In 1998, Massachusetts state prisoner Richard Aspen was convicted of raping and sexually assaulting his stepdaughter. During the selection of the petit jury, Aspen claimed that the prosecutor exercised her peremptory challenges to exclude potential male jurors in violation of the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment, as interpreted in
Batson v. Kentucky,
Aspen appealed to the Massachusetts Appeals Court. The court considered Aspen’s equal protection claim under Article 12 of the Declaration of Rights of the Massachusetts Constitution, which it understood to mandate the same analysis as the Fourteenth Amendment.
Commonwealth v. Aspen,
Aspen’s request for further appellate review by the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court (SJC) was denied. Having exhausted state court remedies, Aspen filed a petition for a writ of habeas corpus in federal district court, arguing that the Appeals Court had applied an incorrect legal standard in considering his Batson claim. He asserted that the state court had erred by requiring him, in order to make out a prima facie case, to establish that it was “likely” that the prosecutor exercised peremptory challenges on account of gender. The district court, applying the deferential standards of review under the Antiterrorism and Effective Death Penalty Act of 1996 (AEDPA), rejected Aspen’s petition but did grant him a certificate of appeala-bility, see 28 U.S.C § 2254(b)(1)(A).
We review the denial of Aspen’s habeas petition de novo.
See Ellsworth v. Warden,
*574
A state court adjudication is “contrary to” Supreme Court precedent if, when made, it results from the application of a rule that contradicts the governing law set forth by the Supreme Court or is inconsistent with a Supreme Court decision in a case involving “materially indistinguishable” facts.
Williams v. Taylor,
The clearly established law governing the discriminatory use of peremptory challenges was set forth in
Batson.
The Court described a three-part test for adjudicating claims that peremptory challenges have been exercised in a discriminatory manner. The moving party bears the initial burden of demonstrating a prima facie case of discrimination.
Batson,
Batson
also described the moving party’s burden at the prima facie stage. To establish a prima facie case, the moving party must “raise an inference that the prosecutor used [peremptory challenges] to exclude the veniremen from the petit jury” because of their membership in a protected class.
Id.
at 96,
Most significantly for present purposes,
Batson
established that the moving party’s burden in meeting the prima facie requirement is not substantial. The
Batson
opinion relied on the Court’s earlier Title VII jurisprudence to define “the operation of [the] prima facie burden of proof rules.”
*575
In
Johnson,
the Supreme Court considered whether it was' consistent with
Bat-son
to require the moving party to show, at the prima facie stage, that it was “more likely than not” that a peremptory challenge had been exercised on a prohibited ground.
Id.
at 164,
In holding that Aspen had not carried his burden because he had not shown that it “was likely” that the prosecutor had exercised peremptory challenges on the basis of gender, the Appeals Court judged Aspen’s prima facie burden by a more rigid standard than that established by
Batson. Batson
clearly established that Aspen was only required to make a “likelihood” showing at the final stage of the burden-shifting framework.
The Commonwealth argues that the Appeals Court applied the appropriate standard because the opinion stated that when “[cjonfronted with a claim that a peremptory challenge is being used to exclude members of a discrete group, the judge must determine whether to draw the reasonable inference that peremptory challenges have been exercised on account of their group affiliation.”
Aspen,
That the Appeals Court applied a standard that was contrary to clearly established federal law does not automatically entitle the petitioner to relief, however. A writ of habeas corpus will issue only upon a showing that the petitioner “is in custody in violation of the Constitution or laws or treaties of the United States.” 28 U.S.C. § 2254. This means that a petitioner must show that his underlying detention is unlawful and not just that the state court employed faulty reasoning in his case.
See Bronshtein v. Horn,
We consider de novo whether Aspen is entitled to relief under the correct
Batson
standard.
See Bronshtein,
Each side was allowed sixteen peremptory challenges. In the prosecutor’s first round of peremptory challenges, she struck six men. These six men were replaced by four men and two women. The prosecutor struck one of the male replacements who was, in turn, replaced by another man. She then stated that she was content with the jury. At this point, the panel consisted of ten men and six women.
The trial court then permitted Aspen to exercise his peremptory challenges. He struck five women and two men. These seven potential jurors were replaced by three men and four women. Aspen then struck three more women. Two men and one woman were seated as replacements, and Aspen challenged the woman. A man was selected to replace the last stricken juror, and Aspen then stated that he was satisfied. At this point, the jury consisted of fourteen men and two women.
The prosecutor then struck five men. Two men and three women were seated as replacements, and the prosecutor challenged one of the men. A woman replaced the stricken man and the prosecutor stated that she was satisfied. The potential jury was then ten men and six women.
Aspen exercised his second round of peremptory challenges by eliminating three of the women. They were replaced by one woman and two men. Aspen challenged one of the men, who was replaced by another man. Aspen announced that he was satisfied, and the prosecutor agreed, even though she had three challenges remaining. As did the original panel, the final jury, with alternates, consisted *577 of twelve men and four women. 5
In total, the prosecutor had exercised thirteen peremptory challenges, all of which were against prospective male jurors. Aspen had exercised fifteen challenges, twelve of which were against prospective female jurors. He contends that the prosecutor’s use of all of her challenges against men is sufficient evidence to establish a prima facie case under Batson and J.E.B.
We have cautioned that a party “who advances a
Batson
argument ordinarily should come forward with facts, not just numbers alone.”
Bergodere,
In considering
Batson
claims, courts examine both numeric and non-numeric forms of evidence. Relevant numeric evidence includes the percentage of strikes directed against members of a particular group,
e.g., Paulino,
Looking first to the numeric evidence, the prosecutor’s strikes were all aimed at men. But these challenges removed only forty-six percent of the males from the venire and even after the prosecutor’s strikes (not all of which were used), men remained the dominant group. This fact at least tends to mitigate an inference of discrimination.
See United States v. Brisk,
More importantly, the strikes had little effect on the composition of the actual jury seated. Indeed, the jury agreed to by the prosecutor was seventy-five percent male, even though the original venire, after the strikes for cause, was only sixty-three percent male.
See Escobar-de Jesus,
Aspen’s emphasis on the raw number of strikes made against men loses force when this species of numeric evidence is considered in context. The context here was that Aspen struck most of the women members of the venire and that women constituted a minority of the venire from the outset. In fact, Aspen struck seventy-five percent of the prospective female jurors. The result was that the panels of potential jurors faced by the prosecutor were predominantly male. Indeed, most of the time, the potential juror panel from which the prosecutor made her strikes was between sixty-nine percent and eighty-eight percent male. Therefore, the raw number of strikes against men is not particularly telling in these circumstances because Aspen’s use of peremptory challenges kept the number of men on the panel disproportionately high.
7
See United States v. Ochoa-Vasquez,
The non-numeric evidence further supports the conclusion that a discriminatory motive did not infect the prosecutor’s use of peremptory challenges. There are no voir dire statements or questions by the prosecutor that suggest a discriminatory motive. Moreover, seven of the jurors challenged by the prosecutor provided voir dire answers that could reasonably have been understood to mean that the jurors may have been inclined to acquit the defendant even if he committed the conduct alleged. In particular, certain male jurors questioned whether it was legally possible for a person to rape a member of his own family, or whether a woman could, as a factual matter, be raped without having provoked the attack.
8
Finally, the prosecutor could have challenged three more men from the male-dominated panel finally selected but did not do so. In the circumstances at hand, this is an important indi-cum.
See Bronshtein,
In sum, the Appeals Court misapplied Batson and J.E.B. in analyzing Aspen’s *579 equal protection claim. But, even if the correct standard had been applied, Aspen would not have benefítted because the totality of the circumstances demonstrates that the prosecutor did not issue peremptory challenges on the basis of gender. Accordingly, Aspen’s habeas petition was correctly denied.
Affirmed.
Notes
. Decisions from the lower federal courts may help inform the AEDPA analysis to the extent that they state the clearly established federal law determined by the Supreme Court.
See Ouber v. Guarino,
. Supreme Court opinions issued after the state court decision in question are relevant to the AEDPA analysis to the extent that they restate the clearly established law from earlier Supreme Court opinions.
See Wiggins v. Smith,
. Something is "likely” to occur "if it has a better chance of occurring than not.” Webster’s Third New Int’l Dictionary 1310 (1993). This standard closely parallels the standard repudiated in Johnson.
. Aspen suggests that Massachusetts law under Article 12 is generally at odds with
Bat-son.
We do not decide this question because our focus is only on the state court decision in this case. We note, however, that the SJC has stated that the prima facie burden under Article 12 is "not ... a terribly weighty one,”
Commonwealth v. Maldonado,
. Ultimately, nine men and three women deliberated.
. Indeed, we have never held that a "statistical disparity alone can demonstrate a prima facie case.”
Brewer v. Marshall,
. Aspen argues that his use of peremptory challenges is irrelevant because the fact that he may have struck jurors on account of gender does not allow the prosecutor to do the same. We agree that the a party may not defend an improper use of peremptory challenges by arguing that the other party engaged in similar conduct.
See Stephens,
. No female juror accepted by the prosecutor made similar comments.
