OPINION AND ORDER
In this suit, plaintiffs seek damages against the defendant cigarette manufacturers for damages resulting from their addiction. Plaintiffs now move to certify under Fed.R.Civ.P. 23(a) and (b) the class of individuals who have purchased and smoked cigarettes; the estates, representatives, and administrators of the residents who were or are nicotine dependent cigarette smokers; and the relatives, heirs, and survivors of the latter category. Defendant tobacco manufacturers oppose the certification.
I.
Plaintiffs’ Claims and Proposed Class A. Plaintiffs’Claims
The basis for plaintiffs’ suit is the allegedly-tortious manufacture, promotion, and sale of cigarettes in Puerto Rico. Specifically, plaintiffs claim that defendants committed fraud and deceit in marketing cigarettes as safe and not addictive, and that defendants violated consumer protection laws and breached implied warranties of their product. Plaintiffs claim defendants therefore committed negligence and should be strictly liable for the harms allegedly caused by the smoking of cigarettes. Plaintiffs not only request the certification of the class of smokers in Puerto Rico, but also request that the medical monitoring of this group be ordered by this court. They make this request pursuant to 31 L.P.R.A. § 5141, Puerto Rico’s tort statute. Plaintiffs propose the class action trial take place in two stages. First, it would be determined whether nicotine is addictive; whether defendants denied its addiction; whether defendants knew or should have known of nicotine’s addictive quality, and whether they manipulated the level of nicotine. Other issues covered include whether cigarettes are unreasonably dangerous because of toxic additives; whether defendants negligently or intentionally exposed class members to a hazardous substance or an unreasonably dangerous product;- whether defendants acted in concert or pursuant to a common design to expose class members to hazardous substances or a defective and unreasonably dangerous product; whether defendants violated the Consumer Protection Statute of Puerto Rico; whether class members are at increased risk of disease because of smoking defendants’ cigarettes; whether defendants have acted in concert or pursuant to a common design to withhold from class members information as to the addictive nature of nicotine or to confuse them with regard to the same; whether class members face an increased risk of disease because of having smoked defendants’ cigarettes, and, if so, whether this risk makes medical monitoring necessary; and whether and under which form medical monitoring might be effective.
B. Proposed Trial Plan
If the jury found in favor of the plaintiffs on any of these issues, the case would go to a second phase in which the case would be published to invite filing by individual plaintiffs. In those trials, the issues of prior medical and family history, comparative negligence, statute of limitations, and assumption of risk may be raised by defendants. During the trial, expert testimony could be employed by both parties regarding the scope of the class member’s addiction and lost wages. Plaintiffs propose limiting defendants’ expert testimony to one half-day each.
Legal Standards for Certification
The complexity of representing an entire class of plaintiffs requires legal standards to adjudicate fairly matters of such broad relevance. We first summarize the rules and then elaborate on the most relevant elements of the statute. Fed.R.Civ.P. 28 announces the four prerequisites for a class action: 1) numerosity, or that the class’ size makes joinder of all members impracticable; 2) commonality, or that questions of law or fact are common to the class; 3) representativeness, or that the claims or defenses of the representative parties are typical of the class; and 4) fairness, or that the representative parties will fairly protect the class’s interests. Rule 23(b) requires one of three standards be met. The first is that separate actions would create a risk of a) inconsistent or varying adjudications, and b) that the adjudications would impair non-parties’ rights to. recovery. The second is that the party opposing the class has acted or failed to act on grounds generally applicable to the class, making a class-wide resolution appropriate. The third, used by plaintiffs, provides for certification when two criteria are met: 1) that common issues predominate over individual issues, and 2) the class action is a superior means by which to adjudicate the problem. Specifically, the matters pertinent to these findings include: The interest of members of the class; the nature of any litigation already commenced by or against members of the class; the advantages of concentrating the litigation, and the difficulties in managing the class action.
Two recent cases provide us with relatively-clear direction in interpreting the law on class action certification. The United States Supreme Court recently clarified the law on mass tort class action litigation in the context of asbestos in Amchem Products, Inc. v. Windsor, — U.S.-,
Prior to the Amchem case, the Fifth Circuit ruled similarly in the context of cigarette liability litigation. As in the Amchem case, the Castano plaintiffs moved to certify the class of cigarette smokers nationwide and the Eastern District of Louisiana certified the class, Castano v. American Tobacco Company,
III.
Analysis
We analyze the proposed class following the levels of inquiry of Rule 23(a), a relatively straightforward endeavor, after which we will address the more contentious issues of predominance and superiority. In considering whether to certify a class, the court may only look to the above considerations and not consider the merits of the case. Eisen v. Carlisle & Jacquelin,
A. Rule 23(a)
First, the proposed class must meet the numerosity standard, which requires that a class be large enough to make joinder impracticable. If required to describe plaintiffs’ proposed class of hundreds of thousands of members in a word, we would indeed call it numerous. Second, the class must have commonality among the members; that is, the questions of law or fact that are common to the class must dominate the claim. We will follow the convention of considering this issue along with predominance, which centers on similar queries. Third, the class must entail typicality in that the issues raised reflect those affecting the members of the class as a whole. Commonality and typicality are distinguishable in that typicality centers on the “adequacy of representation,” Georgine v. Amchem,
We find that the representativeness standard is not met for two reasons: The dearth of information about the identity of class members and the likely diversity of such a large class. First, the agnostic position in which the court and all parties sit as to the actual identity of the class members in such an expansive group renders such an analysis nearly impossible. Without statistical analyses of cigarette-addicted Puerto Ricans, we cannot ascertain the plaintiffs’ representative status. Plaintiffs provide little clear information as to the management of the various interests among this broad class which could include people who have smoked a few times in their lives, and people who smoked several packs daily for decades. Furthermore, the little information available regarding the class indicates that the class’ diversity surpasses any possibility of effective representation. Although the class’ size does not a priori prevent the satisfaction of the typicality standard, it significantly raises the likelihood that the standard cannot be met. Issues raised in Georgine, such as differences between people based on levels of injury, as well as present and prospectively injured people, Georgine,
B. Predominance
As stated in the rules, common issues must predominate within the class to make expanding the action practicable. Amchem, -U.S.-,-,
As in the Amchem case, entirely likely would be the conflict between members of the class who are currently suffering health effects of their smoking careers and those who have yet to bear the wages of their addiction. See Amchem, — U.S. at-,
C. Superiority
In order for a class to be certified the court must ascertain that the class action is a
1. Maturity
A determinative element of superiority, according to Castaño, is the maturity of the tort. Because of the nascent but limited knowledge courts bring to the administration of these cases, the assessment of the superiority of a class action must be made from the position of a neophyte. The Castano court found that the immaturity of cigarette smoking actions necessarily militated against certifying such eases. Although it is possible that a class action would provide a more efficient resolution of a novel tort claim, see T. Dean Malone, Castano v. American Tobacco Co. and Beyond: The Propriety of Certifying Nationwide Mass-Tort Class Actions under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 23 when the Basis of the Suit is a “Novel” Claim or Injury, 49 Baylor L.Rev. 817, 832-33 (1997), the shape such litigation would take could draw sustenance from the shallow well of judicial experience in such cases. In that sense, the torts stemming from cigarette smoking have not been established in the clear fashion of asbestos and other mass torts. We are, thus, required to analyze the viability of this class using related precedent and reason, rather than the concrete pasts of cases tried.
2. Efficiency and Manageability
In part, this rule is designed to require the resolution of cases by class action to be an economical alternative to individual suits. See Fed.R.Civ.P. 23 Advisory Committee’s Notes (1966 Amendment, subdivision (b)(3)). As one scholar noted, discussing the processing of mass tort claims, “collectivizing ... does not inevitably produce a net gain.” John A. Siliciano, Mass Torts and the Rhetoric of Crisis, 80 Cornell L.Rev. 990, 996 (1995). In the Georgine case, a lack of efficiency also derailed the proposed class.
Plaintiffs provide no convincing counterpoint to the daunting possibility they propose. We infer that rather than actually try all these cases, plaintiffs’ counsel is presuming that defendants will scurry to settle subsequent to a first-round loss. Such a presumption violates the fairness requirement of class certification law. See In re Phone-Poulenc Rorer Inc.,
Plaintiffs have submitted the recently-decided Small and Hoskins, Index No. 110949/96, N.Y.Supreme Court (Oct. 28, 1997), Docket Document No. 92, in which that court granted a class certification for residents of New York who have purchased cigarettes since 1980 in New York. Although this case marks a victory for those
3. Negative Value
Finally, we address the issue of whether the case is a negative value suit, one in which the costs to the plaintiff exceed the likely recovery. Negative value suits often spawn class actions because the recovery potential grows exponentially, mitigating the costs of prosecuting a case against well-funded defendants. Class actions, thus, may provide the only remedy for certain groups of plaintiffs whose individual suits would be negative value suits. “Class actions ... permit the plaintiffs to pool claims which would be uneconomical to litigate individually.” Phillips Petroleum Co. v. Shutts,
Although we cannot ignore this reality, neither do we find it to be dispositive as to the superiority question. Merely because this case, without class certification, shifts to a distinctly uphill plane for plaintiffs does not in itself justify certification in the face of such monumental manageability problems. Unequal resources between adversaries presents no new challenges to this court. Much litigation in this court involves multinationals such as those defending this ease. The plaintiffs in those eases, owing to civil procedure and due process, nevertheless receive a fair hearing of their grievances. In short, the negative value of this case cannot justify the headlong plunge into an unmanageable and interminable litigation process that, at the outset, shows little promise for fairness to either cigarette-addicted Puerto Ricans or the defendant manufacturers.
The Fifth Circuit held that the Castaño case was not a negative value suit because of the possibility of an award of attorney’s fees and the assurance by the plaintiffs’ counsel that individual cases would go forward. Castano,
Finally, we note that the substantive grounds for our decision not to certify the proposed class render it unnecessary to reach the contentious statute of limitations issue.
IV.
Conclusion
As we addressed in our previous orders in this case, specifically regarding this court’s jurisdiction over the Tobacco Institute, strong, apparently substantiated allegations have been made in this case. Barreras Ruiz v. American Tobacco Co.,
This Opinion and Order disposes of Docket Documents Nos. 76, 83, 84, 90, and 92.
IT IS SO ORDERED.
