Plaintiff-Appellant Rhonda Hendrix alleges that her son, G.P., sustained traumatic brain injuries when a child restraint system manufactured by Defendant-Appellee Evenflo Company, Inc., (“Evenflo”), malfunctioned during a minor traffic accident. Hendrix further alleges that those brain injuries caused G.P. to develop autism spectrum disorder (“ASD”) and a spinal cord defect known as syringomyelia.
I. FACTS AND PROCEDURAL HISTORY
The product at issue in this product liability case is the Evenflo Discovery Model 212 Child Restraint System (“the CRS”) owned by Hendrix. The CRS, which was manufactured in December 2000, consists of a plastic base that is secured to the vehicle’s seat by the safety belt and a padded plastic carrier. The carrier is either locked into the base or secured directly to the vehicle’s seat with a safety belt. The CRS meets the requirements imposed by federal regulations. See 49 C.F.R. § 571.213. When used properly, the base is positioned in a rear seat with the carrier locked into the base so the child faces the rear of the vehicle.
On April 17, 2002, Hendrix and her fifteen-day-old son, G.P., were involved in a minor traffic accident (“the accident”) while traveling at a speed of 10-12 mph. Hendrix claims that G.P. was properly strapped into the CRS, and that the CRS was located in the rear center position of her SUV. 1 Hendrix’s theory is that during the accident the seat dislodged from its base because it had been “false-latched.” A false-latch occurs when the mechanism that attaches the carrier to the base fails to properly latch even though the latch makes an audible click leading the person installing the seat to believe the seat is properly installed. Hendrix argues that because of the false-latch the carrier separated from the base at impact and struck the console between the SUV’s front seats.
It is undisputed that the carrier fractured during the accident. While it is also undisputed that G.P. suffered a closed-head injury as a result of the accident, the parties do dispute the severity of the injury and whether G.P. suffered brain damage. G.P.’s medical records reveal that he suffered, at the very least, a contusion on his forehead and bleeding in his brain. G.P.’s injuries do not appear to have caused immediate neurologic impairment, as G.P. exhibited no developmental problems at his 2, 4, or 10-month check-ups.
Nearly eighteen months after the accident, G.P. began to exhibit developmental problems. When occupational therapy failed to cause improvement, G.P. was referred to Dr. Suhrbier, a pediatric neurologist. Dr. Suhrbier administered a neurologic evaluation to address G.P.’s severe neurodevelopmental delay, impaired social interactions, and history of seizures.
Dr. Suhrbier diagnosed G.P. with ASD in April 2007, when G.P. was five years old. There is little information in the record regarding G.P.’s current impairments related to his ASD diagnosis. A report filed in December 2007 by Hendrix’s second medical expert, Dr. Hoffman 3 , describes G.P. as completely nonverbal, aggressive, lacking fine motor skills, and refusing or unable to use utensils, and as suffering from delayed sleep-onset, hyperactivity (i.e., constant motion, running away), and decreased response to pain. Based on information provided by Hendrix and his personal examinations of G.P., Dr. Hoffman concluded that G.P. has “autism spectrum disorder, a behaviorally defined disorder with qualitatively impaired social interaction, qualitatively impaired communication (not compensated by gesture), and restrictive repetitive and stereotyped patterns of behavior, interests and activities.” Evenflo’s medical expert, Dr. Epstein, also examined G.P. and described impairments consistent with those described by Dr. Hoffman. The experts all agree that, as a result of his ASD, G.P. will never be gainfully employed.
On April 12, 2006, Hendrix filed suit against Evenflo both individually and on behalf of G.P., claiming the defective CRS caused G.P. to sustain injuries that ultimately led him to develop ASD and syringomyelia. Evenflo removed the case to the Northern District of Florida on the basis of diversity jurisdiction. The parties then commenced discovery.
Hendrix sought to introduce testimony by Dr. Suhrbier and Dr. Hoffman that the injuries G.P. sustained in the accident caused him to develop ASD and syringomyelia. Evenflo moved to exclude this testimony, citing as one basis for exclusion the fact that there is no scientifically reliable basis for the experts’ opinions, as required by Daubert.
The district court assessed the admissibility of Dr. Suhrbier’s testimony based on Dr. Suhrbier’s deposition taken by Evenflo in July, 2007, and Dr. Suhrbier’s post-discovery affidavit prepared on September 9, 2008. In his deposition, Dr. Suhrbier stated that “recognized causes of autism include genetic disorders, metabolic disorders, epileptic encephalopathies, structural injuries and malformations to the brain, as well as reasons that have not been fully elucidated.” Dr. Suhrbier also claimed that autism had been associated with severe head injury and stated his opinion that there was a “high probability” the accident had caused G.P.’s ASD. When asked for scientific or medical literature relating autism spectrum disorders and trauma, however, Dr. Suhrbier stated that he could not cite from memory any specific articles.
In his post-discovery affidavit, Dr. Suhrbier stated that his diagnosis of G.P. was based on:
personal examinations, interaction with and observations of [G.P.], testing that I had performed on him, my review of some of his medical records, multiple interviews with his primary caregiver, my training, education and experience,my own base of knowledge and the utilization of the generally accepted medical methodology referred to as “differential diagnosis.”
Dr. Suhrbier explained that “[d]ifferential diagnosis, or differential etiology, is a standard scientific technique of identifying the cause of a medical problem by eliminating the likely causes until the most probable cause is isolated.” Dr. Suhrbier further stated that in performing his differential diagnosis, he determined that G.P. did not have the Fragile X genetic disorder, “the most common ‘known’ cause of autism,” and therefore concluded “[t]his means, based on our current knowledge, that the cause of his autism is most likely not genetic in nature.” In addition to the differential diagnosis method, Dr. Suhrbier also stated that he sought a unifying mechanism to explain both G.P.’s ASD and his syringomyelia. According to Dr. Suhrbier, it was important and “consistent with generally accepted methodologies within the field of pediatrics — to the extent possible — -to look for unifying theories of diagnosis in an effort to explain a presentation of symptoms.” Dr. Suhrbier stated that he was “quite familiar with the concept that trauma is a recognized cause of autism and syringomyelia in very young patients.” Again, Dr. Suhrbier provided no research or literature to support this statement. Dr. Suhrbier stated: “I concluded that the most likely cause of [G.P.]’s autism and syringomyelia was the trauma that he sustained in that motor vehicle accident in April of 2002. It was, and still is, my opinion that trauma was a substantial factor in causing the disabilities that [G.P.] is experiencing today.”
Dr. Hoffman first examined G.P. on March 22, 2006, approximately four years after the accident. The district court assessed the admissibility of Dr. Hoffman’s testimony based on Dr. Hoffman’s Independent Medical Evaluation & Report prepared on December 14, 2007; a deposition taken by Evenflo on January 16, 2008; and a Supplemental Report prepared on June 18, 2008.
In his Independent Report, Dr. Hoffman stated:
[G.P.] has multiple neurodevelopmental impairments that will be handicapping lifelong. My medical opinion, to a reasonable degree of medical certainty, is that [G.P.’s] medical conditions and neurodevelopmental impairments (syringomyelia, autism, impaired adaptive behaviors) are related and secondary to the closed head and central nervous system injury he sustained in the [accident] at age 2 weeks.
In his Supplemental Report, Dr. Hoffman presented ten points that he believes explain how the accident caused both G.P.’s ASD and syringomyelia:
First, that the brain, including the cerebellum, is actively developing during the perinatal/neonatal age that the injury occurred. Second, that this active brain development particularly includes developing connections between the cerebellum and different regions of the cortex. Third, that abnormalities in the cerebellum and in the connections between the cerebellum and the cortex, are strongly linked to autism. Fourth, that the presence of syringohydromyelia presupposes abnormal cerebral spinal fluid pressure around the cerebellum at the site of the obex and foramen magnum. Fifth, that neither syringohydromyelia nor borderline Chiari I abnormalities were present when [G.P.] was age 2 weeks and were certainly not present in útero when the target ultrasound was performed. Sixth, that hydromyelia is almost always associated with hydrocephalus, which [G.P.] has never had, and Dr. Zimmerman’s opinion that [G.P.] does have hydromyelia goes against the clinical records in this case and againstthe accepted knowledge about the difference between hyrdomyelia and syringomyelia. Seventh, that the perinatal and neonatal intensive care follow-up literature does support the association between injury to the developing brain, including traumatic brain injury, and later occurrence of autism spectrum disorder. Eighth, that [G.P.] did experience at age 2 weeks ... enough head injury to cause, among other things, a forehead bruise, irritability, poor feeding, reduced opening of left eye, sub-arachnoid and subdural hemorrhage, and soft tissue swelling in the parietooccipital region as well as likely hyperflexion neck injury. Ninth, that taken together (rather than in coincidental, idiopathic “we-don’t-know” isolation) the sequence of the injury to the brain, spinal cord, and surrounding tissues at that time then resulted in changes to CSF flow in the cervical spinal cord and around the foramen magnum with subsequent development of syringohydromyelia and also related altered and impaired subsequent development of the cerebellum and cerebellar connections to the cerebral cortex resulting in autism spectrum disorder ... Tenth, there is no evidence in the medical record of any specific genetic disorder as a cause for [G.P.]’s autism.
Dr. Hoffman further stated that G.P.’s autism “is not a result of chromosome abnormality nor of Fragile X syndrome, nor of perinatal distress or insult, nor of neonatal illness. There is no sign or other indication of prenatal or perinatal insult or other apparent etiology for his autism.” Dr. Hoffman concluded: “G.P.’s autism is a direct result of the injuries he sustained to his head and developing brain during the motor vehicle accident.”
In his deposition, Dr. Hoffman stated that he has never been involved in any scientific studies on the causes of autism. When asked if he could cite any scientific research to support his opinion that traumatic brain injury or close-head injury causes autism, Dr. Hoffman responded:
I haven’t pulled stuff for this report directly. I have thought about this before because I noted clinically, which is not what you are asking, that when I have done neonatal followup or seen children in followup from birth problems, as part of my clinical practice that have autistic features, wondering is there evidence in the literature linking brain injury or trauma to this. And so I have done some literature searches and there are reports, both animal models and persons showing this link.... I didn’t include that in my report, so I could find you some of those.
If you ask what scientific basis, and what I was looking for was am I just coming up with this myself, or are there other people seeing this, too, and I reassured myself that other people are and it’s starting to show up in the literature. There is not, that I am aware of, like a major chapter or major article in the New England Journal saying this is a primary cause.
Prior to trial, the district court granted Evenflo’s motion to exclude testimony by Hendrix’s experts regarding the purported cause of G.P.’s ASD. The court reasoned that the methods by which Dr. Suhrbier and Dr. Hoffman arrived at the conclusion that the accident caused G.P.’s ASD were not sufficiently reliable under
Daubert.
The district court also ruled that it
would
permit the expert testimony with regard to the cause of G.P.’s alleged syringomyelia. As a result of these rulings, the district court granted partial summary judgment to Evenflo on Hendrix’s compensatory damages claim for G.P.’s ASD, while allowing Hendrix’s compensatory damages claim for syringomyelia and her punitive damages claim to proceed to trial. Instead
II. STANDARD OF REVIEW
We review the district court’s exclusion of expert testimony for abuse of discretion.
Rink v. Cheminova, Inc.,
We review the district court’s ruling on a motion for summary judgment
de novo,
applying the same legal standards that bound the district court.
Nat’l Fire Insur. Co. of Hartford v. Fortune Const. Co.,
III. DISCUSSION
Hendrix raises several issues on appeal. First, she argues that the district court erred in finding unreliable under Daubert the experts’ testimony that the traumatic brain injury G.P. sustained in the accident caused him to develop ASD. Preliminary to this argument, Hendrix objects to the district court’s focus on G.P.’s ASD diagnosis, arguing that the court should instead have assessed the experts’ testimony as it pertains to G.P.’s individual neurologic impairments. Second, Hendrix argues that the district court erred in excluding a portion of the opinion of Hendrix’s expert, Gary Whitman, relating to the lack of sufficient energy-absorbing padding on the CRS, thus eliminating one of Hendrix’s theories of defective product. Third, Hendrix argues that the district court erred in denying her request for discovery on a recall of Evenflo safety seats.
Upon thorough review of the record and with the benefit of oral argument, we conclude that the district court did not abuse its discretion in excluding the expert testimony of Dr. Hoffman and Dr. Suhrbier based on the insufficient reliability of that testimony under Daubert. Because without the testimony of those two witnesses summary judgment was proper on Hendrix’s compensatory damages claim for G.P.’s ASD, and because Hendrix voluntarily dismissed the remainder of her claims with prejudice, we do not reach the additional issues presented in this appeal. 4
A. Characterizing G.P.’s Neurologic Impairments
As a preliminary matter, we must address Hendrix’s argument that the district court erred by asking whether the experts had established that traumatic brain injury could ever cause ASD. Hendrix argues that, instead, the district court should have determined whether traumatic brain injury could ever cause one or more of the individual neurologic deficits that
Hendrix argues that the district court was required to assess the reliability of the expert testimony regarding causation of each of G.P.’s neurologic impairments. Because ASD is defined by its underlying deficits and behaviors, it might be difficult to isolate the deficits underlying G.P.’s ASD diagnosis and determine whether traumatic brain injury could have caused each deficit individually. After a thorough review of the record, however, we conclude that the district court was not required to undertake that complicated task because Hendrix herself failed to fairly present this issue to the district court.
Hendrix’s experts both referred to G.P.’s individual deficits, but opined only that there was a causal link between traumatic brain injury and G.P.’s ASD. Neither expert described whether or how traumatic brain injury could cause G.P.’s individual deficits. For example, Dr. Hoffman refers in passing to G.P.’s “multiple neurodevelopmental impairments”; however, in describing his theory of how the accident contributed to G.P.’s injuries, Dr. Hoffman stated the following:
abnormalities in the cerebellum, and in the connections between the cerebellum and the cortex, are strongly linked to autism
the perinatal and neonatal intensive care follow-up literature does support the association between injury to the developing brain, including traumatic brain injury, and later occurrence of autism spectrum disorder
the sequence of the injury to the brain, spinal cord, and surrounding tissues at that time then resulted in changes to CSF flow in the cervical spinal cord and around the foramen magnum with ... impaired subsequent development of the cerebellum and cerebellar connections to the cerebral cortex resulting in autism spectrum disorder
there is no evidence in the medical record of any specific genetic disorder as a cause for [G.P.]’s autism
Thus, Dr. Hoffman applied his elaborate causation theory explicitly and unambiguously to G.P.’s ASD diagnosis generally and not to G.P.’s impairments individually.
Similarly, Dr. Suhrbier notes G.P.’s underlying impairments but refers exclusively to “ASD” and “autism” when discussing causation. Dr. Suhrbier stated during his deposition that he had diagnosed G.P. with autism and that there “is a high probability given the severe nature of [G.PJ’s injury and his subsequent development of other neurologic sequela,” that the accident had caused G.P.’s ASD. In his affidavit, Dr. Suhrbier said he had “diagnosed [G.P.] with [ajutism (which is on the spectrum of [ajutistic [sjpectrum [disorder),” and that “we can reasonably conclude that it is more likely than not that [G.P.] suffered damage to his brain — particularly the posterior regions — which was, in turn, a substantial factor in causing his autism.” Dr. Suhrbier also stated that “[tjrauma of various kinds is a known cause for ... autism .... as part of my treatment of [G.P.], I concluded that the most likely cause of G.P.’s autism ... was the trauma that he sustained in that motor vehicle accident in April of 2002.”
Not only did Hendrix’s two medical experts opine only about the cause of GP’s
B. Exclusion of Expert Testimony on Causal Link Between Traumatic Brain Injury and ASD
1. Legal Standards for Admitting Scientific Evidence of Causation
Hendrix seeks to admit expert testimony that the traumatic brain injury G.P. sustained in the accident caused his ASD. Because this is a diversity case, we apply Florida’s substantive law regarding a plaintiffs burden of proof on causation.
McLeod v. Am. Motors Corp.,
Although the standards for finding causation are governed by Florida law, we apply federal law to determine whether the expert testimony proffered to prove causation is sufficiently reliable to submit it to the jury.
Flury v. Daimler Chrysler Corp.,
If scientific ... knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education, may testify thereto in the form of an opinion or otherwise, if (1) the testimony is based upon sufficient facts or data, (2) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods, and (3) the witness has applied the principles and methods reliably to the facts of the case.
Fed.R.Evid. 702. “Unlike an ordinary witness ... an expert is permitted wide latitude to offer opinions, including those that are not based on firsthand knowledge or observation.”
Daubert,
Given time, information, and resources, courts may only admit the state of science as it is. Courts are cautioned not to admit speculation, conjecture, or inference that cannot be supported by sound scientific principles. “The courtroom is not the place for scientific guesswork, even of the inspired sort. Law lags science; it does not lead it.”
Rider v. Sandoz Pharms. Corp.,
This circuit requires trial courts acting as gatekeepers to engage in a “rigorous three-part inquiry” assessing whether:
(1) the expert is qualified to testify competently regarding the matters he intends to address; (2) the methodology by which the expert reaches his conclusions is sufficiently reliable as determined by the sort of inquiry mandated in Daubert; and (3) the testimony assists the trier of fact, through the application of scientific, technical, or specialized expertise, to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue.
United States v. Frazier,
The
Daubert
Court described several factors trial judges may use to assess the reliability of proffered scientific testimony, including: (1) whether the theory or technique “can be (and has been) tested,” (2) “whether the theory or technique has been subjected to peer review and publication,” (3) “in the case of a particular scientific technique, ... the known or potential rate of error,” and (4) whether the theory or technique is generally accepted by the relevant scientific community.
Daubert,
In addition, the Supreme Court has noted that, in the context of this analysis, “conclusions and methodology are not entirely distinct from one another.”
General Elec. Co. v. Joiner,
Hendrix’s experts rely primarily on the differential etiology method
5
to link G.P.’s
A reliable differential etiology analysis is performed in two steps. First, the expert must compile a “comprehensive list of hypotheses that might explain the set of salient clinical findings under consideration .... The issue at this point in the process is which of the competing causes are
generally
capable of causing the patient’s symptoms.”
McClain,
With regard to the first step, the district court must ensure that, for each possible cause the expert “rules in” at the first stage of the analysis, the expert’s opinion on general causation is “derived from scientifically valid methodology.”
Hollander v. Sandoz Pharm. Corp.,
Some specific principles arise in the context of establishing general causation in cases dealing with medical injuries. In
McClain,
we distinguished cases in which the medical community generally recognizes that a certain chemical can cause the injury the plaintiff alleges from those in which the medical community has not reached such a consensus.
Hendrix does not contend that the medical community generally recognizes traumatic brain injury as a cause of autism. Therefore, the district court was correct to apply the
Daubert
analysis to the question of whether traumatic brain injury can, in general, cause autism.
7
We afford the district court substantial discretion to decide how to test the reliability of the general causation evidence presented by Dr. Hoffman and Dr. Suhrbier.
Rink,
In reviewing the district court’s reliability determination, we note that we have previously identified some of the scientifically valid methods for establishing general causation. For instance, we will admit expert opinions pursuant to
Daubert
that are supported by epidemiological studies,
8
provided the expert explains how the findings of those studies may be reli
Courts have also identified other methods that, when used alone, are unable to provide scientifically valid proof of general causation. For instance, in
McClain,
we explained that the
“post hoc ergo propter hoc
fallacy assumes causality from temporal sequence.... It is called a fallacy because it makes an assumption based on the false inference that a temporal relationship proves a causal relationship.”
McClain,
In the second step of the differential etiology analysis, the expert must eliminate all causes but one.
See McCulloch,
With these principles in mind, we now review the district court’s determination that the experts’ testimony in this case was unreliable under Daubert.
2. Application of Standards to Dr. Hoffman’s Testimony
The district court determined that Dr. Hoffman’s testimony regarding ASD causation was insufficiently reliable under
Daubert
to warrant admission of that testimony at trial. The district court identified
Dr. Hoffman’s sole support for his theory that, in general, traumatic brain injury can cause ASD came from certain medical textbooks and epidemiological studies submitted by Dr. Hoffman. The district court carefully considered all of the materials cited by Dr. Hoffman and concluded that “none of these works come close to providing useful evidence of a definitive
10
causal link between traumatic head injuries and autistic disorders,
11
and
Rather than duplicating the district court’s persuasive analysis of the literature provided by Dr. Hoffman,
see Hendrix
Notably, although the chapter catalogues the known etiological factors involved in ASD, the section titled “Etiological considerations” does not mention acquired trauma in the perinatal brain. Id. at 213-17. The section discusses genetic factors at length, and then goes on to list “extrinsic factors” such as: viruses; the presence of other neurological conditions, such as epilepsy; birthing-complications; teratogenic substances, such as cocaine; and autoimmune factors. Id. The section fails to mention traumatic brain injury, and the authors qualify even the factors they do list by noting that “studies directed to examining etiologic factors in [autism] have suffered from limitations due to small sample sizes, inadequate specification of diagnostic categories, and significant heterogeneity of the autistic population.” Id. at 217.
Hendrix’s counsel also noted as particularly persuasive an article titled
Late Neurologic and Cognitive Sequelae of Inflicted Traumatic Brain Injury in Infancy.
Barlow
et al, Late Neurologic and Cognitive Sequelae of Inflicted Traumatic Brain Injury in Infancy,
116 Pediatrics, Aug. 2005. The article describes a variety of neurologic impairments, including many of the impairments from which G.P. suffers, found in children with inflicted traumatic brain injury (e.g., shaken baby syndrome).
Id.
at el74. While Hendrix criticizes the district court for discounting the article based on the distinction between inflicted (non-accidental) and accidental traumatic brain injury, the article itself supports the notion that the two types of injuries are distinct. For instance, the article notes that mortality rates for infants with inflicted traumatic brain injury are greater than those for infants whose injuries were accidental.
Id.
at el74. The article also self-limits its findings by pointing out the small sample size, the need for further study, and that the study lacked a control group.
Id.
at el84. In fact, the authors mention that previous similar studies used children with an accidental traumatic brain injury as control subjects against which to compare those subjects with inflicted injuries.
Id.
Moreover, although one patient in the study developed autism spectrum disorder, the authors note that the ASD patient “may have had significant exposure to alcohol in útero.”
Id.
at e183. The district court identified these shortcomings and noted that “significantly, nothing in the study purports to show or explain the physiological process by which brain injury produces autism.”
Hendrix,
We found the most direct statement supporting the theory that traumatic brain injury can cause ASD in a textbook submitted by Dr. Hoffman that was not brought to our attention on appeal. That textbook states:
Considerable precedent for deleterious effects of various perinatal insults on organizational events is provided by studies with experimental animals. Initial studies of later cortical neuronal development in “undamaged” areas adjacent to ischemic cortical injury in human infants show dendritic aberrations that could contribute importantly to subsequent cognitive deficits and epilepsy. It is a clinical truism that some children affected by one or more perinatal insultsmay exhibit neurological sequalae that are more severe than might be predicted from the extent of injury recognized by the usual brain imaging or neuropathological techniques.
Volpe, Human Brain Development in Neurology of the Newborn at 82. In other words, this textbook provides some support for the idea that even minor injuries sustained by newborn brains can result in more severe neurologic impairments than one would expect from the initial extent of the injury. The textbook does not, however, link such injuries to ASD, or provide any support for Dr. Hoffman’s theory of ASD causation involving abnormal cerebral spinal fluid pressure.
We are satisfied that the district court did not abuse its discretion in concluding, based on the literature Dr. Hoffman himself provided, that there is no reliable support for Dr. Hoffman’s assertion that “perinatal and neonatal intensive care followup literature does support the association between injury to the developing brain, including traumatic brain injury, and later occurrence of autism spectrum disorder.”
12
Because Dr. Hoffman offers no other scientifically reliable basis for his opinion, his testimony is the type of “speculation, conjecture, or inference” that we have cautioned district courts not to admit.
Rider,
Hendrix attempts to sidestep the deficiencies in the medical literature by focusing on Dr. Hoffman’s experience and training. Merely demonstrating that an expert has experience, however, does not automatically render every opinion and statement by that expert reliable. As an Advisory Committee Note on Federal Rule of Evidence 702 states:
If the witness is relying solely or primarily on experience, then the witness must explain how that experience leads to the conclusion reached, why that experience is a sufficient basis for the opinion, and how that experience is reliably applied to the facts. The trial court’s gatekeeping function requires more than simply “taking the expert’s word for it.”
Committee Notes on Rules—2000 Amendment (quoting
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharms., Inc.,
Because the medical literature adduced by Hendrix supports neither Dr. Hoffman’s theory of causation involving abnormal cerebral spinal fluid pressure nor his ultimate opinion that a traumatic brain injury like G.P.’s can cause autism, and because Dr. Hoffman offers no other scientifically reliable basis for his opinion, 13 we hold that the district court did not abuse its discretion in concluding that Hendrix failed to establish general causation to support Dr. Hoffman’s opinion. That is, Hendrix has failed reliably to “rule in” traumatic brain injuries like G.P.’s as a plausible cause of autism.
Because this is a sufficient basis on which to affirm the district court’s ruling excluding Dr. Hoffman’s testimony, we need not address the district court’s decision that Dr. Hoffman also failed to “rule out” other possible causes. The district court held:
Hoffman’s claim that he ruled out genetics as a potential cause of [G.P.’s] ASD based on [G.P.’s] normal “Fragile X” tests ignores the possibility of other genetic conditions as a cause. Given the plethora of genetic theories for autism, “ruling out” Fragile X as a possible cause of [G.P.’s] ASD far from eliminates all genetic causes of his ASD, let alone the other multitude of factors that have been linked to autism or ASD.
Hendrix,
3. Application of Standards to Dr. Suhrbier’s Testimony
Hendrix also objects to the district court’s exclusion of Dr. Suhrbier’s testimony. Dr. Suhrbier, G.P.’s treating physician, sought to testify as an expert witness under Rule 702. In order to be admitted into evidence, Dr. Suhrbier’s opinions must also be based on a scientifically reliable methodology under
Daubert. See United States v. Henderson,
Dr. Suhrbier purported to both perform a differential etiology and to look for a unifying theory to explain G.P.’s ASD
IV. CONCLUSION
Under Daubert, it is the unique role of the district court to determine whether an expert’s opinion is sufficiently reliable to allow it to be presented to a jury. Here, the district court concluded that Hendrix failed to present scientifically reliable evidence that traumatic brain injury can ever cause autism. Thus, the district court excluded the experts’ theories because of a lack of reliable proof of general causation between the alleged injury and the purported cause of that injury. 15 Upon thorough review of the record and with the benefit of oral argument, we conclude that the district court properly executed its gatekeeper function under Daubert, and therefore the court did not abuse its discretion in excluding the expert testimony.
We emphasize that we express no opinion regarding whether traumatic brain injury sustained in the perinatal or neonatal period can ever cause or contribute to later development of an autism spectrum disorder. Rather, as we have previously stated: “The courtroom is not the place for scientific guesswork, even of the inspired sort. Law lags science; it does not lead it.”
Rider,
AFFIRMED.
Notes
. For purposes of this appeal, we assume Hendrix's version of the facts that the carrier and the child were snapped into the base in the rear center position of the SUV. It is undisputed that the base of the CRS was in the rear center seat, secured by a safety belt. However, Evenflow's theory is that the carrier and the child were actually positioned in the front passenger seat of the SUV in contravention of the CRS safety instructions and in violation of state law. Evenflow argues that, due to the incorrect positioning of the carrier, during impact the carrier struck or was struck by the front passenger-side airbag.
. Evenflo suggests that, instead, the cyst is a hydromyelia resulting from a congenital defect in G.P.’s brain.
. Dr. Hoffman is a medical doctor who is board-certified in neurodevelopmental disabilities and developmental-behavioral pediatrics.
. In other words, Hendrix’s second and third arguments relate solely to liability, and Evenflo has no liability on Hendrix's claim for damages for G.P.'s ASD. Therefore, because Hendrix’s ASD claim is the sole claim remaining after Hendrix dismissed all other claims, Hendrix’s second and third arguments are moot.
. Although the parties and other cases often refer to this method as "differential diagnosis,” throughout the opinion we will use the more precise term "differential etiology.”
See McClain v. Metabolife Int'l, Inc.,
. Hendrix attempts to distinguish this case from
McClain
on the grounds that ours is an "ordinary trauma” case whereas
McClain
is a toxic tort case. Although we are not dealing with a toxic tort, which is "[a] civil wrong arising from exposure to a toxic substance, such as asbestos, radiation, or hazardous waste,” Black’s Law Dictionary (8th ed.2004), we are dealing with a medical injury allegedly arising from use of a defective product. In
McClain,
as in our case, the court was required to analyze expert medical opinions regarding the cause of an injury; thus, the relevant inquiry was similar.
See McClain,
. Hendrix argues that Florida's "substantial factor” test absolves her of establishing general causation between traumatic brain injury and autism. This argument appears to be based on a misunderstanding that the "substantial factor” test means that a substantial
likelihood
of causation is sufficient to impose liability. That is not the case. Florida law’s "substantial factor” requirement is best understood to mean that Hendrix could recover if a jury found that G.P.’s injuries were a partial or contributing cause of his ASD. The district court did not exclude the expert testimony on the basis that it did not show that the injury was the
only
cause of G.P.'s ASD; rather, the district court found that there was no scientifically reliable evidence that such brain injuries, in general, could
ever
cause autism. Even the "substantial factor” test requires the plaintiff to show a causal link based on reliable evidence between a purported cause and the alleged injury, as the district court required.
Gross,
. "Epidemiology is the 'study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states and events in populations and the application of this study to control of health problems.' ”
In re TMI Litigation,
. Although the district court stated that the expert must make a list of
“all
possible causes for the condition,”
Hendrix,
. Hendrix complains about the district court’s use of the word "definitive,” again accusing the district court of adopting an inflexible bright-line standard of certainty. For the reasons noted in the preceding footnote, we agree that Daubert does not require certainty; it requires only reliability. However, despite the district court’s inappropriate choice of the word "definitive,” the context of the district court’s opinion leaves us confident that the court required no more than reliability. As the district court said in the very same sentence, Dr. Hoffman’s cited literature provided not even "marginal support” for his theory of causation. Our own review of the cited literature amply confirms the lack of support.
. Hendrix objects to the district court’s rationale, arguing that medical literature proving a causal link between trauma and an illness is not a mandatory prerequisite to the admission of opinion testimony on causation from a qualified medical doctor. In general, we do not require medical doctors to support their expert opinions with medical literature.
See Rider,
In the absence of epidemiology, plaintiffs may still prove medical causation by other evidence. In the instant case, however, plaintiffs simply have not provided reliable evidence to support their conclusions. To admit the plaintiffs’ evidence, the Court would have to make several scientifically unsupported "leaps of faith” in the causal chain. The Daubert rule requires more.
Here, Dr. Hoffman chose to rely exclusively on medical literature to establish general causation between traumatic brain injury and ASD. Therefore, the medical literature must provide enough support for Dr. Hoffman’s general causation opinion to satisfy Daubert’s reliability requirement.
See McClain,
. In addition to concluding from our own review of the medical literature that it does not support Dr. Hoffman’s theory of causation, we also note that Dr. Hoffman himself was quite qualified in the support he claims from the literature. In his supplemental report, he noted that: "Thus, there is a general consensus by many in the scientific community that the etiology for autism spectrum disorders often does include environmental factors, and some researchers have reported specifically the association between insults to the perinatal-newborn brain and subsequent development of autism.” In a similar vein, Dr. Hoffman testified that he had noticed in his practice that some children with early brain injuries later develop autistic features, had wondered if others were seeing this too, and then "reassured [him]self that other people are, and it’s starting to show up in the literature.” In other words, Dr. Hoffman refers both to his own experience and to the literature as evidencing only a temporal relationship, or a mere correlation. However, we held in McClain that a mere temporal relationship, itself, would not ordinarily be sufficient to prove a causal relationship. See McClain, 401 F.3d at 1243 ("Proving a temporal relationship between taking Metabolife and the onset of symptoms does not establish a causal relationship.”)
. For example, there is no evidence that Dr. Hoffman's theory of causation has been tested or subject to peer-reviewed publication.
See Daubert,
. Hendrix also argues that the expert testimony of Dr. Hoffman and Dr. Suhrbier is reliable because both sought to find a “unifying mechanism” explaining both G.P.’s ASD and syringomyelia. Both doctors came to the conclusion that the unifying mechanism was the traumatic brain injury G.P. sustained in the accident. This argument fails for the same reason Hendrix’s argument related to differential etiology fails. There is no evidence that is scientifically reliable under Daubert indicating that traumatic brain injury can ever cause or contribute to ASD. Therefore, it follows that there is no scientifically reliable evidence that traumatic brain injury can cause or contribute to both ASD and syringomyelia. Moreover, regardless of the rarity of either condition or the probability that both conditions would be present in the same individual, Hendrix’s experts have provided no support for the notion that the accident is a more likely unifying mechanism than some other common cause.
. We can reject summarily Hendrix’s argument that the testimony of Evenflo's experts constituted reliable evidence of such general causation.
