Frаnk Butler alleged in his petition for writ of habeas corpus that his Sixth Amendment rights were violated when the California state trial court imposed an “upper term” sentence based on two aggravating factors not proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt. The district court, relying on
Cunningham v. California,
We conclude that the result in
Cunningham
was clearly dictated by the Supreme Court’s Sixth Amendment case law, in particular by
Blakely v. Washington,
I. Background.
A. Trial.
Frank Butler was tried in California state court for an assault on his former wife, Daria Butler. At trial, the Butlers provided conflicting accounts of the assault. The judge’s finding with regard to one of the aggravating factors turned, to some degree, on whose story was believed.
1. Daria testified:
She and Butler married in 1989 and had two children together, Barbara and La-quan, prior to their divorce in 1993. Her fights with Butler had been physical in the past, and she had hit him on more than one occasion. Daria had obtained at least three restraining orders against Butler, and she and Butler had repeatedly ended their relationship. In the summer of 2000, they reconciled once again, and Daria drove to St. Louis to pick up Butler and bring him back to California. Several months after Butler’s return to California, Daria and Butler separated once more, and Daria obtained a restraining order against Butler, still in place at the time of the June 28, 2001 incident. The Butlers reconciled yet again in January or February of 2001 and were living together, with their two children, at the time of the assault.
In 1977, Daria was in an abusive relationship with a different boyfriend. She obtained a gun and asked her boyfriend to meet her in an alley, where she shot and seriously injured him. At that time, she “didn’t have any knowledge of shelters or restraining orders or anything.”
On the evening of June 28, 2001, Daria and Butler had a dispute about a letter she had received from another ex-husband asking for help. Butler left the room; Daria “could tell that he was kind of getting upset.” Later in the evening, Daria tried to talk with Butler in their bedroom, but he left the room, slamming the door behind him. Daria decided to sleep in the downstairs office, but soon after she had gotten into bed downstairs, Butler entered the office and began yelling at her about her ex-husband. He then turned and left the room.
Soon thereafter, Daria decided to return to the bedroom, and Butler followed her there, “cursing and screaming” at her. Daria retrieved Butler’s suitcase from the bedroom closet; as she turned and placed it on the bed, she felt a blow to the back of her head and “the blows kept coming.” At some point during the attack, Daria realized that she was being hit with an iron. The attack left “blood spattered all across the room for several feet on the walls, the door,” and the fan.
Daria began screaming for her children. Laquan testified that when he responded to his mother’s screams, he found his mother on the floor of the bedroom crying and “bleeding in the back of her head.” The police arrived shortly thereafter, and Daria was taken to the hospital, where she received six to eight staples in the back of her head. Deputy Calvo, the sheriffs deputy assigned to investigate the case, confirmed that when he arrived at the scene he found a shattered iron.
2. Butler testified:
*630 Daria was the one who had instigated physical confrontations in their relationship, attacking and slapping him during marriage counseling sessions, and throwing things at him during arguments. At one point several months before the incident in question, Daria bit him on the chest after an argument.
After Daria told him about the letter from her ex-husband, he responded that she should tell her ex-husband that she could not help him because she was with Butler now. Daria became visibly angry. Butler attempted several times throughout the evening to speak with her, but she refused to have a conversation with him. After his final attempt to speak with her in the downstairs office, he concluded that it was better if he simply left, so he went upstairs to pack. Daria followed him upstairs to the bedroom, and he saw that she had a knife in her left hand. She came at him with the knife, and he grabbed the iron from his closet and hit her with it until she dropped the knife. Laquan, Barbara, and Deputy Calvo all testified that they did not see a knife in the bedroom after the attack.
3. The jury found Butler guilty of corporal injury to a spouse (Cal.Penal Code § 273.5(a) (2001)) 1 and assault with a deadly weapon or by means of force likely to produce great bodily injury (CaLPenal Code § 245(a)(1) (2000)). 2 The jury also found as “enhancements” that Butler used a deadly and dangerous weapon and that he inflicted great bodily injury during the commission of the crime. See Cal.Penal Code §§ 12022(b)(1) (2003), 3 12022.7(a) (2003). 4
B. Sentencing.
Under California’s DSL as it existed at the time Butler was sentenced, “[w]hen a judgment of imprisonment is to be imposed and the statute specifies three possible terms, the court shall order imposition of the middle term, unless there are circumstances in aggravation or mitigation of the crime.” 5 Cal.Penal Code § 1170(b) *631 (2005). The California Rules of Court (“Rules”) effective at the time of Butler’s sentencing 6 also provided that “[t]he middle term must be selected unless imposition of the upper or lower term is justified by circumstances in aggravation or mitigation.” Cal. R. Ct. 4.420(a) (1977). Under the Rules, “[circumstances in aggravation and mitigation must be established by a preponderance of the evidence,” and “[s]election of the upper term is justified only if, after a consideration of all the relevant facts, the circumstances in aggravation outweigh the circumstances in mitigation.” Rule 4.420(b). The Rules also specify a non-exhaustive list of aggravating and mitigating factors, including factors relating to the crime and factors relating to the defendant. See Cal. R. Ct. 4.421, 4.423. Both the crimes of which Butler was convicted specify three possible terms, so his sentencing was governed by section 1170(b). See Cal.Penal Code §§ 273.5(a), 245(a)(1).
At Butler’s sentencing, the court indicated that it had “read and considered the probation report in this case.” The court then found that although Butler had one prior misdemeanor offense, his lack of a significant prior record was a factor in mitigation. The court noted that “on the other side of the coin are factors in aggravation”: “the vulnerability of the victim with her back turned to the defendant when she was attacked from behind” and “the fact that [Butler] was on probation at the time the crime was committed.”
Butler’s counsel objected to the use оf Butler’s probationary status as an aggravating factor, arguing that “there is no indication that he was noncompliant except for this.” The court rejected .this argument, and went on to conclude that the aggravating factors “outweigh the factor in mitigation.” Based on these findings, the court imposed the upper term of four years in state prison for corporal injury to a spouse. The court then also imposed sentences of one year and three years, respectively, for the use of a deadly weapon and the infliction of serious bodily injury enhancements, for a total of eight years in state prison. On count two, assault with a deadly weapon, the court imposed the middle term of three years as well as the three-year enhancement for causing serious bodily injury, but stayed imposition of the sentence.
C. State Direct Appeals and Post-Conviction Relief.
On direct appeal, Butler raised a Sixth Amendment challenge to the imposition of an upper term sentence based on facts found by a judge by a preponderance of the evidence, rather than by a jury beyond a reasonable doubt. The California Court of Appeal initially held, on September 22, 2004, that Butler’s “sentence was erroneous under compulsion of
Blakely v. Washington
[,
*632
Shortly before the California Court of Appeal’s first decision on Butler’s direct appeal, the California Supreme Court had decided
People v. Black,
D. District Court Proceedings.
In December 2006, Butler filed a petition for writ of habeas corpus in federal district court, maintaining that his sentence violated
Blakely.
Shortly thereafter, in January 2007, the Supreme Court decided
Cunningham. Cunningham
addressed a challenge to California’s DSL and concluded that “the middle term prescribed in California’s statutes, not the upper term, is the relevant statutory maximum” for purposes of analysis under
Apprendi v. New Jersey,
The State responded to Butler’s petition by filing a motion to dismiss, arguing that Butler’s claim of sentencing error was unexhausted. The State contended that, “because the recent Cunningham decision casts рetitioner’s [claim] in a significantly different light, his petition should be dismissed and proceedings stayed while petitioner returns to state court to seek relief under Cunningham.”
The magistrate judge recommended that the district court deny the state’s motion because
Cunningham
“did not effect an intervening change in federal law.” In its objections to the magistrate judge’s recommendation, the State argued for the first time that
Cunningham
constitutes a “new rule of constitutional law” within the meaning of
Teague v. Lane,
Having failed in its effort at dismissal, the State filed an answer to the first amended petition on May 16, 2007, in which it maintained that granting relief to petitioner would violate Teague. Moreover, the State argued, the California Court of Appeal and the California Supreme Court’s decisions did not unreasonably apply “clearly established” Supreme Court precedent' because Butler’s probation status falls within the “recidivism” exception to Apprendi v. New Jersey and, under California’s DSL, a trial court’s finding of a single aggravating factor is sufficient to render a defendant eligible for the upper term. The State further contended that any error was harmless because the jury would have found the two aggravating factors beyond a reasonable doubt. Butler filed a traverse in response, contesting each of the State’s arguments.
*633 The magistrate judge recommended that the district court grant a conditional writ of habeas corpus. The magistrate judge determined that the failure to obtain a jury-verdict on the probation aggravating factor was harmless, but that the state had not met its burden of demonstrating harmlessness with regard to the “vulnerability of the victim” finding. The district court adopted the magistrate judge’s recommendation and granted a conditional writ of habeas corpus.
II. Analysis.
A. Retroactivity.
In
Cunningham,
the Supreme Court addressed a Sixth Amendment challenge to California’s DSL. The petitioner in
Cunningham
was convicted of “continuous sexual abuse of a child under the age of 14.”
In accord with Blakely, ... the middle term prescribed in California’s statutes, not the upper term, is the relevant statutory maximum. Because circumstances in aggravation are found by the judge, not the jury, and need only be established by a preponderance of the evidence, not beyond a reasonable doubt, the DSL violates Apprendi’s, bright-line rule: Except for a prior conviction, any fact that increases the penalty for a crime beyond the prescribed statutory maximum must be submitted to a jury, and proved beyond a reasonable doubt.
Id. at 868 (internal quotation marks and citations omitted). California’s DSL thus “violates a defendant’s right to trial by jury safeguarded by the Sixth and Fourteenth Amendments.” Id. at 860.
The State argues that the Supreme Court’s holding in
Cunningham
— that California’s DSL violates the Sixth Amendment because it raises the statutory maximum based on facts found by a judge, rather than a jury-is a “new rule” of constitutional law and therefore cannot be applied retroactively on collateral review under
Teague v. Lane
7
When a State raises the issue of retroactivity, “federal habeas courts
must
apply
Teague
before considering the merits” of a claim.
Beard v. Banks,
Under
Teague,
“old” rules of criminal procedure apply “both on direct and collateral review, but a new rule is generally applicable only to cases that are still on direct review.”
Whorton v. Bockt-ing,
— U.S. -,
To determine whether precedent dictated the holding that California’s DSL is inconsistent with the Sixth Amendment, we must “ascertain the legal landscape as it ... existed [before November 7, 2005] and ask whether the Constitution, as interpreted by the precedent then existing, compelled] the rule.”
Beard,
Looking at the legal developments prior to
Cunningham,
we conclude that the Supreme Court’s Sixth Amendment case law at the time Butler’s conviction became final compelled the conclusion that California’s DSL was unconstitution
*635
al.
10
First in the line of pertinent cases was
Apprendi v. New Jersey,
That the California DSL squarely violated this principle-and that the result in
Cunningham
was compelled by precedent-is best illustrated by comparing the Washington sentencing statute at issue in
Blakely
with California’s DSL. The Washington law in
Blakely
provided that “[a] judge may impose a sentence above the standard range if he finds ‘substantial and compelling reasons justifying an exceptional sentence.’ ”
A judge’s decision to impose an exceptional sentence under Washington law was reversible if “there [wa]s insufficient evidence in the record to support the reasons for imposing an exceptional sentence.”
Blakely,
Examining the Washington law at issue in
Blakely,
the Supreme Court recognized both that the judge had discretion to determine whether to impose an exceptional sentence and that there was not an exhaustive list of mitigating and aggravating factors.
Blakely,
In short,
Cunningham
did not add “ ‘any new elements or criteria for’ ” determining when a state statute viоlates the Sixth Amendment.
Boyd v. Newland,
The State advances a number of objections to this conclusion, but each fails for the same reason: the State cannot identify any relevant difference between the sentencing scheme in
Blakely
and that in
Cunningham.
The State points, first, to the fact that we have held that
Apprendi, Blakely,
and
Booker
announced “new rules.”
See Jones v. Smith,
Second, the State maintains that the existence of two dissents in
Cunningham
shows that not all reasonable jurists would have felt compelled to hold that California’s sentencing scheme violates the Sixth Amendment. Dissents to the decision announcing a rule are relevant to the new rule analysis, but their existence does not alone “suffice[ ] to show that the rule is new.”
Beard,
Also, dissents often disagree with the majority’s application of established legal principles to discrete factual circumstances, and do not suggest that the majority has adopted a “new rule” of constitutional law.
See, e.g., Rompilla v. Beard,
In contrast, when the Supreme Court has relied in part on dissents in earlier cases in applying
Teague,
the dissents in question have addressed considerations pertinent to the
Teague
analysis.
See Beard,
The dissents in
Cunningham
were not of the variety relied on in
Beard.
Justice Kennedy’s
Cunningham
dissent, joined by Justice Breyer, did not contend that
Cunningham
was wrongly decided, but instead maintained that “the
Apprendi
line of cases remains incorrect.”
See Cunningham,
Justice Alito’s dissent is similarly unhelpful to the State, as that dissent also presented no argument that
Blakely
could be applied in
Cunningham
to reach a different result. Instead, Justice Alito, joined by Justices Kennedy and Breyer, contended, primarily, that the majority misapprehended California law, not that the DSL,
as the majority understood it,
passes constitutional muster under
Ap-prendi, Blakely,
and
Booker. Id.
at 876-79,
In the end, the State’s position would require us to hold that each time a rule of general applicability, such as that announced in
Blakely,
is applied to a discrete circumstance, a new rule of constitutional law is created. Not only is that result
*639
inconsistent with the pertinent case law, it is not supported by the purposes of nonretroactivity on collateral review. In
Teague,
the Supreme Court adopted Justice Harlan’s view that habeas “ ‘serves as a necessary additional incentive for trial and appellate courts ... to conduct their proceedings in a manner consistent with established constitutional standards.’ ”
In this case,
Apprendi, Blakely,
and
Booker
made “courts throughout the land” aware that sentencing schemes that raise the maximum possible term based on facts not found by a jury violate the constitutional rights of defendants.
Id.
at 306,
B. Exhaustion.
The State also argues that Butler’s ha-beas petition must be dismissed for failure to exhaust, because
Cunningham
constitutes an intervening change in federal law that casts the legal issue in a fundamentally different light.
See Blair v. California,
After Teague, an intervening change in federal law that casts the legal issue in a fundamentally different light is a “new rule” that cannot be applied on collateral review under any circumstances, regardless of whether the petitioner has exhausted his state court remedies. In other words, after Teague, the Douglas line of cases no longer serves any function. Where there is no new rule announced, the state court has had a fair chance to address the issue when it was raised, and there is no reason to require further exhaustion. We hold that when a petitioner raises a claim in state court that is later resolved in a case that announced no “new rule,” a petitioner is not obligated to return to state court to exhaust his remedies under that case.
C. AEDPA.
Butler’s petition was filed, after April 24, 1996, so the provisions of the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act apply to his petition.
See Fields v. Brown,
“A state court decision is contrary to clearly established federal law if the state court either applies a rule that contradicts the governing law set forth by the Supreme Court or arrives at a different result when confronted by a set of facts that are materially indistinguishable from a decision of the Supreme Court.”
Sims v. Rowland,
In reviewing a state court decision under § 2254(d)(1), we “look to the last reasoned decision of the state court as the basis of the state court’s judgment.”
Polk v. Sandoval,
Black I reached its result — upholding the DSL — by applying a rule of decision contrary to clearly established Supreme Court precedent. The California Supreme Court articulated the relevant question as
whether a trial judge’s decision to impose an upper term sentence under the California determinate sentencing law involves the type of judicial factfinding that traditionally has been performed by a judge in the context of exercising sentencing discretion or whether it instead involves the type of factfinding that traditionally has been exercised by juries in the context of determining whether the elements of an offense have been proved.
Black I,
The rule applied in
Black I
is nowhere to be found in Supreme Court precedent. Instead, it parallels the position of the
dissenters
in several of the Supreme Court’s sentencing cases.
See Booker,
In fact, “the ‘statutory maximum’ for
Apprendi
purposes is the maximum sentence a judge may impose
solely on the basis of the facts reflected in the jury verdict or admitted by the defendant.” Blakely,
D. Constitutional Violation.
Our conclusion that the decision of the California Court of Appeal was “contrary” to clearly established Supreme Court precedent is not the end of our inquiry. Our power to grant the writ of habeas corpus to a state inmate depends on his actually being “in custody in violation of the Constitution or laws ... of the United States.” 28 U.S.C. § 2241(c)(3). Having held that the requirements of AEDPA have been met, we must also determine, applying a de novo review standard, whether there has been a constitutional violation.
See Frantz v. Hazey,
Almendarez-Torres
held that the fact of a prior conviction need no.t be pleaded in an indictment or proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt.
Id.
at 244, 247,
1. California law.
The California Supreme Court revisited its decision in
Black I
after a remand from the United States Supreme Court for reconsideration in light of
Cunningham.
*642
See People v. Black,
Butler argues that we should not accept the
Black II
court’s interpretation of the California DSL as requiring only a single aggravating factor to authorize the upper term. As an initial matter, Butler waived this argument by failing to raise it either in the district court or in his brief on appeal, mentioning it for the first time at oral argument.
See Nw. Acceptance Corp. v. Lynnwood Equip., Inc.,
Even were the issue not waived, however, Butler’s argument would fail. We are bound tо accept a state court’s interpretation of state law, except in the highly unusual case in which the “interpretation is clearly untenable and amounts to a subterfuge to avoid federal review” of a constitutional violation. Knapp.
v. Cardwell,
Further, although the California Rules of Court state that “[sjelection of the upper term is justified only if, after a consideration of all the relevant facts, the circumstances in aggravation outweigh the circumstances in mitigation,” Cal. R. Ct. 4.420(b) (emphasis added), the statute itself provides that “the court shall order imposition of the middle term, unless there are circumstances in aggravation or mitigation of the crime,” CaLPenal Code § 1170(b). The wеighing language of the Rules of Court can reasonably be interpreted as guiding a judge’s discretion to *643 select a term within the statutory maximum set by section 1170(b) after an aggravating factor has been found. In short, California’s interpretation of the DSL is not “clearly untenable.”
Having established that, under California law, only one aggravating factor is necessary to set the upper term as the maximum sentence, we turn to analyzing whether Butler’s sentence was imposed in violation of the Constitution. The Sixth Amendment does not prevent judges from “exercising] discretion — taking into consideration various factors relating both to offense and offender-in imposing a judgment
within the range
prescribed by statute.”
Apprendi,
2. Probation and the “Prior Conviction” Exception.
The trial court imposed an upper term sentence on Butler based on two aggravating factors: his victim was particularly vulnerable, and he was on probation at the time he committed the assault. The State argues that Butler’s sentence does not violate the Constitution because the fact that Butler was on probation at the time of the crime was found in a manner consistent with the Constitution. We cannot agree with the State’s premise — ’that the narrow exception for prior convictions extends to a defendant’s probationary status at the time of the instant crime.
In
Almendarez-Torres,
the Supreme Court determined that the fact of a prior conviction for an aggravated felony need not be pleaded in an indictment or proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt.
Nonetheless, the Supreme Court has not overruled the
Almendarez-Torres
exception for prior convictions, continuing to hold that
“[o]ther than the fact of a prior conviction,
any fact that increases the penalty for a crime beyond the prescribed statutory maximum must be submitted to a jury, and proved beyond a reasonable doubt.”
Apprendi,
We are left, then, with the task of determining the outer bounds of the “prior conviction” exception after
Apprendi.
We find some guidance in
Shepard,
which addressed the kind of evidence on which а court may rely in determining whether a prior conviction constitutes a crime of violence for purposes of the Armed Career Criminal Act of 1984 (“ACCA”).
Without delineating precisely the line between those facts that come within the
Almendarez-Torres
exception and those that do not,
Shepard
“avoid[ed] serious risks of unconstitutionality” by “limit[ing] the scope of judicial factfinding” under the ACCA to whether a prior guilty plea or jury verdict necessarily constitutes a conviction for the “generic” crime at issue.
Id.
at 25-26,
Heeding the Supreme Court’s cautions about
Almendarez-Torres
and
Shepard’s
guidance, we have been hesitant to broaden the scope of the prior conviction exception to facts not apparent on the face of conviction documents.
United States v. Kortgaard,
Nor does the
Almendarez-Torres
exception apply to past convictions as a juvenile or to prior removal proceedings, because those underlying proceedings lack full Sixth Amendment protections.
See United States v. Tighe,
Our case law on criminal penalties for illegal reentry is especially instructive. In
United States v. Salazar-Lopez,
In sum, our case law establishes three prerequisites for applying the
Almendarez-Torres
exception. First, “[t]he fact of a prior conviction is the
only
fact that both increases a penalty beyond the statutory maximum and can be found by a sentencing court.”
Covian-Sandoval,
Applying these established principles to the determination of a defendant’s current probation status, we conclude that such status does not come within the narrow prior conviction exception. That the defendant was initially sentenced to probation should be ascertainable from the conviction documents and, we may assume, would be a fact coming within the prior conviction exception. 13 The fact that a de *646 fendant was on probation at the moment of the current crime, however, is not reflected in the documents of a prior conviction nor, for that matter, may it be conclusively inferred from those documents.
Under California probation law, for example, a judge retains the authority to modify the terms of an individual’s probation at any time, including terminating probation early or extending it for a longer term. California Penal Code § 1203.3(a) provides:
The court shall have authority at any time during the term of probation to revoke, modify, or change its order of suspension of impositiоn or execution of sentence. The court may at any time when the ends of justice will be sub-served thereby and when the good conduct and reform of the person so held on probation shall warrant it, terminate the period of probation, and discharge the person so held.
A probation term can therefore be terminated early, or be extended, or be revoked as a result of a probation violation.
See, e.g., People v. Butler,
As a result, the fact that an individual was sentenced to a term of probation at the time of a prior eonviction-a fact that may be reflected in conviction documents of the kind approved by Shepard — is not sufficient to prove that he was on probation at the time of the current crime. That determination — like the timing of a prior removal in Salazar-Lopez — can only be made by drawing inferences from the prior conviction documents and by considering facts and circumstances that occurred after the prior conviction.
The fact of having been terminated from probation, placed on extended probation, or having probation revoked is, of course, likely to be recorded in court documents. But like a removal proceeding or juvenile adjudication, probation revocation hearings are not conducted with the safeguards that attend a criminal conviction.
See, e.g., People v. Shepherd,
We are aware that decisions of several of our sister circuits suggest that whether a defendant was on probation at the time of the crime is a fact that comes within the prior conviction exception and so may be found by a judge by a preponderance of the evidence.
See, e.g., United States v. Corchado,
As far as we can ascertain from the opinions, our sister circuits were not asked to consider whether the fаct of being on probation is distinct from other facts associated with a prior conviction. Rather, they were faced only with general
Apprendi
challenges to multiple findings about an individual’s criminal history.
See Corchado,
We therefore conclude that the Sixth Amendment was violated when Butler’s maximum possible term was raised based on facts, other than a prior conviction, that were not admitted or proved to a jury beyond a reasonable doubt.
E. Harmlessness.
Butler is entitled to relief only if the sentencing error in his case is not harmless.
See Washington v. Recuenco,
Further, in conducting harmless error review of an
Apprendi
violation, we may consider evidence presented at sentencing proceedings. But “we do not consider new admissions made at sentencing in our harmless error inquiry,”
Salazar-Lopez,
Under California law, as we have explained, only one aggravating factor is necessary to set the upper term as the maximum term. Any Apprendi error therefore will be harmless if it is not prejudicial as to just one of the aggravating factors at issue.
Here, the district court noted that it is impossible to know what the trial court would have done had it found only one aggravating factor. It concluded that the Sixth Amendment violation therefore could not be harmless unless it did not affect either of the aggravating factors upon which the judge relied. With regard to a Sixth Amendment sentencing violation, however, the relevant question is not what the trial court would have done, but what it legally could have done. After one aggravating factor was validly found, the trial court legally could have imposed the *649 upper term sentence. That the judge might not have donе so in the absence of an additional factor does not implicate the Sixth Amendment, as that consideration concerns only the imposition of a sentence within an authorized statutory range.
With these principles in mind, we turn to the aggravating factors that form the basis for Butler’s sentence.
1. Vulnerable Victim.
The state trial court found that Daria Butler was a particularly vulnerable victim because “she was attacked from behind.” Under California law, vulnerable means “ ‘defenseless, unguarded, unprotected, accessible, assailable, one who is susceptible to the defendant’s criminal act.’ ”
People v. Weaver,
There is little doubt, based on the evidence presented at trial, that the jury would have concluded beyond a reasonable doubt that Daria Butler was attacked from behind. Butler never contested the evidence showing that Daria’s wounds were to the back of her head, and the jury’s verdict demonstrates that it believed Da-ria’s version of the incident. But after examining California case law on the “particularly vulnerable” victim aggravating factor, we have grave doubt about whether a jury would have found that Daria was a particularly vulnerable victim of the crime of domestic assault (Cal.Penal Code § 273.5) because she was attacked from behind.
In the overwhelming majority of cases, “particularly vulnerable victims” have had inherent personal characteristics that, sometimes in combination with the manner in which the crime was committed, render them more vulnerable than other victims.
See, e.g., People v. Bishop,
The California courts have in a few cases relied on aspects of the status of the victim that are more changeable than age or physical frailty, but have done so only when the victim was seriously, if only temporarily, incapacitated.
People v. Hoover,
*650 Here, there is no evidence that at the time of the crime Daria was less able than other victims to ward off attacks because of any such disability or incapacitation. Indeed, there was evidence from which a jury could сonclude that Daria was generally a physically capable individual, as there was testimony at trial from both Daria and Butler that she had physically attacked Butler in the past. 17 A jury might have concluded that having one’s back turned is similar to being asleep in the sense that both are temporary states, and that in each case the defendant takes advantage of a moment of greater assaila-bility. But they are not so similar that we can say with confidence, particularly in light of the many cases focused on characteristics such as age and physical frailty, that a jury would conclude that an individual with her back turned is a “particularly vulnerable victim.”
Moreover, as we have already discussed, a victim must be not only vulnerable, but “particularly” vulnerable in relation to other victims of the same crime.
See, e.g., People v. Piceno,
*651
In sum, we are left with “grave doubt” as to whether a jury would have found, beyond a reasonable doubt and based solely on the circumstance of being attacked from behind, that Daria was a “particularly vulnerable” victim of domestic violence. The
Apprendi
error was therefore not harmless with regard to the first aggravating factor.
See O’Neal,
2. Probationary Status.
Whether a jury would have found Butler’s probationary status beyond a reasonable doubt turns out to be, on the record in this case, a difficult question to answer. The record before the district court does not reveal what evidence on the probation issue was presented to the state trial court. We therefore remand to the district court for an evidentiary hearing on that question.
The state trial court opened the sentencing proceeding by stating, “I’ve read and considered the probation report in this case.” After statements from the prosecutor and defense counsel, the judge found that Daria Butler was a particularly vulnerable victim and that Butler “was on probation at the time the crime was committed.” In response to the judge’s second finding, Butler’s lawyer suggested that the probation aggravating factor be stricken because “there is no indication that he was noncompliant except for this.”
The statement of defense counsel at sentencing suggests that Butler acknowledged, or at least did not dispute, that he was on probation at the time of the crime. Even assuming, however, that defense counsel’s statement was sufficiently specific as to constitute an admission, we may not consider it in determining whether the
Apprendi
error in Butler’s sentencing was harmless.
See Salazar-Lopez,
We are left, then, to determine whether the evidence presented by the prosecution at sentencing is sufficient to render the error harmless. Unfortunately, the record simply does not reveal what that evidence was. Having reviewed all the submissions to the district court in this case, we have not found a probation report or any other document that reflects Butler’s probationary status at the time of the crime. At oral argument, the government acknowledged that it did not submit the probation report read by the sentencing judge to the district court. We thus cannot be certain what evidence was presented to the state trial court on the question of Butler’s probationary status. Yet, to determine whether an Apprendi error was harmless we must examine the whole record, including the evidence presented by the government at sentencing. We therefore cannot make our determination without further factfinding as to what evidence was presented at sentencing.
We recognize that neither of the parties has requested an evidentiary hearing on this issue. Further factfinding on this issue is necessary, however, not to assist either of the parties in meeting a burden of proof as to harmlessness, but to assist the court in making an accurate determination.
See Frantz,
CONCLUSION
For the foregoing reasons, the judgment of the district court is AFFIRMED in part, VACATED in part, and REMANDED for proceedings not inconsistent with this opinion. 20
Each party shall bear its own costs on appeal.
Notes
. Cal.Penal Code § 273.5(a) provides:
Any person who willfully inflicts upon a person who is his or her spouse, former spouse, cohabitant, former cohabitant, or the mother or father of his or her child, corporal injury resulting in a traumatic condition, is guilty of a felony, and upon conviction thereof shall be punished by imprisonment in the state prison for two, three, or four years, or in a county jail for not more than one year, or by a fine of up to six thousand dollars ($6,000) or by both that fine and imprisonment.
. Cal.Penal Code § 245(a)(1) provides:
Any person who commits an assault upon the person of another with a deadly weapon or instrument other than a firearm or by any means of force likely to produce great bodily injury shall be punished by imprisonment in the state prison for two, three, or four years, or in a county jail for not exceeding one year, or by a fine not exceeding ten thousand dollars ($10,000), or by both the fine and imprisonment.
. Cal.Penal Code § 12022(b)(1) provides:
Any person who personally uses a deadly or dangerous weapon in the commission of a felony or attempted felony shall be punished by an additional and consecutive term of imprisonment in the state prison for one year, unless use of a deadly or dangerous weapon is an element of that offense.
. Cal.Penal Code § 12022.7(a) provides:
Any person who personally inflicts great bodily injury on any person other than an accomplice in the commission of a felony or attempted felony shall be punished by an additional and consecutive term of imprisonment in the state prison for three years.
. Section 1170 of the California Penal Code was amended in January 2005 and again in March of 2007. See Cal.Penal Code § 1170 (2005) and Cal.Pеnal Code § 1170 (2007). The relevant language in section 1170(b) remained unchanged in the version that was passed in January 2005. In contrast, the version that became effective on March 30, 2007, passed in response to Cunningham, provides *631 that: ‘'[w]hen a judgment of imprisonment is to be imposed and the statute specifies three possible terms, the choice of the appropriate term shall rest within the sound discretion of the court.” Cal.Penal Code § 1170(b) (2007). All references to section 1170(b) are to the 2005 version — which was in effect at the time Butler’s conviction became final in November 2005 — unless otherwise specified.
. Rule 4.420 was amended substantially on May 23, 2007 in response to Cunningham. See Cal. R. Ct. 4.420 (2007). All references are to the previous version in effect in November 2005 when Butler’s conviction became final unless otherwise specified.
.
Teague
was a plurality opinion, but the
Teague
rule was adopted by a majority of the Court shortly thereafter in
Penry v. Lynaugh,
. A new rule may be applied on collateral review if it places certain primary conduct beyond the reach of the criminal law, or constitutes a "watershed” rule of criminal procedure "implicating the fundamental fairness and accuracy of the criminal proceeding.”
Saffle
v.
Parks,
. Butler argues that we need not decide whether
Cunningham
announced a "new rule” because his "petition relies not on
Cunningham,
but on his rights to proof beyond a reasonable doubt and jury trial as established by
Apprendi, Blakely,
and
[United States
v.]
Booker
[,
. In determining whether a rule is "new” for
Teague
purposes, we may also consider our own case law.
See Leavitt v. Arave,
. In
Mills,
for example, the dissenters argued that previous case law controlled only the sentencing judge's consideration of mitigating factors, rather than the acts of individual jurors.
. In fact, subsequent Supreme Court cases have disproved Justice Alito's assumptions about judicial review of district court sentencing decisions
post-Booker.
In particular, Justice Alito was mistaken in his view that judicial review would effectively prevent district court judges from substantially departing from the guidelines in the absence of any case-specific facts.
See Kimbrough v. United
States,-U.S.-,
. Indeed, we have permitted judges to make factual findings regarding the sentence initially imposed for a prior conviction, which is apparent on the face of conviction documents. For example, under
Almendarez-Torres,
a finding by a judge of a prior conviction for an aggravated felony can be the basis for raising the maximum term in an illegal reentry case under 8 U.S.C. § 1326(b),
see United States v. Calderon-Segura,
In contrast, we have never held that the amount of time ultimately served, or the defendant's status as a prisoner at the time of the crime — facts analogous to the probation factor in this case — come within the exception. Although some of our cases have stated generally that "criminal history” determinations under U.S.S.G. § 4A1.1 come within the prior conviction exception, we have never so held in a case involving subsections (d) and (e) of that Guideline, which assign points for committing a crime while on probation or while incarcerated and for committing a crime within two years of release from prison, respectively.
See, e.g., United States v. Hernandez-Castro,
. Our conclusion that probation status at the time of the instant crime does not come within the "prior conviction” exception does not suggest that petitioners will always, or even often, obtain relief when a judge, rather than a jury, has made such a finding. As we discuss further below,
Apprendi
errors are harmless when we can ascertain that a judge wаs presented with sufficient documents at sentencing — including the original conviction documents and any documents evidencing modification, termination, or revocation of probation — to enable a reviewing or sentencing court to conclude that a jury would have found the relevant fact beyond a reasonable doubt.
See Salazar-Lopez,
. Some of our sister circuits have also taken a broader view of the
Almendarez-Torres
exception, permitting judicial factfinding as to facts that we have held do not come within the
Almendarez-Torres
exception.
See, e.g., Williams,
. The parties have brought to our attention
United States v. Zepeda-Martinez,
. We note that, in pointing to the fact that Daria had engaged in physical fights with Butler in the past, we do not mean to suggest that Daria was not clearly a victim of Butler’s crime, or that she is in any way at fault for not having defended herself successfully in this instance. We mean only to demonstrate that she did not have any inherent physical characteristics that would render her less capable of defending herself than most victims of assault.
. The State argues that a recent California Court of Appeal case has limited the rule that a victim is only particularly vulnerable when other victims of the offense are not vulnerable in the same manner.
See People v. Weaver,
.In concluding that allowing a judge to find the "particularly vulnerable victim” factor was not harmless, we do not hold that the *651 trial court was wrong as a matter of California law when it found that Daria was a particularly vulnerable victim because she was struck from behind. We hold only that a jury properly instructed on California law and applying a reasonable doubt standard could well have found otherwise.
. Butler also contends that he must be re-sentenced under California law as it existed at the time of his initial sentencing. Following the decision in
Cunningham,
the California legislature amended its statutes such that imposition of the lower, middle, or upper term is now discretionary and does not depend on the finding of any aggravating factors.
See
Cal.Penal Code § 1170(b) (2007). In
People v. Sandoval,
Butler argues that applying this judicial reformation of the law violates the ex post facto principles contained in the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment.
See Bouie v. City of Columbia,
