In this minority vote dilution case, the City of Gretna, Louisiana appeals the finding that at-large elections of Gretna aider-men violate § 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 as amended in 1982.
1
This Circuit set out guidelines for evaluating minority vote dilution claims in
Zimmer v. McKeithen,
Closely following after the district court’s opinion of May 12, 1986,
At the heart оf a § 2 vote dilution claim lies the issue of whether minorities have an equal opportunity to elect their candidates of choice.
Gingles
set out a three-part foundation for proving a § 2 vote dilution claim: first, that the minority group is sufficiently large and geographically compact to constitute a majority in a single-member district; second, that the minority is politically cohesive; and third, that the majority votes sufficiently as a bloc usually to defeat the minority preferred candidate.
Gingles,
*498 1. Background
Appellees Citizens For a Better Gretna 2 brought this class action on behalf of black registered voters in the City of Gretna. The class alleged violations of § 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 as amended in 1982, 42 U.S.C. § 1983, and the Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments of the United States Constitution. The district court upheld the class’ claim for relief under § 2 of the Voting Rights Act, and did not address the § 1983 claim or the constitutional claims.
Thе trial court determined the § 2 violation from factual findings structured along Zimmer guidelines. 3 We find none of these determinations to be clearly erroneous. 4 Hence, the issue presented is whether the factual findings support a § 2 violation under Gingles.
II. Gingles & Zimmer
Appellant urges this Court to reverse the district court opinion because it relies on Zimmer. We are asked to remand the case for consideration under Gingles. We cannot agree that the Supreme Court in Gingles made the Zimmer analysis obsolete. In fact, the Court relied substantially on Zimmer as a foundation for the analytical framework prescribed for § 2 claims. 5
Taken from the Senate Judiciary Committee Report accompanying the 1982 amendment of the Voting Rights Act, the factors to be considered in evaluating a § 2 claim include the following:
(1) The extent of any history of official discrimination in the state or political subdivision that touched the right of the members of the minority group to register, to vote, or otherwise to participate in the democratic process;
(2) The extent to which voting in the elections of the state or political subdivision is racially polarized;
(3) The extent to which the state or political subdivision has used unusually large election districts, mаjority vote requirements, anti-single shot provisions, or other voting practices or procedures that may enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the majority group;
(4) If there is a candidate slating process, whether the members of a minority group have been denied access to that process;
(5) The extent to which members of the minority group in the state or political subdivision bear the effects of discrimination in such areas as education, employment and health, which *499 hinder their ability to participate effectively in the political process;
(6) Whether political campaigns have been characterized by overt or subtle racial appeals;
(7) The extent to which members of the minority group have been elected to public office in the jurisdiction.
The
Gingles
opinion traced the Senate Report guidelines
(Zimmer
factors)
6
in evaluating the North Carolina legislative election scheme there at issue. The Court found a § 2 violation based upon the totality of circumstances in North Carolina districts: “racially polarized voting, the legacy of official discrimination in voting, education, housing, employment, and health services; and the persistence of campaign appeals to racial prejudice acted in concert with the multi-member districting scheme to impair the ability of geographically insular and politically cohesive groups of black voters to participate equally in the political process and to elect candidates of their choice.”
Gingles,
The district court found similar conditions existing in Gretna by following virtually identical guidelines. We briefly summarize these fаctual findings: (1) No black person has ever been elected alderman in Gretna, despite its population being thirty percent black. (2) Only two black candidates have run for alderman in Gretna; these in three elections. (3) Of the three Gretna aldermanic elections with black candidates, only two were capable of being statistically analyzed. (4) The two elections involved black candidate Leo Jones. He received the support of a majority of Gretna’s black voters but little or no support from white vоters. (5) In the 1984 presidential primary and the 1979 race for Louisiana Secretary of State, Gretna’s black voters overwhelmingly supported black candidates and white voters largely did not. (6) Statistical data presented to the trial court in a correlation and regression analysis and in a homogenous precinct analysis support the existence of racial polarization (racial bloc voting) in Gretna’s elections. (7) A history of de jure and- de facto discrimination contributes to depressed socio-economic conditions for Grеt-na’s blacks and a low black voter turnout. (8)An unofficial slating system excludes black candidates from Gretna city elections. (9) The Gretna majority vote requirement combines with the at-large system to produce dilution of black voting power. These factual findings are amply supported by the record, so we next consider the district court’s finding of legally significant racial bloc voting.
III. Bloc Voting
Racial bloc voting is the linchpin of a § 2 vote dilution claim, and plaintiffs must prove it.
Gingles,
*500 Appellant claims the district court’s finding of bloc voting fails to conform to the standards set out by the Supreme Court in Gingles. Appellant specifies three deficiencies in the district court’s analysis: (1) the district court based its finding of bloc voting on the statistical methods of appel-lee’s expert, which are not the same methods as those relied upon by the Supreme Court in Gingles; (2) the district court considered statistical evidence of racial bloc voting in nоn-aldermanic elections, specifically the 1984 presidential primary in which Jesse Jackson ran and the 1979 race for Louisiana Secretary of State featuring black candidate Ben Jeffers; (3) by looking only at elections in which blacks were candidates, the district court focused on the race of the candidate rather than the race of the voter, which is contrary to Gingles. We address these claims in turn.
A. Statistical Analyses
The statistical methods applied in Gretna vary to some extent from those used in
Gingles.
The Supreme Court in
Gingles
stated the purpose of the bloc voting inquiry to be two-fоld: “To ascertain whether minority group members constitute a politically cohesive unit and to determine whether whites vote sufficiently as a bloc usually to defeat the minority’s preferred candidates.”
Appellants attack the validity of the regression analysis presented by appellee’s expert and relied upon by the district cоurt. This correlation and regression analysis correlates by precinct the race of the voter with votes received by a particular candidate. 10 Appellant claims that its regression analysis is superior to that of appellee’s expert. Resisting the obfuscation created by dueling statisticians, we address appellant’s core criticism: Leo Jones, who was one of two blacks who ran- for Gretna alderman and the only black aldermanic candidate whose election results could be analyzеd statistically, was not the aldermanic preference of Gretna’s black voters.
*501 Jones ran for alderman in 1977 and in 1979. Appellee’s expert concludes that in 1979, Jones received 60 to 65 percent of the black vote and 1 percent of the white vote; in 1977 he received 65 to 67 percent of the black vote and 11 to 12 percent of the white vote. 11 Appellant’s expert, however, did his own bivariate regression analysis of the 1979 election and concluded that Jones only obtained about 49 percent of the black vote and 1.5 percent of the white vote. 12 Appellant сites its analysis as proof that Jones was not the black preference.
According to the Supreme Court in Gingles, however, bloc voting can be proved in part by showing that a “significant number of minority group members *502 usually vote for the same candidate. 13 Both appellant’s and appellee’s regression analyses reveal a “significant number” of blacks voting for Jones. This qualifies Jones as a black preferred candidate.
Appellant also claims that Jones was not the black preferred candidate in the 1979 aldermanic election because two white candidates received a higher percentage of the black vote than was garnered by Jones.
14
This does not negate the district court’s finding of racial bloc voting. Again,
Gingles
defines bloc voting as white majority bloc voting that defeats minority preferred candidates.
B. Exogenous Elections
Appellee’s analyses of other elections in which Gretna citizens had the oрportunity to vote for a black candidate support the finding of a pattern of racial bloc voting in Gretna. 15 Although exogenous elections alone could not prove racially polarized voting in Gretna aldermanic elections, the district court properly considered them as additional evidence of bloc voting — particularly in light of the sparsity of available data.
Black candidates have entered Gretna al-dermanic elections on only three occasions.
16
Statistics are available for two of those elections, Jones in 1977 and Jones in 1979. Appellant claims that a showing of bloc voting cannot be premised solely on these two elections because the
Gingles
opinion requires “a searching practical evaluation of ‘past and present reality.’ ”
Gingles,
however, suggests flexibility in the face of sparse data: “where a minority group has begun to sponsor candidates just recently the fact that statistics from only one or a few elections are available for examination does not foreclose a vote dilution claim.”
In light of the flexible standard advised by Gingles, the district court properly considered the two non-aldermanic elections, Jackson in 1984 and Jeffers in 1979. Because the district court had statistical data of only two Gretna aldermanic elections to consider, it properly looked to voting patterns in two additional elections in which Gretna voters had the opportunity to vote for a black candidate. This evidence is relevant to showing that blacks and whites in Gretna vote differently and in bloc. Further, we are persuaded by appellee that although the Jeffers and Jackson results are not those of Gretna aldermanic elections, they qualify as a local appraisal because they reflect local voting patterns.
We need not conclude that election results from outside the chаllenged electoral system are always appropriate for consideration under § 2. In this case, however, with sparse relevant statistical data, the district court rightly considered exogenous elections.
C. The Race of the Candidate
We consider Jones to be an aldermanic candidate sponsored by Gretna’s minority group because he received a significant portion of the black vote, 17 and because he is black. Appellant claims that considering the race of the candidate is inconsistent with Gingles ’ recommendation to consider only the race of the voter. Appellant claims the district court erred in determining racial bloc voting from only those elections in which blacks were candidates.
In a plurality section of the
Gingles
opinion, Justice Brennan notes that although the black minority preferred candidate is usually black, the race of the voter — rather than the race of the candidate — is the proper focus. Hence the black preferred candidate need not necessarily be black: “Under § 2, it is the
status
of the candidate as the
chosen representative of a particular racial group,
not the race of the candidate, that is important.”
Gingles,
Justice Brennan does not, however, cаrry majority support for this statement. Justice White specifically disavows it as indicative of interest group politics.
Gingles,
Mindful of these concerns, we conclude that Gingles is properly interpreted to hold that the race of the candidate is in general of less significance than the race of the voter — but only within the context of an election that offers voters the choice of supporting a viable minority candidate. For although the Supreme Court plurality in Gingles emphasizes the race of the voter over the race of the candidate, it upholds the trial court finding of vote dilution based upon analyses of only those elections in which blacks ran. Justice Brennan’s plurality оpinion is careful not to state that a black candidate is tantamount to the black preference; but implicit in the Gin- *504 gles holding is the notion that black preference is determined from elections which offer the choice of a black candidate. The various Gingles concurring and dissenting opinions do not consider evidence of elections in which only whites were candidates. Hence, neither do we.
IV.
We conclude that the district court was not clearly erroneous in finding that Gretna’s at-large aldermanic eleсtions violate § 2 of the Voting Rights Act. The district court decision was correctly based on a totality of the circumstances, delineated by
Zimmer
factors. Most notable among those factors is the presence of racial bloc voting in Gretna’s aldermanic elections. We also note that in the entire history of Gretna, with a 30 percent black population, no black has ever been elected to municipal office. Further, we, like the Supreme Court in
Gingles,
recognize the district court’s familiarity with political realities of the local area.
AFFIRMED.
Notes
. Section 2, as amended, 96 Stat. 134, reads as follows:
(a) No voting qualification or prerequisite to voting or standard, practice, or procedure shall be imposed or applied by any State or political subdivision in a manner which results in a denial or abridgement of the right of any citizen of the United States to vote on account of race оr color, or in contravention of the guarantees set forth in section 4(f)(2), as provided in subsection (b).
(b) A violation of subsection (a) is established if, based on the totality of the circumstances, it is shown that the political processes leading to nomination or election in the State or political subdivision are not equally open to participation by members of a class of citizens protected by subsection (a) in that its members have less opportunity than other members of the electorate to partiсipate in the political process and to elect representatives of their choice. The extent to which members of a protected class have been elected to office in the State or political subdivision is one circumstance which may be considered: Provided, That nothing in this section establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected in numbers equal to their proportion in the population." 42 U.S.C. § 1973.
. Citizens for a Better Gretna is an unincorporated associаtion of citizens of the City of Gret-na. Its members include Jerome Black, Noreen V. Boyd, Sylvester Brown, Burnell Darensburg, Jr., Alex Gourgis, Sr., Bernice Gourgis, Warren G. Lombard, Leo Jones, Charles L. Mar, Verta M. Mar, and Sammie Walker. Each is a resident of the City of Gretna and a registered voter. They sue individually and as representatives of the class.
Appellants are Mayor William J. White and Aldermen James Bush, Sr., Salvador Márchese, Jr., Louis LeBoeuf, Jr., Gerard E. Schexnayder, and Hubert F. Uzee. They are sued in their individual capacities and as representatives of the City of Gretna.
. We summarize the trial court’s findings in Part II of this opinion, but a detailed account of conditions in Gretna is contained in the district court's opinion,
Citizens for a Better Gretna v. City of Gretna,
. The Supreme Court in
Gingles,
upheld the "clearly erroneous" test of Federal Rule of Civil Prоcedure 52(a) for review of factual findings of § 2 claims, as well as for the ultimate determination of vote dilution.
.
Gingles
upheld the "results test” set out in
White
v.
Regester,
. Footnote 4 in
Gingles,
. Correlation and regression analysis expresses the degree of relationship between two variables. The two variables in this case are (1) proportion of the voting age population in Gret-na that is black (the independent variable) and (2) electoral support for the black candidate (the dependent variable). Statistical coefficients, "r" and “b”, summarize the consistency and strength of these two variables. The "r” coefficient measures how consistently the percentage of votеrs supporting the black candidate (the dependent variable) varies with the black proportion of the voting age population (the independent variable). There is a positive relationship between these two variables if the percentage of voters supporting a black candidate tends to increase as the black percentage of the voting age population in the precinct increases. If the percentage of the voters supporting the black candidate deсreases as the percentage of the black voting population increases, then a negative relationship exists. The more consistent the tendency, the greater the value of the "r" which can range from +1.0 (perfectly consistent positive relationship) through 0.0 (no relationship) to —1.0 (perfectly consistent negative relationship). Appellee’s expert reported "r” values of .963 and .926 for the aldermanic elections of 1979 and 1977 respectively. For criticism of the "r” factor, see
Jones v. City of Lubbock,
*500
The “b” coefficient estimates how strongly these two variables are related; that is, the extent to which the percentage of voters supporting the black candidate can be expected to change in response to changes in the black percentage of the" voting age population. Thus, a "r" reading of + 1.0 shows a perfect correlation between increase in the number of black voters and increase in votes for the black candidate; the "b" reading estimates how much of an increase in votes fоr the black candidate will result from each incremental increase in the percentage of black voters. Appellee’s expert presented “b” values of .590 for 1979 and .539 for 1977. The measures were then plotted on a graph (scattergram).
See Gretna, supra,
.See note 8 on page 500.
*500
8. Although the district court mainly relied upon appellee’s regression analysis for its finding of bloc voting, it considered the homogenous precinct analysis to be supportive of that finding.
Gretna,
. The
Gingles
Court affirmed a finding of bloc voting in North Carolina based upon statistical analyses of fifty-three general and primary elections involving black candidates conducted over three election years, in six multi-member districts. The methods of analysis used were extreme case аnalysis and bivariate ecological regression analysis.
See
. See footnote 7 supra.
.
APPELLEES’ RESULT OF REGRESSION ANALYSIS FOR THE 1977 AND 1979 GRETNA ALDERMANIC ELECTIONS
Year Correlation Coefficient Unstandardized Regression Coefficient Standard Error . of the b * Intercepts Left (white) Right (black)
1979 Unweighted:
r= .963 b= .590 (.050) 1.0% 60.0%
Weighted:
r= .962 b= .648 (.002) 0.9% 65.7%
1977 Unweighted:
r= .926 b= .539 (.066) 11.2% 65.1%
Weighted:
r= .908 b= .553 (.003) 12.0% 67.2%
The far right.column represents the percent of votes won by black candidate Leo Jones. In each row, the top figure is Jones’ percent of the white vote, and the lower figure represents his percent of the black vote.
.
APPELLANT’S RESULTS OF BIVARIATE ECOLOGICAL REGRESSIONS AS APPLIED TO GRETNA ALDERMANIC ELECTIONS
Recapitulation of Bivariated Ecological Regression Analyses
CANDIDATE WHITE PREFERENCE SLOPE BLACK PREFERENCE FRACTIONALIZATION WHITE BLACK
Jones 79 1.524 0.478 49.324 . 0.030 0.500
LaBruzza 79 16.034 -0.106 5.434 0.269 0.103
Márchese 79 30.782 -0.255 5.282 0.426 0.100
Weigel 79 3.087 0.120 15.087 0.060 0.256
Kennedy 79 9.78 -0.052 4.58 0.176 0.087
Leger 79 1.795 0.014 3.195 0.035 0.062
Ward 79 26.448 -0.228 3.648 0.389 0.070
Ziifle 4.075 -0.043 -0.225 0.078 -0.005
Note:
.
Gingles, supra,
. Appellant demonstrates that, using appellees method of analysis, white candidates Bush and LeBouef each took 70% of the black vote in Gretna’s 1977 aldermanic election, whereas Jones only received approximately 67%.
. In the 1984 presidential primary, Gretna’s black voters overwhelming supported Jesse Jackson; Gretna’s white voters did not. In the 1979 election for Louisiana Secretary of State, a majority of Gretna’s black voters supported black candidate Ben Jeffers; and Gretna’s white voters did not.
Results of Exogenous Elections Election_White (%)_Black (%)
1984 - Jackson
* Unweighted 1.6 95.5
* Weighted 1.7 95.3
1979 - Jeffers
Unweighted 7.5 70.1
Weighted 7.9 70.1
The term "unweighted” as used here means that each precinct in Louisiana was treated as an equal unit in determining these values, regardless of the actual number of votes cast in those precincts. The term "weighted" is used to take into account differences in the number of votes across precincts.
.Edwin Romain in 1973, and Leo Jones in 1977 and 1979.
.Relying on appellees' statistics, Jones received roughly 65% of the black vote in Gretna in 1977 and 1979. Following appellant's statistics, Jones received only 49% in 1979. Both sets of statistics indicate Jones as a black aldermanic preference. See supra, discussion at Part III A of this opinion.
.
United Latin American Cities v. Midland Independent School District,
. Section 2 concludes with the following: “Provided, That nothing in this section establishes a right to have members of a protected class elected in numbers equal to their proportion in the population." 42 U.S.C. § 1973.
. The City of Gretna plan provides for a five member board of aldermen, consisting of four aldermen elected from separate districts and one alderman elected at-large.
