Applicants, a daughter and son-in-law of former President Ferdinand Marcos, ask that I stay a contempt order of the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia requiring their incarceration if they fail to testify before a grand jury on July 22. They contend that requiring them to so testify would violate their Fifth Amendment privilege against self-incrimination because their testimony might be used against them in related criminal proceedings currently pending in the Philippines. They assert they will file a petition for certiorari on this issue.
Soon after their arrival in the United States, applicants were served with subpoenas requiring their testimony before a grand jury sitting in the Eastern District of Virginia to investigate alleged corruption relating to arms contracts made with the Government of the Philippines. The District Court denied the applicants’ motion to quash the subpoenas on Fifth Amendment grounds, and granted instead the Government’s motion to give the applicants use and derivative use immunity as to prosecutions in the United States. The court also entered a restrictive order designed to protect the secrecy of their testimony and held that no constitutional question was presented because the applicants had not demonstrated a real and substantial danger of prosecution abroad.
The Court of Appeals affirmed,
The requirements for obtaining a stay pending certiorari are well established. Such a stay should be granted only when (1) there is a reasonable probability that four Justices will vote to grant certiorari; (2) there is a fair prospect that a majority of the Justices will find the decision below erroneous; and (3) a balancing of the equities weighs in the applicant’s favor. See,
e. g., National Collegiate Athletic Assn.
v.
Board of Regents,
As to the first requirement, I conclude that four Justices will likely vote to grant certiorari on the issue that presumably will be presented in the applicants’ petition, namely, whether the privilege against self-incrimination protects a witness from being compelled to give testimony that may later be used against him in a foreign prosecution. Substantial confusion exists on this issue.
*
Moreover, this Court voted to consider the question in
Zicarelli
v.
New Jersey State Comm’n of Investigation,
Against this background, it is more likely than not that at least five Justices will agree with the Court of Appeals that the applicants face the kind of risk found lacking in
Zicarelli,
and will therefore reach and decide the question reserved in that case. And although such matters cannot be predicted with certainty, I conclude there is a “fair prospect” that a majority of this Court will decide the issue in favor of the applicants.
Murphy
v.
Waterfront Comm’n of New York Harbor,
Finally, I conclude that the equities weigh in applicants’ favor, particularly if the stay is appropriately conditioned. Applicants clearly will suffer irreparable injury if the Court of Appeals is right about the likelihood of prosecution and the inability of the District Court’s restrictive order to prevent disclosure. Cf.
Garrison
v.
Hudson,
The Government and the public plainly have a strong interest in moving forward expeditiously with a grand jury investigation, but on balance the risk of injury to the applicants could well be irreparable and the injury to the Government will likely be no more than the inconvenience of delay. Accordingly, I grant the stay, conditioned upon applicants’ filing their petition for certiorari by August 5, 1986. This should permit the Court to act on the petition during its first conference of the coming Term.
Notes
Compare
Mishima
v.
United States,
