Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge SILBERMAN.
CSX Transportation, Inc. appeals the district court’s grant of summary judgment in favor of Commercial Union Insurance Company on coverage issues arising out of excess insurance policies issued to CSX. We affirm in part, reverse in part, and remand.
I.
CSX is the successor in interest to a number of railroads that purchased excess insurance policies from insurance carriers to which Commercial Union is, in turn, the successor. 1 The 15 policies that remain in contention here, encompassing years between 1964 and 1973, provided coverage for liabilities in excess of an underlying limit that varied from policy to policy. A condition precedent to coverage under the policies is notice to the insurer of an “occurrence” likely to trigger the coverage. 2
*480 CSX seeks coverage for liabilities arising out of asbestos-related injuries allegedly suffered by current and former employees of CSX. While information concerning the hazards associated with asbestos was available to the railroad industry to some degree throughout the last 50 years, no suit claiming injury from expоsure to asbestos was brought against a CSX predecessor until 1979. From 1979 through 1984, however, the railroads were sued for asbestos-related injuries in a number of actions with claimed damages totaling many millions of dollars. By the end of 1984, all the predecessor railroads had notified Commercial Union of the lawsuits. Commercial Union responded that, in its view, the suits would be “adequately taken care of by the underlying insurance coverage” such that the Commercial Union excess insurance policies would not be, involved. CSX sought a declaratory judgment that the insurer was obliged to provide coverage under the policies for CSX’s asbestos-related liability.
Commercial Union moved for summary judgment on grounds that, despite its sanguine responses to CSX’s notice of the lawsuits,
timely
notice of occurrence was due soon after the filing of the first asbestos claim in 1979. CSX’s notice, given five years later, was untimely as a matter of law. The district court agreed.
Chesapeake & Ohio Ry. Co. v. Certain Underwriters at Lloyd’s, London,
II.
Appellant, challenging the district court’s determination that the predecessor railroads failed to give timely notice of occurrence, claims that thе district court improperly focused its inquiry only on the ad damnums in complaints filed against CSX’s predecessor railroads to decide when notice was due; in so doing, the court ignored both the language of the Commercial Union policies, and evidence that the ad damnums were unreliable indicators of whether coverage would be required. The policies only required nоtice to Commercial Union if an occurrence was “likely” to or would “probably” give rise to a claim under the policies. Because the policies provided excess insurance coverage, appellant argues that a lawsuit filed would only “likely” or “probably” give rise to a claim if the amount to be recovered against CSX was likely to exceed the underlying limit of a given policy. While the ad damnums in complaints filed against CSX were larger than the underlying limits in many cases, CSX’s actual claims experience — in which claims were resolved for pennies on the dollar — demonstrated that the ad damnums were poor predictors as to the amounts that would finally be paid. And Commercial Union’s own response to the notiсe that was ultimately given agreed with CSX’s assessment that the claims were not likely to exceed the underlying limits.
The parties agree that the timeliness of the notice must be determined in accor
*481
dance with an objective test,
i.e.,
were the insured’s actions reasonable?
See, e.g., Greycoat Hanover F Street Ltd. Partnership v. Liberty Mut. Ins. Co.,
We think the district court erred. The court must inquire as to when a reasonable railroad, knowing everything that the railroads in this case knew or should have known, would give notice. That, of course, means that the railroads’ actual experience with settlements and verdicts, notwithstanding large ad damnums, would be relevant in determining whether the railroads acted reasonably. Also relevant would be the insurer’s own views, when made aware of the claims (or lawsuits) directed against the railroads, as to the likеlihood that the excess policies would be implicated. Suffice it to say that these evidentiary considerations raise issues of material fact as to the reasonableness of CSX’s actions. 4 Of course, issues of fact can become questions of law if a court concludes that no reasonable fact finder could find one way or the other. But wе do not think the district judge so concluded— nor could he have on this record. On this ground alone, then, the case must be remanded.
That brings us to the conflict of laws/prejudice issue. The district court determined that neither Virginia nor Kentucky law requires a showing of prejudice to the insurer based on late notice, and that Florida and Ohio provide a rebuttable presumption that late notice prejudiced the insurer.
5
Appellant raises before us a powerful argument that the district court’s choice of Virginia law — assuming the issue was not waived — was erroneous. Although the selection of one jurisdiction’s law to govern the proceedings surely simplifies the district court’s task, we very much doubt that considerations of litigation convenience can override the
ex ante
expectations of parties to individual insurance contracts.
See, e.g., Liberty Mut. Ins. Co. v. Travelers Indemnity Co.,
Our reading of the record and of the opinion below leaves us uncertain whether the district court determined that CSX waived its choice-of-law argument or merely any right to additional briefing on the question for purposes of the summary judgment motion. It is undisputed that Commercial Union raised the conflict question below, and argued that one state’s law, Virginia’s, ought to be applied to all the policies under consideration. CSX’s response is less clear. In its Memorandum of Law in Opposition to [Commercial Union’s] Motion for Summary Judgment on the Issue of Purported Late Notice, CSX contended that the conflict of laws proffered by Commercial Union was a “false” one because all the potentially applicablе states’ laws required a prejudice inquiry. In Virginia, for example, insurer prejudice is “a circumstance to be considered on the question of the materiality of the information which the insured withheld.” CSX does not make this “false conflict” argument before us. To be sure, CSX asserted that Commercial Union had not established that Virginia had the “most significant contacts” as required by thе District’s choice of law test, and noted that “the determination of the applicable law in this action is highly fact intensive,” but it provided no support for these statements merely saying that “[e]ven if this motion had so much as a theoretical basis under Virginia law, which it does not, all of these issues would require separate analysis and briefing.”
CSX’s response to Commercial Union’s choice of law argument seems to us somewhat half-hearted, so the district court could have determined that CSX waived the issue. We doubt that such a determination could be thought an abuse
of
discretion.
See, e.g., Zenith Radio Corp. v. Hazeltine Research, Inc.,
It will be recalled that CSX also appeals the district court’s determination that the “per occurrence” limitations contained in five multi-year policies apply to any occurrence for the length of the policy term (three years) rather than once per year. While adverting to the contract lаnguage that states that Commercial Union’s liability limits are for “each occurrence,” CSX argues that because it paid a similar premium for one-year policies with similar per-occurrence limitations as for each year of the three-year policies, the latter must be read to provide coverage up to the per-occurrence limit for each of the three years. Interpreting the contract as the district court did, CSX contends, requires believing that CSX would buy a three-year policy that costs as much as three one-year policies but may provide as little as one-third the recovery in the event of an occurrence that lasts more than one year.
We are satisfied that the contract language setting forth the coverage limitations is plain, and that the district court interpreted it correctly. A typical provision states that the insurer agrees to indemnify CSX’s predecessor railroad for “the excess of loss ... from
any one occurrence or series of occurrences arising out of any one event,
and then only up to
$[x]
for
each occurrence.”
The coverage limitation is devoid of any language suggesting that “each occurrence” should be read as “each occurrence each year.” Nor are we convinced by CSX’s premium argument. CSX points to the illogic of paying the same premium for a three-year policy as for three one-year policies, unless the underlying conditions are the same — including the pеr-occurrence condition. In resolving an analogous dispute, the Fifth Circuit asked the question whether “carriers issuing three-year policies should bear the same burden as if they had issued three one-year policies.”
Society of the Roman Catholic Church of the Diocese of Lafayette and Lake Charles, Inc. v. Interstate Fire & Casualty Co.,
Accordingly, we reverse the grant of summary judgment on the issue of untimely notice and remand. On the choice of law question, we remand for the district court to clarify its finding as to CSX’s waiver and for such other proceedings as are necessary. We affirm the summary judgment on the per-occurrence limitatiоns in the multi-year policies.
Notes
. The predecessor railroads, the Chesapeake and Ohio Railway Company, the Baltimore and Ohio Railroad Company, Seaboard Coast Line Railroad Company, Louisville and Nashville Railroad Company, and Atlantic Coast Line Railroad Company, operated throughout much of the eastern half of the United States during the relevant period.
. Each policy at issue contains one of three different notice provisions:
1. The assured upon knowledge of any occurrence likely to give rise to a claim hereunder shall give immediate advice thereof to the Underwriters....
2. In the event of an occurrence likely to exceed [the underlying limit], no law costs shall be inсuired without consent of the Underwriters herein. After such' occurrence, the Assured may proceed immediately with settlements ,and at the earliest practicable moment advise the representatives of the Underwriters of the occurrence, the adjustments so far made, and agree with the said representatives upon further settlements or legal proceedings.
3. The Insured shall advise the Company immediately or as soon thereafter as the Insured has knowledge of any occurrence or event in which the indemnity is or probably will be concerned, and shall forward full *480 information ... to [the agent] ... who [is] to be promptly advised of all occurrences or events considered likely to come within the scope of this excess insurance.
Occurrence is defined in some policies as “one -or more accidents or series of accidents arising out of or resulting from one event" and in others as "an accident, or a continuous or repeated exposure to conditions which result in personal injury or properly damage which is neither expected-nor intended from the standpoint of the Insured.”
. Indeed, the Virginia Supreme Court has concluded that even policy language requiring notice when "an occurrence takes place which,
in the opinion of the insured,
involves or may involve liability on the part of the” insurer, "demands an objective determination.”
Dan River, Inc. v. Commercial Union Ins. Co.,
. That the test is objective does not mean that the question whether the railrоads reasonably should have given notice earlier is not an issue of fact— just as in a negligence determination.
See, Lathem
v.
Sentry Ins.,
.Appellant argues here that the district court incorrectly interpreted Kentucky law because it ignored a Kentucky Supreme Court opinion holding that failure to provide notice does not forfeit coverage absent a showing by the
insurer
that it is prejudiced.
Jones v. Bituminous Casualty Corp.,
