This is а federal habeas petition seeking relief from a state court conviction for aggravated rape. Elmo Humphrey, III, had no criminal record but found himself accused of rape by a troubled sixteen-year-old girl. The rapes allegedly took place more than five years earlier. The victim had retracted an earlier accusation against Humphrey and had no witnesses or medical testimony to support her story. Nevertheless, a Louisiana jury convicted Humphrey by a vote of 11 to 1.
We conclude that the reasonable doubt instruction did not give the defendant the benefit of reasonable doubt as elucidated by the Supreme Court in
In Re Winship,
I.
Petitioner Elmo Humphrey was a friend of Kathy Calhoun when she lived in Metairie, Louisiana. Starting in early 1980, Calhoun engaged Humphrey to baby-sit her nine-year-old daughter J. and J.’s brother. Humphrey looked after the children regularly while the Calhouns lived in Metаirie and on one occasion after the family moved. The trial evidence regarding the date of this move is equivocal, but the jury could have concluded that the family moved from Metairie in March of 1982. In 1987, J., then sixteen, told her mother about sexual encounters with Humphrey. Calhoun informed the police. *528 On January 21, 1988, a Louisiana grand jury indicted Humphrey for aggravated rapes occurring between January 1, 1980, and December 31,1984.
The trial judge gave the following instruction to the jury: '
If you entertain any reasonable doubt as to any fact or element necessary to constitute the defendant’s guilt, it is your sworn duty to give him the benefit of that doubt and return a verdict of acquittal. Even where the evidence demonstrates a probability of guilt, yet if it does not establish it beyond a reasonable doubt, you must acquit the accused. This doubt must be a reasonable one, that is, one founded upon a real, tangible, substantial basis, and not upon mere caprice, fancy or conjecture. It must be such a doubt as would give rise to a grave uncertainty, raised in yоur minds by reason of the unsatisfactory character of the evidence; one that would make you feel that you had not an abiding conviction to a moral certain[ty] of the defendant’s guilt. If, after giving a fair and impartial consideration to all of the facts in the case, you find the evidence unsatisfactory upon any single point indispensably necessary to constitute the defendant’s guilt, this would give rise to such a reasonable doubt as would justify you in rendering a verdict of not guilty. The prosecution must establish guilt by legal and suffiсient evidence beyond a reasonable doubt, but the rule does not go further and require a preponderance of testimony. It is incumbent upon the State to prove the offense charged, or legally included in the Information, to your satisfaction and beyond a reasonable doubt. A reasonable doubt is not a mere possible doubt. It should be an actual or substantial doubt. It is such a doubt as a reasonable man would seriously entertain. It is a serious doubt, for which you could give good reason.
The jury convicted Humphrey of the rape charges by an 11-1 vote. The trial judge sentenced him to life in prison at hard labor without parole. In his appeal, he argued that the reasonable doubt instruction given to his jury was deficient.
State v. Humphrey,
II.
The district court issued its certificate of probable cause on November 27,1995. While this appeal was pending, the Anti-terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act, Pub.L. No. 104-132, 110 Stat. 1214 (1996), became effective. This statute amended 28 U.S.C. § 2253 to require a certificate of appealability, rather than a certificate of probable cause, before a final order in a habeas proceeding may be appealed. It also modified the circumstances in which federal courts may grant writs to state prisoners. See 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d) (West Supp.1997).
Neither of these changes affects Humphrey’s petition. We held in
Brown v. Cain,
III.
A.
Because it is a threshold question,
see Caspari v. Boklen,
First, a new rule should be applied retroactively if it places “certain primary, private individual conduct beyond the power of the criminal law-making authority to proscribe.” Mackey [v. United States], 401 U.S. [667,] 692 [91 S.Ct. 1171 , 1180,28 L.Ed.2d 388 (1971) ]. Second, a new rule should be applied retroactively if it requires the observance of “those procedures that ... are ‘implicit in the concept of ordered liberty.’ ” Id. at 693 [91 S.Ct. at 1180 ] (quoting Palko v. Connecticut,302 U.S. 319 , 325 [58 S.Ct. 149 , 152,82 L.Ed. 288 ] (1937) (Cardozo, J.)).
In our view, the Supreme Court has made it plain that
Cage-Victor
errors fit with the second
Teague
exception. The Court in
Sullivan v. Louisiana,
Other circuits have reached the same conclusion. According to the Eleventh Circuit,
Sullivan
and
Cage,
when taken together, indicate that “an improper reasonable doubt instruction undermines the fundamental fairness of
every
trial in which it is used.”
Nutter v. White,
We need not fear that finding no Teague bar to claims such as Humphrey’s will spawn scores of new habeas petitions. Prisoners who file petitions after April 24, 1996, must surmount the formidable barriers erected by the Anti-terrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act. Of course, we do not have occasion to measure how high those barriers might be. We note only that the one-year statute of limitations, see 28 U.S.C. § 2244(d) & 2255, the restrictions on successive petitions, see 28 U.S.C. § 2244(b) & 2255, and the heightened standard of review for state prisoners, see 28 U.S.C. § 2254(d)(1), could shut out future petitioners in Humphrey’s situаtion.
Our circuit precedent, however, requires us to hold that
Cage
and
Victor
do not fall within an exception to
Teague.
The state directs our attention to
Johanson v. Whitley,
No. 94-30098,
B.
Of course, en banc consideratiоn of the availability of collateral attack on the reasonable-doubt instruction would be futile if Humphrey is destined to defeat on the merits. We believe that Humphrey’s claim has merit. In other words, we believe that his trial involved a reversible Cage-type error. Because Humphrey must seek relief from the en banc court in any event, we examine the merits simply to show that his contention has force and that — in the absence of a Teague bar — the full court’s attention will not be in vain.
Humphrey argues that the instructions given to the jury at his trial, when considered as a wholе, were defective under Cage and Victor. 2 We must therefore look to see if the combination of phrases defining reasonable doubt — “grave uncertainty,” “moral certainty,” “actual or substantial doubt,” and “a serious doubt, for which you could give good reason”- — denied him a constitutional jury trial.
We examine the reasonable doubt instruction given here to determine “whether there is a reasonable likelihood that the jury understood the instructions to allow conviction based on proof insufficient to meet the
Win-ship
standard.”
Victor v. Nebraska,
Courts have long struggled with the task of instructing juries regarding “reasonable doubt.” Efforts often collapse into tautological restatements — such as that reasonable doubt is a doubt based on reason. This resistance to capture reflects the rеality that reasonable doubt is the quintessential black box decision — a decision which demands the answer “yes or no,” but in which we should not insist on an exhaustive explanation. “I just wasn’t convinced” is a permissible response but may be difficult to support with articulable reasons.
To insist, as the trial judge did here, that the jury must find a “serious doubt for which you could give good reason” lightens the state’s burden and removes a substantial protection assured defendants. Faced with the uncertainties of conflicting testimony, and conscious of their awesome responsibility to guard justice, juries routinely scrutinize their instructions for help in sorting out the complexities presented by opposing counsel. A *531 reasonable doubt instruction is not a technical nicety; for a jury, it is a basic proposition of its constitution. Undecided jurors may analyze their own doubts time after time in light of the instruction before settling on a decision. By the same token, jurors who have already made up their minds may recite the instruction time after time in order to bring undecided jury members over to their sidе. Insisting that a juror be able to articulate a reason is a troublesome step upon residual doubt. But our focus today is upon an instruction that went further. A juror favoring guilt would have a powerful tool if he could demand that undecided jurors articulate good reasons for considering an acquittal. Such a juror could use Humphrey’s reasonable-doubt instruction to argue that it’s not enough to have a reason to acquit— that one must have an especially strong, compelling, or persuasive reason for doubting the defendаnt’s guilt. He could plausibly assert that a paucity of government evidence should not count as a “good” reason. Under this sort of pressure, inarticulate and undecided jurors are less likely to give defendants the benefit of their doubts. Requiring articulation of good reasons, then, skews the deliberation process in favor of the state by suggesting that those with doubts must perform certain actions in the jury room — actions that many individuals find difficult or intimidating — before they may vote to acquit.
This cardinal vice in the charge might alone deрrive a defendant of an essential element of his right to trial by jury in a criminal case — an issue we do not consider— for it surely does so in tandem with the use of “substantial doubt,” “grave uncertainty,” and “moral certainty,” criticized by this court and the Supreme Court.
See Victor,
Even before
Cage
was announced, a reasonable doubt instruction that required articulation of a good reason was of dubious constitutionality, standing alone and apart from its dissipating effect upon the context essential to the survival of the instruction in
Victor.
In
Dunn v. Perrin,
It is true that the Second Circuit and other courts have refused to reverse convictions
*532
with articulation-demanding reasonable-doubt instructions. But none of these cases has faced the array of reasonable-doubt qualifiers contained in the charge to Humphrey’s jury. In
Vargas v. Keane,
The
Vargas
court relied in part on another post-Cage Seсond Circuit case that approved a similar instruction. The court in
Chalmers v. Mitchell,
The trial court’s next sentencе after mentioning the contested “good reason” explained that “[t]he doubt, to be reasonable, must therefore arise because of the nature and quality of the evidence in the case, or from the lack or insufficiency of the evidence in the case.” Thus the trial court’s use of the word “good” was intended, and likely understood, to mean that the proper foundation of a reasonable doubt was in fact rather than fantasy.
Id.
at 1268 (emphasis in original).
See also Beverly v. Walker,
A handful of other eases have affirmed convictions when the court instructed the jury that it must articulate its doubts, but only one ease had the benefit of
Cage.
In that ease, the D.C. Circuit approved a pattern instruction that defined reasonable doubt as “a doubt for which you can give a reason.”
United States v. Dale,
The offending language in Humphrey’s case has been contained in cases in which this court has rejected other reasonable-doubt objections.
See, e.g., Schneider v. Day,
The facts of this case offer a powerful example of the centrality to criminal trials of the role of reasonable doubt and the importance of its explanation to the jury. This was a close and difficult case. There was only one witness against Humphrey. J. testified that Humphrey had sex with her “more than twenty times” and that these incidents happened “[t]he wholе time [J.] lived” at the home in Metairie. She could not state the specific dates of any of the rapes. She could not state how many rapes occurred. She could not say when she moved from the home in Metairie, only that it was “in 1981 or ’82.” By the age of fourteen, J. was using drugs and engaging in promiscuous behavior. When she failed the ninth grade, J. claimed her mother neglected her. J. admitted that she had problems with depression and alcohol abuse and that she had previously accused Humphrey of inappropriаte sexual touching but later changed her story. J.’s mother admitted that at that time J. was unreliable and untruthful.
The state gave the jury little in support of J.’s version of eveiits. It did not call J.’s brother as a witness, even though he was present on many or all of the baby-sitting occasions. The state did not call J.’s grandmother, to whom J. first reported the sexual abuse and later recanted. The state presented no medical evidence of J.’s condition. Instead, the state relied on a “child sexual abuse accommodation syndrome” expert. This “expert” had an undergraduate degree in sociology, a masters degree in social work, and had attended workshops sponsored by groups active in rape issues. She had never examined J. However, over objection, she offered her expert opinion that children subjected to incest may repress the memory for years, engage in drug abuse or promiscuous behavior, and report the incident and then retract it. That is, this syndrome was used to explain J.’s erratic behavior. On the other hand, the defense offered expert testimony of a 65% false reporting phenomenon in child abuse cases.
Of course, a ease need not be close in order for us to find reversible error in the reasonable-doubt instruction. But Humphrey’s is a close case nevertheless and makes clear the importance of affording defendants the rights established in Cage and reinforced in Victor. This is not to suggest that Humphrey’s conviction was not supported by sufficient evidence; only that the evidence was meager and the conviction unprediсtable.
*534
While the Court has noted that the reasonable doubt standard “defies easy explication,”
Victor,
IV.
Humphrey also argues that there is insufficient evidence of an offense within the limitations period. At the time of the offense, the statute of limitations was six years.
See
La.Code Crim. Próc. Ann. art. 572(1) (West 1981). The indictment was filed January 21, 1988, so Louisiana could prosecute any rape occurring on or after January 21, 1982. Effective September 10, 1987, Louisiana enacted a tolling provision: “The time limitations ... shall nоt commence to run ... until the relationship or status involved has ceased to exist where: ... The offense charged is ... aggravated rape ... and the victim is under the dominion or control of the offender while under seventeen years of age.” 1987 La. Sess. Law Serv. Act 587 (West). Louisiana follows the rule that amendments to the statute of limitations are valid retroactively only to crimes that are not prescribed when the amendment takes effect.
See Louisiana v. Adkisson,
The prescriptive bite of Louisiana law is unclear when a defendant is convicted under an indictment that covers a period of time that is partly barred by the statute of limitations and partly within the statute of limitations. Assuming without deciding that the trial court here misapplied Louisiana law, the misapplication of Louisiana law does not rise to the level of a deprivation of constitutional right.
V.
Even though we find Humphrey’s argument that the reasonable-doubt instruction given at his trial violates the standards promulgated by the Supreme Court in Cage and Victor, we are barred from granting relief by previous decisions in this circuit. This matter would be better considered by an en banc court with the power to reconsider the entirety of the issue.
The district court’s judgment denying the habeas petition is
AFFIRMED.
Sept. 9, 1997
BY THE COURT:
A majority of judges in active service having determined, on the Court’s own motion, to rehear this case en banc,
IT IS ORDERED that this cause shall be reheard by the Court en bane with oral argument on a date hereafter to be fixed. The Clerk will specify a briefing schedule for the filing of supplemental briefs.
Notes
. Panels of this court have declined to rest on
Smith v. Stalder
when a habeas petitioner would be unable to prevail on the merits in any case.
See Schneider v. Day,
. Humphrey has represented himself throughout the habeas process. He filed an appellate brief on January 11, 1996. Because this court opted to hear oral argument, we appointed counsel six months later and gave leave to file a supplemental brief on Humphrey's behalf. We are obliged to construe Humphrey’s pro se brief liberally.
See Guidroz v. Lynaugh,
. In
Robinson v. Callahan,
