MEMORANDUM AND ORDER
This action involves agreements between the brand-name manufacturer of the widely used antibiotic ciprofloxacin hydrochloride (“Cipro”) and potential generic manufacturers of Cipro. The brand-name manufacturer, Bayer AG, a German company, and its American subsidiary, Bayer Corporation (collectively, “Bayer”) and the *517 generics, Barr Laboratories, Inc. (“Barr”); The Rugby Group, Inc. (“Rugby”); Hoechst Marion Roussel, Inc. (“HMR”); and Watson Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (“Watson”) (collectively, “generic defendants”) 1 entered into agreements that Direct Purchaser Plaintiffs (“direct plaintiffs”) and Indirect Purchaser Class Plaintiffs (“indirect plaintiffs”) allege prevented competition in the market for Cipro in violation of federal and state antitrust laws. 2 Plaintiffs previously filed motions for partial summary judgment seeking a determination that these agreements were per $e unlawful under Section 1 of the Sherman Act, 15 U.S.C. § 1 (and various state antitrust and consumer protection laws), which were denied. Subsequently, indirect plaintiffs amended their complaint to add a new count, Count V, alleging Walker Process-type 3 and sham litigation antitrust violations under state law.
Bayer and generic defendants have now each filed motions for summary judgment asserting that these agreements do not violate Section 1 of the Sherman Act because they had no anti-competitive effects beyond the scope of Bayer’s patent on ciprofloxacin, while direct plaintiffs have filed a motion for partial summary judgment arguing that the agreements meet the “anti-competitive conduct” requirement of Section 1 of the Sherman Act and the “antitrust injury” requirement of the Section 4 of the Clayton Act. Bayer has also filed two motions relating to Count V of indirect plaintiffs’ second amended complaint (“Count V”). The first, a motion to dismiss Count V, is made on the grounds that indirect plaintiffs’ state law Walker Process-type claim is preempted by federal patent law and is barred by the statute of limitations. The second, filed in the event Count V is not dismissed, is a motion for summary judgment on Count V on the grounds that indirect plaintiffs have failed to demonstrate that any misrepresentations or omissions made by Bayer in prosecuting its patent were so highly material that the patent would not have issued but for the alleged deceptions and that plaintiffs’ sham litigation claim fails as a matter of law. Finally, HMR and Rugby have filed a motion for summary judgment that indirect plaintiffs’ claims against them are barred by the doctrine of Illinois Brick 4 and that any rights assigned to indirect plaintiffs do not include claims against HMR.
Background
The statutory and regulatory background, as well as the circumstances of
*518
this case, were fully described in the court’s initial opinion,
In
re
Ciprofloxacin Hydrochloride Antitrust Litig.,
Bayer is the assignee of U.S. Patent No. 4,670,444 (“the ’444 Patent”), a compound patent which claims the chemical entity that is the active ingredient in Cipro—-ciprofloxacin hydrochloride—and all its generic equivalents.
See Cipro II,
In October 1987, Bayer’s predecessor, Miles, Inc., obtained FDA approval to market Cipro in the United States.
Cipro II,
Pursuant to the Hatch-Waxman Amendments to the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, 21 U.S.C. § 355, on December 6, 1991, Barr notified Bayer of its ANDA TV filing, and on January 16, 1992, Bayer sued Barr for patent infringement in the Southern District of New York, where the case was assigned to Judge Whitman Knapp.
Cipro II,
On January 8, 1997, just weeks before trial was scheduled to begin, Bayer and Barr reached a settlement of the patent litigation, with Bayer entering into three separate agreements with Barr, HMR and Rugby, and Bernard Sherman and Apotex, Inc. (collectively, the “Settlement Agreements”) and a supply agreement with Barr and HMR (the “Supply Agreement”) (collectively with the Settlement Agreements, the “Agreements”), the terms of which give rise to the plaintiffs’ claims of Sherman Act violations.
Id.
at 195-96. Under the Barr Settlement Agreement, Bayer paid Barr $49.1 million and, in return, required Barr to amend its ANDA from a Paragraph IV certification to a Paragraph III certification, which would permit it to market a generic form of Cipro only upon the expiration of the ’444 Patent.
Id.
at 196. However, the Barr Settlement Agreement preserved the option for Barr to re-amend to a Paragraph IV certification (for the purpose of reclaiming the 180-day exclusivity period that is awarded to a first-filer of an ANDA IV) in the event the ’444 Patent were subsequently declared invalid or unenforceable by a court of competent jurisdiction. Bayer Sherman Act App., Ex. 16 ¶ 5(a);
see Cipro II,
Under the terms of the Supply Agreement, Barr and HMR agreed not to manufacture or have manufactured a generic form of Cipro in the United States.
Cipro II,
Bayer and Barr also entered into a Consent Judgment, terminating the litigation, in which Barr affirmed the validity and enforceability of the ’444 Patent and admitted infringement. Id. at 196; Bayer Sherman Act App., Ex. 18. The Consent Judgment was signed by Judge Knapp, but made no mention of any payments from Bayer to Barr. Id.
Six months after settling with Barr, in July 1997, Bayer submitted the ’444 Patent to the Patent and Trademark Office (“PTO”) for reexamination. During the reexamination, Bayer amended certain of the claims of the ’444 Patent and cancelled others, after which the PTO reaffirmed the patent’s validity, including the validity of claim 12, which was not substantively amended and which all parties agree covers ciprofloxacin hydrochloride.
Id.
at 197; Bayer’s Reply Mem. in Supp. of Its Mot. for Partial Summ. J. on Count V of the Indirect Purchaser Class Pls.’ Proposed Second Am. Consolidated Class Action Compl. (“Bayer’s Count V Reply Mem.”) at 19; Bayer Sherman Act App., Ex. 5; App. to Aff. of Paul J. Skiermont in Support of Bayer’s, Mot. for Partial Summ. J. on Count V of the Indir. Pls.’ Proposed Second Am. Consol. Class Action Compl. (“Bayer Count V S.J.App.”), Ex. 9. Thereafter, four other generic companies— Schein, Mylan, Carlsbad and Ranbaxy— each challenged the reexamined ’444 Patent by filing ANDA IVs for Cipro.
Cipro II,
Discussion
(1)
Sherman Act Motions for Summary Judgment
The Cipro II decision made clear that Barr’s agreement with Bayer not to sell ciprofloxacin in exchange for the exclusion payments, also commonly known as reverse or exit payments, 6 did not constitute a per se violation of the Sherman Act because the exclusionary effect of the Agreements was within the scope of the ’444 Patent. Direct plaintiffs now move for summary judgment that the exclusion-payment scheme meets the “anti-competitive conduct” requirement of Section 1 of the Sherman Act under a rule of reason analysis, while both Bayer and ge-nerie defendants move for summary judgment that the Agreements had no anti-competitive effects that are actionable under the Sherman Act because they were within the scope of the ’444 Patent. Resolution of this issue requires a close look at the intersection of patent and antitrust laws.
The rule of reason analysis involves a three-step process. First, the plaintiff must prove that “the challenged action has had an
actual
adverse effect on competition as a whole in the relevant market.”
K.M.B. Warehouse Distributors, Inc. v. Walker Mfg. Co.,
*521 a. Relevant market
Taking these steps one at a time, the first question is whether plaintiffs have shown that the Agreements had an actual adverse effect on competition in the relevant market. Traditionally, the starting point of an antitrust inquiry is the definition of the relevant market.
See, e.g., Geneva Pharma. Tech. Corp. v. Barr Labs. Inc.,
Plaintiffs assert that it is unnecessary to show a relevant market in this case because there exists direct evidence of anti-competitive effects. Mem. in Support of Direct Purchaser Pls.’ Mot. for Partial Summ. J. (“Dir.' Pls.’ Mem.”), at 25. In general, to sidestep the traditional relevant market analysis, a plaintiff must show by direct evidence “an actual adverse effect on competition, such as reduced output.”
Geneva v. Barr,
For their direct evidence showing, direct plaintiffs point to government and academic-studies concluding that purchasers derive substantial savings from the availability of generic drugs; internal analyses by the brand name and generic manufacturers themselves forecasting significant price reductions once generic drugs become available; and sales data showing the actual effects of competition once generic Cipro was introduced into the market. Dir. Pls.’ Mem. at 25-31. In particular, direct plaintiffs rely on a 1998 study by the Congressional Budget Office comparing brand-name and generic prices for twenty-one different drugs that faced generic competition between 1991 and 1993, which *522 found that the average retail price of a prescription for a generic drug in 1994 was less than half the average brand-name drug price. App. in Support of Decl. of Monica L. Rebuck for Dir. Pls.’ Mot. for Partial Summ. J. (Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App.), Tab 5 (Congressional Budget Office, How Increased Competition from Generic Drugs Has Affected Prices and Returns in the Pharmaceutical Industry, at 28-31 (July 1998) (“CBO Study”)). Another study cited by direct plaintiffs found that by 2000, the average brand-name prescription cost 340 percent more than its generic equivalent ($65.29 versus $19.33). Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 20 (Kirkling et al., Economics and Structure of the Generic Pharmaceutical Industry, 41 J. Amer. Pharm. Assoc. 578, 579 (2001)).
These studies notwithstanding, the significant price differences actually suggest a finding contrary to the one implied by plaintiffs. Namely, brand-name pharmaceuticals and their generic counterparts might not always compete in the same markets at all because, based on the higher prices of the brand-name drugs, there is less cross-elasticity of demand than one might expect. (If there were, the prices for brand-name drug prices should fall and be closer to that of generics). Indeed, the CBO Study cited by plaintiffs indicates that prices for brand-name drugs continue to rise faster than inflation even after generic competition begins. CBO Study at 30-31. The Second Circuit recently relied on similar price differential data to reach a particularly narrow market definition in
Geneva v. Barr,
Despite the fact that brand-name pharmaceuticals are apparently able to maintain significantly higher prices even after generic entry, the parties’ internal analy-ses prepared at the time the Agreements were entered into confirm that both Bayer and Barr expected Bayer to lose significant sales once generic competition began, with Bayer estimating losses of between $510 million and $826 million in Cipro sales during the first two years of generic competition, depending on the number of generic manufacturers entering the market. Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 47A, at BCP4630078. Another contemporaneous internal Bayer document estimated Bayer’s losses due to a potential adverse judgment in the ’444 Patent litigation at $1,679 billion net present value. Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 47D at BCP-P-0001572-004(2). Barr, similarly, projected that it and other generic manufacturers would capture a large percentage of the market for ciprofloxacin within the first two years of generic competition, and would enter the market at a 30 percent discount off Bayer’s price. Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 36A at BLI-003560.
Finally, direct plaintiffs point to post-generic entry data showing that Barr in fact did capture more than 50 percent of Bayer’s Cipro sales soon after entering the market, and that it initially priced its generic ciprofloxacin at only 8 percent below Bayer’s Cipro product. Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 35 (Expert Report of Jeffrey J. Leitzinger, Ph.D., at 38 n. 93). Direct plaintiffs also note that the Amended and Restated Supply Agreement between Bay *523 er and Barr, dated August 28, 2003, which provides for Bayer to continue supplying ciprofloxacin to Barr for resale after expiration of the pediatric marketing exclusivity extension that Bayer obtained pursuant to 21 U.S.C. § 355a, sets drastically reduced prices for Cipro after the commencement of open generic competition. Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 43A at BCP4660023. For example, a 100-pill bottle of oral, 500-mg ciprofloxacin that cost Barr $321.96 before the beginning of open generic competition would cost only $14.30 after the expiration of Bayer’s pediatric exclusivity, a 95 percent difference in price. Id. Bayer has admitted that the purpose of the price drop was to allow Barr to compete with additional generic manufacturers who would then be entering the market. Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 80 at 112.
Bayer discounts the import of these facts, insisting instead that Cipro competes in the larger market of flouroquinolones, which includes other drugs such as Leva-quin, Floxin and Noroxin, within which Cipro has been losing market share, from 75 percent in 1996 to 43 percent in 2001. Bayer’s Opp. Mem. at 28-29. Bayer maintains that a properly defined market must include all quinolone antibiotics and that defendants did not possess enough market power to control prices or exclude competition within that larger market. Id. at 29.
Although evidence that Bayer charged high prices for Cipro “may of course be indicative of monopoly power,” it is not necessarily conclusive in the absence of any analysis of Bayer’s costs.
See, e.g., Geneva Pharm. v. Barr,
b. Adverse effect on competition
The ultimate question — and this is the crux of the matter — is not whether Bayer and Barr had the power to adversely affect competition for ciprofloxacin as a whole, but whether any adverse effects on competition stemming from the Agreements were outside the exclusionary zone of the ’444 Patent. It goes without saying that patents have adverse effects on competition.
See Precision Instrument Mfg. Co. v. Automotive Maintenance Mach. Co.,
i. The validity inquiry
While there have been to date only a handful of cases discussing the legality of patent settlement exclusion payments, some courts and commentators have dealt with the questions of whether and to what extent the validity of the patent should be a factor in appraising the legality of an exclusion payment, and what sort of inquiry into validity an antitrust court should make. The Second Circuit has not yet addressed these issues, but two federal circuits, two district courts (including one on which Judge Posner sat by designation) and the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) have considered them. Although those courts have come to different conclusions regarding the legality of exclusion payments at issue in those cases, they have generally agreed that an antitrust court need not make an independent assessment of the underlying patent’s validity.
The Eleventh Circuit’s approach in Valley Drug
The Eleventh Circuit in
Valley Drug Co. v. Geneva Pharma., Inc.,
*525 On March 31, 1998, Abbott and Zenith entered an agreement settling their de-listing and infringement dispute, under which Zenith agreed not to sell or distribute any generic terazosin hydrochloride product until a third party entered the market or until one of Abbott’s patents expired, in exchange for payments by Abbott of $6 million every three months. Id. at 1300. The next day, Abbott entered a similar agreement with Geneva whereby Geneva agreed not to sell or distribute any generic terazosin hydrochloride product until one of Abbott’s patents expired, a third party entered the market or Geneva obtained a final court judgment from which no further appeal could be taken that its terazosin products did not infringe one of Abbott’s patents or that the patent was invalid. Id. In exchange, Abbott agreed to pay Geneva $4.5 million per month. Id. Geneva subsequently prevailed in the patent infringement suit Abbott had filed against it, obtaining a judgment on September 1, 1998 that the patent at issue in that case was invalid. Id. at 1301.
The district court concluded that Abbott’s agreements with Zenith and Geneva were
per se
violations of Section 1 of the Sherman Act, holding that the exclusionary effect of the agreements constituted an allocation of the market between horizontal competitors.
Id.
at 1304. The Eleventh Circuit reversed, however, rejecting the argument “that the agreements by Geneva and Zenith not to produce infringing products are subject to
per se
condemnation and treble-damages liability merely because the ’207 patent was subsequently declared invalid.”
Id.
at 1306. The court ruled that “the mere subsequent invalidity of the patent does not render the pátent irrelevant to the appropriate antitrust analysis.”
Id.
at 1306-07. The court invoked the rationale of Justice Harlan’s concurrence in
Walker Process Equip., Inc. v. Food Mach. & Chem. Corp.,
The court concluded that “[pjatent litigation is too complex and the results too uncertain for parties to accurately forecast whether enforcing the exclusionary right through settlement will expose them to treble damages if the patent immunity were destroyed by the mere invalidity of the patent.” Id. at 1308. The court held open the possibility that the size of the payment to refrain from competing could be evidence of a lack of faith in the validity of the patent or evidence that the patent was obtained by fraud but, citing this court’s decision in Cipro II, noted that the asymmetries of risk inherent in a Hatch-Waxman patent litigation and the high profits at stake could induce even a confident patentee to pay a substantial sum in settlement. Id. at 1309-10.
The Valley Drug court thus took the position that an antitrust court need not consider the potential invalidity of the patent in an exclusion-payment settlement, except in those extreme cases involving fraud on the Patent Office or assertion of a patent known to be invalid, i.e., in circumstances giving rise to an allegation of Walker Process fraud or sham litigation. However, the court went on to direct the district court on remand to evaluate the *526 defendants’ claim that the exclusionary effects of the patent and the agreements were coextensive because certain provisions of the agreements were analogous to a consensual preliminary injunction and stay of judgment pending appeal. Id. at 1312. The court instructed that this evaluation should include a comparison between “the provisions of the agreement and the protections afforded by the preliminary injunction and stay mechanisms,” and, furthermore, that the “likelihood of Abbott’s obtaining such protections” should be considered. Id.
On remand, the district court interpreted the Eleventh Circuit’s instructions as requiring an analysis of the likelihood that Abbott would have won a preliminary injunction at the time the agreements were executed, which it construed as requiring an analysis of whether Abbott would have been able to show that its patent was likely valid, rather than an analysis simply of whether the patent claims covered Abbott’s product.
In re Terazosin Hydrochloride Antitrust Litig.,
It is not certain that the district court correctly interpreted the Eleventh Circuit’s opinion, and, indeed, the Eleventh Circuit seems to have expressed some doubt on that point in an unrelated opinion.
See Schering-Plough,
The Sixth Circuit’s approach in Cardiz-em
The Sixth Circuit, in
In re Cardizem CD Antitrust Litig.,
Judge Posner’s approach in Asahi Glass
Judge Posner, sitting by designation for the Northern District of Illinois, adopted similar reasoning to that of the Eleventh Circuit in
Valley Drug
in analyzing the merits of an antitrust action brought by a supplier to a generic pharmaceutical company that was shut out of the market for paroxetine hydrochloride (sold as the antidepressent Paxil) by a settlement agreement between the generic and the brand-name manufacturer.
Asahi Glass,
Commenting on the hesitation of an antitrust court to delve into the merits of a predicate patent suit and its potential effect on a settlement agreement, Judge Posner noted:
[T]he private thoughts of a patentee, or of the alleged infringer who settles with him, about whether the patent is valid or whether it has been infringed is not the issue in an antitrust case. A firm that has received a patent from the patent office (and not by fraud ...), and thus enjoys the presumption of validity that attaches to an issued patent, 35 U.S.C. § 282, is entitled to defend the patent’s validity in court, to sue alleged infring-ers, and to settle with them, whatever its private doubts, unless a neutral observer would reasonably think either that the patent was almost certain to be declared invalid, or the defendants were almost certain to be found not to have infringed it, if the suit went to judgment.
Id. at 992-93. Although Asahi Glass did not involve an exclusion-payment settlement, Judge Posner employed a similar approach to that of the Eleventh Circuit in Valley Drug in declining to independently assess the likely validity of the patent unless it was almost certainly invalid or obtained by fraud. 10 , 11
*528 The district court’s approach in Tamoxifen
This district has also previously adjudicated the legality of a settlement of a patent litigation in which the validity of the patent was less than certain, without engaging in a
post hoc
analysis of the patent’s validity.
See In re Tamoxifen Citrate Antitrust Litig.,
The district court dismissed the subsequent antitrust action brought by consumers, third-party payors and consumer advocacy groups alleging that they were forced to pay higher prices for tamoxifen as a result of the Zeneea/Barr settlement agreement. The court reasoned: “The lack of competition was not the result of any anti-competitive conduct by Zeneca or Barr, but rather the result of the existence of the ’516 patent and the decision by the patent holder to enforce it.” Id. at 138. In reaching this conclusion, the court did not independently assess the probable validity of the patent, even in light of the earlier district court’s finding of invalidity and unenforceability, although it did note the traditional Walker Process-type exceptions for patent antitrust liability where the patent is fraudulently procured or the infringement action was a sham. Id. at 136.
The Federal Trade Commission’s approach in Schering-Plough
In a decision heavily relied on by plaintiffs for its holding that exclusion payments exceeding litigation costs up to $2 million are prohibited under the Federal Trade Commission Act, the FTC also “question[ed] the utility of a rule that would give decisive weight to an after-the-fact inquiry into the merits of the patent issues in a settled case.”
12
In re Schering-Plough Corp,
No. 04-10688,
The facts of that case involved two settlement agreements—one between Scher-ing-Plough, the brand-name manufacturer of two extended-release microencapsulated potassium chloride products, K-Dur 20 and K-Dur 10, and Upsher, a generic manufacturer, and one between Schering-Plough and American Home Products (“AHP”), another generic manufacturer. *529 Id. at 1065-1066. The Schering/Upsher agreement, entered on the eve of the parties’ Hatch-Waxman patent infringement trial, called for Schering to make payments totaling $60 million to Upsher in exchange for, inter alia, Upsher’s agreement not to enter the market with any generic version of K-Dur 20 for over four years. The Schering/AHP settlement, which also ended a Hatch-Waxman patent infringement trial, required Schering-Plough to make payments totaling $30 million in exchange for AHP’s agreement not to market any generic version of K-Dur 20 for at least six years. Id. After rejecting Schering-Plough’s argument that it had received any other consideration for its payments than Upsher’s and AHP’s agreements to delay marketing (both agreements included ancillary licenses), the FTC condemned the agreements as anti-competitive, but not on the basis of a post hoc review of the patents’ validity.
The FTC provided a pragmatic reason for its refusal to assess validity, which had not been previously articulated by courts considering the issue:
An after-the-fact inquiry by the Commission into the merits of the underlying litigation is not only unlikely to be particularly helpful, but also likely to be unreliable. As a general matter, tribunals decide patent issues in the context of a true adversary proceeding, and their opinions are informed by the arguments of opposing counsel. Once a case settles, however, the interests of the formerly contending parties are aligned. A generic competitor that has agreed to delay its entry no longer has an incentive to attack vigorously the validity of the patent in issue or a claim of infringement.
Schering-Plough I,
Although the Eleventh Circuit heavily criticized the FTC for other aspects of its decision, it had no quarrel with the FTC’s rejection of a
post hoc
analysis of patent validity, as its own analysis took no account of the potential invalidity of the patent.
Schering-Plough II,
This survey of the case law reveals that, with the possible exception of the Eleventh Circuit’s instructions to the district court on remand in the Valley Drug case (see discussion supra), courts assessing the legality of patent settlement agreements have not engaged in a post hoc determination of the potential validity of the underlying patent (except in cases of Walker Process or sham litigation claims) when deciding whether an agreement concerning the patent violates antitrust law. These authorities are persuasive.
Above all, making the legality of a patent settlement agreement, on pain of treble damages, contingent on a later court’s assessment of the patent’s validity might chill patent settlements altogether. Moreover, as explained infra, such an approach would undermine the presumption of validity of patents in all cases, as it could not logically be limited to drug patents, and would work a revolution in patent law.
*530
In any event, although “the reasonableness of agreements under the antitrust laws are to be judged at the time the agreements are entered into,”
Valley Drug,
But this argument is not very convincing in light of the fact that one of the challenges—Carlsbad’s, on the ground of obviousness-—-also required extensive discovery and resulted in a nine-day bench trial. It is difficult to accept the notion that Carlsbad abandoned a stronger argument because it would have presumably required a greater effort, especially since Barr had already done most of the preparatory work on the inequitable conduct issue.
Plaintiffs further argue that the ’444 Patent that emerged from reexamination in the PTO after Bayer’s settlement with Barr was much changed from the ’444 Patent that Barr had challenged, insinuating that the allegedly strong inequitable conduct defense that Barr had developed would be weaker, or possibly even unavailable, in the hands of challengers of the reexamined ’444 Patent. Indir. Pls.’ Count V Opp’n, at 3. This is clearly wrong, since the defense of inequitable conduct was available for all the ’444 Patent’s post-reexamination challengers.
See Molins PLC v. Textron, Inc.,
In sum, it is inappropriate for an antitrust court, in determining the reasonableness of a patent settlement agreement, to conduct an after-the-fact inquiry into the validity of the underlying patent. Such an inquiry would undermine any certainty for patent litigants seeking to settle their disputes. In addition, exposing the parties to a patent settlement agreement to treble antitrust damages simply because the patent is later found to be invalid would overstep the bright-line rule adopted by the Supreme Court in
Walker Process,
first elaborated upon by Justice Harlan in his concurrence and relied upon by the patent bar for the past forty years.
Walker Process,
*531 ii. The effect of the possible invalidity of the patent on the legality of the Agreements
Having resolved that the validity of the ’444 Patent should not be independently assessed, the next question that needs to be addressed is how the possibility that the patent is invalid should affect the legality of an exclusion payment. The heart of plaintiffs’ argument is that there was at least a chance that the ’444 Patent was invalid and, therefore, the Agreements violated antitrust law because the patent rights they enforce derive from a potentially invalid patent. They argue that the potential invalidity of the patent translates into a potential for open competition (and, hence, lower prices), and that the possibility of realizing such open competition was unfairly foreclosed by the Agreements.
Although plaintiffs do not attempt to litigate the validity of the ’444 Patent in their motion for summary judgment, or in their opposition to defendants’ motions for summary judgment, they do argue that the patent’s potential invalidity should be taken into account when assessing whether the anti-competitive effects of the Agreements exceed the exclusionary scope of the patent. These arguments, plaintiffs assert, do not depend on an analysis of the ’444 Patent’s validity. In that regard, plaintiffs advance the reasoning of the FTC in Schering-Plough, now rejected by the Eleventh Circuit, and the views of several academics.
The starting point of the FTC’s analysis whether the exclusion payments in that case were anti-competitive was to compare the amount of competition that occurred under the exclusion payment to “the amount of competition that was likely to occur had it not been for the payment .... ”
Schering-Plough I,
Plaintiffs note that the FTC relied on the economic analysis advocated by Professor Carl Shapiro in his article Antitrust Limits to Patent Settlements, 34 Rand J. Econ. 391 (2003), see Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 16, in which he states that, like litigants to a patent infringement suit, consumers have an “expected” gain from the patent challenge that equals their actual gains if the patent is invalidated, discounted by the probability of its being upheld. Dir. Pls.’ Mem. at 14. The parties to the litigation, Professor Shapiro argues, should not be allowed to bargain away this assumed consumer surplus in reaching their settlement. Shapiro, 34 Rand J. of Econ. at 396 (“[A] patent settlement cannot lead to lower expected consumer surplus than would have arisen from ongoing litigation. Effectively, consumers have a ‘property right’ to the level of competition that would have prevailed, on average, had the two parties litigated the patent dispute to a resolution in the courts.”).
This concept of a public property right in the outcome of private lawsuits does not translate well into the realities of litigation, and there is no support in the law for such a right. There is simply no legal basis for restricting the rights of patentees to choose their enforcement vehicle
(i.e.,
set
*532
tlement versus litigation). Equally important, there is no duty to use patent-derived market power in a way that imposes the lowest monopoly rents on the consumer.
See, e.g., E. Bement & Sons v. Nat. Harrow Co.,
Furthermore, even assuming some consumer surplus that the parties are bound to respect in settlement negotiations, such an interest would first have to be quantified. In seeking to calculate this consumer surplus, plaintiffs first couch their analysis in probabilistic terms, acknowledging this court’s earlier admonishment that antitrust liability cannot be predicated on the possible outcome of litigation. Dir. Pls.’ Mem. at 12-23;
Cipro II,
To support this approach, plaintiffs resort to generalized statements about how patents fare in the courts. Dir. Pls.’ Mem. at 18 (“Defendants themselves have admitted that, except in the rarest of cases, no patent stands a greater than 70% chance of being found to be .Valid.”). This argument has some facial appeal, as it is common knowledge that many patents, once challenged, are ultimately held invalid and/or unenforceable. See, e.g., Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 15 (John R. Allison and Mark A. Lemley, Empirical Evidence on the Validity of Litigated Patents, 26 AI-PLA Q.J. 185, 205 (1998) (showing that *533 nearly half of all litigated patents are found to be invalid)).
Ultimately, however, this argument proves too much. To begin with the premise, as characterized by generic defendants, that every patent is “a little bit invalid,” results in undermining the presumption of validity that Congress has afforded patents. 35 U.S.C. § 282 (“A patent shall be presumed valid.”);
see
Generic Defs.’ Mem. in Opp’n to Direct Purchaser Pls.’ Mot. for Partial Summ. J., at 9. Moreover, this premise could have far-reaching effects on everyday patent transactions.
See Schering-Plough II,
Although plaintiffs contend that entry with a license is preferable to no entry at all, unless the license is royalty-free, the royalty itself is a barrier to entry, anathema to unfettered competition and, depending on the royalty rate, may offer minimal benefit to the public. If the settlement with a payment to a generic is to be subject to antitrust liability, even though it does not exceed the scope of the patent, the next antitrust challenge to a patent settlement might well take place in the context of a license with royalty, a result that even Professor Shapiro would presumably disfavor.
See, e.g.,
Shapiro,
Antitrust Limits to Patent Settlements,
34 RAND J. of Econ. at 395 (“[A] prohibition on settling patent disputes cannot make sense: as noted earlier, virtually every patent license can be viewed as the settlement of a patent dispute, and settlements generally can provide many benefits not only to the settling parties but to consumers as well.”). To open royalty-bearing patent license agreements to antitrust scrutiny simply because patents are often held invalid when tested in litigation would undermine the settled expectations of pat-entees and potential infringers/licensees across countless industries.
See In re Tamoxifen,
Plaintiffs argue, as an alternative to the probabilistic method described above, that the potential invalidity of the patent can be inferred from the parties’ behavior. Plaintiffs suggest that the settlement amount is evidence of the patent’s fallibility because its value exceeds the litigation costs of fending off a challenge. Mem. of Dir. Pls. in Opp’n to Defs.’ Mots, for Summ. J. at 45. Plaintiffs make the sensible argument that the higher the patentee’s expectation of invalidity, the more it will be willing to pay a generic challenger to concede validity and stay out of the market. Thus, the very amount of the exclusion payment is evidence of the probable invalidity of the patent. Indeed, Bayer’s own documents bear this theory out: a presentation slide prepared by Bayer’s chief negotiator of the Bayer/Barr settlement contains the title, “The maximum settlement amount we should consider paying increases as the risk of losing increases.” Dir. Pls.’ Summ. J.App., Tab 47B, at BCP-P-0001668A-004. It is worth mentioning that the presentation slide in question includes a graph plotting Bayer’s perceived risk of losing against various dollar amounts and that the amount Bayer ultimately paid Barr *534 (approximately $398 million) is at the 20-25 percent risk-of-loss mark. 16
However, although direct plaintiffs contend that the amount of the exclusion payment in this case—$398 million—corresponds to a perceived chance of losing of about 50 percent, in absolute numbers Bayer’s perceived chance of losing would appear to be much lower. How direct plaintiffs calculated this number is difficult to fathom, 17 especially since they cite Professor Hovenkamp’s explanation of expected gains and losses in analyzing the anti-competitive effects of exclusion payments, who states: “[I]f the patentee has a 25% chance of losing, it is willing to pay up to 25% of the value of its monopoly to exclude its competitors without a trial.” Herbert Hovenkamp et al., Anticompetitive Settlement of Intellectual Property Disputes, 87 Minn. L.Rev. 1719, 1759 (2003). Applying this model to Bayer’s situation—plaintiffs submit that Bayer stood to lose more than $1.5 billion in profits if the ’444 Patent was invalidated—reveals that Bayer’s payment of $398 million translates to a perceived chance of losing of 26.5 percent. Of course, Bayer’s payment to Barr was likely also constrained by the maximum amount Bayer expected Barr to make if it won the lawsuit, but applying a straight “expectation” economic analysis to these facts would indicate that Bayer was relatively confident of its chances of winning at trial. 18
Plaintiffs’ point is well-taken that the greater the chance a court would hold the patent invalid, the higher the likelihood that the patentee will seek to salvage a patent by settling with an exclusion payment. If courts do not discount the exclusionary power of the patent by the probability of the patent’s being held invalid, then the patents most likely to be the subject of exclusion payments would be precisely those patents that have the most questionable validity. This concern, on its face, is quite powerful. But the answer to this concern lies in the fact that, while the strategy of paying off a generic company to drop its patent challenge would work to exclude that particular competitor from the market, it would have no effect on other challengers of the patent, whose incentive to mount a challenge would also grow commensurately with the chance that the patent would be held invalid.
See, e.g.,
Herbert Hovenkamp,
Sensible Antitrust Rules for Pharmaceutical Competition,
39 U.S.F.L.Rev. 11, 25 (2004) (“In a world in which there are numerous firms willing
*535
and able to enter the market, an exit payment to one particular infringement defendant need not have significant anticompeti-tive effects. If there is good reason for believing the patent invalid others will try the same thing.”). Moreover, it is unlikely that the holder of a weak patent could stave off all possible challengers with exclusion payments because the economics simply would not justify it.
Cf. id.
at 25 n. 54 (noting “ample history of litigation among large numbers of rivals being settled with a comprehensive licensing agreement,” but acknowledging that those settlements “typically did not involve exit payments, but rather cross-licenses”). It could, therefore, be expected that the market would correct for any bolstering of flagrantly invalid patents by way of exclusion payments.
19
See, e.g., Andrx Pharma., Inc. v. Biovail Corp. Int’l,
Plaintiffs counter that such a market correction would have no impact on the injury to the market in the period before a subsequent challenger successfully invalidates the patent. But that is true in the case of all patents, not just pharmaceutical patents. Unless and until the patent is shown to have been procured by fraud, or a suit for its enforcement is shown to be objectively baseless, there is no injury to the market cognizable under existing antitrust law, as long as competition is restrained only within the scope of the patent.
Cf. Schering-Plough II,
Plaintiffs further argue that the very fact that Bayer made an exclusion payment evidences the anti-competitive nature of the Agreements because a brand-name manufacturer’s exclusion payments “eliminate its expected losses under litigation— and therefore eliminate consumers’ expected gains under litigation .... ” Dir Pls.’ Mem. at 17. Plaintiffs again point to the FTC’s decision:
*536 If there has been a payment from the patent holder to the generic challenger, there must have been some offsetting consideration. Absent proof of other offsetting consideration, it is logical to conclude that the quid pro quo for the payment was an agreement by the generic to defer entry beyond the date that represents an otherwise reasonable litigation compromise.
Schering-Plough I,
Moreover, plaintiffs’ assertion that Bayer’s payment to Barr is anti-competitive because, without it, Bayer and Barr would have agreed on an earlier entry date for Barr or would have otherwise fashioned a more pro-competitive agreement must also fail. This assertion ignores the fact that, if defendants were within their rights (more specifically, the patent right) in reaching the settlement they did, consumers have no right to second-guess whether some different agreement would have been more palatable.
See, e.g., Verizon Comm’n Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP,
Finally, plaintiffs argue that Congress granted only a rebuttable presumption of validity, not a conclusive presumption, and that by making a payment, Bayer is buying that which Congress declined to grant. This argument was explicitly rejected by the Eleventh Circuit in Valley Drug:
*537 We cannot conclude that the exclusionary effects of the Agreements not to enter the market were necessarily greater than the exclusionary effects of the ’207 patent merely because Abbott paid Geneva and Zenith in return for their respective agreements. If Abbott had a lawful right to exclude competitors, it is not obvious that competition was limited more than that lawful degree by paying potential competitors for their exit. The failure to produce the competing terazosin drug, rather than the payment of money, is the exclusionary effect, and litigation is a much more costly mechanism to achieve exclusion, both to the parties and to the public, than is settlement.
Valley Drug,
The FTC held that the Schering-Plough exclusion-payment patent settlements violated Section 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act,
Schering-Plough I,
In a perfectly functioning market without transaction costs, a monopoly producer would be indifferent between producing everything itself and simply ‘licensing’ another to make part of its production. The license fee would be the monopoly markup, output would remain at the monopoly level as it would in any perfect cartel agreement, and the monopolist would earn the same profits, although part of them would be paid as license fees rather than as markup on goods that it produced. If all parties were completely certain that a patent was valid and infringed, a pat-entee would have precisely the same set of incentives. It would either produce all output under the patent itself, or else it would license some output to a rival, earning the monopoly profits as royalties. Assuming zero transaction costs, however, a firm in that position would have no incentive whatsoever to pay another firm to stay out of the market. It could exclude without paying anything at all.
Hovenkamp, 87 Minn. L.Rev. at 1750-51.
Assuming the soundness of Professor Hovenkamp’s analysis (and it is hard to see how it can be contested), if the monopolist’s profit margins are extraordinarily high, the royalty on an early-entry license could be so high that the generic company’s prices would be no lower than the brand-name manufacturer’s. In this case, given Bayer’s projected price drop of 95
*538
percent a year in the future, it is reasonable to infer that Bayer’s profit margin for Cipro was in excess of 95 percent.
22
In fact, plaintiffs concede that the terms of Bayer’s six-month license to Barr called for an 85 percent royalty, but they complain that the license did not benefit consumers because the royalty was so high. Indir. Pls.’ Sherman Opp’n, at 26. Indeed, indirect plaintiffs argue that a drug can only be considered “generic” if it is priced at least at a ten percent discount to its branded counterpart at the end-payer level, a standard that was not met by Barr’s selling price under the six-month license from Barr, because the 85 percent royalty was paid at the wholesale, not retail, level. Thus, outlawing exclusion-payment settlements in favor of early-entry licenses would not necessarily result in a public benefit or satisfy plaintiffs, unless royalty rates are also constrained. Such constraints on patent holders are, of course, impermissible.
See, e.g., E. Element & Sons,
And even if royalty rates were suppressed so as to preserve some consumer benefit, at some point the interests of the patent holder and the generic would diverge so that settlement would be impossible and continued litigation the only viable course. While plaintiffs may view this as a desirable outcome, as noted, the Eleventh Circuit vacated and set aside the FTC’s opinion in
Schering-Plough
as inconsistent with the Eleventh Circuit’s holding in
Valley Drug
that “[sjimply because a brand-name pharmaceutical company holding a patent paid its generic competitor money cannot be the sole basis for a violation of antitrust law,” unless the “exclusionary effects of the agreement” exceed the “scope of the patent’s protection.”
Schering-Plough,
A significant issue before the FTC was Schering’s affirmative defense that the agreements to delay entry were ancillary to the legitimate settlement of a patent dispute.
Schering-Plough I,
Plaintiffs point to the Eleventh Circuit’s lengthy discussion of whether the payments were bona fide royalty payments as a disavowal of a rule that any payment from the patent holder for a competitor’s exclusion that is within the scope of the patent is exempt from antitrust scrutiny. Letter from Steve D. Shadowen dated 3/15/2005, at 2-3. Instead, plaintiffs view that discussion as expressing agreement with plaintiffs’ position that such payments in exchange for delay do in fact exceed the scope of the patent. Id. A more plausible explanation for the Eleventh Circuit’s in-depth treatment of the bona fide royalty question is that the discussion framed the issue of whether the delay aspects of the agreements were ancillary restraints or not. Indeed, the Eleventh Circuit’s endorsement of a rule permitting exclusion payments that do not exceed the scope of the patent could hardly be clearer:
We have said before, and we say it again, that the size of the payment, or the mere presence of a payment, should not dictate the availability of a settlement remedy. Due to the assymetries of risk and large profits at stake, even a patentee confident in the validity of its patent might pay a potential infringer a substantial sum in settlement. An exception cannot lie ... when the issue turns on validity (Valley Drug) as opposed to infringement (the Schering agreements). The effect is the same: a generic’s entry into the market is delayed. What we must focus on is the extent to which the exclusionary effects of the agreement fall within the scope of the patent’s protection. Here, we find that the agreements fell well within the protections of the ’743 patent, and were therefore not illegal.
Schering-Plough II,
Plaintiffs also argue that the Eleventh Circuit’s concluding admonition that there is a need “to evaluate the strength of the patent,”
Schering-Plough II,
To summarize, it would be inappropriate to engage in an after-the-fact analysis of the patent’s likely validity.
23
Nor is it appropriate to discount the exclusionary power of the patent by any probability that the patent would have been found invalid. Moreover, the FTC’s now-vacated rule that exclusion payments beyond litigation
*540
costs are always illegal should be rejected because it ignores the justified needs of the patent holder in the face of the risks of litigation, especially in an arena where it is well-known that courts are far from error-free.
24
The test for determining the validity of the so-called reverse or exclusion or exit payment and the only question remaining is whether the Agreements constrained competition beyond the scope of the patent claims. Here, the only serious argument plaintiffs have raised in that regard is possible manipulation of the 180-day exclusivity period by Barr. However, the theory was fully briefed and disposed of in the
Cipro II
decision and need not be decided anew here.
Cipro II,
Plaintiffs complain that they have been doubly harmed by the Agreements: first by the exclusion of Barr from the market, and second by Bayer’s passing on the cost of the settlement payment in the form of increased prices for Cipro. However, if the Agreements themselves do not exceed the exclusionary power of the ’444 Patent, any increased prices resulting from the Agreements are the result of the monopoly inherent in the patent. Indeed, “an exclusion of competitors and charging of supracompetitive prices are at the core of the patentee’s rights, and are legitimate rewards of the patent monopoly.”
Studiengesellschaft Kohle,
To conclude, in the absence of any evidence that the Agreements created a bottleneck on challenges to the ’444 Patent, or that they otherwise restrained competition beyond the scope of the claims of the ’444 Patent, the Agreements have not had any anti-competitive effects on the market for ciprofloxacin beyond that which are permitted under the ’444 Patent. The fact that Bayer paid what in absolute numbers is a handsome sum to Barr to settle its lawsuit does not necessarily reflect a lack of confidence in the ’444 Patent, but rather the economic realities of what was at *541 risk. There is simply no precedent for plaintiffs’ argument that the parties to a settlement are required to preserve the public’s interest in lower prices. Such a rule would only result in parties being less likely to reach settlements, aside from undermining well-settled principles of patent law. Finally, to even attempt to quantify the public’s interest in a patent settlement between private parties would require devaluing patents across the board, a result that would contravene the presumption of validity afforded by Congress and impact the very way patent licenses are handled in countless daily transactions.
Because plaintiffs have not shown that the Agreements had anti-competitive effects beyond the scope of the ’444 Patent, it is not necessary to address the second and third steps of the rule-of-reason analysis'—whether defendants can establish the “pro-competitive redeeming virtues” of the Agreements, and whether plaintiffs can “show that the same pro-competitive effect could be achieved through an alternative means that is less restrictive of competition.”
K.M.B. Warehouse,
(2)
Consumer Antitrust Standing
As the law now stands, the validity of a patent may be challenged only by an alleged infringer as an affirmative defense or counterclaim to an infringement action brought by the patentee, or by a declaratory judgment plaintiff, who must show
(1) an explicit threat or other action by the patentee which creates a reasonable apprehension on the part of the declaratory judgment plaintiff that it will face an infringement suit, and (2) present activity by the declaratory judgment plaintiff which could constitute infringement, or concrete steps taken by the declaratory judgment plaintiff with the intent to conduct such activity.
Teva Pharma. USA, Inc. v. Pfizer, Inc.,
It is also apparent that Congress did not intend to change the standing requirements for actions to invalidate patents when it passed, and still more clearly when it later amended, the Hatch-Wax-man Amendments in 2003. See Title XI of the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003, Pub.L. No. 108-173, 117 Stat.2066, entitled “Access to Affordable Pharmaceuticals” (“Medicare Amendments”). Indeed, in the Medicare Amendments, which were passed on December 8, 2003, after the issues revolving around exclusion-payment and other settlements between brand-name manufacturers and generics had already surfaced, Congress provided for explicit forfeiture of the 180-day exclusivity period that would otherwise be enjoyed by the first filer of an ANDA IV if the first filer settles its suit with the brand-name manufacturer, but only if the Federal Trade Commission or the Attorney General obtains a final decision from the Federal Trade Commission or a court that the agreement between the first filer and the brand-name manufacturer has violated the antitrust law. See 21 U.S.C. 355(j)(5)(D)(i)(V) (Supp.2004). 25 Notably, *542 Congress made no provision for loosening the standing requirements for challenging patents or even for forfeiture of the 180-day exclusivity period where the antitrust complaint is brought by consumers.
Given that consumers are often subjected to monopoly prices for invalid patents, it is tempting to suggest that, as a policy matter, a rule should be fashioned giving consumers of drugs—and perhaps patented goods generally—the right to challenge the validity of patents. In other words, plaintiffs should be afforded the opportunity to challenge the exclusion-payment scheme at issue here—and licensing arrangements as well—by folding in a predicate challenge to the underlying patent itself. Under the proposed rule, the consumers would have to show by clear and convincing evidence—as accused infringers must—that the subject patent was invalid. This proposal would have the effect of allowing non-infringing consumers of a patented product to seek to invalidate the patent in order to allow price-reducing competitors to enter the market. The desirability of such a change is a complex issue which is not within the competence of judges. A thorough examination of the consequences of such a change would have to be made. For example, would such a change negatively impact the willingness of drug manufacturers to invest in research and development? Should consumers be permitted to recover punitive damages for the overcharges they have suffered? As Justice Harlan noted, patents are often set aside for any number of technical reasons.
Walker Process,
(3)
Bayer’s Motion to Dismiss Count V of Indirect Plaintiffs’ New Complaint
Recognizing that the ultimate vindication of the ’444 Patent might immunize the Agreements from antitrust scrutiny under the rule of reason, indirect plaintiffs amended their complaint to add charges that would strip Bayer of its patent immunity. Indir. Pls.’ Mem. of Law in Opp’n to Bayer’s Mot. for Partial Summ. J. on Count V, at 1. Six months after summary judgment motions were decided in Cipro II, indirect plaintiffs moved to amend their complaint to add claims that Bayer violated state antitrust and/or consumer protection laws by virtue of alleged inequitable conduct before the PTO in procuring the ’444 Patent and alleged sham litigation in enforcing the ’444 Patent against Barr. Indir. Pls.’ Second Am. Consol. Class Action Compl., ¶¶ 296-308. The substance of this new count of the complaint, Count V, is that Bayer made a series of misrepresentations to the PTO in order to secure issuance of the ’444 Patent, and then, with knowledge that the patent was invalid and *543 had been fraudulently procured, asserted the patent against Barr even though no reasonable litigant in Bayer’s position “at the time of its settlement with Barr” could have expected to win the litigation. Indir. Pls.’ Second Am. Consol. Class Action Compl., ¶ 305. Bayer moves to dismiss Count V on two threshold grounds: that it is preempted by federal patent law and barred by the statute of limitations.
Ordinarily, antitrust claims premised on the enforcement of a fraudulently procured patent are brought by an accused infringer as a counterclaim to the original charge of infringement.
See, e.g., Nobelpharma,
28 U.S.C. § 1338(a) grants federal district courts exclusive jurisdiction over “any civil action arising under any Act of Congress relating to patents .... ” Thus, if indirect plaintiffs’ state law
Walker Process
and sham litigation claims “arise under” patent law, they may only be heard in federal court.
26
The Supreme Court elucidated what it means for a claim to “arise under” patent law in
Christianson v. Colt Indus. Operating Corp.,
Here, indirect plaintiffs’ Count V rests entirely on patent law. If indirect plaintiffs cannot prove that Bayer intentionally withheld or misrepresented material information to the PTO during prosecution of the ’444 Patent, their
Walker Process
and sham litigation claims cannot survive. Specifically, “[a] finding of
Walker Process
fraud requires higher threshold showings of both intent and materiality than does a finding of inequitable conduct.... [and] must be based on independent and clear evidence of deceptive intent together with a clear showing of reliance,
i.e.,
that the patent would not have issued but for the misrepresentation or omission.”
Nobelpharma,
The fact that indirect plaintiffs’ Count V not only arises out of patent law, but rests entirely on patent law, leads to two conclusions. First, jurisdiction over Count V lies exclusively in federal court. 28 U.S.C. § 1338(a);
Christianson,
Indirect plaintiffs’ Count V allegations parallel the abuse of process counterclaim brought in
Abbott Labs. v. Brennan,
The allegations of Count V differ from the state law claim for unfair competition that was not preempted by federal law in
Dow.
There, Dow alleged that Exxon had threatened to sue actual and prospective Dow customers for patent infringement, even though Exxon allegedly had no good-faith belief that Dow infringed the patent when Exxon made the threats and had allegedly obtained the patent by inequitable conduct.
Dow,
The only conduct not directly referable to the PTO that indirect plaintiffs point to as an instance of marketplace "maintenance" of the ’444 Patent is Bayer’s compulsory listing of the ’444 Patent in the FDA publication entitled "Approved Drug Products with Therapeutic Equivalence Evaluations," or the "Orange Book," as required under 21 U.S.C. § 355(b)(1). Indir. Pls.’ Second Am. Consol. Class Action Compl., ¶ 243; Indir. Pls.’ Responses to the Court’s Questions for Oral Argument, 2/28/2005. They cite
In re Buspirone Patent Litig.,
Even were one to assume that the Orange Book filing of the ’444 Patent would provide a basis for a state law claim, this would not advance plaintiffs’ cause here. There was nothing in the act of listing the ’444 Patent in the Orange Book that was itself improper,
cf. In re Buspirone,
*547
Even if plaintiffs had made a sufficient showing of marketplace misconduct by Bayer in enforcing its ’444 Patent to create an issue of fact, there is a serious question whether indirect plaintiffs have standing to assert a
Walker Process
claim. In
Asahi Glass,
Judge Posner, in
dicta,
assumed that a
Walker Process
claim is only available to a patentee’s competitors.
Asahi Glass,
Finally, Bayer moves for summary judgment that Bayer’s suits against Barr and the subsequent ’444 Patent challengers were not sham litigation as a matter of law. To prove sham litigation, a plaintiff must show (1) “the lawsuit must be objectively baseless in the sense that no reasonable litigant could realistically expect success on the merits,” and (2) that the litigant’s “subjective motivation” for bringing the action was a sham seeking to conceal a knowing attempt to interfere with a competitor.
Professional Real Estate Investors, Inc. v. Columbia Pictures Indus., Inc.,
In any event, as Bayer’s motion to dismiss Count V is granted on the preemption ground, it is not necessary to reach the question of whether indirect plaintiffs’ state law Walker Process-type claims and *548 sham litigation claim are barred by the statute of limitations.
Conclusion
Applying a rule of reason analysis, the first element antitrust plaintiffs must prove is that the challenged agreements had an actual adverse effect on competition in the relevant market. Here, plaintiffs have failed to demonstrate anti-competitive effects in the market for ci-profloxacin because, although the Agreements undoubtedly restrained competition, they did not do so beyond the scope of the claims of the ’444 Patent. The ’444 Patent allows a zone of exclusion within the bounds of its claims, and that zone is undiminished by any potential invalidity of the claims. This result is compelled by the presumption of validity Congress accorded patents and the destabilizing effect on patent law that a contrary decision would work. Any readjustment of the competing interests affected by exclusion payments is a matter better addressed by Congress than the courts.
For the foregoing reasons,
• Bayer’s Motion for Partial Summary Judgment on Plaintiffs’ Claims Under the Sherman Act and Corresponding State Law Claims is granted;
• Generic Defendants’ Motion for Summary Judgment is granted;
• Direct Purchaser Plaintiffs’ Motion for Partial Summary Judgment is denied;
• Bayer’s Motion to Dismiss Count V of the Indirect Purchaser Complaint Based on Threshold Grounds is granted;
• Bayer’s Motion for Partial Summary Judgment on Count V of the Indirect Purchaser Class Plaintiffs’ Proposed Second Amended Consolidated Class Action Complaint is dismissed as moot;
• HMR and Rugby’s motion for summary judgment is dismissed as moot;
• Direct plaintiffs’ amended complaints are dismissed;
• Indirect plaintiffs’ second amended consolidated class action complaint is dismissed;
• Plaintiffs’ motions for class certifications are denied as moot.
The Clerk of the Court is directed to close this case.
SO ORDERED.
Notes
. Barr and Rugby are in the business of, inter alia, manufacturing and marketing generic drugs. Rugby was the U.S. generic drug subsidiary of HMR until February 1998, when Rugby was acquired by Watson, a company that produces and distributes generic and brand-name drugs. Watson is not a signatory to any of the allegedly unlawful agreements.
. The generic defendants, together with Bayer, will be referred to as the "defendants,” while direct plaintiffs and indirect plaintiffs will be referred to as "plaintiffs.”
. In
Walker Process Equipment, Inc. v. Food Machinery & Chem. Corp.,
.Under
Illinois Brick Co. v. Illinois,
. A continuation-in-part application is an application that claims priority to and includes the subject matter of at least part of an earlier-filed application.
. In briefing these motions, the parties have sometimes referred to these payments as “reverse” payments. Adoption herein of the "exclusion payments” nomenclature is made for ease of reference, and in recognition that the payments, whatever they are called, are made in exchange for a competitor’s exit or exclusion from the relevant market.
. Summary judgment is appropriate only in those cases where there is no genuine issue of material fact.
See Celotex Corp. v. Catrett,
. A recent decision by the Eleventh Circuit questions the appropriateness of the
per se
versus rule of reason approach for claims of antitrust violations involving patents.
See Schering-Plough v. Federal Trade Comm’n,
. Bayer admitted at oral argument that its estimated costs of production did not change after the exclusivity period, but contends that its marketing costs were projected to drop sharply after generic entry. It is understandable that Bayer would choose to spend less to promote Cipro at a time when its marketing efforts would not redound exclusively to its own benefit, but a drop in such discretionary spending only further illustrates the degree to which Bayer controlled its own profit margin.
. Neither the Eleventh Circuit nor Judge Posner furnished any examples of or provide further guidance regarding patents that were so blatantly invalid.
. It happens that Judge Posner did in fact decide the validity of the patent in a related patent infringement case that was decided prior to Asahi Glass. See Asahi Glass, 289 *528 F.Supp.2d at 992. In that case he found the patent to be valid. Id.
. The ruling was recently set aside and vacated by the Eleventh Circuit on other grounds (i.e., not on the issue of the propriety of post hoc evaluations of a patent's validity).
. Plaintiffs here have raised a similar argument, suggesting that Barr’s attorneys had developed a particularly strong attack on the '444 Patent that no subsequent challenger was capable of replicating. Indir. Pls.' Mem. of Law in Opp’n to Bayer’s Mot. for Partial Summ. J. on Count V (“Indir. Pls.' Count V Opp’n”), at 2-4; Indir. Pls.’ Mem. of Law in Opp’n to Generic Defs.’ Mot. for Summ. J. and Bayer's Mot. for Partial Summ. J. on Pls.' Claims Under the Sherman Act and Corresponding State Law Claims ("Indir. Pls.’ Sherman Opp'n”), at 13. Barr's patent counsel are undoubtedly fine attorneys, but it strains credulity to maintain that only one competitor’s well-funded legal team could construct such a compelling case against the patent.
. Indeed, there is something anomalous about the notion that plaintiffs could collect treble damages for settlement of a litigation involving a patent that has been subsequently upheld by the Federal Circuit. Even the FTC's decision in
Schering-Plough
outlawing exclusion payments provided for prospective relief only.
Schering-Plough I,
. Indirect plaintiffs have added Count V to their complaint, alleging a state law Walker Process-type claim, namely that Bayer obtained the '444 Patent through fraud and that its suit against Barr was a sham litigation. These allegations are discussed more fully in connection with Bayer's motion to dismiss, see infra Part 3.
. In fact, once the $398 million is converted to the then-net present value, the corresponding perceived risk of losing is even lower.
. As their expert candidly admits, "[t]he formulae underlying these calculations are complex.” Dir. Pls.' Summ. J.App., Tab 33 (Expert Rep. of Keith B. Leffler, Ph.D., at 34 n. 85).
. This absolute numbers "expectation” model is interesting, particularly in that it happens to line up with the graph on Bayer's presentation slide, but there is no reason to rely upon it for an analysis of the legality of Bayer's payment to Barr. Moreover, this model may be overly simplistic, in that it does not account for other factors underlying the parties' negotiations, such as the possibility that subsequent challengers might enter the market for generic Cipro. In addition, both the indirect plaintiffs and the generic defendants asserted at oral argument that such a model should not be used in assessing the legality of the payment in this case. Indirect plaintiffs argue that a better measure of Bayer's perceived chances of winning the litigation against Barr could be extrapolated from a comparison of the actual payment to Barr's anticipated profit had it won the litigation. Generic defendants, on the other hand, accept that the expectation model could be used to approximate Bayer’s perceived chances of success, but assert that the legality of the payment depends not on Bayer's subjective perception of its chances, but rather only on whether the patent litigation was a sham.
. A similar argument could be constructed for situations, unlike the one here, where infringement is the dominant issue in the underlying patent litigation. If the scope of the claims is in dispute, but arguably narrow enough that not every bioequivalent generic drug would infringe the patent, it could be expected that additional generic challengers would be spurred to design around the patent and file their own ANDA IVs based on non-infringement.
. Barr filed its ANDA IV on the first day it was permitted to do so under 21 U.S.C. § 355(j)(5)(D)(ii).
See Cipro II,
. Candor requires that I recognize that this conclusion is, to some extent, inconsistent with the view expressed in Cipro I regarding the motions to remand, where the opinion stated:
A review of [plaintiffs’] allegations makes plain that plaintiffs have asserted at least one theory by which they may establish state antitrust violations without resorting to a determination of patent law. Plaintiffs' complaints allege there would have been generic competition in the market for cipro-floxacin prior to the expiration of Bayer's patent if Bayer had not reached an unreasonably anti-competitive agreement with Barr, HMR, and Rugby ... [Plaintiffs] asserted that, as a matter of fact, Bayer would have authorized Barr to distribute cipro-floxacin by granting Barr a license, or by other means, had Barr not agreed to drop its challenge to the validity of the '444 patent in exchange for large cash payments.
Cipro I at 748.
Upon further reflection, I have concluded that patent law imposes no such restriction against cash payments by a patent holder, and, accordingly, antitrust law does not impose such a restriction.
. Indirect plaintiffs also allege in their pleadings that Bayer maintained an exceptional profit margin for Cipro: "Bayer's 1999 United States gross sales of Cipro were approximately $1.04 billion and its net sales (or profits) were in excess of $920 million.” In dir. Pls.’ Second Am. Consol. Class Action Compl. ¶ 70.
. Of course, as previously discussed, such an inquiry would hardly redound to plaintiffs' benefit, given that the '444 Patent has already been upheld by the Federal Circuit once, that three other attacks have failed and that only a speculative attack is proposed by the plaintiffs here. See supra Part l(b)(i).
. At least two commentators have suggested that, "[f]or purposes of antitrust analysis, there are and can be no 'wrong' decisions reached by courts in patent litigation ... [because] [t]he substantive rights granted by Congress to patent holders are those rights ... which a federal court determines, through congressionally prescribed process, that the patent holder possesses. Because there are no ‘wrong’ results generated by the patent litigation process, the patent holder improperly enlarges the innovation reward granted to him by Congress when he buys ‘insurance’— in the form of exclusion of a competitor.—• against a ‘wrong’ result in the patent litigation.” Keith B. Leffler and Cristofer I. Leffler, Want to Pay a Competitor to Exit the Market? Settle a Patent Infringement Case, 2 ABA Economics Committee Newsletter 26 (Spring 2002). The fallacy of this argument is that it leads to the inevitable conclusion that it is always improper for a patentee to insure against an unfavorable result by paying for a competitor's exclusion. All hedging by patentees—that is, all patent settlements—are now suspect.
. The subsection reads
(V) Agreement with another applicant, the listed drug application holder, or a patent owner
The first applicant [forfeits its 180-day exclusivity period if it] enters into an agreement with another applicant under this subsection for the drug, the holder of the application for the listed drug, or an owner *542 of the patent that is the subject of the certification under paragraph (2)(A)(vii)(IV), the Federal Trade Commission or the Attorney General files a complaint, and there is a final decision of the Federal Trade Commission or the court with regard to the complaint from which no appeal (other than a petition to the Supreme Court for a writ of certiorari) has been or can be taken that the agreement has violated the antitrust laws (as defined in section 12 of Title 15, except that the term includes section 45 of Title 15 to the extent that that section applies to unfair methods of competition).
. Although the fact that a state law cause of action may only be heard in federal court does not necessarily mean that it is preempted by federal law,
see Hunter Douglas, Inc. v. Harmonic Design, Inc.,
. Indirect plaintiffs point to a number of cases in which state law causes of action predicated on bad faith procurement of patents have been allowed to go forward. Those cases do not alter the analysis, as none of them addresses preemption of state law
Walker Process
or sham litigation claims. For example,
In re Relafen Antitrust Litig.,
. Assuming that the mere listing in the Orange Book constituted marketplace misconduct, it is highly unlikely that indirect plaintiffs would be able to establish a
Walker Process
claim. Initially,
Walker Process
fraud requires a showing that the omission or misrepresentation to the Patent Office was so material that the patent would not have issued but for the omission or misrepresentation (a level of materiality referred to as "but for" materiality); consequently, a patent must be invalid before it can be a candidate for
Walker Process
fraud.
See, e.g., C.R. Bard, Inc. v. M3 Sys., Inc., 157
F.3d 1340, 1365 (Fed.Cir.1998) ("Indeed, since the inventorship issue was not grounds of invalidity, it can not satisfy the "but for" test of fraud.");
Nobelpharma AB v. Implant Innovations, Inc.,
Furthermore, indirect plaintiffs cite eight instances of improper conduct before the PTO. Some have already been rejected by Judge Brewster as failing to establish invalidity
(see Bayer AG
v.
Carlsbad Tech., Inc.,
No. 01-cv-0867-B, slip op. at 6-7 (S.D. Cal. June 7, 2002)), some by the PTO during reexamination (Bayer Pat.App. Ex. 9) and others have been conceded as not rising to the level of "but for" materiality. More importantly, indirect plaintiffs did not adduce evidence of "but for" materiality for seven of these instances. The only instance for which their expert opined "but for" materiality was a claim that Bayer’s statements regarding the superiority of the "compounds of the invention" to the prior art was misleading, because Bayer withheld data showing that certain of the claimed compounds were not, in fact, superior to the prior art. Lawyer advocacy or puffery is not a basis for granting or denying a patent claim. Superiority is not the issue. What is required instead is a showing of novelty and non-obviousness for a patent to issue, 35 U.S.C. §§ 102, 103, and for that the
*547
patent examiner is presumed to have relied on data, not attorney advocacy.
Cf. CFMT, Inc. v. Yieldup Int’l Corp.,
