Carpenters Pension Trust Fund v. Barclays PLCCarpenters Pension Trust Fund v. Barclays PLC
OPINION AND ORDER
I. INTRODUCTION
Plaintiffs bring claims for violations of section 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of
As a result of prior rulings, only two sets of alleged misstatements remain in this case: Barclays’ London Interbank Offered Rate (“LIBOR”) submissions from August 2007 through January 2009, which understated Barclays’ true borrowing costs, and Diamond’s remarks during a conference call with market analysts on October 31, 2008.
Plaintiffs now move to certify a class consisting of all persons who purchased Barclays PLC American Depositary Shares (“ADS”) between July 10, 2007 and June 27, 2012, inclusive (the “Class Period”), and who were damaged thereby (the “Class”). They also request that the Court appoint Lead Plaintiffs Carpenters Pension Trust Fund of St. Louis and St. Clair Shores Police & Fire Retirement System as Class Representatives and Robbins Geller Rudman & Dowd LLP (“Robbins Geller”) as Class Counsel.
To be certified, a putative class must demonstrate that it satisfies all four of the requirements of Rule 23(a)
II. LEGAL STANDARDS
A. Rule 23(b)(3)
Under Rule 23(b)(3), certification is appropriate where “questions of law or fact common to the members of the class predominate over any questions affecting only individual members,” and class litigation “is superior to other available methods for the fair and efficient adjudication of the controversy.”
The matters pertinent to these findings include the class members’ interests in individually controlling the prosecution or defense of separate actions; the extent and nature of any litigation concerning the controversy already begun by or against class members; the desirability or undesirability of concentrating the litigation of the claims in the particular forum; and the likely difficulties in managing a class action.4
The predominance inquiry focuses on whether “a proposed class is ‘sufficiently cohesive to warrant adjudication by representation.’ ”
“Considering whether ‘questions of law or fact common to class members predominate’ begins, of course, with the elements of the underlying cause of action.”
Defendants opposing class certification often challenge plaintiffs’ claim of reliance.
Issues and facts surrounding damages have rarely been an obstacle to establishing predominance in section 10(b) cases.
*75 Comcast [ ] did not hold that a class cannot be certified under Rule 23(b)(3) simply because damages cannot be measured on a elasswide basis. Comcast’s holding was narrower. Comcast held that a model for determining elasswide damages relied upon to certify a class under Rule 23(b)(3) must actually measure damages that result from the class’s asserted theory of injury; but the Court did not hold that proponents of class certification must rely upon a elasswide damages model to demonstrate predominance.
To be sure, Comcast reiterated that damages questions should be considered at the certification stage when weighing predominance issues, but this requirement is entirely consistent with our prior holding that “the fact that damages may have to be ascertained on an individual basis is ... a factor that we must consider in deciding whether issues susceptible to generalized proof ‘outweigh’ individual issues.” McLaughlin [v. American Tobacco Co.], 522 F.3d [215,] 231 [2d Cir.2008]. The Supreme Court did not foreclose the possibility of class certification under Rule 23(b)(3) in cases involving individualized damages calculations.17
Thus, “[p]redominance is satisfied if resolution of some of the legal or factual questions that qualify each class member’s case as a genuine controversy can be achieved through generalized proof, and if these particular issues are more substantial than the issues subject only to individualized proof.”
B. Admissibility of Expert Testimony
The proponent of expert evidence bears the initial burden of establishing admissibility by a “preponderance of the evidence.”
To be admissible, the proposed expert testimony must be based “on a reliable foundation.”
(1) the testimony is based upon sufficient facts or data, (2) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods, and (3) the witness has reliably applied the principles and methods to the facts of the case.24
Although the Supreme Court has instructed district courts to focus “on [the] principles
District courts are charged with acting as “ ‘gatekeeper[s] to exclude invalid and unreliable expert testimony,’ ”
Finally, it is often the case that some, but not all, of an expert’s opinions will meet the criteria of FRE 702. Indeed, it is routine for a party to retain a single expert to opine on a variety of issues that, while related, can be analyzed independently under the Daubert standard. In such cases, the court, as gatekeeper, has discretion to decide which opinions are reliable and which are not, from which it follows that a court may exclude portions of an expert report while admitting other portions.
III. APPLICABLE LAW
A. The Presumption of Reliance for Omissions
The Supreme Court has held that a presumption of reliance may apply in section 10(b) cases in which plaintiffs have alleged that defendants failed to disclose information. In Affiliated Ute Citizens of the State of Utah v. United States, the Court held that where a plaintiffs’ fraud claims are based on omissions, reliance may be satisfied so long as the plaintiff shows that defendants had an obligation to disclose the information and the information withheld is material.
B. The Presumption of Reliance for Misstatements
1. The Basic Presumption
The Supreme Court has also held that a presumption of reliance may apply in section 10(b) cases in which plaintiffs have alleged that defendants made fraudulent misstatements. In Basic v. Levinson, the Supreme Court recognized that plaintiffs are typically entitled to a rebuttable presumption
2. The Basic Presumption at Class Certification
The Basic presumption does not relieve plaintiffs of the burden of proving predominance under Rule 23(b)(3).
Halliburton II held that defendants may submit price impact evidence prior to class certification for the purpose of rebutting the Basic presumption. This is because “an indirect proxy should not preclude direct evidence when such evidence is available.”
3. Degree of Efficiency After Halliburton II
There are three general forms of the efficient capital markets hypothesis:
*78 First is the weak form, which asserts simply that the current share price in an efficient market reflects all information about past share prices. If the weak form of the hypothesis accurately describes a market, it is impossible to predict future prices using only past prices. Second, the semi-strong form, which asserts that a share price in an efficient market reflects all public information concerning the security (including but not limited to past share prices). Third, the strong form, which asserts that all relevant information, public and private, is reflected in the price of securities in an efficient market. The strong form has been widely discredited.48
Although Basic did not explicitly endorse any of these forms of an efficient market, many courts had presumed that plaintiffs must establish the semi-strong form.
In Halliburton II, however, the Supreme Court clarified that in recognizing the presumption of reliance, the Basic court did not adopt any particular theory of market efficiency.
4. Proving Market Efficiency
In an efficient market there are “[l]arge numbers of rational and intelligent investors,” and “[ijmportant current information” that is “almost freely available to all participants ....”
In Cammer v. Bloom, the court enumerated five factors that are frequently used
a.Average Weekly Trading Volume
High volume suggests efficiency “because it implies significant investor interest in the company. Such interest, in turn, implies a likelihood that many investors are executing trades on the basis of newly available or disseminated corporate information.”
b.Number of Securities Analysts
Cammer recognizes that a stock covered by a “significant number of analysts” is more likely to be efficient because such coverage implies that investment professionals are following the company and making buy/sell recommendations to investors.
c.Existence of Market Makers and Arbitrageurs
Cammer explains that “[t]he existence of market makers and arbitrageurs would ensure completion of the market mechanism; these individuals would react swiftly to company news and reported financial results by buying or selling stock and driving it to a changed price level.”
b. Eligibility to File Form S-3
The SEC permits a company to file Form S-3 when, in the SEC’s judgment, the market for shares in the company is reasonably efficient at processing information.
e. Cammer 5
Cammer 5 — empirical evidence of price changes in response to unexpected information — is often highly probative of efficiency.
Cammer 5 is often proven with an event study. An event study is “a statistical regression analysis that examines the effect of an event ... on a dependent variable, such as a company’s stock price.”
Performing the third step, “requires the expert to isolate the effect of the event from other market, industry, or company-specific factors simultaneously affecting the company’s stock price.”
[A]n event study is similar to a medical experiment in which there is a control group and a treatment group. The control group provides the benchmark against which the treatment group is compared to determine if the event being studied had any effect. In a securities setting, the control group is established by modeling the normal relationship of a stock’s price movements to movements of a market and/or industry index. The difference between the stock price movement we actually observe and the movement we expected to observe (i.e. the difference between the treatment and the control group) that occurs upon the release of a particular piece of information is called the excess price movement of the stock at the time of the event. This excess price movement is tested for statistical significance to see whether the result is unusual or unlikely to be explained by the normal random variations of the stock price.74
f. Other Factors
The markets for companies with higher market capitalizations and shares with a smaller bid-ask spread are more likely to be efficient.
In addition, some courts have held that if “ ‘a security is listed on the NYSE ... or a similar national market, the market for that security is [often] presumed to be efficient.’ ”
In unusual circumstances, courts have found that stocks traded on major exchanges are not traded on an efficient market. Defendants rely on IBEW Local 90 Pension Fund v. Deutsche Bank AG and In re Federal Home Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) Securities Litigation,
IY. THE OPINION OF PLAINTIFFS’ EXPERT
Plaintiffs’ expert, Dr. John D. Finnerty, opines that the market for Barclays ADS was open, developed, and efficient during the Class Period based on two reports which contain two event studies, although plaintiffs now rely only on the second event study.
V. DISCUSSION
The primary focus of defendants’ objection to class certification is that plaintiffs cannot satisfy predominance under Rule 23(b). According to defendants, plaintiffs cannot satisfy class-wide reliance based on either Basic or Affiliated Ute and that under Comcast individual damages issues will predominate. Defendants’ arguments directed to the Basic presumption and Comcast are supported by a motion pursuant to FRE 702 and Daubert.
I begin with a discussion of Cammer 5, because defendants’ arguments as to the application of the Basic presumption rest on the notions that this factor is the sine quo non of market efficiency and that the factor can only be satisfied with an event study. I then consider defendants’ challenge under Daubert. Next, I analyze the factors relevant to a determination of market efficiency. Finally, I address the Affiliated Ute presumption, defendants’ claim that Comcast compels denial of class certification, and the appointment of both Class Representatives and Class Counsel.
A. Cammer 5 Is Not Dispositive of Market Efficiency
Defendants chide plaintiffs for “plod[ding] through each of the factors identified in Cammer [and Krogman], as supposedly indicative of market efficiency.”
Defendants arguments are unpersuasive. The Second Circuit has not adopted a specific test for market efficiency and explicitly declined to do so in Bombardier.
In most cases, evidence that a stock trades at high volumes on a large national market, such as the NYSE or NASDAQ, and is followed by a large number of analysts will be sufficient to satisfy the Basic presumption on class certification.
Requiring a plaintiff to submit proof of market reactions — and to do so with an event study — ignores Supreme Court precedent as well as practical considerations. Event studies test for a degree of efficiency that may not be required. Halliburton II makes clear that no specific degree of efficiency is mandated to invoke the Basic presumption.
In academic research, event studies are almost exclusively conducted with large samples of securities from a number of different firms.
[i]n a sample size of twenty-five companies, the probabilities of detecting an abnormal return (or an effect on the stock price) of 0.5%, 1% and 2% is 24%, 71% and 100% respectively. But if the sample size is increased to 100 companies, the probabilities of detecting an abnormal return of 0.5%, 1%, and 2% is 71%, 94%, and 100% respectively. Thus, there is significant difference in detecting an abnormal return, or effect on the stock price, depending on the size of the event study.103
A further problem is that in any particular ease it may not be possible to conduct an event study that looks at the relationship between the stock price and unexpected' news. For example, there may only be a few — or perhaps no — unexpected events in a given class period that can be tested.
Likewise, the net result of Halliburton I and Halliburton II is that at class certification, a plaintiff is not required to prove either price impact — stock price movement based on the fraud — or loss causation — that the misrepresentation caused a subsequent economic loss. Thus, it would be inconsistent with this precedent to require a plaintiff to submit proof analyzing stock price movement on days in which the alleged misrepresentations or corrective disclosure are made.
For all these reasons, I conclude that in the ordinary case of a high volume stock followed by a large number of analysts and traded on a national exchange, whether a plaintiff can satisfy Cammer 5 is not dispositive. Nor is an event study always necessary. Not even the Cammer court said that an event study was required to satisfy the fifth factor,
B. Defendants’ Daubert Motion Is Denied
Defendants’ Daubert challenge focuses almost exclusively on Dr. Finnerty’s event studies. These attacks provide an insufficient basis to exclude Dr. Finnerty’s testimony-
1. Dr. Finnerty’s Testimony Is Relevant
Ignoring Halliburton II, defendants contend that Dr. “Finnerty’s opinions are not relevant because they do not address the liability theory of the case” in that Dr. “Finnerty found no ADS price movement in response to any Barclays LIBOR submission.”
Furthermore, a “material misstatement can impact a stock’s value either by improp
2. Dr. Finnerty’s Testimony Is Reliable
“In assessing reliability, the trial judge should consider whether: ‘(1) the testimony is based upon sufficient facts or data, (2) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods, and (3) the witness has reliably applied the principles and methods to the facts of the case.’ ”
As a threshold matter, defendants’ attack on Dr. Finnerty’s opinion focuses almost exclusively on the event studies he performed in connection with Cammer 5. This challenge is too narrow. It is widely accepted that analysis of the Cammer and Krog-man factors is a reliable and accepted methodology for establishing market efficiency.
Furthermore, while an event study is not the only way to gather empirical evidence in support of Cammer 5, Dr. Finnerty conducted such a study, which is a generally accepted methodology for establishing market efficiency. Finally, while one may question the probative value of the results of the Finnerty II event study, Dr. Finnerty employed standard event study methodology. He first selected news dates based on objective criteria. Next, he “compared consensus pre-announcement estimates to the reported earnings” to locate earnings surprise dates.
a. Dr. Finnerty’s Opinion Relies on Sufficient Data
Defendants argue that Dr. Finnerty’s sample size is “far too small to reliably extrapolate any of his purported findings across the entire five-year Class Period” and cite to a case that stands for the proposition that the “probative value of event studies” depends on “whether the study is based on a sufficiently large number of observations.”
Defendants argue that a finding of five statistically significant days out of fifteen is insufficient. Defendants are able to reduce this success rate even further by noting that “of the four ‘earnings surprise’ dates in Fin-nerty II that fall within Finnerty’s first two sub-periods between July 2007 and February 2009 — the period during which all of the alleged misstatements were made — Finnerty finds just one day with a [statistically] significant return.”
However, the failure of Finnerty II to identify a certain percentage of statistically significant days
[A] number of articles and econometric books will point out that one should not apply a strict mechanical test in deciding on whether something is meaningful or economically significant. Statistical significance is very useful and very helpful. So if there’s a market response that is significant at the 1 percent level or the 5 percent level, in all likelihood that’s pretty significant. So I’m not going to say that’s not significant, but it’s not determinative. So there could be situations where you have information that doesn’t rise to the level of statistical significance at the 5 percent level, but the event is significant enough that a reasonable investor would say that would affect his or her investment decision.
So the accusation, if you will, that I’ve abandoned statistical significance is not true. But I’m using statistical significance, I believe, properly and putting it in its place. If one were simply using statistical significance as the sole determinative of economic significance, you wouldn’t need Professor Gompers or me; you’d just hire a statistician, and the statistician would just run a bunch of models and make a bunch of mechanical judgments, identify those dates where there’s significance at the 5 percent level or better, and you’d be done.128
Dr. Finnerty explains that “I’m testing for a cause-and-effect relationship. I’m not basing my test entirely on statistical signifi-cance_[Wjhether there’s a significant reaction statistically could be helpful in making that determination, but it’s not the be all and the end all.”
b. Dr. Finnerty’s Methods Are Sufficiently Objective
Defendants contend that Dr. Finnerty’s methods are “entirely subjective” in that he examined ‘“earnings surprises,’ and then proceeded to conduct a haphazard review of roughly contemporaneous analyst reports to ‘predict’ the expected stock price reaction on that day, three to eight years after the fact.”
While Dr. Finnerty’s analysis is necessarily subjective, that does not mean his opinion is speculative or without any methodological constraints. As a practical matter, researchers conducting event studies will often have to rely on subjective assessments.
Finnerty II identified statistically significant price reactions at the five percent level or better on five event days. In addition, Dr. Finnerty analyzed the results and concluded that on each of the fifteen days studied, the price moved in the direction he would have expected. While Finnerty II is not conclusive proof of anything, it is a product of reliable principles and methods which have been reliably applied to the facts of this case. I have considered the remainder of defendants’ arguments and find them to be without merit. By and large, defendants’ objections go to the weight, not the sufficiency of the evidence, and are therefore not a basis to exclude Dr. Finnerty’s report.
The four elements of the Basic presumption are that (1) the alleged misrepresentations were publicly known, (2) they were material, (3) the stock traded in an efficient market, and (4) the plaintiff traded the stock between when the misrepresentations were made and when the truth was revealed. The only disputed element for purposes of this motion is whether Barclays ADS traded in an efficient market. Based on the following considerations, I conclude that plaintiffs have proven by a preponderance of the evidence that the market for Barclays ADS was efficient.
1.Barclays ADS Traded on the NYSE
It is undisputed that Barclays ADS traded on the NYSE during the Class Period. As Dr. Finnerty explains:
The NYSE is the world’s largest and most liquid stock exchange. Its infrastructure and participants allow it to provide a reliable, liquid, and efficient market place. Its stringent listing standards ensure that issuers are large enough to facilitate a liquid market, and its regulations ensure that material company information is disclosed promptly to investors. In general, to be listed on the NYSE, the market value of a publicly-held equity must exceed $75 million.138
Dr. Gompers notes that efficiency can vary with respect to stocks traded on the same exchange, stocks that trade efficiently at certain times may not trade efficiently at other times, and there was increased trading volatility during the financial crises, which spanned a significant portion of the Class Period.
The issues raised by Dr. Gompers mainly relate to the degree of efficiency, but “[debates about the precise degree to which stock prices accurately reflect public information are [] largely beside the point.”
2. Cammer 1: Barclays ADS Traded at a Large Average Weekly Volume
The average weekly trading volume for Barclays ADS shares over the Class Period was roughly fifteen million, which is equal to 18.83 percent of the outstanding ADS during this timeframe.
3. Cammer 2: A Significant Number of Analysts Followed and Reported on Barclays ADS
During the Class Period, at least eighty securities firms contributed analyst reports that covered Barclays.
4. Cammer 3: Existence of Market Makers, Institutional Investors, and Arbitrageurs
As disclosed in Schedule 13-F filings, Bar-clays ADS representing between 55 and 97 percent of Barclays ADS outstanding were held by institutional investors during the Class period. “According to Bloomberg, there were 51 active market makers for Bar-clays ADS between July 2007 and June 2012 with trading volumes in excess of one million shares.”
As described previously, the economic rationale for efficient markets is that under normal circumstances, profit seeking arbitrageurs will act to remove inefficiencies from the market. However, various market constraints may cause “limits to arbitrage” which may in turn undermine efficiency. Cammer 3 is an indirect test of the extent to which limits to arbitrage exist. Accordingly, Cammer 3 weighs in favor of finding market efficiency.
5. Cammer 4: Barclays Eligibility to File SEC Form S-3
Dr. Finnerty notes that, “Barclays was eligible to file on Form S-3 throughout the Class Period because the Barclays ADS were listed on the NYSE during the entire Class Period.”
6.Cammer 5: The Relationship Between News Events and Security Price Changes
Dr. Finnerty’s statistically significant findings of price movement on five of the fifteen event days, together with his analysis of the other ten event days, provides some evidence of market efficiency. Moreover, the change in price following the disclosure of the fraud in June 2012 is further empirical evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship between unexpected corporate events and an immediate response in the stock price. Accordingly, Cammer 5 weighs in favor of finding market efficiency.
7.Krogman 1: Market Capitalization
During the Class Period, the quarterly market capitalization of Barclays ADS ranged from $0.5 to $3.2 billion, and was “on average [ ] approximately 20 times as large as the $75 million minimum [market value of publicly held equity] for NYSE listing.”
8.Krogman 2: Barclays ADS Bid-Ask Spread
Dr. Finnerty opined that the bid-ask spreads for Barclays ADS were consistent with an efficient market.
9. Krogman 3: Barclays ADS Public Float
Dr. Finnerty calculated the public float to be approximately one hundred percent, meaning that Barclays ADS was almost exclusively held by outside investors during the Class Period.
10. Random Walk Tests
In addition to the Cammer and Krogman factors, Dr. Finnerty examined put-call parity and conducted random walk tests.
As Dr. Finnerty explains, “[s]tock prices in an efficient market move from moment to moment much like bubbles in a glass of soft-drink; that is, when stock returns follow a random walk, stock price movements are independent from moment to moment.”
11. Evidence of Inefficiency
Defendants note that there were several indicators of inefficiency during the Class Period:
Finnerty’s own analyses show significant impediments to efficiency during the height of the financial crisis, including a ban on short selling (and higher borrowing costs impeding short selling even where not banned), as well as objective evidence of a breakdown in market efficiency over this critical period, such as put-call parity violations, widening spreads, and pricing anomalies. (Gompers I ¶¶ 57-78.) Fin-nerty does not dispute that this evidence signals potential inefficiencies, he simply dismisses it because it coincided with the financial crisis. This is backwards. An expert must address the conflicting evidence, and Finnerty has no explanation for the apparent inefficiencies in the market*94 for Barclays’ ADS during the height of the financial crisis.162
There is no doubt the issues raised by Dr. Gompers are relevant to an assessment of efficiency, but Dr. Finnerty has responded to these criticisms,
While the global financial crisis created market volatility and limited arbitrage opportunities which thereby decreased efficiency, defendants are holding plaintiffs to far too high a standard of proof.
D. Defendants Have Failed to Rebut the Presumption of Reliance by Showing Lack of Price Impact
Halliburton II held that a defendant can rebut the Basic presumption at the class certification stage by, inter alia, proving that the “asserted misrepresentation (or its correction) did not affect the market price” of the security.
Instead, defendants contend that Dr. Fin-nerty’s event studies and testimony establish lack of price impact.
Defendants argue that Dr. Finnerty’s failure to show price impact on six dates identified in the Complaint in which Barclays made artificially low LIBOR submissions is sufficient evidence to show lack of price impact.
Second, as already discussed, plaintiffs’ theory is that the false LIBOR submissions artificially maintained the stock price, not that they artificially inflated the price of the stock. For these reasons, a regression analysis seeking to prove market efficiency that fails to show statistically significant price movements on the days identified in the Complaint in which false LIBOR statements were made does not necessarily sever the link between “the price received (or paid) by the plaintifffs.]”
Defendants also argue that Dr. Finnerty’s analyses show that the price of Barclays ADS did not change significantly as a result of the disclosure of the fraud on June 27, 2012. While Dr. Finnerty contends that he has demonstrated efficiency by showing that the price declined dramatically the following day, defendants argue that plaintiffs “cannot salvage their failed motion by pointing to the posi-Class Period price declines on June 28, 2012.”
Defendants’ arguments are flawed for several reasons. First, assuming that Dr. Fin-nerty’s second event study failed to show an abnormal return, this would not prove that the market was inefficient. Second, defendants’ contentions about what can or cannot
Finally, the fact that the stock price changed dramatically due to collateral consequences shows that the stock quickly assimilates new information. In other words, even if this type of price reaction is not sufficient to establish loss causation, it is sufficient to show market efficiency.
Defendants’ insistence that it is impermissible for Dr. Finnerty to rely on empirical evidence from the day following the Class Period has no support. A two-to three-day window is common in event studies.
Although the event window used by plaintiffs’ expert was appropriate, the question remains as to whether evidence from outside the Class Period may be admitted to show market efficiency. While defendants cite to several cases within this circuit, these cases are either distinguishable or unpersuasive.
While there is no Second Circuit ease on point, a review of the relevant case law in this circuit and the arguments set forth by plaintiffs compels the finding that the class period is first and foremost “delimited in order to identify the individuals who claim membership in the class”
Because defendants have not presented compelling evidence of lack of price impact, plaintiffs do not have to present evidence of price impact to satisfy Rule 23(b)(3). Accordingly, I find that plaintiffs are entitled to rely on the Basic presumption of reliance for misstatements and have satisfied the requirements of Rule 23(b)(3).
E. The Affiliated Ute Presumption Does Not Apply
Unlike Basic, the circumstances in Affiliated Ute “involv[ed] primarily a failure to disclose.”
Defendants argue that because plaintiffs’ claims are based on affirmative misstatements, and not omissions, the Affiliated Ute presumption does not apply.
Each LIBOR submission was truthful, as far as they go. But what makes them misleading is what they do not say that in*98 an effort to enhance the market’s perception of Barclays’ financial health, Defendants purposefully submitted false LIBOR rates but never informed investors of this fact. Similarly, Diamond’s conference call remarks were also omissions because the “heart” of their falsity was that “specific information was withheld” — namely, that Diamond had issued a directive to his subordinates to artificially lower LIBOR submissions. Because Plaintiffs have primarily pled omissions claims and Defendants cannot establish that Plaintiffs did not rely on these omissions, reliance is also presumed under Affiliated Ute.201
The second, somewhat related argument, is that Diamond’s statements gave rise to a duty to disclose the manipulation.
Plaintiffs’ first argument fails. After careful review, I conclude that this is not a case where any “alleged failure to disclose ‘made the [statements] themselves misleading.’ ”
Plaintiffs’ second argument also fails. Defendants rightly argue that a company does not have a duty to disclose that it is committing fraud and that there was no material omission in this case.
F. Individualized Damages Issues Will Not Predominate
Comcast Corp. v. Behrend held that a model for determining damages must “measure damages resulting from the class’s asserted theory of damages.”
involves [ ] measuring the abnormal return on Barclays ADS on the corrective] disclosure date, in this case June 28, and then adjusting for any confounding news. And I haven’t done that yet. I have been asked to perform a loss causation analysis or damages analysis, but I would then parse out the [e]ffects of the confounding news, and then I would apply the constant dollar method to calculate the amount of inflation throughout the Class Period.212
The constant dollar approach “assumes that the amount of the inflation per ADS is a constant dollar amount within each of the relevant time intervals during the Class Period.”
Plaintiffs’ model survives the minimal scrutiny required under Comcast and Rule 23(b)(3) — their theory of liability matches their theory of damages and individualized damages issues will not predominate. As explained by the Second Circuit, Comcast “did not foreclose the possibility of class certification under Rule 23(b)(3) in cases involving individualized damages calculations.”
G. Appointment of Class Representatives Under Rule 23(a)(4) and Class Counsel Under Rule 23(g)
Rule 23(a)(4) requires that “the representative parties will fairly and adequately protect the interests of the class.” This requirement is met if a plaintiff does not have interests antagonistic to those of the class, and if its chosen counsel is qualified, experienced, and able to conduct the litigation.
Lead Plaintiffs have retained the law firm of Robbins Geller to represent them and the proposed Class in this matter. Courts within this Circuit have repeatedly found Robbins Geller to be adequate and well-qualified for the purpose of litigating class action lawsuits.
YI. CONCLUSION
For the foregoing reasons, plaintiffs’ motion for class certification is GRANTED and defendants’ motion to preclude plaintiffs’ expert is DENIED. The Clerk of Court is directed to close these motions [Docket Nos. 135 and 157],
SO ORDERED.
Notes
. See Carpenters Pension Tr. Fund of St. Louis v. Barclays PLC,
. Complaint ¶ 108.
. Rule 23(a) requires that the class be so numerous that joinder of all members is impracticable, there are questions of law or fact common to the class, the claims or defenses of the representative parties are typical of the claims or defenses of the class, and the representative parties will fairly and adequately protect the interests of the class. There is no dispute that plaintiffs have satisfied these requirements, and after careful review of the record I hereby find that each has been satisfied.
. Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(b)(3)(A)-(D).
. Amgen Inc. v. Connecticut Ret. Plans & Tr. Funds, - U.S. -,
. In re Nassau County Strip Search Cases,
. Catholic Healthcare W. v. U.S. Foodservice Inc. (In re U.S. Foodservice Inc. Pricing Litig.),
. Brown v. Kelly,
. D’Alauro v. GC Servs. L.P.,
. Erica P. John Fund, Inc. v. Halliburton Co.,
. Stoneridge Inv. Partners, LLC v. Scientific-Atlanta, Inc.,
. Reliance is typically the only ground on which to challenge predominance because section 10(b) claims will almost always arise from a common nucleus of facts surrounding the fraudulent mis- . representation of material facts and the causal relationship between the correction of that misrepresentation and the price of the security.
. See Halliburton I,
. See Basic Inc. v. Levinson,
. See, e.g., In re Fogarazzo v. Lehman Bros., Inc.,
. - U.S. -,
. Roach v. T.L. Cannon Corp.,
. Id. at 405 (internal quotation marks omitted).
. Id. (internal quotation marks omitted).
. United States v. Williams,
. Fed.R.Evid. 702.
. United States v. Tin Yat Chin,
. Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharms., Inc.,
. Fed.R.Evid. 702.
. Daubert,
. Kumho Tire,
. General Elec. Co. v. Joiner,
. Baldwin v. EMI Feist Catalog, Inc.,
. Davis v. Carroll,
. Amorgianos,
. Id.
. Borawick v. Shay,
. See Laumann v. National Hockey League,
. See
. See, e.g., In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig.,
. See
. Halliburton Co. v. Erica P. John Fund, Inc., - U.S. -,
. See id. (citing Basic,
. See id. at 2412.
. See id. However, in Amgen Inc. v. Connecticut Retirement Plans and Trust Funds, the Supreme Court held that materiality does not need to be proven before a class can be certified, but is instead left to be addressed at the merits stage. See
. Halliburton II,
. Id. (quotation marks, alterations, and citations omitted).
. See id. at 2414-15.
. In order to establish loss causation, a plaintiff must prove that the decline in the stock was "because of the correction to a prior misleading statement and that the subsequent loss could not otherwise be explained by some additional factors revealed then to the market.” Halliburton I,
. See, id.
. Halliburton II,
. Id. at 2415-16 (internal quotation marks and alterations omitted).
. In re Initial Pub. Offering Sec. Litig.,
. See, e.g., id. ("The semi-strong form is the form that generally concerns courts, and is the form to which I refer in this Opinion.”) (citing ATSI Commc'ns, Inc. v. Shaar Fund, Ltd.,
. See Halliburton II,
. Id. at 2410 (quoting Basic,
. Id.
. Id. (emphasis in original).
. Id. (internal quotation marks and alterations omitted).
. In this section, I incorporate without citation large portions of my opinion in In re Initial Public Offering Securities Litigation,
. Paolo Cioppa, The Efficient Capital Market Hypothesis Revisited: Implications of the Economic Model for the United States Regulator, 5 Global Jurist Advances 1, 5-6 (2005). The first component does not require that all investors be rational and intelligent, merely that there be enough rational, intelligent investors to outweigh any irrational actions. See id. at 5.
. See
. See generally Cioppa, 5 Global Jurist Advances at 28 ("The SEC’s three tiered system recognized that markets for different securities in the United States are efficient to different degrees. Essentially, moving from the SI filers to the S3 fliers, the more widely traded and followed the issuing company and the longer it has traded, the more efficient the market for it and the less information it must disclose in its registration statements.”).
. See
. See id.
. See id.
. Cammer,
. See id. (citing Bromberg & Lowenfels, 4 Securities Fraud and Commodities Fraud § 8.6 (Aug. 1988)).
. Id.
. Id. at 1286-87.
. Krogman,
. See Dr. Allen Michel et al., 24 Am. Bankr.Inst. J. 58, 60 (2005) (citing Brad Barber et al., The Fraud-on-the-Market Theory and the Indicators of Common Stocks’ Efficiency, 19 J. Corp. L. 285, 286 (1994)).
. See Cammer,
. Id. (quoting SEC Securities Act Release No. 6331, 46 Fed.Reg. 41,902 (1981) (emphasis in original)).
. See id. at 1287 (stating that "it would be helpful to a plaintiff seeking to allege an efficient market to allege empirical facts showing a cause and effect relationship between unexpected corporate events or financial releases and an immediate response in the stock price” and noting that this factor is "the essence of an efficient market and the foundation for the fraud on the market theory”).
. Michael J. Kaufman & John M. Wunderlich, Regressing: The Troubling Dispositive Role of Event Studies in Securities Fraud Litigation, 15 Stan. J.L. Bus. & Fin. 183, 190 (2009) (internal quotation marks omitted).
. Id. at 192.
. Id. at 193 (internal quotation marks omitted).
. Id. at 193-94 (internal quotation marks omitted). Accord In re Federal Home Mortg. Corp. (Freddie Mac) Sec. Litig.,
. See Krogman,
. See id.
. Arbitrageurs correct put-call disparities by engaging in short-sales. When short-selling bans restrict an arbitrageur’s ability to exploit put-call disparities, these constraints may cause the stock to be overpriced. Thus, put-call parity violations and short-selling constraints may result in inefficiency.
. See generally Eugene F. Fama and Kenneth R. French, Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices, 96 Journal of Political Economy 2 (1988).
. Wagner v. Barrick Gold Corp.,
. See In re DVI, Inc. Sec. Litig.,
. See generally IBEW Local 90 Pension Fund v. Deutsche Bank AG, No. 11 Civ. 4209,
. See
. In re Computer Sci. Corp. Sec. Litig.,
. See generally 2/9/15 Declaration of John D. Finnerty, Ph.D., in Support of Lead Plaintiffs’ Motion for Class Certification ("Finnerty I”) and 4/17/15 Declaration of John D. Finnerty, Ph.D. in Support of Lead Plaintiffs’ Motion for Class Certification ("Finnerty II"). Plaintiffs slated on the record of the hearing on class certification that they were not relying on the first event study. See 7/15/15 Hearing Transcript ("Tr. I”), at 16:1-17; 7/16/15 Hearing Transcript ("Tr. II”), at 229:16-17 (“As plaintiffs, we're not relying on [the event study in] Finnerty L”).
. See Tr. I at 29:9-12 ("I employ the semi-strong form definition, which is customary in 10b-5 cases.”).
. Dr. Gompers submitted declarations in response to both Finnerty I and Finnerty II. See 3/3/15 Declaration of Paul A. Gompers, PH.D. (“Gompers I"); 5/29/15 Supplemental Declaration of Paul A. Gompers, PH.D. ("Gompers II”).
. Defendants’ Memorandum of Law in Opposition to Plaintiffs’ Motion for Class Certification (“Def. Mem.”), at 6.
. Id. (internal quotation marks, citations, and alterations omitted) (quoting Teamsters Local 445 Freight Div. Pension Fund v. Bombardier,
. Id.
. Id.
. See Bombardier,
. See In re PolyMedica Corp. Sec. Litig.,
. Billhofer v. Flamel Techs., S.A.,
. Cammer,
. See, e.g., Regions Fin. Corp.,
. See Freddie Mac,
. See Winstar Commc’ns Sec. Litig.,
. See Halliburton II,
. Sanjai Bhagat & Roberta Romano, Event Studies and the Law: Part I: Technique and Corporate Litigation, 4 Am. L. & Econ. Rev. 141, 142 (2002).
. See Alón Brav and J.B. Heaton, Event Studies in Securities Litigation: Low Power, Confounding Effects, and Bias at 3 ("Importing a methodology that economists developed for use with multiple firms into a single firm context creates three substantial difficulties: low statistical power, confounding effects, and bias."). Dr. Finnerty discussed the difference between event studies as conducted in the academic literature and those used in section 10(b) cases. See Tr. I at 30:14-32:13; 39:20-41:18; 114:15-115:14. In so doing, he noted that "the academic literature is really talking about the portfolio [i.e., multi-firm approach], and it’s the litigation or legal literature that is really the only place I've seen extended discussions of this single-company approach.” Id. at 32:10-13. The notion that event studies are the paramount tool for testing market efficiency comes from these multi-firm event studies. However, courts have generally not distinguished between the power of multi-firm and single firm event studies.
. See Bhagat & Romano, 4 Am. L. & Econ. Rev. at 149 ("An important question is can an event study be conducted with just one firm, that is, is a sample size of one acceptable? This question is especially relevant in court cases or regulatory injunctions involving only one firm. Conceptually, a sample of one is a rather small sample but this by itself does not invalidate the event study methodology. However, the statistical power with a sample of one is likely to be quite low. First, the variability of (abnormal) returns of a portfolio with just one stock in it is significantly higher than a portfolio with even a few, say five, stocks in it. Any standard finance or investment textbook will have a graph depicting the sharp drop in variance of portfolio returns as the number of stocks in the portfolio increases from one, to five, to ten; after about fifty stocks in the portfolio the decrease in variance is quite small. Second, it is plausible that the announcement period return of an announcing firm will be affected by other information unrelated to the event under study. If a sample of one is considered, it is quite difficult to determine the separate effects on firm value of the announcement and of the unrelated information item(s). If the sample has several firms, then the effect on firm value of such unrelated information is likely to cancel out. As the sample size increases the effect on firm value of such unrelated information (goes to zero) becomes less and less significant.”).
. Id. at 148.
. Kaufman & Wunderlich, 15 Stan. J.L. Bus. & Fin. at 232-33.
. See Regions Fin. Corp.,
. It is true that different event study methodologies may be used in the absence of unexpected news. In Freddie Mac the methodology was simply to look at news days versus non-news days and to determine whether there were substantially more statistically significant returns on news days than non-news days. See
. See Bhagat & Romano, 4 Am. L. & Econ. Rev. at 148.
. See
. In George v. China Automotive Sys., Inc., No. 11 Civ. 7533,
. Defendants do not contest Dr. Finnerty’s qualifications, and I find that he is well qualified to offer opinions on market efficiency.
. Memorandum of Law in Support of Defendants' Motion to Exclude the Expert Opinions of John D. Finnerty ("Def. Daubert”) at 10, 11 (emphasis in original).
. McIntire v. China MediaExpress Holdings, Inc.,
. See 2/25/15 Transcript of Deposition of Dr. John D. Finnerty at 128:9-18; 193:22-194:2; 487:14-488:3.
. Carpenters II,
. Martis Alex & Michael W. Stocker, Role of the Event Study in Loss Causation Analysis, Corporate Counsel, (Aug. 20, 2009), www.newyork lawjournal.com/PubArticIeNY.jsp?id= 1202433177190.
. In re Longtop Fin. Techs. Ltd. Sec. Litig.,
. See, e.g., In re Groupon Inc. Sec. Litig., Master File No. 12 C 2450,
. Finnerty II at ¶¶ 20-21.
. See id.
. Def. Daubert at 13 (citing In re Diamond Foods, Inc., Sec. Litig.,
. See Smilovits,
. Defendants' cases are also distinguishable. See George,
. Def. Daubert at 14. Dr. Finnerty testified that although the one earnings release in the second sub-period in the study did not show a statistically significant price reaction for the entire day, the result would have been different if he had tested the morning and the afternoon separately. This is because the stock had "plummeted” in the morning and then rose in the afternoon. Tr. I at 129:2-6. In addition, there was a statistically significant price reaction on June 28, 2012, the day after the disclosure of the fraud. See infra Part V.C.
. See Def. Daubert at 9-15.
. Defendants believe this figure should be fifty percent based on pre Halliburton II, non-controlling law. See id. at 15 (citing George,
. See, e.g., Bhagat & Romano, 4 Am. L. & Econ. Rev. at 149 (observing that single-firm event studies may lack power and fail to separate the effects of the event under study from confounding effects).
. See 6/18/15 Transcript of Deposition of Dr. Paul Gompers ("Gompers Dep.”), at 226:15-21 (stating that "the size of the surprise should affect the size of the stock price movement”).
. See Tr. I at 154:9-155:1 (Dr. Finnerty provided an example of when confounding information on an earnings surprise news day may lead to a price reaction that is not statistically significant: "Suppose that Barclays reports a negative earnings surprise but on the same day indicates that it plans to increase the dividend. It's well-established in the literature that negative earnings surprises are bad news and dividend increases are good news. That would be particularly important for Barclays because during the class period, there was a lot of concern about Bar-clays’ capital ratio, its regulatory capital ratios and the significance of the dividend — if Barclays could pay a dividend, that would mean its capital ratios were acceptable to the regulators. So when Barclays announced information regarding its dividend actions that was always, always highlighted by the analysts. So, in my example, negative earnings news, positive dividend news, and one could actually outweigh — little unclear, unless you look at how the analysts react, which one would outweigh the other. But what we normally expect is they would pretty much offset, and I would expect that the reaction would not be statistically significant.”).
. Id. at 48:15-49:21.
. Id. at 120:8-16. Accord Michael J. Kaufman, The PLSRA’s Damages Formula and Experts, 26 Securities Litig. Damages § 25 :B (Thomson/West 2008) ("An event study combines principles of finance (e.g. what factors influence a company’s stock price or the extent to which a company’s stock price incorporates all publicly available information) with principles of statistics (e.g., collecting and analyzing data and identifying, isolating, and quantifying numerous variables that may account for the resulting pattern of data).”).
. See Dean v. China Agritech, No. CV 11-01331,
. Def. Daubert at 8.
. Id. (citing Gompers II ¶¶ 69-72).
. Id. (citing Gompers II ¶¶ 72-79).
. Id. Defendants also argue that " 'a subjective analysis without any methodological constraints does not satisfy the requirements of Daubert.’ " Id. at 9 (quoting Bricklayers & Trowel Trades Int’l Pension Fund v. Credit Suisse Sec. (USA) LLC,
. See, e.g., McIntire,
. Id. Accord Fener v. Operating Engineers Const. Indus. and Misc. Pension Fund (LOCAL 66),
. For example, defendants argue that Dr. Fin-nerty’s second event study should be excluded because he does not believe that he had to run the event study- — i.e., that he was content with his first event study but only conducted the second one to address Dr. Gompers's concerns. But the expert’s motivation is irrelevant to an evaluation of whether his methodology satisfies the requirements of Daubert. In any event, Dr. Finnerty has adequately explained the scientific basis for
. Finnerty I ¶ 67.
. See Gompers I ¶¶ 37, 58.
. Halliburton II,
. See generally In re Sadia, S.A. Sec. Litig.,
. Defendants do not challenge plaintiffs’ showing with respect to Cammer 1 through 4 or Krog-man 1 through 3. See Tr. I at 35:3-7.
. See Finnerty I ¶ 22.
. Cammer, 711 F.Supp. at 1286.
. See Finnerty I ¶ 25.
. See Cammer,
. Finnerty I ¶ 26.
. Id. ¶ 29.
. See McIntire,
. Id. ¶32.
. Id. ¶¶ 66, 69 ("The median market capitalization for all stocks traded on the NYSE ranged from $714.3 million to $1,715 billion, during the Class Period.”).
. See id. ¶ 70.
. Gompers I ¶ 63.
. Finnerty II ¶ 103.
. See Finnerty I ¶ 71.
. Id. ¶ 72.
. See id. ¶¶ 73-100.
. Gompers I ¶ 55.
. Finnerty I ¶ 87.
. See id. ¶¶ 100, 102.
. See Tr. I at 198:1-199:5.
. Def. Daubert at 15.
. See, e.g., Finnerty II ¶¶ 98-105.
. Tr. I at 186:15-187:5.
.
. In any event, unlike the proposed expert in Deutsche Bank, Dr. Finnerty addressed the relationship between Barclays ADS and shares traded on the London Stock Exchange. See, e.g., Finnerty II ¶¶ 98-102, 104 (concluding that "the daily returns for the Barclays ordinary shares and the daily returns for the Barclays ADS during the approximately four-month U.K. short sale ban period (September 18, 2008 through January 16, 2009) were highly correlated.”).
. See Halliburton II,
. For example, Dr. Gompers suggests a short sale ban is indicative of inefficiency, but he admits that it is possible for a stock to be efficient during a short sale ban and that he did not analyze the impact of the short selling ban on Barclays ADS during the Class Period. See Tr. I at 198:1-199:5. Cf. In re Diamond Foods, Inc., Sec. Litig.,
. Halliburton II,
. See Def. Mem. at 15-20.
. Halliburton II,
. Id. at 2415-16 (quoting Basic,
. See Def. Mem. at 16 (citing Complaint ¶ 72).
. Defendants exhibit some confusion about how event studies work, and, perhaps, the example given in Halliburton II. In Halliburton II, the Court provided an example to show why defendants should not be precluded from demonstrating lack of price impact at the certification stage. In that example, plaintiffs' evidence was sufficient to show an efficient market while defendants’ event study showed that there was "no price impact with respect to the specific misrepresentation challenged in the suit.”
. Type I errors are when a study incorrectly rejects a null hypothesis. Type II errors are when a study incorrectly fails to reject a null hypothesis.
. Halliburton II,
. Id. at 2416.
. Def. Mem. at 18 (emphasis in original).
. Id. at 19.
. Id. (internal quotation marks omitted).
. See Plaintiffs’ Memorandum of Law in Opposition to Defendants’ Motion to Exclude the Expert Opinions of John D. Finnerty at 4.
. While I have always been skeptical that loss causation can be shown in this case, the Second Circuit has deemed otherwise, and I cannot revisit that issue on a motion for class certification.
. See, e.g., Fogarazzo,
. Defendants cite to Bombardier, in which the Second Circuit did not consider testimony from Teamsters' bond trader that he had "obtain[ed] an actual bid or quote after the close of the class period."
.
. Id. at 143 (citing In re SLM Corp. Sec. Litig., No. 08 Civ. 1029,
. Defendants also cite to Freddie Mac. The court excluded the day following the class period as a news date, with the only justification being that it was not “within the class period.”
. In re Refco, Inc. Sec. Litig.,
. See id. at 643 (citing In re IBM Sec. Litig.,
. In re Interpublic Sec. Litig., No. 02 Civ. 6527,
. Dr. Finnerty explained that because the reaction was "in the market by the opening on the 28th [] it [came] roughly 25 hours after the original press release...." Tr. I at 78:6-9. Furthermore, he found that the price decline on June 28 was statistically significant at the 1% level. See, e.g., Gompers Dep. at 257:9-15 (agreeing that under both the Finnerty I and Finnerty II event studies, the price decline on June 28 was statistically significant at the 1% level).
. Affiliated Ute,
. Id.
. Dodona I, LLC v. Goldman, Sachs & Co.,
. Id. at 270.
. Starr v. Georgeson S'holder, Inc.,
. See In re Smith Barney Transfer Agent Litig.,
. See Def. Mem. at 20-21. Defendants cite to Goodman v. Genworth Financial Wealth Management, Inc., which explains that even in cases where there are both misstatements and omissions, if the "positive statements are central to the alleged fraud ... the Affiliated Ute presumption does not apply.”
. PI. Mem. at 23.
. Tr. II at 239:8-11.
. Memorandum of Law in Further Support of Plaintiffs' Motion for Class Certification ("Reply Mem.”) at 13 (internal quotation marks and citations omitted).
. See Tr. II at 243:1-4. Diamond’s statements on the conference call were that "we’re categorically not paying higher rates in any currency” and (2) "we benefit in times of turmoil, so we post where we’re transacting, and it’s clearly not at high levels.” Complaint ¶ 108.
. See Reply Mem. at 13.
. Goodman,
. Starr,
. See Tr. II at 295:5-9.
. Desai v. Deutsche Bank Sec. Ltd.,
. Joseph v. Wiles,
. Complaint ¶¶ 109, 173.
. Roach,
. Def. Mem. at 21-25.
. Tr. I at 76:21-77:7. Accord Finnerty II ¶¶ 106-108.
. Finnerty II ¶ 106(d).
. Def. Mem. at 21-25. at 23-24. See also Gompers II¶¶ 157-178.
. Roach,
. Among other things, plaintiffs will have to address the argument that "any inflation directly associated with the market being misled about Barclays' financial condition through allegedly false LIBOR submissions, if it existed at all, would have dissipated as soon as Barclays started making accurate LIBOR submissions.” Gompers II 149. They will also have to quantify the inflationary impact of the LIBOR submissions (and Diamond’s statements) even though Dr. Fin-nerty previously "tested whether there was statistically significant reactions on those [LIBOR submission] day, and [] couldn’t find any.” Tr. I at 153:1-2.
. See, e.g., Betances v. Fischer,
. See Drexel Burnham Lambert Grp., Inc.,
. See, e.g., Billhofer,