MEMORANDUM OPINION AND ORDER
Currently before the court is a motion by plaintiff, the Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”), pursuant to Section 13(b) of the FTC Act, 15 U.S.C. § 53(b), for a preliminary injunction enjoining defendants, OSF Healthcare System (“OSF”) and Rockford Health System (“RHS”), from consummating their affiliation agreement executed on January 31, 2011, or otherwise acquiring each other’s assets or interests. After a thorough review, the court grants the FTC’s motion and will order the parties to maintain the status quo and not proceed with the proposed merger until such time as the FTC has concluded its administrative trial on the merits of the underlying antitrust claims.
I. BACKGROUND
Defendant OSF is a not-for-profit health care system that owns and operates sever
On November 17, 2011, after having investigated the proposed merger in this case, the FTC found reason to believe that the acquisition would violate Section 7 of the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C. § 18, and initiated an administrative proceeding to determine the legality of the acquisition. See Doc. 1 ¶ 26. On November 18, 2011, the FTC filed its complaint and motion for preliminary injunction with this court.
On February 1-3, 2012, following expedited discovery, the court held an evidentiary hearing on the FTC’s motion, in which each side was permitted to present four witnesses during an equal allotment of time. The FTC presented two witnesses from managed care organizations (“MCOs”), Michelle Lobe, a regional vice president for network management with UnitedHealthcare, and Todd Petersen, CEO for Coventry Healthcare of Illinois, as well as two expert witnesses, Dr. Patrick Romano, M.D., M.P.H., a Professor of Medicine and Pediatrics at the University of California Davis School of Medicine, and Dr. Cory Capps, Ph.D., an economist with Bates White Economic Consulting. Defendants presented their own executives, David Schertz, President and CEO of OSF Healthcare System at SAMC, and Gary Kaatz, President and CEO of RHS; a local employer, Dean Olson of Rockford Aeromatic Products Company; and an expert witness, Dr. Susan Manning, Ph.D., an economic consultant with Compass Lexecon. At the conclusion of the hearing, the parties moved for the admission of over 2,000 exhibits,
In addition to the transcript of the evidentiary hearing and the exhibits identified by the parties as relevant to this proceeding, the court has reviewed and considered the complaint, Doc. 1; the motion for preliminary injunction and supporting memorandum, Doc. 5, and defendants’ response thereto, Doc. 50; the parties’ pre-hearing memoranda, Docs.
II. ANALYSIS
Section 7 of the Clayton Act prohibits acquisitions, including mergers, “where in any line of commerce or in any activity affecting commerce ... the effect of such acquisition may be substantially to lessen competition, or to tend to create a monopoly.” 15 U.S.C. § 18. Section 7 is “designed to arrest in its incipiency ... the substantial lessening of competition from the acquisition by one corporation” of the assets of a competing corporation. United States v. E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co.,
Whenever the FTC has reason to believe that “any person, partnership, or corporation is violating, or is about to violate, any provision of law enforced by the Federal Trade Commission,” including Section 7 of the Clayton Act, it is authorized by § 13(b) of the FTC Act to “bring suit in a district court of the United States to enjoin any such act or practice.” 15 U.S.C. § 53(b). The district court may grant the request for a preliminary injunction “[ujpon a proper showing that, weighing the equities and considering the Commission’s likelihood of ultimate success, such action would be in the public interest.” Id. Therefore, “in determining whether to grant a preliminary injunction under section 13(b), a district court must (1) determine the likelihood that the FTC will ultimately succeed on the merits and (2) balance the equities.” FTC v. Univ. Health, Inc.,
It is important to bear in mind that, when ruling on a request for a preliminary injunction pursuant to § 13(b), “[t]he district court is not authorized to determine whether the antitrust laws have been or are about to be violated. That adjudicatory function is vested in FTC in the first instance.” FTC v. Food Town Stores, Inc.,
A. Likelihood of Success
“To show a likelihood of ultimate success, the FTC must raise questions going to the merits so serious, substantial, difficult and doubtful as to make them fair ground for thorough investigation, study, deliberation and determination by the FTC in the first instance and ultimately by the Court of Appeals.”
After first determining the relevant market, which “consists of two components: a product market and a geographic market,” Tenet Health,
1. Relevant Markets
As noted above, the first step in the court’s analysis is to determine the relevant product and geographic markets that are applicable in this case. “It is ... essential that the FTC identify a credible relevant market before a preliminary injunction may properly issue” because a merger’s effect on competition cannot be properly evaluated without a well-defined relevant market. Tenet Health,
a. Product market
A relevant product market is one in which a hypothetical monopolist could increase prices profitably by a “small but significant” amount for a meaningful period of time. U.S. Department of Justice and Federal Trade Commission, Horizontal Merger Guidelines (2010) § 4.1.1 (“Merger Guidelines ”). A relevant product market defines the product boundaries within which competition meaningfully exists. United States v. Cont’l Can Co.,
i. GAC market
The primary product market advanced by the FTC in this case is general acute care inpatient services (“GAC”) sold to commercial health plans. See PX2501 § V.A.2; Tr. at 344-46; see also PX2263 ¶¶ 22-23. This is a “cluster market” of services that courts have consistently found in hospital merger cases, even though the different types of inpatient services are not strict substitutes for one another. See FTC v. ProMedica Health Sys., Inc., No. 3:11 CV 47,
ii. PCP market
The FTC has also alleged that primary care physician services (“PCP”) is another relevant product market in which the proposed merger is likely to have anticompetitive effects. Without expressing any opinion on the ultimate merits of this claim, the court observes that the FTC’s likelihood of success on its claim involving the PCP market is distinctly lower than its claim involving the GAC market for a number of reasons. For example, the post-merger market concentration level in the PCP market is not as high as the concentration level would be in the GAC market. Compare PX2501 App. H.(PCP market) with PX2501 § V.B.l (GAC market). According to the Merger Guidelines, the proposed merger would only yield a moderately concentrated market for PCP services that would “potentially raise significant competitive concerns,” whereas in the GAC market the merger would result in a highly concentrated market and a presumption that the merger would “likely ... enhance market power.” Merger Guidelines § 5.3. In addition, the PCP market is not subject to the same prohibitive barriers to entry that exist in the GAC market, and the bargaining leverage held by large insurance companies with respect to physician contracting is different than what would exist in contracting for GAC services if the merger were to take place. All of these distinguishing features make it less likely that the FTC will prevail on its claim involving the PCP market compared to its chance of success on its claim involving the GAC market.
Based on the foregoing considerations and the fact that the FTC is not required “to settle on a market definition at this preliminary stage,” Whole Foods,
b. Geographic market
“A geographic market is the area in which consumers can practically turn for alternative sources of the product and in which the antitrust defendants face competition.” Tenet Health,
According to plaintiffs expert, Dr. Capps, “[t]he relevant geographic market applicable to the proposed merger is the area contained within a roughly 30-minute drive of downtown Rockford.”
2. Prima Facie Case
To establish a prima facie case, the FTC must show that the proposed merger would result in the merged entity controlling a large percentage share of the relevant GAC market and that the merger also would yield a significant increase in market concentration. See Phila. Nat’l Bank,
According to plaintiffs expert, Dr. Capps, the proposed merger in this case would result in the merged entity controlling a substantial share of the GAC market and would yield a significant increase in market concentration. Defendants do not specifically challenge these calculations. Rather, defendants argue that the court must consider more than just market share statistics in order to determine whether the affiliation would be anticompetitive. The court recognizes that the Supreme Court has “cautioned that statistics concerning market share and concentration, while of great significance, [are] not conclusive indicators of anticompetitive effects,” United States v. Gen. Dynamics Corp.,
a. Percentage of market
In Philadelphia National Bank, the Supreme Court concluded that a merger resulting in a single firm controlling at least 30% of the relevant market was sufficient
In this case, Dr. Capps measured the market shares of the participants in the GAC market on two bases: patient admissions and patient 'days. PX2501 ¶ 162. Both measures “provide information relevant to predicting the likely competitive effects of the merger.” Id. “Patient admissions are informative because they indicate the degree of consumer preference for a particular hospital,” and as a result, “higher shares give a hospital or hospital system more leverage in negotiations with health plans.” Id. “Computing market shares on the basis of patient days is also informative because doing so gives greater weight to more complicated and intensive services that require a longer length of stay.” Id. ¶ 163.
Dr. Capps calculated the post-merger market shares under both measures and found that the merged entity would control 59.4% of the GAC market based on patient admissions or 64.2% of the market based on patient days.
b. Increase in market concentration
The FTC has also shown that the proposed merger would result in “a significant increase in the concentration of firms” in the GAC market. Phila. Nat’l Bank,
According to the Merger Guidelines, an HHI above 2,500 signifies a highly concentrated market. Merger Guidelines § 5.3. “Mergers resulting in highly concentrated markets that involve an increase in the HHI of more than 200 points will be presumed to be likely to enhance market power.” Id.; see also Heinz,
The increase to the HHI in this ease of between 1,767 to 2,052 points is much higher than many other cases in which the government has demonstrated a prima facie case. See, e.g., Heinz,
c. Cases denying an injunction are distinguishable
Rather than contesting the FTC’s market share and market concentration evidence, which overwhelmingly satisfies the FTC’s burden to establish a prima facie case, defendants claim that “[c]ourts have frequently denied the government an injunction in hospital mergers resulting in high post-transaction HHI levels and even, as here, a ‘three-to-two’ combination.” Doc. 176 at 5. However, the cases cited by defendants in support of this claim are distinguishable from the facts of this case and do not demonstrate that the FTC’s request for an injunction should be denied.
Defendants first cite FTC v. Freeman Hospital,
Defendants also cite FTC v. Tenet Health Care Corp.,
The court finds United States v. Long Island Jewish Medical Center,
The final case cited by defendants in support of their claim that courts frequently deny injunctive relief, even when there are high post-transaction HHI levels, is FTC v. Butterworth Health Corp.,
First, the Butterworth court credited the defendants’ argument, bolstered by expert testimony, that “nonprofit hospitals operate differently in highly-concentrated markets than do profit-maximizing firms.” Id. But other courts, including the Seventh Circuit, which this court is obligated to follow, have rejected this premise. See Rockford Mem’l,
Second, the Butterworth court found significant and relied on a commitment by the
3. Rebuttal Arguments
Based on the foregoing, the court finds that the FTC has demonstrated a very compelling prima facie case based on market concentration levels that are much higher than many other cases in which a preliminary injunction under § 13(b) has been entered. This of course does not end the analysis, but it does make it more difficult for defendants to overcome the strong presumption of illegality that has arisen in this case. See Heinz,
Before turning to defendants’ rebuttal arguments, its important to once again remember that “the issue in this action for preliminary relief is a narrow one,” and the court does “not resolve the conflicts in the evidence, compare concentration ratios and effects on competition in other cases, or undertake an extensive analysis of the antitrust issues.” FTC v. Warner Commc’ns Inc.,
a. Supracompetitive price increases
Defendants first argue that, despite the high concentration levels, the proposed merger will not allow them to raise prices to supracompetitive levels for several reasons. Specifically, defendants contend that SwedishAmerican has the ability to remain a robust competitor, that large MCOs can defeat any attempt by OSF Northern Region to raise prices by offering a lower priced single-hospital network, and that defendants’ proposed stipulation eliminates any concerns of anticompetitive behavior. Defendants also assert that plaintiffs expert has not performed a merger simulation to determine the actual price effect of the proposed merger. As discussed below, these arguments, whether considered individually or cumulatively, are insufficient to overcome the FTC’s strong prima facie case.
i. Competition from SwedishAmerican
As one of the three hospitals in the Rockford area, SwedishAmerican is a strong competitor of defendants and has continued to expand its offerings in order to attract more patients. As defendants’ expert, Dr. Manning, details, SwedishAmerican is the current market leader based on a number of different metrics, including patient discharges, staffed beds, and net
However, the continued existence of one competitor following the merger, even a strong competitor, does not necessarily reduce the probability that the proposed merger would substantially lessen competition in the future. See PX2506 § VIII.A. In fact, regardless of the post-merger environment, “[t]he elimination of competition between two firms that results from their merger may alone constitute a substantial lessening of competition.” Merger Guidelines § 6. Here, rather than continuing to compete against SwedishAmerican, defendants have chosen to pursue an affiliation that would automatically boost the combined entity’s market share to the top position and simultaneously lessen the number of competitors from three to two. Although it is true that SwedishAmerican will remain as a competitor, the court is not aware of, and defendants have failed to cite, any authority which holds that the FTC is required to show that all competition will be eliminated as the result of a merger in order to obtain an injunction pending the administrative trial on the merits. Accordingly, the court does not find that this argument rebuts the FTC’s case.
ii. MCO contracting
Defendants next argue that large, sophisticated insurance companies will be able to defeat any threatened post-merger price increases by refusing to contract with OSF Northern Region and instead marketing a health insurance product with SwedishAmerican as the only in-network hospital. Based on the court’s review of the evidence, however, it appears that this prediction of the future bargaining dynamics between hospitals and MCOs ignores the current realities of the health insurance market in the Rockford area, does not accurately take into account the lack of success seen with single-hospital networks in the past, and does not demonstrate that MCOs will be able to effectively constrain the merged entity’s market power.
As a general rule, the merger of two closely substitutable hospitals will increase the combined system’s bargaining leverage because “the alternative ... of not contracting becomes less attractive from the perspective of health plans.” PX2501 ¶ 192; see also PX0252 ¶ 16 (“A hospital’s bargaining leverage is higher where few alternative hospitals exist, or the alternatives that do exist are insufficient for [the MCOs] to build an attractive network.”). This is especially true in the Rockford market, where there have historically been three competing hospitals. Because “consumers place a high value on having a choice of in-network providers,” a health plan is more attractive to customers when it includes at least two of the three Rockford hospitals in its provider network. Id. ¶ 193; see also id. ¶ 194 & n. 271 (“Area health plans and employers have consistently stated that their members strongly prefer networks that offer a choice of hospital providers.”); Tr. at 30 (“Members choose their health coverage because of access and cost, and generally one hospital does not satisfy enough of the membership to provide that access need for an employer group.”); PX4764 (“[S]pending 5 years [trying to sell a one-hospital network] has taught us a truth all others seem to know — you need two of the three hospitals
Given the current norms and expectations of Rockford area consumers, the proposed merger in this case would give the combined entity significant bargaining leverage, which would in turn allow the combined entity to extract higher prices from MCOs.
Defendants’ answer to this problem is to argue that it would be possible for the MCOs to choose option 3 and effectively market a health plan with SwedishAmerican as the only in-network hospital. In support of this argument, however, defendants overstate the successfulness of current attempts to market a one-hospital network in Rockford. For example, defendants cite to United’s “Core” product, which is a lower-cost health insurance product with SwedishAmerican as the only in-network provider, Tr. at 75, and they argue that it has exceeded expectations in membership volume and is considered a success. What defendants fail to mention, however, is that although membership did grow in Chicago, “the membership in Rockford remained the same,” Tr. at 76, and United has had a difficult time determining how successful the product has been in the Rockford area, Tr. at 38-39. Similarly, defendants cite to the membership numbers from an HMO network offered by Blue Cross Blue Shield that includes SwedishAmerican as the only Rockford area provider, but fail to note that its PPO product, which includes two area hospitals, is “much more popular” than the HMO product despite its higher cost, see DX0699 at 141-43, or that the enrollment in the HMO plan has been declining over time, see PX2501 ¶ 58 n. 76.
The struggles that these current single-hospital networks face is not unusual, but rather is consistent with the history of failure associated with other similar products that have been attempted in Rockford in the past. See, e.g., Tr. at 240 (noting that Coventry was “not able to successfully market a single network provider”); PX0251 ¶ 15 (“It was extremely difficult for Aetna to compete with other health plans in the Rockford area when offering a single-hospital network and our membership was flat for that period.”); PX2501 ¶ 194 (detailing the history of single-hospital health plans sold by each of the three hospitals and the subsequent transition to two-hospital networks); see also Tr. at 372 (noting that health plans “clearly emphasize that members value access and choice” such that a one-hospital network “is less valuable than one that includes more choice”).
Based on the substantial bargaining leverage that will be held by OSF Northern Region if the merger was consummated and the present and historical difficulties associated with marketing a single-hospital network in Rockford, the court is not convinced that MCOs will be an effective constraint on the ability of the merged entity to use its market power to raise prices. Accordingly, the court finds defendants’ argument in this regard to be insufficient to counteract the FTC’s prima facie case.
iii. Proposed stipulation
In advance of the hearing in this case, defendants filed a proposed stipulation, which they now claim “eviscerates” the FTC’s concerns about anticompetitive conduct. Doc. 176 at 13-14. The FTC does not share this view, and instead claims that the “proposed stipulation amounts to a thinly veiled attempt to mask the competitive harm from the Acquisition.” Doc. 182 at 18. The court has reviewed the proposed stipulation but finds that it does not rebut the FTC’s prima facie case.
The proposed stipulation provides that, upon consummation of the merger, OSF Northern Region will not require any MCO to (1) “exclude SwedishAmerican Health System from its provider network as a condition for a contract with OSF Northern Region,” or (2) “contract with OSF on a system-wide basis or any other individual OSF hospital outside of the OSF Northern Region as a condition for obtaining a contract with the OSF Northern Region hospitals.” DX0938.
In the court’s view, the proposed stipulation does address some limited concerns, but it does not specifically preclude price increases or otherwise limit the ability of OSF Northern Region to exercise its market power in order to achieve higher prices. See id.; see also Tr. at 431 (plaintiffs expert stating that the proposed stipulation “really does nothing to address the competitive harms from this merger” because “it says nothing about the prices or the terms at which they would contract”). For example, the first stipulation does address a concern over whether the current contracting practice employed by SAMC of requiring semi-exclusivity (i.e. allowing an MCO to contract with only one other Rockford hospital) would remain post-merger. See PX2501 ¶ 155. While the stipulation does eliminate that concern, the only true effect of the stipulation is that it leaves open the possibility of option 1, discussed above in § II.A.3.a.ii, that insurance companies can offer a network with all three hospitals. However, this type of network configuration has at least two
Likewise, the second proposed stipulation addresses a valid concern about whether MCOs would be required to contract with OSF on a system-wide basis in order to obtain a contract with OSF Northern Region, but it does nothing to limit the ability of OSF Northern Region, within the Rockford market, to raise prices. See Tr. at 432-33. Therefore, while the proposed stipulation does provide some minimal constraints on the market power of the combined entity, it does not eliminate the concern about potential anticompetitive effects underlying the FTC’s prima facie case.
iv. Merger simulation
As a final argument on the issue of price increases, defendants briefly challenge the FTC’s economic expert based on the fact that he never performed a merger simulation to determine the actual price effect of the proposed merger. See Tr. at 481-83. However, Dr. Capps has determined that there will be a substantial price increase if the merger were consummated, and he has attempted to corroborate this conclusion with his “willingness-to-pay” analysis. See PX2501 §§ V.C.3, V.C.4. At this stage of the proceedings, the court is only determining whether there are “questions going to the merits so serious, substantial, difficult and doubtful as to make them fair ground for thorough investigation, study, deliberation and determination by the FTC in the first instance and ultimately by the Court of Appeals.” Univ. Health,
b. Coordinated effects
Defendants next argue that the FTC has no evidence that the merger will result in any unlawful coordination. “A merger may diminish competition by enabling or encouraging post-merger coordinated interaction among firms in the relevant market that harms customers.” Merger Guidelines § 7; see also Hosp. Corp.,
The first example showing at least some history of coordination involves efforts by one hospital to determine if it was in a bidding war against a competitor for a contract with a health insurance company. The first hospital contacted the Managed Care Director for the competitor and was told that they were not in contract negotiations with the insurance company at that time. See PX0630 at 4. “[T]he ultimate effect [of this coordinated activity] was that they did not agree to give the larger discount to the health plan in question, but instead held out for a higher amount” of reimbursement from the health plan. Tr. at 398. Another example involves two of the hospitals allegedly contacting a health plan and stating that, if the health plan wanted to contract with either one of them, it had to exclude the third hospital from its network. See PX4000 at 69-71; PX1265. This evidence of hospitals putting up a type of “united front in negotiations with the third-party payors” is an example of the dangers of collusion that the antitrust laws seek to prevent. Hosp. Corp.,
Defendants try to rebut the FTC’s charge that the proposed merger comes with an increased risk of unlawful coordination by arguing generally that the FTC’s theory is implausible, that the facts it relies on are stale, and that the executives at all three hospitals have testified that they would not allow coordinated behavior to occur in the future. These arguments are insufficient to overcome the presumption of collusion that arises from the combination of the FTC’s strong prima facie case, see H & R Block,
Based on the foregoing, the court agrees with the FTC that the proposed merger in this case does involve an increased risk of coordinated conduct in the relevant market, and that defendants have failed to successfully rebut this aspect of the FTC’s case. To be clear, the court is not finding that the hospitals would necessarily collude after the merger, only that this merger adds to the risk of such behavior. Accordingly, the court finds that the FTC has raised serious and substantial questions on the issue of coordinated behavior that require further investigation and determination during the merits trial.
c. Efficiencies and community benefits
Defendants also argue that the FTC cannot demonstrate a likelihood of success on the merits because the proposed merger would result in substantial efficiencies, both in terms of annual recurring savings and one-time capital avoidance savings, which would permit the parties to redeploy capital in order to improve and expand medical services and increase consumer welfare. Similarly, defendants argue that a consolidation will allow them to improve quality of care for their patients in a number of different ways. Overall, defendants claim that these benefits will outweigh any anticompetitive effects and rebut the presumption of illegality demonstrated by the FTC’s prima facie case.
i. Efficiencies defense
The Merger Guidelines recognize that “a primary benefit of mergers to the economy is their potential to generate significant efficiencies and thus enhance the merged firm’s ability and incentive to compete, which may result in lower prices, improved quality, enhanced service, or new products.” Merger Guidelines § 10. A merger will not be deemed unlawful “if cognizable efficiencies are of a character and magnitude such that the merger is not likely to be anticompetitive in any relevant market.” Id. However, the Merger Guidelines also advise that “[t]he greater the potential adverse competitive effect of a merger, the greater must be the cognizable efficiencies,” and that “[efficiencies almost never justify a merger to monopoly or near-monopoly.” Id.
Although the Supreme Court has not sanctioned the use of an efficiencies defense in a Section 7 case, most lower courts recognize the defense. See Heinz,
ii. Claimed efficiencies
Defendants claim that the proposed merger will generate substantial efficiencies in the form of (1) annual, recurring cost savings based on the consolidation of clinical operations, and (2) one-time capital avoidance savings. See DX0366 ¶ 4. Defendants “expect cost savings produced by the transaction to flow through [to customers] in the form of reduced prices, or alternatively, to exert downward pressure on future price increases that in the absence of the transaction would be necessary to offset rising costs.” Id. ¶ 9. The FTC is more skeptical and argues that defendants have failed to rebut its prima facie case because the claimed efficiencies are speculative, unreliable, and not merger-specific.
The court has thoroughly reviewed the claimed efficiencies in this case and the expert testimony from both sides and is compelled to conclude that, at least for the purpose of these proceedings, defendants have failed to present sufficient proof of the type of “extraordinary efficiencies” that would be necessary to rebut the FTC’s strong prima facie case. See H & R Block,
The court now turns its analysis to the specific efficiencies claimed by defendants. At the outset, the court notes that it is not directly relying on the “Business Efficiencies Report” prepared for defendants by FTI Healthcare, see PX0001, but instead has reviewed the expert reports and testimony of Dr. Manning, defendants’ economics expert, who evaluated the claimed efficiencies in the FTI report within the framework of the Merger Guidelines, see DX0012 ¶ 4; DX0366 ¶ 3; Tr. at 811.
(1) Cost savings from consolidation
Although her analysis is still ongoing, at the time of the hearing, Dr. Manning had identified approximately $15.2 to $15.6 mil
Given this conflicting expert testimony and the uncertainty surrounding whether, and to what extent, the proposed consolidations would take place after the merger was consummated, the court cannot find that this portion of defendants’ efficiency defense is sufficient to rebut the FTC’s case. An example may help illustrate the point. Defendants claim that they can generate $3.2 to $3.6 million in annual savings by consolidating trauma services at one hospital, mostly from eliminating redundancies such as on-call physicians, trauma center staff, and helicopter crews. See DX0366 ¶¶ 4, 26-46. In reaching this conclusion, defendants’ expert did a thorough job of identifying possible cost savings, determining the feasibility of combining services at one location in terms of patient volume, and explaining why defendants would have the “economic incentives” to consolidate their trauma services. Id. ¶¶ 26-46, 51-52. However, the fact that it might make business sense to consolidate trauma services after the merger does not guarantee that the identified efficiencies will be attained. See Merger Guidelines § 10 (“[Ejfficiencies projected reasonably and in good faith by the merging firms may not be realized.”). As plaintiffs expert explains, “the consolidation of trauma services will be very difficult and requires a great deal of further study,” but defendants “have not yet even studied the feasibility of consolidating trauma services.” PX2502 ¶¶ 63-64; see also Tr. at 599 (CEO of SAMC explaining that they had not started the process of developing a plan of consolidation because they cannot look at proprietary data and “quite frankly, why do we start to spend the money not knowing where we’re at with this process with the FTC”). In fact, there has not even been a decision made on where the consolidated trauma center would be located because “it was so charged politically that [they] decided to put a TBD
The other proposed consolidations are similarly speculative at this point, as no specific plans have been made on how or when any of these service lines would be consolidated to achieve the claimed efficiencies. See Tr. at 759 (“[W]e have not made any decisions on the relocation or location of our clinical areas.”); PX2503 ¶ 27 (“Combining and consolidating hospital services is a challenging endeavor, and there are many associated risks to effective implementation of clinical service consolidations, including community resistance, disparate physician cultures, and associated services that may rely on having that service operational in the hospital”).
Because of the uncertainty regarding consolidation of service lines, the court cannot find with any degree of confidence that defendants have identified “cognizable efficiencies [that] likely would be sufficient to reverse the merger’s potential to harm customers in the relevant market.” Merger Guidelines § 10. Accordingly, defendants have not successfully rebutted the FTC’s case by pointing to possible savings from consolidation of service lines.
(2) One-time capital cost avoidance
Defendants also argue that the merger would allow them to avoid certain one-time capital expenditures that they claim will be necessary if the merger does not go through. Dr. Manning identified in her report $114.1 million in cognizable capital avoidance savings, primarily derived from the alleged elimination of the need for construction of a new bed tower at SAMC. DX0366 ¶ 7, Table 2. Similar to the claimed annual savings, the court finds that the asserted capital avoidance savings are not sufficiently certain at this time to successfully rebut the FTC’s case.
The majority of the purported savings from capital avoidance, or $100.7 million, is associated with the potential that, after the merger, SAMC would no longer be required to construct a bed tower in order to accommodate additional private rooms. See id. ¶¶ 92-95. However, defendants’ expert admits that the project was placed on hold in 2008, and that “some of the claimed avoided capital spend ... currently does not appear in the Parties’ capital budgets.” Id. ¶¶ 76, 92. In fact, the chief financial officer for OSF Healthcare System acknowledged, when asked about the bed tower, that it was far from certain whether they would proceed with that project:
I don’t know if I want to imply that if the merger doesn’t go through, we would have to build a bed tower. It would be very difficult to build a bed tower. We would have to evaluate all over again and start from scratch. I wouldn’t say there would be any plans for a bed tower if the merger didn’t go through. We would have to start over and see what we would do.
PX0211 at 221. Moreover, because it is unclear at this point what services would be consolidated and where those services would be located, it is difficult to predict the post-merger patient volume at SAMC
The remainder of the alleged capital avoidance savings suffer from similar infirmities. For example, Dr. Manning found that the merger could save defendants $2.4 million as a result of not having to replace aged Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapy (IMRT) equipment, and $4 million based on SAMC not having to purchase a da Vinci Robot, even though there are no current plans to purchase a da Vinci Robot. DX0366 ¶ 7, Table 2; Tr. at 865-68. However, these potential savings are based on a successful consolidation of service lines, the scope of which is uncertain at the present time, and therefore it is possible that this equipment still would need to be purchased even if the merger was consummated. See PX2502 ¶ 47 (“Since the vast majority of clinical services offered by the combined entity will remain at separate hospitals post-merger, if OSF St. Anthony were going to need a da Vinci Robot today, it is very likely that it would need one post-merger.”). Likewise, the $7 million in identified savings based on replacement cost of a trauma helicopter, see DX0366 ¶ 7, Table 2, is dependent on the successful consolidation of trauma services, and even if there was a consolidation, it is unclear whether defendants could, in fact, eliminate one helicopter post-merger, see PX2502 ¶ 67 (“I have seen no evidence that defendants will in fact be able to eliminate one helicopter. Thus, defendants’ claimed one-time helicopter cost avoidance is speculative.”).
Based on the foregoing, the court cannot find that the claimed efficiencies resulting from avoidance of one-time capital expenditures are cognizable, and thus, defendants have failed to present “extraordinary efficiencies” that are sufficient to rebut the FTC’s case. H & R Block,
(3) Clinical effectiveness/best practices
Defendants also claim that the merger will allow them to save approximately $7.8 million per year based on clinical effectiveness, or the adoption and sharing of “best practices” among the two hospitals, after the consolidation of service lines. DX0366 ¶ 74. However, plaintiffs experts uniformly agree that this claimed efficiency is not cognizable because the sharing of best practices is not merger-specific. See PX2502 ¶ 84 (“[Defendants have completely failed to demonstrate why such cost savings can only be achieved through this merger.”); Tr. at 132-34 (noting that “there are many different ways to identify best practices” without merging, and that defendants have been “proactive in joining programs that are available” to help identify and implement best practices); see also Tr. at 631 (admitting the SAMC would continue implementing programs aimed at reducing costs regardless of the merger); Tr. at 767 (admitting that RMH would continue implementing best practices regardless of the merger). Based on this evidence, the court cannot say that the projected savings from the implementation of best practices are certain to occur or that they can only be achieved through the proposed merger. See Rockford Mem’l,
iii. Improved quality and other community benefits
In a related argument, defendants maintain that the proposed merger will lead to improved quality of care and provide other benefits to the Rockford community, such as allowing the merged entity to develop “Centers of Excellence,” increasing defendants’ ability to attract and recruit specialists and subspecialists, and enabling them to develop a graduate medical residency program. See Doc. 176 at 18-19. Plaintiff contests each of these claims and argues that they are unsubstantiated, speculative, and not merger-specific.
Initially, the court notes that these claimed benefits are, according to defendants’ own arguments, dependent on attaining the cost savings from efficiencies discussed above. In other words, defendants argue that these are some of the benefits that would be possible because of the savings discussed above. Thus, to the extent that the proposed savings are speculative or otherwise not cognizable, these secondary benefits are likewise speculative or not cognizable and therefore insufficient to overcome the FTC’s case.
However, even if the court independently considers these arguments, the court finds that the FTC has presented sufficient evidence to raise serious and substantial questions as to whether these potential benefits outweigh the potential harm to consumers from the presumptively anticompetitive merger. For instance, there is conflicting evidence from the experts in this case regarding whether increased quantity of procedures can lead to improved quality of care, and although it seems that there is some support for such a theory under certain circumstances, it is not clear that those conditions would be present in this case if the merger were consummated. Compare DX0366 ¶¶ 16-25 (arguing that there is “a positive relationship between increased volumes of procedures at hospitals and improved clinical outcomes”) with PX2503 ¶¶ 17-21 (concluding that “the empirical literature provides no basis to believe that the proposed acquisition will increase quality”); see also Tr. at 116-17 (explaining that a merger would only lead to higher volumes of procedures “if the hospitals consolidate services,” and further that “only changing hospital volume without changing physician volume” may not provide the anticipated level of improvement). Likewise, it is unclear that defendants will be able to develop any “Centers of Excellence” as a result of the merger, and in any event, they may be able to achieve these designations independent of the merger. See Tr. at 129-31.
As for defendants’ claims that the merger will enable them to be better able to recruit specialists and subspecialists, this argument is somewhat belied by their history of successful recruitment of specialty physicians. See Tr. at 142 (explaining that RMH has successfully recruited about 20 subspecialists in the past year and “have excellent representation in essentially all of the medical specialties and subspecialties”). Moreover, plaintiffs expert testified that there is no “empirical evidence from the ... literature that mergers facilitate recruitment of specialists,” and that the population of an area is really the “key factor” to recruitment because “specialized physicians need a larger population base to
Likewise, it is not clear that defendants’ goal of developing a residency program would be sufficient to counteract the presumption of illegality. See PX2503 ¶¶ 36-37 (concluding that “[defendants’ plans to launch residency programs post-acquisition are so highly speculative that they cannot be credited,” as there is “no funding” allocated for this purpose and “no plans” for how these programs would be developed or implemented, and that any “residency programs would likely have little or no effect on clinical quality”). Moreover, “a merger or acquisition is not necessary to implement graduate medical education programs,” but rather can be attained by implementing a joint residency program. Id. ¶ 38.
Overall, defendants should be commended for having the desirable goals of improving patient quality of care, developing institutional excellence and expertise, attracting specialized physicians to Rockford so that more and more health care services can be obtained locally, and providing educational opportunities to medical students. However, as detailed above, the court is unable to declare that these goals would be realized with, and only with, the proposed merger, or that these claimed benefits are sufficient to overcome the FTC’s compelling prima facie case. See Heinz,
4. Summation as to Likelihood of Success
Because the FTC has properly established the relevant market in this case and made a compelling prima facie case, which defendants were unable to successfully rebut, the court determines that the FTC has demonstrated a likelihood of success on the merits of its claim under Section 7 of the Clayton Act by raising “questions going to the merits so serious, substantial, difficult and doubtful as to make them fair ground for thorough investigation, study, deliberation and determination by the FTC in the first instance and ultimately by the Court of Appeals.” Univ. Health,
B. Balance of Equities
“Although the FTC’s showing of likelihood of success creates a presumption in favor of preliminary injunctive relief, [the court] must still weigh the equities in order to decide whether enjoining the merger would be in the public interest.” Heinz,
Based on these standards, the court finds that the equities weigh in favor of granting the injunction. In addition to the presumption in favor of preliminary relief, see Heinz,
In determining that the equities weigh in favor of the FTC, the court has considered defendants’ arguments but finds that they do not outweigh the public’s interest in effective enforcement of the antitrust laws. For example, as discussed in more detail above, defendants claim that several efficiencies and pro-consumer benefits can be accomplished only with the merger. Although these might be considered public equities, the court has already found them to be too speculative at this point, and therefore, on balance, they cannot outweigh the public equities in favor of preliminarily enjoining the merger. Likewise, defendants’ argument that the economic climate in Rockford cannot support three hospitals is rejected because defendants have not shown that the merger would lower prices, whereas the FTC has shown that the merger would likely lead to higher prices. Thus, to the extent the court considers the economic realities of Rockford, this factor actually weighs in favor of granting the injunction. Finally, defendants’ claim that the merger is essential to meet the challenges of healthcare reform is inherently difficult to evaluate, but it appears to be contradicted by defendants’ own financial projections, which show that defendants expect to remain profitable even as healthcare reforms begin to take effect. See PX2501 ¶¶ 19, 22.
III. CONCLUSION
After a thorough review, the court concludes that the FTC has demonstrated a likelihood of success on the merits, and that the equities weigh in favor of granting a preliminary injunction. Accordingly, plaintiffs motion for a preliminary injunction pursuant to section 13(b) of the FTC Act, 15 U.S.C. § 53(b), is granted in its entirety. Defendants and their parents, affiliates, subsidiaries, or divisions thereof are hereby enjoined and restrained from acquiring each other’s assets or other interests and are directed to return all confidential information received directly or indirectly from one another. Defendants are further directed to maintain the status quo until either (1) the completion of all legal proceedings by the FTC challenging the acquisition, including all appeals, or (2) further order of the court, including upon the request of the FTC before the completion of such legal proceedings.
Notes
. Citations to the record are indicated in one of three ways: (1) documents already on file with the court are cited as ''Doc.” followed by the docket number and any further pinpoint citation; (2) references to testimony from the evidentiary hearing are cited as "Tr.” followed by the specific page number(s); and (3) exhibits are cited by reference to their marked number and, where applicable, further pinpoint citation to the specific page, paragraph, or section.
. Plaintiff also filed a motion for temporary restraining order, Doc. 6, but later withdrew the motion based on defendants' agreement to delay closing their affiliation agreement pending this court's ruling on the motion for preliminary injunction, Doc. 28.
. Many of the parties’ exhibits were subject to a protective order because they contain confidenlial information, and the parties and several intervenors have asked the court for these documents to remain under seal. The court's ruling on these motions is set forth in a separate order. For purposes of this order, however, the court notes that it has carefully reviewed any references made to the record in this opinion to ensure that no confidential material has been disclosed.
. The court also reviewed the parties’ revised pleadings with corrected transcript citations where necessary.
. Although the FTC must raise questions that are "serious, substantial, difficult and doubtful,” Univ. Health,
. Defendants do submit in their proposed findings of fact that there is not a single, universally accepted definition of "general acute care inpatient services” among MCOs, see Doc. 177 ¶¶ 726-29, but this does not affect the court’s analysis.
. As shown in Figure 19 of Dr. Capps' expert report, this area includes approximately the lower three-quarters of Winnebago County, the southwest portion of Boone County including Belvidere, and the northeast corner of Ogle County. See PX2501 § V.A.3, Figure 19.
. Although the parties were unable to have all of their experts testify at the hearing, the court has still considered the written reports of the non-testifying expert witnesses and relied on those reports when appropriate.
. Dr. Capps calculated the post-merger market share of SwedishAmerican Hospital, the only other hospital in the relevant market, as 40.6% based on patient admissions or 35.8% based on patient days. PX2501 § V.B.l, Figure 20.
. Although it does not change the court’s finding, it should be noted that the projected market shares in this case are somewhat lower than the percentages found by this court in its order enjoining the proposed merger between Rockford Memorial and SwedishAmerican in 1989. See Rockford Mem’l Corp.,
. The court notes some minor discrepancies with the expert’s calculations of the HHI based on patient admissions, but finds that these errors do not have any impact on the court’s analysis. First, there appears to be an error in one of the pre-merger share calculations for either SAMC (29.8%) or RMH (29.7%), as these two figures total 59.5% (not the 59.4% reflected in the post-merger calculations) and result in a total pre-merger market of 100.1% after adding SwedishAmerican's share of 40.6%. Second, the HHI calculations are slightly off. Using the numbers listed in Figure 20, the court calculates a pre-merger HHI of 3,418 (after rounding down). If the pre-merger share of either SAMC or RMH was adjusted downward by 0.1% to correct the error identified above, the HHI would be 3,413 (after rounding up) under either calculation. Additionally, the post-merger HHI should be 5,177 (after rounding up) based on shares of 40.6% for SwedishAmerican and 59.4% for the merged entity. Based on the court’s calculations, it appears that the HHI increase is somewhere between 1,758 and 1,764, or within 10 points of the expert’s calculated amount. This minor discrepancy does not have any significant impact on the court’s analysis.
. Once again, the court notes a few minor errors in these calculations. First, using the expert’s HHI calculations in Figure 20, the HHI increase should be 2,053, not 2,052. Second, the post-merger HHI should be 5,403 (after rounding down), not 5,406. Therefore, based on the court’s calculations, it appears that the HHI increase is actually 2,050. These minor changes in the calculations do not alter the court's analysis.
. Plaintiff’s expert summarized the potential harm that could come from post-merger price increases:
First, consumers enrolled in plans that continue to contract with SAMC-RMH would pay more for access to the same set [of] hospitals. Second, individuals and group enrollees who lose coverage as a result of price increases would be harmed by the loss of health insurance coverage. Third, customers who avoid the direct effect of the price increase by switching to a product featuring a SwedishAmerican-only network would not necessarily pay more, but would receive less choice, which consumers value, in exchange for their premiums.
PX2501 ¶ 194 n. 263.
. Because there would still be three hospitals in Rockford after the proposed merger, the court finds that comparisons to communities that currently only have two hospitals is not helpful in trying to predict the impact on bargaining between hospitals and MCOs in this case.
. The court does agree that it would be "stale” to rely on the evidence of collusion among the Rockford hospitals that was found by this court in United States v. Rockford Memorial Corp., 717 F.Supp. at 1286. Thus, the court has not relied on this evidence of collusion from almost thirty years ago, but notes that most of the evidence presented by the FTC involves much more recent conduct.
. Although defendants' arguments on efficiency and improved quality appear in their post-hearing brief to be part of their argument for why the equities weigh in favor of the affiliation, the court finds it more appropriate to consider these arguments as part of defendants' rebuttal case on likelihood of success.
. According to Dr. Manning, “[c]linical effectiveness primarily deals with the application of best practices and protocols and administration of those clinical areas across the broader hospital.” Tr. at 820.
. The term “TBD” stands for "[t]o be determined.” PX0216 at 199.
. Because the court finds that the capital avoidance savings are not cognizable, the court does not address the contention of plaintiffs expert that “it is incorrect to consider all of the alleged capital avoidance items as one-time immediate or lump-sum savings.” PX2502 ¶ 27.
. Even if the court were to credit some of the efficiencies that defendants hope to achieve from consolidation of service lines, avoidance of capital expenditures, and implementation of best practices, the court would still find that defendants failed to rebut the FTC’s prima facie case as there is no definitive evidence that these cost savings would be passed on to the consumer.
