1995) ("the court performs its role as supervisor/protector without the benefit of a full adversarial briefing on the certification issues. With less information about the class, the judge cannot as effectively monitor for collusion, individual settlements, buy-offs ... and other abuses”); see also Mars Steel Corp. v. Continental Illinois Nat’l Bank and Trust Co., 834 F.2d 677, 680 (7th Cir.1987) (“[t]he danger of a premature,
. Weinberger, 698 F.2d at 73.
. See 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 122.
. Id. at 74 (quotation omitted).
. See id. at 118-19.
. 471 F.3d 24 (2d Cir.2006).
. See id. at 40.
. Id. at 45.
. See id. at 42. In Basic v. Levinson, the Supreme Court determined that a trader may invoke a rebuttable presumption that she relied on the integrity of the price set by the market if the market is efficient. See 485 U.S. 224, 247, 108 S.Ct. 978, 99 L.Ed.2d 194 (1988).
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 43.
. Id.
. Id.
. Id.
. See Miles v. Merrill Lynch & Co. ("Miles II"), 483 F.3d 70 (2d Cir.2007).
. See id. at 72.
. Id.
. See id. at 73.
. Id.
. Id.
. See Teamsters Local 445 Freight Div. Pension Fund v. Bombardier, Inc., 546 F.3d 196, 202 (2d Cir.2008).
. Id. (quoting Miles I, 471 F.3d at 42).
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 41.
. Id.
. Marisol A. v. Giuliani, 126 F.3d 372, 378 (2d Cir.1997) (quoting Sharif ex rel. Salahuddin v. New York State Educ. Dep’t, 127 F.R.D. 84, 87 (S.D.N.Y.1989)).
. See Teamsters, 546 F.3d at 201-02.
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(a)(1).
. See Central States Se. & Sw. Areas Health & Welfare Fund v. Merck-Medco Managed Care, LLC, 504 F.3d 229, 244-45 (2d Cir.2007). See also Harris v. Palm Springs Alpine Estates, Inc., 329 F.2d 909, 913-14 (9th Cir.1964) ("'[I]m-practicality’ does not mean 'impossibility,’ but only the difficulty or inconvenience of joining all members of the class.”).
. See Consolidated Rail Corp. v. Town of Hyde Park, 47 F.3d 473, 483 (2d Cir.1995) (citing 1 Newberg On Class Actions § 3.05 (2d ed.1985)).
. See Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(a)(2).
. Trief v. Dun & Bradstreet Corp., 144 F.R.D. 193, 198 (S.D.N.Y.1992) (citing Port Auth. Police Benevolent Ass'n v. Port Auth., 698 F.2d 150, 153-54 (2d Cir.1983)).
. Civic Ass’n of the Deaf v. Giuliani, 915 F.Supp. 622, 633 (S.D.N.Y.1996). Accord. Daniels v. City of New York, 198 F.R.D. 409, 417 (S.D.N.Y.2001) (citing Baby Neal for and by Kanter v. Casey, 43 F.3d 48, 56 (3rd Cir.1994)); 7A Charles Alan Wright, Arthur R. Miller, & Maty Kay Kane, Federal Practice and Procedure § 1764 (3d ed. 2008) ("To the extent that 'co-extensive’ suggests that the representatives' claims must be substantially identical to those of the absent class members, it is too demanding a standard.”).
. Central States, 504 F.3d at 245 (quoting Robinson v. Metro-N. Commuter R.R. Co., 267 F.3d 147, 155 (2d Cir.2001)).
. Marisol A., 126 F.3d at 377.
. Newman v. RCN Telecom Services, Inc., 238 F.R.D. 57, 64 (S.D.N.Y.2006). Accord Doe v. Chao, 306 F.3d 170, 183 (4th Cir.2002) (finding an absence of typicality where the “named claimants had not suffered ‘injurfies] similar to the injuries suffered by the other class members’") (quoting McClain v. South Carolina Nat'l Bank, 105 F.3d 898, 903 (4th Cir.1997)).
. Oshana v. Coca-Cola Co., 472 F.3d 506, 514 (7th Cir.2006), cert. denied, 551 U.S. 1115, 127 S.Ct. 2952, 168 L.Ed.2d 264 (2007).
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(a)(4).
. Baffa v. Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette Secs. Corp., 222 F.3d 52, 60 (2d Cir.2000) (citing In re Drexel Burnham Lambert Group, Inc., 960 F.2d 285, 291 (2d Cir.1992)).
. Id. at 61 (quoting Maywalt, 67 F.3d at 1077-78).
. Id. (citing Surowitz v. Hilton Hotels Corp., 383 U.S. 363, 370-74, 86 S.Ct. 845, 15 L.Ed.2d 807 (1966)). Accord Noble v. 93 Univ. Place Corp., 224 F.R.D. 330, 344 (S.D.N.Y.2004) (holding that inflexible application of the adequacy requirement "runs counter to a principal objective of the class action mechanism-to facilitate recovery for those least able to pursue an individual action”).
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 30.
. 7A Wright, Miller & Kane, supra, § 1760. Accord In re Fosamax Prods. Liab. Litig., 248
. In re Fosamax, 248 F.R.D. at 395 (quoting In re Methyl Tertiary Butyl Ether (“MTBE") Prods. Liab. Litig., 209 F.R.D. 323, 337 (S.D.N.Y.2002)). Accord id. at 396 ("The Court also must be able to determine the class’ membership " ‘without having to answer numerous fact-intensive inquiries.’ ” " (quoting Daniels v. City of New York, 198 F.R.D. 409, 414 (S.D.N.Y.2001))).
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(b)(3).
. In re Nassau County Strip Search Cases, 461 F.3d 219, 225 (2d Cir.2006) (quoting In re Visa Check/MasterMoney Antitrust Litig., 280 F.3d 124, 136 (2d Cir.2001)).
. Id. (quotations and citation omitted).
. Id. at 227. Rule 23(c)(4)(A) provides that ”[w]hen appropriate ... an action may be brought or maintained as a class action with respect to particular issues
. In re Nassau County, 461 F.3d at 230 (citing Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(b)(3)) (quotation marks omitted).
. Visa Check, 280 F.3d at 135 (quoting Caridad v. Metro-North Commuter R.R., 191 F.3d 283, 292-93 (2d Cir.1999)).
. Id.
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 41.
. ATSI Commc'ns, Inc. v. Shaar Fund, Ltd., 493 F.3d 87, 106 (2d Cir.2007).
. Id. (quoting Lentell v. Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc., 396 F.3d 161 (2d Cir.2005)).
. ATSI, 493 F.3d at 106-07 (citing Dura Pharm., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 346, 125 S.Ct. 1627, 161 L.Ed.2d 577 (2005); Lentell, 396 F.3d at 172). Accord Emergent Capital Inv. Mgmt. v. Stonepath Group, Inc., 343 F.3d 189, 197 (2d Cir.2003).
. ATSI, 493 F.3d at 107 (citing Lentell, 396 F.3d at 173).
. See Affiliated Ute Citizens of the State of Utah v. United States, 406 U.S. 128, 154, 92 S.Ct. 1456, 31 L.Ed.2d 741 (1972).
. Id. at 153-54, 92 S.Ct. 1456.
. See duPont v. Brady, 828 F.2d 75, 78 (2d Cir.1987).
. Id. at 76.
. Id. at 78 (quoting Rochez Bros. v. Rhoades, 491 F.2d 402, 410 (3d Cir.1974)).
. 485 U.S. at 227, 108 S.Ct. 978.
. Id. at 244, 108 S.Ct. 978.
. Id. at 246, 108 S.Ct. 978 (quoting H.R.Rep. No. 1383, at 11).
. Id. at 247, 108 S.Ct. 978.
. Hevesi v. Citigroup Inc., 366 F.3d 70, 77 (2d Cir.2004) (citing Basic, 485 U.S. at 245-47, 108 S.Ct. 978).
. Basic, 485 U.S. at 248-49, 108 S.Ct. 978.
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 43 (citing West v. Prudential Sec., 282 F.3d 935, 938 (7th Cir.2002)).
. Paolo Cioppa, The Efficient Capital Market Hypothesis Revisited: Implications of the Economic Model for the United States Regulator, 5 Global Jurist Advances 1, 5-6 (2005). The first component does not require that all investors be rational and intelligent, merely that there be enough rational, intelligent investors to outweigh any irrational actions. See id. at 5.
. See 711 F.Supp. 1264, 1283-87 (D.N.J.1989).
. See generally Cioppa, supra note 115, at 28 ("The SEC’s three tiered system recognized that markets for different securities in the United States are efficient to different degrees. Essentially, moving from the SI filers to the S3 filers, the more widely traded and followed the issuing company and the longer it has traded, the more efficient the market for it and the less information it must disclose in its registration statements.").
. See 202 F.R.D. 467, 478 (N.D.Tex.2001).
. See id.
. See id.
. See id. (citing Bromberg & Lowenfels, 4 Securities Fraud and Commodities Fraud § 8.6 (Aug. 1988)).
. Id.
. Id. at 1286-87.
. Krogman, 202 F.R.D. at 476 (quoting O'Neil v. Appel, 165 F.R.D. 479, 501-02 (W.D.Mich. 1996)).
. See Dr. Allen Michel et al, 24 Am. Bankr. Inst. J. 58, 60 (2005) (citing Brad Barber et al., The Fraud-on-the-Market Theory and the Indicators of Common Stocks’ Efficiency, 19 J. Corp. L. 285, 286 (1994)).
. Cammer, 711 F.Supp. at 1284 (observing that the SEC permits seasoned issuers to incorporate by reference because " '[t]o the extent that the market accordingly acts efficiently, and this information is adequately reflected in the price of a registrant's outstanding securities, there seems little need to reiterate this information in a prospectus in the context of a distribution.' ") (quoting SEC Securities Act Release No. 6235, 45 Fed.Reg. 63,693 (1980)).
. Id. (quoting SEC Securities Act Release No. 6331, 46 Fed.Reg. 41,902 (1981)).
. See id. at 1287 (noting that this factor is "the essence of an efficient market and the foundation for the fraud on the market theory.”).
. See Krogman, 202 F.R.D. at 478.
. See id.
. See Manual for Complex Litigation, Fourth § 21.632. See also In re Nasdaq Market-Makers Antitrust Litig., 176 F.R.D. 99, 102 (S.D.N.Y. 1997) (citing Manual for Complex Litigation, Third § 30.41) ("Where the proposed settlement appears to be the product of serious, informed, non-collusive negotiations, has no obvious deficiencies, does not improperly grant preferential treatment to class representatives or segments of the class and falls within the range of possible approval, preliminary approval is granted.”).
. See Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(e)(1) ("The court must direct notice in a reasonable manner to all class members who would be bound by the proposal.”).
. See 15 U.S.C. § 78u-4(a)(7).
. Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 114 (internal quotations and citation omitted).
. See Manual for Complex Litigation, Fourth §§ 21.632-21.635.
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 93. See id. at 93-94 (listing common issues).
. I also find that plaintiffs have met the Rule 23(g) requirement that class counsel be adequate to represent the class.
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 95 (quotation omitted).
. See id. at 94-96.
. See id. at 96-99.
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(b)(3). Rule 23(b)(3) also requires that a class action be "superior to other available methods for fairly and efficiently adjudicating the controversy.” In the 2004 Class Certification Opinion, I found that this was the case, and I see no grounds for reconsideration of that holding. See 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 121.
. See 471 F.3d at 42-44.
. Id. at 42-43.
. See id. at 43-44.
. Id. at 44.
. See PI. Mem. at 27.
. There are three general forms of the efficient capital markets hypothesis. First is the weak form, which asserts simply that the current share price in an efficient market reflects all information about past share prices. If the weak form of the hypothesis accurately describes a market, it is impossible to predict future prices using only past prices. Second, the semi-strong form, which asserts that a share price in an efficient market reflects all public information concerning the security (including but not limited to past share prices). Third, the strong form, which asserts that all relevant information, public and private, is reflected in the price of securities in an efficient market. The strong form has been widely discredited. See generally Daniel R. Fischel, Efficient Capital Markets, The Crash, and the Fraud on the Market Theory, 74 Cornell L.Rev. 907, 910-11 (1989). The semi-strong form is the form that generally concerns courts, and is the form to which I refer in this Opinion. See ATSI Commc'ns, Inc. v. Shaar Fund, Ltd., 493 F.3d 87, 100 n. 4 (2d Cir.2007) ("The efficient capital market hypothesis, as adopted by the Supreme Court, posits that 'the market price of shares traded on well-developed markets reflects all publicly available information.' ”) (quoting Basic, 485 U.S. at 246, 108 S.Ct. 978).
. See 1/20/04 Report of Daniel R. Fischel ("Fischel Rep.”); 4/15/04 Rebuttal Report of Daniel R. Fischel ("Fischel Rebuttal Rep."); 7/12/04 Supplemental Report of Daniel R. Fis-chel ("Fischel Supp. Rep.”); 9/27/07 Market Efficiency Report of Daniel R. Fischel ("Fischel Market Eff. Rep.”); 9/27/07 Second Supplemental Report of Daniel R. Fischel (“Fischel 2d Supp. Rep."); 3/20/08 Second Rebuttal Report of Daniel R. Fischel ("Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep.”).
. See Resume of Professor Daniel R. Fischel, Ex. A to Fischel Rep.
. These stocks are Corvis, Engage, FirePond, iXL, Sycamore, and VA Linux.
. See 4/30/09 Affidavit of Daniel R. Fischel ("Fischel Aff."). Nevertheless, Fischel has provided the Court with specific data only with respect to the six focus cases. Thus, for those factors for which the Court possesses additional information about the six focus cases but not the other 303 cases, the Court will assume solely for the purpose of this motion that what is true about the six focus cases is equally applicable to the 303 other cases.
. See, e.g., 12/20/07 Expert Report of Christopher B. Barry in the Matter of iXL Enterprises (“Barry Rep.”); 12/21/07 Expert Report of Hen-drik Bessembinder (“Bessembinder Rep.”); 3/3/08 Expert Report of Bradford Cornell ("Cornell Rep”); 12/21/07 Expert Report of Paul A. Gompers ("Gompers Rep.”); 12/20/07 Expert Report of Allan W. Kleidon ("Kleidon Rep.”); 3/7/08 Expert Report of Maureen O'Hara ("O’Hara Rep.”); 12/19/07 Expert Report of Paul Pfleiderer in the Matter of iXL Enterprises ("Pfleiderer Rep.”); 3/12/08 Expert Report of Mark Ready ("Ready Rep."); 2/23/04 Expert Report of Erik R. Sirri in the Matter of iXL Enterprises ("Sirri Rep.”); 12/19/07 Expert Report of Chester Spatt ("Spatt Rep.”); 12/20/07 Expert Report of Matthew Spiegel ("Spiegel Rep.”); 12/21/07 Expert Report of Rene M. Stulz ("Stulz Rep."). Christopher B. Bariy is a Professor of Finance and Holder of the Robert and Maria Lowdon Chair of Business Administration at Texas Christian University in Forth Worth, Texas. See Barry Rep. ¶ 1. Hendrik Bessembinder is a Presidential Professor who holds the A. Blaine Huntsman Chair in Finance at the David Eccles School of Business of the University of Utah. See Bessembinder Rep. ¶ 1. Bradford Cornell is a Visiting Professor of Financial Economics at the California Institute of Technology and a Professor E merit us at the Anderson Graduate School of Management at the University of California. See Cornell Rep. ¶ 1. Paul A. Gompers is a Professor of Business Administration at the Harvard Business School. See Gompers Rep. ¶ 1. Allan W. Kleidon is a Senior Vice President at Cornerstone Research, a financial and economic consulting firm. See Kleidon Rep. ¶ 1. Prior to joining Cornerstone Research, he was an Associate Professor of Finance at the Graduate School of Business at Stanford University. See id. Maureen O’Hara is the Robert W. Purcell Professor of Finance at the Johnson Graduate School of Management at Cornell University. See O'Hara Rep. ¶ 1. Paul Pfleiderer is the C.O.G. Miller Distinguished Professor of Finance at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University. See Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 1. Mark Ready is a Professor of Finance at the School of Business at the University of Wisconsin — Madison. See Ready Rep. ¶ 1. Erik R. Sirri is an Associate Professor of Finance and holder of the Walter H. Carpenter Chair at Babson College. See Sirri Rep. V 1. From 1996 to 1999, he was the Chief Economist of the SEC. See id. Chester Spatt is the Mellon Bank Professor of Finance and Director of the Center for Financial Markets at the Tepper School of Business at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh. See Spatt Rep. ¶ 1. Matthew Spiegel is a Professor of Finance at the Yale School of Management who focuses on the area of financial economics. See Spiegel Rep. ¶ 2. Rene M. Stulz is the Everett D. Reese Chair in Money and Banking at Ohio State University. See Stulz Rep. ¶ 1.
. See 5/5/09 Letter from Defendants to the Court.
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 12 (Corvis), 29 (Engage), 52 (FirePond), 70(iXL), 92 (Sycamore), 119 (VA Linux).
. See Fischel Aff. ¶ 11.
. See id. See also Cammer, 711 F.Supp. at 1286 (citing Bromberg & Lowenfels, 4 Securities Fraud and Commodities Fraud § 8.6 (Aug. 1988)).
. For instance, defendants’ expert Paul Gompers criticized Fischel’s citation of reports that mention Sycamore during the quiet period. Gompers notes that five of these reports were focused on other companies, and Fischel has incorrectly dated all but one of the others. See Gompers Rep. ¶ 36. Gompers observes that the remaining report “contained information already available in the IPO prospectus, not new information or analysis.” Id. See also Barry Rep. ¶ 11 (noting that "[o]nly analyst reports that examine a firm's prospects should count in assessing market efficiency”).
. Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶ 13.
. See id. ¶¶ 13 (Corvis), 30 (Engage), 53-54 (FirePond), 71(iXL), 93 (Sycamore), 120 (VA Linux).
. Fischel Aff. ¶ 12.
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 17 (Corvis), 34 (Engage), 57 (FirePond), 75(iXL), 97 (Sycamore), 124 (VA Linux).
. See Fischel Aff. ¶ 13; Cammer, 711 F.Supp. at 1283 n. 30. Fischel explains that two of the litigated stocks switched their listing to the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE”) during their class periods and several others ceased trading before December 6, 2000. See Fischel Aff. 1113 n. 5.
. See Fischel Aff. V 13. See also In re Alstom SA Secs. Litig., 253 F.R.D. 266, 280 (S.D.N.Y. 2008) (concluding that institutional investors held a substantial percentage of the stock and the stock was traded on the NYSE, thereby making it easy for institutional investors to act as arbitrageurs).
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 18 (Corvis), 35 (Engage), 58 (FirePond), 76(iXL), 98 (Sycamore). 125 (VA Linux).
. See Corvis Short Interest, Ex. 3 to Fischel Market Eff. Rep.; Engage Short Interest, Ex. 11 to Fischel Market Eff. Rep.; FirePond Short Interest, Ex. 19 to Fischel Market Eff. Rep.; Sycamore Short Interest, Ex. 35 to Fischel Market Eff. Rep.; VA Linux Short Interest, Ex. 43 to Fischel Market Eff. Rep. But see Amy K. Edwards & Kathleen Weiss Hanley, Short Selling in
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶ 8.
. See id. ¶¶ 20 (Corvis), 37 (Engage), 60 (Fire-Pond), 78(iXL), 100 (Sycamore), 127 (VA Linux).
. Cammer, 711 F.Supp. at 1287.
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 8 (explaining requirement that float have a market value of at least $75 million to have been eligible to file a Form S3); 20 (Corvis); 37 (Engage); 60 (Fire-Pond); 100 (Sycamore); 127 (VA Linux).
. See id. V 78.
. See Fischel Aff. ¶ 14 (opining only that “courts have not considered [] ineligibility [to file a Form S-3 because of timing requirements] to be an indicator of market inefficiency”).
. The allegations against Doubleclick and its underwriters are based on misconduct with respect to the company's secondary and tertiary offerings which took place on December 11, 1998 and February 18, 2000, respectively. See Consolidated Amended Class Action Complaint, In re Doubleclick, Inc. Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig., 01 Civ. 3980. Fischel notes that Double-Click's class period thus began after its IPO and is the only stock out of the 309 stocks that filed an S-3. See Fischel Aff. V 14 n. 7.
. Fischel, Efficient Capital Markets, supra note 148, at 912.
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 21-24 (Cor-vis), 38-47 (Engage), 61-65 (FirePond), 79-87(iXL), 101-114 (Sycamore), 128-135 (VA Linux).
. Fischel Aff. ¶ 15.
. See Stulz Rep. ¶ 72 (concluding, in those cases, that "either ... the market responded inefficiently to the news or ... the price increase was caused by some source unidentified by Professor Fischel, telling us nothing about cause- and-effect relationships between news and stock price movements.”).
. See Gompers Rep. ¶ 51.
. See id.
. Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. V 12 (citing R. Jennings & L. Starks, Information Content and the Speed of Stock Price Adjustment, 23 J. Acct. Res. 336, 337 (1985)).
. See Gompers Rep. ¶ 44.
. See Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. 113.
. Id. ¶ 10 (citing Richard Roll, R2, 43 J. Fin. 541, 541 (1988)).
. See id. Fischel fails to explain certain price changes, indicating that his model may not be wholly comprehensive (and he does not contend that it is so). However, I do not find that this undercuts (or supports) his finding of efficiency.
. Gompers Rep. ¶ 43 (emphasis in original).
. See, e.g., Stulz Rep. ¶ 68 (observing that none of the FirePond events occurred during its quiet period).
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 25 (Corvis), 48 (Engage), 66 (FirePond), 88(iXL), 115 (Sycamore), 136 (VA Linux).
. See Fischel Aff. ¶ 16.
. See Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 26 (Corvis), 49 (Engage), 67 (FirePond), 89(iXL), 116 (Sycamore), 137 (VA Linux).
. See Fischel Aff. ¶ 17.
. See id.
. Fischel Market Eff. Rep. ¶¶ 27 (Corvis), 50 (Engage), 68 (FirePond), 90(iXL), 117 (Sycamore), 138 (VA Linux). See also Fischel Aff. ¶ 18 (arriving at the same conclusion with respect to the 303 other litigated stocks).
. Fischel argues that because a participant in the scheme would not know of the existence of any other tie-in agreements or the extent of such agreements, "there would be no incentive to engage in arbitrage.” Fischel Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 20. Fischel's argument carries little force. An allo-cant who knows of the scheme would naturally infer that similar schemes were occurring.
. Ganino v. Citizens Utils. Co., 228 F.3d 154, 167 (2d Cir.2000) (citations omitted).
. See Stulz Rep. ¶ 108 (observing that the artificial inflation could persist only if "the market for the Focus stocks was not efficient.”); Spatt Rep. ¶ 28 (opining that Fischel’s simultaneous arguments that investors had a limited understanding of the effects of the tie-in agreements and that the markets for the litigated stocks were efficient are "fundamentally inconsistent” with each other); Kleidon Rep. ¶ 14 ("The argument that there were only a few articles describing this practice is not relevant, since any new information is incorporated immediately into the stock price in an efficient market.”).
. See Amended Master Allegations ("Am. Master Allegations”) ¶¶ 33, 35.
. See Stulz Rep. ¶ 58.
. Id. V58n. 31.
. See Katharina Lewellen, Risk, Reputation, and IPO Price Support, 61 J. Fin. 613, 630 (2006) ("Overall, the evidence suggests that stabilization is strongest on the first trading day, particularly during the first minutes of trading, but it continues to a lesser degree for the following two weeks.”).
. See Gompers Rep. ¶ 133.
. See id. ¶¶ 134, 146.
. See id. ¶ 154.
. Id. ¶ 147.
. Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 15.
. See id. (citing L. Pastor & P. Veronesi, Was There a Nasdaq Bubble in the Late 1990s?, 81 J. Fin. Econ. 61, 62 (2006)).
. See Barry Rep. ¶ 13.
. See Eli Ofek & Matthew Richardson, The Valuation and Market Rationality of Internet Stock Prices, 18 Oxford Rev. Econ. Pol'y 265, 268 (2002) . See also id. at 283 (discussing the “theory of rational bubbles” and observing that "a story based on an influx of irrational, retail investors is probably too simplistic").
. Harrison Hong & Jeremy C. Stein, Differences of Opinion, Short-Sales Constraints, and Market Crashes, 16 Rev. Fin. Stud. 487, 515 (2003) .
. Of course, Miles I determined that the IPO market itself was not efficient. See 471 F.3d at 42. The analysis of the focus cases at the time of their IPOs based on the expert submissions of the parties supports that conclusion.
. See Am. Master Allegations ¶¶ 19, 33, 35 (alleging that the "Registration Statement/Prospectus purportedly undergoes an intensive preparation and due diligence process and is intended to provide some of the best sources of information concerning the offering” but that “investors in the aftermarket [ ] knew nothing about the scheme” and "the overwhelming majority of retail allocants [ ] also traded in ignorance of the scheme”).
. In re WorldCom, Inc. Sec. Litig., 219 F.R.D. 267, 291 (S.D.N.Y.2003) (citing Affiliated Ute, 406 U.S. at 153-54, 92 S.Ct. 1456).
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 106. In doing so I also held, contrary to defendants' arguments, that Affiliated Ute applies to class actions, to claims in which both market manipulation and material omissions are alleged, and that Basic — far from disapproving of the reasoning in Affiliated Ute — specifically approved of the Affiliated Ute — presumption.
. Although the Second Circuit held that the Basic presumption could not apply during the IPO period in Miles I, it did not opine with respect to the applicability of the Affiliated Ute presumption. In Miles II, the court suggested that its holding in Miles I was limited to tire class proposed, by stating that "[n]othing in our decision precludes [plaintiffs] from returning to the District Court to seek certification of a more modest class....” 483 F.3d at 73. Plaintiffs have now narrowed the class so that all recipients of shares from the "institutional pot” would be excluded unless they are natural persons. They have also amended their master allegations to allege that the scheme was not widely known. See Am. Master Allegations ¶¶ 33, 35. The narrowing of the class therefore solves the predominance requirement with respect to knowledge and also ensures that plaintiffs can benefit from the Affiliated Ute presumption because they have excluded all those who were likely to have knowledge of the scheme.
. This first question appears to directly overlap with the merits of plaintiffs’ claims, but it does not. At the class certification stage, plaintiffs need not demonstrate loss causation. It is sufficient for plaintiffs to prove only that loss causation can be shown on a class-wide basis. Thus, as long as they have shown by a preponderance of the evidence that loss causation can be demonstrated on a class-wide basis by proving first, that inflation existed, and second, that the inflation dissipated slowly during the class period, this requirement is satisfied.
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 115.
. See id. at 112-14.
. See Fischel Supp. Rep. ¶¶ 8-15.
. See id. ¶¶ 16-23.
. See id. ¶ 5. Fischel explains the Event Study Procedure in more detail in his Second Supplemental Report. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶¶ 42-51.
. See Fischel Supp. Rep. ¶¶ 6-7 (explaining that under the Comparable Index Approach, the value line would be constructed by substituting
. See id. ¶¶ 6-7.
. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶ 41. Defendants’ expert Cornell had previously conceded that Fis-chel’s Comparable Index Approach and Event Study Procedure were acceptable models for the calculation of damages. See Cornell Rep. 14; see also 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 113 (discussing how Fischel’s methodologies have usually been utilized to determine damages, rather than loss causation). I also undertook a detailed analysis of the predominance requirement with respect to damages in my 2004 Class Certification Opinion, concluding that individual issues would not predominate over common questions. See 227 F.R.D. at 115-17. After reviewing that analysis, I find that plaintiffs have demonstrated by a preponderance of the evidence that damages can be calculated on a class-wide basis.
. See Stock Price Charts of Focus Case Stocks, Ex. C to Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. (showing that all of the focus case stocks had lost a significant amount of value by December 6, 2000, with some hovering just above zero).
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 114. Defendants previously argued that this holding is no longer viable in light of Dura Pharm., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 125 S.Ct. 1627, 161 L.Ed.2d 577 (2005). I disagree. Dura did not address the situation where the share price fell to virtually zero. In such a case, if inflation has been shown, it has clearly dissipated.
Dura teaches that loss causation cannot be inferred simply from a drop in prices. This is so because while the drop may have been caused by the defendants' wrongdoing, it may also have been caused by any number of factors. For example, assume the price of one share of a given company's stock is $80. The company makes a fraudulent positive announcement and the share price jumps to $100. At that point, an investor purchases one share. One week later, the price falls to $60. Dura cautions that these facts are insufficient to plead loss causation. The share price could have fallen because the market discovered the fraud, but it could also have fallen for many other reasons. See Dura, 544 U.S. at 342-43, 125 S.Ct. 1627 ("When the purchaser subsequently resells such shares, even at a lower price, that lower price may reflect, not the earlier misrepresentation, but changed economic circumstances, changed investor expectations, new industry-specific or firm-specific facts, conditions, or other events, which taken separately or together account for some or all of that lower price.”). It is possible that the fraudulent inflation has persisted (and that had the fraud not occurred, the share price would now be $40). Additional information is required to conclude that the fraud caused the loss.
However, Dura’s reasoning does not apply where a stock loses virtually all of its value. Imagine that after the investor purchases the share, the price falls from $100 to $0. At this point, there is no question that the $20 of fraudulent inflation has dissipated. Factors unconnected to the fraud may have caused $80 in loss, but the other $20 must be attributed to the dissipation of the inflation.
. Dura, 544 U.S. at 342, 125 S.Ct. 1627.
. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶ 26.
. Id.
. See id.
. See id. ¶ 30.
. See id.
. See id.
. See, e.g., Cornell Rep. ¶ 27; O'Hara Rep. ¶40; Ready Rep. ¶ 15 (claiming that the lead underwriter did not always make the first bid in the preopen market); Kleidon Rep. ¶ 50, O'Hara Rep. ¶ 40, Ready Rep. ¶ 15 (lead underwriters were responsible for small fractions of quotes and bid improvements); and Kleidon Rep. ¶¶ 50-52, O'Hara Rep. V 40, Ready Rep. ¶¶ 26-30, Stulz Rep. ¶¶ 51-52 (non-lead underwriters aggressively bid during the preopen market).
. See Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 22.
. Id. ¶ 23.
. See id.
. See id. ¶ 24.
. See Market Maker Bidding in the Pre-Open for the Six Focus Cases, Ex. B to Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep.
. See id.
. See id.
. Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶ 20.
. See id. ¶ 21.
. A limit order is an order to buy or sell a security at a specific price. A limit order to purchase a set number of shares at $20 per share would be executed if and only if the shares could be purchased for $20 or less. If the market price never dropped to or below $20 per share, the order would never be executed. Limit orders tend to support prices because they affect purchases as the price falls. Limit orders are different from market orders, which are orders to buy at the current market price. A market order in a liquid stock will almost always be executed, but if prices are volatile the buyer might pay more than she intended. See generally SEC, Fast Answers (last modified July 31, 2007), available at http:// www.sec.gov/answers.shtml.
. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶ 31.
. See id.
. See id.
. See id.
. Rajesh K. Aggarwal et al., Underwriter Manipulation in Initial Public Offerings (working paper Jan. 26, 2006), available at http://www. csom.umn.edu/Assets/62572.pdf. Aggarwal is an Associate Professor of Finance at the University of Minnesota.
. See id. at 15-16.
. See id. at 16-17.
. Id. at 2.
. See id.
. Grace (Qing) Hao, Laddering in Initial Public Offerings, 85 J. Fin. Econ. 102, 104 (2007). Hao is an Assistant Professor of Finance at the University of Missouri.
. Id.
. Id. at 105.
. Id. at 115. Fischel also discusses the higher volume of aftermarket trading compared to the average trading volume of IPOs prior to the class periods, for IPOs not a part of this litigation during the class periods, and for IPOs after the class periods and that allocants of the lead underwriter were substantial net purchasers in the aftermarket. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶¶ 27, 32. This tends to show only that tie-in agreements existed and suggests that prices may have been fueled by artificial demand.
. See Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 44. See also Spiegel Rep. ¶ 9(2) ("Professor Fischel’s theory also ignores the possibility that the alleged ladderers themselves quickly sold the positions that they had purchased; such sales would also tend to offset any inflationary effect of the alleged laddering purchases.”); ¶ 34 ("[Ijnformation efficiency means that an ordinary investor endowed only with public information cannot earn a su-pernormal return on his investments. Thus, the scheme posited by Professor Fischel cannot succeed in a market that is information-efficient.”).
. O’Hara Rep. ¶ 15. Accord Sirri Rep. ¶ 34 (opining that any increase in price in response to uninformed trades, such as laddering trades, would be "short-term”).
. Fischel Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 18.
. See id.
. See, e.g., Kleidon Rep. ¶ 89; Pfleiderer Rep. ¶¶ 95-98.
. See Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 43 n. 94 (explaining that Corvis' stock price declined by 14 percent when Corvis announced it had lost a major customer; that Engage’s stock price fell more than 28 percent, iXL’s stock price fell more than 16 percent, Sycamore’s stock price fell 12 percent, and VA Linux's shares fell over 21 percent after they were downgraded in analyst reports; that FirePond’s stock price fell over 40 percent when the company announced poor financial results).
. Id. V 43. It appears that some of defendants' experts agree with this. See, e.g., Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 38 (''[W]hen a buy trade takes place in an anonymous market, since market participants do not know whether the buyer is an 'informed' investor or not, they will attribute some probability to both possibilities. Hence the stock price may increase to reflect the possibility that the trade was motivated by information. However, if the buyer were uninformed, the price would revert over a short period of time once market participants realize that no fresh information is forthcoming that might justify the purchase as an informed trade.”); Stulz Rep. ¶ 22 ("If the market believes that an investor making a purchase might have private information favorable to the stock, the stock price will adjust to reflect the possibility of such favorable information. Similarly, however, when an investor believed to have private information sells shares, the market may conclude that the investor had unfavorable information and adjust the stock accordingly.”).
. Defendants’ expert Christopher Bariy agrees. He notes that "an analyst might highly recommend a stock with high forecasts of future earnings, and then not long afterward the company may report that earnings are, in fact, not in line with the analyst's high expectations. At that point in time, the stock price will generally reflect the actual earnings, and any price increase previously associated with the analyst's recommendation may be fully offset.” Bariy Rep. V 60. See also Bessembinder Rep. If 26 (“The reversal of any price impacts attributable to uninformed trades can occur because the market infers the truth from the absence of subsequent confirming information, because value-oriented traders detect the mispricing, or because the parties that originally traded (e.g., those who purchased due to tie-in agreements) elect to reverse their positions.").
. See Cornell Rep. ¶ 32.
. See id.
. See, e.g., Stulz Rep. ¶ 104; Cornell Rep. ¶ 51; Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 100; Kleidon Rep. ¶ 94; Sirri Rep. ¶ 37.
. See, e.g., Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 93 (observing that inflation increased in July 2000 for iXL by 14.7% and opining that such inflation could not have been caused by defendants' alleged misconduct when it occurred thirteen months after the IPO); Cornell Rep. 1152 (finding that in the case of Engage, inflation increased on 42% of the trading days during the class period using the Morgan Stanley High Tech Index); Bessembinder Rep. ¶ 43 ("Rather than measure inflation caused by the alleged manipulation, Professor Fischel attributes all stock-specific price changes to increases or decreases in the artificial price inflation resulting from the alleged manipulation. This is a fundamental and crucial flaw.”). This was also the criticism of the Second Circuit in Akerman v. Oryx Commc'ns, Inc., when it opined that "[statistical analyses must control for relevant variables to permit reliable inferences.” 810 F.2d 336, 343 (2d Cir.1987) (citations omitted).
. See Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 46.
. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. ¶ 50.
. See Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. V 46.
. See id.
. Other criticisms related to the appropriate index to use or the time period over which the focus case stocks should be compared to the index are inconsequential. The Court need only be satisfied at the class certification stage that plaintiffs have identified a viable way to demonstrate loss causation on a class-wide basis. These determinations therefore need not be made at this stage.
. See, e.g., O'Hara Rep. ¶ 15; Stulz Rep. V 60; Kleidon Rep. ¶ 23; Sirri Rep. 1136; Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 61; Ready Rep. ¶ 7.
. See Fischel Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 9.
. See id. 1110.
. See Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 35; Sirri Rep. ¶ 15.
. See Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 47; Sirri Rep. V 16.
. See Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 47; Sirri Rep. ¶ 16.
. See Pfleiderer Rep. HIT 52-54 (noting that "[a]t the end of the pre-open period, retail investors had placed purchase orders with a weighted average limit price of $17.66. In contrast, the alleged tie-in allocants had placed purchase orders with a weighted average limit price of only $13.93.”); Sirri Rep. ¶ 19 ("[I]n most (twelve out of fifteen) instances where the inside bid changed during the premarket period, there was at least one ‘wholesale’ market maker at the inside bid. This indicates that aggregate demand of mostly retail investors who had little or no opportunity to participate in the allocation of IPO shares had a large effect on opening price.”). See also Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 61 (noting that "a review of trade by trade data for iXL from the [NASDAQ] market reveals that trading in iXL shares on the first day and during the first ten days was dominated by retail investors .... ”).
. See Pfleiderer Rep. ¶ 57 (emphasis in original).
. See id. ¶ 58.
. See Fischel 2d Rebuttal Rep. ¶ 1 n. 3.
. See id. ¶ 28 ("[W]hen the underwriter has information that indicates that aftermarket prices will be high, he enters an initial quote above the offer price.”).
. See id. ¶ 26.
. See id. ¶ 31. Although allocants with alleged tie-in agreements were net sellers on the first day, the percentage of shares sold as a percentage of shares issued was less than one percent. See Summary of Aftermarket Trading by Allo-cants with Alleged Tie-In Agreements, Ex. F to Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. In addition, the data indicates that in the first five days, allocants with alleged tie-in agreements were net purchasers, albeit by an even smaller percentage of issued shares. See id. At best, this data is inconclusive with respect to whether the alleged tie-in agreements had any effect on inflation in the aftermarket.
. See iXL’s Stock Price Chart, Ex. C to Fischel 2d Supp. Rep.
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 43.
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 103.
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 44 (citation omitted).
. Id.
. Am. Master Allegations ¶¶ 33, 35. Defendants have previously insisted that plaintiffs' earlier pleadings are binding on this Court. However, I have already held that plaintiffs' earlier pleadings are not conclusive admissions, though they may have evidentiary value. See In re Initial Public Offering Sec. Litig., 544 F.Supp.2d 277, 291 n. 96 (S.D.N.Y.2008). Defendants are correct that the Second Circuit's determinations in Miles I are binding on plaintiffs and on this Court. However, to the extent that plaintiffs have altered their allegations, those determinations may not be applicable. For example, Miles I concluded that based on defendants allegations concerning who knew of the manipulation, knowledge must have spread "throughout the community of market participants and watchers.” Miles I, 471 F.3d at 44. Because plaintiffs now allege that a substantially smaller number of participants knew of the manipulation, that finding no longer applies.
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 103.
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 44 (citation omitted).
. See Stipulation ¶ 8A(a).
. See id. ¶ 8A(b).
. While it is certainly possible that others who are not excluded from participating in the settlement knew about the scheme, I am confident that their number is far less than those that have been excluded from the class definition. As such, common questions of knowledge should predominate over individual issues.
. See Fischel 2d Supp. Rep. 11 22.
. See id. ¶ 23.
. See id. ¶ 24. Four of these articles were republications of one of the original three. See id.
. See id. ¶ 25.
. Miles I, 471 F.3d at 44.
. See id.
. See Am. Master Allegations ¶ 17 ("The Underwriter Defendants kept track of certain of their customers’ actual or imputed profits from the allocation of shares in the IPOs and then demanded that certain customers share a material portion of the profits obtained from the sale of those allocated IPO shares....").
. See PL Mem. at 25.
. Plaintiffs note that draft "institutional pot” lists will have to be distinguished from final lists, but inform the Court that they have agreed with defendants — for settlement purposes — on how these determinations will be made. See id.
. 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 118-19.
. See id. at 117 (quoting DeMaria v. Andersen, 318 F.3d 170, 178 (2d Cir.2003)).
. Stipulation II 8A. This conclusion is consistent with my 2005 Opinion and Order that preliminarily approved the prior settlement. See In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig., 226 F.R.D. 186 (S.D.N.Y.2005). In that opinion, while I noted that I had previously certified a section 11 class with a shortened class period — finding that there were predominance and manageability issues related to answering the question of tracing — I found it unnecessary to shorten the class period and exclude post-tracing purchasers from the class at settlement. See id. at 194 — 95. I concluded that because the litigation was no longer going to trial, manageability was no longer an issue, and "the predominance defect [ ] no longer fatal.” Id. at 195.
. 6/5/09 Letter from Stanley D. Bernstein, on behalf of the Plaintiffs' Executive Committee, to the Court.
. Id. (quoting Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 107, 113).
. See Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 109.
. See 5/8/09 Affirmation of the Honorable Nicholas H. Politan ("Politan Aff.”); 5/8/09 Affirmation of the Honorable Daniel Weinstein ("Weinstein Aff.”).
. See Politan Aff. ¶ 16; Weinstein Aff. ¶ 16.
. See Politan Aff. ¶ 18; Weinstein Aff. ¶ 18.
. Politan Aff. ¶ 18; Weinstein Aff. V 18.
. See Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 116.
. See In re Initial Pub. Offering (IPO) Sec. Litig., 277 F.Supp.2d 1375, 1376 (J.P.M.L.2003).
. See 2004 Class Cert., 227 F.R.D. at 71.
. See In re Initial Pub. Offering (IPO) Sec. Litig., 277 F.Supp.2d at 1376-77.
. See PI. Mem. at 15.
. See id. at 8.
. See id.
. In re Methyl Tertiary Butyl Ether Prods. Liab. Litig., No. 1:00 Civ. 1898, 2006 WL 1004725, at *4 (S.D.N.Y. Apr. 17, 2006) (quoting Phillips v. Ford Motor Co., 435 F.3d 785, 787 (7th Cir. 2006)).
. Nevertheless, I note that a small number of objections compared to the many potential class members is “indicative of the adequacy of the settlement.” Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 118 (citation omitted).
. Id.
. See PI. Mem. at 15.
. Id.
. Id., at 16.
. Id.
. See id.
. See id. n. 8 (citing a Practice Law Institute Securities Litigation & Enforcement Institute study finding that of the twelve securities cases that were tried to jury verdict — six went to the defense and six went to the plaintiffs).
. See id.
. See id.
. See id. at 17.
. See id.
. See id.
. Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 119 (quoting Newman v. Stein, 464 F.2d 689, 693 (2d Cir. 1972)).
. In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig., 226 F.R.D. 186, 192 (S.D.N.Y.2005).
. Indeed, I noted in my Opinion and Order preliminarily approving the prior settlement that, according to that Stipulation, plaintiffs would not receive any recovery from the settling Issuer defendants if there was a settlement with the Underwriter defendants. See id. at 192 n. 27 (citing 2004 Stipulation and Agreement of Settlement ¶ 1 (ff)) -
. Plaintiffs note that their damage experts estimate that institutional investors generally account for about seventy percent of aftermarket trade volume. See PL Mem. at 18. Their exclusion will therefore substantially reduce the number of Authorized Claimants.
. As discussed above, the settlement release clause of the Stipulation covers a number of potential claims that plaintiffs may or may not have been able to bring against defendants for their alleged misconduct during the applicable class periods. See Stipulation ¶ l(pp). The Second Circuit has held that broad release clauses are permissible so long as they arise from the "identical factual predicate” as the settled conduct. See Wal-Mart Stores, 396 F.3d at 107 (quoting TBK Partners Ltd. v. Western Union Corp., 675 F.2d 456, 458 (2d Cir.1982)).
. See Proposed Notice of Pendency.
. See id. at 3-5, 8-10.
. See id. at 16.
. See id. at 10-16, 17-18.
. See id. at 20-22.
. See PL Mem. at 11.
. See id.
. See id.
. See Eisen v. Carlisle & Jacquelin, et al., 417 U.S. 156, 174-75, 94 S.Ct. 2140, 40 L.Ed.2d 732 (1974) (finding use of "the mails” to be sufficient to satisfy due process concerns).