Dеe and Don Hollander filed this products liability action in the District Court for Oklahoma County alleging that Parlo-del, a drug manufactured by Sandoz Pharmaceuticals Corporation (“Sandoz”), now known as Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, and distributed by HCA Health Services of Oklahoma, Inc., doing business as Presbyterian Hospital (“Presbyterian Hospital”), caused Ms. Hollander to suffer an intracerebral hemorrhage shortly after she gave birth to the Hollanders’ second child. After the Oklahoma County District Court dismissed the Hollanders’ claim against Presbyterian Hospital, the remaining defendants removed the case to the federal district court.
The federal district court denied the Hollanders’ motion to remand the case to state court. It rejected the Hollanders’ arguments that it lacked jurisdiction over the remaining claims and that the defendants’ removal petition was untimely. Subsequently, the federal district court dismissed the defendant Sandoz, Ltd. with prejudice, reasoning that the holding company had its principal place of business in Switzerland and that the court lacked personal jurisdiction over it.
Finally, applying
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
The Hollanders now appeal those rulings, arguing that: (1) the federal district court lacked subject matter jurisdiction and therefore erred in denying their motion to remand the case to the Oklahoma state court; (2) the court erred in dismissing their claim against the defendаnt Presbyterian Hospital; (3) the court abused its discretion in ruling that the testimony of their experts was not sufficiently reliable to be admissible; (4) the court erred in granting summary judgment to Sandoz; and (5) the district court erred in dismissing their claim against Sandoz, Ltd., with prejudice.
For the reasons set forth below, we conclude that the federal district court had subject matter jurisdiction. We further hold that the court did not abuse its discretion in finding that the Hollanders’ expert testimony was not sufficiently reliable and that the court did not err in granting summary judgment to Sandoz. However, we agree with the Hollanders that the federal district court should have dismissed their claim against Sandoz, Ltd., without prejudice. In light of these conclusions, we do not address the Hollanders’ challenge to the dismissal of their claim against Presbyterian Hospital.
Accordingly, we affirm the district court’s judgment against the Hollanders and in favor of Presbyterian Hospital and Sandoz. We remand the Hollanders’ claim against Sandoz, Ltd., so that it may be dismissed without prejudice.
I. BACKGROUND
On July 23, 1990, Ms. Hollander gave birth by cesarean section to a healthy baby boy at Presbyterian Hospital in Oklahoma City. Because Ms. Hollander did not want to breast feed her son, her obstetrician prescribed a fifteen day course of Parlodel, to be taken in two 2.5 mg doses per day.
Parlodel is manufactured by Sandoz. The drug’s active ingredient is bromocrip-tine mesylate, a compound derived from ergot (a naturally occurring substance made from a fungus .that attacks cereal grains). The compound blocks the pro
*1196
duction of prolactin, a hormone that triggers the secretion of milk in postpartum women. The Federal Drug Administration (FDA) approved Parlodel for the suppression of рost-partum lactation in 1980, and approximately 9 million women in the United States have taken it for that purpose.
See Siharath v. Sandoz Pharms. Corp.,
Ms. Hollander received her first dose of Parlodel at 6:00 p.m. on July 23, 1990. About two hours later, her blood pressure increased sharply to 180/90. On the following day, she received her second and third doses of Parlodel, and her blood pressure returned to the normal range. She continued to take two 2.5 mg doses of the drug each day. Presbyterian Hospital discharged her on July 27, 1990.
On the evening of July 28, 1990, Ms. Hollander complained of a severe headache. By the following morning, she could neither speak nor move her right side. At Presbyterian Hospital, a CT scan revealed that Ms. Hollander had suffered an intra-cerebral hemorrhage in the left basal ganglia area of her brain. Ms. Hollander’s treating physicians were puzzled as to the cause. One of them noted that her stroke resembled those caused by hypertension but added that Ms. Hollander had no history of the disorder. Clinical information revealed no pregnancy-related disorders involving hypertension, such as eclampsia or preeclampsia. 1
On August 1, 1990, Ms. Hollander’s condition deteriorated. As a result, her physicians performed an emergency left frontal craniotomy and removed an in-tracerebral hematoma. Ms. Hollander slowly improved. She remained in the hospital for over three weeks and then transferred to a rehabilitation center.
The Hollanders filed this action against Sandoz, Sandoz, Ltd., and Presbyterian Hospital in May 1995 in the District Court for Oklahoma County.' They alleged that Ms. Hollander’s stroke was caused by Par-lodel, that the drug was unreasonably dangerous to the ordinary consumer when used as a lactation suppressant, and that Sandoz, Sandoz, Ltd., and Presbyterian Hospital had failed to warn of the dangers of the drug. They further alleged that Ms. Hollander had suffered permanent injuries.
Presbyterian Hospital filed a motion to dismiss the Hollanders’ claims, arguing that a hospital could not be held strictly liable for providing a drug prescribed by a doctor. The Oklahoma County District Court granted Presbyterian Hospital’s motion to dismiss in an oral ruling at an August 25, 1995 hearing. It issued a written ruling on May 10,1996.
Sandoz filed a notice of removal on May 10, 1996. The Hollanders then filed a motion to remand the case to the Oklahoma state court, which the district court denied. See Aplt’s App. vol. I, at 116-17 (District Court Order, filed June 12, 1996). Subsequently, the court dismissed the Hollanders’ claims against Sandoz, Ltd., *1197 reasoning that it was a holding company incorporated in Switzerland with its principal place of business there, that it had no office, manufacturing, distribution, or sales facilities in the United States, and that it did not advertise here. As a result, the court concluded that it lacked personal jurisdiction over Sandoz, Ltd., and it dismissed with prejudice the claims against the company. See id. at 354 (District Court Order, filed Dec. 17, 1996).
The dispute between the Hollanders and Sandoz involves issues that have been raised in other litigation as well as in regulatory proceedings.
See Kuhn v. Sandoz Pharms. Corp.,
Sandoz eventually modified the Parlodel package insert to include information about these cases. However, the company noted that hypertension, seizures, strokes, and myocardial infarctions regularly occur in postpartum women who are not treated with bromocriptine. Thus, it maintained, “the number of cases reported to Sandoz is less that one would expect even in the absence of any drug effect.” Id. at 2448 (Letter from Sandoz’s Executive Director of Sales, Aug. 20,1987).
Over the next few years, the FDA continued to receive reports of adverse reactions to Parlodel. Sandoz commissioned a study by Epidemiologic Resources, Inc., regarding the relationship between Parlo-del and strokes and seizures (the “ERI study”).
See
Aplt’s Apр. vol. II-D, at 1361-1532 (Kenneth Rothman, et al, “An Epidemiologic Evaluation of the Possible Relation Between Bromocriptine, Puerperal Seizures and Strokes,” (Sept. 30, 1988));
2
Siharath,
The FDA further concluded that the possibility that Parlodel might cause serious adverse reactions in some patients outweighed the limited benefits associated with its use. As a result, it requested all manufacturers to remove the indication for lactation suppression from the Parlodel label. Initially, Sandoz refused to comply with the FDA’s request, arguing that Par-lodel should not be used routinely but should be available in specific circumstances recommended by physicians. Not satisfied with this position, the FDA initiated formal procedures for withdrawing its prior approval for the labeling of Parlodel. The FDA explained its position as follows:
*1198 FDA now has new information suggesting that therapeutic use of bromocrip-tine for the prevention of physiological lactation may lead to serious adverse experiences, including death and paralysis, in a small but significant number of patients. Patients at high risk of experiencing these serious adverse experiences cannot be adequately predetermined. In light of the limited benefit of using bromocriptine for the prevention of lactation, and the effectiveness and lack of serious adverse effects of conservative treatments such as breast binding with or withоut mild analgesics, the risk that bromocriptine may cause a serious adverse effect in a postpartum woman is unacceptable.
Accordingly, the Director concludes that the potential risks associated with the use of bromocriptine for the prevention of physiological lactation outweigh its limited benefits and bromocriptine is no longer shown to be safe for use in preventing physiological lactation.
59 Fed.Reg. 43347, 43351 (Aug. 24, 1994). Sandoz then agreed to FDA’s proposal to withdraw the indication for the suppression of postpartum lactation.
Following the FDA’s approval of Parlo-del as a lactation suppressant, professional medical journals began to publish reports regarding women who had suffered heart attacks and strokes after taking the drug. For example, one of the Hollanders’ expert witnesses described two patients who had suffered from cardiac dysfunction, seizures, and cerebral vasospasm.
See
Kenneth Kulig, “Bromocriptine Associated Headache: Possible Life Threatening Sympathomimetic Intersection,”
Obstetrics and Gynecology,
72: 941(1991) (Aplt’s App. vol. IV-B, at 2444-46). Another expert published case histories concerning women who had suffered from heart attacks.
See, e.g.,
Leslie Iffy, et al., “Acute Myocardial Infarction in the Puerperium in Patients Receiving Bromocriptine,”
American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology,
vol. 155, No. 2, at 371-72 (1986) (Aplt’s App. vol. IV-D, at 2976-77). Medical researchers also published numerous articles reporting the effects of bromo-criptine in animals.
See Siharath,
As the discussion in the scientific literature continued, the controversy over Par-lodel made its way to the courts. In 1994, a Kentucky jury awarded $968,512 in compensatory damages and $1,000,000 in punitive damages to a woman who alleged that Parlodel had caused her stroke. See Aplt’s App. vol. IV-A, at 2171 (Judgment in Roberts v. Betts, no. 89-CI-653-V, 25th Judicial Dist., Pulaski Cir. Ct., July 20, 1994). A Kentucky appellate court affirmed that judgment in an unpublished opinion. See id. at 2175-78. In contrast to the Roberts case, several recent decisions have rejected claims that Parlodel has caused strokes and heart attacks when prescribed as a post-partum lactation suppressant, concluding that the scientific evidence supporting these claims was not sufficiently reliable under Dau- *1199 bert. 3 However, several other decisions have reached the opposite conclusion. 4 See generally Mark Hansen, “When Expert Testimony Fails the Test: District Courts Disagree on what Defines Causation Evidence in Drug Disability Cases,” 88 ABA Journal 22 (Jan.2002) (stating that “[an] Alabama magistrate’s decision brought to eight the number of products liability suits over Parlodel that have survived a so-called Daubert challenge to the admissibility of the plaintiffs’ causation evidence [b]ut [an] Illinois judge’s ruling — • tantamount to an order of summary judgment for the defense- — marked the seventh trial or appellate decision to exclude such evidence”).
In support of their contention that Par-lodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke, the Hollanders relied рrimarily on the testimony of three experts: (1) Dr. Kenneth Ku-lig, a physician who is board-certified in toxicology and emergency medicine and who has served as the Chairman of the Pharmacy and Therapeutics Committee and Director of the Porter Regional Toxicology Center at Porter Adventist Hospital in Denver, Colorado, and as an associate clinical professor in the Division of Emergency Medicine and Trauma in the Department of Surgery at the University of Colorado Health Sciences Center; (2) Dr. Leslie Iffy, M.D., a professor in the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology of the University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; and (3) Dr. Pedro A. Jose, M.D., Ph.D., a Professor of Pediatrics, Physiology, and Biophysics at Georgetown University and an expert on the role of dopamine and dopaminergic drugs on the development of hypertension.
The parties offered deposition testimony, affidavits, expert reports, and transcripts of testimony from other cases involving Parlodel. In general, the experts’ theory was that in certain women, Parlodel causes vasoconstriction (a narrowing of the blood vessels) and hypertension (high blood pressure). Vasoconstriction and hypertension, the experts reasoned, can then cause strokes, as they did in the case of Ms. Hollander.
In his written report, Dr. Kulig explained that he had reviewed Ms. Hollander’s medical records, medical literature regarding bromocriptine and other ergot alkaloids, FDA documents, and marketing, promotional and research material complied by Sandoz. He concluded that Ms. Hollander suffered “an intracere-bral hemоrrhage secondary to ergot induced vasospasm resulting in blood vessel rupture in her brain.” Aplt’s App. vol. II-A, at 652 (Dr. Kulig’s Sept. 22, 1998 report, at 3). He added, “It is my opinion with a reasonable degree of medical certainty that Mrs. Hollander’s stroke was caused by the drug bromocriptine, and had the patient not been taking the drug, she would not have had a stroke.” Id. at 653. According to Dr. Kulig, the fact that bromocriptine could cause strokes was well know to Sandoz at the time that Ms. Hollander began taking the drug. Id. at 652.
*1200 In an affidavit in another case involving Parlodel, Dr. Kulig provided a more detailed explanation as to how he had reached his conclusions. See Aplt’s App. vol. II-E, at 1742-59 (Dr. Kulig’s affidavit in Railey v. Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corp., 94-1440 (C.D.Ill.)). He noted that bromocriptine is an ergot, “a class of drugs with known molecular structures and many common properties,” including the tendency to cause vasoconstriction. See id. at 1745 (stating that “[o]ne needs only to look at the package inserts from Sandoz regarding other ergot alkaloids it manufactures to understand that vasoconstriction is indeed the core property of ergot alkaloids”). Bromocriptine differs from the naturally occurring ergot alkaloid alpha ergoeriptine only in that the molecule has an additional bromine atom attached to the second carbon atom of the basic ergot ring. See id.
Dr. Kulig explained the significance of the structural differences between bromo-criptine and other ergot alkaloids as follows:
Although the adding of a bromine atom to the core nucleus makes the drug in some patients a vasodilator (the first dose may cause a precipitous fall in blood pressure, another fact that makes the drug unsafe in the post-partum period), it is misleading and inaccurate to suggest that the drug can never cause vasoconstriction or hypertension in any person. While the addition of a bromine atom to a very large organic molecule may change the pharmacokinetics and pharmacological dynamics of a drug, it would be unlikely to change the core properties of an ergot alkaloid from being a vasoconstrictor to a vasodilator in all cases. Clinical studies, epidemiologic evidence and adverse drug reaction experience with this drug indicates that vasoconstriction with bromocriptine unquestionably occurs, as would be expected based on the fact that it is an ergot that can cause ergotism.
Id. at 1745-46.
Dr. Kulig also discussed several other categories of evidence on which he had relied in forming his opinion. These included the pharmacological and toxicological properties of bromocriptine, studies of the relationship between bromocriptine and hypertension, and case reports concerning adverse reactions.
As to pharmacology, Dr. Kulig explained that bromocripitne is “a dopamine agonist.” Id. In other words, the drug stimulates the release of dopamine, a neurotransmitter. Dr. Kulig added that bro-mocriptine is also a “dopamine-1 antagonist,” inhibiting the effects of dopamine at specific “D-l” receptors. Id. According to Dr. Kulig, dopamine is a well known vaso-constrictor. However, activation of the “D-l” dopamine receptors results in vaso-dilation. Thus, the fact that bromocrip-tine stimulates the release of dopamine and that it inhibits the D-l dopamine receptors is consistent with the drug causing vasoconstriction.
Moreover, Dr. Kulig reported that bro-mocriptine “has a very long beta elimination half-life of about 50 hours.” Id. at 1747. That means that a steady state is not achieved in someone taking the drug twice a day until about ten days after leaving the hospital. As a result, one would not expect women who have taken the drug to suppress post-partum lactation to develop hypertension and vasospasm until after their discharge from the hospital.
With regard to hypertension, Dr. Kulig referred to three studies. In the first, commissioned by Sandoz, nineteen percent of patients demonstrated increases in blood pressure after taking bromocriptine. In the second study, published by the FDA in 1984, six out of seven patients who developed hypertension while on bromo- *1201 criptine regained normal blood pressure after they stopped taking the drug. Finally, a study by Dr. Dorothy Watson 5 found that women with pregnancy-induced hypertension had a higher incidence of postpartum hypertension after taking the drug than those women not receiving bromo-criptine. See id. at 1748 — 49 (stating that “[t]his case control study provides important evidence that bromocriptine causes post-partum hypertension in women who had pregnancy-induced hypertension prior to delivery”).
Finally, Dr. Kulig discussed the adverse reactions to bromocriptine that had been spontaneously reported to the FDA and Sandoz. These reactions included hypertension, seizures, strokes, and myocardial infarction. Although he acknowledged that these reports did not establish causation, he presented them as an important factor to be considered along with the other scientific evidence.
In addition to Dr. Kulig, the Hollanders also relied on the opinion of Dr. Leslie Iffy. See Aplt’s App. vol. II-A, at 733-739 (Dr. Iffy’s written report, July 25, 1997). Dr. Iffy concluded that there was “an overwhelming probability” that Ms. Hollander’s stroke was caused by bromocriptine. Id. at 738. He listed five factors that supported his opinion: (1) Ms. Hollander had normal blood pressure during a prior pregnancy but displayed an episode of hypertension when she took Parlodel during her first childbirth; (2) she suffered episodes of hypertension during her second pregnancy and immediately after the birth of her second child; “[t]his being the case, she was predisposed for the hypertensive effect of bromocriptine”; (3) when she took Parlodel after the second pregnancy, her blood pressure increased, “in all probability a bromocriptine effect”; (4) “[t]he time of occurrence of the cerebral hemorrhage (sixth day postpartum) was highly characteristic of bromocriptine related catastrophic side effects”; and (5) “[a]part from her moderate smoking habit, the patient had no identifiable predisposing factors for cerebral hemorrhage[;][t]he absence of evidence of congenital defect at the site of the hemorrhage further emphasizes the lack of predisposing factors on the part of the patient.” Id. Dr. Iffy added that, in his view, Sandoz was aware of the dangers of Parlodel at the time that Ms. Hollander suffered her stroke. See id. at 739.
The third expert on whom the Hollanders relied — Dr. Pedro Jose-set forth a more specific theory of causation. In his written report, Dr. Jose stated, “I think that the hypertension (which caused the stroke) is probably due to Parlodel; the hypertension would not have happened if Parlodel was not prescribed.” Aplt’s App. vol. II-A, at 842 (Dr. Jose’s report, Jan. 23, 1998). Dr. Jose acknowledged that bromocriptine often decreases blood pressure. However, in deposition testimony he explained that in instances in which extracellular fluid volume is increased — as is the case in pregnancy — and in which the activity of the sympathetic nervous system is decreased, bromocriptine has the “paradoxical effect of increasing blood pressure.” Id. at 801.
After conducting discovery, Sandoz filed a motion to exclude the opinion testimony offered by the Hollanders’ experts on the grounds that the testimony was insufficiently reliable under Daubert. In the same motion, Sandoz requested the court to grant summary judgment in its favor. It argued that, in the absence of the unreliable opinion testimony, the Hollanders *1202 could not demonstrate that there were controverted issues of material fact on the issue of whether Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke.
The federal district court granted San-doz’s motion to exclude the Hollanders’ expert testimony as well as its motion for summary judgment.
See Hollander,
First, the court observed that the Hollanders’ experts were unable to explain the physiological mechanism by which Parlodel caused vasoconstriction and ensuing hypertension and strokes. The court explained that “Dr. Kulig could only list possible mechanisms for Parlodel causing hypertension,” that “Dr. Jose could not cite any studies or tests that proved his hypothesis that bromocriptine might cause high blood pressure,” and that “Dr. Iffy also classified his opinion that Parlodel caused Mrs. Hollander’s stroke as being a hypothesis, which is not held by a medical degree of certainty.” See id. at 1235-36 (internal quotation marks omitted).
Second, the court reasoned that the kinds of case reports on which the Hollanders relied have been repeatedly rejected as a scientific basis for establishing causation. It stated: “The problems with case reports and adverse drug experience reports were acknowledged by Dr. Iffy— because they are not controlled studies and do not eliminate confounding variables, the reported effect or injury could be due to some other cause than Parlodel.” See id. at 1237.
Third, the court found that the fact that bromocriptine belongs to a class of compounds (ergot alkaloids) that have been shown to cause hypertension did not constitute reliable causation evidence. The court observed that the Hollanders had failed to refute Sandoz’s evidence that “[t]he chemical diversity of ergot alkaloids corresponds to the diversity of the biological activities of these compounds.” Id. at 1238 (internal quotation marks and emphasis omitted).
Fourth, the animal studies on which the Hollanders’ experts relied were too dissimilar to the facts of this case. “The studies relied upon involved different drugs, did not test the systemic effect of the drug, some of the animals were anaesthetized, and they were neither pregnant nor postpartum .... Doctors Jose and Kulig were unaware of any controlled animal studies in which bromocriptine causеd an increase in blood pressure.” Id. at 1238 (internal citations omitted).
In light of its conclusion that the Hollanders’ opinion testimony was insufficiently reliable under Daubert, the district court briefly assessed the state of the record absent that testimony. It concluded that, without expert opinion testimony, the Hollanders could not demonstrate that Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke. The court therefore granted Sandoz’s motion for summary judgment.
II. DISCUSSION
In this appeal, the Hollanders primarily challenge the district court’s assessment of their evidence that Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke. In particular, they challenge both the district court’s application of Daubert to exclude their expert opinion testimony and the district court’s assessment of the record absent that testimony. They maintain that “[wjhether or not the experts are allowed to give their ultimate opinion, there is sufficient evidence that a jury could find in [their] favor on the issue of causation.” Aplt’s Br. at 28. The Hollanders also present several other challenges to the district court’s rulings.
We begin our analysis by addressing the Hollanders’ argument that the district *1203 court lacked subject matter jurisdiction and therefore erred in denying their motion to remand the case to the Oklahoma state court. Because we conclude that the federal district court had subject matter jurisdiction, we then turn to the Hollander’s arguments regarding scientific evidence. Finally, we address their argument that the district court erred in dismissing their claims against Sandoz, Ltd., with prejudice.
A Jurisdiction
Focusing on several alleged defects in the removal procedure, the Hollanders argue that the federal district court erred in denying their motion to remand. As a result, they contend, that court lacked jurisdiction to adjudicate the case, and the judgment in favor of the defendants should be vacated so that the case may be heard in the Oklahoma state court.
In light of the Supreme Court’s decision in
Caterpillar, Inc. v. Lewis,
Here, as the' defendants observe, complete diversity existed between the remaining parties at the time that the federal district court entered judgment: the Hollanders resided in Arkansas and the defendant Sandoz was a Delaware corporation with its principal place of business in New Jersey. Thus, the alleged deficiencies in the removal procedure do not divest the district court of subject matter jurisdiction. We therefore proceed to the merits.
B. Admissibility of the Hollanders’ Experts’ Testimony Under Daubert
Rule 702 of the Federal Rules of Evidence provides:
[i]f scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education, may testify thereto in the form of an opinion оr otherwise, if (1) the testimony is based upon sufficient facts or data, (2) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods, and (3) the witness has applied the principles and methods reliably to the facts of the case.
Fed.R.Evid. 702.
In
Daubert,
the Supreme Court concluded that Rule 702 superseded the “general acceptance” standard for the admissibility of scientific evidence first set forth in
Frye,
The
Daubert
standard ensures that the proffered evidence is both “reliable” and “relevant.”
See Daubert,
We review the district court’s application of
Daubert
to exclude expert opinion evidence for an abuse of discretion.
See General Electric v. Joiner,
Here, the Hollanders focus on the district court’s application of the “reliability” prong of the Daubert inquiry. They invoke two methods of causation analysis: one promulgated by Sandoz’s Drug Monitoring Center and the other set forth by a professor of medical statistics, Sir Austin Bradford Hill. See Aplt’s App. vol. IV-B, at 2378-79 (Sandoz’s classifications of evidence of causation); vol. IV-D, at 2949-52 (Bradford Hill, “The Environment and Disease: Association or Causation?,” Proceedings of the Royal Society of Medicine, vol. 58 no. 5 (May 1965)). 7
*1205 Relying primarily on Dr. Kulig’s testimony, the Hollanders maintain that his opinion that Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke comports with these general standards of causation analysis. Accordingly, they reason, Dr. Kulig’s testimony is sufficiently scientific to be admissible under Daubert. See Aplt’s Br. at 24 (“[I]t cannot be gainsaid that Dr. Kulig’s methodology- — how he takes the information available and analyzes it in a scientific manner — -is good science and would be helpful to a jury of laymen.”).
Additionally, the Hollanders note that Dr. Kulig criticized some of Sandoz’s own evidence on scientific grounds. They point to his testimony that the studies invoked by Sandoz do not demonstrate that there is an increased risk of stroke in the postpartum period generally. As a result, they maintain, the evidence is disputed as to whether Ms. Hollander’s stroke may be explained by this generally increased risk during the post-partum period, as Sаndoz contends, rather than by her taking Parlo-del.
Finally, the Hollanders contend that Drs. Kulig, Iffy, and Jose applied the methodology generally employed by experts in the relevant fields. Thus, by relying on scientific principles, professional publications, animal studies, differential diagnoses, and case reports, these experts did what
Daubert
requires: they grounded their conclusions in “the methods and procedures of science” rather than “subjective belief or unsupported speculation.”
Daubert,
In order to assess the Hollanders’ argument, we begin with an overview of the standards for reliability under Daubert and its progeny. Then we turn to an examination of the scientific opinion evidence at issue here.
1. Scientific Reliability Under Daubert
Under Daubert’s reliability prong, “an inference or assertion must be derived by the scientific method ... [and] must be supported by appropriate validation — i.e. ‘good grounds,’ based on what is known.” Id. The Supreme Court listed four nonexclusive factors that the trial court may consider in assessing reliability: (1) whether the opinion at issue is susceptible to testing and has been subjected to such testing; (2) whether the opinion has been subjected to peer review; (3) whether there is a known or potential rate of error associated with the methodology used and whether there are standards controlling the technique’s operation; and (4) whether the theory has been accepted in the scientific community. See id.
The list is not exclusive, and district courts applying
Daubert
have broad discretion to consider a variety of other factors.
See Kumho Tire,
526 U.S at 150,
2. The Hollanders’ Scientific Evidence
We assess the Hollanders’ challenge to the district court’s
Daubert
ruling by examining the opinions of their three primary experts: Drs. Kulig, Iffy, and Jose. As to each expert, we must assess the grounds that they provide for their opinion that Parlodel causes stroke, asking whether those grounds involve “the methods and procedures of science,”
Daubert,
In doing so, we note that the scope of our review is quite narrow: we may reverse the district court’s ruling only if we conclude that it abused its discretion in applying
Daubert
to exclude opinions of the Hollanders’ experts. Because the district court has discretion to consider a variety of factors is assessing reliability under
Daubert,
and because, in light of that discretion, there is not an extеnsive body of appellate case law defining the criteria for assessing scientific reliability, we are limited to determining whether the district court’s application of the
Daubert
manifests a clear error of judgment or exceeds the bounds of permissible choice in the circumstances.
See McEwen,
a. Similarity to other ergot alkaloids
We begin our analysis with Dr. Kulig’s testimony that bromocriptine is an ergot alkaloid. According to Dr. Kulig, this fact supports his theory that bromocriptine causes vasoconstriction.
As the district court observed, neither Dr. Kulig nor the Hollanders’ other experts disputed the fact that bromocriptine has a different chemical structure than ergot alkaloids known to cause vasocon-striction. Moreover, neither Dr. Kulig nor the Hollanders’ other experts disputed the scientific literature stating that small differences in chemical structure may produce substantial differences in physiological effects.
In light of these considerations, several courts have agreed with the district court’s conclusion that the fact that bromocriptine is an ergot alkaloid does not constitute reliable scientific evidence that it causes vasoconstriction and associated adverse reactions like heart attacks and strokes.
See Glastetter,
These decisions support the district court’s analysis. Accordingly, the district court did not abuse its discretion in finding that bromocriptine’s similarity to other ergot alkaloids constituted an unreliable basis on which to conclude that the drug causes vasoconstriction and ensuing adverse effects like Ms. Hollander’s stroke.
b. Pharmacology of bromocriptine
In important respects, the Hollanders’ experts’ discussion of the specific pharmacological properties of bromocriptine is similarly speculative. For example, Dr. Kulig’s affidavit refers to the drug’s known effects on dopamine and serotonin, and notes that these neurotransmitters are known to trigger vasoconstriction and va- *1208 sospasm. However, although he states that the effect of Parlodel on serotonin receptors “has been demonstrated in company studies,” Aplt’s App. vol. II E, at 1747, Dr. Kulig provides no details on the methodology or conclusions of these studies. ' Moreover, the mere fact that Parlodel acts on serotonin and dopamine receptors does not establish that Parlodel itself, as opposed to some other agent that triggers either the release of these neurotransmitters or some other physiological mechanism, causes vasoconstriction, hypertension, and stroke.
The testimony of Dr. Jose (the expert on peripheral dopamine receptors) reveals similar deficiencies. Although he presented an elegant theory of the way in which bromocriptine might have the paradoxical effect of causing vasoconstriction and increased blood pressure, he acknowledged that there were a number of animal studies that concluded that bromocriptine decreases blood pressure. Dr. Jose attempted to distinguish these studies by observing that the specific conditions that he had posited as necessary to trigger the paradoxical effects of bromocriptine were not present. However, he acknowledged that his thesis had not been tested. See Aplt’s App. vol. II-A, at 802 (“I have bits and pieces proving that bromocriptine can increase sodium reabsorption, bits and pieces that can show that bromocrip-tine can decrease blood flow; but to put all of them together [to demonstrate that bromocriptine can cause high blood pressure] no, that has not been tested.”). Accordingly, the district court did not exercise manifestly unreasonable judgment in concluding that the opinions of the Hollanders’ experts did not meet the Daubert reliability standard insofar as those opinions were based on the pharmacology of bromocriptine.
c. Studies of hypertension
Both Dr. Kulig and Dr. Iffy relied on studies regarding the relationship between bromocriptine and hypertension. Dr. Ku-lig referred to a 1981 study commissioned by Sandoz in which women received the drug to treat amennorrhea-galaetorrhea syndrome. 12 Dr. Kulig states that nineteen percent of those women reported increases in blood pressure. Both experts invoke a study by D.I. Watson, which concluded that women with pregnancy-induced hypertension who then took bromo-criptine after giving birth had a higher incidence of postpartum hypertension than women who did not receive the drug. 13
Again, it is not an abuse of discretion to conclude that there is “simply too great an analytical gap” between these studies and the experts’ conclusion that Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke.
See Joiner,
As to the Watson study, Dr. Iffy admitted that it did not claim a “high degree of reliability.” Aplt’s App. vol. II-A, at 698. *1209 Dr. Iffy acknowledged that, under the study’s criteria for determining which women had pregnancy-induced hypertension, Ms. Hollander herself would not qualify. Id. Thus, she was not in the class of patients whose blood pressure increased after taking Parlodel.
d. Animal Studies
According to the Hollanders’ experts, there are certain animal studies that also provide evidence that bromocriptine may cause vasoconstriction, hypertension, and stroke. These studies included those performed on isolated veins, on animals that were unconscious, and on pithed animals. Many involved large doses of bromocrip-tine, relatively much greater than the doses taken by Ms. Hollander.
Several recent decisions considering these studies have agreed with the district court’s analysis. The studies suggest only that bromocriptine may act as a vasocon-strictor in very specific circumstances in certain kinds of animals; the studies do not constitute reliable evidence that bro-mocriptine causes strokes.
See Glastetter, 252
F.3d at 991 (noting that one of the plaintiffs experts concluded that “not a single animal study had ever concluded that [intracerbral hemorrhage] was associated with bromocriptine”);
Caraker v. Sandoz Pharms. Corp.,
In light of these characteristics of the animal studies, the district court’s conclusion that they were unreliable does not “exceed[ ] the bounds of permissible choice in the circumstances.”
McEwen,
e. Case studies and differential diagnosis
The next methodologies employed by the Hollanders’ experts present a closer question. “Differential diagnosis” refers to the process by which a physician “ ‘rule[s] in’ all scientifically plausible causes of the plaintiffs injury. The physician then ‘rules out’ the least plausible causes of injury until the most likely cause remains.”
Glastetter,
Here, Drs. Kulig, Iffy, and Jose performed a differential diagnosis, reviewing Ms. Hollander’s medical history and medical records, excluding other causes of her stroke, and then attributing the stroke to Parlodel. They relied in part on case reports, both those filed with the FDA and those published in the professional literature. Dr. Kulig expressed the view that the onset of Ms. Hollander’s initial symptom (i.e., developing a headache several days after giving birth) and the timing of her stroke (several days after her discharge from the hospital) fit a general pattern seen in patients suffering adverse reactions to Parlodel and was also consistent with the pharmokinetics of the drug.
With regard to differential diagnoses, courts have reached contrasting conclusions as to reliability under
Daubert.
*1210
Compare Westberry v. Gislaved Gummi AB,
In the instant case, the district court made short shrift of the Hollanders’ experts’ differential diagnoses and reliance on case reports. The court stated that “[b]ecause of their limitations, case reports have been repeatedly rejected as a scientific basis for a conclusion regarding causation.”
Hollander,
Because the
Daubert
reliability inquiry is case-specific, we need not address, in general terms, the reliability of differential diagnoses and case reports.
See Kumho Tire,
Again, we conclude that the district court did not abuse its discretion. In many of the decisions in which a differential diagnosis has been deemed reliable, the party relying on the diagnosis has offered independently reliable evidence that the allegedly dangerous drug or substance had harmful effects.
See, e.g., Zu-chouncz v. United States,
We take a similar view of the case reports regarding other women suffering various injuries after taking Parlodel. Many of these case reports contain only limited information regarding the medical histories of the patients and the nature of the injuries they suffered. In addition, given the large number of women who took Parlodel and the variety of possible causes for many of these injuries, it was not unreasonable for the district court to characterize the reports as unreliable evidence of causation.
See Siharath,
In holding that the district court did not abuse its discretion in excluding the particular differential diagnoses and case reports submitted by the Hollanders, we emphasize that, in other litigation, there may well be differential diagnoses and case reports that do not suffer from the same deficiencies noted by the district court here. For example, if the case reports in this record contained more detailed information about other women who suffered strokes and heart attacks after taking Par-lodel, and if there were a substantially larger number of such detailed reports, that information might have provided support for the theories of Drs. Kulig, Iffy, and Jose. In that instance, a district court might well be justified in finding opinion testimony like that of Drs. Kulig, Iffy, and Jose rehable under
Daubert. See Caraker,
Moreover, as the Eighth Circuit has written:
[W]e do not believe that a medical expert must always cite pubhshed studies on general causation in order to rehably conclude that a particular object caused a particular illness. The first several victims of a new toxic tort should not be barred from having their day in court simply because the medical literature, which will eventually show the connection between the victims’ condition and the toxic substance, has not yet been completed. If a properly qualified medical expert performs a rehable difieren- *1212 tial diagnosis through which, to a reasonable degree of medical certainty, all other possible causes of the victims’ condition can be eliminated, leaving only the toxic substance as the cause, a causation opinion based on that differential diagnosis should be admitted.
Turner v. Iowa Fire Equip. Co.,
f. Rechallenge and dechallenge reports
Ms. Hollanders’ experts also presented several accounts of rechallenge and dechal-lenge. Rechallenge occurs when a patient is exposed to the same drug thought to have previously caused an adverse reaction. Dechallenge occurs when-the drug is removed. As the Eighth Circuit has noted, rechallenge and dechallenge resemble controlled experiments in some ways, and thus may be more valuable than typical case reports.
Glastetter,
Nevertheless, by the Hollanders’ account, there were only three such reports.
See
Aplt’s Br. at 31. Of these three, only one involved vasoconstriction of the cerebral blood vessels.
16
Moreover, as to that incident, the only information to which the Hollanders’ have directed us is a secondhand account by a Sandoz physician. Thus, the district court conclusion here— that there were too few of these reports for them to constitute reliable evidence of causation under
DaubeH
— was not unreasonable.
Cf. Glastetter,
g. The Risks of Stroke in the Postpartum period
A linchpin of Sandoz’s defense was that there is an increased risk of stroke in the postpartum period generally. Sandoz relied heavily on a study concluding that there is a 28.3 relative risk of stroke for women in the postpartum period, as compared with non-pregnant women. See Steven J. Kittner, et al., Pregnancy and the Risk of Stroke, New Eng. J. Med. 768-74 (1996) (Aplt’s App. vol. II-C, at 1335-41). 17 Thus, according to Sandoz, Ms. Hol *1213 lander’s stroke could well have been the result of the increased risk to which all women are exposed during the postpartum period rather than an adverse reaction to Parlodel.
In the district court proceedings, the Hollanders challenged this argument primarily through the testimony of Dr. Kulig, who stated that the Kittner study (and others reaching similar conclusions about the risks of the postpartum period) did not control for bromocriptine use or for specific conditions that increase the risk of stroke, such as eclampsia. According to Dr. Kulig, when these factors are excluded, the Kittner study does not establish that there is an increased risk of stroke in the postpartum period.
The district court acknowledged Dr. Ku-lig’s criticisms of the study. However, the court found that “the postpartum incidence of stroke is a factor that should be considered.”
See Hollander,
The Hollanders now argue that the district court erred in its qualified affirmation of the Kittner study in the face of Dr. Kulig’s critique of it. If this case required Sandoz to prove that there was an increased risk of stroke during pregnancy, we might agree. However, no such burden is imposed on Sandoz here. Instead, it is the Hollanders who have the burden of demonstrating the harmful effect of Parlodel. Accordingly, it was not unreasonable for the district court to conclude that Dr. Kulig’s attack on the Kittner study did not constitute reliable evidence that Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke.
In summary, we agree with the court’s assessment in
Siharath:
the Hollanders have done the best they could with the available data and the scientific literature.
See
*1214 C. Grant of Summary Judgment to Sandoz
In a related аrgument, the Hollanders maintain that, even if the district court did not abuse its discretion in excluding their experts’ testimony, the court nevertheless erred in granting summary judgment to Sandoz.
According to the Hollanders, the following evidence demonstrates that there are controverted issues of material fact as to whether Parlodel caused her stroke: (1) the FDA’s determination that Parlodel had not been shown to be safe when prescribed as a postpartum lactation suppressant; (2) the judgment entered against Sandoz in a case in Kentucky involving Parlodel; (3) incidents of dechallenge and rechallenge; (4) case reports; (5) studies of hypertension; (6) the fact that bromocriptine is an ergot; (7) animal studies; and (8) epidemiological studies.
We engage in de novo review of the district court’s summary judgment ruling, applying the same standard as the district court under Fed.R.Civ.P. 56(c).
See Adler v. Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.,
Under Oklahoma law, which we apply in this diversity case,
see Wood v. Eli Lilly & Co.,
We need not address the Hollanders’ argument in detail. We have already ruled that five of the eight categories of evidence on which they rely did not constitute sufficiently reliable grounds under Daubert for their experts’ opinions. 18 As a result, these categories of evidence do not raise questions of fact on issues of causation.
Moreover, under Oklahoma law, a plaintiff must introduce expert testimony if “the fact in issue is not within the realm of ordinary experience of mankind.”
Strubhart v. Perry Mem’l Hosp. Trust Auth.,
Finally, we consider briefly the three categories of evidence that we have not yet addressed—the FDA determination, the judgment in the Roberts case, and the epidemiological studies. None of this evi *1215 dence provides sufficient support for the Hollanders’ claims.
As to the FDA determination, this circuit has noted that differing standards militate against applying regulatory actions to the elements of tort law. See Mitchell, 165 F.8d at 783 n. 3 (10th Cir.1999). In assessing a district court’s application of Daubert, we discounted a state agency’s classification of a substance as a carcinogen, stating that the methodology employed by the agency “results from the preventive perspective that the agencies adopt in order to reduce public exposure to harmful substances,’’and that “[t]he agencies’ threshold of proof is reasonably lower than that aрpropriate in tort law.” Id. (internal quotation marks omitted).
Moreover, several courts have concluded that this specific FDA ruling about Parlo-del is not relevant to the causation question.
See Glastetter,
As to the judgment in the
Roberts
case, the Hollanders fail to explain its relevance. The case was decided under Kentucky law, and our decision is governed by different law and different facts. Moreover, in light of the district court’s broad discretion in these matters, the fact that different courts reach difference conclusions as to reliability under
Daubert
does not establish that a legal error has been made by one or the other.
See Brasher,
Finally, the epidemiological studies in question do not support the Hollanders’ claim. The district court accurately observed that the Hollanders’ own experts did not rely on these studies. Moreover, as the district court further noted, “[although several studies have been cоnducted regarding Parlodel and stroke, none has shown a statistically significant link between them.”
Hollander,
95 F.Supp.2d at
*1216
1236.
See also Siharath,
Accordingly, we conclude that the district court properly granted Sandoz’s motion for summary judgment.
D. Dismissal of Sandoz, Ltd.
Prior to ruling on the Daubert and summary judgment motions, the district court dismissed the Hollanders’ claims against the defendant Sandoz, Ltd., a company incorporated in Switzerland with its principal place of business there. Prior to January 1, 1990, Sandoz, Ltd. sold Parlodel in bulk to the defendant Sandoz Corporation. However, after that date, Sandoz, Ltd. became a holding company, conducting no advertising in the United States and owing no manufacturing, distribution, or sales facilities here. In granting Sandoz’s motion to dismiss, the district court reasoned that Sandoz, Ltd. “does not have a bank account, a telephone number or any employees, officers or directors in this country; and that it does not actively advertise in the United States.” Aplt’s App. vol. I, at 344 (Dist. Ct. Order, filed Dec. 10, 1996, at 1). Accordingly, the court concluded that it lacked personal jurisdiction over Sandoz, Ltd., and it dismissed the claims against Sandoz, Ltd. with prejudice.
On appeal, the Hollanders argue that, because Sandoz, Ltd. sold Parlodel to its United States subsidiary (Sandoz) prior to January 1, 1990, Sandoz, Ltd. should be deemed to have continued to do business in the United States through July 1990, when Ms. Hollander suffered her stroke. They contend that it is unlikely that San-doz, Ltd. would have completely ceased doing business in the United States in the seven month period beginning in January 1990 (when it became a holding company) and July 1990 (when Ms. Hollander took Parlodel). Additionally, the Hollanders argue that the district court erred in dismissing the claims against Sandoz, Ltd. with prejudice.
The Hollanders’ challenge to the court’s jurisdictional ruling raises a legal question that we review de novo.
See Wenz v. Memery Costal,
However, we further conclude that the district court should not have dismissed the Hollanders’ claim against Sandoz, Ltd. with prejudice. Its jurisdictional ruling did not address the merits of the Hollanders’ allegations as to Sandoz, Ltd., and, as a result, the claim against Sandoz, Ltd. should have been dismissed without prejudice to filing in an appropriate forum.
See Posner v. Essex Ins. Co., Ltd.,
III. CONCLUSION
This case illustrates the continuing importance of the Supreme Court’s observation in Daubert:
[Tjhere are ... differences between the quest for truth in the courtroom and the quest for truth in the laboratory. Scientific conclusions are subject to perpetual revision. Law, on the other hand, must resolve disputes finally and quickly. The scientific project is advanced by broad and wide-ranging consideration of a multitude of hypotheses, for those that are incorrect will eventually be shown to be so, and that in itself is an advance. Conjectures that are probably wrong are of little use, howevеr, in the project of reaching a quick, final, and binding legal judgment often of great consequence about a particular set of events in the past. We recognize that, in practice, a gatekeeping role for the judge, no matter how flexible, inevitably on occasion will prevent the jury from learning of authentic insights and innovations. That, nevertheless, is the balance that is struck by Rules of Evidence designed not for the exhaustive search for cosmic understanding but for the particularized resolution of legal disputes.
Daubert,
Here, the district court characterized the Hollanders’ evidence as such guesswork, and that characterization was not unreasonable. The Hollanders’ evidence provided support for the FDA’s decision to withdraw the indication for Parlodel as a postpartum lactation suppressant, as well as for the decisions of experienced clinicians that the apparent risks of Parlodel outweighed the limited benefits of prescribing the drug as a lactation suppressant. However, the district court did not abuse its discretion in ruling that the Hollanders’ evidence did not satisfy the Dau-bert standard of reliability. Additionally, the district court did not err in denying the Hollanders’ motion to remand the case to the Oklahoma state courts or in dismissing the claim against Sandoz, Ltd. However, the court did err in dismissing the claim against Sandoz, Ltd. with prejudice.
Accordingly, we AFFIRM the judgment of the district court in all respects EXCEPT that we REMAND the Hollanders’ claim against Sandoz, Ltd. with instructions to dismiss that claim without prеjudice. 22
Notes
. Preeclampsia involves the "[d]evelopment of hypertension with albuminuria or edema between the 20th week of pregnancy and the end of the 1st week postpartum.” The Merck Manual, § 18 at 2057 (17th ed.1999). "Al-buminuria” refers to "the presence in the urine of serum albumin.” Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary at 42 (28th ed.1994). Eclampsia involves "[cjonvulsive seizures or coma without other etiology occurring in the same time period.” The Merck Manual, § 18 at 2057.
. The purpureum is "the period from the end of the third stage of labor until the involution of the uterus is complete, usually lasting 3 to 6 weeks.” DorlancL’s Illustrated. Medical Dictionary at 1386.
.
See Glastetter v. Novartis Pharms. Corp.,
.
See Brasher v. Sandoz Pharms. Corp.,
. Watson, D.I., et al., “Bromocriptine Mesy-late for Lactation Suppression: A Risk for Postpartum Hypertension?” Obstetrics and Gynecology, 74(4): 573-576 (1989) (Aplt's App. vol. II-D, al 1596-97).
. The
Frye
test required district courts to exclude evidence when the underlying scientific principles were not "sufficiently established to have gained general acceptance in the particular field in which [they belong].”
Frye,
. Under the Sandoz scheme, there are four main categories of causation: (a) not related; (b) remote; (c) probable; and (d) definite. The Hollanders focus on the standard for "probable” causation.
An adverse reaction is considered to be "probably related to a drug” if the reaction: (1) "occurs within a reasonable time interval following the administration of the drug”; (2) "could not readily be attributed to the patient’s clinical condition/underlying disease, concomitant therapy, or to environmental or toxic factors”; (3) "follows a known pattern of response to the drug”; and (4) "disappears or improves following cessation of treatment or dose reduction.” See Aplt’s App. vol. IVB, at 2378-79.
Sir Bradford Hill sets forth nine factors that should be considered "before deciding that the most likely interpretation [of the association] is causation.” These factors are: strength, consistency, specificity, temporality, dose response, biological plausibility, coherence, experimental evidence and analogy. See Aplt’s App. vol. IV D, at 2949-52 (Bradford Hill paper); vol. II-E, at 1751-55 (Dr. Kulig's affidavit). Dr. Kulig applies the Brad *1205 ford Hill criteria in reaching his opinion that Parlodel caused Ms. Hollander’s stroke.
. As Justice Breyer has observed, the requirement that the district court assess reliability and relevance under
Daubert
"will sometimes ask judges to make subtle and sophisticated determinations about scientific methodology and its relation to the conclusions an expert witness seeks to offer-particularly when a case arises in an area where the science itself is tentative or uncertain, or where testimony about general risk levels in human beings or animals is offered to prove individual causation.”
Joiner, 522
U.S. at 147-48,
. Judge Posner has expressed a similar view. "When the Supreme Court in
Daubert
told judges to distinguish between real and courtroom science, it was not with the object of discovering the essence of "science,” if there is such an essence. The object ... was to make sure that when scientists testify in court they adhere to the same standards of intellectual rigor that are demanded in their professional work.”
Rosen v. C G Corp.,
. Conflicting decisions in the district courts regarding the reliability of opinion testimony about Parlodel further illustrate this point.
Compare Siharath,
. The Eighth Circuit also noted that "one leading treatise on medical toxicology concludes that bromocriptine has no vasocon-strictive properties.” Glastetter, 252 F.3d at 990 (emphasis in original) (citing Matthew J. Ellenhorn, Ellenhom’s Medical Toxicology: Diagnosis and Treatment of Human Poisoning 1879, table 74-23 (2d ed.1997)).
. Amenorrhea refers to an “absence or abnormal stoppage of the menses.” See Dor-land’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary 55. Ga-lactorrhea is the "excessive or spontaneous flow of milk” or the "persistent secretion of milk irrespective of nursing.” Id. at 672.
. D.I. Watson, et al., supra, Obstetrics and Gynecology, 74(4): 573-576 (Aplt’s App. vol. II D, at 1596 97).
. The conflicting views of the reliability of differential diagnosis are apparent in the Par-lodel cases too.
Compare Brasher,
. A physician reported to Sandoz that he had induced vasoconstriction of the cerebral blood vessels by administering small dosеs of Parlodel to a woman who had previously suffered a stroke after taking the drug. See Aplt’s App. vol. IV B, at 2364-65 (memorandum from Dr. William F. Westin, dated Sept 17, 1987). There appears to be no further discussion of this report in the record.
. One of the incidents involved the vasocon-striction of a coronary artery and another involved hypertension.
.One authority explains the concept of "relative risk” as follows:
[Relative risk] is defined as the ratio of the incidence rate (often referred to as incidence) of disease in exposed individuals to the incidence rate in unexposed individuals.
The incidence rate of disease reflects the number of cases of disease that develop during a specified period of time divided by the number of persons in the cohort under study. Thus, the incidence rate expresses *1213 the risk that a member of the population will develop the disease within a specified period of time.
For example, a researcher studies 100 individuals who are exposed to an agent and 200 who are not exposed. After one year, 40 of the exposed individuals are diagnosed as having a disease, and 20 of the unexposed individuals are also diagnosed as having the disease. The relative risk of contracting the disease is calculated as follows:
-The incidence rate of disease in the exposed individuals is 40 cases per year per 100 persons (40/100), or 0.4
-The incidence rate of disease in the unexposed individuals is 20 cases per year per 200 persons (20/200), or 0.1.
A relative risk of 4.0 indicates that the risk of disease in the exposed group is four times as high as the risk of disease in the unexposed group.
Although a relative risk is a straightforward concept, care must be taken in interpreting it. Researchers should scrutinize their results for error. Error in the design of the study could yield an incorrect relative risk. Sources of bias and confounding should be examined. Whenever an association is uncovered, further analysis should be conducted to determine if the association is real or due to an error or bias. Similarly, a study that does not find an association between an agent and disease may be erroneous because of bias or random error.
Federal Judicial Center, Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence 348-49.
Thus, in the instant case, the study cited by Sandoz concluded that women in the postpartum period were 28.3 times more likely than non-pregnant women to have suffered a stroke.
. These categories of evidence are as follows: incidents of dechallenge and rechal-lenge; case reports; studies of hypertension; the fact that bromocriptine is an ergot; and animal studies.
. The FDA ruling states that the evidence received by the FDA "calls into question bro-mocriptine's safety,” that bromocriptine "may be an additional risk factor in patients who are already at risk for seizures and stroke,” and that the FDA had obtained new evidence "suggesting that therapeutic use of bromocrip-tine for the prevention of physiological lactation may lead to serious adverse experiences....” 59 Fed.Reg. 43348, 43351 (Aug. 24, 1994) (emphasis added).
. Our conclusion about the FDA's decision to withdraw the indication for Parlodel as a lactation suppressant should not be read to suggest that, as a general rule, regulatory decisions lack the intellectual rigоr necessary under the Daubert reliability inquiry. Indeed, some authorities view the review process in the regulatory area as typically "far more careful and systematic” than the peer review process employed by scientific journals. See Kenneth R. Foster & Peter W. Huber, Judging Science: Scientific Knowledge in the Federal Courts 174 (1997). "Regulators require that documents submitted to them contain far more detail than is typically found in papers submitted to professional journals .... [and] administrative reports-not peer reviewed journals — may provide parties with the solidest available data.” Id. at 174-75.
. The Hollanders also suggest that a totality of the circumstances approach establishes that there are controverted issues of material fact. In essence they maintain that even though each individual category of evidence may be insufficient, all of the evidence considered as a whole raises factual questions as to whether Parlodel caused her stroke. The Hollanders cite no legal authority in support of this approach, and in our view, this argument is inconsistent with
Daubert.
To suggest that those individual categories of evidence deemed unreliable by the district court may be added to form a reliable theory would be to abandon “the level of intellectual rigor” of the expert in the field.
Kumho Tire,
. In light of our conclusion that the federal district court did not abuse its discretion in concluding that Hollanders’ expert testimony was unreliable under Daubert, as well as our conclusion that the court did not err in granting summary judgment to Sandoz, we need not address the Hollanders’ challenge to the dismissal of their products liability claim against Presbyterian Hospital. Even assuming that the dismissal was improper, the Hollanders have failеd to explain why the same reliability problems noted by the federal district court do not defeat the Hollanders’ products liability claim against Presbyterian Hospital.
We do note, as Presbyterian Hospital observes in its response brief, that an overwhelming majority of jurisdictions have refused to apply strict liability principles to claims against hospitals and physicians involving the distribution of allegedly dangerous drugs or medical devices. See,
e.g, Royer v. Catholic Med. Ctr.,
Although Oklahoma courts do not appear to have answered this particular question, we have no reason to believe that those courts would disagree with the majority rule and extend products liability to hospitals in circumstances like those in the case at bar.
Cf. Allenberg v. Bentley Hedges Travel Serv., Inc., 22
P.3d 223, 230-31 (Okla.2001) (holding that commercial sellers of used products may not be held strictly liable, "at least if the alleged defect was not created by the seller, and the product is sold in essentially the same condition as when it was acquired for resale”). For that reason, and because the Hollanders did not seek certification in the district court proceedings, we DENY their motion for certification to the Oklahoma Supreme Court.
See Boyd Rosene & Assocs., Inc. v. Kansas Municipal Gas Agency,