ORDER ON MOTIONS TO EXCLUDE EXPERT TESTIMONY
Plaintiff, Jimmie Bowers, brings this action pursuant to the Federal Employers’ Liability Act (FELA) seeking damages for *1345 back and neck injuries he sustained while employed by Defendants, Norfolk Southern Corporation, Norfolk Southern Railway Company, and Central Georgia Railroad Company (hereinafter referred to collectively as “Norfolk Southern” or “Defendants”). On September 24-25, 2002, while working as an engineer on a locomotive traveling overnight from Savannah, Georgia, to Macon, Georgia, Plaintiff allegedly suffered acute injuries to his back and neck. Plaintiff attributes his injuries to two sources: the excessive vibration of the locomotive in which he was traveling and the defective engineer’s seat on' which he sat during the five-hour journey. In his Complaint, Plaintiff alleges, inter alia, that Defendants negligently failed to properly maintain, inspect, and repair both the locomotive and the seat, and failed to provide him with a locomotive that worked properly and safely.
Following the close of discovery, the parties filed multiple motions in limine. Through these motions, the parties seek to exclude the testimony of various expert witnesses for failure to satisfy the requirements of Rule 702 of the Federal Rules of Evidence, as well as ■ the standards set forth in
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
In preparing to rule on the motions, the Court held a status conference with the attorneys and offered them the opportunity to have a hearing to present evidence. Neither side wanted a hearing. The Court then reviewed the depositions and affidavits of each of the experts, their curricula vitae, and their expert reports, where available in the record. The Court also reviewed ' Plaintiffs deposition and his medical records, the deposition of Michael Solesbee, the ISO standards used to measure locomotive vibration, and the various articles relied upon by Larson and Trimble in forming their opinions. After conducting an extensive review of the record, the Court held a second conference call with the attorneys to make sure that it had a proper understanding of the record. The parties confirmed that the Court did. Having reviewed the record, together with the relevant case law, the Court concludes that the parties’ motions should be GRANTED in part and DENIED in part.
BACKGROUND INFORMATION
In September 2002, Plaintiff worked for Defendants as a railroad engineer. At the time, Plaintiff was 57 years old, stood five feet nine inches ‘tall, and weighed 215 pounds. (PL Dep. 4:7-11, 25:14-15.) He lived in Savannah, Georgia, with his wife and spent his free time reading, exercising, walking, and performing home repair and improvement work. (PI. Dep. 10:2-24.)
Plaintiff began his career with Norfolk Southern in 1970, working first as a switchman, then rising through the ranks *1346 to become a locomotive engineer in 1976. (Pl. Dep. 41:3-10.) From 1976 through 1985, Plaintiff traveled various routes throughout Middle Georgia, working as a railroad engineer. In 1985, he received a regular assignment to travel the route from Savannah to Macon. (Pl. Dep. 41:15-24.) He continued to travel the Savannah-to-Macon route until September 25, 2002, when he allegedly suffered the injuries claimed in this lawsuit.
A. The September 25, 2002 Incident
On the evening of September 24, 2002, Plaintiff reported to the Mason Rail Yard, located just outside of Savannah, Georgia, for his routine run from Savannah to Macon. He arrived at work at approximately 6:00 or 7:00 p.m., performed a pre-depar-ture inspection of the locomotive and equipment, and prepared for the trip from Savannah to Macon. (Pl. Dep. 43:23-25, 45:20-46:16.) Approximately two to four hours into his trip, Plaintiff experienced acute pain in his lower back, tingling in his lower legs and feet, and numbness in his right arm and hand. (Pl. Dep. 50-51, 62 & Exh. 2.) As he continued on his trip, Plaintiffs pain increased until it began “shooting up and down his back into his neck.” (Pl. Dep. 62:23-63:2 & Exh. 2.) By the time he arrived in Macon on the morning of September 25, Plaintiffs pain was severe enough to compel him to go to the local emergency room.
Plaintiff has been unable to identify specifically the cause of his injuries. (Pl. Dep. 60.) However, he claims that, to his best recollection of that day, the locomotive vibrated excessively, which caused his cab seat to move laterally, “shak[ing][him] back and forth.” (Pl. Dep. 59-50.) Plaintiff additionally alleges that the cab seat lacked adequate padding. (Pl. Dep. 55, 60, 72:11-17.) Plaintiff believes that these two defects together caused his low back and neck injuries.
When Plaintiff arrived in Macon, a Norfolk Southern employee met him at the rail yard and transported him to the Coliseum Medical Center for treatment. (Pl. Dep. 65:15-67:2.) There, the emergency room physician took x-rays, administered a steroid injection, and gave Plaintiff some pain pills. (Pl. Dep. 79.) Plaintiff claims that, after reviewing his x-rays, the emergency room physician diagnosed a bulging disk in his lower back and degenerative disc disease in his neck. (Pl. Dep. 94:8-9.) Later that day, Plaintiff returned to Savannah, where, over the several months that followed, he received extensive medical treatment.
B. Plaintiffs Medical History
Plaintiffs neck problems began long before the September 25, 2002 incident, and Plaintiff believes that, to some degree, the 2002 incident aggravated his pre-existing neck pain. (Pl. Dep. 106:6-20.) Plaintiff first sought treatment for his neck problems on October 29, 1998, with Dr. Roy Baker, a board-certified neurosurgeon in Savannah. (Baker Dep. 3:17-4:12.) During his October 29 visit, Plaintiff complained of pain in his right shoulder, arm, and neck. (Baker Dep. 4:15-21.) He told Dr. Baker that he had never before experienced any problems with his cervical spine. (Baker Dep. 4:21.) At no time during his treatment with Dr. Baker did Plaintiff mention any lower back or leg problems.
Dr. Baker initially diagnosed cervical spondylosis, a condition characterized by degenerative and arthritic problems in the neck. (Baker Dep. 4-5.) Dr. Baker also noted moderate nerve compression on the *1347 right side of Plaintiffs neck. (Baker Dep. 4-5.) Dr. Baker recommended a cervical myleogram, a diagnostic procedure, to investigate Plaintiffs complaints. The my-leogram, performed on November 19, 1998, showed that Plaintiff had multiple level osteophytes and bone spurs on both the right and left sides of his cervical spine. After considering the results of the myleogram, Dr. Baker hoped that Plaintiff could avoid surgery, but thought that Plaintiff might eventually require a multilevel cervical discectomy and fusion. (Baker Dep. 6.)
Dr. Baker saw Plaintiff again on November 24, 1998. On this visit, the two discussed treatment options. Plaintiff chose the physical therapy option, and Dr. Baker referred him to a physical therapist. (Baker Dep. 6-7.) The physical therapist released Plaintiff on January 12, 1999. (Baker Dep. 21.)
On September 25, 2002, the day of the alleged injury, and approximately four years after he had first treated with Dr. Baker, Plaintiff went to the Coliseum Medical Center Emergency Department in Macon. The medical report of that visit shows under “HPI” (history of present illness) that Plaintiff complained of sharp and dull pains in his cervical and thoracic spine of moderate severity. Under the “Timing” section of the HPI, Plaintiff gave a medical history of the complaints beginning, “PTA” (prior to admission)— “30 days ago.” (Wardell Dep. Exh. 6.) In other words, Plaintiff gave a medical history of his lumbar and cervical problems beginning thirty days before sitting in the allegedly faulty locomotive seat.
Upon returning to Savannah, Plaintiff saw Dr. Henry Deriso, an orthopaedist. (PI. Dep. 94:24-95:6.) After examining Plaintiff, Dr. Deriso advised him that he could return to work. (PL Dep. 97:9-11.) Plaintiff disagreed, and chose instead to obtain a second opinion from Dr. Baker. (Pl. Dep. 97.) Plaintiff returned to Dr. Baker on October 25, 2002. During his visit, Plaintiff complained of pain in his neck, lower back, and legs. He attributed his injuries to the September 25, 2002 incident, stating that he “had been sitting in a firm chair with not much padding,” and explaining that “he got so shook up sitting there he developed a lot of back pain and neck pain.” (Baker Dep. 8-9.)
Dr. Baker examined Plaintiffs cervical and lumbar spine and concluded that Plaintiffs neurological exam was normal. Dr. Baker did not find any significant neurological problems other than Plaintiffs complaints. (Baker Dep. 10-11.) Because Plaintiff complained of pain shooting down his arms and legs, Dr. Baker recommended a second myleogram, which Plaintiff underwent shortly thereafter. (Baker Dep. 12-13.)
Dr. Baker next saw Plaintiff on November 4, 2002. Dr. Baker reviewed Plaintiffs myleograms and concluded that Plaintiffs lumbar myleogram did not look too bad. Plaintiffs cervical myleogram, however, showed bilateral nerve root compression of the C4-5 and C5-6 vertebrae, as well as slight compression of the C6-7 vertebra. (Baker Dep. 13.) In addition, the myleo-gram revealed a large bar of bone spurs spanning those three levels of Plaintiffs cervical spine. (Baker Dep. 12-13.) Dr. Baker saw no evidence of an acute herniated disc. (Baker Dep. 23.) Dr. Baker further testified that the changes he noted on the myleograms typically do not develop in a matter of weeks. (Baker Dep. 25.) Dr. Baker concluded that, in his opinion, lumbar surgery would not help Plaintiff. (Baker Dep. 26.) Plaintiff never returned to Dr. Baker following that visit.
*1348 Instead, Plaintiff saw two other physicians, both located in Rocky Mount, North Carolina. 1 On January 8, 2003, Plaintiff traveled from Savannah to Rocky Mount to see Dr. Gilbert Whitmer, an orthopae-dist. Plaintiffs attorney referred him to Dr. Whitmer. (PI. Dep. 111:19-25; Miller Dep. 7:20-8:6.)
During his office visit with Dr. Whitmer, Plaintiff told him that he worked as a railroad engineer and that, during a five-hour train trip, he started developing back and neck pain that gradually worsened during the trip. Plaintiff told Dr. Whit-mer that the seat in the locomotive caused his problems, describing it as a wooden seat with very little padding. (Miller Dep. 8:6-17 & Exh. 6.) Dr. Whitmer diagnosed Plaintiff with cervical spondylitis, lumbar degenerative disc disease, and spinal sten-osis. (Miller Dep. Exh. 6.) Dr. Whitmer then referred Plaintiff to his partner, Dr. David Miller, for treatment.
Plaintiff returned to Rocky Mount on January 28, 2003, to meet with Dr. Miller, an orthopaedist who specializes in spinal surgery. (Miller Dep. 7:3-14.) Plaintiff recounted a similar medical history to Dr. Miller, describing neck and back problems arising during and after a five-hour train trip. Dr. Miller concluded that Plaintiff showed signs of disk and joint problems at the L4-5 level and spondylosis, or “wear and tear” changes, at the L5-S1 level. (Miller Dep. 12:10-16.) Dr. Miller also noted “wear and tear” changes in Plaintiffs cervical spine. (Miller Dep. 12:14-16.) Dr. Miller opined that Plaintiffs neck and back problems resulted from the work-related injury to his lumbar spine that occurred on September 25, 2002. (Miller Dep. 12:22-25.)
Following his examination of Plaintiff, Dr. Miller ordered discography studies on Plaintiffs lumbar spine. These studies were performed in Savannah to save Plaintiff the trip to North Carolina. Dr. Miller then saw Plaintiff again on February 25, 2003, to review the results of these studies and discuss treatment options with Plaintiff. Based on the studies, Dr. Miller believed that Plaintiff had significant problems at the L4-5 and L5-S1 levels. (Miller Dep. 14:9-16:6.) Accordingly, Dr. Miller recommended that Plaintiff undergo spinal surgery and Plaintiff agreed. (Miller Dep. 16:12-19.)
On April 9, 2003, Dr. Miller performed extensive surgery on Plaintiffs spine at a hospital in Tarboro, North Carolina. He discharged Plaintiff from the hospital three days later, on April 12, 2003. (Miller Dep. 39:17 & Exh. 2.) Following his discharge, Plaintiff returned to North Carolina for several post-surgical follow-up visits with Dr. Miller. Plaintiff last saw Dr. Miller on November 4, 2003.
Dr. Miller’s final diagnosis was that Plaintiff suffered a L4-5 and L5-S1 disk injury and spondylosis at L5-S1. (Miller Dep. 32:17-18.) Dr. Miller assigned Plaintiff a twenty percent “permanent partial impairment” (disability) rating. (Miller Dep. 30:19-21.) Dr. Miller based Plaintiffs disability rating on the fact that he *1349 had undergone a two-level spinal fusion. (Miller Dep. 30:24-31:6.)
Plaintiff agrees that his health has improved since his surgery; however, he claims that he still cannot perform many of his normal daily activities. (PI. Dep. 128:8-10.) Plaintiff further claims that his back problems continue to prevent him from working as a railroad engineer, though he admits that, given the proper training, he may be able to perform other work, such as clerical work, for Norfolk Southern. (PI. Dep. 129:11-131:3.)
LEGAL STANDARD
This case turns on the issues of causation and damages. The six expert witnesses who are the subjects of the six motions in limine filed in this case offer opinions on these very issues. The admissibility of expert testimony is governed by Rule 702 of the Federal Rules of Evidence. Rule 702 provides:
If scientific, technical, or other specialized knowledge will assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue, a witness qualified as an expert by knowledge, skill, experience, training, or education, may testify thereto in the form of an opinion or otherwise, if (1) the testimony is based upon sufficient facts or data, (2) the testimony is the product of reliable principles and methods, and (3) the witness has applied the principles and methods reliably to the facts of the case.
Fed.R.Evid. 702. Simply stated, under Rule 702, relevant expert testimony is admissible only if the trial court finds that: (1) the expert is qualified to testify about the matters he intends to address; (2) the methodology used by the expert to reach his conclusions is sufficiently reliable; and (3) the expert’s testimony will assist the trier of fact, through the application of scientific, technical, or specialized expertise, to understand the evidence or determine a fact in issue.
McCorvey v. Baxter Healthcare Corp.,
As the Supreme Court noted in
Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
Rule 702 imposes a duty on trial courts to act as “gatekeepers” to insure that speculative and unreliable opinions do not reach the jury.
To fulfill its role as a gatekeeper, the trial court must determine whether the expert has the requisite qualifications to offer the opinions he gives.
Poulis-Minott v. Smith,
Though
Daubert
involved scientific experts, the Supreme Court has since made it clear that the strictures of Rule 702 and
Daubert
apply with equal force to nonscientific expert witnesses.
See Kumho Tire,
Beginning with the qualification requirement, the Eleventh Circuit has advised that “experts may be qualified in various ways.”
Frazier,
With respect to the reliability requirement, the Eleventh Circuit counsels courts to assess “whether the reasoning or methodology underlying the testimony is ... valid and whether that reasoning or methodology properly can be applied to the facts at issue.”
Frazier,
Daubert
supplies a list of four non-exclusive factors that courts may consider in evaluating the reliability of an expert’s testimony: (1) testability; (2) error rate; (3) peer review and publication; and (4) general acceptance.
An additional list of factors is found in the advisory committee notes to Rule 702. These factors are:
(1) Whether the expert is proposing to testify about matters growing naturally and directly out of research he has conducted independent of the litigation, or whether he has developed his opinion expressly for purposes of testifying;
(2) Whether the expert has unjustifiably extrapolated from an accepted premise to an unfounded conclusion;
(3) Whether the expert has adequately accounted for obvious alternative explanations;
(4) Whether the expert is being as careful as he would be in his regular professional work outside his paid litigation consulting;
(5) Whether the field of expertise claimed by the expert is known to reach reliable results for the type of opinion the expert would give.
Fed.R.Evid. 702, advisory committee’s note (2000 amends.). Like the four Dau-bert factors, these factors do not comprise a definitive checklist, nor is any single factor dispositive of reliability; instead the tests articulated in the advisory committee notes merely illustrate the issues a court may consider in evaluating an expert’s testimony. See id.
The final requirement for admissibility of expert testimony is that it be helpful to the trier of fact. Expert testimony is helpful to the trier of fact “if it concerns matters that are beyond the understanding of the average lay person.”
Frazier,
At all times when scrutinizing the reliability and relevance of expert testimony, a court must remain mindful of the delicate balance between its role as a gatekeeper and the jury’s role as the ultimate fact-finder. A district court’s “gatekeeper role ... is not intended to supplant the adversary system or the role of the jury.”
Allison,
As a final matter, the Court’s application of Rule 702 and
Daubert
in this case is not altered in any way by the substantive law governing Plaintiffs claims. While this is a FELA case, to which a relaxed standard of causation
3
applies, “the standard of causation under FELA and the standards for admission of expert testimony under the Federal Rules of Evidence are distinct issues and do not affect one another.”
Claar v. Burlington N. R.R. Co.,
DISCUSSION
With these principles in mind, the Court now turns to the merits of each motion, beginning with the Defendants’ four motions in limine.
A. Defendants’ Motions in Limine
1. Arthur Wardell, M.D.
Defendants have moved to exclude the opinions of Arthur W. Wardell, M.D., an orthopaedist who performed an “independent” medical examination of Plaintiff at Plaintiffs request. Dr. Wardell opines that a vibrating locomotive seat caused a permanent aggravation of Plaintiffs underlying degenerative neck and back condition during a five-hour train trip on September 25, 2002. (Wardell Dep. 16, 30, May 26, 2005.) 4 Dr. Wardell is a causation and damages witness for Plaintiff. He did not treat Plaintiff, and he did not examine him until after Dr. Miller performed extensive surgery on Plaintiffs lumbar spine.
Defendants attack Dr. Wardell’s testimony by arguing both, that he lacks the requisite qualifications and that his opinions lack a reliable scientific basis. The Court will consider only Defendants’ objection to the reliability of Dr. Wardell’s causation opinions, which mainly concern the etiology of Plaintiffs injuries.
Plaintiff primarily defends the reliability of Dr. Warden’s opinions by arguing that he used a “differential diagnosis” approach — an approach which, according to Plaintiff, is widely accepted as reliable. *1353 Before discussing the problems with the “differential diagnosis” approach in this case, the Court will test Dr. Wardell’s methodology using the four factors discussed in Daubert and the five factors outlined in the Rule 702 advisory committee notes.
At the outset, the Court notes that Plaintiffs pre-injury medical history, combined with his claim that an unknown amount of vibration caused his injuries, present an unusually complex causation issue. 5 As explained below, the complexity of the causation issue in this case drives the Court’s conclusions about the reliability of Dr. Wardell’s methodology. Before discussing the reliability of Dr. Wardell’s opinions, however, the Court will briefly recount Plaintiffs dealings with Dr. War-dell.
Dr. Wardell first saw Plaintiff on September 27, 2004, on referral from Plaintiffs counsel. Plaintiff gave Dr. Wardell the same history that he had previously recited to many of his other treating physicians — he stated that he had developed progressive pain in his neck and back while working as an engineer on a long train trip on September 24-25, 2002. Plaintiff related the onset of his pain to the bouncing and rattling associated with the engineer’s seat. He further explained that the locomotive seat lacked significant shock absorption and adequate padding. (Wardell Dep. 7-10.)
Based primarily on this history, Dr. Wardell testified that “after completing the differential diagnosis, my opinion was that the cause of that permanent aggravation was the trip on the seat of September 24, 2002.” (Wardell Dep. 17.) Dr. War-dell said in his report dated October 8, 2004: “I think that the exposure to vibration was a significant factor leading to Mr. Bowers [sic] premature degenerative disc disease and cervical spondylosis.” (War-dell Dep. Ex. 2.)
Significantly, Dr. Wardell concluded that Plaintiff had degenerative arthritis and degenerative disc disease in his back and neck before the September 25, 2002 incident. Indeed, all of the experts seem to agree on this point. Dr. Wardell also testified that the aggravation of Plaintiffs pre-existing condition “could have been caused by any source of trauma. It could have been caused by a lifting injury. It could have been caused by a fall. It could have been caused by twisting wrong. It could have been caused by sports.” (War-dell Dep. 17.) He therefore concedes that any type of trauma could have exacerbated Plaintiffs pre-existing back and neck condition. (Wardell Dep. 61.)
With this background in mind, the Court will now scrutinize Dr. Wardell’s testimony using the four
Daubert
factors and the five advisory committee note factors mentioned above. In so doing, the Court will “conduct an exacting analysis of the
foundations
of [Dr. Wardell’s] opinions to ensure they meet the standards of reliability under Rule 702.”
United States v. Frazier,
a. Reliability of Dr. Wardell’s Testimony
Simply stated, Dr. Wardell cannot satisfy any of the Daubert factors: he has *1354 not demonstrated that his causation opinions are testable; he has not offered any error rate for his opinions; he has not shown any evidence that his opinions have been peer reviewed or that he used a peer-reviewed source to reach his opinions; and, finally, he has not shown the general acceptance of his opinions. Consequently, his opinions fail all four of the Daubert factors.
Presumably the Court could stop here, rule out Dr. Wardell’s unreliable opinions, and stand on firm ground within the abuse of discretion standard and the flexibility accorded to trial courts in testing expert opinions.
See United States v. Brown,
The advisory committee notes under Rule 702 offer five additional factors for testing expert opinions. The first factor asks “whether the expert is proposing to testify about matters growing naturally and directly out of research he has conducted independent of the litigation, or whether he has developed his opinions expressly for purposes of testifying.” For three important reasons, Dr. Wardell fails this test.
First, Plaintiffs attorney sent Plaintiff to see Dr. Wardell in Suffolk, Virginia, some 460 miles 6 away from Plaintiffs home in Savannah. Dr. Wardell did not see Plaintiff to treat him, but only to build Plaintiffs damages case; therefore, he does not qualify as a “treating physician.” Moreover, although Dr. Wardell is a board-certified orthopaedist, his interest is sports medicine, and he does not perform back surgery. Accordingly, Dr. Wardell did not see Plaintiff independent of this litigation; he saw him solely for this litigation.
Second, Dr. Wardell admitted that, beginning as far back as 1980, he has seen hundreds of patients on referral from attorneys. In the course of a year, he sees approximately sixty such patients, and virtually one hundred per cent of the time, those patients are plaintiffs in lawsuits. 7
Third, Plaintiffs counsel has sent other clients to Dr. Wardell, and he admitted that he saw Plaintiff strictly for purposes of this lawsuit. (Wardell Dep. 38.) He further admitted that he does not normally treat patients from Georgia and agreed that many good orthopedic surgeons do practice in Georgia. (Wardell Dep. 78-81.)
Armed with these facts and Dr. War-dell’s history, the Court can easily identify him as a hired gun expert 8 and simultaneously conclude that he cannot satisfy the *1355 first factor — the “independence” factor— under the advisory committee notes.
Dr. Warden’s testimony likewise fails to satisfy the second factor under the advisory committee notes, which asks “whether the expert has unjustifiably extrapolated from an accepted premise to an unfounded conclusion.” The term “accepted premise” is commonly understood to include either a premise that is generally accepted by the medical or scientific community, or one that is found in a recognized text, treatise, or other reliable source.
In the present case, Plaintiff has not made the Court aware of any “accepted premise” upon which Dr. Wardell’s opinions are based. Perhaps one “accepted premise” underlying Dr. Wardell’s opinions is that vibration can cause injury. Even if this premise is an accepted one, it is too vague to have any meaning for a Daubert analysis, especially in light of Dr. Wardell’s concession that not all vibration can cause harm. (Wardell Dep. 45.)
Absent from this vague premise is any specific information about the amount of vibration that is harmful to an individual, the length of time over which such harm normally occurs, and the nature of the resulting harm. Further absent from Dr. Wardell’s testimony is any reference to the level of vibration Plaintiff endured and the length of time over which he endured it. Dr. Wardell has offered no quantification, no parameters, no percentages, no numbers — nothing except dogmatic, but vague, opinions. The Court cannot rely on Dr. Wardell’s
ipse dixit
to judge the reliability of his conclusion that vibration can cause back problems, and more specifically, that the vibration of Defendants’ locomotive seat caused Plaintiffs back problems.
Kumho Tire,
Such vague and imprecise opinions are often excluded by trial courts and their exclusion is regularly affirmed by the Eleventh Circuit.
E.g., McDowell v. Brown,
Plaintiff further offends the second factor by making an “unjustifiable extrapolation” from an additional, unstated premise underlying Dr. Wardell’s opinions. Plaintiff presupposes that, because an orthopae-dist can usually testify about the cause of a plaintiffs injuries based primarily on his history, Dr. Wardell should be permitted to testify about the cause of Plaintiffs *1356 condition in this case. The Court does not accept this premise in this case because of the unusual complexity of Plaintiffs injuries — namely, his pre-injury medical history of degenerative disk disease, his thirty days of pre-existing symptoms, and his claim that an unknown amount of vibration caused his injuries. Plaintiff has failed to convince the Court that by examining a patient, taking his history, and reviewing all of the studies and radiographs, an or-thopaedist can always reach a valid causation opinion. Plaintiff certainly cannot establish that in this case. For the same reason, he cannot prove that Dr. Wardell satisfies the second factor under the advisory committee notes.
The third factor under the advisory committee notes asks “whether the expert has adequately accounted for obvious alternative explanations.” Dr. Wardell’s methodology also fails this test. Plaintiff gave a medical history at the Coliseum Medical Center Emergency Department on September 25, 2002, the day of the alleged incident. In it, he described how his cervical and lumbar complaints began thirty days earlier — thirty days before his train trip on the vibrating seat. He stated that his lumbar and cervical pains were both sharp and dull, that the severity of them was moderate, and that the pains were intermittent in nature. (Wardell Dep. Ex. 6.) Thus, when he sought treatment in the emergency room following the September 25, 2002 incident, Plaintiff was experiencing moderately severe pain, and had been suffering such pain before that time for approximately one month.
Dr. Wardell fails to adequately address this important information, which bears directly on both the source and onset of Plaintiffs lumbar pain. He offers no explanation for the cause of the thirty days of intermittent lumbar and cervical pain that preceded the pain that the vibration allegedly caused. He likewise offers no explanation for when the pain from one cause stopped and pain from the vibrating seat began, or how to distinguish between the two. Indeed, he is unable to do so because he concedes “that there was no one time injury here.” (Wardell Dep. 53.) In sum, Dr. Warden’s testimony makes it difficult to determine whether Plaintiff suffered a new injury as a result of the September 25, 2002 incident or just one more bout of the intermittent pain that began thirty days before. Dr. Wardell’s failure to adequately account for this obvious alternative explanation creates a fatal analytical gap in his testimony.
Continuing in this same vein of “excluding other causes,” Dr. Wardell testified that when Plaintiff described the seat’s thin padding and minimal shock absorption, “[h]e noted that about fifty per cent of his time was spent on such seats, and that the seats had been designed the same way since [the] early 1990s.” (Wardell Dep. 10.) Nothing in the record reflects that sitting on this seat or a seat like this one for fifty percent of the time since the early 1990s caused Plaintiff any problems. The Court is left to ponder how the ride of September 24, 2002, differed from all of the other rides Plaintiff had taken over the preceding decade. Dr. Wardell offers no answer, leaving yet another analytical gap in his opinions.
Finally, on the “excluding other causes” factor, Plaintiffs lumbar complaints fall into a category of complaints with a very high background risk in the general population.
See McClain v. Metabolife Int’l, Inc.,
But the dilution does not stop here. According to Dr. Wardell, everyone is exposed to vibration every day. (Wardell Dep. 45.) This means that Plaintiff was exposed to vibration on a daily basis in the thirty-day period preceding the train trip. With dilution diluting dilution, the Court is left with scientific backwash. Dr. Wardell, therefore, fails the third factor.
The fourth factor under the advisory committee notes asks “whether the expert is being as careful as he would be in his regular professional work outside his paid litigation consulting.” As with the three previous factors, Dr. Wardell’s methodology fails this factor. When cross-examined about the vibration standards and studies that might apply to the work place, Dr. Wardell conceded that he knew nothing about those standards or studies. (War-dell Dep. 42, 46-51.) Instead, Dr. Wardell protested that the studies did not involve a fifty-nine-year-old man like Plaintiff. These protestations amount to a lame evasion of legitimate cross-examination. In fact, from his answers on cross-examination, the Court infers that Dr. Wardell did not want to be confused with the scientific facts about the effect of vibration on the human body. By crafting an opinion with little regard for the scientific standards and studies on vibration, Dr. Wardell has failed to exercise the same care- as he would in his work outside his paid litigation consulting. As above, Dr. Wardell’s conduct is consistent with that of a hired gun expert.
Notwithstanding Dr. Wardell’s admitted failure to familiarize himself with the various vibration standards and studies, the Court is confident that Dr. Wardell subscribes to and reads the orthopedic literature, and otherwise stays abreast of developments in orthopedics. (Wardell Dep. 50.) Nevertheless, in reaching his causation opinions, he did nothing to research that literature. For testifying about causation in routine orthopedic cases, this step is unnecessary; but, as the Court explained at the outset of this Order, this is not a routine case.
Moreover, it appears from the record that Dr. Wardell simply took Plaintiffs word for what happened and adopted that explanation as his own opinion on causation. Certainly, Dr. Wardell examined Plaintiff and reviewed his medical records and radiographic studies, but he admitted that he based his opinion primarily on Plaintiffs history. (Wardell Dep. 11-12, 52.) This raises the question of the value of Plaintiffs history.
The Court can easily conclude that Plaintiffs history made little difference in his treatment. Dr. Miller saw Plaintiff, examined him and took his history, but he did not operate on him at that time. If Plaintiffs history were so important, Dr. Miller could have rolled Plaintiff into the operating room in Tarboro, North Carolina, as soon as he learned that vibration injured his back. But Dr. Miller did not *1358 do that. He sent Plaintiff back to Savannah to undergo discography studies, and only after seeing those studies did he operate on Plaintiffs spine. So Plaintiffs history was not the key to treating Plaintiffs back problems. 9
Yet, Plaintiffs radiology studies, however important they may have been in diagnosing and treating Plaintiffs back problems, do not prove causation. What Dr. Wardell saw on those films did not show what caused Plaintiffs injuries. If they had, Dr. Wardell would have readily identified the pathognomonic proof and summarily ended this causation dispute.
Even more importantly, no evidence shows that, had the examinations, studies, and radiographs all been performed before Plaintiff boarded the train on September 24, 2002, there would have been any difference in his clinical condition or x-ray findings. Plaintiffs medical records show that he had degenerative disk disease before the September 25, 2002 incident and that he was symptomatic. Plaintiff has offered no proof to dispute this. In fact, Dr. War-dell testified that x-rays and MRIs taken of Plaintiffs neck and back after the train trip showed no evidence of any acute injury. (Wardell Dep. 53.) In light of this, the Court cannot conclude that Dr. War-dell was as careful in formulating his causation opinions as he would have been in his regular work as an orthopaedist.
One final problem with the level of care exercised by Dr. Wardell is his admitted lack of analysis in reaching his conclusions. Defense counsel asked Dr. Wardell this question: “You agree with me, sir, that you employed absolutely no scientific analysis or methodology to come to the conclusion that vibration aggravated [Plaintiffs] back and neck problems.” He responded: “I did not.” Yet, he conceded that Plaintiffs condition required more analysis than determining the cause of a simple injury such as a broken arm. (Wardell Dep. 53.) One would presume that, in light of this concession, Dr. Wardell would have taken greater care to familiarize himself with the literature and consider the various possible causes of Plaintiffs condition before formulating his opinions regarding the cause of Plaintiffs injuries. But he did not analyze this case any further than taking Plaintiffs word for what caused his harm. Dr. Wardell therefore fails the fourth factor.
The fifth factor under the advisory committee notes asks “whether the field of expertise claimed by the expert is known to reach reliable results for the type of opinion the expert would give.” The Court will recast the question for this *1359 case: Is it enough, even if Dr. Wardell exercised the care he usually exercises in practicing orthopedics, for him to reach reliable opinions about the effect of vibration on Plaintiffs back, in light of Plaintiffs pre-existing condition and Dr. War-dell’s ignorance, both about the amount of vibration Plaintiff sustained and about the level of vibration that will cause a back injury? The complexity of the question implies the answer: no. Plaintiff, who has the burden of proof, offered the Court no proof on this question.
Again, this is not the typical case where an orthopaedist can adopt a patient’s history as his causation opinion. A few examples of typical eases include: the brittle-boned octogenarian who falls in the kitchen and breaks her hip; the defensive end who has his knee crushed by a 330-pound offense tackle and suffers an anterior cruciate tear; the woman who falls in a grocery store and suffers a Colles’ fracture of her wrist; and the unbelted passenger who is ejected during a car wreck, lands on his head in a cotton field, and suffers a compression fracture of his cervical vertebra. In these typical cases, an orthopaedist legitimately can adopt a patient’s history as his causation opinion, since the patient has sustained a common injury in a way that it commonly occurs. This case is easily distinguishable from the typical cases just described-it involves a patient with preexisting lumbar and cervical problems and a thirty-day intermittent exacerbation of those problems, who claims that vibration from a faulty locomotive seat caused his harm. The complexity of the causation issues in this case underscores the need for Dr. Wardell to have done more than simply adopt Plaintiffs history as his causation opinion. Because he failed to do anything more, Dr. Wardell fails the fifth factor under the advisory committee notes.
In light of all of the problems outlined above, it appears that Dr. Wardell based his causation testimony on a temporal relationship, not on a scientific method. In doing so, he has blundered into the
post hoc ergo propter hoc
fallacy. “The
post hoc ergo propter hoc
fallacy assumes causality from temporal sequence. It literally means ‘after this because of this.’ It is called a fallacy because it makes a false assumption based on the false inference that a temporal relationship proves a causal relationship.”
McClain,
The trial court has “considerable leeway in deciding in a particular case how to go about determining whether particular expert testimony is reliable.”
Kumho Tire,
b. The Differential Diagnosis Method
Plaintiff primarily defends the reliability of Dr. Warden’s opinions by claiming that *1360 Dr. Wardell used the “differential diagnosis” method to reach his causation opinions. Plaintiffs argument lacks merit for two main reasons. First, as discussed in greater detail below, the Court questions whether Dr. Wardell actually used the differential diagnosis method in the way that a treating physician diagnoses his patient’s disease or injury. Second, simply claiming that an expert used the “differential diagnosis” method is not some incantation that opens the Daubert gate to allow an expert’s opinions to be admitted at trial. Indeed, it can easily amount to nothing more than medico-legal sophistry used in an attempt to avoid the Court’s reliability analysis.
This is especially true where, as here, the expert essentially stamps his badge of expertise on a medico-legal history given by a lawyer-referred plaintiff. At any rate, Plaintiff cannot use the “differential diagnosis” argument to trump Dr. War-dell’s total failure to pass the tests recommended in Daubert and the Rule 702 advisory committee notes. Nonetheless, the Court will address Plaintiffs points concerning the differential diagnosis method.
On the first point, the Court finds that Dr. Wardell did not perform a “differential diagnosis” on Plaintiff.
Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary
defines “differential diagnosis” as “the determination of which one of two or more diseases or conditions a patient is suffering from, by systematically comparing and contrasting their clinical findings.”
Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary
490 (29th ed.2000). Similarly,
Stedman’s Medical Dictionary
defines it as “the determination of which of two or more diseases with similar symptoms is the one from which the patient is suffering, by a systematic comparison and contrasting of the clinical findings.”
Stedman’s Medical Dictionary
417 (26th ed.1995),
cited in Clausen v. M/V NEW CARISSA,
These definitions focus on diagnosing the disease, not on determining the etiology or cause of the disease. They describe a physician treating his patient, not an expert building a plaintiffs special damages. Dr. Wardell’s approach does not comply with this definition because he did not try to diagnose and treat Plaintiff. He examined him to give a medico-legal opinion about causation and the extent of Plaintiffs damages. Dr. Wardell himself agreed that determining cause is different from making a correct diagnosis. (War-dell Dep. 91.)
The term “differential etiology” more aptly describes Dr. Wardell’s approach in this case. This term is “used on occasion by expert witnesses or courts to describe the investigation and reasoning that leads to the determination of external causation, sometimes more specifically described by the witness or court as a process of identifying external causes by a process of elimination.”
McClain,
It is too easy to gloss over these two definitions and conclude that they amount to a distinction without a difference. Indeed, courts in various circuits have admitted expert testimony supposedly based on the “differential diagnosis” method, when, in reality, the testimony is based on the “differential etiology” method. 10 The distinction is more than semantic; it involves an important difference.
*1361 The difference arises from what is at stake in the two distinct methods and what that difference implies about the likely reliability of the expert’s opinions. When a doctor develops his differential diagnosis in treating a patient, two factors strongly insure that the doctor will follow a reliable methodology to diagnose the patient’s condition. First, if he misdiagnoses the patient’s condition, the patient may die. And second, if he misdiagnoses the patient’s condition and the patient dies, then the patient’s family will sue the doctor for medical malpractice. 11
By contrast, when an expert witness uses the differential etiology approach to testify in court to support a litigant’s case, he has very little at stake. He renders his opinion, and then gets paid, often quite handsomely. The plaintiff is at no risk of harm, and the expert will not get sued for malpractice.
The differential diagnosis method has an inherent reliability; the differential etiology method does not. This conclusion does not suggest that the differential etiology approach has no merit. It simply means that courts, when dealing with matters of reliability, should consider opinions based on the differential etiology method with more caution. It also means that courts should not conflate the two definitions.
Setting aside the problem of twisted terms, the Court will address Plaintiffs argument that Dr. Wardell’s so-called “differential diagnosis” was a reliable method by which he formed his causation opinions. Plaintiff claims that “[i]t is well-settled that a differential diagnosis is an accepted scientific method to determine causation.” (Pl.’s Mem. in Opp’n 9.) Plaintiffs argument is not an accurate statement of the law because using the “differential diagnosis” method does not trump the reliability requirement.
Rather, opinions based on a differential diagnosis are admissible only if the trial court determines that the expert reliably applied the differential diagnosis method.
See, e.g., Goebel v. Denver & Rio Grande W. R.R. Co.,
The Eleventh Circuit itself has recognized both the importance of a properly-conducted differential diagnosis and the need to look past the labels given to an expert’s method to ensure that the opinions he offers are reliable. In McClain, the Eleventh Circuit stated:
Under certain circumstances, circumstances that ensure reliability, [the differential diagnosis] approach may offer an important component of a valid methodology. This approach, however, will usually not overcome the fundamental failure of laying a scientific groundwork for the general toxicity of the drug and that it can cause the harm a plaintiff suffered.
Two important points flow from McClain into the stream of the Court’s analysis of Dr. Warden’s method. First, the expert’s approach — whether a differential diagnosis or a differential etiology — • must be reliable. As already explained, Dr. Wardell’s method, whatever the label, was not reliable. Second, the expert’s approach must include in its causes one that is recognized to cause the harm that a plaintiff suffered. The Court accepts that under certain circumstances and at certain levels, vibration can injure someone. However, according to Dr. Wardell, we are all subject to vibration in our daily lives. (Wardell Dep. 45.) As previously discussed, Dr. Wardell has no idea of the level of vibration known to cause harm, nor does he know whether Plaintiff was subjected to such a level. These failures undermine the reliability of Dr. Warden’s method.
In concluding its analysis of Dr. War-dell’s “differential diagnosis” approach, the Court will quote an excerpt from a Fifth Circuit case that, while factually different from this case, aptly describes Dr. War-dell’s work in this case:
Dr. Johnson has admitted that Viterbo’s symptoms could have numerous causes and, without support save Viterbo’s oral history, simply picks the cause that is most advantageous to his claim. Indeed, Dr. Johnson’s testimony is no more than Viterbo’s testimony dressed up and sanctified as the opinion of an expert. Without more than credentials and a subjective opinion, an expert’s testimony that ‘it is so’ is not admissible.
Viterbo v. Dow Chem. Co.,
After this lengthy analysis of Plaintiffs “differential diagnosis” argument, the Court will fire one last round into the corpse of Dr. Wardell’s opinions. Proffered expert testimony generally will not help the trier of fact when it offers nothing more than what lawyers for the parties can argue in closing arguments.
Frazier,
Finally, as the Supreme Court recognized in
Daubert,
“expert testimony can be powerful and quite misleading.”
Because Plaintiff has not demonstrated by a preponderance of the evidence that Dr. Wardell employed a reliable methodology to reach his opinions, his opinions are subject to exclusion under Rule 702 and Daubert. Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Dr. Wardell is therefore GRANTED.
2. David Miller, M.D.
Defendants next move to exclude the testimony of David A. Miller, M.D., an orthopaedic surgeon who operated on Plaintiffs lower back. Dr. Miller offers various opinions about the nature and extent of Plaintiffs injuries and medical treatment, Plaintiffs need for future medical treatment, and Plaintiffs ability to return to work as a railroad engineer.
Defendants do not challenge Dr. Miller’s qualifications. As a licensed, board-certified orthopaedic surgeon who has practiced since 1986, Dr. Miller is well-qualified to testify as a medical expert in this case. (Miller Dep. 6.) Defendants instead attack the reliability of two categories of opinions that Dr. Miller offers — those concerning the etiology of Plaintiffs injuries and those concerning Plaintiffs ability to return to work as a locomotive engineer.
As discussed above, the reliability of expert opinions may be tested using the four factors outlined in
Daubert,
or the five factors outlined in the Rule 702 advisory committee notes, or a combination of the two. The “considerable leeway” accorded the trial court in evaluating the reliability of expert opinions also empowers the court to consider factors outside of those enumerated in
Daubert
and the Rule 702 advisory committee notes.
See United States v. Frazier,
*1364 a. Dr. Miller’s Causation Opinions
Defendants first challenge the reliability of Dr. Miller’s causation opinions. Dr. Miller opines that Plaintiffs “pain and subsequent surgery was due to the injury that he had on the train during that five-hour trip in September.” (Miller Dep. 33.) Dr. Miller bases his opinions both on his evaluation of Plaintiff and “on [Plaintiffs] recollection that he was not having any symptoms prior to [the September 25, 2002 incident].” (Miller Dep. 32.)
As with Dr. Warden’s testimony, Dr. Miller’s causation opinions fail to satisfy the four Daubert factors: he has not demonstrated the testability of his opinions; he has not offered any error rate for his opinions; he has not shown any evidence of peer-review or use of peer-reviewed sources to reach his opinions; and, finally, he has not shown the general acceptance of his opinions.
Dr. Miller’s opinions fare no better under the five factors outlined in the Rule 702 advisory committee notes. Regarding the first factor — whether the expert is proposing to testify about matters growing naturally and directly out of research he has conducted independent of the litigation — Dr. Miller’s causation opinions lack an independent basis. Dr. Miller did not form his causation opinions independent of the litigation; instead, he formed those opinions in the context of the litigation. Plaintiffs counsel referred Plaintiff to Dr. Miller during the course of this litigation. Dr. Miller’s conclusion that Plaintiffs injuries resulted from the September 25, 2002 incident made little difference in his treatment. Regardless of whether Plaintiff sustained his back injuries from lifting weights, crashing his car, or sitting on a vibrating locomotive seat, Dr. Miller would have prescribed the same course of treatment. Plaintiff has offered no evidence to show otherwise. Although Dr. Miller received information about the cause of Plaintiffs injuries in the way he normally receives such information' — by taking Plaintiffs history and examining him — he nevertheless developed his causation opinions in the context of the litigation, not independent of the litigation.
But bearing even stronger on the Court’s conclusion that Dr. Miller’s causation opinions lack an independent basis is the fact that Plaintiffs counsel hand-selected Dr. Miller. When a plaintiffs counsel chooses the plaintiffs doctor for the plaintiff, it raises serious questions in the Court’s mind about the independence of that doctor. This is especially true when, as here, the plaintiffs counsel sends his client 350 miles from home, and when, as it appears from the record in this case, Plaintiffs treating physicians in Savannah did not recommend lumbar surgery.
The Court does not find the fact that Dr. Miller is a “railroad doctor” or that he specializes in back surgery the least bit convincing in explaining why Plaintiffs counsel sent him so far away to have surgery. Many orthopedists and neurosurgeons who specialize in back surgery practice in cities much closer to Savannah than Rocky Mount, North Carolina. Additionally, nothing in the record suggests that the degenerative changes in Plaintiffs lumbar spine were unique injuries commonly suffered by railroad workers, rather than by the population at large.
In reaching this conclusion, the Court does not suggest that Dr. Miller offered disingenuous opinions or performed unnecessary surgery. Orthopedists and neurosurgeons develop reputations for how aggressive they are about recommending surgery. Those who recommend surgery *1365 only hs a last resort are considered conservative; those who operate with fewer indications for surgery are considered aggressive. The latter are quick to “cut to cure.” Lawyers often know about such reputations and can direct their clients accordingly. This necessarily weakens the case for expert independence. Accordingly, Dr. Miller’s causation testimony fails the first factor.
Dr. Miller’s causation testimony likewise fails the second advisory committee note test, which asks “whether the expert has unjustifiably extrapolated from an accepted premise to an unfounded conclusion.” Like Dr. Wardell’s causation testimony, Dr. Miller’s opinions are based on the premise that vibration can cause injury. As discussed above, however, this premise is vague and imprecise. Just like Dr. Wardell, Dr. Miller offers no concrete information about the amount of vibration that is harmful to an individual or the length of time over which such harm normally occurs. He offers no quantification, no parameters, no percentages, and no numbers. Because Dr. Miller fails to ground his causation opinions in quantifiable terms, his opinions lack reliability, and therefore, like Dr. Wardell’s causation opinions, fail the second test under the advisory committee notes.
Most importantly, Dr. Miller’s causation opinions fail the third advisory committee note test. The third test asks “whether the expert has adequately accounted for obvious alternative explanations.” Dr. Miller fails this test because, in formulating his opinions, he did not account for the thirty days of intermittent lower back pain that Plaintiff reported experiencing prior to the September 25, 2002 incident. Dr. Miller overlooked this important information because he was unaware of it. (Miller Dep. 11:7-9, 12:22-25, 33, 52.) He testified that he had never before seen the emergency room record indicating that Plaintiffs back pain began thirty days prior to the September 25, 2002 incident. (Miller Dep. 52:13-17.) Because Dr. Miller was not aware of this important information when he formulated his causation opinions, he could not have accounted for this alternative explanation for Plaintiffs back pain. Moreover, he did not have the occasion to determine when the pain from one cause stopped and the pain from the vibrating seat began, or how to distinguish between the two. Dr. Miller’s ignorance of this important information fatally undermines the reliability of his causation opinions. To be reliable, Rule 702 requires that expert opinions be based on “sufficient facts or data.” Dr. Miller’s opinions lack a sufficient factual basis, since he was unaware of Plaintiffs thirty-day intermittent back pain. Accordingly, Dr. Miller’s causation opinions fail the third advisory committee note test.
The fourth factor under the advisory committee notes asks “whether the expert is being as careful as he would be in his regular professional work outside his paid litigation consulting.” The Court will not belabor its finding against Dr. Miller on this issue. Like Dr. Wardell, Dr. Miller did nothing more than simply adopt Plaintiffs explanation of the cause of his injuries as his own causation opinion. Though, as previously discussed, a physician may rely on a patient’s self-reported history in formulating his causation opinions in some instances, this case is not one of those instances. This case involves a complicated causation issue that is not readily resolved by quick reference to the manner in which the injury occurred and the type of injury sustained. Dr. Miller may normally rely on his patients’ self-reported histories *1366 in determining the cause of their injuries in his daily work; however, the complexity of the causation issues in this particular case renders this method inappropriate.
Having determined that Dr. Miller’s causation opinions fail four of the five factors under the advisory committee notes, it matters little whether those opinions satisfy the fifth factor — “whether the field of expertise claimed by the expert is known to reach reliable results for the type of opinion the expert would give.” Nevertheless, for the same reasons articulated above regarding Dr. Wardell’s causation testimony, Dr. Miller’s opinions fail this factor as well. In fact, Dr. Miller is even less likely than Dr. Wardell to reach a reliable conclusion concerning causation, as he was unaware of Plaintiffs full medical history when he formulated his opinions.
Because Dr. Miller’s causation opinions fail all five of the advisory committee note tests, his causation testimony is excluded as unreliable. Accordingly, Defendants’ Motion to Exclude is GRANTED as to Dr. Miller’s causation testimony.
b. Disability Opinions
Defendants next challenge the reliability of Dr. Miller’s opinions concerning Plaintiffs disability rating and his ability to return to work. Dr. Miller has assigned Plaintiff a twenty percent “permanent partial impairment” (disability) rating. (Miller Dep. 30.) He further opines that Plaintiff is unable to return to work as a railroad engineer. (Miller Dep. 35.) Dr. Miller bases Plaintiffs disability rating on the fact that Plaintiff underwent a two-level spinal fusion. He bases his opinion about Plaintiffs ability to return to work on his understanding of the duties of a railroad engineer and the restrictions he imposed on Plaintiffs activities following his surgery. (Miller Dep. 35.)
For many reasons, Dr. Miller’s opinions on these issues are reliable. First, Dr. Miller’s disability rating is reliable because it is derived from a reliable source.
See Daubert,
Dr. Miller’s opinion that Plaintiff is unable to return to work as a locomotive engineer is likewise reliable. As stated above, Dr. Miller based this opinion on his understanding of the duties of a railroad engineer and the restrictions under which he placed Plaintiff following his surgery. Treating physicians normally counsel patients as to their limitations, as such matters arise directly from the physicians’ treatment and care of their patients. Moreover, treating physicians normally *1367 are permitted to testify as to a particular patient’s ability to perform a particular job. Thus, Dr. Miller’s opinion grows naturally and directly of his daily work independent of this litigation. See Fed.R.Evid. 702, advisory committee’s note (2000 amends.) (expert opinions are reliable when they grow naturally and directly out of the expert’s work independent of litigation). It is also the type of opinion for which his field-orthopaedic surgery — is known to reach reliable results. See id. (expert opinions are reliable when the expert’s field is known to reach reliable results for the type of opinion he gives).
Defendants argue that Dr. Miller’s opinions concerning Plaintiffs disability rating and ability to return to work are unreliable because, in arriving at those opinions, Dr. Miller did not perform a “Functional Capacity Evaluation” — a scientific test used to “delineate any specific job limitations which would be imposed on [Plaintiff].” (Defs.’ Br. in Supp. 14.) Defendants’ argument lacks merit. Though Dr. Miller did not perform the particular type of test Defendants contend would have been most helpful to his disability determination, he nevertheless employed a generally accepted, reliable method to reach his conclusions. Any doubts as to Dr. Miller’s election of one method over another may be explored, and any limitations exposed, through cross-examination.
See Quiet Tech. DC-8, Inc. v. Hurel-Dubois UK, Ltd.,
Accordingly, Dr. Miller’s opinions concerning Plaintiffs disability rating and his ability to return to work are reliable, and will be admitted at trial. Defendants’ Motion to Exclude is therefore DENIED as to these opinions.
3. Roy Baker, M.D.
Defendants have moved to exclude the opinions of Roy Baker, M.D., specifically objecting to the following testimony from Dr. Baker’s deposition:
Q Based on the history that he gave you about his railroad accident, do you have an opinion, with a reasonable degree of medical certainty as to what may have exacerbated his symptoms that then led you to opine that surgery was back in the picture?
A Well, the reason to consider surgery is a combination of his complaints of pain, the fact that he didn’t seem to be getting better with reasonable medical treatment and the MRI and myelo-grams findings.
As far as the injury which I guess was sitting in a chair on the railroad on the train, it sounded like that he— certainly he tended to tie those repeat injuries from sitting in the chair to complaints, said that that’s what made his complaints worse. We have no reason not to believe him on that. 12 I *1368 think that it, probably, from what we know from his history or at least what he tells us, it seems that it may have — these injuries or this injury may have aggravated a preexisting condition.
We know he already had the cervical spondylosis from our workup in '98 so it may well have aggravated the preexisting problem. 13
(Baker Dep. 14-15) (emphasis supplied.)
Defendants do not challenge Dr. Baker’s qualifications. • He practices neurosurgery in Savannah, Georgia, and is board-certified in that field. His specialty covers the type of medical problems alleged by Plaintiff. Moreover, has twice treated Plaintiff: first in October 1998 for problems with his right shoulder, arm, and neck, and then again in October 2002 for cervical and lumbar complaints.
However, Defendants do contend that Dr. Baker’s opinions fail to comply with Rule 702 for many reasons, including that Dr. Baker’s testimony fails to satisfy any of the tests or factors set forth in Daubert and the Rule 702 advisory committee’s notes. Defendants also claim that Dr. Baker’s opinions do not assist the trier of fact. Although arguments about Dr. Baker’s failure to satisfy the Daubert tests may have merit, the Court will consider only Dr. Baker’s failure to offer causation testimony that will assist the trier of fact.
To be admissible under Rule 702, expert opinions must “assist the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue.” Fed.R.Evid. 702. As the Supreme Court has recognized, such opinions must be “relevant to the task at hand.” Daubert,
Dr. Baker’s equivocal causation testimony does not assist the trier of fact because it does not qualify as relevant evidence. Rule 401 states: “ ‘Relevant evidence’ means evidence having any tendency to make the existence of any fact that is of consequence to the determination of the action
more probable or less probable
than it would be without the evidence.” Fed.R.Evid. 401 (emphasis supplied). “May” is not synonymous with “probable.” “May” connotes something merely possible, not probable. “Probable” means “likely.” Dr. Baker’s use of the qualifier “may,” therefore, does not “logically advance a material aspect of [Plaintiffs] case.”
Allison,
Plaintiffs counsel obviously understood this important difference because he asked Dr. Baker the key causation question using the proper terms: “do you have an opinion, with a reasonable degree of medical certainty as to what may have exacerbated his symptoms that then led you to opine that surgery was back in the picture?” (Baker Dep. 14:17-20) (emphasis supplied.) Dr. Baker, however, did not couch his response in those terms. Plaintiffs counsel could'have asked the causation question just as properly with phrases like “reasonable degree of medical probability” or “more likely than not.” 14 But Dr. Baker did not answer with “certainty” or “probability” or “more likely than not.” 15
This is not an issue of using “magic language;” it is an issue of giving the jury a solid basis to reach an opinion. Moreover, Dr. Baker’s qualifiers like “guess,” “sounded like,” “tended,” and “seems” even further dilute the testimony, and more clearly show that Dr. Baker does not mean to say that it is more probable than not that Plaintiff suffered his back problems while sitting in the seat in the locomotive.
See supra
n. 13 (likening Dr. Baker’s diluted causation opinion to the watered-down causation testimony excluded in
McClain,
The requirement that expert testimony assist the trier of fact runs throughout the Rule 702 jurisprudence in the Eleventh Circuit. For example, in the important case of
United States v. Frazier,
the court affirmed the exclusion of the opinions of a forensic investigator and former police officer called by the defendant in a rape case.
In excluding the testimony because it did not assist the trier of fact, the court explained:
Because Tressel’s opinion was imprecise and unspecific, the members of the jury could not readily determine whether the ‘expectation’ of finding hair or seminal fluid was a virtual certainty, a strong probability, a possibility more likely than not, or perhaps even just a possibility. As a result, Tressel’s imprecise opinion easily could serve to confuse the jury and might well have misled it.
Id. at 1266. Dr. Baker’s testimony presents precisely this issue of relevance, but to an even greater degree. A jury cannot determine from Dr. Baker’s testimony whether the chance that a faulty seat caused Plaintiffs injuries is one in ten, one *1370 in one hundred, or some even more remote likelihood.
Likewise, in another important Eleventh Circuit case involving issues of medical negligence and causation,
McDowell v. Brown,
the court affirmed the exclusion of the testimony of several doctors called by the plaintiff to establish that a delay in his treatment caused a permanent injury to his spine.
The Court finds that Dr. Baker’s causation testimony is too vague to assist the jury in deciding the issue of proximate cause; consequently, Defendants’ Motion to Exclude the objected-to sections of Dr. Baker’s deposition is GRANTED.
4. Michael J. O’Brien
Defendants’ final motion seeks to exclude the expert testimony of Michael J. O’Brien, a former railroad safety inspector who offers an opinion on safety issues related to the allegedly defective locomotive seat. O’Brien has nearly forty years of experience in the railroad industry, dating back to 1968. In particular, he has more than nineteen years of experience as a Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) Safety Inspector as well as six years of experience as a Safety Specialist with the FRA, providing technical assistance and consulting to FRA and state safety inspectors throughout the Southeast. 16 O’Brien opined both in a written report and in his deposition that the cab seat at issue suffered several defects and therefore violated various federal rail safety regulations. Among other defects, O’Brien found that the seat was not securely mounted and braced, violating 49 C.F.R. § 229.119(a). O’Brien further stated that this violation caused Plaintiffs alleged injuries. In formulating his opinions, O’Brien inspected Defendants’ locomotive, paying particular attention to the allegedly defective locomotive seat.
Defendants’ motion raises three challenges to O’Brien’s testimony: (1) O’Brien’s testimony is irrelevant and will not assist the trier of fact; (2) O’Brien is not qualified to give a causation opinion as to Plaintiffs alleged injuries, and; (3) O’Brien’s testimony is unreliable. Each of these challenges will be discussed in turn.
a. Relevance of O’Brien’s Testimony
Defendants first challenge the relevance of O’Brien’s testimony. As discussed above, Rule 401 of the Federal Rules of Evidence defines “relevant evidence” as “[ejvidence having any tendency to make the existence of any fact that is of consequence to the determination of the action more probable or less probable than it would be without the evidence.” Fed. R.Evid. 401. Any evidence that is not relevant is not admissible. Fed.R.Evid. 402.
The majority of the opinions O’Brien offers are irrelevant. For instance, in ad *1371 dition to the violation of 49 C.F.R. § 229.119(a), O’Brien cites various safety violations unrelated to Plaintiffs alleged injuries. O’Brien also notes several cosmetic defects within the seat. Because Plaintiff does not contend that either the unrelated safety violations or the cosmetic defects caused his alleged injuries, these opinions do not aid in determining causation or any other issue in the case. Moreover, even if this evidence held some probative value concerning Plaintiffs claim, it would nevertheless be excluded under Rule 403 for its tendency to confuse or mislead the jury or prejudice the Defendants. Accordingly, the Court excludes this part of O’Brien’s testimony as irrelevant. O’Brien’s opinions concerning the violation of 49 C.F.R. § 229.119(a) and whether it played a part in Plaintiffs injuries are the only relevant opinions he offers, and therefore, are the only ones warranting further discussion.
b. O’Brien’s Qualifications
Defendants next argue that even if his causation opinion is relevant, O’Brien is not qualified to offer such an opinion. In his report, O’Brien states “Norfolk Southern’s failure to properly secure the Engineer’s cab seat allowed uncontrolled movement of the seat, causing [Plaintiffs] body to be jerked left, right, forward and backward .... In my opinion, within a reasonable degree of professional certainty, this uncontrolled movement caused [Plaintiffs] injuries].” (O’Brien Report 6, Exh. 2.)
Expert testimony may be admitted into evidence under Rule 702 only if “the expert is qualified to testify competently regarding the matters he intends to address.”
City of Tuscaloosa v. Harcros Chems., Inc.,
Plaintiff asserts that O’Brien is qualified to testify that, the seat caused Plaintiffs injuries because he was required to make injury causation and hazard determinations during his twenty-five-plus years as an Inspector with the FRA. In making such an assertion, Plaintiff relies on a regulation that states:
In determining which instances of noncompliance [with safety regulations] merit penalty recommendations, the inspector considers: ... (2) The kind and degree of potential safety hazard the condition or action poses in light of the immediate factual situation [and]; (3) Any actual harm to persons or property already caused by the condition or action.
49 C.F.R. § 209, App. A. Plaintiffs argument is unpersuasive.
First, this regulatory language does not establish that O’Brien is qualified to determine whether a violation of 49 C.F.R. § 229.119(a) may cause a locomotive engineer’s complicated back injuries. The regulation simply sets forth the information an inspector may consider when submitting a penalty recommendation in the event of a violation. Second, and most importantly, O’Brien essentially admits that he is not qualified to determine the cause of Plaintiffs alleged injuries. O’Brien testified that “as to how [the seat] related to [Plaintiffs] injuries], I — that’s probably not my area.” (O’Brien Dep. 13.) He also conceded that he does not “have any expertise in the causes of back problems or injuries” and does not “diagnose or treat folks with back problems.” (Id. at 72.)
Finding no evidence that O’Brien is qualified to proffer an opinion on causa
*1372
tion, the Court excludes O’Brien’s assertion that the seat in question caused Plaintiffs alleged injuries.
17
See United States v. Frazier,
c. Reliability of O’Brien’s Testimony
Finally, Defendants challenge the reliability of O’Brien’s only remaining opinion — that the seat was not securely mounted and braced in accordance with 49 C.F.R. § 229.119(a). In evaluating the reliability of this opinion, the Court will analyze the record to determine if O’Brien’s opinion is the product of a reliable methodology and whether his opinion is based upon sufficient data.
i. Methodology
Plaintiff and O’Brien both fail to articulate the proper methodology employed by inspectors — be they FRA, state, or private industry inspectors — when examining a seat for compliance with 49 C.F.R. § 229.119(a). The only evidence appearing in the record of the proper methodology for conducting such an inspection is provided by Defendants’ expert, Michael E. Solesbee. 18 Outside this evidence, the Court has no means to compare O’Brien’s inspection with the proper FRA methodology.
Furthermore, O’Brien has not asserted that he himself employed a methodology at all, let alone one that is widely recognized or employed in the industry. Instead, O’Brien merely stated that “[w]hile inspecting and physically manipulating the seat, I applied my training and experience from over two decades as a Safety Inspector with the FRA.” (O’Brien Aff. ¶ 2.) The Court cannot rely solely on O’Brien’s qualifications as a former FRA Inspector to determine that his inspection was properly conducted and his opinion correctly adduced.
United States v. Hermanek,
As the proponent of O’Brien’s report and testimony, Plaintiff has the burden of establishing, by a preponderance of the evidence, that O’Brien’s expert opinion is the product of reliable principles and
*1373
methods.
McClain v. Metabolife Int’l, Inc.,
ii. Sufficiency of Data
In addition, even assuming that O’Brien applied a reliable methodology to his inspection, his opinion is not based upon sufficient data. To reach his conclusion that the seat was improperly mounted and braced, O’Brien manually manipulated the seat in question. However, he neither remembers taking any measurements nor recalls taking any notes during his inspection. (O’Brien Dep. 12.) Moreover, O’Brien did not quantify the distance the seat moved in different directions or test the movement of the seat with a person sitting in it. 19 {Id. 12-13, 93.) O’Brien further admitted that he did not inspect “in close detail” how the base of the seat was connected to the tripod on which it rested. (O’Brien Dep. 46.) O’Brien failed to discover the cause of the seat’s movement or cite any specific defects that would explain his observations. (O’Brien Dep. 46.)
If an expert does not have an explanation behind or empirical support for his opinions, he offers merely a bare conclusion.
McMahon v. Bunn-O-Matic Corp.,
The Court is not convinced that O’Brien’s inspection and the opinion derived therefrom would withstand the scrutiny of his peers. Moreover, his opinion does not rest upon sufficient data. For those reasons, O’Brien’s sole remaining opinion is excluded as unreliable.
In light of the relevance, qualification, and reliability concerns articulated above, the Court excludes the expert testimony of Michael J. O’Brien in its entirety. Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Michael J. O’Brien is therefore GRANTED.
*1374 B. Plaintiffs Motions in Limine
1. Robert Larson, P.E.
Plaintiff has filed two motions in limine. The first seeks to exclude the testimony of Robert Larson, a mechanical engineer. Defendants retained Larson to measure the vibration of the locomotive and seat Plaintiff used during the September 25, 2002 incident and offer an opinion regarding the severity of that vibration. Larson opines that the level of vibration to which Plaintiff was exposed is well below that recognized to pose a health risk. (Larson Aff. Exh. B.) Larson further suggests that the “vibration environment on [Plaintiffs] locomotive is comparable to commercial on-road vehicles.” (Larson Aff. Exh. B.)
Plaintiff does not challenge Larson’s qualifications to render the opinions he offers in this case, and the Court finds Larson to be qualified in the field of mechanical engineering. He is a licensed mechanical engineer, specializing in vehicle dynamics, vibration exposure, and ride quality assessment. Larson holds a Master’s degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Michigan and has been licensed as a professional engineer for more than ten years.
Plaintiff instead contends that Larson’s opinions are not based on a reliable foundation. In formulating his opinions, Larson measured the level of vibration inside of Plaintiffs locomotive while traveling from Savannah, Georgia, to Macon, Georgia. Larson replicated Plaintiffs trip as nearly as possible, traveling the same rail track, and using the very locomotive and seat Plaintiff used on the date he was injured. Purporting to employ methods outlined by the ISO (International Organization for Standardization), Larson measured the level of vibration in various locations inside of the locomotive, including on the bottom of the conductor’s seat and on the floor directly underneath the conductor’s seat. However, Larson did not measure vibration at the seat-back.
Plaintiff claims that Larson’s failure to measure vibration at the seat-back renders his opinions unreliable and, therefore, subject to exclusion under Rule 702 and
Daubert.
As discussed above, before admitting expert testimony, courts must consider whether that testimony is reliable.
Daubert,
The ISO has promulgated standards for measuring vibration forces on the human body. The standards assess the effect of vibration on: (1) human health; (2) comfort; (3) perception; and (4) motion sickness. The ISO procedures for measuring vibration vary according to the position of *1375 the person on which the vibration forces are acting and the purpose for which the measurements are taken. For instance, for seated persons, the ISO standards recommend measuring vibration in the following three areas: “the supporting seat surface, the seat-back, and the feet.” ISO Standard 2631-1, Mechanical Vibration and Shock: Evaluation of Human Exposure to Whole-Body Vibration § 5.3 (1997). For persons in a recumbent position, meanwhile, measurements are taken in different areas, namely, under the pelvis, back, and head. Id.
Larson concedes that he measured vibration forces at only two of the three recommended areas. He argues, however, that measurement at the seat-back, though recommended by the ISO, was unnecessary, because the ISO standards do not require such measurement for purposes of assessing the effect of vibration on human health. In addition, he suggests that measurement at the seat-back would not yield any relevant data.
Larson’s explanation is supported by the ISO standards. The clause describing the methods for evaluating the effect of vibration on health states: “measurements ... on the backrest ... are encouraged. Hoiuever, considering the shortage of evidence showing the effect of this motion on health, it is not included in the assessment of the vibration severity. ” ISO Standard 2631-1, Mechanical Vibration and Shock: Evaluation of Human Exposure to Whole-Body Vibration § 7.2.3 (1997) (emphasis added). Thus, according to the ISO standards, a seat-back measurement is neither necessary nor helpful in assessing the effect of vibration on human health' — -the purpose with which Larson was concerned in conducting his measurements. Instead, the seat back measurement is used primarily to assess the effect of vibration on comfort and perception.
Therefore, because Larson properly applied internationally-recognized standards, adhering to the guidelines articulated within those standards, his opinions are reliable under
Daubert
and Rule 702.
See Alfred v. Caterpillar, Inc.,
2. John L. Trimble, Ph.D.
Finally, through his second motion in limine, Plaintiff seeks to exclude the testimony of John L. Trimble, a biome-chanical engineer retained by Defendants to investigate and offer opinions about the biomechanical and physiological aspects of Plaintiffs claims. Dr. Trimble was never deposed; consequently, information about his qualifications and opinions is limited to that appearing in his expert report and affidavit. According to his report, Dr. Trimble holds a Ph.D. in physiology from the University of Illinois Graduate College of Medicine. His undergraduate studies were in the fields of mathematics and chemistry. During the course of his thirty-year career, Dr. Trimble has held faculty positions at various medical schools and has taught courses in neuroanatomy and neurophysiology, which deal with the physiology and anatomy of the human spine. (Trimble Aff. ¶ 4.) Dr. Trimble is presently employed as a Principal Scientist with Exponent, Inc., a multi-disciplinary scientific and engineering consulting firm. There, he specializes in the physiological, behavioral, and biomechanical analysis of injury *1376 accidents; however, he is particularly well known for his studies on human visual and motor performance. (Trimble Aff. Exh. 1.) Dr. Trimble has published nearly forty articles, though most deal with human visual function and human motor skills, rather than with the human spine. In addition, Dr. Trimble has given numerous presentations on various topics in biome-chanics and has testified before Congress on three occasions. (Trimble Aff. Exh. 1.)
With respect to the present case, Dr. Trimble offers two opinions. First, Dr. Trimble opines that the particular locomotive seat at issue in this litigation “met the requirements and standards that were in effect when the seat was installed.” (Trimble Aff. Exh. 1.) Second, he opines that “[i]t is impossible with a reasonable degree of scientific certainty to conclude that the degenerative disease in Mr. Bower’s [sic] cervical and lumbar spines can be attributed to the incident of September 25, 2002.” (Trimble Aff. Exh. 1.) Only Dr. Trimble’s second opinion is challenged by Plaintiff.
Plaintiff contends that Dr. Trim-ble’s second opinion should be excluded because it pertains to medical causation and, as a biomechanical engineer, Dr. Trimble is not sufficiently qualified to give such an opinion.
20
For an expert to satisfy the “qualification” requirement of Rule 702, he must possess the requisite skill, experience, training, and education to offer the testimony he intends to introduce.
Poulis-Minott v. Smith,
To determine whether Dr. Trimble’s education, training, and experience as a biomechanical engineer qualify him to testify about the cause of Plaintiffs injuries, it is helpful to first understand what a biomechanical engineer’s work entails. Biomechanical engineers apply “the principles in mechanics to the facts of a specific accident and provide information about the forces generated in that accident.”
Smelser v. Norfolk S. Ry. Co.,
In the context of litigation, therefore, biomechanical engineers typically are found to be qualified to render an opinion as to the forces generated in a particular accident and the general types of injuries those forces may generate.
Smelser,
Dr. Trimble is no different. As a biome-chanical engineer, he is qualified to render an opinion in this case as to general causation, but not as to specific causation. That is, Dr. Trimble may testify as to the effect of locomotive vibration on the human body and the types of injuries that may result from exposure to various levels of vibration. However, he may not offer an opinion as to whether the vibration in Plaintiffs locomotive caused Plaintiffs injuries. Such an opinion requires the identification and diagnosis of a medical condition, which demands the expertise and specialized training of a medical doctor.
Defendants suggest that, even though biomechanical engineers normally are not permitted to offer opinions regarding specific causation, Dr. Trimble’s background *1378 as a student and professor in fields closely related to medicine renders him uniquely qualified to offer such an opinion. This argument is unpersuasive. Though Dr. Trimble may have trained in physiology and taught basic courses at a medical school, the record does not reflect that he has any experience either in examining patients, or in treating and diagnosing medical conditions. Further, the record does not indicate whether Dr. Trimble is capable of reading and interpreting x-ray films, or if he is familiar with various medical conditions that may cause or contribute to lower back problems.
Because Defendants, as the proponents of Dr. Trimble, have failed to prove that he is qualified to render an opinion regarding specific causation, Dr. Trimble will not be permitted to offer such an opinion at trial.
See McClain v. Metabolife Int'l, Inc.,
CONCLUSION
For the reasons discussed above, Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Dr. Arthur War-dell [Doc. 57] is GRANTED; Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Dr. David Miller [Doc. 56] is GRANTED in part and DENIED in part; Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Dr. Roy Baker [Doc. 55] is GRANTED; Defendants’ Motion to Exclude Michael O’Brien [Doc. 58] is GRANTED; Plaintiffs Motion to Exclude Robert Larson [Doc. 59] is DENIED; and finally, Plaintiffs Motion to Exclude Dr. John Trimble [Doc. 61] is GRANTED in part and DENIED in part.
Notes
. Rocky Mount, North Carolina, is approximately 350 miles from Savannah, Georgia. Between Rocky Mount and Savannah lie the cities of Augusta, Georgia; Columbia, South Carolina; Charleston, South Carolina; and Charlotte, North Carolina. All of these cities are large enough to conceivably contain a significant number of skilled orthopaedists. In addition, at just under 250 miles from Savannah, Atlanta, Georgia, is much closer to Plaintiff’s home than Rocky Mount; and, like the other cities, presumably has many ortho-paedists.
. In particular, Rule 104(a) provides:
Preliminary questions concerning the qualification of a person to be a witness ... shall be determined by the court.... In making its determination, it is not bound by the rules of evidence except those with respect to privileges.
Fed.R.Evid. 104(a).
. In FELA cases, the test for causation is whether an employer's negligence played any part, even the slightest, in causing the alleged injury.
Rivera v. Union Pac. R.R. Co.,
. Dr. Wardell gave two depositions in this case-the first on May 25, 2005, and a second, more extensive, deposition on May 26, 2005. All citations to Dr. Wardell's deposition appearing in this Order refer to the May 26, 2005 deposition.
. Having represented many orthopaedists and neurosurgeons, and having sat through hundreds of depositions of orthopaedists and neurosurgeons, and having read thousands of pages of medical records written by such specialists, the Court feels very comfortable ruling on the medico-legal issues in this case.
. The court has sua sponte taken judicial notice of the approximate distance between Suffolk, Virginia, and Savannah, Georgia.
. Dr. Wardell’s long history of treating attorney-referred patients is well-documented. In
Norfolk & Western Railway v. Sonney,
.The Sixth Circuit has suggested that "if a proposed expert is a 'quintessential expert for hire,’ then it seems well within a trial judge's discretion to apply the
Daubert
factors with greater rigor.”
Johnson v. Manitowoc Boom Trucks, Inc.,
. It is important to realize that the history a patient gives an orthopaedist may have little or no impact on the orthopaedist's choice of treatment. For example, if a woman slips on rice spilled in the rice aisle at a Publix supermarket, extends her hand to brace her fall, and ends up with a Colles’ fracture of her wrist, the orthopaedist will prescribe the same treatment as he would had that same woman fallen off of her bicycle, extended her hand to brace her fall, and ended up with a Colies’ fracture. Though the medical treatment will be the same in either case, the medico-legal consequences will be very different.
A crucial difference between the hypothetical just described and the present case is that, in the hypothetical just described, the attorney defending Publix against the woman’s premises liability claim would not file a Dau-bert motion to dispute her orthopaedist's causation testimony. A Colies’ fracture is a common injury, known to result from a person’s fall onto their outstretched hand. By contrast, Plaintiff’s pre-injury medical history, combined with his claim that an unknown amount of vibration caused his injuries, present a more complex causation issue.
. Having read many decisions from various circuits on this issue, the Court has found that
*1361
the definitions of “differential diagnosis” and "differential etiology” get shuffled around by courts that do not understand the difference.
See, e.g., Hardyman v. Norfolk &
W.
Ry. Co.,
. For example, in a scenario that this Judge had to defend all too often as a medical malpractice defense lawyer, a middle-aged man presents himself to the emergency room complaining of epigastric pain. The E.R. physi-rian includes in his differential diagnosis: possible myocardial infarction, esophagitis, gastritis, and pancreatitis. Based on the man's signs, symptoms, and history, the physician rules out every malady but gastritis, gives the man antacid, and sends him home. Two hours later, the man dies of a heart attack. The physician now has one dead patient and one live malpractice suit.
. This sentence raises an interesting problem independent of Rule 702 because, by this statement, the expert witness vouches for the credibility of Plaintiff's version of how he suffered the injury. As the court explained in
United States v. Beasley,
. This vague causation opinion, filled with qualifiers and equivocation, resembles the type of watered-down causation testimony excluded in
McClain v. Metabolife Int’l, Inc.,
. Georgia lawyers understand this analysis, the use of these terms, and the importance of proving probabilities, not just mere possibilities.
See generally Zwiren v. Thompson,
. Dr. Baker did use the term "probably” on one occasion, but then washed away the impact of the word by further developing his thought with "it seems that it may have.” (Baker Dep. 15:8-12.)
. O'Brien was retained in this matter as a representative of FRA Experts, a private company that offers litigation consulting.
. Even if O'Brien were qualified, his opinion would be unreliable under Rule 702, as he has never met Plaintiff in person, much less made a proper diagnosis of his serious back condition. Because O’Brien is not qualified, such an analysis is unnecessary.
. Michael E. Solesbee testified that a proper seat inspection is conducted by pushing the bottom of the seat to test for movement, not the back or top of the seat. (Solesbee Dep. 48-49.) O'Brien inspected the seat by pushing forward and upward on the top of the seat back and pushing horizontally on the seat arm. (O’Brien Inspection Video, Doc. 83.)
. Michael E. Solesbee suggested that the difference in movement between an unoccupied and an occupied seat is the difference between a minute amount of movement and no movement at all. (Solesbee Dep. 58-61.) It would stand to reason, therefore, that in order to obtain a reliable measurement of the seat movement, O'Brien would have had to test the seat with a person sitting in it, preferably one of Plaintiff's height (five feet nine inches) and size (215 pounds). (Pi. Dep. 25.) However, even if O'Brien had tested the seat using this procedure, he conceded that he is not qualified to interpret the results, suggesting they would be for an ergonomist, engineer, or doctor to describe. (O'Brien Dep. 93.)
. Plaintiff also argues that Dr. Trimble’s opinion should be excluded under Rule 702 because it is based largely on the results of Larson's vibration study, which, as discussed in his motion to exclude Larson, Plaintiff contends are unreliable. Having concluded that Larson’s vibration study is the product of a reliable methodology, the Court rejects Plaintiff's argument as it relates to Dr. Trimble. Therefore, this argument will not be discussed any further in this Order.
Aside from this argument, Plaintiff does not challenge the general reliability of Dr. Trim-ble’s methodology. As far as the Court can discern, Dr. Trimble's methodology was generally reliable: he surveyed various articles concerning the effects of vibration on the human body, drew general conclusions based on those articles, then applied those conclusions to the facts of this case to form his opinions.
See Goebel v. Denver & Rio Grande W. R.R. Co.,
