Opinion for the Court by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
In thеse consolidated petitions, ATK Launch Systems, Inc., two Utah counties, and three Utah cities seek partial vacation of a final rule designating certain areas as nonattainment for the 2006 24-hour fine particulate matter (PM2.5) standard.
Air
Petitioners’ principal argument is that EPA was arbitrary and capricious in applying the nine-factor designation analysis, arguing dissimilar treatment as compared to EPA’s analysis of the data for two east coast counties, Warren County, New Jersey and Hartford County, Connecticut, which EPA designated attainment. Petitioners also object to EPA’s use of a pollutant transport model generally and its analysis of wind data for Box Elder County specifically. Finally, they question EPA’s decision to include ATK’s operations in the nonattainment portion of Box Elder County. Because EPA’s nine-factor test is intended to be apрlied on a case-by-case basis to account for diverse considerations, including the varying effects of local topography and meteorology on PM2.5 dispersion, and EPA reasonably explained its designations, we deny the petitions for review.
I.
Title 1 of the Clean Air Act (“CAA”) requires EPA to set national ambient air quality standards for air pollutants that may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health and welfare. 42 U.S.C. §§ 7408-09. One such pollutant, PM2,5, consists of airborne particles 2.5 micrometers or smaller in diameter. EPA has promulgated both an annual and a 24-hour standard for PM2.5. Effective December 18, 2006, EPA revised the 24-hour PM2 5 standard downward from 65 micrograms/eubic meter to 35 micrograms/eubic meter. See National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Particulate Matter, 71 Fed.Reg. 61,144 (Oct. 17, 2006) (codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 50). Under § 107(d) of the CAA, 42 U.S.C. § 7407(d), after new or revised standards are promulgated, States are to submit proposed area designations to EPA, classifying areas as attainment, non-attainment, or unclassifiable. Areas are to be designated nonattainment if they either violate the standard or contribute to a nearby area’s violation. Id. § 7407(d)(1)(A)(i). The EPA Administrator may modify the designations as deemed necessary, and States then have an opportunity to respond to the modifications. Id. § 7407(d)(1)(B)(ii).
On June 8, 2007, EPA provided States with a guidance document suggesting that they consider nine factors in making designations: (1) emission data, (2) air quality data, (3) population density and degree of urbanization, (4) traffic and commuting patterns, (5) growth rates and patterns, (6) meteorology, (7) geography/topography (e.g., mountain ranges and other air basin boundaries), (8) jurisdictional boundaries, and (9) level of control of emission sources. The list is neither “mandatory nor an exclusive list of types of relevant information.” Final Rule, 74 Fed.Reg. at 58,694-95. In
Catawba County v. EPA,
Utah submitted its proposed designations on December 18, 2007, including recommendations that Box Elder County be designated attainment and Tooele County be designated unclassifiable; Box Elder County is north, and Tooele County is west, of the Great Salt Lake. Utah’s recommendations did not include portions of these two “contributing” counties and also made Utah County, which bоrders Salt Lake County to the south, a separate non-attainment area. EPA disagreed and classified parts of both Box Elder County (including Brigham City and ATK’s operations) and Tooele County (including Tooele City and Grantsville City) nonattainment and as part of a single unified nonattainment area for the Salt Lake City area, because, under EPA’s analysis, they contribute to the Salt Lake City area’s violation of the 24-hour PM2.5 standard. EPA’s classifications were consistent with Utah’s recommended eastern boundary but differed relative to the western boundary.
Considering the nine factors together, EPA determined that eastern portions of both Box Elder and Tooele Counties produce emissions that contribute to nearby violations of the standard. Final Utah Technical Support Document (Dec.2008), at 53; see Final Rule, 74 Fed.Reg. at 58,769-70 (table). EPA found that the portions of Box Elder and Tooele Counties designated nonattainment were in the same topographic airshed as the greater Salt Lake City area, and that there was no physical impediment to prevent their emissions from traveling into the violating region. Using wind data collected from Salt Lake International Airport, EPA analyzed PM2.5 measurements from air quality monitors; when the Salt Lake County monitors recorded violations, the prevailing winds were from the northwest and southeast. EPA concluded this indicated that “some portion of PM2.5 that influenced] [violating] monitors] [] originates from eastern Box Elder County to the north” and “some portion ... originates from the north and west of Salt Lake County from sources in Tooele County.” Final Utah Technical Support Document, at 39. EPA further explained that modeling of emissions demonstrated that some contributions came from Box Elder and Tooele Counties, the populated areas of the counties had relatively high density, the percentage of people commuting into Salt Lаke County from the two counties was high, and both had higher than average predicted growth.
EPA also examined the wind patterns, which showed that, during the wintertime inversions, the emissions “sloshed” around the valley, because winds move from higher elevations to the low points during the night, and then in the opposite direction during the day. In this manner, emissions
Petitioners sought review of the Final Rule in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit, and subsequently filed protective petitions for review in this court; the Tenth Circuit transferred the case to this court,
ATK Launch Sys., Inc. v. EPA
II.
In upholding EPA’s nine-factor test, this court concluded that “nothing in the [CAA] compels EPA to quantify a uniform amount of contribution below which counties will automatically escape nonattainment designations or to quantify similar thresholds for the nine factors EPA evaluated in making those detex-minations.”
Catawba,
A.
The bulk of petitioners’ challenge rests on a comparison between the data
As the State of Utah explained in recommending designations, in the Sаlt Lake City area “it is not enough to simply have an urban area with an urban mix of emissions [to cause a violation]; there must also be a barrier to dispersion ... which allows PM2.5 concentrations to build up over a period of several days.” Utah Area Designation Recommendation for the 2006 PM2.5 NAAQS (“Utah Recommendations”), at 3. In other words, fewer emissions on any given day are necessary to cause a problem in the Salt Lake City area because the inversion layer forms a lid and the mountains a wall, trapping accumulating emissions for days or weeks. EPA pointed out that the 24-hour PM2 5 nonattainment areas on the east coast are distinct; no such temperature inversion exists trapping pollutants at the ground level, and no mountain ranges limit dispersion.
See
Final Connecticut Technical Support Document (Dee.2008), at Factor 7; Final New Jersey Technical Support Document (Dec.2008), at 18. There, the sheer volume of emissions on a given day, rather than topographical and meteorological influences that cause accumulation of emissions over time, suffices to cause violations of the 24-hour standard. Because the Salt Lake City area’s problem is cumulative, a comparison of data on a per-day basis is not informative. It is no surprise that the data for the four counties led EPA to reach opposite conclusions, and petitioners thus fail to demonstrate that
“similar counties
[have been] treated dissimilarly” by EPA.
Catawba,
Petitioners also raise several objections concerning dissimilar treatment that go beyond a simple comparison of the data among the four counties. The first two, involving how EPA characterized the population density of the Utah Counties and its consideration of projected, in addition to historical, growth rates for Utah but not for Hartford and Warren Counties, are readily disposed of. Both Box Elder and Tooele Cоunties are physically large, with vast expanses of rural, unpopulated desert regions separated from the Salt Lake City airshed by mountain ranges. It was reasonable for EPA to examine the population of only the portions of the counties considered for nonattainment separately from the counties as a whole — indeed, it would be illogical to do otherwise.
See
Final Rule, 74 Fed.Reg. at 58,696. Although EPA could have taken the next step of determining the actual population density for the nonattainment-designated portions of the counties, its conclusion of relatively high density is supported by the data in the record. Likewise, the State of Utah provided EPA with projected growth rate data,
see
Utah Recommendations, at 27-28, and it was appropriate for EPA to consider “the best available information,”
Catawba,
Petitioners also object that in considering the traffic and commuting patterns for Box Elder and Tooele Counties, EPA relied on percentages of commuters traveling to other counties, rather than raw numbers of commuters, to support its findings of contribution. In Warren and Hartford Counties, EPA focused on the raw number of commuters. The court noted in
Catawba
that EPA stated that “the
Additionally, petitioners question EPA’s treatment of the CES on two grounds: the use of partial-county scores for Box Elder and Tooele Counties and EPA’s treatment of those counties’ low scores, compared to the higher scores for Warren and Hartford Counties that EPA described as demonstrating a low potential for significant contribution. EPA reasonably relied on scores calculated for only the portions of Box Elder and Tooele Counties designated nonattainment, however, because a county-wide “CES cannot adequately account for the effects of mountainous terrain which would essentially split a county into different parts, each having [its] own potentially unique effect on the violating county,” EPA Derivation of Contributing Emission Score (Dec. 15, 2008) (“CES Derivation”), at 9. And although the CES is normalized to show relative contribution, EPA cautioned that it “only provides relative contribution within the area under evaluation and does not provide a reliable means for comparison between counties in different areas.” Final Rule, 74 Fed.Reg. at 58,695 n. 16. In explaining the derivation of the CES, EPA emphasized that the scores require careful interpretation, “particularly in the western United States.” CES Derivation at 9. EPA addressed that concern by calculating partial-county scores to account for the size and geographic separation of the cоunties, and further noted that mountain ranges can act as barriers to transported emissions, implying further caution was warranted because of the effect of the inversion layer, which causes emissions to accumulate over time. In any event, the CES was “merely an additional method for evaluating the potential contribution of nearby counties,” Final Rule, 74 Fed.Reg. at 58,695, and other of the nine factors, such as topography, may weigh more heavily than the CES.
Cf. Catawba,
Further, petitioners maintain that in applying the first factor (emissions), EPA applied a “significant contribution” standard to Hartford County but an “any contribution” standard to Box Elder and Tooele Counties. In the Final Rule, EPA rejected adoption of a “significant contribution” standard, 74 Fed.Reg. at 58,691-
B.
In addition to asserting dissimilar treatment compared to Warren and Hartford Counties, petitioners challenge EPA’s use of modeling data in analyzing the potential transрort of emissions from Box Elder and Tooele Counties as technically infirm, and its analysis and characterization of the wind data for Box Elder County as both unsupportive of inclusion in the nonattainment area, and nonresponsive to new information in the record. Neither objection has merit.
As part of its analysis of factor six, meteorology, EPA used a modeling program, “HYSPLIT,” which analyzes wind conditions to determine dispersion of pollutants; this analysis yields “back-trajectories” that help determine the source of pollutants.
See
Final Utah Technical Support Document, at 41. The modeling demonstrated a degree of transport of emissions from Box Elder and Tooele Counties into the violating Salt Lake City monitors during inversion episodes. Petitioners point to EPA’s statements acknowledging the “HYSPLIT” model’s limitations, particularly in areas with topographic features, such as mountains.
See
EPA State and Tribal Comment Summary and Response Document (Dec. 22, 2008) at 13, 188. EPA, however, independently analyzed surface meteorological data from the State of Utah’s monitoring stations, which confirmed the results of the “HYSPLIT” model.
Id.
By confirming the modeling results with on-the-ground data, EPA “took reasonable steps to ensure that” the “HYSPLIT” model’s limitations were considered, “and its choices are not arbitrary or capricious,”
Am. Coke & Coal Chems. Inst. v. EPA,
Likewise, petitioners’ objection to EPA’s analysis of wind direction data is without merit. In its initial analysis modifying Utаh’s recommended designations, EPA used wind direction and speed data from the Salt Lake City International Airport and the Pocatello Regional Airport in Idaho to analyze the pollution data for Box Elder County. In response to comments from the State of Utah that the two sites were too far from Box Elder County to adequately account for local topographic influences on wind direction and speed, EPA replaced the data with that frоm Hill Air Force Base, which is closer. The original data showed that when PM2.5 levels in Box Elder County were highest, wind was coming from the northwest. The replacement data, using the more representative Hill Air Force Base wind measurements, indicated that when PM25 levels in Box Elder County were highest, wind was coming from the southeast. Petitioners point out that EPA’s conclusion did not change despite the substitution of new data for
Nonetheless, petitioners’ claim that EPA was arbitrary and capricious in failing to address the new data in its analysis is incorrect. EPA’s analysis and conclusions were of the wind data for the Salt Lake City air basin as a whole, not just for Box Elder County. As EPA reasonably explained in responding to comments about the changed data, “[t]he difference between [the original and substituted data] is not unexpected given the influence of local topography. The Salt Lake International [data] used by EPA is likely more representative of large scale wind patterns in the basin, given the relative distance of the airport from topographic features.” EPA Public Comment Summary and Response Document (Dec. 22, 2008), at 166-67;
see also
EPA State and Tribal Comment Summary and Response Document, at 189. In other words, to determine what areas are contributing to nearby violations, the most relevant wind data is that which corresponds with the
violating
monitors. The record supports the conclusion that, when PM2.5 levels are most severe in Salt Lake City, wind direction is sometimes from the northwest, indicating contribution from Box Elder County. EPA’s analysis of the wind data and air basin conclusion about pollution transport was reasonably based upon “the best available information,”
Catawba,
C.
Finally, petitioners challenge EPA’s designation of the portion of Box Elder County containing ATK’s operations as arbitrary and capricious. ATK is engaged in the aerospace and defense industries. EPA may designate partial counties,
see Catawba,
Accordingly, we deny the petitions for review.
